# ![@scottjwillis Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::304575262.png) @scottjwillis Scott Willis

Scott Willis posts on X about premier league, sunderland, premier, champions league the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::304575262/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::304575262/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] -38%
- [--] Month [---------] +170%
- [--] Months [----------] -22%
- [--] Year [----------] -44%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::304575262/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::304575262/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [---] -17%
- [--] Month [---] +120%
- [--] Months [---] +39%
- [--] Year [-----] -33%

### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::304575262/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::304575262/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +0.04%
- [--] Month [------] +3.80%
- [--] Months [------] +7.70%
- [--] Year [------] +15%

### CreatorRank: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::304575262/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::304575262/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[premier league](/list/premier-league)  #258 [finance](/list/finance)  #1823 [champions league](/list/champions-league)  1.01% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  1.01% [bundesliga](/list/bundesliga)  0.51% [la liga](/list/la-liga)  0.51% [countries](/list/countries)  0.51% [nhl](/list/nhl)  0.51% [stocks](/list/stocks)  0.51%

**Social topic influence**
[premier league](/topic/premier-league) #71, [sunderland](/topic/sunderland) 8.08%, [premier](/topic/premier) 4.55%, [champions league](/topic/champions-league) 3.54%, [goal](/topic/goal) #1408, [more than](/topic/more-than) 2.02%, [in the](/topic/in-the) 2.02%, [if you](/topic/if-you) 2.02%, [crystal palace](/topic/crystal-palace) 2.02%, [the most](/topic/the-most) 2.02%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@fplshere9992](/creator/undefined) [@a_jaywalker](/creator/undefined) [@hkhaliqueloonat](/creator/undefined) [@kngdmprince](/creator/undefined) [@atakos22](/creator/undefined) [@kiwidavegkamp](/creator/undefined) [@coolhandjakegs](/creator/undefined) [@afcmediaxi](/creator/undefined) [@carpediemmonst1](/creator/undefined) [@cleatsupkeep](/creator/undefined) [@alansmi6927279](/creator/undefined) [@mangosdevourer](/creator/undefined) [@oconnellafcfan](/creator/undefined) [@pziegler1986](/creator/undefined) [@inverturmum](/creator/undefined) [@goonermafia](/creator/undefined) [@thatdamnhoare](/creator/undefined) [@arkreaction](/creator/undefined) [@augustuskaizer](/creator/undefined) [@afcpet](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Spotify Technology (SPOT)](/topic/$spot)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"FBref & Stathead Data Update FBref is losing access to Opta data. Thats going to be a major bummer for people https://www.sports-reference.com/blog/2026/01/fbref-stathead-data-update/ http://Sports-Reference.com https://www.sports-reference.com/blog/2026/01/fbref-stathead-data-update/ http://Sports-Reference.com"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2013738456057360417)  2026-01-20T22:20Z 44K followers, 125.8K engagements


"Today's Expecting Goals newsletter on setpieces open play and how the PL (and maybe the game) has changed is fantastic. - The Set Piece Revolution https://www.expectinggoals.com/p/the-set-piece-revolution https://www.expectinggoals.com/p/the-set-piece-revolution"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2016541278343680364)  2026-01-28T15:58Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal's open play expected goals in the Champions League was [----] per match in the League phase which ranked second behind only Bayern Munich at [----] per match For overall xG only Liverpool bested Arsenal in the League phase"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2016924559505539257)  2026-01-29T17:21Z 44K followers, 139.1K engagements


"Gykeres has a full yard here and it still ends up with the defender able to recover. I know all the sprint metrics say hes up there among the fastest players but thats not showing up here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2017633508953403440)  2026-01-31T16:18Z 44K followers, 215.7K engagements


"Adam has updated MAGIC NUMBERS Goodbye Wolves Burnley this weekend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2018671812935086549)  2026-02-03T13:03Z 44K followers, 175.7K engagements


"Updated Cannon Stats Premier League simulation after round [--]. Arsenal are up over 90% after Manchester City and Aston Villa drop points at the weekend. The Champions League race looks like it will be the main one to watch the rest of the season"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2018723701752029416)  2026-02-03T16:30Z 44K followers, 22.4K engagements


"Premier League 2025-26 - xG Created and Allowed by Phase of Play through round 24"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2018745571968774566)  2026-02-03T17:57Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"http://x.com/i/article/2018754813497094144 http://x.com/i/article/2018754813497094144"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2018780118001545501)  2026-02-03T20:14Z 44K followers, 56.9K engagements


""This game has gone more Liam Rosenior plan rather more than Mikel Arteta's" Say the commentators as Chelsea have gone into halftime still down and not creating any notable threat to change that they are losing in the overall tie. So weird"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2018788828530577655)  2026-02-03T20:48Z 44K followers, 219.7K engagements


"That goal allowed actually puts Chelsea in an even stronger position if you ask me. When the third leg starts theyll have them right where they want them. Rosenior has out thought Arteta here. "This game has gone more Liam Rosenior plan rather more than Mikel Arteta's" Say the commentators as Chelsea have gone into halftime still down and not creating any notable threat to change that they are losing in the overall tie. So weird. "This game has gone more Liam Rosenior plan rather more than Mikel Arteta's" Say the commentators as Chelsea have gone into halftime still down and not creating any"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2018806706378342733)  2026-02-03T22:00Z 44K followers, 137.2K engagements


"Arsenal [--] (1.2)-(0.7) [--] Chelsea Arsenal make it [--] straight without a loss vs Chelsea and make the final"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2018809479995777366)  2026-02-03T22:11Z 44K followers, 20.4K engagements


"From my simulation model there is currently a a 36% chance that Arsenal surpasses Liverpool's [--] points from last season"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2018952671470694585)  2026-02-04T07:40Z 44K followers, 17.6K engagements


"Premier League Defensive Action Height Faced 2025-26"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2019146711965274527)  2026-02-04T20:31Z 44K followers, 10.6K engagements


"Arsenal - Key Pass By Vertical third of the pitch Premier League 2025-26"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2019461277991543055)  2026-02-05T17:21Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal Premier league Pass Combinations 2025-26"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2019506574591414717)  2026-02-05T20:21Z 44K followers, 12.3K engagements


