[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] #  @PlaysSaheb Saheb Singh Saheb Singh posts on X about cb, radar, jamaica, everytime the most. They currently have XX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours. ### Engagements: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1374096372782280705/interactions)  - X Week XXXXX +263% - X Month XXXXX +2,564% - X Months XXXXXX +1,987% - X Year XXXXXX +564% ### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::1374096372782280705/posts_active)  ### Followers: XX [#](/creator/twitter::1374096372782280705/followers)  - X Week XX +22% - X Month XX +55% - X Months XX +564% ### CreatorRank: XXXXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1374096372782280705/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence [#](/creator/twitter::1374096372782280705/influence) --- **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) XXXXX% [countries](/list/countries) XXXX% **Social topic influence** [cb](/topic/cb) #285, [radar](/topic/radar) 5.36%, [jamaica](/topic/jamaica) 3.57%, [everytime](/topic/everytime) #186, [rates](/topic/rates) #1125, [sw](/topic/sw) 3.57%, [atl](/topic/atl) 3.57%, [sat](/topic/sat) 3.57%, [events](/topic/events) 1.79%, [see the](/topic/see-the) XXXX% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@jimcantore](/creator/undefined) [@wxmann](/creator/undefined) [@uhhhhhhhhhhh345](/creator/undefined) [@lividwx](/creator/undefined) [@psimmswx](/creator/undefined) [@adamluciowx](/creator/undefined) [@drewshearer444](/creator/undefined) [@burgwx](/creator/undefined) [@elysiahaley](/creator/undefined) [@matthewcappucci](/creator/undefined) [@volcaholic1](/creator/undefined) [@225mphef4](/creator/undefined) [@andyhazelton](/creator/undefined) [@getemld](/creator/undefined) [@sekaiwx](/creator/undefined) [@nexanews](/creator/undefined) [@tornadoclipss](/creator/undefined) [@weathermanaaa](/creator/undefined) [@get_emld](/creator/undefined) ### Top Social Posts [#](/creator/twitter::1374096372782280705/posts) --- Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours "@Get_EMLd We are not getting the point here. The season parameters organise in Europe to produce organised events ie Northern Tornado Corridor in climatology in a certain setup over a period in regions. Fall season is the Dixie season (anomalously expanded in cases) svr + tornadoes uptick" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1981498095784378511) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-23T23:08Z XX followers, XX engagements "Note the contraction and slow translation N due to sudden 200-850mb mean flow change" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982230571410403510) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-25T23:39Z XX followers, XX engagements "New vs old Looks to be wobbling now more characteristic of EWRC effect continuing the MERC effect still generating instability after the long term stable it held NW quad and all CDO. Not like the RWEC on IRG + radar prior. #melissa" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982613189734154516) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-27T00:59Z XX followers, XXX engagements "Some semblance of double wind maxima with the backwards C curl that lingering for around 1h the EWRC probabilities with increase later the attempt for early was not complete thus the generation of concentric ring has not matured for EWRC type contraction but later probable" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982496379529515393) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T17:15Z XX followers, XXX engagements "Noting - The apparent C curl ring is prolonged now at the S quad so contraction forcing is occurring whilst the outer concentric ring is starting to mature largely already in NE but beginning SW this could force uptick in sfc wind as well as deep CBs inner CDO" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982505932014969084) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T17:53Z XX followers, XX engagements "If VDM is hinting at narrow inner eyewall towards pinhole then intensity would start to increase. Will have to see the correlation to causation particularly NE E (sub quad) to SE with healthy FL sfc mixing and most intense wind cyclonic rot. able to transcend thru" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982509438440530370) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T18:07Z XX followers, XX engagements "-Momentum transporting and vort. stretching with sfc eyewall adiabatic favouring eyewall including outside forcing of mesovort. merge + contraction forcing increase rate of rot. of strongest winds" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982509442752242023) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T18:07Z XX followers, XX engagements "Classic ball shape reminiscent of 140kts equivalent TCs but this TC by ground obs. is non traditional it is very hard to know that stuff without ground obs. but you'd have to not sheep the Dvorak. This is analogous to Erick 25' earlier which is the only other non traditional" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982517126926843984) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T18:38Z XX followers, XX engagements "TC I can think of. Also there is a wind lag particularly