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# ![@joao_wedson Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1210303457153998861.png) @joao_wedson Joao Wedson

Joao Wedson posts on X about bitcoin, signals, altcoins, $6753t the most. They currently have XXXXXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

### Engagements: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1210303457153998861/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1210303457153998861/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXXX +55%
- X Month XXXXXXX +418%
- X Months XXXXXXXXX +193%
- X Year XXXXXXXXX +1,292%

### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::1210303457153998861/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1210303457153998861/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Week XX -XXXX%
- X Month XXX +27%
- X Months XXX +58%
- X Year XXX +191%

### Followers: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1210303457153998861/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1210303457153998861/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXXXXX +6.80%
- X Month XXXXXX +29%
- X Months XXXXXX +140%
- X Year XXXXXX +395%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1210303457153998861/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1210303457153998861/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence [#](/creator/twitter::1210303457153998861/influence)
---

**Social category influence**
[cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  XXXXX% [finance](/list/finance)  XXXX% [countries](/list/countries)  XXXX% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  XXXX%

**Social topic influence**
[bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #3262, [signals](/topic/signals) #366, [altcoins](/topic/altcoins) #67, [$6753t](/topic/$6753t) #986, [over the](/topic/over-the) 2.38%, [money](/topic/money) 2.38%, [number of](/topic/number-of) 2.38%, [btcusd](/topic/btcusd) #128, [about to](/topic/about-to) 2.38%, [holders](/topic/holders) #896

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@alphractal](/creator/undefined) [@brendon_f9](/creator/undefined) [@cryptoquant_com](/creator/undefined) [@thelasttrueg](/creator/undefined) [@xuan05](/creator/undefined) [@darkfost_coc](/creator/undefined) [@leodante_fx](/creator/undefined) [@notokyc](/creator/undefined) [@stockstormx](/creator/undefined) [@xalrio](/creator/undefined) [@alphractals](/creator/undefined) [@brendonf9](/creator/undefined) [@archphysicist](/creator/undefined) [@dominandocripto](/creator/undefined) [@saxe77615](/creator/undefined) [@himen1338722](/creator/undefined) [@iamthepresdan](/creator/undefined) [@profxabdul](/creator/undefined) [@r_pavan](/creator/undefined) [@westasianprince](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Dogecoin (DOGE)](/topic/dogecoin)
### Top Social Posts [#](/creator/twitter::1210303457153998861/posts)
---
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Historic Opportunity: Trade Gold for Bitcoin. 🟡 Bottom signals in the BTC/Gold ratio are extremely rare and they tend to appear during high-volatility moments and sharp BTC drawdowns. Well were exactly there right now. The blue signal marks the current bottom revealed by a normalized oscillator thats basically screaming: time to sell gold and buy Bitcoin. The green signal on the other hand is even stronger. It shows up when both metrics align at their lows and historically those moments have been the best BTC/Gold opportunities ever recorded. My message goes out to institutional gold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1979433124556869667) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-18T06:23Z 11.4K followers, 95K engagements


"I want to be completely honest and straightforward about what I think: has the Bitcoin cycle and the market ended or not The first thing I want to share is a reflection on whether the 4-year BTC cycle is really repeating. We've gone through many moments and a lot of people say its not claiming that due to global liquidity the 4-year cycle is over. The best chart to understand this is the Repetition Fractal Cycle which makes it visually easy to see if weve reached the end of the cycle. This chart has been accurate since 2015 with a margin of error of less than X to X days for historical tops"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1977095598923976900) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-11T19:34Z 11.4K followers, 65.2K engagements


"🚨 Macro Insight: The power of Chinese liquidity and its impact on Bitcoin Right now Chinas M2 money supply is 2.1x larger than that of the United States. While the U.S. M2 has been moving sideways for weeks Chinas keeps climbing nonstop now $XXXX trillion higher than the U.S. 💭The big question is: where are the Chinese planning to go with this colossal amount of liquidity Heres the interesting part and something few talk about: Every time Chinas M2 outpaces the U.S. Bitcoin tends to rise. But when this ratio flattens BTC also goes sideways. A Macro Alpha most people overlook yet it keeps"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1978844791816564940) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-16T15:25Z 11.4K followers, 26.5K engagements


"Many short positions were opened in the short term based on the narrative that Bitcoins bull cycle is over In other words theres now a good chance BTC could bounce back to around $117K within a few hours Dont take this as financial advice Chart: @Alphractal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1979032782723571980) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-17T03:52Z 11.4K followers, 17.6K engagements