"Cannon Stats Premier League Simulated Match Odds - Round 25"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2019805242171514900)  2026-02-06T16:07Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Sunderland 2025-2026 Premier-League radar and distribution - Attack and Defense"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2019868708697501877)  2026-02-06T20:20Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal vs Sunderland - Comparison Chart Style Premier League Hard to imagine a larger contrast in team styles"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2019894131623866788)  2026-02-06T22:01Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Sunderland Last [--] Matches Played Running xG It seems kind of amazing that they have pulled out a 2-4-2 record of this run. It's just that kind of season for Sunderland where even when the opposition has pretty significantly out created them they have still picked up a point or more. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020041609534898412 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020041609534898412"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020041609534898412)  2026-02-07T07:47Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Big Vic hit that baby with venom"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020172677797892237)  2026-02-07T16:27Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Newcastle United vs Brentford - Simulated Match Odds The table is compressed but it is unexpected to see Newcastle so low down on the table (and tbf Brentford this high). There isn't too much on the line for the big races but it is an interesting matchup here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020176742145536317)  2026-02-07T16:44Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal [--] (1.5)-(0.2) [--] Sunderland [--] goals [--] points. Pressure on City now to keep pace"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020183484371709993)  2026-02-07T17:10Z 44K followers, 16.3K engagements


"19% of Arsenal's open play goals this season have come against Sunderland (5/27)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020184193930535408)  2026-02-07T17:13Z 44K followers, 11.6K engagements


"Arsenal vs Sunderland Deserve to win-o-meter A pretty comfortable and solid victory"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020189960226091025)  2026-02-07T17:36Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal vs Sunderland Pass Networks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020192101640683940)  2026-02-07T17:45Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal 3-0 Sunderland: Compared to Premier League performances for both teams"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020194611000381822)  2026-02-07T17:55Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal [--] (1.5)-(0.2) [--] Sunderland Shot Maps"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020197141617021150)  2026-02-07T18:05Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal - Arsenal vs Sunderland Goal Probability Added"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020199647822696915)  2026-02-07T18:15Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Leandro Trossard Performance - Arsenal vs Sunderland I thought he was fantastic and I hope the injury that took him out of the game isn't too serious"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020202165709508769)  2026-02-07T18:25Z 44K followers, 20.2K engagements


"Arsenal - Arsenal vs Sunderland Open Play Final Third Passes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020204673785823652)  2026-02-07T18:35Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"After a 1-1-3 start to the season where it looked like all the summer change at Brentford might have caught them out they have gone on to pick up [--] points out the las [--] played. Since September 23rd they have tied for the 5th most points in the League. That's mighty impressive from them"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020220712129036331)  2026-02-07T19:38Z 44K followers, 17K engagements


"Arsenal vs Sunderland - Ball Progression"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020222292781879774)  2026-02-07T19:45Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"I am playing around with a new look for the shots at goal graphic. Do you think that this is better and more clear than the previous version First image is the updated version second is the original"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020291947626160405)  2026-02-08T00:21Z 44K followers, 10.2K engagements


"Brighton vs Crystal Palace - Simulated Match Odds The weirdest current Premier League rivalry but hey it adds spice to a match that doesn't have all that much else going for it. The model is higher on Palace than it probably should be"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020479486412587169)  2026-02-08T12:47Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Liverpool vs Manchester City - Simulated Match Odds The second biggest football match happening today. Rooting for the team in red I guess here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020495090343456805)  2026-02-08T13:49Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"7 - Shot creating actions for Leandro Trossard vs Sunderland the most of any player in the match (next highest was 4)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020509184878415953)  2026-02-08T14:45Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Szoboszlai with a one match ban will have him miss Sunderland away. That match got a bit tougher for them now in the champions league race. Nice of him to help out ever so slightly in the goal difference tally"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020567154916012072)  2026-02-08T18:35Z 44K followers, 16.6K engagements


"Just the second time Peps won at Anfield with City. That wasnt the most convincing City performance with it being much more of a Liverpool collapse but they wont particularly care"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020570253483278427)  2026-02-08T18:47Z 44K followers, 10.5K engagements


"Im sure what will have happened here is that Halaands pull in the box was judged by VAR as a foul so there isnt actually a goal here because it is cancelled by foul and then you go back to DOGSO. Its impossible to deny a goal - for which the punishment is a red card - if the goal is actually scored (and Pawson gave the goal on the field). https://t.co/K0OB64cRCg Its impossible to deny a goal - for which the punishment is a red card - if the goal is actually scored (and Pawson gave the goal on the field). https://t.co/K0OB64cRCg"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020580734185156612)  2026-02-08T19:29Z 44K followers, 18.4K engagements


"@HKhaliqueLoonat The referee would have the discretion to give yellow but doesnt have to. That foul never happens if the dogso is called"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020583528485019779)  2026-02-08T19:40Z 44K followers, [---] engagements


"There isn't a ton of difference between the Arsenal and Manchester City remaining schedules. Neither are particularly tough but Arsenal's is ever so slightly easier. @scottjwillis Do you do anything on difficulty of remaining schedules Feel like Citys might be slightly easier now after the last two @scottjwillis Do you do anything on difficulty of remaining schedules Feel like Citys might be slightly easier now after the last two"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020618052677861834)  2026-02-08T21:57Z 44K followers, 24.7K engagements


"@ThatDamnHoare This is definitely a few frames late"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020630880688230791)  2026-02-08T22:48Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Premier League Weighted xG - Time Played Winning Drawing and Losing through round 25"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020861360733659152)  2026-02-09T14:04Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Updated magic numbers from Adam City manage to hang on to their position Burnley out West Ham at least two weeks away from next"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020881168829169669)  2026-02-09T15:23Z 44K followers, 26.5K engagements


"Premier League Weighted Non-Pen xG (70%) and Non-Pen Goals (30%) Through Round [--] Overall 11v11 Only Close Gamestate (+/- [--] goal) Last [--] played"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020888937305096278)  2026-02-09T15:54Z 44K followers, 14.5K engagements


"Premier League Points vs xPts - 2025-2026 Through Round 25"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2020908064283480082)  2026-02-09T17:10Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"The Cannon Stats very ordinary laptop Premier League Simulated Match Odds - Round [--] Arsenal will go second this week for the last time in a while I know there is the idea that they don't handle pressure well and this will be a chance to deal with it regardless of the result"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2021230883865325947)  2026-02-10T14:32Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"It was a big week for the narrative on the title race but it wasnt really a big week for the movement on the actual odds (it was much more of a result that gave City a glimmer of life rather than closed the gap). Champions League and relegation battles are getting interesting. Cannon Stats Simulation - 2026-02-10"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2021249312903065730)  2026-02-10T15:46Z 44K followers, 11.5K engagements


"Premier League - Performance compared to Corresponding Fixtures"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2021261890253443555)  2026-02-10T16:36Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"@fplshere9992 That is a thing that could happen.👍"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2021276850551394638)  2026-02-10T17:35Z 44K followers, [--] engagements


