[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]  Jurrien Timmer [@TimmerFidelity](/creator/twitter/TimmerFidelity) on x 201.9K followers Created: 2025-07-09 13:16:48 UTC With the jobless rate ticking down to XXX% in June, while inflation expectations hold steady, there hasn’t been much progress from the Taylor Rule. If the neutral rate is around XXX bps (real) and inflation remains sticky at 2.5-3.0%, then a few rate cuts are all we might get. While some softening is evident in the US economy, US GDP has continued to grow faster than its potential. Between a negative output gap and above-target inflation, there doesn't seem to be any reason for monetary policy to be below the neutral rate.  XXXXXX engagements  **Related Topics** [gdp](/topic/gdp) [inflation](/topic/inflation) [Post Link](https://x.com/TimmerFidelity/status/1942935973706244366)
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
Jurrien Timmer @TimmerFidelity on x 201.9K followers
Created: 2025-07-09 13:16:48 UTC
With the jobless rate ticking down to XXX% in June, while inflation expectations hold steady, there hasn’t been much progress from the Taylor Rule. If the neutral rate is around XXX bps (real) and inflation remains sticky at 2.5-3.0%, then a few rate cuts are all we might get.
While some softening is evident in the US economy, US GDP has continued to grow faster than its potential. Between a negative output gap and above-target inflation, there doesn't seem to be any reason for monetary policy to be below the neutral rate.
XXXXXX engagements
