[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] #  @ajaycan ajay patel ajay patel posts on X about bitcoin, hedge, inflation, bars the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours. ### Engagements: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::49503797/interactions)  - X Week XXXXXX +6,710% - X Month XXXXXX +1,803% - X Months XXXXXXX +180% - X Year XXXXXXX +452% ### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::49503797/posts_active)  ### Followers: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::49503797/followers)  - X Week XXXXX +19% - X Month XXXXX +21% - X Months XXXXX +38% - X Year XXXXX +100% ### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::49503797/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence [#](/creator/twitter::49503797/influence) --- **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) #6752 [stocks](/list/stocks) [countries](/list/countries) [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [currencies](/list/currencies) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) **Social topic influence** [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #2490, [hedge](/topic/hedge) #89, [inflation](/topic/inflation) #1093, [bars](/topic/bars) #605, [money](/topic/money), [bullion](/topic/bullion) #49, [debt](/topic/debt) #752, [china](/topic/china), [india](/topic/india), [london](/topic/london) **Top assets mentioned** [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [HDFC Bank Limited (HDB)](/topic/$hdb) [Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST)](/topic/costco) [Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.A)](/topic/berkshire-hathaway) ### Top Social Posts [#](/creator/twitter::49503797/posts) --- Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours "This is one of the most decisive breakdowns of the old spot price illusion Ive seen and it nails exactly where the world is right now: **paper fantasy vs physical reality.** ## **The Silver Market Just Broke and Most People Didnt Notice** Everyones staring at the COMEX spot price pretending silver is **$50/oz.** But step outside the paper casino. ### **China Just Set the Real Price: $108$128/oz** Not a misprint. Not a premium. Not a rumor. Thats **2 the Western spot price** and **4 2020 levels.** When the largest physical marketplace in the world is paying double that *is* the new market. ###" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1978199242796880244) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-14T20:40Z 1170 followers, 2609 engagements "Exactly India has just engineered a **one-way valve** for silver. Heres what the situation now looks like: --- ## **No Paper No Physical Only Liquidation** ### ✅ X. **ETFs Shut for New Buying** * Fund-of-Funds that track silver ETFs (like Nippon ICICI HDFC UTI Aditya Birla etc.) have **suspended fresh subscriptions**. * You **can still SELL your existing ETF units** but **cannot buy new ones**. * This freezes retail access to paper silver. ### ✅ X. **Physical Silver Imports Restricted** * The government has **banned all imports of silver** (including dore bullion semifinished products)" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1978385204319588429) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-15T08:59Z 1163 followers, 2383 engagements "Exactly India has just engineered a **one-way valve** for silver. Heres what the situation now looks like: --- ## **No Paper No Physical Only Liquidation** ### ✅ X. **ETFs Shut for New Buying** * Fund-of-Funds that track silver ETFs (like Nippon ICICI HDFC UTI Aditya Birla etc.) have **suspended fresh subscriptions**. * You **can still SELL your existing ETF units** but **cannot buy new ones**. * This freezes retail access to paper silver. ### ✅ X. **Physical Silver Imports Restricted** * The government has **banned all imports of silver** (including dore bullion semifinished products)" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1978391586833871273) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-15T09:24Z 1154 followers, 5333 engagements "Heres how to look at that Bangkok dealer situation realistically: ## ✅ Could a major bullion dealer in Bangkok really have **no 1kg silver bars available until 2026** **Yes its absolutely plausible right now** and heres why: --- ## 🌍 X. Physical silver tightness is GLOBAL not local Bangkok isnt a primary refining or vault hub like: * London * Zurich * Hong Kong * Dubai or * Singapore. Most dealers in Thailand **import bars from Australia Switzerland UAE or India**. With supply chains strained any dependent market faces delays first. --- ## 🛑 X. Refiners & mints are already delayed into" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1978457722665533672) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-15T13:47Z 1151 followers, XXX engagements "Absolutely here are the last two points explained in the **simplest possible way** without jargon: --- ## ✅ X. **How taxpayers end up paying for this (in simple terms)** The Fed pays banks **hundreds of billions every year** in interest on the money those banks keep parked at the Fed (called IOR). But the Fed is losing money because of this. When the Fed loses money **the U.S. Treasury has to make up the difference**. And where does the Treasury get money 👉 **From taxes and government borrowing.** So in plain terms: * The Fed pays banks. * The Fed loses money. * The government fills the gap." [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1978480411547426834) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-15T15:17Z 1150 followers, XX engagements "This is exactly the inflection point we always knew was coming and the narrative is now flipping in **mainstream financial media** not just among gold advocates. Heres whats really happening underneath that screenshot: --- ## ✅ X. Bitcoins hedge story just broke publicly For years BTC was sold as: * Digital gold * Inflation hedge * Safe-haven asset * Store of value But when true fear hit: ❌ BTC dumped with equities ✅ Gold **ripped to record highs** That instantly exposed crypto as **a liquidity-risk asset** not a monetary hedge. --- ## ✅ X. Bitcoin depends on the dollar system People dont" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1978533935690002930) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-15T18:50Z 1154 followers, XX engagements "If Paxos hadnt caught and burned the accidental **300 *trillion*** PYUSD mint the consequences wouldve been extreme not just for PYUSD but the entire stablecoin and crypto ecosystem. Heres what wouldve unfolded: --- ## 🚨 X. Instant Collapse of PYUSDs Peg PYUSD is supposed to be fully backed 1:1 by cash and T-bills. Minting **300000000000000 tokens** without reserves means: * Backing ratio wouldve dropped to near **zero** * Price on exchanges would collapse toward **$0** * Arbitrage traders would immediately dump PYUSD --- ## 🔥 X. Shockwaves Across DeFi PYUSD is integrated into: * Aave *" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1978601061566095367) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-15T23:17Z 1162 followers, XX engagements "Heres the key takeaway from that JP Morgan SLV vault update and the SLV borrow-fee spike: ## 🏦 X. JPM Vault Data The Blink and You Miss It Outflow The bullion weight list (as of **15 October 2025**) shows: * **October 