"Round [--] kicks off with [--] matches inlcuding a ones with Champions League and Relegation ramifications"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2021278510959014036)  2026-02-10T17:42Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"West Ham United vs Manchester Utd - Simulated Match Odds A good chance to make it five wins for Man U. West Ham will be desperate and could make it tough"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2021290611177824727)  2026-02-10T18:30Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Manchester United have snuck into the most likely to finish in 3rd spot on the back of [--] straight wins. All it takes is a little mini run these days and you can move quite a lot on the table with things being so compressed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2021313729556603104)  2026-02-10T20:02Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Tottenham truly might get pulled into the relegation fight"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2021329504015188187)  2026-02-10T21:04Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal could make the NLD on Feb [--] a St. Totteringham Day. Arsenal need just a combined [--] points won by Arsenal/dropped by Spurs to guarantee that they don't finish above"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2021339756878000264)  2026-02-10T21:45Z 44K followers, 42.1K engagements


"Playing around with the new xG model and here is what the Cole Palmer miss against Leeds looks like"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2021346966244897030)  2026-02-10T22:14Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"The current betting spread has Manchester City at [----] points but if you listened to many online Arsenal fans you'd think that line should be more like 85-86. This season City's best 13-match run is 11-0-2. If they match that they get to [--] points"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2021349962877903083)  2026-02-10T22:26Z 44K followers, 24.3K engagements


"Playing around with shot plotting a bit more is it helpful to have the pass/carry information here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2021726178621448280)  2026-02-11T23:20Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"This is just one of the more depressing things related to Arsenal in recent times"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2021940210444173811)  2026-02-12T13:31Z 44K followers, 11.1K engagements


"@KNGDM_Prince [--] week (Also look at how much more negativity is rewarded here on the views)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022032208614371813)  2026-02-12T19:37Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal have scored more than all but City in the Premier League Arsenal scored more than any team in the Champions League. If you are making the case that Arsenal have a problem scoring I wonder if all of these teams that Arsenal have scored more than also have this problem Seems like a pretty fair question. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022078003681841521 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022078003681841521"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022078003681841521)  2026-02-12T22:38Z 44K followers, [--] engagements


"Cannon Stats Premier League Remaining Fixture Difficulty - final [--] games Arsenal have Chelsea City Newcastle left but overall have the 5th hardest remaining schedule. Man City's schedule is almost perfectly average. No real big advantage or disadvantage here right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022430919429149076)  2026-02-13T22:01Z 44K followers, [---] engagements


"@KNGDM_Prince Social media rewards extreme takes and pushes towards negativity. It can produce wild flucations"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022031528566649061)  2026-02-12T19:34Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"That could have been worse for sure. Saka didn't have anything. Odegaard basically became a zero after the injury. Huge credit to Brentford because they looked like the more dangerous team for basically all but 15-20 minutes of this match. [--] points ahead and it is still in our hands. Tough league. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022067632657125763 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022067632657125763"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022067632657125763)  2026-02-12T21:57Z 44K followers, 42.3K engagements


"Brentford vs Arsenal Pass Networks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022078377520246852)  2026-02-12T22:40Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal Duels - Brentford vs Arsenal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022087087223169163)  2026-02-12T23:15Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal Progressive Passes Box Completions and Key Passes - Brentford vs Arsenal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022098428046573949)  2026-02-13T00:00Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"@Ark_ReAction 💪"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022099117342654916)  2026-02-13T00:02Z 44K followers, [---] engagements


"@Augustus_kaizer maybe I hope and think not. It is a sport where variance can strike a team and change things with a pretty big impact"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022099613876965508)  2026-02-13T00:04Z 44K followers, [---] engagements


"@atakos22 Players miss chances especially chances that are 10-25% types"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022321531213480264)  2026-02-13T14:46Z 44K followers, [---] engagements


"this does actually account for injured players out and returning. What do you think the eye test is catching that wouldn't show up in how a team is performing It's more than just points basis. FWIW the betting odds are still strongly favoring Arsenal too and that's wisdom of the crowd that use those things you pointed out too. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022420828776759803 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022420828776759803"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022420828776759803)  2026-02-13T21:21Z 44K followers, [--] engagements


"Footballer Thomas Partey facing two additional rape charges https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy4wnwwg738o https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy4wnwwg738o"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2021939735326077018)  2026-02-12T13:29Z 44K followers, 28.3K engagements


"I kind of love the pressure that comes with a title race. It makes everything feel more alive. The potential pain hopefully makes the eventual success sweeter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2021944885155094605)  2026-02-12T13:50Z 44K followers, 73.9K engagements


"Brentford vs Arsenal Total xG xA Progressive Passes and Goal Probability Added by Player"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022105966024552620)  2026-02-13T00:30Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"@KiwiDaveGkamp Arsenal fixtures are statistically easier"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022175073260777673)  2026-02-13T05:04Z 44K followers, [---] engagements


"Im not sure that this situation is really all that similar to Sunderland situation and that doesnt seem like a very good comparison. When the ball is one Arsenal have a [--] players in front of the ball. Even though its different it leads to roughly as dangerous of a situation just no shot https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022394025236664745 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022394025236664745"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022394025236664745)  2026-02-13T19:34Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal's Title Charge Is Built Different This Season - We carry the scars of 22/23 and even though the team is in a similar position the positions have flipped between Arsenal and Manchester City https://www.cannonstats.com/p/arsenals-title-charge-is-built-different https://www.cannonstats.com/p/arsenals-title-charge-is-built-different"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2019819887745515762)  2026-02-06T17:06Z 44K followers, 15.5K engagements


"Brentford vs Arsenal Deserve to win-o-meter Reflects how I saw the game for sure. Brentford especially in the final 20-30 minutes outside a few moments looked much more likely to score"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022083324387233959)  2026-02-12T23:00Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal - Brentford vs Arsenal Deep Touches Saka with just [--] touch within [--] yards of goal here. That's not a recipe for success for Arsenal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022090869436821942)  2026-02-12T23:30Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal's Goal Probability Added - Brentford vs Arsenal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022094632339788034)  2026-02-12T23:45Z 44K followers, 24.6K engagements


"For what it is worth (decent amount given skin in the game and if you're wildly wrong you lose money) the betting futures on Pinnacle sports have Arsenal at +1.328 to win the title in the wake of this draw. That translates into 75% to win the title implied odds down from 82% at the start of the round. Some context for the evening. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022098414746358103 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022098414746358103"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022098414746358103)  2026-02-13T00:00Z 44K followers, 10.1K engagements


"None of the chances were so great either. If Rice shoots instead of passing thats roughly 10-20% to be scored. On that same play it would be a pretty big one for Gyokeres but its a great defensive play. Martinellis is one that vastly overrated by the lay person thats 30-40%. Trossard had a decent chance starting the second half but its 15-25% type. These are all chances more likely to be missed than scored. When you create under [--] expected I have a hard time saying its a finishing problem. A recurring irk I have with Arteta is the degree to which he'll rue a missed chance in a game when we"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022158245734101111)  2026-02-13T03:57Z 44K followers, 30.1K engagements


