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![neilksethi Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::2252413050.png) Neil Sethi [@neilksethi](/creator/twitter/neilksethi) on x 12.3K followers
Created: 2025-07-18 16:20:00 UTC

Despite Gov Waller's best efforts, with another interview on BBG (link below) that hints at a potential dissent for a July rate cut, #FOMC rate cut pricing from CME's Fedwatch tool has seen just a small adjustment off the lowest since February.

A July cut remains very unlikely at 5%, and even Sept is at just 61%, rebounding a bit from XX% a day ago. Less than X cuts are priced (46bps up from 43bps) this year with another almost X in 2026 (72bps).

That's down from 92bps of 2025 cuts expected and 135bps of cuts through 2026 on May 1st.  



![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GwJyM3qWIAI8d5q.png)

XXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1946243565560246525/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[fed rate](/topic/fed-rate)
[neil](/topic/neil)

[Post Link](https://x.com/neilksethi/status/1946243565560246525)

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neilksethi Avatar Neil Sethi @neilksethi on x 12.3K followers Created: 2025-07-18 16:20:00 UTC

Despite Gov Waller's best efforts, with another interview on BBG (link below) that hints at a potential dissent for a July rate cut, #FOMC rate cut pricing from CME's Fedwatch tool has seen just a small adjustment off the lowest since February.

A July cut remains very unlikely at 5%, and even Sept is at just 61%, rebounding a bit from XX% a day ago. Less than X cuts are priced (46bps up from 43bps) this year with another almost X in 2026 (72bps).

That's down from 92bps of 2025 cuts expected and 135bps of cuts through 2026 on May 1st.

XXXXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics fed rate neil

Post Link

post/tweet::1946243565560246525
/post/tweet::1946243565560246525