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# ![@TomAlphaTrades Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1961752741098962944.png) @TomAlphaTrades Tom 🅰️LPHA Trades | +440% since ’21 (~45%/yr) 📈

Tom 🅰️LPHA Trades | +440% since ’21 (~45%/yr) 📈 posts on X about china, $nvda, investment, $zion the most. They currently have XXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

### Engagements: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1961752741098962944/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1961752741098962944/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXX +180%
- X Month XXXXXX +124%

### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::1961752741098962944/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1961752741098962944/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Week XXX +108%
- X Month XXX +88%

### Followers: XXX [#](/creator/twitter::1961752741098962944/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1961752741098962944/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXX +29%
- X Month XXX +99%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1961752741098962944/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1961752741098962944/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence [#](/creator/twitter::1961752741098962944/influence)
---

**Social category influence**
[stocks](/list/stocks)  XXXXX% [finance](/list/finance)  XXXXX% [countries](/list/countries)  XXXXX% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  XXXXX% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  XXXXX% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  XXXX% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  XXXX% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  XXXX% [fashion brands](/list/fashion-brands)  XXXX% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  XXXX%

**Social topic influence**
[china](/topic/china) 10.46%, [$nvda](/topic/$nvda) #1082, [investment](/topic/investment) 4.58%, [$zion](/topic/$zion) #18, [$wal](/topic/$wal) #41, [byd](/topic/byd) #531, [tariffs](/topic/tariffs) #1588, [$aapl](/topic/$aapl) #183, [$tsla](/topic/$tsla) #225, [$1211hk](/topic/$1211hk) #532

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@kobeissiletter](/creator/undefined) [@unusualwhales](/creator/undefined) [@investingcom](/creator/undefined) [@nataninvesting](/creator/undefined) [@ft](/creator/undefined) [@stockmarketnerd](/creator/undefined) [@bitesyourfinger](/creator/undefined) [@superleap88](/creator/undefined) [@kostrhountomas](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Zions Bancorporation, NA. (ZION)](/topic/$zion) [Walrus (WAL)](/topic/$wal) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla) [NuCypher (NU)](/topic/$nu) [Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)](/topic/$amd) [Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)](/topic/$tsm) [PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL)](/topic/$pypl) [Broadcom, Inc. (AVGO)](/topic/$avgo) [Goldman Sachs (GS)](/topic/goldman-sachs) [Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)](/topic/$lly) [Euronet Worldwide Inc (EEFT)](/topic/$eeft) [Alibaba Group (BABA)](/topic/$baba) [Basis Cash (BAC)](/topic/$bac) [JPMorgan Chase (JPM)](/topic/$jpm) [SPDR S&P XXX ETF Trust (SPY)](/topic/$spy) [Nu Holdings Ltd. (NU)](/topic/nu-holdings) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)](/topic/$jnj) [Netflix Inc (NFLX)](/topic/$nflx) [Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)](/topic/$amzn) [Metadium (META)](/topic/$meta) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/$msft) [Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD)](/topic/$byd) [MercadoLibre Inc (MELI)](/topic/$meli) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/$btc) [Morgan Stanley (MS)](/topic/$ms)
### Top Social Posts [#](/creator/twitter::1961752741098962944/posts)
---
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"This is the canary in the coal mine moment 🚨 $ZION/$WAL fraud disclosures Tricolor/First Brands failures now spreading to broader credit markets The pattern: When regional banks start taking $50M+ charges on "alleged fraud" it's not isolated - it's lax underwriting standards coming home to roost. JPM CEO already warning about credit quality. 10-year at XXXX% = bond market pricing in real contagion risk. Watch $KRE support at $XX. Break below = systemic concerns 📉"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979109526990168286) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T08:57Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"36th straight month of PPI deflation = X years of factory gate price declines 📉 Yes improvement from -XXX% to -XXX% but context matters: This validates ASML's China warning today. Weak producer prices = overcapacity + soft demand. Trade implication: China deflation pressure on $FXI materials/industrials. Watch for stimulus announcement timing. If Beijing acts = sentiment shift 🎯"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978357113735856518) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-15T07:07Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"36 consecutive months of PPI deflation = factory gate prices falling for X straight years 📉 Easing from -XXX% to -XXX% sounds good but context: This is exactly why ASML warned on China demand today. Weak producer prices = overcapacity + nobody buying. Watch for Beijing stimulus timing. If they move = sentiment shift for $FXI $ASHR $MCHI. If silence = deflation spiral continues ⚠ Trade: China materials/industrials compressed. Either massive policy response incoming or avoid entirely 🎯"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978357368657170662) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-15T07:08Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"JUST IN: $BAC Q3 Earnings 📊 Q3 Results vs Estimates: ✅ EPS: $XXXX vs $XXXX exp (+12% beat) ✅ Revenue: $28.24B vs $27.5B exp ✅ Net Interest Income: $15.23B vs $15.03B exp ✅ Trading Revenue: $5.35B vs $5.01B exp (+7% beat) ✅ Investment Banking: $2.0B (+43% YoY) Net income up XX% YoY to $8.5B. This is the template for what banks should look like in this cycle 💰 The story: Capital markets driving upside. Trading beat + IB fees surge = institutional activity accelerating. NII growth (+9% YoY) shows rate positioning working despite flat curve pressures 📈 Context: $JPM $GS $C $WFC all beat this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978434622103900228) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-15T12:15Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"JUST IN: $MS Q3 Earnings - MASSIVE BEAT 📊 Q3 Results vs Estimates: ✅ EPS: $XXXX vs $XXXX exp (+33% beat - largest in X years) ✅ Revenue: $18.22B vs $16.70B exp ✅ Investment Banking: $2.11B vs $1.68B exp (+44% YoY) ✅ Equities Trading: $4.12B vs $3.41B exp (+21% beat) ✅ Wealth Management: $8.23B vs $7.78B exp Net income up XX% YoY to $4.61B. This is what happens when all cylinders fire simultaneously 💰 The story: Institutional Securities on fire. Equities trading crushed estimates by $720M = volatility + client activity exploding. IB fees +44% confirms M&A/IPO renaissance isn't slowing 📈"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978434995938021799) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-15T12:17Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"JUST IN: Big banks report blowout earnings but CEOs warn of bubble risk 📊⚠ The paradox: $JPM $GS $C all crushed Q3 estimates driven by IB/trading revival (+12%+ across board). Yet executives simultaneously cautioning about "valuation frothiness" and assets "entering bubble territory." Jamie Dimon: "We have a lot of assets which look like they're entering bubble territory. That doesn't mean they don't have XX% to go. It's just one more cause of concern." 💰 Jane Fraser (Citi): "There are pockets of valuation frothiness in the market so I hope discipline remains." The tension: Banks printing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978437682704335298) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-15T12:27Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"Pre-market tech rally led by semis after $ASML crushes Q3 💎 Key numbers: 5.4B bookings with 3.6B in EUV alone (vs 2.3B Q2). That's +57% QoQ in cutting-edge lithography demand. AI infrastructure capex is accelerating not slowing. 📈 $NVDA +2.84% $AVGO +2.40% $AMD +2.53% leading. Mega caps all green pre-market. ASML Q4 guide: 9.2-9.8B (massive sequential jump from 7.5B Q3). Full-year growth 15%. Trade implication: Equipment orders lead chip production 6-9 months out. EUV surge = validation of AI chip demand through mid-2026. Semi names breaking out = buy signal for infrastructure trade. 🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978451114392461328) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-15T13:21Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Gold $4300 while BTC bleeds 📊 Classic safe haven vs risk asset divergence. When real fear hits money flows to 5000-year track record over 15-year experiment. Not saying crypto is dead - just shows we're in risk-off mode. When that flips watch BTC catch up fast. For now: Old money winning 🏆"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978915894215532849) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T20:08Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Markets close mixed Friday as regional bank panic fades 📊 Regional banks BOUNCE after Thursday's fraud-driven selloff: $ZION +5.6% (was -XX% yesterday) $WAL +2.8% (was -XX% yesterday) $TFC +3.4% $RF +0.4% $HBAN +0.9% Key: New earnings showed lower credit loss provisions than expected "idiosyncratic not systemic" 💡 Tech steady: $NVDA +0.85% $AAPL +2.0% $TSLA +2.5% The setup: Thursday's $50M Zions charge-off + Western Alliance fraud lawsuit = $1B+ market cap loss. Way overdone. Pattern: Credit fears spike solid earnings market realizes worst case overblown quick recovery Still watching: $1T+"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979276775701021090) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T20:02Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"TRADE ALERT $CON (Continental AG) 🛞 Bought XXX @ XXXXX (23 Sep 2025) Thesis Post-spin setup: After the Aumovio spin-off $CON is essentially a tyre pure-playsimpler higher-margin cash-generative replacement mix; lower-margin auto systems carved out. 🔧 Technical mispricing: Spin distribution + index/flow effects pressured both legs; room for re-rating as investors re-underwrite the cleaner story and the board outlines a higher payout policy. 📉➡📈 Portfolio action: Ongoing portfolio streamlining (incl. potential ContiTech separation) + clearer balance sheet supports capital returns. 🧭 Macro"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1970479941390147659) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-09-23T13:26Z XXX followers, 2692 engagements


