[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]  Neil Sethi [@neilksethi](/creator/twitter/neilksethi) on x 12.3K followers Created: 2025-07-21 02:20:00 UTC Well, the scenario that was concerning stock and bond investors in Japanese assets came to pass with Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's ruling Liberal Democratic Party along with longtime partner Komeito losing its majority in the chamber (as reported by public broadcaster NHK), after the bloc failed to win the XX seats it needed to maintain control. Overall, the ruling coalition lost XX seats, falling three seats short of a majority according to the NHK. The result is the second poor election showing for Ishiba since he became premier last October, even though the coalition’s tally of XX seats may yet be enough to keep his job. Asked repeatedly on Sunday night if he intended to stay on, he answered with a simple “that’s right.” The last three LDP prime ministers who lost an upper house majority stepped down within two months, including Shinzo Abe in 2007 during his first stint as premier. “I continue to have a number of duties I must fulfill for the nation, including achieving wage growth that exceeds inflation, achieving gross domestic product of a quadrillion yen, and responding to an increasingly tense security environment,” Ishiba said. “Though the votes are still being counted, we do seem to have won the most number of seats out of the parties.” But while there was much concern about a market selloff, stock futures were little changed in early trading Monday. The yen rose as much as XXX% in early trading following the results, before paring much of the gain. On a broader level, the results point to the nation’s long-established parties drifting further out of touch with younger, urban voters. They are questioning whether social welfare is worth the tax burden, and are growing skeptical of the influx of foreigners visiting and working in the nation. The main opposition Constitutional Democratic Party, which called to exempt food from the sales tax for as many as two years, came in second place with XX seats. The populist Democratic Party for the People finished third with XX seats, up from four earlier, after seeking a sales tax cut and more take-home pay. Sanseito, a right-wing party that tapped anti-foreigner sentiment with a “Japanese First” message, managed to win XX seats from just a single seat, establishing itself as the third largest opposition party in the upper house. “For Ishiba, continuing in his role will be an exceptionally challenging prospect under the current circumstances,” said Chihiro Okawa, political expert and professor at Kanagawa University. “When it comes to the question of who would take over leadership at this point, it becomes a matter of ‘picking chestnuts out of the fire’ — an extremely risky and undesirable task,” he added. “It’s entirely possible that no one will be eager to step into such a precarious position.”  XXXXX engagements  **Related Topics** [fixed income](/topic/fixed-income) [democratic party](/topic/democratic-party) [prime minister](/topic/prime-minister) [Post Link](https://x.com/neilksethi/status/1947119337770287381)
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Neil Sethi @neilksethi on x 12.3K followers
Created: 2025-07-21 02:20:00 UTC
Well, the scenario that was concerning stock and bond investors in Japanese assets came to pass with Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's ruling Liberal Democratic Party along with longtime partner Komeito losing its majority in the chamber (as reported by public broadcaster NHK), after the bloc failed to win the XX seats it needed to maintain control. Overall, the ruling coalition lost XX seats, falling three seats short of a majority according to the NHK.
The result is the second poor election showing for Ishiba since he became premier last October, even though the coalition’s tally of XX seats may yet be enough to keep his job. Asked repeatedly on Sunday night if he intended to stay on, he answered with a simple “that’s right.” The last three LDP prime ministers who lost an upper house majority stepped down within two months, including Shinzo Abe in 2007 during his first stint as premier.
“I continue to have a number of duties I must fulfill for the nation, including achieving wage growth that exceeds inflation, achieving gross domestic product of a quadrillion yen, and responding to an increasingly tense security environment,” Ishiba said. “Though the votes are still being counted, we do seem to have won the most number of seats out of the parties.”
But while there was much concern about a market selloff, stock futures were little changed in early trading Monday. The yen rose as much as XXX% in early trading following the results, before paring much of the gain.
On a broader level, the results point to the nation’s long-established parties drifting further out of touch with younger, urban voters. They are questioning whether social welfare is worth the tax burden, and are growing skeptical of the influx of foreigners visiting and working in the nation.
The main opposition Constitutional Democratic Party, which called to exempt food from the sales tax for as many as two years, came in second place with XX seats. The populist Democratic Party for the People finished third with XX seats, up from four earlier, after seeking a sales tax cut and more take-home pay. Sanseito, a right-wing party that tapped anti-foreigner sentiment with a “Japanese First” message, managed to win XX seats from just a single seat, establishing itself as the third largest opposition party in the upper house.
“For Ishiba, continuing in his role will be an exceptionally challenging prospect under the current circumstances,” said Chihiro Okawa, political expert and professor at Kanagawa University.
“When it comes to the question of who would take over leadership at this point, it becomes a matter of ‘picking chestnuts out of the fire’ — an extremely risky and undesirable task,” he added. “It’s entirely possible that no one will be eager to step into such a precarious position.”
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