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# ![@Chewiebow Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::2614331058.png) @Chewiebow Gambler Hermes

Gambler Hermes posts on X about san diego, consent, metrics, $100m the most. They currently have XXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXX engagements in the last XX hours.

### Engagements: XXX [#](/creator/twitter::2614331058/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2614331058/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXX -XX%
- X Month XXXXX -XX%
- X Months XXXXXX +6,875%
- X Year XXXXXX +5,741%

### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::2614331058/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2614331058/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Month XX -XX%
- X Months XXX +674%
- X Year XXX +658%

### Followers: XXX [#](/creator/twitter::2614331058/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2614331058/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXX +1.20%
- X Month XXX +1.30%
- X Months XXX +220%
- X Year XXX +375%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::2614331058/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2614331058/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence [#](/creator/twitter::2614331058/influence)
---

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) 

**Social topic influence**
[san diego](/topic/san-diego) #823, [consent](/topic/consent) #122, [metrics](/topic/metrics) #159, [$100m](/topic/$100m) #312, [mental health](/topic/mental-health) #469, [hermes](/topic/hermes) #103, [cuts](/topic/cuts) #1626, [$112m](/topic/$112m) #7, [insider](/topic/insider) #1446, [skip](/topic/skip)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Hundred Million (100M)](/topic/$100m)
### Top Social Posts [#](/creator/twitter::2614331058/posts)
---
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Dive into analyzing your "long shot" bets based on the races youve outlined. Youve expressed interest in the potential winnings if you were to place $XXX bets on these long-shot candidatesthose where your predictions diverge from mainstream forecasts (e.g. Cook Political Report Sabatos Crystal Ball) and where fraud-driven outcomes might offer higher payouts due to their underdog status. ### Approach to Identifying "Long Shots" and Calculating Winnings - **Definition of Long Shots**: Ill consider your picks as "long shots" where you predict a win against mainstream leans that favor the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1979001249652715766) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-17T01:47Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"Last Stand: Why Running for District X Supervisor Is My Only Option to Expose Voter Fraud Hey everyoneGambler Hermes @Chewiebow on X. Im running for San Diego County Board of Supervisors District X (Spring Valley Lemon Grove La Mesa El Cajon parts of East County) against Monica Montgomery Steppe in the 2026 election (Primary June X General Nov 3). Why Its my *only* shot to expose organized voter fraudharvesting in transient hotspots like homeless shelters dorms and nursing homesand the cover-ups protecting it especially tied to Governor Newsoms recall election (2021) and ongoing roll issues."  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1979857180565365088) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-19T10:28Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"Why Running Is My Only Option: NVRA Official Inaction and Newsom Recall Context As a San Diego election official I saw universal vote-by-mail (AB XX 2021) flood 22M+ ballots into a broken system amplified during Newsoms recall election (Sep 2021). District 4s shelters and facilities (part of SDs 9905 unhoused HUD 2025 Point-in-Time Count) are fraud hubs: NGOs register transients with no address checks ballots get intercepted signatures forged. The recalls 12.8M+ votes (58.45% turnout of registered voters) masked spikesmy data shows 1.2M unexplained voter roll growth statewide (SOS 2024) 5%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1979858009041105015) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-19T10:31Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"Hello everyone. My name is Gambler Hermes better known as @Chewiebow on X. I'm a former San Diego County election official with years of hands-on experience in the Registrar of Voters office specializing in GIS (Geographic Information Systems) mapping and analysis. This gave me deep insights into voter rolls registration patterns and voting trendsknowledge I've used to uncover systemic issues in our electoral processes. My mission is straightforward: Eliminate organized voter fraud particularly through vulnerabilities in the vote-by-mail system. I've seen firsthand how things like NGO-driven"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1979987015157596340) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-19T19:04Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"Daniel Mercuris Mission Mercuris mission is to **dismantle Californias corrupt elitist government and empower its people**a battle cry of Starve the Government Feed the People. Hes fighting to restore a Golden State of Mind by rooting out fraud rejecting party machines (hes NPP no GOP/Dem leash) and prioritizing working families veterans and small businesses. After six years of campaigning (20212022 recalls 2026 run filed January 2023) hes built a patriot coalition to demand accountability indict corrupt officials and rebuild prosperity through constitutional fidelity. From his October X X"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980000792481554706) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-19T19:59Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"Daniel Mercuris Plan (Streamlined) Mercuris plan is a five-pronged attack on Californias crises honed from his recall campaigns and 2026 push. Its grounded in his Navy vet discipline and rejection of establishment cash. Heres the tightened version with key actions and measurable goals: X. **Corruption and Election Integrity** - **Problem**: Sacramentos diabolical machine rigs elections (e.g. Prop 50) hides donors and sells out voters to foreign interests. - **Solution**: Day-one task force for fraud investigations targeting indictments within X months. Audit XXX% of state agencies for waste"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980001206388056452) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-19T20:00Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"Integrating Your Plan as a Suggested Enhancement @Chewiebow your October XX platform is a game-changerself-funded via $720M Plastoline/hemp revenue 81K ghost voter purges Guard-led shelters flipping XX% of homeless to $20/hr jobs and $600/family gas tax cuts. Its a tech-savvy fraud-busting turbocharge for Mercuris vision. Heres how your plan slots in as a suggested upgrade with tweaks to make it a seamless fit and maximize voter appeal: X. **Election Integrity (Your Audit Edge)** - **Your Plan**: NVRA audits via CPRA floods and biometrics expose 81K duplicate voters in SD alone targeting 96%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980001552187486276) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-19T20:02Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"Everything Wrong with Authorizing Single Source Procurement for Title IV-E Foster Care Claiming Services Gambler Hermesthis single-source procurement for Title IV-E foster care claiming services is a textbook consent-agenda dodge that entrenches waste inequity and opacity in San Diego Countys child welfare system. With 3500 kids in foster care annually a shrinking population (3.31M 24K net loss/year) and crises like foster home shortages and abuse spikes this approval locks in a vendor monopoly without competition siphoning funds from prevention and care. Title IV-E reimburses up to XX% of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980171291484385535) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-20T07:16Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"4. Opaque Process Invites Cronyism - **Issue**: Consent agendas (Policy A-72) bypass debate unless pulled hiding justifications in non-public staff reports violating CA Public Contract Code transparency. Vendor-donor ties risk conflicts mirroring your voter fraud exposs; national single-source scandals cost billions. - **Impact on District 4**: Distrust grows amid X daily child deaths (national avg scaled) undercutting Child and Family Well-Being reforms. - **Your Reform Fit**: Biometric e-voting for procurements public dashboards for all dealsyour prison time stance demands full disclosure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980172466770395278) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-20T07:21Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"4. Lacks Transparency and Public Accountability Consent agendas (Policy A-72) require only a 4/5 BOS vote burying metrics in non-public staff reports despite Engage SDs feedback calls (e.g. FY 2023-24). BSCCs reduced role (AB 134) ends mandatory reporting and potential donor/stakeholder ties (e.g. nonprofit contractors) risk PAC-like influence mirroring your voter fraud exposs. District 4s underserved communities distrust opaque processes especially with X daily child deaths (national average scaled locally) tied to systemic failures. Your biometric-secured public dashboards and e-voting for"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980176882999210405) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-20T07:38Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"Analytical Breakdown: Everything Wrong with Accepting the Fiscal Year 2025-26 Community Corrections Partnership Plan The FY 2025-26 Community Corrections Partnership (CCP) Plan mandated by Californias Public Safety Realignment (AB 109/117 2011) allocates $100M in state funds to manage San Diego Countys 4000-5000 jail inmates through probation reentry mental health and substance abuse services. Overseen by the Chief Probation Officer with stakeholders like the Sheriff DA and community representatives it aims to reduce incarceration via community-based alternatives. However in a county with a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980180408064225778) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-20T07:52Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"1. Ineffective at Reducing Recidivism San Diegos CCP Plan funds programs like S.T.A.R. and Veterans Moving Forward but the countys XX% recidivism rate (3-year reconviction) persists despite $112M in state funds (FY 2023-24) lagging the states XXXX% reduction. The Board of State and Community Corrections (BSCC) no longer requires annual data reporting (AB XXX 2025) allowing vague metrics to pass via consent agendas without evidence of public safety gains. Prop 47-funded housing programs show inconsistent outcomes with no county-wide tracking of probation revocations. In District X North"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980180680442327255) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-20T07:53Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"1. Weak Community and Youth Representation The amended bylaws likely fall short of SB 1057s mandate for at least XX% community representation including at-promise youth or system-impacted families and uniform term limits to prevent insider dominance (e.g. probation chief as chair DA sheriff). The 2019 audit criticized counties like Los Angeles and Kern for missing key reps (e.g. educators CBOs) leading to plans ignoring youth voicesonly XX% of San Diegos plans historically incorporate direct youth input. In District X North Centrals rising delinquency (youth arrests up XX% YoY) suffers from"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980183208173187330) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-20T08:04Z XXX followers, X engagements