"$1211.HK (BYD) EU sales surge & leadership vs $TSLA (portfolio update) 📈🚗 Aug EU sales X YoY; +201.3% Y/Y XXX% EU share (per ACEA). 2nd month in a row ahead of $TSLA (Tesla XXXX% Y/Y share XXX% vs X% last year). Market backdrop: EU+UK+EFTA +4.7% to 0.8M units; EU-only +5.3%. Incumbents: $STLA +2.2% $VOW3 +4.8% Renault +7.8%. China brands gaining: SAIC/MG +59.4%; YTD EU share XXX% (top-10). Why it matters: BYDs export ramp is translating into share gains in Europe not just shipments. Narrative momentum vs. $TSLA strengthens. Watch next: pricing vs. tariffs local assembly footprints and EU"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1971203431189578177) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-09-25T13:21Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"🚨 TRADE ALERT $S (SentinelOne) Sold 4x Nov XX XX $XX Puts @ $XXXX (GTC fill) Premium collected: $XXX gross (4100$1.13) $XXX net after fees (est.). Effective buy price if assigned: $XXXXX (= XX 1.13) on XXX shs. MoS vs my FV $33: XX% discount to target. If not assigned: keep XXX% of strike over XX months (5% annualized) as income. Thesis (why Im happy either way): Product/stack: S1s Singularity (endpoint/XDR + cloud) keeps taking share in security budgets tilted to consolidation + automationthe sweet spot for agents that reduce tool sprawl. Unit economics: improving gross margin mix (cloud +"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1971221618597769541) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-09-25T14:33Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"🚨 NEW POSITION: $KSPI @ $XXXXX XX% portfolio Target $XXX (+73%) 🎯 Just bought what Goldman Sachs upgraded to BUY yesterday. Timing Chef's kiss 👨🍳 Why KASPI is a hidden gem: 📊 Trading at 7x P/E with 20-28% growth 💎 X% dividend yield 🚀 XX% margins (yes forty-two percent) 🌍 Turkey expansion (100M+ users target) The Thesis: Category-killer super-app in Central Asia. Think WeChat had a baby with PayPal in Kazakhstan. 12M out of 19M citizens use their app DAILY. That's XX% penetration. Dominance. Why it's cheap: Temporary regulatory headwinds + Turkey expansion costs. Market thinks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1976311072203132946) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-09T15:37Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"🛡 MY ACTUAL HEDGE STRATEGY - Full Transparency Here's exactly what I'm holding to protect against these scenarios: 📍 MY CURRENT POSITIONS: Position 1: $SPLG PUTS - Strike: $XX - Expiration: June XX 2026 (251 days) - Quantity: X contracts - Cost per contract: $XXXX - Current value: $XXXX Position 2: $SPY PUTS - Strike: $XXX - Expiration: June XX 2026 (251 days) - Quantity: X contract - Cost per contract: $XXXXX - Current value: $XXXXX The Economics: - Total cost: $5k (3% of portfolio) - Protects: XX% of portfolio value - Protection ratio: 20:1 - Bought when VIX XX% (historically LOW) This"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1976632157884809355) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-10T12:53Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"CHINA JUST PLAYED THEIR TRUMP CARD - LITERALLY 🎯 The Setup ♟: Yesterday: China expands rare earth export controls (5 new minerals) Today: Trump cancels Xi meeting threatens "massive" new tariffs Markets: Instant selloff across tech 📉 What's Really Happening Here 🧠: This isn't random. China KNEW this would trigger Trump. They did it anyway right before the APEC summit. Why 💭 Because Rare Earths = Nuclear Option ☢: - China controls 90%+ global supply 🌍 - Used in semiconductors EVs defense phones 💻🔋⚔📱 - No viable alternative supply exists at scale - Processing takes YEARS to build"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1976695613447131307) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-10T17:05Z XXX followers, 1654 engagements


