[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] #  @charliemansell Charlie Mansell Charlie Mansell posts on X about lucy, has been the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours. ### Engagements: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::14472234/interactions)  - X Week XXXXX +119% - X Month XXXXXX +24% - X Months XXXXXXX +4.50% - X Year XXXXXXX -XX% ### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::14472234/posts_active)  - X Week XX +30% - X Month XXX +6.20% - X Months XXX +4.90% - X Year XXX -X% ### Followers: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::14472234/followers)  - X Week XXXXX +0.70% - X Month XXXXX +2.40% - X Months XXXXX +8.30% - X Year XXXXX +8.80% ### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::14472234/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence [#](/creator/twitter::14472234/influence) --- **Social category influence** [currencies](/list/currencies) XX% [finance](/list/finance) XXXX% **Social topic influence** [lucy](/topic/lucy) 3.33%, [has been](/topic/has-been) XXXX% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@uklabour](/creator/undefined) [@sambarnesns](/creator/undefined) [@disabilitylab](/creator/undefined) [@socialisthealth](/creator/undefined) [@labourunionsuk](/creator/undefined) [@unitetheunion](/creator/undefined) [@unisontheunion](/creator/undefined) [@aslefunion](/creator/undefined) [@fbunational](/creator/undefined) [@tssaunion](/creator/undefined) [@socialistedu](/creator/undefined) [@lucympowell](/creator/undefined) [@esea4labour](/creator/undefined) [@soclablaw](/creator/undefined) [@jewishlabour](/creator/undefined) [@bphillipsonmp](/creator/undefined) [@labourlist](/creator/undefined) [@yougov](/creator/undefined) [@findoutnowuk](/creator/undefined) [@ethancroft98](/creator/undefined) ### Top Social Posts [#](/creator/twitter::14472234/posts) --- Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours "@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour XXX. Deputy Leader update. Whilst "Labour sources" suggest a closer result they r not yet claiming change in assumed outcome. However @EthanCroft98 has set out what I earlier described as the Phillipson "path to victory"" [X Link](https://x.com/charliemansell/status/1981684317974835205) [@charliemansell](/creator/x/charliemansell) 2025-10-24T11:28Z 4751 followers, XXX engagements "@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour @EthanCroft98 XXX. Deputy leader update. "Close Result Model 7" uses YouGov/CLP Noms est 56%-44% (4% closer than Survation) Powell memb lead but with 55%-45% Phillipson TU lead producing Powell 51%-49% result. If Phillipson got XX% of TU vote in model she wd win by 51%" [X Link](https://x.com/charliemansell/status/1981687806218109005) [@charliemansell](/creator/x/charliemansell) 2025-10-24T11:42Z 4751 followers, XXX engagements "@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour @EthanCroft98 @UnitePolitics XXX. Deputy leader update. A reason X can only model with past data & variables & not predict election is gen lack of electorate data. In most elections this wd b seen as quite strange so X might think @labourunionsuk wd want more transparancy in future" [X Link](https://x.com/charliemansell/status/1981697921507799215) [@charliemansell](/creator/x/charliemansell) 2025-10-24T12:22Z 4751 followers, XXX engagements "@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour @EthanCroft98 @UnitePolitics XXX. Deputy Leader update. Since Lucy Powell has led in all X polls & CLP noms too so 17k extra memb vote wd look X benefit her. One final caveat is that in 2010 Poll overestimated Ed Miliband memb vote by X% however more accurate in 2015 2016 & 2020" [X Link](https://x.com/charliemansell/status/1981820364914327722) [@charliemansell](/creator/x/charliemansell) 2025-10-24T20:29Z 4750 followers, XXX engagements "@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour @EthanCroft98 @UnitePolitics XXX. Deputy leader update. As I have said b4 whethr Lab memb is 180k (2007-2010) 240k-280k 309k or 550k a key element of its "institutional resilience" is 1.4m @labourunionsuk levy payers & TU XX% XX% XX% XX% XX% on X main Lab bodies & XX% on Regions/LGCs & XX% on CLP ECs" [X Link](https://x.com/charliemansell/status/1981700790919336377) [@charliemansell](/creator/x/charliemansell) 2025-10-24T12:34Z 4750 followers, XXX engagements "@ChatzSol @lewis_goodall It's a decision of NEC. It did from 2020 to 2024 (one of the rare times it gave a monthly figure) & will do in annual @ElectoralCommUK returns but has stopped being as regular. However there are ways to calculate it eg CLP trends & also other ways I won't divulge at this point" [X Link](https://x.com/charliemansell/status/1982036831257460980) [@charliemansell](/creator/x/charliemansell) 2025-10-25T10:49Z 4750 followers, XXX engagements "@AnnaCMcShane Whilst the member vote looks clear after