[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]  The Swedish Rumble 🔰 [@SwedishRumble](/creator/twitter/SwedishRumble) on x 35.1K followers Created: 2025-07-18 15:03:11 UTC ChatGPT Moving to Manchester United, where both players will benefit from significantly better chance creation, we should adjust their projections accordingly—while still accounting for regression. ⚽ Bryan Mbeumo 2024–25 @ Brentford: XX goals from ~12.3 xG, outperforming xG by ~+7.7 (Opta Analyst). Sustainability check: This level of over-performance is rare and unlikely to repeat. Analysts consider last season a “one-off” hot streak . Manchester United environment: United typically generate higher team-level xG. However, Mbeumo will be competing for chances (Fernandes, Højlund, Cunha). Projected adjustment: Expect closer to his xG baseline: ~13 goals. A modest uplift (+1–2 goals) due to better service. Forecast: 14–15 goals next season. ⚽ Matheus Cunha 2024–25 @ Wolves: XX goals from XXX non-penalty xG—doubling expected goals (+6.4 (Opta Analyst, StatMuse)). Past pattern: Similar over-performance in 2023–24; two seasons of elite finishing, although not entirely sustainable (The Guardian). Manchester United boost: United created ~9 more xG last season than Wolves (Ingenuity Fantasy Football). Cunha will have more high-quality chances in a stronger offensive system. Projected adjustment: Baseline: X xG (historic average @ Wolves). +25–30% uplift from improved team creative environment → ~11.5 xG. Factor in finishing premium (still above-average): add ~2–3 goals beyond xG. Forecast: 13–14 goals next season. 📊 Summary Table Player Previous Goals Expected xG Basis Team Adjustment Regression/Finishing Projected Goals Mbeumo XX ~12.0–13.0 +1–2 Regression (~–7.7) 14–15 Cunha XX ~9.0 +2.5–3.0 Regression (~–6.4; finishing still +2–3) 13–14 🧠Key Takeaways Better teammates = more chances Manchester United create significantly more xG than Brentford/Wolves—particularly for wide/inside-forwards. Regression is real—but not total Both players will likely see goal counts drift closer to underlying xG, but signs of finishing quality suggest some retention of outperformance. Context matters System fit, role (e.g. Cunha as #10, Mbeumo off the flank), and competition for chances at United will modulate outputs. ✅ Final Forecast Bryan Mbeumo: 14–15 goals next season Matheus Cunha: 13–14 goals next season Let me know if you’d like projected shot volumes, playing-time scenarios, or comparisons with similar players in Manchester United’s squad! XXXXX engagements  **Related Topics** [sustainability](/topic/sustainability) [mbeumo](/topic/mbeumo) [bryan mbeumo](/topic/bryan-mbeumo) [accounting](/topic/accounting) [manchester united](/topic/manchester-united) [open ai](/topic/open-ai) [Post Link](https://x.com/SwedishRumble/status/1946224233467518995)
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The Swedish Rumble đź”° @SwedishRumble on x 35.1K followers
Created: 2025-07-18 15:03:11 UTC
ChatGPT Moving to Manchester United, where both players will benefit from significantly better chance creation, we should adjust their projections accordingly—while still accounting for regression.
âš˝ Bryan Mbeumo
2024–25 @ Brentford: XX goals from ~12.3 xG, outperforming xG by ~+7.7 (Opta Analyst).
Sustainability check: This level of over-performance is rare and unlikely to repeat. Analysts consider last season a “one-off” hot streak . Manchester United environment: United typically generate higher team-level xG. However, Mbeumo will be competing for chances (Fernandes, Højlund, Cunha). Projected adjustment: Expect closer to his xG baseline: ~13 goals. A modest uplift (+1–2 goals) due to better service. Forecast: 14–15 goals next season.
⚽ Matheus Cunha 2024–25 @ Wolves: XX goals from XXX non-penalty xG—doubling expected goals (+6.4 (Opta Analyst, StatMuse)). Past pattern: Similar over-performance in 2023–24; two seasons of elite finishing, although not entirely sustainable (The Guardian).
Manchester United boost: United created ~9 more xG last season than Wolves (Ingenuity Fantasy Football). Cunha will have more high-quality chances in a stronger offensive system. Projected adjustment: Baseline: X xG (historic average @ Wolves). +25–30% uplift from improved team creative environment → ~11.5 xG. Factor in finishing premium (still above-average): add ~2–3 goals beyond xG. Forecast: 13–14 goals next season. 📊 Summary Table
Player Previous Goals Expected xG Basis Team Adjustment Regression/Finishing Projected Goals Mbeumo XX 12.0–13.0 +1–2 Regression (–7.7) 14–15 Cunha XX 9.0 +2.5–3.0 Regression (–6.4; finishing still +2–3) 13–14
🧠Key Takeaways
Better teammates = more chances Manchester United create significantly more xG than Brentford/Wolves—particularly for wide/inside-forwards. Regression is real—but not total Both players will likely see goal counts drift closer to underlying xG, but signs of finishing quality suggest some retention of outperformance. Context matters System fit, role (e.g. Cunha as #10, Mbeumo off the flank), and competition for chances at United will modulate outputs.
✅ Final Forecast Bryan Mbeumo: 14–15 goals next season Matheus Cunha: 13–14 goals next season
Let me know if you’d like projected shot volumes, playing-time scenarios, or comparisons with similar players in Manchester United’s squad!
XXXXX engagements
Related Topics sustainability mbeumo bryan mbeumo accounting manchester united open ai