"JUST IN: $NU announcing 6-month free Uber One memberships starting Oct XX - strategic move beyond just banking 🎯 Context: Nubank hit 122.7M customers in Q2 (+19% YoY) but engagement is the real play. Current ARPAC: $XX. Mature cohorts: $XX. Partnership economics = accelerate that journey 📊 The strategy: Lock customers into NuPay payment ecosystem. Free X months XX% discount month X full price ($19.90 R$/month). Customer acquisition bet on LTV expansion through deeper platform integration 💰 Why it matters: $NU executing "Three Act Strategy" - building beyond financial services into digital"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978119304420733086) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-14T15:22Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Just published my full 21-page investment research report on $NU Holdings 📊 FREE download no paywall Key findings: 📈 Target: $XX (+46% from $15.08) 💰 ROE: XX% (2x Brazilian banks) 💎 Net Margin: XX% (8x industry average) 🏦 Balance Sheet: $10.6B net cash XX% LDR Three catalysts with PROVEN Q2 data: X Mexico Profitability Inflection - 8.9M customers (+191% YoY) - Q4'26 breakeven 2027 adds +$0.04-0.06 EPS X Hyperplane AI Deployment - Q2'25: +100bps market share gain in ONE quarter - ARPAC acceleration XX% XX% CAGR projected X INSS Secured Loan Recovery - $4.1B portfolio (+200% YoY growth) -"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978453372664517056) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-15T13:30Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Download the full 21-page $NU analysis here (100% FREE): No paywall. Just analysis. 📊"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978453519871955288) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-15T13:30Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"JUST IN: $AAPL launches M5 chip lineup: MacBook Pro ($1599+) iPad Pro 11" ($999) Vision Pro ($3499) 💻 Pre-orders open now MacBook ships Oct XX. Wall Street angle: Premium pricing intact despite macro headwinds. $AAPL maintaining margins while pushing performance envelope with M5 = Services + Hardware flywheel working. Vision Pro at $3499 (vs $3499 launch) = no price cut strategy. Cook betting on enterprise adoption over consumer price sensitivity. Timing matters: Launches ahead of holiday quarter + earnings (Oct 31). Sets up strong guidance if demand holds. Watch gross margin trajectory. If"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978472039204749659) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-15T14:44Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"JUST IN: $GOOGL Waymo launching London robotaxis in 2026 first European expansion 🚗 Key facts: - Testing starts now with safety drivers fully autonomous service 2026 (pending UK approval) ✅ - Jaguar I-Pace EVs via fleet partner Moove 🔋 - Current scale: X US cities 250k+ paid rides/week 100M autonomous miles driven 📊 Why it matters: London = validation of tech in dense complex urban environment (narrow streets left-hand driving unpredictable weather) 🌧 If Waymo succeeds here scales across Europe 🌍 Competition: Wayve (UK startup backed by $MSFT $NVDA) also launching 2026. But Waymo has"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978478591642915205) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-15T15:10Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"Roadmap addition not live yet 📊 $BNB jumped just X% to $1175 on the news. Trading starts "once market-making support and infrastructure" ready. Context: This follows listing fee drama. Coinbase Base lead said fees "should be 0%" community said "lead by example." First time Coinbase signals support for rival's flagship asset. Watch if this actually lists. $164B market cap moves if/when it goes live 💰"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978517771437637709) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-15T17:46Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"3 things Wall Street is missing about $JNJ 👇 Everyone's obsessing over STELARA cliff. Missing the real alpha: X CARVYKTI Manufacturing Unlock 🧬 Q3 growth: +54% Status: SUPPLY-CONSTRAINED New facility launching 2026E: 5x current capacity Current run-rate: $1.6B Peak potential: $5-7B Hidden upside: +$3-4B NOT in consensus Plus: 2nd-line approval 2026 = TAM expansion X VARIPULSE = MedTech Sleeper ⚡ Tech advantage: ✓ Pulsed field ablation (vs old thermal) ✓ 30-45 min procedures (vs 2-3 hours) ✓ Safer no injury risk Market opportunity: $10B+ TAM $2-3B franchise potential by 2027E Market sleeping"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978521310276841943) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-15T18:00Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"Race for data moat not profit 📊 $GOOGL's Waymo burns $1.25B/quarter vs $373M revenue. London move pre-empts Wayve (UK startup backed by SoftBank/Microsoft launching 2026). 100M autonomous miles = competitive edge. But UK's Automated Vehicles Act doesn't finalize until H2 2027. Lock in partnerships now monetize later strategy 💰"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978541508371644704) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-15T19:20Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Market close: Rotation into financials continues semis mixed 📊 Mega moves today: $AMD +9.25% 🚀 (biggest winner AI optimism) $BAC +4.4% 💰 (post-earnings surge) $WFC +2.19% $JPM +1.36% (banks leading) Mag X divergence: ✅ Green: $GOOG +1.88% $META +1.04% $TSLA +1.12% ❌ Red: $AMZN -XXXX% $MSFT -XXXX% $NFLX -XXXX% ⚪ Flat: $NVDA -XXXX% $AAPL +0.68% Other notables: $AVGO +2.04% (semi strength continues) $WMT +1.61% $COST +0.91% (consumer discretionary holding) $LLY +1.80% (healthcare resilient) Pattern: Money rotating from mega cap tech financials + broadening into value. Banks crushing earnings"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978551597555925242) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-15T20:00Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"$TSM Q3 EARNINGS: REVENUE ✅ Actual: NT$989.92B Expected: NT$962.8B Beat by: +2.8% GROSS MARGIN ✅ Actual: XXXX% Expected: XXXX% Beat by: +240bps NET PROFIT ✅ Actual: NT$452.3B Expected: NT$405.47B Beat by: +11.6% EPS ✅ Actual: NT$17.44 MARKET REACTION 📈 Taiwan stock: NT$1485 (+1.37%) Muted responsetriple beat already priced in after XX% YTD rally. Real move comes if guidance raised to 32-34% growth on conference call (15:00 Taiwan time). That XXXX% margin despite Arizona costs = pricing power holding 💎"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978700115998109902) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T05:50Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Confirmed but $280K price point = niche play not Tesla killer 💰 $XPEV targeting Q2 2026 mass production with 3000+ orders secured. Reality check: flying module only has 30km range initial use limited to tourism/rescue and needs BOTH aviation + vehicle certification. Stock at $XX already pricing in growth story (up XXX% YTD). This is PR momentum win but commercial scale is years away. GAC and EHang also racing in China 🚁"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978789223030264213) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T11:44Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"BREAKING: Polish shoe retailer CCC exposed by Ningi Research for classic channel stuffing scheme 🚨 The numbers tell the story: 📉 Receivables +112% YoY with 330M PLN tied to franchise MKRI 📉 130M PLN past due (already in default by CCC's own criteria) 📉 267M PLN artificial EBITDA contribution = XXXX% of reported profit The playbook: CCC "sold" unwanted inventory to dependent insolvent franchisee MKRI. When the scheme unraveled CCC acquired MKRI in related-party deal to erase the 330M PLN uncollectible from balance sheet 💰 Red flags everywhere: ⚠ Same-store sales -XXX% in Q1 2025 ⚠"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978790601337471343) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T11:50Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"Quality beat but the real story is guidance 💰 Q4 revenue guide beats by X% = AI demand still accelerating. More important: margins expanding despite CapEx cycle (GP XXXX% trend higher). FCF XXXX% looks weak but that's heavy investment phase. When CapEx normalizes in 2026 FCF inflection will be massive. Trade implication: $TSM is THE picks-and-shovels play on AI. While $NVDA gets headlines TSM captures economics without demand volatility risk. Watch for updated XX% growth guidance on the call. If they raise = confirms multi-year runway 📊"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978794903451889809) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T12:07Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"This reshoring narrative already priced in - DoD inked XX% stake + $400M deal in July JPMorgan pledged $1.5T for critical minerals last week 💰 $MP at $XX after +330% YTD rally. Watch $XXX psychological resistance. Real catalyst: Fort Worth magnet facility (10K tons/year capacity) + Apple's $500M recycling deal starting 2027. China controls XX% production XX% processing - can't be replaced overnight. Supply chain buildout = 5-10 year story not quick trade. Better entry on pullback to $70-80 support. Current valuation: 81x forward earnings 📊"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978800676407857344) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T12:30Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"📄 Full 20-page $NU research report - COMPLETELY FREE: Includes: - Detailed catalyst waterfall analysis - P/B valuation framework - Credit stress testing scenarios - Quarterly monitoring checklist - Risk/reward sensitivity matrices No paywall. No signup required. If you find it valuable share it 🤝"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978801309554745538) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T12:32Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"PRE-MARKET SETUP - Tech rotation in play 📊 Mega caps green across the board: - $NVDA +1.42% - leading - $AVGO +1.22% - AI infrastructure play - $GOOGL +0.72% - $AAPL/$MSFT/$META/$AMZN all +0.25-0.39% Only red flag: $AMD -XXXX% (relative weakness vs sector) What's notable 💡: Broad-based buying = not just momentum chase. Risk-on signal with tech leading. Finance sector mixed (JPM +0.26% BRK.B -0.12%) suggests this is tech-led not broad market strength. Watch: First XX min action tells the story - fade or follow-through 10am macro data could shift sentiment 📈"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978812874786058485) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T13:18Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"🚨 BREAKING: $SNOW + $PLTR Strategic Partnership Snowflake integrating with Palantir Foundry & AIP for enterprise AI 🤖 Key innovation: Zero-copy bidirectional data sharing = no duplication instant AI agent deployment Why this matters 💡: - $SNOW gets Palantir's AI agent platform (AIP) - $PLTR gets Snowflake's 10K+ enterprise customers - Eliminates data movement friction = faster time to value First customer: $ETN (Eaton) already deploying for digital twins + supply chain orchestration Market reaction: $SNOW +6.7% premarket 📈 $PLTR +1.2% This isn't just another partnership press release -"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978814870653894827) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T13:26Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"📊 $UAL EARNINGS: Mixed But Bullish Guide Q3 SCORECARD: EPS: $XXXX ✅ BEAT (Est: $2.66) Revenue: $15.2B ❌ MISS (Est: $15.28B) Market