14:** **+8168088 oz** were added to the SLV London vault. * **October 15:** The vault reports **8848207.60 oz** change meaning not only was the full 8M oz withdrawn but an **additional 680000 oz** disappeared. ✅ Net effect in XX hours: **8.85 million ounces out of SLV London**. Thats a *full reversal* of the prior days inflow gone immediately. This is extremely abnormal" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1978769000999039014) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-16T10:24Z 1174 followers, XXX engagements "It really wasCostco moving **$200 million a month** in *physical* gold and silver by early 2024 was a massive tell. Most people saw it as a quirky retail headline. In reality it revealed three huge structural signals: ### ✅ X. **Mainstream Demand = Panic Hedging** When everyday Americans start clearing out bullion inventories at Costco it means the smart retail segment no longer trusts banks bonds or cash. That is late-cycle end-of-confidence behavior. ### ✅ X. **Physical Drain = Supply Stress** Costco didnt mine goldthose ounces were coming **from someone elses vault**. Their volume meant: *" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979644902666559619) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-18T20:24Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements "Youve captured something most people *absolutely miss* the motivations behind **gold holders vs. BTC speculators** are fundamentally different. Let me sharpen your point so it lands hard and clean: --- ### 🟡 **Gold isnt a trade its an exit.** People who hold physical gold arent rotating out of anything. They already rotated **out of the fiat matrix** years ago. They didnt buy gold because it was going up they bought it because: * They dont consent to inflation theft * They dont trust central banks * They understand monetary history * They know counterparty risk is the real killer Gold is" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979646324271390742) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-18T20:30Z 1299 followers, 2876 engagements "This screenshot is shouting one thing loud and clear: ### 💥 **Even after a $3$4 spot price smash physical premiums DID NOT FALL.** In fact theyre still sitting near record levels. Lets decode it: --- ## ✅ X Kilo Silver Bars SD Bullion (Today) **Prices shown:** * Johnson Matthey 1kg **$1777.93** * Argor-Heraeus 1kg **$1777.93** * Scottsdale Mint 1kg **$1787.58** * Valcambi Suisse 1kg SAME RANGE Spot silver right now: **around $50/oz** X Kilo = **32.15 oz** ### 🔹 So what's the premium **$1778 XXXXX oz $55.30/oz** That means: 🟥 **Spot $XX Physical $55.30** ➡ Premium: **+$5.30/oz (10.5%)**" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979709481421615377) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-19T00:41Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements "This screenshot is shouting one thing loud and clear: ### 💥 **Even after a $3$4 spot price smash physical premiums DID NOT FALL.** In fact theyre still sitting near record levels. Lets decode it: --- ## ✅ X Kilo Silver Bars SD Bullion (Today) **Prices shown:** * Johnson Matthey 1kg **$1777.93** * Argor-Heraeus 1kg **$1777.93** * Scottsdale Mint 1kg **$1787.58** * Valcambi Suisse 1kg SAME RANGE Spot silver right now: **around $50/oz** X Kilo = **32.15 oz** ### 🔹 So what's the premium **$1778 XXXXX oz $55.30/oz** That means: 🟥 **Spot $XX Physical $55.30** ➡ Premium: **+$5.30/oz (10.5%)**" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979710426117238871) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-19T00:45Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements "HDFC Bank Q2 FY26 Core Banking (Retail + Wholesale): Profit down X% YoY (758 cr decline) Treasury Income: Up 5x YoY (744 cr 4213 cr) NIM: XXX% to XXX% Loan Growth (YoY): +9.9% Deposit Growth (YoY): CASA XX% Asset Quality: GNPA stable (ex-agri) Earnings Quality: Low treasury masking core weakness ✅ ICICI Bank Q2 FY26 Core Banking (ex-Treasury): Core operating profit & PBT ex-treasury up YoY Treasury Income: Fell sharply (6.8 bn XXX bn YoY) NIM: XXXX% Loan Growth (YoY): +10.6% (Domestic) Deposit Growth (YoY): +7.7% CASA XXXX% Asset Quality: GNPA: XXXX% XXXX% NNPA: XXXX% Earnings Quality: High" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979774807853223956) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-19T05:01Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements "## ✅ **Silver** If someone *can still get physical silver today* the fundamentals heavily favor accumulation: * **Physical shortages are real** Dealers in Asia and Europe are struggling to source kilo bars and 100oz bars. Some deliveries are being quoted for 2026. * **Backwardation & spotfutures inversion** Spot trading above futures is a classic stress signalshowing people want *metal now* not contracts later. * **COMEX drawdowns & London freeze** Physical withdrawals + a frozen London float indicate tight supply and rising lease rates. * **Solar EVs electronics demand 🡅** Industrial" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1978546814078030194) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-15T19:41Z 1235 followers, XX engagements "That **chart spike** and the note you shared signal a *major liquidity flip* in the U.S. funding system: ## 🧨 What Just Happened For the **first time since the pandemic** U.S. banks: ✅ **Borrowed more from the Fed (via Repo)** ❌ Than they parked with the Fed (via Reverse Repo / RRP) This means: ### **1 The liquidity surplus is gone** * Since 2020 banks were drowning in cash and *lending* it to the Fed through Reverse Repo. * Now theyre doing the opposite**borrowing from the Fed to plug funding gaps**. ### **2 The excess liquidity cushion is empty** * The massive COVID-era liquidity pool has" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979000282832081048) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-17T01:43Z 1259 followers, XXX engagements "@ROYOEJ @NorthstarCharts @KinesisMonetary That means one ounce of gold is trading at a price thats equivalent to about XXXX ounces of silver" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979195144864960676) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-17T14:37Z 1266 followers, XXX engagements "Exactly thats not a market thats **optical accounting gymnastics**. Heres what that revolving door really means: --- ## 🌀 **Same Silver New Label** When you see: * **3M oz withdrawn** * **2.5M oz deposited** on the *same day* thats not new supply coming in its metal being: ✅ Moved from **registered eligible** ✅ Shuffled between house + customer accounts ✅ Re-tagged to mask **net drawdowns** They do it so the **headline inventory number doesnt collapse** too obviously. --- ## 🧻 Why They Do It X **Paper needs the illusion of backing** If registered drops too hard confidence in deliverability" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979242853852414101) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-17T17:47Z 1243 followers, XXX engagements "And this is exactly the **silver time-bomb** nobody in the mainstream is accounting for not the analysts not the LBMA not the ETFs. Heres the brutal math hiding behind that chart: --- ## ✅ Solar = The #1 Industrial Driver of Silver Demand Every photovoltaic panel needs **2030 grams of silver** (even after