"Can Macro Metrics Predict the Next Bear Market New data reveals interesting macro patterns that could hint at where the U.S. economy is heading and possibly if a bear market could emerge in 2026. We know that markets dont crash out of nowhere. There are always early signals often hidden in the data. Lets look at a few metrics worth watching closely X Fed Financial Stress Delta Measures the year-over-year change in the Federal Reserves Financial Stress Index capturing how much pressure or relief has built up in financial markets over the last XX months. When stress rises sharply liquidity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1979273389521936809) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-17T19:48Z 11.4K followers, 7499 engagements


"🚨 Bybit Becomes the Exchange with the Highest Number of Perpetual Trades Since May the number of Perpetual trades on Bybit has skyrocketed surpassing Binance and interestingly this surge came mainly from the BTC-USD pair while BTC-USDT and BTC-USDC have remained relatively stable. On the spot market Binance has dominated for years losing its lead only during brief moments. This pattern suggests that one or more market makers have been actively trading BTC-USD on Bybit often with smaller position sizes especially after the Bybit hack news earlier in 2025. Whats even more intriguing: most of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1979317312974131512) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-17T22:43Z 11.4K followers, 4779 engagements


"Bitcoin Top: projected between $143.7K and $146.3K Thats the target based on Bitcoins cycle pattern and its performance decay over time. If BTC is in reaccumulation mark my words thats where were heading. But if its distribution the top is already behind us at $126K. Still I have strong doubts that the ATH has already happened. Every time I open the Alpha metrics some of them tell me otherwise. Im bookmarking this post to revisit it later lets see who ends up being right"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1979387939395182702) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-18T03:23Z 11.4K followers, 36.6K engagements


"Nick Szabos signal. He analyzes BTC/GOLD instead of BTC/USD like everyone else. And hes saying the BTC/GOLD bottom is in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1979582292436881482) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-18T16:16Z 11.4K followers, 15.7K engagements


"Why dont we get games like Donkey Kong Country anymore 🎮 Today I got nostalgic playing DKC2 and vibing to that legendary soundtrack. Im into gamecoins these days and really miss seeing solid projects A classic platformer where you collect coins/items and can actually convert them would be 🔥 A true play-to-earn game 🎶 DKC2 OST:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1973481150027894812) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-01T20:12Z 11.3K followers, 2466 engagements


"An opportunity or the end"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1976734841547739562) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-10T19:41Z 11.3K followers, 5869 engagements


"3 interesting metrics show that the market is going through a deleveraging phase X Liquidations 24h / Open Interest The higher this ratio the more liquidations have occurred both Long and Short. Coins like WFLI ZECDASH ZORA GIGGLE AIA among others have seen a significant number of positions wiped out. X Long Liquidation 24h / Open Interest This one focuses on coins that are falling and driving the markets deleveraging. In short traders were excessively long on these altcoins and the market dropped to liquidate them. X Short Liquidation 24h / Open Interest Here prices had to move up to wipe"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1976744884854837495) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-10T20:21Z 11.3K followers, 7733 engagements


"For the first time since April the Stock Market Fear & Greed Index has dropped back to Fear levels. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is also sitting at Fear. Stocks = XX (Fear) Cryptos = XX (Fear) 📊Charts by @Alphractal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1978286497309528447) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-15T02:27Z 11.2K followers, 6668 engagements


"Has Bitcoins bull run come to an end 🧐 Are we entering a new Bear Market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1978620115886252325) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-16T00:32Z 11.3K followers, 11.3K engagements


"54% dont believe the Bitcoin cycle is over and think BTC wont enter a Bear Market right now Interesting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1979045163088388185) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-17T04:41Z 11.3K followers, 7957 engagements


"@TheLastTrueG The H&S pattern fails in about XX% of cases and theres actually a metric that tracks this. Also I didnt say to buy BTC. I said to swap Gold for BTC which is a completely different thing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1979567698414535015) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-18T15:18Z 11.3K followers, XXX engagements


"BTC volatility is about to spike aggressively I believe it will be a very strong move one that will catch the attention of those who didnt believe in our Alpha. But I need to hold back saying too much always opens the door to traps"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1973779046241800320) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-02T15:56Z 11.4K followers, 8041 engagements


"After heavy volatility in the market Dash has remained strong and steady. Follow what the data is telling you not the narratives or the news"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1977362187480879295) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-12T13:14Z 11.4K followers, 6344 engagements