reaction: -X% at open (revenue miss concern) But here's the story 💡: Premium is crushing it: - Premium cabins: +6% YoY - Basic economy: +4% YoY - Premium/loyalty driving growth = higher margins Q4 guidance BEAT: - $3.00-3.50 EPS (consensus $2.82) - "Highest operating revenue in company history" YTD performance: +9% vs $DAL +4% +72% from April lows 🚀 The disconnect 📈: Revenue miss = demand saturation fears But guidance raise = management sees strong Q4 Trade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978820691118969015) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T13:49Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Silver doing something gold isn't: industrial demand + safe haven bid 💡 This isn't just fear trade. Solar EVs electronics = structural demand floor. Meanwhile gold at records too but silver playing catch-up after lagging for years. Trade: $SLV riding both macro fear AND tech demand. Rare setup where fundamentals + flows align 📊"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978907146474401848) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T19:33Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Goldman Sachs sees Emerging Markets rally extending through 2026 📊 MSCI EM target raised to 1480 (+7% from current 1378). Already up X straight months. What's driving it: - Earnings acceleration: X% growth (2025) XX% (2026) - Fed rate cuts = weaker dollar = EM inflows - Foreign investors piling in on AI optimism - Demand for geographical diversification Regional breakdown: China + South Korea = best AI/tech exposure already outperforming South Africa = gold miners benefit from high prices cheap domestic sectors India + Saudi = lagging YTD deregulatory tailwinds = catch-up trade Key risk:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979150010982732038) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T11:38Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"DEEP DIVE: $JNJ - The Margin Inflection Nobody Sees Current: $XXX Target: $XXX (+10%) Timeframe: 12-18 months THE MISPRICING 📊: $JNJ trades at 19.4x P/E despite: - XXXX% Q3'25 operating margin (QUARTERLY PEAK) - XX% ROE (fortress moat) - XXXX% EPS CAGR projected ($7.43 $XXXXX by 2027E) - $24B+ FCF machine with 62-year dividend streak Market thinks STELARA loss = problem. Q3'25 proves opposite: Pharma ex-STELARA +16% YoY. THE THREE CATALYSTS 🎯: X MARGIN EXPANSION - ALREADY VISIBLE - Q3'25: XXXX% operating margin (proves 29-30% sustainable) - Path: XXXX% (2024) XXXX% (2027E) = +290bps -"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979176004942696752) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T13:21Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"Full 19-page investment report FREE 👇 Inside: 📊 DCF valuation (3 methods sensitivity analysis) 📈 Bull/Base/Bear scenarios with probability weighting 🎯 Catalyst timeline & monitoring triggers ⚠ Risk assessment matrix 💰 Position sizing framework 📉 Technical entry/exit levels No paywall. No email gate. Just the full analysis"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979176170177597954) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T13:22Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"PRE-MARKET PULSE 🌅 Futures mixed after Trump calms China trade fears - but credit concerns linger 📊 THE SETUP: S&P futures -XXXX% after touching -XXX% overnight Nasdaq -XXXX% Dow +0.12% Trump walked back tariff threats: "Will all be fine" with China Futures recovered from -XXX% lows on trade relief THE MOVERS 👀: RED ZONE 🔴: - $LLY -XXXX% Pharma under pressure - $TSLA -XXXX% Weak ahead of Q3 earnings (Oct 22) - $NVDA -XXXX% China trade sensitivity weighing - $ORCL -XXXX% Tech rotation continues GREEN ZONE 🟢: - $JNJ +0.18% Holding gains post-Q3 blowout (32.9% margin) - $ABBV +0.50% Pharma"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979177674225651755) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T13:28Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"🚨 ADDING TO WINNER: $PYPL NOV XX '25 XX PUT @ $XXXX Sold X contracts $XXX premium collected 💰 Just wrote cash-secured puts to add to my existing 135-share position. Current position: - XXX shares already owned - Now: X PUT contracts sold = potential +200 shares at $XX - Total exposure if assigned: XXX shares Why I'm doubling down: 📊 $PYPL trades at 12.9x P/E vs 28-32x for V/MA = XX% discount 🚀 TM$ growth accelerated to +8% in Q2'25 (best in X quarters) 🎯 Fastlane showing 50%+ conversion uplift = merchant adoption catalyst 💵 Venmo revenue +20% with clear monetization path 📈 2-year price"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979184179045601299) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T13:54Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Translation for markets: China tariffs staying = supply chain pressure continues. Watch semis ($NVDA $AMD) and consumer discretionary ($NKE $SBUX) = most exposed to China revenue. But defensive plays ($WMT $COST) benefit = consumers shift to value as import costs rise 📊 Trade: Long domestics short China-exposed names"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979203752902209741) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T15:12Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"3 HIGH-CONVICTION SETUPS IM WATCHING TODAY 🔎 $BYD Cost edge from in-house batteries; target XXX (+85%). $EEFT Cross-border payments & travel tailwinds; target XXX (+80%). $PYPL Re-rate on buybacks + margin rebuild; target XXX (+45%). I post buy zones & trims in real time. Follow for entries. (Not advice.)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1966582587306242189) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-09-12T19:20Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"2Y Upside Top X from my portfolio 📈🧭 $EEFT +88% (87.91 165) $1211.HK +80% (108.2 195) $VOW3 +72% (93.26 160) $KSPI +58% (84.38 133) $WIZZ +58% (1200 1890) Why it matters: positioning leans into idiosyncratic catalysts (rails/fintech China autos EU mobility). Watch: execution vs. targets margins and rates/liquidity backdrop. 📊"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1971205549405376720) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-09-25T13:30Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"China & EM Share-Gain Engines (12Y Upside from my portfolio) 🌏⚙ - $1211.HK (BYD) +83% (106.5 195) export ramp + vertical integration; EU share gains. Watch: tariffs local assembly footprints. (11% of my ptf) - $2318.HK (Ping An) +35% (48.14 65) insurance + fintech ecosystem; capital discipline. Watch: policy backdrop investment yield. (3%) - $KSPI +58% (84.0 133) EM super-app (payments/credit/commerce) with high ROE; cross-sell lifts ARPU. Watch: credit quality regulation. (4%) Why this sleeve: compounding platforms with share-gain + re-rating potential over 1224 months"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1972354262656274668) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-09-28T17:34Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"@KobeissiLetter $XPD squeeze: SA curtailments + uncertain Russian flows + big short base = sharp rip. Near-term tightness but medium-term headwinds (EV adoption Pt substitution). Watch Pd/Pt spread and auto build rates. 🔎"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1975912711658844204) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-08T13:14Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"PORTFOLIO UPDATE 📊 YTD RESULTS 2025 TomAlpha: +78.3% 🚀 S&P 500: +15.1% ACWI: +19.4% SINCE INCEPTION 04/2021 TomAlpha: +441.7% 🔥 S&P 500: +63.3% ACWI: +42.6% MY POSITIONS (by portfolio share) XX% iShares Gold Trust $IAU 🪙 XX% Evolution AB $EVVTY XX% BYD (H-shares) $BYDDY XX% Wizz Air $WIZZ X% PayPal $PYPL X% Hugo Boss $BOSSY X% Continental $CTTAY X% Euronet Worldwide $EEFT X% $KSPI X% Porsche AG $DRPRY X% Halliburton $HAL X% Bayer $BAYRY X% Ping An $PNGAY X% Volkswagen $VWAGY X% CVS Health $CVS X% Aumovio SE $AMV0"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1976276460735537437) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-09T13:20Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"The bigger story: international markets crushing US 📊 IEMG +29% VEA +28.5% = literally DOUBLE SPY's +14.5% This isn't noise - it's a 3-year cycle reversal. US dominated 2021-2024 now rotation to: - Cheaper valuations (EM at 12x vs US 21x) - Weaker dollar tailwind - China stimulus working Small cap breakout confirmed - $IWM through $XXX resistance at $XXX. Multi-year rotation underway. Most investors still overweight US. That's the opportunity 💡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978813603169067402) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T13:21Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"$MELI Down 30%+ From ATH - Time To Buy The Dip 🎯 MercadoLibre got hammered on Amazon Brazil expansion fears + Chinese players (Shein/Temu) entering LatAm. Market overreacting. The reality check 📊: Q2'25 results were monster: - Revenue +34% (+53% constant currency) - GMV $15.3B +21% YoY - Fintech (Mercado Pago) accelerating: 40%+ growth vs XX% in 2024 - Credit portfolio +91% to $9.3B - Delinquency at 7-year LOW (6.7%) Valuation reset: - Forward P/E: 34x (lowest in company history) - 2026 EPS growth: +46% estimated - Historical pattern: -20%+ drawdowns happened 9x in last XX years - Long-term"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978819303781601387) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T13:44Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Market pricing in recession or Fed pivot 📉 2Y yield collapse = either growth scare OR rate cut expectations accelerating. Either way same trade: Duration wins. $TLT $IEF catching bids. But watch: If this is recession fear equities follow yields lower. If Fed pivot risk-on rally. Context matters. Earnings next X weeks = tell us which 🎯"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978906110573842840) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T19:29Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Trump's "No" on XXX% China tariff dovish pivot It's tactical positioning before negotiations. He floated the threat got the reaction data now walks it back to middle ground (probably 60-80% range). Trade implication: $BABA $JD $PDD still range-bound until actual policy. But $CAT $DE = relief pop on deescalation signal 📊 Watch: Any "compromise" at 60%+ = he got what he wanted 🎯"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979146749005697530) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T11:25Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"BYD (1211 HK) quick thesis 🚗🔋 Vertical integration (Blade LFP e-axle) = durable cost edge. New DM-i XXX PHEV cycle (Qin L/Seal XX from RMB 99800) lifts share. Overseas capacity (Thailand 150k; Brazil $3.1B) helps offset tariffs/logistics. 2-yr target: HK$195 (+85%). Key watch: EU duties (10% + 17%) product mix overseas ramp price-war intensity. Want a full thread with models & risks Like/comment and Ill publish"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1964321150466740400) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-09-06T13:33Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"@Investingcom XXXX% beat = mortgage relief kicking in. But 800k annualized 800k actual sales. Mechanism: Lower rates (6.2% from 7.2%) freed trapped demand + builders offering XXX% buydowns. Watch homebuilders $XHB for continuationif this sticks $DHI/$LEN rip higher"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1970852456642060414) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-09-24T14:06Z XXX followers, 1595 engagements


