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# ![@victaurs Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1818202976219217920.png) @victaurs Victaurs

Victaurs posts on X about $wal, wal, $jpm, $klar the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and 1122 posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

### Engagements: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1818202976219217920/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1818202976219217920/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXX +2.80%
- X Month XXXXXXX -XX%
- X Months XXXXXXXXX +63%
- X Year XXXXXXXXX +2,301%

### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::1818202976219217920/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1818202976219217920/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Week XX -XXXX%
- X Month XXX +7.50%
- X Months XXX +71%
- X Year XXXXX +3,129%

### Followers: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1818202976219217920/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1818202976219217920/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXXXX +2.30%
- X Month XXXXX +4.60%
- X Months XXXXX +56%
- X Year XXXXX +631%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1818202976219217920/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1818202976219217920/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence [#](/creator/twitter::1818202976219217920/influence)
---

**Social category influence**
[stocks](/list/stocks)  [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  [finance](/list/finance)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 

**Social topic influence**
[$wal](/topic/$wal) #33, [wal](/topic/wal) #78, [$jpm](/topic/$jpm) #132, [$klar](/topic/$klar) #13, [$jef](/topic/$jef) #23, [$ubs](/topic/$ubs) #5, [$zion](/topic/$zion) #2, [$owl](/topic/$owl) #18, [$bpop](/topic/$bpop) #1, [$fhn](/topic/$fhn) #2

**Top assets mentioned**
[Walrus (WAL)](/topic/$wal) [JPMorgan Chase (JPM)](/topic/$jpm) [Klarna Group (KLAR)](/topic/$klar) [Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF)](/topic/$jef) [UBS Group AG (UBS)](/topic/$ubs) [Zions Bancorporation, NA. (ZION)](/topic/$zion) [OwlDAO (OWL)](/topic/$owl) [Popular Inc (BPOP)](/topic/$bpop) [First Horizon, Corp. (FHN)](/topic/$fhn) [4 (FOUR)](/topic/$four) [DLocal Limited Class A Common Shares (DLO)](/topic/$dlo) [First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (FCNCA)](/topic/$fcnca) [Bank OZK (OZK)](/topic/$ozk) [Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL)](/topic/$crcl) [Chime Financial, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CHYM)](/topic/$chym) [Flagstar Financial, Inc. (FLG)](/topic/$flg) [PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL)](/topic/$pypl) [Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO)](/topic/$apo) [KKR & Co, Inc. (KKR)](/topic/$kkr) [Blackstone, Inc. (BX)](/topic/$bx) [GammaSwap (GS)](/topic/$gs) [Goldman Sachs (GS)](/topic/goldman-sachs) [SVB Financial Group (SIVBQ)](/topic/$sivb) [AurusX (AX)](/topic/$ax) [Valley National Bancorp (VLY)](/topic/$vly) [Wintrust Financial Corp (WTFC)](/topic/$wtfc) [Cadence Bank (CADE)](/topic/$cade) [East West Bancorp, Inc. (EWBC)](/topic/$ewbc) [Ameris Bancorp (ABCB)](/topic/$abcb) [Affirm Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock (AFRM)](/topic/$afrm) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/$msft) [Wells Fargo & Co (WFC)](/topic/$wfc)
### Top Social Posts [#](/creator/twitter::1818202976219217920/posts)
---
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Dear frens. If you DM me here on tickers know that I dont really check this nor will I give up specific advice. I do however check the unmentionable app DMs for people in the community. If you want to chat then upgrade and Im around nearly 24/7. $FLG thoughts from this am"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1969773748287946978) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-09-21T14:40Z 4900 followers, 3782 engagements


"@EquityBrian $PYPL trades like a legacy utility $FOUR and $ADYEN still trade like growth the spread is really about who you think survives the next margin squeeze"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1973035176583438455) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-09-30T14:40Z 4905 followers, XXX engagements


"Private credit looks shiny until you realize the treadmill never stops. $OWL $APO $KKR $BX have to keep pouring money into levered loans whether the cycle justifies it or not"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1974123695678631983) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-03T14:45Z 4912 followers, XXX engagements


