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![NickTimiraos Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::59603406.png) Nick Timiraos [@NickTimiraos](/creator/twitter/NickTimiraos) on x 424.5K followers
Created: 2025-07-02 14:19:26 UTC

(Breakeven job growth refers to the number of monthly payroll gains needed, on average, to hold the unemployment rate steady. If these estimates are right, the economy could add very few jobs for the rest of the year without a meaningful rise in the unemployment rate).

This would be in some ways the inverse of 2023-24, where the unemployment rate edged up during a period of above-expectations job growth.


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**Related Topics**
[gdp growth](/topic/gdp-growth)

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