"$CON.DE New Continental after Aumovio: tires-led cash machine 🛞💸 - 9/18: auto-parts unit spun out as Aumovio; remaining biz = Continental Tires + ContiTech (planned sale in 2026) - Value now Tires: of revenue from aftermarket less cyclical better pricing - Capex slightly D&A; disciplined portfolio = top-tier margins/asset efficiency vs larger peers - Street fair value 78; classification no-moat; long-run FCF margin X% - Capital returns: dividend at top of 4060% payout band; optionality for specials/buybacks post-ContiTech Why it matters: re-rating case shifts from auto supplier cycle to a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1971210048199131157) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-09-25T13:47Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"My portfolio positioning & why - 🪙 Allocation snapshot: $IAU XX% $BYD XX% $WIZZ 14%; $PYPL/$BOSS X% each; the rest 16%. - 🧭 Core stance: Europes idiosyncratic rebounds + a gold shock absorber. - ✈ Standout #1 $WIZZ: ex-fuel CASK normalization on the A321neo mix; ancillaries support pricing. - 🔋 Standout #2 $BYD: scale + battery verticalization; export mix rising; margin resilience vs legacy autos. - 💳 Standout #3 $PYPL: engagement volume; cost discipline + buybacks underpin EPS path. - 🧺 Buckets: Payments/rails $PYPL $EEFT; Autos/lux $VOW3 $P911 $STLA $BOSS; Healthcare/insurers $CVS Ping"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1973050792438292645) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-09-30T15:42Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"@KobeissiLetter 📈💸 Big retail bid: +$105B in 1M and $630B YTD into US stocks (MS QDS). Two reads: 1.late-cycle FOMO that cools 36M forward returns or 2.structural shiftcash leaving X% MMFs as cuts approach. Whats your base case for $SPY / $QQQ from hereblow-off or broadening leg up 🔎"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1976361135776337922) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-09T18:56Z XXX followers, 1159 engagements