"Brentford vs Arsenal - Ball Progression"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022210891056402688)  2026-02-13T07:27Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"The first half stats are ugly here. Arsenal managed one shot (header - 3% chance) in the 10th minute from a corner in all of the the first half of this match. That's just not good enough; it's hard to win a match in this hard of a league when you play like that for half of the game. You can pick on the two moments if you want but really this is where I would focus"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022304258494767464)  2026-02-13T13:38Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"These misses obviously hurt because if scored thats potentially [--] points. That said this is 22% and 8% on the Opta xG model. With these odds youd expect [--] goals 72% of the time [--] goal 26% and scoring both 2%. [---] [---] https://t.co/VD9MXRCUHq [---] [---] https://t.co/VD9MXRCUHq"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022320249593544779)  2026-02-13T14:41Z 44K followers, 12.5K engagements


"Premier League Weighted Non-Pen xG (70%) and Non-Pen Goals (30%) Through Round [--] Overall 11v11 Only Close Gamestate (+/- [--] goal) Last [--] played"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022329428919955654)  2026-02-13T15:18Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"The latest update of the Cannon Stats just a regular computer Premier League Simulation - 2026-02-13 I think it is positive that my model isn't swinging wildly week to week after each result. Arsenal's title odds took a hit obviously but perhaps not as bad as the mood"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022347585919254983)  2026-02-13T16:30Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Here is what it looks like with Champions League qualification down to 5th place. Brentford have snuck into the conversation after seeing them against Arsenal I can kind of buy that they have an outside shot. They are hard to create against and put you under a lot of pressure through set plays. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022347589341806725 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022347589341806725"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022347589341806725)  2026-02-13T16:30Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Here is what the current schedule difficulty ratings look like. Pretty bunched up and that is down to the parity of the League where there really aren't too many giant gaps in quality top to bottom"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022347591346684330)  2026-02-13T16:30Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Premier League Open Play xG Through Round 26"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022356605216436235)  2026-02-13T17:06Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Premier League 2025-26 - xG Created and Allowed by Phase of Play - through round 26"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022405436813525412)  2026-02-13T20:20Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Cannon Stats Premier League Remaining Fixture Difficulty - final [--] games Arsenal have Chelsea City Newcastle left but overall have the 5th Easiest remaining schedule. Man City's schedule is almost perfectly average. No real big advantage or disadvantage here right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022432533221134667)  2026-02-13T22:07Z 44K followers, 39.9K engagements


"One of the new things I am looking at with my updated soccer stats is looking at long throw opportunities and attempts. In the Brentford vs Arsenal match Brentford had [--] opportunities and made [--] throws into the box Arsenal had [--] opportunities and made just [--] attempt into the box. It will be an interesting thing to see and watch"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022549438653174045)  2026-02-14T05:52Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"Premier League Points vs xPts - 2025-2026 Through Round [--] - updated 2026-02-13"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022578312531316989)  2026-02-14T07:47Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"I still think Id like to see more of the Rice Odegaard Eze midfield three. Maybe Im just a hopeless sucker and its not an every game fit but I think there are plenty of chances where it makes sense plus we need to find Zubi some rest/rotation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022623109476401613)  2026-02-14T10:45Z 44K followers, 16.3K engagements


"I think "poorly" is not very accurate I don't think that this is the best I have seen from Arsenal but relative to everyone else in the League over almost any frame of matches Arsenal come out looking quite strong ranking 1st or 2nd here. There are one off matches that are not great but Arsenal have been one of the most consistently strong teams in the League all season. @scottjwillis I think we are playing somewhat poorly for a while now. But I also think city are too. It may be the case that in this league in this season we dont really need to be excellent. But I dont think comparing us"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022728740967768461)  2026-02-14T17:44Z 44K followers, 26K engagements


"Premier League Open Play xG Season 25/26 Compared to 24/25 Only Manchester United have produced more open play expected goals this season than last. The PL is down 23% this season compared to last season"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022754911386010100)  2026-02-14T19:28Z 44K followers, 162.3K engagements


"It doesnt feel like this but Arsenals open play attack has produced fewer expected goals but relative to the league avg it has improved going from about average to above average. Premier League Open Play xG Season 25/26 Compared to 24/25 Only Manchester United have produced more open play expected goals this season than last. The PL is down 23% this season compared to last season. https://t.co/tAzTw8rIpa Premier League Open Play xG Season 25/26 Compared to 24/25 Only Manchester United have produced more open play expected goals this season than last. The PL is down 23% this season compared to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/2022766605604970730)  2026-02-14T20:15Z 44K followers, [----] engagements


"From the 22/23 through 24/25 seasons Liverpool scored [--] goals after the 80th minute. That is the most of any team in the Premier League over that span Whispers: (Consistently scoring late when you have lots of extra time a bevy of runners and great attacking talent isn't as fluky as we'd like to think it is) Whispers: (Consistently scoring late when you have lots of extra time a bevy of runners and great attacking talent isn't as fluky as we'd like to think it is)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1967245123525476826)  2025-09-14T15:12Z 41.3K followers, 37.5K engagements


"Liverpool - [--] Newcastle - [--] Brighton - [--] Man City - [--] Tottenham - [--] Man United - [--] Arsenal - [--] Bournemouth - [--] Fulham - [--] Brentford - [--] Chelsea - [--] Aston Villa - [--] Nottingham Forest - [--] Wolves - [--] West Ham - [--] Crystal Palace - [--] Everton - 13"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1967245125127651525)  2025-09-14T15:12Z 41.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Burnley [--] (0.1)-(2.4) [--] Liverpool Just under [---] xG before the red card"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1967246955975004649)  2025-09-14T15:19Z 41.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest: The Debrief So much good stuff to cover here I love these kinds of post match situations https://www.cannonstats.com/p/arsenal-vs-nottingham-forest-the-6dc https://www.cannonstats.com/p/arsenal-vs-nottingham-forest-the-6dc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1967282080531800356)  2025-09-14T17:39Z 41.3K followers, 23.2K engagements


"Viktor Gykeres - Goal and Shot Production for a 'successful' season I love having a "thing" to track on a regular basis and I think I might make it Gykeres's production to my preseason targets for what a success would look like. I set it at [----] np Goals and [---] Shots per [--] in the PL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1967479763750047835)  2025-09-15T06:45Z 41.3K followers, 22.3K engagements


"Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest: The Debrief https://www.cannonstats.com/p/arsenal-vs-nottingham-forest-the-6dc https://www.cannonstats.com/p/arsenal-vs-nottingham-forest-the-6dc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1967537133201027196)  2025-09-15T10:33Z 41.3K followers, 33.8K engagements


"Premier League Weighted Non-Pen xG (70%) and Non-Pen Goals (30%) through 2025-09-15 Overall 11v11 Close Game State"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1967602819462013103)  2025-09-15T14:54Z 41.3K followers, 11K engagements


"Premier League Points vs xPts - Through round [--] Liverpool on expected points would be 7th and they have a bit more than [--] points over what the shot performances would have expected"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1967621946352246849)  2025-09-15T16:10Z 41.3K followers, 16K engagements


"I knew this going to be a talking point. And I stand by what I have written here. Open play chance creation is something to care about but its just a part of what is actually important. Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest: The Debrief https://t.co/LIIVuDj7YO https://t.co/xyrBR6vuiq Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest: The Debrief https://t.co/LIIVuDj7YO https://t.co/xyrBR6vuiq"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1967649233592562074)  2025-09-15T17:58Z 41.3K followers, 28.1K engagements


"The Corporate Saga Behind Jeeps Downfall - Bloomberg Businessweek I wasnt fully following how this played out so really enjoyed this https://apple.news/AUrs38lpoT02g3q9IHWxphQ https://apple.news/AUrs38lpoT02g3q9IHWxphQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1967698439556223126)  2025-09-15T21:14Z 41.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@AFCPet The guys is correct that he did that a bunch for Chelsea but wrong in that it wasnt helpful or he did nothing with it. He was an important part of what made Chelsea a Champions League level team"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1967955724073570652)  2025-09-16T14:16Z 41.3K followers, [---] engagements


"Ball progression Athletic Club vs Arsenal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1968310209501069515)  2025-09-17T13:44Z 41.3K followers, 40.4K engagements


"I couldnt get my hotel WiFi to cooperate long enough to record so Adam went solo here giving his thoughts on a busy round one of the Champions League Arsenal at San Mames https://www.cannonstats.com/p/arsenal-at-san-mamesr=20a80&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false https://www.cannonstats.com/p/arsenal-at-san-mamesr=20a80&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1968667660436009004)  2025-09-18T13:25Z 41.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Premier League 2025/26 - Round [--] odds and picks There were some games I almost bet on but ultimately I ended up on these three: Crystal Palace [----] Manchester United +0.5 Brentford +0.5 https://www.cannonstats.com/p/premier-league-202526-round-5 https://www.cannonstats.com/p/premier-league-202526-round-5"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1969153313774940604)  2025-09-19T21:35Z 41.4K followers, 24.3K engagements


"This is the third +3 added minutes in the PL this season the other two were West Ham vs Chelsea and Spurs vs Burnley Feels like years since only three added minutes in a big premier league game Feels like years since only three added minutes in a big premier league game"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1969393633435504722)  2025-09-20T13:30Z 41.3K followers, 34.7K engagements


"36 - There were [--] matches in the Premier League that ended at 90+4 last season in the Premier League. The fewest added minutes were +2 in a non-blowout which happened in Everton 0-0 Chelsea match. The average match end time last season was in the 97th minute"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1969397972401086466)  2025-09-20T13:47Z 41.3K followers, 16.3K engagements


"@CoolHandJakeGS Rashford too"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1969410334202237287)  2025-09-20T14:36Z 41.3K followers, [---] engagements


"If Odegaard isn't fit enough the replacement decision is tough for Arteta. Merino gives more pressing and an out ball to go over if needed it comes at the expense of buildup and resistance to press if he is deeper. Ethan was positive and impressive last weekend still questions on if he has it on the OOP that will be key here. Eze is a wildcard that we haven't seen central yet at all with Arsenal. What's your choice here for that spot"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1969472888211190266)  2025-09-20T18:45Z 41.4K followers, 49.8K engagements


"That Haaland goal was the first big chance Arsenal have conceded this season"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1969789483919843702)  2025-09-21T15:43Z 41.4K followers, 22.1K engagements


"Haaland squeezing that pass through was impressive. You dont think of him that way but hes quite good at that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1969795517787099412)  2025-09-21T16:07Z 41.3K followers, 16.5K engagements


"@watmanAFC Both him and Zubi a beat late and he exploits it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1969796679483507011)  2025-09-21T16:11Z 41.3K followers, [---] engagements


"Arsenal [--] (0.8)-(0.7) [--] Manchester City Arsenal gave up so much in those first [--] minutes and there will be questions on that initial lineup selection. Not losing here was huge Newcastle now looking like as close to must win as you can get for Sept"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1969818966680809736)  2025-09-21T17:40Z 41.4K followers, 24.6K engagements


"Arsenal vs Manchester City Deserve to win-o-meter Pep tried to shut up shop and it didn't work for him here. Ended up a pretty big point for Arsenal because a zero would have been a real early setback in the title race. Martinelli with another huge game changing contribution"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1969827732843364410)  2025-09-21T18:15Z 41.3K followers, 13.4K engagements


"Arsenal 1-1 Manchester City Each team compared to their Premier League performances this season"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1969829490990756186)  2025-09-21T18:22Z 41.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Bukayo Saka Performance - Arsenal vs Manchester City He's indisputably the best player on this team and made a major difference coming on. It is actually pretty amazing that we still have confidence that the team can play these big games without him and expect to win"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1969833260604694820)  2025-09-21T18:37Z 41.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal forced Manchester City to make [--] clearances in this match. Thats is the most ever in the FBref database by a comfortable margin where the previous high was [--] (2016) [--] (2014) [--] (2017) [--] (2016) [--] (2017)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1969845970289729975)  2025-09-21T19:27Z 41.4K followers, 21.5K engagements


"I think from [--] to the end of the game the performance was actually pretty good. Couldve used a bit more clear cut chance creation but Manchester city went full [--] men behind the ball at that stage which was very unlike them. The first half an hour definitely was a major worry and concern"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1969870590304723298)  2025-09-21T21:05Z 41.3K followers, [---] engagements


"Henry do you watch this game that you cover and write about [--] defensive midfielders Really Can you help point out when Merino last played as a DM. Even Rice has evolved much beyond that into a much more box to box role. This is pretty poor and a sad reflection on you your paper and sadly your profession. You should have higher standards of accuracy even if it is just social media"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1969899008241143947)  2025-09-21T22:58Z 41.3K followers, 10.6K engagements