"The bear case is clear: net take rate drifts below X% FX hits P&L merchants insource. The bull case is also clear: cross-border share climbs Asia & Africa scale and investors re-rate it closer to Adyen. The truth Its perception that decides. $DLO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1974497991567503733) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-04T15:33Z 4905 followers, XXX engagements


"The fear around $WAL isnt whether Walmart pays its bills. Its whether Western Alliance actually controls the lockbox those payments land in. In finance the risk often hides in the plumbing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1976315372354822473) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-09T15:54Z 4891 followers, 1088 engagements


"If $WAL survives this intact it will not be because the market was kind. It will be because its lawyers filed the right UCC forms and controlled the right lockboxes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1977021240323064047) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-11T14:39Z 4887 followers, 1605 engagements


"$JPM net income $14.5B EPS $XXXX. Thats one quarter. Whole countries dont make that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1978189064743350641) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-14T20:00Z 4903 followers, 1084 engagements


"Lehman was levered 30x on Level X sludge. $GS is levered 12x with daily margined trading books. Stop the cosplay"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1978473514475847978) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-15T14:50Z 4913 followers, XXX engagements


"$JPM CET1 at 14.4%. The fortress is over capitalized. Regulators sleep easy doomers lose sleep"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1978478469857378594) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-15T15:10Z 4894 followers, XXX engagements


"Wealth AUM at $2.47T up 8%. Doomers screaming deposit flight while Wells quietly grows wealth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1978483504523739215) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-15T15:30Z 4912 followers, XXX engagements


"Calling AI capex sustainable because it is a small share of GDP is like calling a bubble safe because it fits inside the economy. Scale isnt the issue cyclicality is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1978854691317375299) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-16T16:04Z 4912 followers, 1545 engagements


"$klar IPO is being sold as the hottest thing in fintech. Thats your first warning. The network is big: 93m customers 675k merchants embedded at checkout with Stripe Worldpay and Apple Pay. The economics are thin: XXX% take rate vs Affirms 4%. To keep growing they need volume on volume. IPO math: $14B valuation at 5x revenue. XX% of shares sold are insiders cashing out. Thats not funding growth. For Klarna to look cheap at 2-3x sales it needs $180B-$220B in GMV. Thats 50-80% growth before you even break even on the multiple. The dream is an Amazon-style ecosystem: payments lending ads"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1965138752973795802) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-09-08T19:42Z 4913 followers, 17.2K engagements


"$JPM JPMorgans loan book Still growing. Credit costs Contained. Capital Rock solid. Doomers calling systemic risk must be reading from 2008 scripts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1978120032715431957) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-14T15:25Z 4914 followers, 2241 engagements


"The danger with Jefferies is not insolvency. It is opacity. When markets cannot see the detail they fill in the blanks with fear"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1978852992242548882) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-16T15:58Z 4914 followers, 1043 engagements


"Bear and Lehman were levered 30x on illiquid mortgages. $JEF sits near 8x with a trading book that marks daily. That leverage gap is the whole story"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1978932179725095127) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-16T21:12Z 4911 followers, 1903 engagements


"Some of these rates up winners should keep winning in '25 while others will not. $FCNCA is going to buy a lot of itself back in '25 plus it's $SIVB business lines benefit from lower rates (VC ecosystem). $JPM even told people go forward returns would be harder. Thoughts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1835368985241457057) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2024-09-15T17:24Z 4911 followers, XXX engagements


"Some up cap cheap names hiding in plain sight: $WAL $CUBI $AX $VLY $OZK $EWBC $WTFC $CADE $ABCB $BPOP. all XX fwd EPS while compounding TBV X % and spinning doubledigit ROATCE. Thoughts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1950580148501123312) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-07-30T15:32Z 4911 followers, 5826 engagements


"Adyen trades at 25x EBITDA with XX% margins. Block sits at 18x with thinner profits. PayPal at 12x but growth has slowed. Wise at 14x grows faster than PayPal steadier than Block and profits unlike Remitly. Tell me again why its just a remittance app"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1970957362644332557) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-09-24T21:03Z 4914 followers, 1695 engagements


"$OWL and the private credit crowd are in a squeeze. They have to keep shoving dry powder into leveraged loans and PE deals. That treadmill doesnt stop even if the market does"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1973485002789957997) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-01T20:27Z 4914 followers, 1460 engagements