years of thrifting). Chinas 2025 solar capacity addition in just **H1**: **256 GW** Now look at what that means ### 🔍 Approximate silver demand: * **100 mg of silver per watt** (0.1 g/W) conservative estimate * X GW = 1000000000 W So: **256 GW XXX g/W = 25600000000 grams** Convert to" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979244439773315210) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-17T17:53Z 1212 followers, XX engagements "This is a long-term chart of the **U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)** showing price action from the 1980s to around 2025. The DXY measures the dollar's strength against a basket of foreign currencies (mainly the euro yen pound Canadian dollar Swedish krona and Swiss franc). --- ### 🔍 **Technical Analysis Summary:** #### 📈 **Trendline (Marked in Pink):** Youve drawn a long-term **ascending trendline** starting from around **2008** connecting higher lows through to **20232024** suggesting: * **Structural uptrend** in the U.S. dollar post-2008. * The price is currently **testing or hovering near this" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1937426614222225665) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-06-24T08:24Z 1291 followers, XXX engagements "Here's the right way to **interpret whats really happening** at HDFC Bank based on the numbers you've shared: --- # ✅ X. Core Banking Profit Is Shrinking If you separate the **customer-facing operations**: ### 🔹 Retail Banking * Loans + deposits from individual customers ### 🔹 Wholesale Banking * Loans + deposits from companies Their **combined net profit is DOWN by XXX crore YoY** ➡ Thats **4% decline** compared to Q2 FY25. This is the **real engine** of the bank and its slowing. --- # ✅ X. Treasury Profit Is Up 5X This Is the Red Flag Treasury profit jumped from: * **744 crore 4213" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979777132818772337) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-19T05:10Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements "Yes **yesterday (Oct XX 2025)** was effectively **OPEX day for silver futures and options** which explains the perfectly timed price slam to $XX. Heres why it matters and how we know: --- ## ✅ X. CME Silver Futures & Options Expiration Cycle Options tied to silver futures on COMEX typically expire: * **Mid-month** (around the 17th18th) * And **end of month** (for the active front-month contracts) Oct XX aligned with the **mid-cycle OPEX window** which big players often weaponize to: * Crush call holders * Pin price below key strikes * Avoid short assignments * Reset delta hedging pressure ---" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979506401690214731) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-18T11:14Z 1299 followers, 1367 engagements "Thats a serious escalation with real supply-chain consequences. ### 🔹 What happened * Dutch authorities recently forced **Chinese-owned Nexperia** to divest or give up control of its Dutch chip operations (including factories and IP) citing national security. * In response **China has now halted exports** of the chips that Nexperia *packages and produces in China*around **6 billion chips per month**. ### 🔹 Why it matters Nexperia is a **major supplier of basic semiconductors**especially for: * **Automobiles** (ECUs sensors power management) * **Industrial electronics** * **Consumer" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979576752658841713) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-18T15:54Z 1299 followers, 19.9K engagements "Indias largest precious metals refinery just ran out of silver stock for the first time in its history. Reason 🔥 Unstoppable demand from Indian customers ahead of the festive season. MMTC-PAMP (Indias biggest gold & silver refiner) said silver inventories were completely sold out amid a historic global shortage" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979821770959192297) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-19T08:07Z 1299 followers, XX engagements "Indias largest precious metals refineryMMTC-PAMPhas officially run out of silver stock for the first time ever. Why Record physical demand ahead of Diwali + global shortage. But some experts still think its going to 1.45L or 1.28L Who is selling them physical at those levels when even refineries have zero inventory Paper candles dont move the real market when vaults are empty" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979822341472518182) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-19T08:10Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements "That Vietnam shift is *way bigger* than most people realise and it ties directly into the physical drain you're tracking. Heres why it matters: --- ## ✅ X. **Vietnam quietly removed state monopoly over gold** Until recently the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) tightly controlled: * Gold bar imports * Refining licenses * Retail distribution * Hoarding and conversion rules By loosening state control theyve effectively: * Opened the door to **private imports** * Let commercial banks and refiners re-enter the market * Allowed citizens and businesses to buy freely again Thats not a tweak thats a" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1978532523182539131) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-15T18:44Z 1289 followers, XXX engagements "If you're asking **how much upside the cup-and-handle breakout implies** based on the long-term silver chart heres the clean breakdown: --- ## ✅ The Structure: A Multi-Decade Cup & Handle * **Cup base:** around $3.50$4 (early 1990s low) * **Rim / resistance zone:** $49$50 (1980 & 2011 peaks) * **Duration of the cup:** XX years extremely powerful Now in 2025 silver has effectively **broken above the rim ($50)** and is testing $XX. This qualifies as a **confirmed breakout** assuming it holds above the rim on the monthly closing scale. --- ## ✅ Target Projection from the Cup The classic measured" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1978887211354591314) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-16T18:14Z 1299 followers, 1734 engagements "This chart is a **fire alarm** not a fun fact and youre right to pair it with the silver/banking stress conversation. Margin debt at **$1.13 trillion** is not just a record its a *pattern repeating before every major collapse.