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![ValueWithPrem Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1255526485068328968.png) Prem Soni [@ValueWithPrem](/creator/twitter/ValueWithPrem) on x XXX followers
Created: 2025-07-14 14:47:11 UTC

India’s CPI inflation just hit XXX% lowest since 2019.

Is it a win for the economy or a warning sign in disguise?

Here’s what most headlines won’t tell you :

X. Food inflation crashed. 
That pulled CPI down. Cool for your wallet. But farmers bleed. Rural demand drops. Growth slows.

X. RBI’s comfort zone is 4%.
Below that means “disinflation risk”.
Lower rates possible good for bonds and banks.
But also signals: people aren’t spending.

X. CPI is broken.
It gives food XX% weight.
But what about your school fees, rent, meds?
Real inflation ≠ Reported inflation.

X. What should investors do?

• Bonds look attractive.
• Defensive plays (FMCG, Pharma) get tailwinds.
• Rate cut hopes may fuel a short-term rally.

But tread cautiously. Don’t blindly celebrate. Yes, there might be short-term gains, but this low inflation might be a signal of deeper economic weakness (like poor demand or deflation risks).

X. Real question is:

Are we heading into a slowdown masked as good news?

Markets react. But wealth is built by reading between the lines.

What’s your take bullish or cautious?

RT if you found this insightful.

Follow @ValueWithPrem for grounded investing takes.


XXXXXX engagements

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**Related Topics**
[rates](/topic/rates)
[drops](/topic/drops)
[inflation](/topic/inflation)
[soni](/topic/soni)
[prem](/topic/prem)

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