"Everyone dunking on this but Ive been one of the few actually short $owl all the way down. Where were you all months ago"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1974952108211531951) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-05T21:37Z 4914 followers, 4879 engagements


"If you are buying $UBS $JEF or $WAL here you are not betting on creditworthiness. You are betting on whether First Brands double pledged too much of its $2.3B in receivables"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1976309904764961144) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-09T15:32Z 4911 followers, 7636 engagements


"$UBS may face $500M in First Brands exposure. That is real money but shared pain rarely becomes systemic. The lawyers will bill. The banks will mark. The system absorbs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1976678826295136747) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-10T15:58Z 4911 followers, 1213 engagements


"Everyones quoting $715M like it is Jefferies direct loss. It is not. The fund owns the receivables. Jefferies true hit is closer to $113M in equity and $48M in CLO sleeves. The difference between gross and net matters"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1977037200903778444) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-11T15:42Z 4911 followers, 2240 engagements


"People call this a credit event. I call it a legal event. Credit risk is when the borrower cannot pay. Legal risk is when three lenders show up at court waving the same invoice. The borrower is fine. The system is not"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1977088133889245570) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-11T19:05Z 4913 followers, 11.8K engagements


"The First Brands bankruptcy is not about bad credit. It is about broken paperwork. $WAL $JEF $UBS all sit in the middle. Full breakdown here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1977412314476446068) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-12T16:33Z 4911 followers, 1593 engagements


"$C returned $6.1B to shareholders this quarter. Buybacks + dividend. Payout ratio 176%. Not exactly dying bank behavior"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1978193844379480134) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-14T20:19Z 4914 followers, XXX engagements


"$JEF is not Bear and not First Brands either but the market punishes any whiff of opacity the same way. Trust trades at a discount once burned"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1978849384260374849) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-16T15:43Z 4912 followers, 1315 engagements


"$kre turned regionals into a macro trade not a fundamentals trade. Shorts arent betting on banks failing theyre betting on structure breaking"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1978855998979723465) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-16T16:10Z 4911 followers, 5223 engagements


"$crcl $chym $klar Different tickers same story: insiders cashing out while retail chases hype"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1973384981704478996) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-01T13:50Z 4911 followers, 1108 engagements


"$crcl IPOd at $58B. $chym at $11.6B. $klar at $14B. Different tickers same question: are you buying businesses or just stories"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1973766572125851842) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-02T15:06Z 4911 followers, XXX engagements


"Liquidity not fundamentals drives this tape. Thats why $AFRM can rip on vibes and $KLAR can tank even with growth. Timing trumps logic"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1974531281552900569) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-04T17:45Z 4911 followers, XXX engagements


"The latest so called regional bank crisis looks more like a liquidity echo than a collapse. The full note covers $WAL $ZION $FHN $BPOP and more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1979187264375918612) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-17T14:06Z 4911 followers, 2710 engagements


"$FHN whiffed with CEO buyer not seller comments. $WAL headlines got messy with First Brands. $ZION preannounced a $50M hit. Everything else More or less fine. Wheres the real opportunity hiding"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1979196957550649742) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-17T14:45Z 4911 followers, 2793 engagements


"Doomers have called XXX bank crises since 2020. Were still waiting for one that sticks. Which regionals would you not touch here Curious what the bear cases are"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1979221118440608005) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-17T16:21Z 4911 followers, 2031 engagements


"@agnostoxxx Both can be true. Flows left the market and still landed in $aapl $msft $nvda because the Mag7 are not equities anymore they are a substitute for cash"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1979565332542140840) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-18T15:08Z 4911 followers, XXX engagements


"$FOUR is building rails in the US $DLO is exporting rails abroad the choice is whether you want to bet on saturation or expansion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1975978465510949278) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-08T17:35Z 4911 followers, 1258 engagements


"The scariest part of $UBS exposure is not the number. It is the timeline. These fights drag on for quarters sometimes years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1977079250772689099) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-11T18:30Z 4911 followers, 1073 engagements


"@zerohedge Translation: $WFC is in subprime just not knee-deep. Credit risk doesnt care how far you wade when the tide goes out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1978195925706190947) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-14T20:27Z 4911 followers, XXX engagements