all polls & CLP noms various models one can create make it unclear who the up to XX% of the vote who may be the TU political levy payer vote will go except for using past behaviour which could still have changed" [X Link](https://x.com/charliemansell/status/1981396149455245336) [@charliemansell](/creator/x/charliemansell) 2025-10-23T16:23Z 4719 followers, XX engagements "@BNHWalker I imagine the contact rate was a bit higher than the South Shields by-election starting X% No wonder there has been a shift to more regional level panel interviewing nowadays. It's not just about due diligence but also about voter engagement" [X Link](https://x.com/charliemansell/status/1981711934148743218) [@charliemansell](/creator/x/charliemansell) 2025-10-24T13:18Z 4726 followers, XXX engagements "@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour XXX. Deputy Leader Update. To b fair on all this I will add a few more models with different assumptions soon so when we get the result we can use the data there to drill back down and adjust the most accurate model to give a reasonable detaild assessment of what the vote meant" [X Link](https://x.com/charliemansell/status/1981317497535013264) [@charliemansell](/creator/x/charliemansell) 2025-10-23T11:11Z 4745 followers, XXX engagements "@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour XXX. Deputy Leader Update. One thing we cannot yet assess until we get the result is the comparative "ground game" (as opposed to "air war") of the X campaigns as that may impact on it. So far (eg CLP nominations) there is no evidence of any big disparity" [X Link](https://x.com/charliemansell/status/1981320422244180316) [@charliemansell](/creator/x/charliemansell) 2025-10-23T11:22Z 4746 followers, XXX engagements "@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour @EthanCroft98 @UnitePolitics XXX. Deputy Leader update. If we r cautious & add Survation's extra X% to t/o models that might mean 18k more memb voting & up to X% more of final vote compared to TU t/o model. However we do not know TU t/o so it cd b that is higher X in a higher t/o election" [X Link](https://x.com/charliemansell/status/1981817027443793942) [@charliemansell](/creator/x/charliemansell) 2025-10-24T20:16Z 4750 followers, XXX engagements "@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour @EthanCroft98 @UnitePolitics @iainjwatson @jessicaelgot @HarrietHarman @tom_watson @AngelaRayner XXX. Deputy Leader Update. We don't have an electorate breakdown by section but a reasonable split from past data might be 260k & 700k. If so then turnout wd have been XX% of memb (117k) & X% of affiliates (44k). Memb t/o wd then be lower than" [X Link](https://x.com/charliemansell/status/1982042305579418072) [@charliemansell](/creator/x/charliemansell) 2025-10-25T11:11Z 4750 followers, 2160 engagements "@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour @EthanCroft98 @UnitePolitics @iainjwatson @jessicaelgot @HarrietHarman @tom_watson @AngelaRayner XXX. Deputy Leader Update. If the electorate & t/o figure split above is correct & we use final YouGov/Find Out Now/CLP Noms cube rule similar % figures then vote split was as follows: Memb: Powell 66k (56%) Phillipson 51k (44%). TU's: Powell 21k" [X Link](https://x.com/charliemansell/status/1982044229942509997) [@charliemansell](/creator/x/charliemansell) 2025-10-25T11:19Z 4749 followers, 1931 engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
@charliemansell Charlie Mansell
Charlie Mansell posts on X about lucy, has been the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.
Engagements: XXXXX #
- X Week XXXXX +119%
- X Month XXXXXX +24%
- X Months XXXXXXX +4.50%
- X Year XXXXXXX -XX%
Mentions: XX #
- X Week XX +30%
- X Month XXX +6.20%
- X Months XXX +4.90%
- X Year XXX -X%
Followers: XXXXX #
- X Week XXXXX +0.70%
- X Month XXXXX +2.40%
- X Months XXXXX +8.30%
- X Year XXXXX +8.80%
CreatorRank: XXXXXXX #
Social Influence #
Social category influence currencies XX% finance XXXX%
Social topic influence lucy 3.33%, has been XXXX%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @uklabour @sambarnesns @disabilitylab @socialisthealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @aslefunion @fbunational @tssaunion @socialistedu @lucympowell @esea4labour @soclablaw @jewishlabour @bphillipsonmp @labourlist @yougov @findoutnowuk @ethancroft98
Top Social Posts #
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours
"@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour XXX. Deputy Leader update. Whilst "Labour sources" suggest a closer result they r not yet claiming change in assumed outcome. However @EthanCroft98 has set out what I earlier described as the Phillipson "path to victory""
X Link @charliemansell 2025-10-24T11:28Z 4751 followers, XXX engagements
