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![YuliaBullion Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1837889258931343360.png) Yulia [@YuliaBullion](/creator/twitter/YuliaBullion) on x XXX followers
Created: 2025-07-19 16:13:59 UTC

Trump puts pressure on Russia and Europe in both directions

"Secondary tariffs" nuclear deterrence against Russia

Specific terms: If Russia fails to reach a ceasefire agreement within XX days, the United States will impose a XXX% tariff on all countries importing Russian goods (such as India and China), hitting Russia's energy exports (accounting for XX% of Russia's revenue)

Strategic intention: Cut off Russia's oil and gas revenue (over $XXX billion a year) and weaken its war funding chain

Bind military aid to Ukraine

Require European countries to bear the cost of providing Ukraine with weapons such as the "Patriot" air defense system, and the United States is only responsible for weapons delivery

NATO framework coordination: Germany, Finland and others have promised to provide air defense equipment, forming a "US-led, Europe pays" model

🌍Responses from all parties: Reconstruction of the game pattern
Russia: Tactical delay and battlefield pressure

Economic level: Russian stock market rose instead of falling (+2.7% on the day of the news), because the expected measures are milder than the Senate proposal (500% tariff) ; Russian lawmakers called the tariffs "bluffing" and believed that the 50-day buffer period was sufficient to deal with it

Military level: more than XXX drone/missile attacks on targets in Ukraine from July XX to XX (2 dead and XX injured in Kharkiv Oblast), using battlefield advantages to offset diplomatic pressure

EU: sanctions increased but internal divisions
Sanctions against Russia: Through the 18th round of sanctions, the focus is on the Russian oil industry, but Greek tankers continue to transport Russian oil (sanctions implementation loopholes)

Compromise with the United States: Facing Trump's threat of 15%-20% tariffs on European goods (effective on August 1), Germany and France tend to negotiate, and Eastern European countries advocate tough counterattacks

Ukraine: cautious welcome and survival anxiety
Zelensky thanked the military aid but questioned the effectiveness of the "50-day deadline", believing that it is actually "Putin's window to seize more territory"

Accelerate the localization of weapons (target front-line equipment accounts for 50%) and promote US investment in local drone production

💎 A cliff game of a lose-lose situation
Trump's "50-day ultimatum" is actually a high-risk bet - if Russia refuses to compromise, it will trigger a global energy crisis

Opportunities and trade protectionism spiral; if the cracks in European and American sanctions widen, Putin may become the biggest winner.

As the ultimate safe-haven asset, gold will usher in a structural bull market in the chaos

But be wary of black swans: Russia suddenly accepts a ceasefire or NATO splits internally.

"When tariffs become weapons, the market becomes a battlefield." 🌏⚡


XXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1946604441676951597/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[accounting](/topic/accounting)
[coins energy](/topic/coins-energy)
[china](/topic/china)
[india](/topic/india)
[countries](/topic/countries)
[united states](/topic/united-states)
[tariffs](/topic/tariffs)
[russia](/topic/russia)

[Post Link](https://x.com/YuliaBullion/status/1946604441676951597)

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YuliaBullion Avatar Yulia @YuliaBullion on x XXX followers Created: 2025-07-19 16:13:59 UTC

Trump puts pressure on Russia and Europe in both directions

"Secondary tariffs" nuclear deterrence against Russia

Specific terms: If Russia fails to reach a ceasefire agreement within XX days, the United States will impose a XXX% tariff on all countries importing Russian goods (such as India and China), hitting Russia's energy exports (accounting for XX% of Russia's revenue)

Strategic intention: Cut off Russia's oil and gas revenue (over $XXX billion a year) and weaken its war funding chain

Bind military aid to Ukraine

Require European countries to bear the cost of providing Ukraine with weapons such as the "Patriot" air defense system, and the United States is only responsible for weapons delivery

NATO framework coordination: Germany, Finland and others have promised to provide air defense equipment, forming a "US-led, Europe pays" model

🌍Responses from all parties: Reconstruction of the game pattern Russia: Tactical delay and battlefield pressure

Economic level: Russian stock market rose instead of falling (+2.7% on the day of the news), because the expected measures are milder than the Senate proposal (500% tariff) ; Russian lawmakers called the tariffs "bluffing" and believed that the 50-day buffer period was sufficient to deal with it

Military level: more than XXX drone/missile attacks on targets in Ukraine from July XX to XX (2 dead and XX injured in Kharkiv Oblast), using battlefield advantages to offset diplomatic pressure

EU: sanctions increased but internal divisions Sanctions against Russia: Through the 18th round of sanctions, the focus is on the Russian oil industry, but Greek tankers continue to transport Russian oil (sanctions implementation loopholes)

Compromise with the United States: Facing Trump's threat of 15%-20% tariffs on European goods (effective on August 1), Germany and France tend to negotiate, and Eastern European countries advocate tough counterattacks

Ukraine: cautious welcome and survival anxiety Zelensky thanked the military aid but questioned the effectiveness of the "50-day deadline", believing that it is actually "Putin's window to seize more territory"

Accelerate the localization of weapons (target front-line equipment accounts for 50%) and promote US investment in local drone production

💎 A cliff game of a lose-lose situation Trump's "50-day ultimatum" is actually a high-risk bet - if Russia refuses to compromise, it will trigger a global energy crisis

Opportunities and trade protectionism spiral; if the cracks in European and American sanctions widen, Putin may become the biggest winner.

As the ultimate safe-haven asset, gold will usher in a structural bull market in the chaos

But be wary of black swans: Russia suddenly accepts a ceasefire or NATO splits internally.

"When tariffs become weapons, the market becomes a battlefield." 🌏⚡

XXXXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics accounting coins energy china india countries united states tariffs russia

Post Link

post/tweet::1946604441676951597
/post/tweet::1946604441676951597