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![onechancefreedm Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1448432122881101826.png) EndGame Macro [@onechancefreedm](/creator/twitter/onechancefreedm) on x 40.1K followers
Created: 2025-07-18 18:25:30 UTC

Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Leverage: The Real Logic Behind Tariffs

At face value, tariffs look like economic malpractice, they raise costs, snarl supply chains, weaken corporate margins, and risk fueling inflation. Growth slows. Hiring stalls. Consumers pay more. And yes, unemployment can tick up. But this time, none of that is unintended.

It’s the plan.

What we’re witnessing isn’t old school protectionism designed to rescue struggling industries. It’s not even about economic health in the near term. This is something far more strategic, a doctrine of dynamic disruption, forged not by growth economists but by a behind the scenes coalition of national security hawks, defense industrial planners, and strategic realists.

The U.S. is taxing predictability. And that’s the real weapon. The tariffs make headlines, but it’s the scope creep, backdated memos, surprise exemptions, and reclassifications that do the lasting damage. Flip flopping becomes the feature, not the flaw. It doesn’t just impose costs, it injects paralyzing uncertainty into the bloodstream of global trade.

Take Vietnam. You’re a subcontractor assembling smartphones for Western brands. After China tariffs, you look like the next supply chain winner. But then the U.S. expands its scope to target products containing Chinese semiconductors, even if final assembly happens in Hanoi. Overnight, your factory plans freeze. Hiring stops. Capital dries up. Your business now hinges on volatile language buried in a U.S. tariff memo that could shift with the next briefing.

That’s not a policy misfire. It’s deliberate.

The real tariff is the uncertainty. And it works. It discourages foreign investment, stunts industrial growth abroad, and keeps emerging economies stuck in a dependency loop, allowed to rise just enough to matter, never enough to break free. This is how Washington builds a regulatory moat without firing a shot.

And make no mistake the U.S. is willing to damage its own economy to pull it off. Rising prices? Acceptable. Slower GDP? Worth it. A recession and rise in unemployment? A calculated sacrifice. Because this isn’t about the next quarter, it’s about structurally weakening adversaries like China, keeping Europe on its back foot, and forcing multinational capital to re-anchor under American jurisdiction.

The strategy isn’t to stabilize. It’s to unsettle. By weaponizing volatility, the U.S. seizes control of the global tempo, keeping friends cautious, rivals reactive, and no one fully secure. In this environment, Washington writes the rules not through consensus, but through leverage and engineered unpredictability.

This isn’t economic stewardship.
It’s geopolitical chess and chaos is the chosen opening move.

![](https://pbs.twimg.com/tweet_video_thumb/GwKO5FQWIAAppOK.jpg)

XXXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1946275148815839732/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[inflation](/topic/inflation)
[tariffs](/topic/tariffs)
[longterm](/topic/longterm)
[endgame](/topic/endgame)

[Post Link](https://x.com/onechancefreedm/status/1946275148815839732)

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onechancefreedm Avatar EndGame Macro @onechancefreedm on x 40.1K followers Created: 2025-07-18 18:25:30 UTC

Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Leverage: The Real Logic Behind Tariffs

At face value, tariffs look like economic malpractice, they raise costs, snarl supply chains, weaken corporate margins, and risk fueling inflation. Growth slows. Hiring stalls. Consumers pay more. And yes, unemployment can tick up. But this time, none of that is unintended.

It’s the plan.

What we’re witnessing isn’t old school protectionism designed to rescue struggling industries. It’s not even about economic health in the near term. This is something far more strategic, a doctrine of dynamic disruption, forged not by growth economists but by a behind the scenes coalition of national security hawks, defense industrial planners, and strategic realists.

The U.S. is taxing predictability. And that’s the real weapon. The tariffs make headlines, but it’s the scope creep, backdated memos, surprise exemptions, and reclassifications that do the lasting damage. Flip flopping becomes the feature, not the flaw. It doesn’t just impose costs, it injects paralyzing uncertainty into the bloodstream of global trade.

Take Vietnam. You’re a subcontractor assembling smartphones for Western brands. After China tariffs, you look like the next supply chain winner. But then the U.S. expands its scope to target products containing Chinese semiconductors, even if final assembly happens in Hanoi. Overnight, your factory plans freeze. Hiring stops. Capital dries up. Your business now hinges on volatile language buried in a U.S. tariff memo that could shift with the next briefing.

That’s not a policy misfire. It’s deliberate.

The real tariff is the uncertainty. And it works. It discourages foreign investment, stunts industrial growth abroad, and keeps emerging economies stuck in a dependency loop, allowed to rise just enough to matter, never enough to break free. This is how Washington builds a regulatory moat without firing a shot.

And make no mistake the U.S. is willing to damage its own economy to pull it off. Rising prices? Acceptable. Slower GDP? Worth it. A recession and rise in unemployment? A calculated sacrifice. Because this isn’t about the next quarter, it’s about structurally weakening adversaries like China, keeping Europe on its back foot, and forcing multinational capital to re-anchor under American jurisdiction.

The strategy isn’t to stabilize. It’s to unsettle. By weaponizing volatility, the U.S. seizes control of the global tempo, keeping friends cautious, rivals reactive, and no one fully secure. In this environment, Washington writes the rules not through consensus, but through leverage and engineered unpredictability.

This isn’t economic stewardship. It’s geopolitical chess and chaos is the chosen opening move.

XXXXXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics inflation tariffs longterm endgame

Post Link

post/tweet::1946275148815839732
/post/tweet::1946275148815839732