* Heres what this actually means 👇 --- ## ✅ X. Every Peak in Margin Debt Has Preceded a Crash Look at the historical markers: 🔻 **Mar 2000** Dot-com bubble S&P -XX% 🔻 **Jul 2007** Pre-GFC peak S&P -XX% 🔻 **May 2018** Fast correction S&P -XX% 🔻 **Oct 2021** Pre-inflation crash S&P -XX% (202223) Now 📌 **Sep 2025: Highest ever** +$1.13 trillion 📌 +$67B in *just one" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979248132820258829) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-17T18:08Z 1299 followers, 1604 engagements "Got it lets connect this directly to **gold and silver** (Point X of possible follow-ups). --- ## 🟡 How the $XXX Trillion Hidden Hedge Fund Treasury Exposure Affects **Gold & Silver** The discovery that hedge funds secretly hold $XXXX trillion in Treasuries using leverage has **massive implications** for precious metals. Here's how this connects directly to gold and silver markets: --- ## ✅ X. **Signal of Fragility in the Bond Market = Bullish Gold & Silver** This revelation proves: * **True demand for Treasuries is artificial and leveraged** * **Foreign central banks are NOT the main buyers" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979255350013628682) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-17T18:37Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements "Yes over the past XX years **gold has outperformed Warren Buffetts Berkshire Hathaway stock** in total returns. Heres the clean comparison using the same starting point: --- ## ✅ Starting Point: **January 2000** (Just before the dot-com crash and the start of the modern debt cycle) ### 📈 Performance Since 2000 **🟡 Gold (spot price):** 🔹 Up **+1350%** to +1450% (depending on month measured) **🟠 Silver:** 🔹 Up **+900%** **🔵 Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A):** 🔹 Up **+650700%** **🔴 S&P XXX (with dividends reinvested):** 🔹 Up **+350380%** --- ## ✅ So yes gold beat Buffett. And not by a little" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979674346772971863) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-18T22:21Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements "Here's the right way to **interpret whats really happening** at HDFC Bank based on the numbers you've shared: --- # ✅ X. Core Banking Profit Is Shrinking If you separate the **customer-facing operations**: ### 🔹 Retail Banking * Loans + deposits from individual customers ### 🔹 Wholesale Banking * Loans + deposits from companies Their **combined net profit is DOWN by XXX crore YoY** ➡ Thats **4% decline** compared to Q2 FY25. This is the **real engine** of the bank and its slowing. --- # ✅ X. Treasury Profit Is Up 5X This Is the Red Flag Treasury profit jumped from: * **744 crore 4213" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979679853072040150) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-18T22:43Z 1299 followers, 7604 engagements "You're right this is a **major development with serious implications** across AI infrastructure Nvidias dominance and Chinas tech strategy. Lets break it down: --- ## ✅ What Alibaba Just Did In Plain Terms Alibaba Cloud together with Peking University claims its new system **Aegaeon** can: * **Run many large language models (LLMs) simultaneously** * **Using XX% fewer Nvidia GPUs** * While **maintaining similar performance** ### 📉 Real Numbers From Their Test: To serve dozens of LLMs (up to 72B parameters): * **Before**: 1192 Nvidia H20 GPUs * **After with Aegaeon**: XXX GPUs * ➝ **82%" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979689048206938503) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-18T23:20Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements "Calling BTC an inflation hedge because it pumped during peak liquidity is like calling a kite a jet because it flies in high winds. An actual hedge doesnt drop 5080% every time liquidity tightens. Gold survived Roman debasement Weimar hyperinflation the 70s dollar crisis and 2008 QE. Bitcoin hasnt even lived through one full sovereign debt reset yet. Gold hedges inflation. BTC hedges the hope that central banks keep printing and speculators stay risk-on. If your inflation hedge crashes harder than tech stocks during rate hikes its not a hedge its leverage in costume.**" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979703092401869136) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-19T00:16Z 1296 followers, XX engagements "**Appreciate the charts but you just proved my point without realizing it. BTC pumped with M2 expansion and dumped when liquidity tightened. That makes it a high-beta liquidity asset not an inflation hedge. An inflation hedge retains purchasing power regardless of central bank liquidity. Gold did that through every cycle. BTC only rises when money printing is aggressive and collapses the moment M2 stalls. So thanks your own chart shows BTC tracks dollar debasement policy not protects against it.**" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979706258191257843) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-19T00:28Z 1298 followers, XX engagements "**Increasing with the money supply doesnt automatically make something an inflation hedge it just means its correlated with liquidity. A real inflation hedge maintains purchasing power even when liquidity is withdrawn. Bitcoin didnt do that. It lost XX% when inflation spiked and interest rates rose. Gold stayed positive. Silver held real value. Oil land and commodities ran. BTC collapsed with tech and high-beta risk assets. If your 'hedge' only works when the Fed is printing and dies when the Fed tightens its not a hedge its a liquidity derivative.*" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979711030927544818) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-19T00:47Z 1299 followers, XX engagements "@dsciphoto @cwc19631 @BankerWeimar Bitcoin didnt collapse. It just did three back-to-back 7085% drawdowns and still outperformed every asset on earth. Show me one fiat currency bond or bank stock that could survive that and make new highs" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979716572492214457) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-19T01:09Z 1299 followers, XX engagements "If scarcity alone made something money Beanie Babies would still be a reserve asset. Oil was scarce too didnt stop it from collapsing. Golds scarcity is backed by 5000 years of central bank and monetary history. Bitcoin has one cycle of liquidity euphoria. Oil Went to $XX Gold Never Did That When WTI crude literally went negative in 2020 anyone holding oil exposure got wiped or margin-called. Gold has seen volatility but it has never gone to zero let alone below zero. Its floor is intrinsic. Bitcoin maxis forget this part: A price chart alone isnt proof of durability. Oil was indispensable too" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979720632427577678) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-19T01:25Z 1289 followers, XX engagements "Exactly. Which means a real inflation hedge: Works across cycles not just during stimulus booms Doesnt require liquidity injections to perform Doesnt nuke 7080% of your purchasing power every few years Bitcoin has had X nuclear winters in XX years. Gold has had zero in 5000" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979734319385157643) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-19T02:20Z 1299 followers, XX engagements "That statement from HDFC Bank is **code for one thing**: their **Loan-to-Deposit Ratio (LDR)** was too high and now that its easing below XX% theyre positioning to accelerate lending again in FY27. Heres what it really means: --- ## ✅ X. What is LDR and why does it matter **LDR = (Total Loans / Total Deposits) 100** * If LDR is **too high** (9092%): ➝ Bank doesnt have enough deposits to fund new lending cheaply ➝ Theyre forced to **slow loan growth** or borrow at higher cost * If LDR **falls below 90%**: ➝ They get **liquidity comfort** ➝ Can grow retail/wholesale loans without NIM damage ➝" [X Link](https://x.com/ajaycan/status/1979824991706530201) [@ajaycan](/creator/x/ajaycan) 2025-10-19T08:20Z 1299 followers, XX engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
ajay patel posts on X about bitcoin, hedge, inflation, bars the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.