"This is a very reasonable counter view to the general consensus of what Arsenal did. I feel like I am repeating myself a bit but let do it anyway Merino is NOT a negative choice. Hes far from the DM that many want to pigeon hole him as and use that to beat up Arteta. What he is rather is traditionally a more risky passer that wants to get forward. He is combative and a physical mismatch but much less as a destroyer type. What I didnt like here was that you lose ball progression with him and the ability to carry through the middle. Thats where Eze or Nwaneri would have been my preference youd"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1970073842132435231)  2025-09-22T10:33Z 41.4K followers, 71.1K engagements


"3 - Matches with [--] shots taken by Viktor Gyokeres at Arsenal. [--] - Match with zero shots and at least [--] minutes played at Sporting. From Oct [--] [----] through the end of the 24/25 season he had [--] matches with [--] shots taken in [---] total matches played"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1970093221716828591)  2025-09-22T11:50Z 41.4K followers, 54.4K engagements


"Ball progression - Arsenal vs Manchester City"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1970099772208861535)  2025-09-22T12:16Z 41.4K followers, 26.6K engagements


"Kai Havertz who is not a shot monster but any stretch of the imagination had just [--] matches last season with [--] shots taken (50+ minutes played) in all comps out of [--] total he has had [--] total [--] shot matches out of [--] with Arsenal (including playing as a midfielder) [--] - Matches with [--] shots taken by Viktor Gyokeres at Arsenal. [--] - Match with zero shots and at least [--] minutes played at Sporting. From Oct [--] [----] through the end of the 24/25 season he had [--] matches with [--] shots taken in [---] total matches played. [--] - Matches with [--] shots taken by Viktor Gyokeres at Arsenal. [--] - Match with zero"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1970277274256842887)  2025-09-23T00:01Z 41.4K followers, 32.9K engagements


"Im really bummed about Noni Madueke being out for [--] months. He was starting to build some nice connections and flash why he was bought over fan objections. The hits just keep coming for Arsenal and injuries"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1970449507583246573)  2025-09-23T11:25Z 41.3K followers, 11.1K engagements


"@xGPhilosophy Liverpool are 4th in xG difference so either this is a poorly calibrated model or there is smallish differences that youre ignoring context for to get engagement. Seems like something that would benefit from more information but dont stop yourself"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1970461727222624653)  2025-09-23T12:14Z 41.4K followers, 32.4K engagements


"Premier League Points vs xPts - 2025-2026 through round [--]. Liverpool still the biggest overperformers but the last couple have been better and has gotten them into the top [--] on xG difference"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1970468953605447730)  2025-09-23T12:43Z 41.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Premier League Simulation - 2025-09-23 Liverpool haven't played well but they have gotten [--] out of [--] that has given them a massive edge in the odds where they are still looked at like a team that will get better"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1970489845307818130)  2025-09-23T14:06Z 41.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Bournemouth: rice dm Merino/Partey 8's Liverpool: Rice dm Merino/Trossard 8's Newcastle: [---] with both in midfield Monaco: Rice dm Merino/Odegaard 8's Everton: Rice dm Merino/Odegaard 8's Brighton: Jorginho dm Rice/Merino 8's Aston Villa: Rice dm Merino/Odegaard 8's Everton: Rice dm Merino/Odegaard 8's Ipswich: Rice dm Merino/Odegaard 8's PSG: Rice dm Merino/Odegaard 8's Liverpool: Zubi dm Rice/Merino 8's Athletic Club: Zubi dm Rice/Merino 8's City: Liverpool: Zubi dm Rice/Merino 8's"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1970539197527400610)  2025-09-23T17:22Z 41.3K followers, [---] engagements


"@gareth227 It was an out of options choice. It wasnt something that they were doing because they liked it IMO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1970545864348496311)  2025-09-23T17:48Z 41.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Arsenal are +7.3 in npxG difference over the [--] matches that Rice and Merino have started in midfield together. If you exclude the red card time the xG difference per [--] is above the average for Arsenal for last year. Even with the additional context (injury/rotation heavy lineup combos) its probably just weird variance. You're not being told the full story about Merino-Rice https://www.cannonstats.com/p/youre-not-being-told-the-full-story https://www.cannonstats.com/p/youre-not-being-told-the-full-story"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1970777987164381312)  2025-09-24T09:11Z 41.4K followers, 28.3K engagements


"@FootballEra_ Is your claim here that for the rest of the season that Liverpool will continue to be +1.2 actual points compared to xpts Would you be willing to bet on that I would gladly take the under on that If not what is the point"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1970841221070553569)  2025-09-24T13:22Z 41.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Port Vale [--] (0.1)-(0.9) [--] Arsenal Arsenal are through to the next round"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1970956030038155706)  2025-09-24T20:58Z 41.4K followers, 12.1K engagements


"Such great news to see Saliba extend his deal with Arsenal. Hes one of the best central defenders in the world and would be coveted by every team in the world but he wants to and believes he can win the big stuff WITH Arsenal. Lets go"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1971218818841124967)  2025-09-25T14:22Z 41.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Does Defence Actually Win Titles - This is really interesting look and the simulation suggests that at a certain level of xG difference you want a better defense. This goes against what I saw when I looked at things myself and it makes me want to explore this further. https://databetweenthelines.substack.com/p/does-defence-actually-win-titles https://databetweenthelines.substack.com/p/does-defence-actually-win-titles"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1971251359971188959)  2025-09-25T16:32Z 41.5K followers, 54.5K engagements


"This is what I found when I looked at it. Im open to evidence that suggests otherwise but still think scoring more allowing less. It could be interesting that for a given xG or goal difference youd prefer allowing less but the way to increase the difference is through more attack (no limit there vs the zero bound) https://www.cannonstats.com/p/does-defense-really-win-championships https://www.cannonstats.com/p/does-defense-really-win-championships"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1971265446549860581)  2025-09-25T17:28Z 41.4K followers, [----] engagements


"The number of times each team has failed to score from 2022-23 through 2024-25 in the Premier League: Arsenal [--] [--] [--] [--] - [--] City [--] [--] [--] [--] - [--] Liverpool [--] [--] [--] [--] - 12"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1971523899457171591)  2025-09-26T10:35Z 41.4K followers, 20K engagements


"Premier League compared to the corresponding fixtures last season. Strong showing for Leeds/Sunderland as promoted teams. Bournemouth looking quite impressive. Liverpool banking points that they didn't get last season. Aston Villa 😱"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1971607222649008177)  2025-09-26T16:06Z 41.6K followers, 11.2K engagements


"Arsenal Compared to Corresponding Fixtures Last Season Points: [---] (10 vs 11) xG: [----] (7.2 vs 10.8) G: [---] (10 vs 15) xGA: [----] (3.3 vs 5.3) GA: [----] (2 vs 6) xG Dif: [----] (3.9 vs 5.5) G Dif: [---] (8 vs 9) This weekend presents a chance to pick up points having lost at St. James' Park"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1971656026697908504)  2025-09-26T19:20Z 41.4K followers, 15.1K engagements


