[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]  EndGame Macro [@onechancefreedm](/creator/twitter/onechancefreedm) on x 39.4K followers Created: 2025-07-19 20:27:14 UTC This is a really powerful dashboard because of what it reveals when you look a little deeper. At first glance, it might not seem too bad. Air travel is holding up, people are still going out to eat based on OpenTable data, and some parts of consumer spending haven’t completely fallen apart. But if you zoom out, a very different story emerges, one of quiet, accumulating stress across the foundations of the economy. Job postings are dropping fast and have been for over a year. New job creation is clearly slowing, and that’s usually one of the earliest signs that something is breaking underneath. You also see initial jobless claims starting to creep higher. That’s not panic level yet, but it’s exactly the kind of slow deterioration you get before the headlines catch up. At the same time, withheld income taxes, basically a live proxy for real time wages and employment activity are erratic and significantly weaker than last year. That tells you people aren’t earning as much or working as consistently. Meanwhile, GDPNow is sitting at -XXX% for Q2, which means actual output is shrinking, even while some consumer activity looks fine. But the thing is that activity is likely being propped up by people tapping credit, savings, or even their 401(k)s not because they’re confident, but because they’re out of options. The fact that OpenTable and air travel are still positive might just mean they’re holding onto a lifestyle they can no longer afford. And finally, even inflation is coming down, but not necessarily because the Fed is winning. It’s coming down because demand is starting to break. That’s a very different kind of victory. Put it all together, the picture is clear that system running on fumes. The economy is quietly grinding down, with households and businesses absorbing more pressure every month. This kind of slow erosion doesn’t show up in the headlines until it’s too late. But if you watch closely, all the signals are already flashing. XXXXX engagements  **Related Topics** [zoom](/topic/zoom) [dashboard](/topic/dashboard) [macro](/topic/macro) [endgame](/topic/endgame) [Post Link](https://x.com/onechancefreedm/status/1946668174918799668)
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
EndGame Macro @onechancefreedm on x 39.4K followers
Created: 2025-07-19 20:27:14 UTC
This is a really powerful dashboard because of what it reveals when you look a little deeper. At first glance, it might not seem too bad. Air travel is holding up, people are still going out to eat based on OpenTable data, and some parts of consumer spending haven’t completely fallen apart. But if you zoom out, a very different story emerges, one of quiet, accumulating stress across the foundations of the economy.
Job postings are dropping fast and have been for over a year. New job creation is clearly slowing, and that’s usually one of the earliest signs that something is breaking underneath. You also see initial jobless claims starting to creep higher. That’s not panic level yet, but it’s exactly the kind of slow deterioration you get before the headlines catch up. At the same time, withheld income taxes, basically a live proxy for real time wages and employment activity are erratic and significantly weaker than last year. That tells you people aren’t earning as much or working as consistently.
Meanwhile, GDPNow is sitting at -XXX% for Q2, which means actual output is shrinking, even while some consumer activity looks fine. But the thing is that activity is likely being propped up by people tapping credit, savings, or even their 401(k)s not because they’re confident, but because they’re out of options. The fact that OpenTable and air travel are still positive might just mean they’re holding onto a lifestyle they can no longer afford.
And finally, even inflation is coming down, but not necessarily because the Fed is winning. It’s coming down because demand is starting to break. That’s a very different kind of victory.
Put it all together, the picture is clear that system running on fumes. The economy is quietly grinding down, with households and businesses absorbing more pressure every month. This kind of slow erosion doesn’t show up in the headlines until it’s too late. But if you watch closely, all the signals are already flashing.
XXXXX engagements