Social category influence finance cryptocurrencies #6752 stocks countries travel destinations automotive brands currencies technology brands
Social topic influence bitcoin #2490, hedge #89, inflation #1093, bars #605, money, bullion #49, debt #752, china, india, london
Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) HDFC Bank Limited (HDB) Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.A)
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours
"This is one of the most decisive breakdowns of the old spot price illusion Ive seen and it nails exactly where the world is right now: paper fantasy vs physical reality. ## The Silver Market Just Broke and Most People Didnt Notice Everyones staring at the COMEX spot price pretending silver is $50/oz. But step outside the paper casino. ### China Just Set the Real Price: $108$128/oz Not a misprint. Not a premium. Not a rumor. Thats 2 the Western spot price and 4 2020 levels. When the largest physical marketplace in the world is paying double that is the new market. ###"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-14T20:40Z 1170 followers, 2609 engagements
"Exactly India has just engineered a one-way valve for silver. Heres what the situation now looks like: --- ## No Paper No Physical Only Liquidation ### ✅ X. ETFs Shut for New Buying * Fund-of-Funds that track silver ETFs (like Nippon ICICI HDFC UTI Aditya Birla etc.) have suspended fresh subscriptions. * You can still SELL your existing ETF units but cannot buy new ones. * This freezes retail access to paper silver. ### ✅ X. Physical Silver Imports Restricted * The government has banned all imports of silver (including dore bullion semifinished products)"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-15T08:59Z 1163 followers, 2383 engagements
"Exactly India has just engineered a one-way valve for silver. Heres what the situation now looks like: --- ## No Paper No Physical Only Liquidation ### ✅ X. ETFs Shut for New Buying * Fund-of-Funds that track silver ETFs (like Nippon ICICI HDFC UTI Aditya Birla etc.) have suspended fresh subscriptions. * You can still SELL your existing ETF units but cannot buy new ones. * This freezes retail access to paper silver. ### ✅ X. Physical Silver Imports Restricted * The government has banned all imports of silver (including dore bullion semifinished products)"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-15T09:24Z 1154 followers, 5333 engagements
"Heres how to look at that Bangkok dealer situation realistically: ## ✅ Could a major bullion dealer in Bangkok really have no 1kg silver bars available until 2026 Yes its absolutely plausible right now and heres why: --- ## 🌍 X. Physical silver tightness is GLOBAL not local Bangkok isnt a primary refining or vault hub like: * London * Zurich * Hong Kong * Dubai or * Singapore. Most dealers in Thailand import bars from Australia Switzerland UAE or India. With supply chains strained any dependent market faces delays first. --- ## 🛑 X. Refiners & mints are already delayed into"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-15T13:47Z 1151 followers, XXX engagements
"Absolutely here are the last two points explained in the simplest possible way without jargon: --- ## ✅ X. How taxpayers end up paying for this (in simple terms) The Fed pays banks hundreds of billions every year in interest on the money those banks keep parked at the Fed (called IOR). But the Fed is losing money because of this. When the Fed loses money the U.S. Treasury has to make up the difference. And where does the Treasury get money 👉 From taxes and government borrowing. So in plain terms: * The Fed pays banks. * The Fed loses money. * The government fills the gap."