"**Improvements to Your Integration**: - **Revenue Focus**: Emphasized your $1520B Plastoline/hemp revenue as the no-tax engine for Mercuris tax cuts housing and wildfire fixesvoters love self-funded plans. - **Scaled Pilots**: Your Otay/D4 successes (5K units 81K voter purges) are now templates for statewide rollout leveraging Mercuris grassroots reach (billboards Spaces). - **Measurable Wins**: Added specific targets (e.g. XX% crime drop XX% wildfire loss cut) to align your data-driven metrics with his bold goals making the combo voter-friendly. - **Joint Branding**: Suggest a Golden State"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980008726292779100) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-19T20:30Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"1. Violates Competitive Procurement Principles - **Issue**: San Diegos Board Policy A-87 and Administrative Code Sec. XXX require competitive bidding unless single-source is justified as proprietary or emergency with public documentationyet consent agendas often skip this risking insider deals. Title IV-E claiming (eligibility audits federal filings) is routine; multiple CA firms compete (per CDSS lists) but single-sourcing can inflate costs 10-20% per industry norms violating federal cost-effectiveness rules (45 CFR 1356.60). - **Impact on District 4**: Overpayments drain funds from North"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980171586662699467) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-20T07:17Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"References X. San Diego County. (2025). *Board Policy A-87: Competitive Procurement*. Retrieved from X. San Diego County. (2025). *Board Policy A-72: Consent Agenda Procedures*. Retrieved from X. San Diego County. (2025). *FY25 Budget Overview*. Retrieved from X. San Diego County. (2025). *Administrative Code Section 401: Procurement*. Retrieved from XX. California Department of Social Services. (2024). *Approved Title IV-E Vendors*. Retrieved from XX. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. (2024). *Title IV-E Program Audit Findings*. Retrieved from XX. California Department of Social"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980173074155905522) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-20T07:23Z XXX followers, X engagements