"KRE is a bad index. It literally buys losers and trims winners. That means hedge funds short all names at once good or bad. So lets crowdsource: which regionals are fundamentally strong but unfairly punished"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1979190665725542778) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-17T14:20Z 4911 followers, 6804 engagements


"The baby has been thrown out with the bathwater. $BPOP at 8.5x 2026 EPS. $FCNCA near 9.5x. $OZK about to restart buybacks. Which regional names do you think come out stronger from this washout"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1979208280032395639) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-17T15:30Z 4911 followers, 5030 engagements


"Doomers see $WAL headlines and scream collapse. Fundamentals say otherwise. Same with $ZION and $FHN. Question for you: which regionals look like buy the panic plays right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1979554456632172580) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-18T14:25Z 4910 followers, 2824 engagements


"$ZION preannounced a $50M loss and lost $1B in market cap. Thats narrative math in real time. Have you spotted other names where the punishment doesnt fit the crime"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victaurs/status/1979627360719945951) [@victaurs](/creator/x/victaurs) 2025-10-18T19:15Z 4911 followers, 1725 engagements

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

@victaurs Avatar @victaurs Victaurs

Victaurs posts on X about $wal, wal, $jpm, $klar the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and 1122 posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

Engagements: XXXXX #

Engagements Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXXX +2.80%
  • X Month XXXXXXX -XX%
  • X Months XXXXXXXXX +63%
  • X Year XXXXXXXXX +2,301%

Mentions: XX #

Mentions Line Chart

  • X Week XX -XXXX%
  • X Month XXX +7.50%
  • X Months XXX +71%
  • X Year XXXXX +3,129%

Followers: XXXXX #

Followers Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXX +2.30%
  • X Month XXXXX +4.60%
  • X Months XXXXX +56%
  • X Year XXXXX +631%

CreatorRank: XXXXXXX #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence #


Social category influence stocks cryptocurrencies finance technology brands

Social topic influence $wal #33, wal #78, $jpm #132, $klar #13, $jef #23, $ubs #5, $zion #2, $owl #18, $bpop #1, $fhn #2

Top assets mentioned Walrus (WAL) JPMorgan Chase (JPM) Klarna Group (KLAR) Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) UBS Group AG (UBS) Zions Bancorporation, NA. (ZION) OwlDAO (OWL) Popular Inc (BPOP) First Horizon, Corp. (FHN) 4 (FOUR) DLocal Limited Class A Common Shares (DLO) First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (FCNCA) Bank OZK (OZK) Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) Chime Financial, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CHYM) Flagstar Financial, Inc. (FLG) PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL) Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) KKR & Co, Inc. (KKR) Blackstone, Inc. (BX) GammaSwap (GS) Goldman Sachs (GS) SVB Financial Group (SIVBQ) AurusX (AX) Valley National Bancorp (VLY) Wintrust Financial Corp (WTFC) Cadence Bank (CADE) East West Bancorp, Inc. (EWBC) Ameris Bancorp (ABCB) Affirm Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock (AFRM) Apple, Inc. (AAPL) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Wells Fargo & Co (WFC)

Top Social Posts #


Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Dear frens. If you DM me here on tickers know that I dont really check this nor will I give up specific advice. I do however check the unmentionable app DMs for people in the community. If you want to chat then upgrade and Im around nearly 24/7. $FLG thoughts from this am"
X Link @victaurs 2025-09-21T14:40Z 4900 followers, 3782 engagements

"@EquityBrian $PYPL trades like a legacy utility $FOUR and $ADYEN still trade like growth the spread is really about who you think survives the next margin squeeze"
X Link @victaurs 2025-09-30T14:40Z 4905 followers, XXX engagements

"Private credit looks shiny until you realize the treadmill never stops. $OWL $APO $KKR $BX have to keep pouring money into levered loans whether the cycle justifies it or not"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-03T14:45Z 4912 followers, XXX engagements

"The bear case is clear: net take rate drifts below X% FX hits P&L merchants insource. The bull case is also clear: cross-border share climbs Asia & Africa scale and investors re-rate it closer to Adyen. The truth Its perception that decides. $DLO"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-04T15:33Z 4905 followers, XXX engagements

"The fear around $WAL isnt whether Walmart pays its bills. Its whether Western Alliance actually controls the lockbox those payments land in. In finance the risk often hides in the plumbing"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-09T15:54Z 4891 followers, 1088 engagements