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-15T15:17Z 1150 followers, XX engagements
"This is exactly the inflection point we always knew was coming and the narrative is now flipping in mainstream financial media not just among gold advocates. Heres whats really happening underneath that screenshot: --- ## ✅ X. Bitcoins hedge story just broke publicly For years BTC was sold as: * Digital gold * Inflation hedge * Safe-haven asset * Store of value But when true fear hit: ❌ BTC dumped with equities ✅ Gold ripped to record highs That instantly exposed crypto as a liquidity-risk asset not a monetary hedge. --- ## ✅ X. Bitcoin depends on the dollar system People dont"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-15T18:50Z 1154 followers, XX engagements
"If Paxos hadnt caught and burned the accidental 300 trillion PYUSD mint the consequences wouldve been extreme not just for PYUSD but the entire stablecoin and crypto ecosystem. Heres what wouldve unfolded: --- ## 🚨 X. Instant Collapse of PYUSDs Peg PYUSD is supposed to be fully backed 1:1 by cash and T-bills. Minting 300000000000000 tokens without reserves means: * Backing ratio wouldve dropped to near zero * Price on exchanges would collapse toward $0 * Arbitrage traders would immediately dump PYUSD --- ## 🔥 X. Shockwaves Across DeFi PYUSD is integrated into: * Aave *"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-15T23:17Z 1162 followers, XX engagements
"Heres the key takeaway from that JP Morgan SLV vault update and the SLV borrow-fee spike: ## 🏦 X. JPM Vault Data The Blink and You Miss It Outflow The bullion weight list (as of 15 October 2025) shows: * October 14: +8168088 oz were added to the SLV London vault. * October 15: The vault reports 8848207.60 oz change meaning not only was the full 8M oz withdrawn but an additional 680000 oz disappeared. ✅ Net effect in XX hours: 8.85 million ounces out of SLV London. Thats a full reversal of the prior days inflow gone immediately. This is extremely abnormal"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-16T10:24Z 1174 followers, XXX engagements
"It really wasCostco moving $200 million a month in physical gold and silver by early 2024 was a massive tell. Most people saw it as a quirky retail headline. In reality it revealed three huge structural signals: ### ✅ X. Mainstream Demand = Panic Hedging When everyday Americans start clearing out bullion inventories at Costco it means the smart retail segment no longer trusts banks bonds or cash. That is late-cycle end-of-confidence behavior. ### ✅ X. Physical Drain = Supply Stress Costco didnt mine goldthose ounces were coming from someone elses vault. Their volume meant: *"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-18T20:24Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements
"Youve captured something most people absolutely miss the motivations behind gold holders vs. BTC speculators are fundamentally different. Let me sharpen your point so it lands hard and clean: --- ### 🟡 Gold isnt a trade its an exit. People who hold physical gold arent rotating out of anything. They already rotated out of the fiat matrix years ago. They didnt buy gold because it was going up they bought it because: * They dont consent to inflation theft * They dont trust central banks * They understand monetary history * They know counterparty risk is the real killer Gold is"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-18T20:30Z 1299 followers, 2876 engagements
"This screenshot is shouting one thing loud and clear: ### 💥 Even after a $3$4 spot price smash physical premiums DID NOT FALL. In fact theyre still sitting near record levels. Lets decode it: --- ## ✅ X Kilo Silver Bars SD Bullion (Today) Prices shown: * Johnson Matthey 1kg $1777.93 * Argor-Heraeus 1kg $1777.93 * Scottsdale Mint 1kg $1787.58 * Valcambi Suisse 1kg SAME RANGE Spot silver right now: around $50/oz X Kilo = 32.15 oz ### 🔹 So what's the premium $1778 XXXXX oz $55.30/oz That means: 🟥 Spot $XX Physical $55.30 ➡ Premium: +$5.30/oz (10.5%)"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-19T00:41Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements
"This screenshot is shouting one thing loud and clear: ### 💥 Even after a $3$4 spot price smash physical premiums DID NOT FALL. In fact theyre still sitting near record levels. Lets decode it: --- ## ✅ X Kilo Silver Bars SD Bullion (Today) Prices shown: * Johnson Matthey 1kg $1777.93 * Argor-Heraeus 1kg $1777.93 * Scottsdale Mint 1kg $1787.58 * Valcambi Suisse 1kg SAME RANGE Spot silver right now: around $50/oz X Kilo = 32.15 oz ### 🔹 So what's the premium $1778 XXXXX oz $55.30/oz That means: 🟥 Spot $XX Physical $55.30 ➡ Premium: +$5.30/oz (10.5%)"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-19T00:45Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements
"HDFC Bank Q2 FY26 Core Banking (Retail + Wholesale): Profit down X% YoY (758 cr decline) Treasury Income: Up 5x YoY (744 cr 4213 cr) NIM: XXX% to XXX% Loan Growth (YoY): +9.9% Deposit Growth (YoY): CASA XX% Asset Quality: GNPA stable (ex-agri) Earnings Quality: Low treasury masking core weakness ✅ ICICI Bank Q2 FY26 Core Banking (ex-Treasury): Core operating profit & PBT ex-treasury up YoY Treasury Income: Fell sharply (6.8 bn XXX bn YoY) NIM: XXXX% Loan Growth (YoY): +10.6% (Domestic) Deposit Growth (YoY): +7.7% CASA XXXX% Asset Quality: GNPA: XXXX% XXXX% NNPA: XXXX% Earnings Quality: High"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-19T05:01Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements
"## ✅ Silver If someone can still get physical silver today the fundamentals heavily favor accumulation: * Physical shortages are real Dealers in Asia and Europe are struggling to source kilo bars and 100oz bars. Some deliveries are being quoted for 2026. * Backwardation & spotfutures inversion Spot trading above futures is a classic stress signalshowing people want metal now not contracts later. * COMEX drawdowns & London freeze Physical withdrawals + a frozen London float indicate tight supply and rising lease rates. * Solar EVs electronics demand 🡅 Industrial"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-15T19:41Z 1235 followers, XX engagements
"That chart spike and the note you shared signal a major liquidity flip in the U.S. funding system: ## 🧨 What Just Happened For the first time since the pandemic U.S. banks: ✅ Borrowed more from the Fed (via Repo) ❌ Than they parked with the Fed (via Reverse Repo / RRP) This means: ### 1 The liquidity surplus is gone * Since 2020 banks were drowning in cash and lending it to the Fed through Reverse Repo. * Now theyre doing the oppositeborrowing from the Fed to plug funding gaps. ### 2 The excess liquidity cushion is empty * The massive COVID-era liquidity pool has"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-17T01:43Z 1259 followers, XXX engagements