W quad but also lag in the sfc wind mixing from a mature CDO structure post CB rings and the contraction" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982517131037303024) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T18:38Z XX followers, X engagements "Called it above without knowing the dropsonde. Its because this theory method works everytime as it approaches the practical uncertainty first before obs. Intensity based on FL sfc mixing to increase sfc above FL makes sense as it occurred yesterday and also the contraction" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982519905103831044) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T18:49Z XX followers, XXX engagements "I think +SRH is shaping the NE quad well although IRG kind of implies the intensity will be altercated with EWRC the fate is dependent but if it sustains contraction at this size the intensity could graze 140kts at this same point for a pass" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982523060558475530) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T19:01Z XX followers, XXX engagements "@Sekai_WX @NexaNews_ looks like contraction sustained without mature EWRC developing concentric ring inner core is too stable and intense like Milton also the spiral banding merged several times" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982524113391607910) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T19:05Z XX followers, XXX engagements "Radar is back up to support. It also appears the spiral bands merged and the faint line had EWRC failure due to the stability of the core and the intense inward forcing with eyewall pressure gradient in intensification period to prevent it forming one mature concentric ring" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982531116801360269) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T19:33Z XX followers, XX engagements "As a result this extreme contraction is allowing FL winds increase and extremely stability presents with subsident forcing rates increasing much greater than eye IR increase now N quad is experiencing 124kts FL with SE at 125kts FL so sfc could be 3-5kts higher" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982531121025032584) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T19:33Z XX followers, XX engagements "Uh oh is indeed correct Melissa is more quickly having a shrinking eyewall with the rate of CB banding dramatically increasing and a wobble effect with the eye including the CDO minus eye gradient sharpening up very quickly this could lead to faster less expected pressure" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982577660795793768) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T22:38Z XX followers, XXX engagements "I refer to this effect as rapidly rapid wobble eyewall contraction (I call RWEC) which Milton performed as it was just N of Yucatan. On full IR loop it is apparent rather than using the latest X frame (more typical)" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982579831721308565) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T22:47Z XX followers, XXX engagements "I am still conflicted as I do not think the TC wobbled much in consequence to eyewall contraction I don't think that suits this case Milton was a very unique case this is likely what Levi mentioned as well as OHC pockets DAI extrusions completed shear pocket removed etc" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982671289195319743) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-27T04:50Z XX followers, XX engagements "I mentioned forecast intensity at 160-170kts SW Jamaica tracks FNV3 with the slow translation speed (OHC + SSTs exceed environmental shear spaces and orographically enhanced) would occur considering MPI at 165kts but favoured intensity is 150-155kts in close approach where" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982229886614831203) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-25T23:36Z XX followers, XX engagements "-eye scene type may not reach maturity in time for contraction by shear + shear induced DAI to the W although the other point is more leaned to again" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982229990641950903) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-25T23:37Z XX followers, XX engagements "The avg. CDO IR is about to reach -83Deg C if complete with current which is unheard of CDO development (CDO scene type Dvorak for comparison to analogue) almost only seen in West Pacific" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982235264530411748) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-25T23:58Z XX followers, XXX engagements "Some perhaps not EWRC contraction already in the inner eyewall with remnant green reflectivity lost suggesting 100kts imminent and mature NW SW and quicker maturation to NE despite some fill in to E needed. The MPERC appears with a the deep red gradient showing this (RI product)" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982237819012518073) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T00:08Z XX followers, XX engagements "You may not need Dvorak obs. (of course recon but in practice sat. obs.) but the TC has the classic fossil shape for TCs approaching 100kts analogues to Beryl 24' Milton 24' even Yagi 24' and the CDO has the