"@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour @EthanCroft98 XXX. Deputy leader update. "Close Result Model 7" uses YouGov/CLP Noms est 56%-44% (4% closer than Survation) Powell memb lead but with 55%-45% Phillipson TU lead producing Powell 51%-49% result. If Phillipson got XX% of TU vote in model she wd win by 51%"
X Link @charliemansell 2025-10-24T11:42Z 4751 followers, XXX engagements
"@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour @EthanCroft98 @UnitePolitics XXX. Deputy leader update. A reason X can only model with past data & variables & not predict election is gen lack of electorate data. In most elections this wd b seen as quite strange so X might think @labourunionsuk wd want more transparancy in future"
X Link @charliemansell 2025-10-24T12:22Z 4751 followers, XXX engagements
"@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour @EthanCroft98 @UnitePolitics XXX. Deputy Leader update. Since Lucy Powell has led in all X polls & CLP noms too so 17k extra memb vote wd look X benefit her. One final caveat is that in 2010 Poll overestimated Ed Miliband memb vote by X% however more accurate in 2015 2016 & 2020"
X Link @charliemansell 2025-10-24T20:29Z 4750 followers, XXX engagements
"@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour @EthanCroft98 @UnitePolitics XXX. Deputy leader update. As I have said b4 whethr Lab memb is 180k (2007-2010) 240k-280k 309k or 550k a key element of its "institutional resilience" is 1.4m @labourunionsuk levy payers & TU XX% XX% XX% XX% XX% on X main Lab bodies & XX% on Regions/LGCs & XX% on CLP ECs"
X Link @charliemansell 2025-10-24T12:34Z 4750 followers, XXX engagements
"@ChatzSol @lewis_goodall It's a decision of NEC. It did from 2020 to 2024 (one of the rare times it gave a monthly figure) & will do in annual @ElectoralCommUK returns but has stopped being as regular. However there are ways to calculate it eg CLP trends & also other ways I won't divulge at this point"
X Link @charliemansell 2025-10-25T10:49Z 4750 followers, XXX engagements
"@AnnaCMcShane Whilst the member vote looks clear after all polls & CLP noms various models one can create make it unclear who the up to XX% of the vote who may be the TU political levy payer vote will go except for using past behaviour which could still have changed"
X Link @charliemansell 2025-10-23T16:23Z 4719 followers, XX engagements
"@BNHWalker I imagine the contact rate was a bit higher than the South Shields by-election starting X% No wonder there has been a shift to more regional level panel interviewing nowadays. It's not just about due diligence but also about voter engagement"
X Link @charliemansell 2025-10-24T13:18Z 4726 followers, XXX engagements
"@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour XXX. Deputy Leader Update. To b fair on all this I will add a few more models with different assumptions soon so when we get the result we can use the data there to drill back down and adjust the most accurate model to give a reasonable detaild assessment of what the vote meant"
X Link @charliemansell 2025-10-23T11:11Z 4745 followers, XXX engagements
"@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour XXX. Deputy Leader Update. One thing we cannot yet assess until we get the result is the comparative "ground game" (as opposed to "air war") of the X campaigns as that may impact on it. So far (eg CLP nominations) there is no evidence of any big disparity"
X Link @charliemansell 2025-10-23T11:22Z 4746 followers, XXX engagements
"@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour @EthanCroft98 @UnitePolitics XXX. Deputy Leader update. If we r cautious & add Survation's extra X% to t/o models that might mean 18k more memb voting & up to X% more of final vote compared to TU t/o model. However we do not know TU t/o so it cd b that is higher X in a higher t/o election"
X Link @charliemansell 2025-10-24T20:16Z 4750 followers, XXX engagements
"@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour @EthanCroft98 @UnitePolitics @iainjwatson @jessicaelgot @HarrietHarman @tom_watson @AngelaRayner XXX. Deputy Leader Update. We don't have an electorate breakdown by section but a reasonable split from past data might be 260k & 700k. If so then turnout wd have been XX% of memb (117k) & X% of affiliates (44k). Memb t/o wd then be lower than"
X Link @charliemansell 2025-10-25T11:11Z 4750 followers, 2160 engagements
"@SamBarnesNS @DisabilityLab @SocialistHealth @labourunionsuk @unitetheunion @unisontheunion @ASLEFunion @fbunational @TSSAunion @SocialistEdu @LucyMPowell @ESEA4Labour @SocLabLaw @JewishLabour @bphillipsonMP @LabourList @YouGov @FindoutnowUK @X @UKLabour @EthanCroft98 @UnitePolitics @iainjwatson @jessicaelgot @HarrietHarman @tom_watson @AngelaRayner XXX. Deputy Leader Update. If the electorate & t/o figure split above is correct & we use final YouGov/Find Out Now/CLP Noms cube rule similar % figures then vote split was as follows: Memb: Powell 66k (56%) Phillipson 51k (44%). TU's: Powell 21k"
X Link @charliemansell 2025-10-25T11:19Z 4749 followers, 1931 engagements