"If $WAL survives this intact it will not be because the market was kind. It will be because its lawyers filed the right UCC forms and controlled the right lockboxes"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-11T14:39Z 4887 followers, 1605 engagements

"$JPM net income $14.5B EPS $XXXX. Thats one quarter. Whole countries dont make that"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-14T20:00Z 4903 followers, 1084 engagements

"Lehman was levered 30x on Level X sludge. $GS is levered 12x with daily margined trading books. Stop the cosplay"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-15T14:50Z 4913 followers, XXX engagements

"$JPM CET1 at 14.4%. The fortress is over capitalized. Regulators sleep easy doomers lose sleep"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-15T15:10Z 4894 followers, XXX engagements

"Wealth AUM at $2.47T up 8%. Doomers screaming deposit flight while Wells quietly grows wealth"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-15T15:30Z 4912 followers, XXX engagements

"Calling AI capex sustainable because it is a small share of GDP is like calling a bubble safe because it fits inside the economy. Scale isnt the issue cyclicality is"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-16T16:04Z 4912 followers, 1545 engagements

"$klar IPO is being sold as the hottest thing in fintech. Thats your first warning. The network is big: 93m customers 675k merchants embedded at checkout with Stripe Worldpay and Apple Pay. The economics are thin: XXX% take rate vs Affirms 4%. To keep growing they need volume on volume. IPO math: $14B valuation at 5x revenue. XX% of shares sold are insiders cashing out. Thats not funding growth. For Klarna to look cheap at 2-3x sales it needs $180B-$220B in GMV. Thats 50-80% growth before you even break even on the multiple. The dream is an Amazon-style ecosystem: payments lending ads"
X Link @victaurs 2025-09-08T19:42Z 4913 followers, 17.2K engagements

"$JPM JPMorgans loan book Still growing. Credit costs Contained. Capital Rock solid. Doomers calling systemic risk must be reading from 2008 scripts"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-14T15:25Z 4914 followers, 2241 engagements

"The danger with Jefferies is not insolvency. It is opacity. When markets cannot see the detail they fill in the blanks with fear"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-16T15:58Z 4914 followers, 1043 engagements

"Bear and Lehman were levered 30x on illiquid mortgages. $JEF sits near 8x with a trading book that marks daily. That leverage gap is the whole story"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-16T21:12Z 4911 followers, 1903 engagements

"Some of these rates up winners should keep winning in '25 while others will not. $FCNCA is going to buy a lot of itself back in '25 plus it's $SIVB business lines benefit from lower rates (VC ecosystem). $JPM even told people go forward returns would be harder. Thoughts"
X Link @victaurs 2024-09-15T17:24Z 4911 followers, XXX engagements

"Some up cap cheap names hiding in plain sight: $WAL $CUBI $AX $VLY $OZK $EWBC $WTFC $CADE $ABCB $BPOP. all XX fwd EPS while compounding TBV X % and spinning doubledigit ROATCE. Thoughts"
X Link @victaurs 2025-07-30T15:32Z 4911 followers, 5826 engagements

"Adyen trades at 25x EBITDA with XX% margins. Block sits at 18x with thinner profits. PayPal at 12x but growth has slowed. Wise at 14x grows faster than PayPal steadier than Block and profits unlike Remitly. Tell me again why its just a remittance app"
X Link @victaurs 2025-09-24T21:03Z 4914 followers, 1695 engagements

"$OWL and the private credit crowd are in a squeeze. They have to keep shoving dry powder into leveraged loans and PE deals. That treadmill doesnt stop even if the market does"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-01T20:27Z 4914 followers, 1460 engagements

"Everyone dunking on this but Ive been one of the few actually short $owl all the way down. Where were you all months ago"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-05T21:37Z 4914 followers, 4879 engagements

"If you are buying $UBS $JEF or $WAL here you are not betting on creditworthiness. You are betting on whether First Brands double pledged too much of its $2.3B in receivables"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-09T15:32Z 4911 followers, 7636 engagements

"$UBS may face $500M in First Brands exposure. That is real money but shared pain rarely becomes systemic. The lawyers will bill. The banks will mark. The system absorbs"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-10T15:58Z 4911 followers, 1213 engagements