"Agreed on $MELI 🎯While you're watching Argentina I just loaded $KSPI - playing the same EM fintech thesis in Central Asia: 7x P/E vs MELI 60x XX% margins XX% population penetration Expanding to Turkey (85M people) Currency stabilization digital payments explosionSame playbook earlier innings 📈"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1976370960631500882) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-09T19:35Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"🚨 INSIDER SELLING WAVE - Oct 9th Notable dumps TODAY: $LLY - Lilly Endowment: $86M sale (10% owner) $SNX - Dennis Polk (Officer): $2.7M sale $KVYO - CEO Andrew Bialecki: $4M sale $AGX - Officer: $1.2M sale vs. $ZBIO - Director Lu Hongbo: $5M BUY ✅ When C-suite sells en masse on the same day I pay attention.Either tax planning season or they know something we don't. 👀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1976378972091895940) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-09T20:07Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Funny thing: gold miners up 130%+ this year while gold itself is "only" +58%. $GDX delivering 2x+ leverage to spot. Yet $GDX bleeding $4.6B in outflows 💀 Retail chasing physical gold ETFs while missing the actual profit lever. $NEM $GOLD $AEM printing FCF at these levels. Watch $XXXXX ATH test - broke through 2011 highs. Risk/reward favors miners if gold holds $4K 📊"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978825891594588277) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T14:10Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