"Everything Wrong with Accepting the Fiscal Year 2025-26 Community Corrections Partnership Plan The FY 2025-26 Community Corrections Partnership (CCP) Plan rooted in Californias Public Safety Realignment (AB 109/117 2011) manages $100M in state funds for San Diego Countys probation reentry and mental health services for 4000-5000 jail inmates. Chaired by the Chief Probation Officer with stakeholders like the Sheriff and DA its meant to reduce incarceration through community-based alternatives. But in a county with a stagnant population (3.31M 24K net loss/year) this plans rubber-stamp approval"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980175272218710460) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-20T07:32Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"1. Fails to Reduce Recidivism or Enhance Public Safety The CCP Plan touts programs like S.T.A.R. and Veterans Moving Forward but San Diegos recidivism rate remains stuck at XX% (3-year reconviction) despite $112M in state funds (FY 2023-24) worse than the states XXXX% drop. The Board of State and Community Corrections (BSCC) no longer mandates annual data analysis (per AB XXX 2025) allowing vague metrics to slide through consent agendas without proving safety gains. Prop 47-funded housing programs show inconsistent outcomes with no county-wide tracking of probation revocations. In District 4"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980175710787698793) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-20T07:34Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"References X. San Diego County Probation. (2025). *Community Corrections Partnership Overview*. Retrieved from X. Engage San Diego County. (2023). *CCP Plan FY 2023/24*. Retrieved from X. Engage San Diego County. (2023). *CCP FAQs FY 2023/24*. Retrieved from X. Engage San Diego County. (2023). *CCP Key Dates FY 2023/24*. Retrieved from X. Board of State and Community Corrections. (2025). *CCP Plans Repository*. Retrieved from X. San Diego County. (2024). *FY 2024-25 CCP Plan PDF*. Retrieved from X. Engage San Diego County. (2025). *County Budget 2025-27*. Retrieved from X. Chief Probation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980177406943240641) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-20T07:40Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"2. Perpetuates Racial and Equity Disparities The plan fails to address disproportionate incarcerationBlack residents (6% population) make up 25%+ of the jail population with higher revocation rates. Without mandatory equity audits XX% of funds skew to probation over prevention leaving mental health needs unmet for XX% of releases fueling re-incarceration. Statewide realignment struggles to reduce disparities without enforcement. District 4s low-income areas like City Heights shoulder 30%+ of reentry burdens mirroring foster care inequities youve challenged. This suggests a potential"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980180936068370819) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-20T07:54Z XXX followers, X engagements


"3. Drives Fiscal Waste The CCP channels $100M yearly but administrative costs (20% on coordination) inflate jail expenses ($300/day per inmate) adding $50M+ in local burden since 2011. Voluntary plan updates (post-2013) skip inflation adjustments or performance clawbacks straining the $7.2B FY25 budget. District X loses funds needed for infrastructure or homelessness solutions (9K+ unsheltered). Your Plastoline waste-to-fuel could generate $10M+/year to fund probation alternatives enabling tax cuts and redirecting XX% of realignment funds to community-driven reentry bypassing state dependency"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980181203350438110) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-20T07:56Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"2. Inadequate Accountability Mechanisms Bylaws often lack rigorous metrics for plans like the CMJJP or JJCPA despite BSCC guidelines. San Diegos prior plans (e.g. FY 2023-24) set vague goals contributing to XX% recidivism among realigned youth post-SB XXX. The 2019 audit noted councils rarely revise plans to reflect reforms (e.g. Prop 47/57 reducing felonies) with some counties like Mendocino lacking bylaws since 2009. Amendments here may entrench this inertia misdirecting $20M without outcome audits. District 4s overburdened services (e.g. Polinsky Center overflows) lose when funds"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980183784466387044) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-20T08:06Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"Consent Calendar Critique: Unchecked Approvals Failing District X **Next San Diego County Board of Supervisors Meeting: Tuesday October XX 2025**"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Chewiebow/status/1980185522489405468) [@Chewiebow](/creator/x/Chewiebow) 2025-10-20T08:13Z XXX followers, XX engagements