"All the money that got liquidated yesterday plus the massive BTC sell-offs is flowing fast into other altcoins This week were going to see huge altcoin pumps that nobody even saw coming Mark it down its almost like a market promise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1977147777194115272) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-11T23:02Z 11.4K followers, 8571 engagements


"Some Alpha signals still havent indicated a buy on the daily chart. I believe that when they do BTC will make that jump. For now we might go through a few dull days a period that helps lower expectations. And who knows maybe during this time some altcoins could stand out This is about the daily chart on intraday there are several highly accurate signals for day trading but thats not the point of this post Charts: @Alphractal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1977771752370675824) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-13T16:21Z 11.4K followers, 6328 engagements


"Dogecoin has not yet reached euphoria and Short-Term Holders are accumulating. In December 2024 Doge reached its ATH for the current cycle exactly at the CVDD Alpha our custom metric for cycle tops based on Cumulative Value Days Destroyed which is a highly accurate indicator for identifying cycle bottoms. However when we look at the Reserve Risk indicator the 2024 top was weak and lacked strong on-chain interest. Still its interesting how the chart has perfectly called every Doge top since 2016. We are now seeing Short-Term Holders accumulating more Doge each day according to the Hodl Waves"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1977877249312407722) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-13T23:20Z 11.4K followers, 8203 engagements


"🚨Today marks the key day that closes Bitcoins fractal cycle If the price drops significantly from here it will prove that everyone who believed the 4-year Bitcoin cycle wouldnt work anymore was wrong In my last post I share a bit more openly about what I truly believe👇"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1978861184343220540) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-16T16:30Z 11.4K followers, 59.8K engagements


"October 2025 is already the second worst October in Bitcoins history. And get this in XX years only X Octobers closed in the red. Will this be the fifth or will BTC turn the game around and keep its Uptober tradition alive with a XX% chance of closing green 👀 Chart: @Alphractal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1979637708223053918) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-18T19:56Z 11.4K followers, 7277 engagements


"Whos Laughing Now in Bitcoin: Long-Term or Short-Term Holders Long-Term Holders (LTH) remain comfortable still sitting on solid profits. Meanwhile Short-Term Holders (STH) are feeling the pain holding bags in the red. If BTC climbs back above $113.2K the picture changes: many of those short-term holders would finally return to profit. But be careful that same level also acts as an important resistance zone where profit-taking could slow the price down. Now looking at it from a structural perspective: The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) for long-term holders which measures the unrealized"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1980029209905963499) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-19T21:52Z 11.4K followers, 9784 engagements


"Many altcoins have just completed their final accumulation phase Now going against everyone who still believes in more downside I honestly think many memecoins game tokens and DeFi projects are about to outperform almost every other asset in the world. An accumulation usually happens right when everyones talking about a bear market when fear is at its peak thats when the big players quietly take their positions. Lets come back here soon to see how this plays out Charts: @Alphractal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/joao_wedson/status/1980289496466764122) [@joao_wedson](/creator/x/joao_wedson) 2025-10-20T15:06Z 11.4K followers, 17K engagements

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

@joao_wedson Avatar @joao_wedson Joao Wedson

Joao Wedson posts on X about bitcoin, signals, altcoins, $6753t the most. They currently have XXXXXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

Engagements: XXXXXX #

Engagements Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXXXX +55%
  • X Month XXXXXXX +418%
  • X Months XXXXXXXXX +193%
  • X Year XXXXXXXXX +1,292%

Mentions: XX #

Mentions Line Chart

  • X Week XX -XXXX%
  • X Month XXX +27%
  • X Months XXX +58%
  • X Year XXX +191%

Followers: XXXXXX #

Followers Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXXX +6.80%
  • X Month XXXXXX +29%
  • X Months XXXXXX +140%
  • X Year XXXXXX +395%

CreatorRank: XXXXXXX #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence #


Social category influence cryptocurrencies XXXXX% finance XXXX% countries XXXX% exchanges XXXX%

Social topic influence bitcoin #3262, signals #366, altcoins #67, $6753t #986, over the 2.38%, money 2.38%, number of 2.38%, btcusd #128, about to 2.38%, holders #896

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @alphractal @brendon_f9 @cryptoquant_com @thelasttrueg @xuan05 @darkfost_coc @leodante_fx @notokyc @stockstormx @xalrio @alphractals @brendonf9 @archphysicist @dominandocripto @saxe77615 @himen1338722 @iamthepresdan @profxabdul @r_pavan @westasianprince

Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) Dogecoin (DOGE)