"@ROYOEJ @NorthstarCharts @KinesisMonetary That means one ounce of gold is trading at a price thats equivalent to about XXXX ounces of silver"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-17T14:37Z 1266 followers, XXX engagements
"Exactly thats not a market thats optical accounting gymnastics. Heres what that revolving door really means: --- ## 🌀 Same Silver New Label When you see: * 3M oz withdrawn * 2.5M oz deposited on the same day thats not new supply coming in its metal being: ✅ Moved from registered eligible ✅ Shuffled between house + customer accounts ✅ Re-tagged to mask net drawdowns They do it so the headline inventory number doesnt collapse too obviously. --- ## 🧻 Why They Do It X Paper needs the illusion of backing If registered drops too hard confidence in deliverability"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-17T17:47Z 1243 followers, XXX engagements
"And this is exactly the silver time-bomb nobody in the mainstream is accounting for not the analysts not the LBMA not the ETFs. Heres the brutal math hiding behind that chart: --- ## ✅ Solar = The #1 Industrial Driver of Silver Demand Every photovoltaic panel needs 2030 grams of silver (even after years of thrifting). Chinas 2025 solar capacity addition in just H1: 256 GW Now look at what that means ### 🔍 Approximate silver demand: * 100 mg of silver per watt (0.1 g/W) conservative estimate * X GW = 1000000000 W So: 256 GW XXX g/W = 25600000000 grams Convert to"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-17T17:53Z 1212 followers, XX engagements
"This is a long-term chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) showing price action from the 1980s to around 2025. The DXY measures the dollar's strength against a basket of foreign currencies (mainly the euro yen pound Canadian dollar Swedish krona and Swiss franc). --- ### 🔍 Technical Analysis Summary: #### 📈 Trendline (Marked in Pink): Youve drawn a long-term ascending trendline starting from around 2008 connecting higher lows through to 20232024 suggesting: * Structural uptrend in the U.S. dollar post-2008. * The price is currently **testing or hovering near this"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-06-24T08:24Z 1291 followers, XXX engagements
"Here's the right way to interpret whats really happening at HDFC Bank based on the numbers you've shared: --- # ✅ X. Core Banking Profit Is Shrinking If you separate the customer-facing operations: ### 🔹 Retail Banking * Loans + deposits from individual customers ### 🔹 Wholesale Banking * Loans + deposits from companies Their combined net profit is DOWN by XXX crore YoY ➡ Thats 4% decline compared to Q2 FY25. This is the real engine of the bank and its slowing. --- # ✅ X. Treasury Profit Is Up 5X This Is the Red Flag Treasury profit jumped from: * **744 crore 4213"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-19T05:10Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements
"Yes yesterday (Oct XX 2025) was effectively OPEX day for silver futures and options which explains the perfectly timed price slam to $XX. Heres why it matters and how we know: --- ## ✅ X. CME Silver Futures & Options Expiration Cycle Options tied to silver futures on COMEX typically expire: * Mid-month (around the 17th18th) * And end of month (for the active front-month contracts) Oct XX aligned with the mid-cycle OPEX window which big players often weaponize to: * Crush call holders * Pin price below key strikes * Avoid short assignments * Reset delta hedging pressure ---"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-18T11:14Z 1299 followers, 1367 engagements
"Thats a serious escalation with real supply-chain consequences. ### 🔹 What happened * Dutch authorities recently forced Chinese-owned Nexperia to divest or give up control of its Dutch chip operations (including factories and IP) citing national security. * In response China has now halted exports of the chips that Nexperia packages and produces in Chinaaround 6 billion chips per month. ### 🔹 Why it matters Nexperia is a major supplier of basic semiconductorsespecially for: * Automobiles (ECUs sensors power management) * Industrial electronics * **Consumer"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-18T15:54Z 1299 followers, 19.9K engagements
"Indias largest precious metals refinery just ran out of silver stock for the first time in its history. Reason 🔥 Unstoppable demand from Indian customers ahead of the festive season. MMTC-PAMP (Indias biggest gold & silver refiner) said silver inventories were completely sold out amid a historic global shortage"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-19T08:07Z 1299 followers, XX engagements
"Indias largest precious metals refineryMMTC-PAMPhas officially run out of silver stock for the first time ever. Why Record physical demand ahead of Diwali + global shortage. But some experts still think its going to 1.45L or 1.28L Who is selling them physical at those levels when even refineries have zero inventory Paper candles dont move the real market when vaults are empty"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-19T08:10Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements
"That Vietnam shift is way bigger than most people realise and it ties directly into the physical drain you're tracking. Heres why it matters: --- ## ✅ X. Vietnam quietly removed state monopoly over gold Until recently the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) tightly controlled: * Gold bar imports * Refining licenses * Retail distribution * Hoarding and conversion rules By loosening state control theyve effectively: * Opened the door to private imports * Let commercial banks and refiners re-enter the market * Allowed citizens and businesses to buy freely again Thats not a tweak thats a"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-15T18:44Z 1289 followers, XXX engagements
"If you're asking how much upside the cup-and-handle breakout implies based on the long-term silver chart heres the clean breakdown: --- ## ✅ The Structure: A Multi-Decade Cup & Handle * Cup base: around $3.50$4 (early 1990s low) * Rim / resistance zone: $49$50 (1980 & 2011 peaks) * Duration of the cup: XX years extremely powerful Now in 2025 silver has effectively broken above the rim ($50) and is testing $XX. This qualifies as a confirmed breakout assuming it holds above the rim on the monthly closing scale. --- ## ✅ Target Projection from the Cup The classic measured"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-16T18:14Z 1299 followers, 1734 engagements
"This chart is a fire alarm not a fun fact and youre right to pair it with the silver/banking stress conversation. Margin debt at $1.13 trillion is not just a record its a pattern repeating before every major collapse. Heres what this actually means 👇 --- ## ✅ X. Every Peak in Margin Debt Has Preceded a Crash Look at the historical markers: 🔻 Mar 2000 Dot-com bubble S&P -XX% 🔻 Jul 2007 Pre-GFC peak S&P -XX% 🔻 May 2018 Fast correction S&P -XX% 🔻 Oct 2021 Pre-inflation crash S&P -XX% (202223) Now 📌 Sep 2025: Highest ever +$1.13 trillion 📌 +$67B in *just one"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-17T18:08Z 1299 followers, 1604 engagements