"Arsenal are not a bad attacking team The extremes and absolutes in the modern ways that we have discussions are distorting the picture and it sucks. https://www.cannonstats.com/p/arsenal-are-not-a-bad-attacking-team https://www.cannonstats.com/p/arsenal-are-not-a-bad-attacking-team"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1971658050936123410)  2025-09-26T19:28Z 41.5K followers, 29K engagements


"@AFCMediaXI @carpediemmonst1 @fplshere9992 How many games does Arsenal play [--] CB I think its pretty clearly something approaching zero. Arsenals full backs play pretty advanced and as high up the pitch as anyones"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1971669691744899402)  2025-09-26T20:14Z 41.4K followers, [--] engagements


"@AFCMediaXI @carpediemmonst1 @fplshere9992 What proportion of the average match that you watch do you think that playing as a back [--] is an accurate description of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1971808472074539426)  2025-09-27T05:25Z 41.4K followers, [--] engagements


"Arsenal Last [--] Matches Played against Newcastle United - Running xG Arsenal have [--] wins [--] draw and [--] losses over this run"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1971828909286031430)  2025-09-27T06:47Z 41.6K followers, [----] engagements


"It felt inevitable that Potter was done at West Ham but the timing just screams ownership and decision makers that are not top notch"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1971930174154322298)  2025-09-27T13:29Z 41.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Crystal Palace"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1971944164251046245)  2025-09-27T14:25Z 41.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Liverpool have conceded [--] big chances in this match to Crystal Palace. Arsenal have conceded just [--] all season in all competitions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1971944882596888987)  2025-09-27T14:27Z 41.6K followers, 95.1K engagements


"It feels so written in the fate that Crystal Palace not getting a second here is going to bite them"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1971951030968439216)  2025-09-27T14:52Z 41.5K followers, 27.5K engagements


"EDDIE NKETIAH YOU ARE A HERO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1971969225284555216)  2025-09-27T16:04Z 41.5K followers, 18.9K engagements


"Weve all been there but it is funny that the headline here is blaming referees from one of the big Liverpool publications after that match. First corner should have been a goal kick but balanced out with a goal off a handball. Giving up [--] big chances and [--] xG probably the bigger problem vs refereeing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1971987104096751943)  2025-09-27T17:15Z 41.5K followers, 26.4K engagements


"Newcastle vs Arsenal Deserve to win-o-meter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1972370737508810827)  2025-09-28T18:40Z 41.5K followers, 17.5K engagements


"Victor Gyokeres performance vs Newcastle. Im quite pleased with [--] shots and I think he did pretty well with them. Added [--] key passes and I thought the hold up was solid. He didnt get the whistle either or the VAR benefit of the doubt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1972610564267364632)  2025-09-29T10:33Z 41.6K followers, 18.3K engagements


"@Macho_Grande1 @Stillmanator Both go down as set play goals officially. Its a grey area but its when the phase of play resets usually after a clearance where players return to normal positions or change of possession"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1972616641826672798)  2025-09-29T10:57Z 41.5K followers, [---] engagements


"Newcastle vs Arsenal - Ball Progression It was really big Declan Rice game (also how good Timber has been might be an underrated story) and Odegaard coming on for the final [--] minutes and putting up those numbers was quite impressive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1972636484604682445)  2025-09-29T12:16Z 41.6K followers, 25.9K engagements


"Premier League Results 9/27 & 9/28"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1972657132110491730)  2025-09-29T13:38Z 41.5K followers, [----] engagements


"232 Minutes - The total time that Brentford have spent winning in the Premier League this season. Only Manchester City and Bournemouth have spent more time. Brentford are in 13th place 🤷"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1972695370456006780)  2025-09-29T16:10Z 41.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Premier League results compared to the corresponding fixtures last season"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1972726073126170624)  2025-09-29T18:12Z 41.5K followers, 23.8K engagements


"Premier League Simulation - 2025-09-30 Manchester City have jumped Liverpool after their not so impressive start to the season. Liverpool are still slightly favored because they have points in the bank but they need to start playing better"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1973007530155511879)  2025-09-30T12:50Z 41.6K followers, 19K engagements


"I try to keep this updated with the latest runs of the simulation. https://www.cannonstats.com/p/premier-league-simulation-202526 https://www.cannonstats.com/p/premier-league-simulation-202526"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1973022620439498809)  2025-09-30T13:50Z 41.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Premier League Weighted Non-Pen xG (70%) and Non-Pen Goals (30%) through Round [--] Overall Time 11v11 Close Game State (+/- [--] goal)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1973026561113657602)  2025-09-30T14:06Z 41.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Premier League Weighted Non-Pen xG (70%) and Non-Pen Goals (30%) Through Round [--] Overall 11v11 Close Game State (+/- goal)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1973098280977408158)  2025-09-30T18:51Z 41.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Here is a look at how the simulated points have changed for the Premier League since the start of the season"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1973105324694368438)  2025-09-30T19:19Z 41.5K followers, [----] engagements


"I see Arteta is riling up people by saying Excuses have never been a part of my life at his press conference. I think thats been largely true with his time at Arsenal. Hes given explanations and reasons why things have not always worked out but I think they are pretty clearly not excuses because he is not avoiding responsibility and has taken them as things to learn adapt and improve from"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1973121217713385712)  2025-09-30T20:22Z 41.5K followers, 121.2K engagements


"I really liked the presentation here and thought that it might be cool to try and replicate/adapt to my simulation. Chicago Blackhawks 2025-26 Season Preview with @seangentille and @shaynagoldman_ Another finish in the league's basement looks likely for a Blackhawks team that's still seeking something tangible from its rebuild. https://t.co/L2wccw1WYt https://t.co/1FbPTuSmcD Chicago Blackhawks 2025-26 Season Preview with @seangentille and @shaynagoldman_ Another finish in the league's basement looks likely for a Blackhawks team that's still seeking something tangible from its rebuild."  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1973143108377600163)  2025-09-30T21:49Z 41.5K followers, 24.4K engagements


"Crystal Palace simulation - 2025-09-30"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1973271422483964002)  2025-10-01T06:19Z 41.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Thats pretty high on the should have passed rating"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1973471669684469940)  2025-10-01T19:34Z 41.5K followers, 155.9K engagements


