[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]  THEODORE WELTON [@DIEZELCHRIST](/creator/twitter/DIEZELCHRIST) on x XXX followers Created: 2025-07-17 04:23:48 UTC As the Oracle of Omaha, @WarrenBuffett, might sip his Cherry Coke and say, "The stock market is a device for transferring money from the Active to the Patient." Our hypo-thesis—the "Buffett Lag Signal"—posits that when Berkshire Hathaway (BRK) trails the S&P XXX by 20%+ over a rolling 6-12 months amid bull euphoria and a towering cash pile, it often signals overvaluation bubbles primed to pop within 1-2 years. Not sorcery, just Warren's wizardry: Fear the greedy, hoard for the fearful. Here's a refined trio of "Buffett algorithms" distilled from history, ready for your investing spellbook. Algo 1: Cash Moat Mirage (Today's Tariff Echo) Wisdom: "Cash combined with courage in a crisis is priceless." Trigger: BRK lags ≥20%, cash >20% of assets, no big buys, S&P P/E >20x. Hexes: - 1999: Gap -XXXX% amid dot-com hype; bust followed (S&P -XX% '00-'02, BRK +26.6% '00). - 2019: Gap -XXXX% in tech fever; COVID crash ensued (S&P -XX% intrayear, BRK milder dip). Now: $348B cash drags ~23% lag since May—watch for H2 volatility. Algo 2: Rebound Reluctance Riddle (Post-Panic Patience) Wisdom: "Time is the friend of the wonderful business." Trigger: Post-crash, ≥20% gap as value gets snubbed for growth, with lingering risks. Hexes: - 1975: Gap -XXXX% after '73 oil bear; stagflation chopped markets (BRK +80% by '79). - 2009: Gap -XXXX% post-'08; set for euro jitters (BRK +21.9% '10). Now: April tariff hit left BRK unscathed—poised if policy sours. Algo 3: Policy Peril Predictor (Geopolitical Goblins) Wisdom: "Predicting rain doesn't count; building arks does." Trigger: ≥20% gap + policy risks (e.g., tariffs), + GDP slowdowns. Hexes: - 1990: Gap -XXXX pre-Gulf War; recession struck (S&P -10%, BRK +39.6% '91). XX engagements  **Related Topics** [signals](/topic/signals) [rating agency](/topic/rating-agency) [money](/topic/money) [stocks](/topic/stocks) [oracle](/topic/oracle) [$ko](/topic/$ko) [stocks consumer defensive](/topic/stocks-consumer-defensive) [berkshire hathaway](/topic/berkshire-hathaway) [Post Link](https://x.com/DIEZELCHRIST/status/1945700939580490045)
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THEODORE WELTON @DIEZELCHRIST on x XXX followers
Created: 2025-07-17 04:23:48 UTC
As the Oracle of Omaha, @WarrenBuffett, might sip his Cherry Coke and say, "The stock market is a device for transferring money from the Active to the Patient." Our hypo-thesis—the "Buffett Lag Signal"—posits that when Berkshire Hathaway (BRK) trails the S&P XXX by 20%+ over a rolling 6-12 months amid bull euphoria and a towering cash pile, it often signals overvaluation bubbles primed to pop within 1-2 years. Not sorcery, just Warren's wizardry: Fear the greedy, hoard for the fearful. Here's a refined trio of "Buffett algorithms" distilled from history, ready for your investing spellbook.
Algo 1: Cash Moat Mirage (Today's Tariff Echo)
Wisdom: "Cash combined with courage in a crisis is priceless."
Trigger: BRK lags ≥20%, cash >20% of assets, no big buys, S&P P/E >20x.
Hexes:
1999: Gap -XXXX% amid dot-com hype; bust followed (S&P -XX% '00-'02, BRK +26.6% '00).
2019: Gap -XXXX% in tech fever; COVID crash ensued (S&P -XX% intrayear, BRK milder dip).
Now: $348B cash drags ~23% lag since May—watch for H2 volatility.
Algo 2: Rebound Reluctance Riddle (Post-Panic Patience)
Wisdom: "Time is the friend of the wonderful business."
Trigger: Post-crash, ≥20% gap as value gets snubbed for growth, with lingering risks.
Hexes:
1975: Gap -XXXX% after '73 oil bear; stagflation chopped markets (BRK +80% by '79).
2009: Gap -XXXX% post-'08; set for euro jitters (BRK +21.9% '10).
Now: April tariff hit left BRK unscathed—poised if policy sours.
Algo 3: Policy Peril Predictor (Geopolitical Goblins)
Wisdom: "Predicting rain doesn't count; building arks does."
Trigger: ≥20% gap + policy risks (e.g., tariffs), + GDP slowdowns.
Hexes:
- 1990: Gap -XXXX pre-Gulf War; recession struck (S&P -10%, BRK +39.6% '91).
XX engagements
Related Topics signals rating agency money stocks oracle $ko stocks consumer defensive berkshire hathaway