"Everyones quoting $715M like it is Jefferies direct loss. It is not. The fund owns the receivables. Jefferies true hit is closer to $113M in equity and $48M in CLO sleeves. The difference between gross and net matters"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-11T15:42Z 4911 followers, 2240 engagements

"People call this a credit event. I call it a legal event. Credit risk is when the borrower cannot pay. Legal risk is when three lenders show up at court waving the same invoice. The borrower is fine. The system is not"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-11T19:05Z 4913 followers, 11.8K engagements

"The First Brands bankruptcy is not about bad credit. It is about broken paperwork. $WAL $JEF $UBS all sit in the middle. Full breakdown here"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-12T16:33Z 4911 followers, 1593 engagements

"$C returned $6.1B to shareholders this quarter. Buybacks + dividend. Payout ratio 176%. Not exactly dying bank behavior"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-14T20:19Z 4914 followers, XXX engagements

"$JEF is not Bear and not First Brands either but the market punishes any whiff of opacity the same way. Trust trades at a discount once burned"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-16T15:43Z 4912 followers, 1315 engagements

"$kre turned regionals into a macro trade not a fundamentals trade. Shorts arent betting on banks failing theyre betting on structure breaking"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-16T16:10Z 4911 followers, 5223 engagements

"$crcl $chym $klar Different tickers same story: insiders cashing out while retail chases hype"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-01T13:50Z 4911 followers, 1108 engagements

"$crcl IPOd at $58B. $chym at $11.6B. $klar at $14B. Different tickers same question: are you buying businesses or just stories"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-02T15:06Z 4911 followers, XXX engagements

"Liquidity not fundamentals drives this tape. Thats why $AFRM can rip on vibes and $KLAR can tank even with growth. Timing trumps logic"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-04T17:45Z 4911 followers, XXX engagements

"The latest so called regional bank crisis looks more like a liquidity echo than a collapse. The full note covers $WAL $ZION $FHN $BPOP and more"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-17T14:06Z 4911 followers, 2710 engagements

"$FHN whiffed with CEO buyer not seller comments. $WAL headlines got messy with First Brands. $ZION preannounced a $50M hit. Everything else More or less fine. Wheres the real opportunity hiding"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-17T14:45Z 4911 followers, 2793 engagements

"Doomers have called XXX bank crises since 2020. Were still waiting for one that sticks. Which regionals would you not touch here Curious what the bear cases are"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-17T16:21Z 4911 followers, 2031 engagements

"@agnostoxxx Both can be true. Flows left the market and still landed in $aapl $msft $nvda because the Mag7 are not equities anymore they are a substitute for cash"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-18T15:08Z 4911 followers, XXX engagements

"$FOUR is building rails in the US $DLO is exporting rails abroad the choice is whether you want to bet on saturation or expansion"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-08T17:35Z 4911 followers, 1258 engagements

"The scariest part of $UBS exposure is not the number. It is the timeline. These fights drag on for quarters sometimes years"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-11T18:30Z 4911 followers, 1073 engagements

"@zerohedge Translation: $WFC is in subprime just not knee-deep. Credit risk doesnt care how far you wade when the tide goes out"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-14T20:27Z 4911 followers, XXX engagements

"KRE is a bad index. It literally buys losers and trims winners. That means hedge funds short all names at once good or bad. So lets crowdsource: which regionals are fundamentally strong but unfairly punished"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-17T14:20Z 4911 followers, 6804 engagements

"The baby has been thrown out with the bathwater. $BPOP at 8.5x 2026 EPS. $FCNCA near 9.5x. $OZK about to restart buybacks. Which regional names do you think come out stronger from this washout"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-17T15:30Z 4911 followers, 5030 engagements

"Doomers see $WAL headlines and scream collapse. Fundamentals say otherwise. Same with $ZION and $FHN. Question for you: which regionals look like buy the panic plays right now"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-18T14:25Z 4910 followers, 2824 engagements

"$ZION preannounced a $50M loss and lost $1B in market cap. Thats narrative math in real time. Have you spotted other names where the punishment doesnt fit the crime"
X Link @victaurs 2025-10-18T19:15Z 4911 followers, 1725 engagements

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