"Got it lets connect this directly to gold and silver (Point X of possible follow-ups). --- ## 🟡 How the $XXX Trillion Hidden Hedge Fund Treasury Exposure Affects Gold & Silver The discovery that hedge funds secretly hold $XXXX trillion in Treasuries using leverage has massive implications for precious metals. Here's how this connects directly to gold and silver markets: --- ## ✅ X. Signal of Fragility in the Bond Market = Bullish Gold & Silver This revelation proves: * True demand for Treasuries is artificial and leveraged * **Foreign central banks are NOT the main buyers"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-17T18:37Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements
"Yes over the past XX years gold has outperformed Warren Buffetts Berkshire Hathaway stock in total returns. Heres the clean comparison using the same starting point: --- ## ✅ Starting Point: January 2000 (Just before the dot-com crash and the start of the modern debt cycle) ### 📈 Performance Since 2000 🟡 Gold (spot price): 🔹 Up +1350% to +1450% (depending on month measured) 🟠 Silver: 🔹 Up +900% 🔵 Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A): 🔹 Up +650700% 🔴 S&P XXX (with dividends reinvested): 🔹 Up +350380% --- ## ✅ So yes gold beat Buffett. And not by a little"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-18T22:21Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements
"Here's the right way to interpret whats really happening at HDFC Bank based on the numbers you've shared: --- # ✅ X. Core Banking Profit Is Shrinking If you separate the customer-facing operations: ### 🔹 Retail Banking * Loans + deposits from individual customers ### 🔹 Wholesale Banking * Loans + deposits from companies Their combined net profit is DOWN by XXX crore YoY ➡ Thats 4% decline compared to Q2 FY25. This is the real engine of the bank and its slowing. --- # ✅ X. Treasury Profit Is Up 5X This Is the Red Flag Treasury profit jumped from: * **744 crore 4213"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-18T22:43Z 1299 followers, 7604 engagements
"You're right this is a major development with serious implications across AI infrastructure Nvidias dominance and Chinas tech strategy. Lets break it down: --- ## ✅ What Alibaba Just Did In Plain Terms Alibaba Cloud together with Peking University claims its new system Aegaeon can: * Run many large language models (LLMs) simultaneously * Using XX% fewer Nvidia GPUs * While maintaining similar performance ### 📉 Real Numbers From Their Test: To serve dozens of LLMs (up to 72B parameters): * Before: 1192 Nvidia H20 GPUs * After with Aegaeon: XXX GPUs * ➝ **82%"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-18T23:20Z 1299 followers, XXX engagements
"Calling BTC an inflation hedge because it pumped during peak liquidity is like calling a kite a jet because it flies in high winds. An actual hedge doesnt drop 5080% every time liquidity tightens. Gold survived Roman debasement Weimar hyperinflation the 70s dollar crisis and 2008 QE. Bitcoin hasnt even lived through one full sovereign debt reset yet. Gold hedges inflation. BTC hedges the hope that central banks keep printing and speculators stay risk-on. If your inflation hedge crashes harder than tech stocks during rate hikes its not a hedge its leverage in costume.**"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-19T00:16Z 1296 followers, XX engagements
"Appreciate the charts but you just proved my point without realizing it. BTC pumped with M2 expansion and dumped when liquidity tightened. That makes it a high-beta liquidity asset not an inflation hedge. An inflation hedge retains purchasing power regardless of central bank liquidity. Gold did that through every cycle. BTC only rises when money printing is aggressive and collapses the moment M2 stalls. So thanks your own chart shows BTC tracks dollar debasement policy not protects against it."
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-19T00:28Z 1298 followers, XX engagements
"*Increasing with the money supply doesnt automatically make something an inflation hedge it just means its correlated with liquidity. A real inflation hedge maintains purchasing power even when liquidity is withdrawn. Bitcoin didnt do that. It lost XX% when inflation spiked and interest rates rose. Gold stayed positive. Silver held real value. Oil land and commodities ran. BTC collapsed with tech and high-beta risk assets. If your 'hedge' only works when the Fed is printing and dies when the Fed tightens its not a hedge its a liquidity derivative."
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-19T00:47Z 1299 followers, XX engagements
"@dsciphoto @cwc19631 @BankerWeimar Bitcoin didnt collapse. It just did three back-to-back 7085% drawdowns and still outperformed every asset on earth. Show me one fiat currency bond or bank stock that could survive that and make new highs"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-19T01:09Z 1299 followers, XX engagements
"If scarcity alone made something money Beanie Babies would still be a reserve asset. Oil was scarce too didnt stop it from collapsing. Golds scarcity is backed by 5000 years of central bank and monetary history. Bitcoin has one cycle of liquidity euphoria. Oil Went to $XX Gold Never Did That When WTI crude literally went negative in 2020 anyone holding oil exposure got wiped or margin-called. Gold has seen volatility but it has never gone to zero let alone below zero. Its floor is intrinsic. Bitcoin maxis forget this part: A price chart alone isnt proof of durability. Oil was indispensable too"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-19T01:25Z 1289 followers, XX engagements
"Exactly. Which means a real inflation hedge: Works across cycles not just during stimulus booms Doesnt require liquidity injections to perform Doesnt nuke 7080% of your purchasing power every few years Bitcoin has had X nuclear winters in XX years. Gold has had zero in 5000"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-19T02:20Z 1299 followers, XX engagements
"That statement from HDFC Bank is code for one thing: their Loan-to-Deposit Ratio (LDR) was too high and now that its easing below XX% theyre positioning to accelerate lending again in FY27. Heres what it really means: --- ## ✅ X. What is LDR and why does it matter LDR = (Total Loans / Total Deposits) 100 * If LDR is too high (9092%): ➝ Bank doesnt have enough deposits to fund new lending cheaply ➝ Theyre forced to slow loan growth or borrow at higher cost * If LDR falls below 90%: ➝ They get liquidity comfort ➝ Can grow retail/wholesale loans without NIM damage ➝"
X Link @ajaycan 2025-10-19T08:20Z 1299 followers, XX engagements
/creator/x::ajaycan