Top Social Posts #


Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Historic Opportunity: Trade Gold for Bitcoin. 🟡 Bottom signals in the BTC/Gold ratio are extremely rare and they tend to appear during high-volatility moments and sharp BTC drawdowns. Well were exactly there right now. The blue signal marks the current bottom revealed by a normalized oscillator thats basically screaming: time to sell gold and buy Bitcoin. The green signal on the other hand is even stronger. It shows up when both metrics align at their lows and historically those moments have been the best BTC/Gold opportunities ever recorded. My message goes out to institutional gold"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-18T06:23Z 11.4K followers, 95K engagements

"I want to be completely honest and straightforward about what I think: has the Bitcoin cycle and the market ended or not The first thing I want to share is a reflection on whether the 4-year BTC cycle is really repeating. We've gone through many moments and a lot of people say its not claiming that due to global liquidity the 4-year cycle is over. The best chart to understand this is the Repetition Fractal Cycle which makes it visually easy to see if weve reached the end of the cycle. This chart has been accurate since 2015 with a margin of error of less than X to X days for historical tops"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-11T19:34Z 11.4K followers, 65.2K engagements

"🚨 Macro Insight: The power of Chinese liquidity and its impact on Bitcoin Right now Chinas M2 money supply is 2.1x larger than that of the United States. While the U.S. M2 has been moving sideways for weeks Chinas keeps climbing nonstop now $XXXX trillion higher than the U.S. 💭The big question is: where are the Chinese planning to go with this colossal amount of liquidity Heres the interesting part and something few talk about: Every time Chinas M2 outpaces the U.S. Bitcoin tends to rise. But when this ratio flattens BTC also goes sideways. A Macro Alpha most people overlook yet it keeps"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-16T15:25Z 11.4K followers, 26.5K engagements

"Many short positions were opened in the short term based on the narrative that Bitcoins bull cycle is over In other words theres now a good chance BTC could bounce back to around $117K within a few hours Dont take this as financial advice Chart: @Alphractal"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-17T03:52Z 11.4K followers, 17.6K engagements

"Can Macro Metrics Predict the Next Bear Market New data reveals interesting macro patterns that could hint at where the U.S. economy is heading and possibly if a bear market could emerge in 2026. We know that markets dont crash out of nowhere. There are always early signals often hidden in the data. Lets look at a few metrics worth watching closely X Fed Financial Stress Delta Measures the year-over-year change in the Federal Reserves Financial Stress Index capturing how much pressure or relief has built up in financial markets over the last XX months. When stress rises sharply liquidity"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-17T19:48Z 11.4K followers, 7499 engagements

"🚨 Bybit Becomes the Exchange with the Highest Number of Perpetual Trades Since May the number of Perpetual trades on Bybit has skyrocketed surpassing Binance and interestingly this surge came mainly from the BTC-USD pair while BTC-USDT and BTC-USDC have remained relatively stable. On the spot market Binance has dominated for years losing its lead only during brief moments. This pattern suggests that one or more market makers have been actively trading BTC-USD on Bybit often with smaller position sizes especially after the Bybit hack news earlier in 2025. Whats even more intriguing: most of"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-17T22:43Z 11.4K followers, 4779 engagements

"Bitcoin Top: projected between $143.7K and $146.3K Thats the target based on Bitcoins cycle pattern and its performance decay over time. If BTC is in reaccumulation mark my words thats where were heading. But if its distribution the top is already behind us at $126K. Still I have strong doubts that the ATH has already happened. Every time I open the Alpha metrics some of them tell me otherwise. Im bookmarking this post to revisit it later lets see who ends up being right"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-18T03:23Z 11.4K followers, 36.6K engagements

"Nick Szabos signal. He analyzes BTC/GOLD instead of BTC/USD like everyone else. And hes saying the BTC/GOLD bottom is in"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-18T16:16Z 11.4K followers, 15.7K engagements

"Why dont we get games like Donkey Kong Country anymore 🎮 Today I got nostalgic playing DKC2 and vibing to that legendary soundtrack. Im into gamecoins these days and really miss seeing solid projects A classic platformer where you collect coins/items and can actually convert them would be 🔥 A true play-to-earn game 🎶 DKC2 OST:"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-01T20:12Z 11.3K followers, 2466 engagements

"An opportunity or the end"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-10T19:41Z 11.3K followers, 5869 engagements