""We'll be fine with China" Market interpretation: De-escalation signal. Watch: $BABA $JD $PDD for bounce if this holds. China-exposed names have been crushed on tariff fears. But remember: "Fine" no tariffs. Just means not catastrophic scenario. Don't chase the rip - wait for confirmation 📊"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979147684381360185) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T11:29Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Goldman Sachs: Gold heading to $4900 by end of 2026 🪙 Current price: $4350 Target: $4900 (+13% upside) What's driving it: - Central banks stacking gold (diversification from dollar) - Fed rate cuts = renewed investor demand - "Significant upside beyond $4900" possible Lina Thomas GS Research Gold already up XX% YoY. This rally has legs. How to play it: $GLD = physical gold ETF (clean exposure) $GDX = gold miners (leveraged to spot) $NEM $GOLD = major producers $AEM = royalty/streaming play Risk: Dollar strength or Fed pause kills momentum 📊"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979153039698104713) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T11:50Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


""Mixed morning" = best trading environment 🎯 Everyone wants clarity. Market gives chaos. But this is where alpha lives: - No consensus = mispricings everywhere - Rotation = sector winners emerge - Volatility = entry points for conviction plays $LLY -XXXX% on no news Dip opportunity. $ORCL -XXXX% continuing tech rotation Add to watchlist. Dead markets don't make money. Mixed markets do. Watch who's green when everyone expects red"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979179979574292531) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T13:37Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Silver's high industrial exposure (56% of demand) = gets hit 3x harder than gold when safe-haven trade unwinds. Gold down -XXX% today Silver down -XXX% today Classic pattern: When profit-taking starts after extended rallies silver bleeds first. Gold/Silver ratio spiking above 80:1 = silver historically cheap vs gold but can stay elevated during risk-off. This -X% move confirms the 9-week precious metals rally just ended 📉"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979242509978210500) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T17:46Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"$TSM GUIDANCE: AI MEGATREND STRENGTHENING 🚀 Q3 beat was just the warmup. Real story = forward outlook 💰 FY2025 REVENUE GUIDANCE RAISED 📈: From: XX% growth To: Mid-30% range (32-34%) $42B capex maintained (raised floor to $40B) 💵 Q4 2025 REVENUE FORECAST 🎯: Up to XX% growth QoQ Sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit profit growth 🔥 CONTEXT: - $NVDA and $AAPL driving demand 🚂 - AI chips = relentless. No slowdown 💎 - Stock +38% YTD brushing off tariff fears 📊 BUT WATCH ⚠: - $ASML warned significant China demand fall 2026 - Trump tariff uncertainty still looming ⚖ - $100B US"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978719552151191730) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T07:07Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"$USB beats across the board in Q3 💪 ✅ EPS $XXXX (topped estimates) ✅ Revenue $7.33B vs $7.16B est ✅ NII $4.22B - lending activity holding strong Balance sheet metrics remain solid: 📊 CET1 ratio XXXX% (well-capitalized) ⚠ $571M credit provisions (prudent not panic) Key takeaway: This is what defensive quality looks like in regional banks. Stable margins resilient core business and disciplined risk management while others struggle. $USB showing why it's top-tier regional exposure in a messy credit environment 🏦"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978782032428966202) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T11:16Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"🚨 DEEP DIVE: $NU Holdings - The $XX Setup Nobody Sees 🎯 Current: $XX Target: $XX (+46%) Timeframe: XX months THE MISPRICING 📊: $NU trades at 32x P/E despite: - XX% ROE (2x Brazilian banks) - XX% net margins (8x industry avg) - XX% EPS CAGR projected ($0.47 $XXXX by 2027E) - $10.6B net cash fortress Market thinks they're losing share. Q2'25 proves opposite. THE THREE CATALYSTS 🔥: X HYPERPLANE AI - ALREADY WORKING - Q2'25: +100bps market share gain in ONE QUARTER - ARPAC acceleration: XX% XX% YoY - 123M customer data moat competitors can't replicate - Impact: +$0.22 EPS X MEXICO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1978801207687946661) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-16T12:32Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Regional banks getting crushed again - $KRE -XXX% 📉 The problem: - $ZION disclosed $50M fraud charge-off shares -XX% - $WAL collateral issues with First Brands stock -XX% - JPM CEO warning about "lax credit standards" This isn't isolated anymore. When big banks start writing down regional exposure the contagion risk is real. Watch: $KRE support at $XX. Break below = more pain ahead for regional banking sector 🚨 Credit quality deteriorating fast in commercial real estate 🏢"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979102922676879628) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T08:31Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Markets getting hit from multiple angles today 📉 Futures showing pain: - S&P -XXXX% Nasdaq -XXXX% Small caps -XXXX% - VIX spiking +8.72% to XXXXX (highest since May) Two forces colliding: X Regional bank contagion spreading beyond $ZION/$WAL JPM CEO warning "lax credit standards" + commercial RE stress $KRE down XXX% yesterday banks rolling over again today X US-China trade war reigniting  Trump threatening massive tariff hike on China Rare earth export control tensions escalating Tech caught in crossfire ($NVDA exposure) When bank credit quality + geopolitical risk hit simultaneously ="  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979103610190598369) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T08:34Z XXX followers, 1131 engagements