"The Next Five: Arsenal's Chance to Pull Clear 🚨 🎙 New Cannon Stats podcast breaking down the performances against Olympiacos and Newcastle before looking ahead to Arsenal's golden opportunity to move into pole position on the table https://www.cannonstats.com/p/the-next-five-arsenals-chance-to https://www.cannonstats.com/p/the-next-five-arsenals-chance-to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1973703764423958843)  2025-10-02T10:57Z 41.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Listen on Spotify: Listen on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-next-five-arsenals-chance-to-pull-clear/id1663533384i=1000729632977 https://open.spotify.com/episode/3iuEELhN8auR7dVV4aRy9Usi=-GM4PqktRbOb_-_4e-bbxQ https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-next-five-arsenals-chance-to-pull-clear/id1663533384i=1000729632977 https://open.spotify.com/episode/3iuEELhN8auR7dVV4aRy9Usi=-GM4PqktRbOb_-_4e-bbxQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1973703765703209011)  2025-10-02T10:57Z 41.5K followers, [----] engagements


"David Raya was fantastic last night and went a long way towards saving the team from a footballing with his saves. Its easy to under appreciate him with the other defensive talent in the squad but hes exceptional"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1973730184634212605)  2025-10-02T12:42Z 41.5K followers, 10.8K engagements


"Fresh Premier League Simulation to take us into the weekend - 2025-10-03"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1974116741992030642)  2025-10-03T14:18Z 41.6K followers, 11.5K engagements


"Arsenal [--] (3.4)-(0.8) [--] West Ham Not overly stressful and picked up [--] points on last season while going top"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1974508405726364145)  2025-10-04T16:14Z 41.6K followers, 18.5K engagements


"Hugh. Saw lots of stuff on Gykeres playing poorly and I did not connect with that at all. I thought this was quite solid. Ends up as the player leading on goal probability added as well. Didnt score so if you only judge on that I guess"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1974716443129151614)  2025-10-05T06:01Z 41.6K followers, 34.8K engagements


"Arsenal vs West Ham - Ball Progression"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1974870970969043181)  2025-10-05T16:15Z 41.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal - Arsenal 2-0 West Ham Compared to Premier League attacking performances"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1974908711178027134)  2025-10-05T18:45Z 41.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Arsenal vs West Ham Pass Networks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1975068511580901703)  2025-10-06T05:20Z 41.6K followers, 13.4K engagements


"Arsenal really look like the most complete team in the Premier League and I really like that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1975089903969984825)  2025-10-06T06:45Z 41.6K followers, 27K engagements


"Breaking down Arsenal vs West Ham Arsenal vs West Ham: The Debrief Arsenal slay a demon and head into the break on top https://www.cannonstats.com/p/arsenal-vs-west-ham-the-debrief https://www.cannonstats.com/p/arsenal-vs-west-ham-the-debrief"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1975200484026691689)  2025-10-06T14:04Z 41.6K followers, 15.5K engagements


"Premier League - Performance compared to Corresponding Fixtures Arsenal went to +5 after this weekend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1975232118419530127)  2025-10-06T16:10Z 41.6K followers, 12.9K engagements


"Premier League Weighted Non-Pen xG (70%) and Non-Pen Goals (30%) Through Round [--] Overall 11v11 Close Game State (+/- [--] goal)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1975285191229813122)  2025-10-06T19:41Z 41.6K followers, 173.2K engagements


"Premier League Points vs xPts - 2025-26 Through Round 7"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1975441468211740694)  2025-10-07T06:02Z 41.6K followers, 13.5K engagements


"Premier League Simulation - 2025-10-07 It is interesting that the model hates Chelsea (relative) and loves Newcastle. Also not bought into Crystal Palace and Bournemouth. It is also putting Arsenal 50% for the first time this season"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1975542387045789858)  2025-10-07T12:43Z 41.6K followers, 24.8K engagements


"For what it is worth Liverpool have played a tougher schedule. It isnt a massive difference at [--] matches and not significantly different than Arsenal. Arsenal have played a lot better. Liverpool have played Bournemouth Palace and Arsenal who are all in the top [--] aswell as a Merseyside derby and Chelsea away. Arsenal have played a garbage United side aswell as Forest West Ham and Leeds at home and yet people claim they've had a "harder start". Ok then. 🙄 Liverpool have played Bournemouth Palace and Arsenal who are all in the top [--] aswell as a Merseyside derby and Chelsea away. Arsenal have"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1975710599243026550)  2025-10-07T23:51Z 41.6K followers, 54.9K engagements


"Florian Wirtz - Liverpool 2025-2026 Attacking Midfielder radar and distribution Premier League It's way too early to be drawing conclusions but not having him hit the ground running is almost certainly a major factor in why Liverpool have looked just good and not like a great team. I thought he'd take up more progression to replace TAA and it just hasn't"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1976007455306842121)  2025-10-08T19:31Z 41.6K followers, 15.9K engagements


"Premier League Simulation - 2025-10-10"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1976653470980558973)  2025-10-10T14:18Z 41.6K followers, [----] engagements


"@stat_man2 Your post really came across as having a go calling it noise dressed up as science"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1976692307408949398)  2025-10-10T16:52Z 41.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Im soliciting questions from you all. What you got Whats the hottest take youve got about Arsenal right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1978492910141161976)  2025-10-15T16:07Z 41.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Here is swiss ramble on it from last May breaking it down further: https://swissramble.substack.com/p/a-spending-cap-in-the-premier-league https://swissramble.substack.com/p/a-spending-cap-in-the-premier-league"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/1978861518482448558)  2025-10-16T16:32Z 41.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Updated xG Dashboards for Big [--] leagues https://public.tableau.com/views/Big5LeaguesShotsData/Big5LeaguesShotsDashboard:embed=y&:display_count=yes https://public.tableau.com/views/Big5LeaguesShotsData/Big5LeaguesShotsDashboard:embed=y&:display_count=yes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/837382281329156096)  2017-03-02T19:21Z 37.9K followers, [--] engagements


"One more new thing added to Tableau: Midfield Player Ranking Dashboard Example is for Jean Michael Seri from #Nice"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/906191533824589824)  2017-09-08T16:24Z 37.9K followers, [--] engagements


"Chelsea vs Manchester City Running xG"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/914196580944699393)  2017-09-30T18:33Z 37.9K followers, [--] engagements


"AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC odds via @GoalimpactOdds HDA [----] - [----] - 27.0"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/952528363305889792)  2018-01-14T13:10Z 37.9K followers, [--] engagements


"Tottenham Hotspur vs Juventus Running xG xG plot and both legs xG plot"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/971502556944859136)  2018-03-07T21:47Z 37.9K followers, [--] engagements


"Raheem Sterling Premier League Percentile Ranks - Attacking So Pep really turned him into an amazing player"  
[X Link](https://x.com/scottjwillis/status/999701055721037834)  2018-05-24T17:17Z 37.9K followers, [--] engagements

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