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![neilksethi Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::2252413050.png) Neil Sethi [@neilksethi](/creator/twitter/neilksethi) on x 12.4K followers
Created: 2025-07-18 16:20:00 UTC

Despite Gov Waller's best efforts, with another interview on BBG (link below) that hints at a potential dissent for a July rate cut, #FOMC rate cut pricing from CME's Fedwatch tool has seen just a small adjustment off the lowest since February.

A July cut remains very unlikely at 5%, and even Sept is at just 61%, rebounding a bit from XX% a day ago. Less than X cuts are priced (46bps up from 43bps) this year with another almost X in 2026 (72bps).

That's down from 92bps of 2025 cuts expected and 135bps of cuts through 2026 on May 1st.  



![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GwJyM3qWIAI8d5q.png)

XXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1946243565560246525/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[just a](/topic/just-a)
[fed rate](/topic/fed-rate)

[Post Link](https://x.com/neilksethi/status/1946243565560246525)

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

neilksethi Avatar Neil Sethi @neilksethi on x 12.4K followers Created: 2025-07-18 16:20:00 UTC

Despite Gov Waller's best efforts, with another interview on BBG (link below) that hints at a potential dissent for a July rate cut, #FOMC rate cut pricing from CME's Fedwatch tool has seen just a small adjustment off the lowest since February.

A July cut remains very unlikely at 5%, and even Sept is at just 61%, rebounding a bit from XX% a day ago. Less than X cuts are priced (46bps up from 43bps) this year with another almost X in 2026 (72bps).

That's down from 92bps of 2025 cuts expected and 135bps of cuts through 2026 on May 1st.

XXXXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics just a fed rate

Post Link

post/tweet::1946243565560246525
/post/tweet::1946243565560246525