"3 interesting metrics show that the market is going through a deleveraging phase X Liquidations 24h / Open Interest The higher this ratio the more liquidations have occurred both Long and Short. Coins like WFLI ZECDASH ZORA GIGGLE AIA among others have seen a significant number of positions wiped out. X Long Liquidation 24h / Open Interest This one focuses on coins that are falling and driving the markets deleveraging. In short traders were excessively long on these altcoins and the market dropped to liquidate them. X Short Liquidation 24h / Open Interest Here prices had to move up to wipe"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-10T20:21Z 11.3K followers, 7733 engagements

"For the first time since April the Stock Market Fear & Greed Index has dropped back to Fear levels. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is also sitting at Fear. Stocks = XX (Fear) Cryptos = XX (Fear) 📊Charts by @Alphractal"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-15T02:27Z 11.2K followers, 6668 engagements

"Has Bitcoins bull run come to an end 🧐 Are we entering a new Bear Market"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-16T00:32Z 11.3K followers, 11.3K engagements

"54% dont believe the Bitcoin cycle is over and think BTC wont enter a Bear Market right now Interesting"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-17T04:41Z 11.3K followers, 7957 engagements

"@TheLastTrueG The H&S pattern fails in about XX% of cases and theres actually a metric that tracks this. Also I didnt say to buy BTC. I said to swap Gold for BTC which is a completely different thing"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-18T15:18Z 11.3K followers, XXX engagements

"BTC volatility is about to spike aggressively I believe it will be a very strong move one that will catch the attention of those who didnt believe in our Alpha. But I need to hold back saying too much always opens the door to traps"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-02T15:56Z 11.4K followers, 8041 engagements

"After heavy volatility in the market Dash has remained strong and steady. Follow what the data is telling you not the narratives or the news"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-12T13:14Z 11.4K followers, 6344 engagements

"All the money that got liquidated yesterday plus the massive BTC sell-offs is flowing fast into other altcoins This week were going to see huge altcoin pumps that nobody even saw coming Mark it down its almost like a market promise"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-11T23:02Z 11.4K followers, 8571 engagements

"Some Alpha signals still havent indicated a buy on the daily chart. I believe that when they do BTC will make that jump. For now we might go through a few dull days a period that helps lower expectations. And who knows maybe during this time some altcoins could stand out This is about the daily chart on intraday there are several highly accurate signals for day trading but thats not the point of this post Charts: @Alphractal"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-13T16:21Z 11.4K followers, 6328 engagements

"Dogecoin has not yet reached euphoria and Short-Term Holders are accumulating. In December 2024 Doge reached its ATH for the current cycle exactly at the CVDD Alpha our custom metric for cycle tops based on Cumulative Value Days Destroyed which is a highly accurate indicator for identifying cycle bottoms. However when we look at the Reserve Risk indicator the 2024 top was weak and lacked strong on-chain interest. Still its interesting how the chart has perfectly called every Doge top since 2016. We are now seeing Short-Term Holders accumulating more Doge each day according to the Hodl Waves"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-13T23:20Z 11.4K followers, 8203 engagements

"🚨Today marks the key day that closes Bitcoins fractal cycle If the price drops significantly from here it will prove that everyone who believed the 4-year Bitcoin cycle wouldnt work anymore was wrong In my last post I share a bit more openly about what I truly believe👇"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-16T16:30Z 11.4K followers, 59.8K engagements

"October 2025 is already the second worst October in Bitcoins history. And get this in XX years only X Octobers closed in the red. Will this be the fifth or will BTC turn the game around and keep its Uptober tradition alive with a XX% chance of closing green 👀 Chart: @Alphractal"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-18T19:56Z 11.4K followers, 7277 engagements

"Whos Laughing Now in Bitcoin: Long-Term or Short-Term Holders Long-Term Holders (LTH) remain comfortable still sitting on solid profits. Meanwhile Short-Term Holders (STH) are feeling the pain holding bags in the red. If BTC climbs back above $113.2K the picture changes: many of those short-term holders would finally return to profit. But be careful that same level also acts as an important resistance zone where profit-taking could slow the price down. Now looking at it from a structural perspective: The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) for long-term holders which measures the unrealized"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-19T21:52Z 11.4K followers, 9784 engagements

"Many altcoins have just completed their final accumulation phase Now going against everyone who still believes in more downside I honestly think many memecoins game tokens and DeFi projects are about to outperform almost every other asset in the world. An accumulation usually happens right when everyones talking about a bear market when fear is at its peak thats when the big players quietly take their positions. Lets come back here soon to see how this plays out Charts: @Alphractal"
X Link @joao_wedson 2025-10-20T15:06Z 11.4K followers, 17K engagements

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