"Asia is pricing in what US is still denying: regional bank contagion is going global 🌏 Nikkei -XXX% Hang Seng -XXX% Shanghai -XXX% When US regional banks ($ZION/$WAL) start taking fraud charges Asia sells first. They learned from 2008: credit problems don't stay local. The tell: China leading declines despite KOSPI flat. This isn't just trade war - it's credit risk repricing. Watch gap down Monday in $EWJ $FXI if US banking stress escalates 📉"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979110609422537030) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T09:01Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Full White House pivot in X hours 🎭 Markets opened ugly on TWO fears: - Regional banks: $ZION $WAL fraud disclosures $KRE -X% (SVB flashbacks) - China tariffs: Trump threatened XXX% tariffs last week By afternoon: "Not in a trade war" + "tariffs won't remain" = de-escalation signal China fears fading. But regional bank credit concerns still lurking. Trade the China bounce: $FXI $BABA Watch credit risk: $KRE support at $XX critical 📊"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979153545724338364) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T11:52Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Timing matters more than people realize 🎯 $1B SPAC raise for XRP treasury + $1B GTreasury acquisition = $2B capital deployed this week During: - Market crash (record liquidations) - DAT model failing (Strategy/Metaplanet underwater) - XRP down XXX% in 24hrs Either brilliant bottom-fishing or catching a falling knife Watch $XXXX support 📊"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979157453569675552) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T12:08Z XXX followers, 20.3K engagements


"CEO insider sales lighting up the tape Friday 🚨 Biggest move: $AZO CEO Philip Daniele Proposed sale of 2533 shares @ $4020.88 Total value: $XXXX MILLION Other notable executive exits: $CACC: $19.6M sale (Member of family trust) $UTHR: $1.7M (Founder/CEO) $CIEN: $425K (SVP Strategy) Context: These are "Proposed Sales" filed Oct XX - execution likely coming within XX days under 10b5-1 plans. Pattern: Insiders locking in gains near multi-year highs. $AZO trading $4008 (near 52-week high of $4388). Not panic selling - just systematic profit-taking at elevated levels. Watch if price holds"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979277703821037980) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-17T20:05Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"Gold's 20-year dominance tells you everything about the macro regime shift ⚡ The numbers: - Gold: XXXX% annualized (20yr) - US Market: XXXX% - US Small: XXX% - REIT: XXX% - Bonds: bleeding red Translation: We're living through the end of the Great Moderation. Gold outperforming stocks = systematic debasement + geopolitical chaos pricing in permanently. 2000-2020: Bonds + Stocks both worked (60/40 paradise) 2020-2025: Only hard assets + equities survive (inflation regime) The trade: Gold isn't a hedge anymore - it's a core allocation. Anyone still running traditional 60/40 got destroyed by"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979555853402570818) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-18T14:31Z XXX followers, 1393 engagements


"Supply chain sovereignty just became reality While everyone's focused on the specs the real story: $NVDA Blackwell now has DOMESTIC manufacturing insurance at TSMC Phoenix. $165B investment = largest foreign direct investment in US history. Jensen signing that wafer wasn't ceremony - it's hedging geopolitical risk. Trade angle: This de-risks $NVDA's Taiwan exposure. Watch $TSM continue rally (already +50% YTD vs $NVDA +35%). China-US tensions Less relevant for AI supply chain now 📊"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979563866276217033) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-18T15:02Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"This chart shows wealth destruction in real-time 📉 XXX hours of work to buy 1oz gold = purchasing power DOUBLED DOWN in XX months. Wages up XXX% YoY while gold up 56%. Translation: Middle-class savings being quietly confiscated through asset inflation. Short-term: Overextended (RSI 85+) - took profits yesterday. Expect consolidation. Long-term thesis intact: Gold isn't "expensive" - the dollar is broken. $GLD measured in labor hours not nominal USD 💰"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979564645011578923) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-18T15:06Z XXX followers, 1047 engagements


"$ASTER down -XXXX% after yesterday's OKX listing - but this isn't a new token 📊 Price: $XXXX ATH: $XXXX (Sept 24) Down -XX% from peak The real story: Launched Sept XX @ $XXXX pumped to $XXXX in week now dumping post-OKX listing. Classic pattern: Early buyers up 1400% now distributing into new exchange listings. Whales dumped XX% ($12M) this week using OKX liquidity. The $1.00-$1.20 zone = last line of defense: ✅ Hold = potential for Q4 bounce (L1 launch airdrop) ❌ Break = retest $XXXX likely Q4 catalysts: Aster Chain L1 Stage X airdrop privacy DEX angle But structure broken. Don't catch"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979574535192994075) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-18T15:45Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"$BTC holding $106.9K this weekend after brutal week - but the story isn't what you think 📊 The setup: Last Friday: Trump announces XXX% tariffs on China $19B liquidation event (largest ever tracked) 💥 BTC crashed from $118K to $105K (-11%) in 24h Weekend now: Stabilizing at $106.9K (+0.42% today) What really happened: This wasn't random selloff - it was whale distribution using Trump news as exit liquidity. ETF outflows: $326M (BTC) + $428M (ETH) on Monday alone. 🐋 But here's the twist: On-chain data shows ACCUMULATION by 1-1000 BTC holders while price dumps. Classic capitulation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979575345855553829) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-18T15:48Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"$BTC PANIC = EXACTLY WHERE SMART MONEY ACCUMULATES 🎯 Everyone's calling the top. On-chain data says otherwise. MVRV Z-Score: XXXX 📊 What is it Compares Bitcoin's market value vs realized value (what holders actually paid) - Below XXX = pain zone smart money accumulates - Above XXX = euphoria zone smart money exits - Currently XXXX = DEEP accumulation territory Translation: We're nowhere near overheated 💡 Small holders (1-1000 BTC): Aggressively buying Large holders: Distribution slowed The Pattern: - Every cycle: 1064 days bottom-to-top - Current cycle day: 1000 - Projected peak: Nov-Dec"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979594466211021048) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-18T17:04Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"This clustering reveals the macro inflection point 💡 Not about individual beats/misses - it's about GUIDANCE divergence: 📊 Consumer discretionary ($GM $F $AAL $LUV) = recession signal 📊 Consumer staples ($KO $PG) = defensive bid 📊 Tech infrastructure ($NFLX $TSLA $IBM $INTC) = capex reality check Trade setup: Watch which CEOs guide DOWN first (Tue-Wed) that's your rotation signal for Q4 positioning If industrials cut but staples hold confirmed defensive rotation into year-end 🎯"  
[X Link](https://x.com/TomAlphaTrades/status/1979600068706553953) [@TomAlphaTrades](/creator/x/TomAlphaTrades) 2025-10-18T17:26Z XXX followers, XXX engagements