vigorous CB ring to demonstrate eye scene type is quite close" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982243243350741310) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T00:29Z XX followers, XXX engagements "VDM report was reduced LB 20s mi radii to 17mi a lot of contraction representative of CB ring avg. -XX Deg C almost (inner CDO) blackbody pixel at -90-91 Deg C which is scarily cold tops and dual VHT pattern appears every time the larger CB ring makes XX% W quad rotations" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982255826216583359) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T01:19Z XX followers, XX engagements "-Analogous to Humberto 25' but with prolonged period with improved background profile I think the consensus is higher intensity than 150kts in theory. The CDO ring also has fully formed with inst. eye scene type and clearing therefore pressure deepening needed +subsident forcing" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982256509821042891) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T01:22Z XX followers, XX engagements "Starting to appear with classic buzzsaw Dvorak appearance towards T6.0 and the N quad CB ring is very tight with persistent almost IR symmetric CB ring persistent suggesting brute development note how on Zehr eye isn't even sig. clear but the CDO is becoming more round already" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982280967608795217) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T02:59Z XX followers, XXX engagements "This is insane levels of RO development even some areas early Milton did not exhibit. The persistent sfc-FL wind pattern evident but oddly the VDM supporting the obs. of rapidly cooling eye although its warmed to 27Deg C likely the product of eye maturation well before" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982283529414209630) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T03:09Z XX followers, XXX engagements "-supposed too with also the 20nmi increase this however looks reasonable although there could be a jump here and there the mature state of the eyewall looks to hold yet so contraction dependent on how much NE CBs orientate cyclonically inwards and towards NW which is probable" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982283532471775612) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T03:09Z XX followers, XX engagements "I believe this is the 2nd full CDO CB ring already and there's new CB ring sustaining the current thus the smooth laminar avg. CDO temp. -83Deg C min. with SE higher towards -85Deg C and the eye has -40Deg C now indicating eye clearing will slowly undergo with centre of circ. " [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982290589094670337) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T03:38Z XX followers, XXX engagements "Symmetry alone the TC is generating within each 50mi even smoothing to CDO with this process evident and active with the -88Deg C CB ring wrapping in curl very sharp C turn indicates perhaps early contraction than expected which leaves behind a tight inner CDO and expanding" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982298184404639954) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-26T04:08Z XX followers, XXX engagements "Looks to be a product of MERC with a rapid CB ring -83Deg C initiating in NW quad not SE in this occasion and propagating along the SE CDO ring which has sustained -83-85Deg C this could mean contraction further despite VDM 15nmi to shrink with again more forcing mechanism to" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982604177420517512) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-27T00:24Z XX followers, XX engagements "Very analogous TC CDO evolution (particularly post CDO T7.0 type consolidation) to Typhoon Yagi 24' #melissa" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982605729963049247) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-27T00:30Z XX followers, XXX engagements "Due to the lack of pinhole 6nmi eye (or VDM confirmed/radar size rapid contraction in nmi) and the full CDO not attaining with the MERC interference it may have had half effect than typical where it usually cause a spike where they don't last that long at peak (more so lead up)" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982641764642279517) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-27T02:53Z XX followers, XX engagements "Shallow warm clouds keep obscuring WV IR however again 1Deg C flux means the bottom of -14.2Deg C leans on -13.2Deg C min. which means that the TC is once again very stable for a fairly decent duration perhaps longer in this case than before with the T7.0 Dvorak ball structure" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982646952291704996) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-27T03:14Z XX followers, XX engagements "I'm pretty sure thats a 20Deg C eye with inner gradient -69-75 to CDO max (CB ring) of -85Deg C which is extremely rare and usually T7.5 Dvorak (of course there are inhibitors with eye symmetry warming WV IR inner CDO roundness outer CDO persistence) casually achieved in ATL" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982646957198963182) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-27T03:14Z XX followers, XX engagements "@WeathermanAAA_ Conventional sat obs. are towards T7.2-7.4 with even AI ML CIMS fix pushing 150kts it is quite crazy but in reality they are correct in what they are observing as by manual Dvorak it can only be achieved thru this anyways. Of course this TC is non traditional in p/w" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982649804594483392) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-27T03:25Z XX followers, XXX engagements "I personally have to add that the TC denoted intensity is also random and the 6h avg. is looking at a CB ring and presuming mature development where it is not or it is assuming the p/w with consequent pressure drops on steroids with low values then isnt adjusting to recon:" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982658174965678271) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-27T03:58Z XX followers, XX engagements "White is post -80Deg C CDO pink ring or T7.0 type manual Dvorak and non shaded is pre showing the overshoot adjusting. Uncertainty bracket is probably 20kts through a lot of this development today which is unaffordable margin" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982658179529159093) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-27T03:58Z XX followers, XX engagements "If you look closely to Melissa inner CDO towards eyewall there are rapid streamers of CBs continually cyclonic orbiting around a very distinct mature TC intensification seen in very stable cores of the most robust Atl TCs Milton had this sustained for a good duration in RWEC" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982670208369037732) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-27T04:46Z XX followers, XXX engagements "Something in vis sat. like Beryl like Milton that you won't just see. This is historic. I believe (by analysis) would be most recent Category X landfall since Iota 20'" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982673208273973635) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-27T04:58Z XX followers, XX engagements "Symmetric CDO cooling and a very smooth overall CDO minus eye gradient with small maxima in NE any obtuse eye shape to mesovort. Almost purely red (on radarscope would be 60dBz) reflectivity in the eyewall (Don't take this seriously) presumption it may reach 150kts 917mb pass" [X Link](https://x.com/PlaysSaheb/status/1982679006261780766) [@PlaysSaheb](/creator/x/PlaysSaheb) 2025-10-27T05:21Z XX followers, XX engagements
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@PlaysSaheb Saheb Singh
Saheb Singh posts on X about cb, radar, jamaica, everytime the most. They currently have XX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.
Engagements: XXXXX #
- X Week XXXXX +263%
- X Month XXXXX +2,564%
- X Months XXXXXX +1,987%
- X Year XXXXXX +564%
Mentions: XX #
Followers: XX #
- X Week XX +22%
- X Month XX +55%
- X Months XX +564%
CreatorRank: XXXXXXXXX #
Social Influence #
Social category influence finance XXXXX% countries XXXX%
Social topic influence cb #285, radar 5.36%, jamaica 3.57%, everytime #186, rates #1125, sw 3.57%, atl 3.57%, sat 3.57%, events 1.79%, see the XXXX%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @jimcantore @wxmann @uhhhhhhhhhhh345 @lividwx @psimmswx @adamluciowx @drewshearer444 @burgwx @elysiahaley @matthewcappucci @volcaholic1 @225mphef4 @andyhazelton @getemld @sekaiwx @nexanews @tornadoclipss @weathermanaaa @get_emld
Top Social Posts #
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours
"@Get_EMLd We are not getting the point here. The season parameters organise in Europe to produce organised events ie Northern Tornado Corridor in climatology in a certain setup over a period in regions. Fall season is the Dixie season (anomalously expanded in cases) svr + tornadoes uptick"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-23T23:08Z XX followers, XX engagements
"Note the contraction and slow translation N due to sudden 200-850mb mean flow change"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-25T23:39Z XX followers, XX engagements
"New vs old Looks to be wobbling now more characteristic of EWRC effect continuing the MERC effect still generating instability after the long term stable it held NW quad and all CDO. Not like the RWEC on IRG + radar prior. #melissa"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-27T00:59Z XX followers, XXX engagements
"Some semblance of double wind maxima with the backwards C curl that lingering for around 1h the EWRC probabilities with increase later the attempt for early was not complete thus the generation of concentric ring has not matured for EWRC type contraction but later probable"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T17:15Z XX followers, XXX engagements
"Noting - The apparent C curl ring is prolonged now at the S quad so contraction forcing is occurring whilst the outer concentric ring is starting to mature largely already in NE but beginning SW this could force uptick in sfc wind as well as deep CBs inner CDO"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T17:53Z XX followers, XX engagements
"If VDM is hinting at narrow inner eyewall towards pinhole then intensity would start to increase. Will have to see the correlation to causation particularly NE E (sub quad) to SE with healthy FL sfc mixing and most intense wind cyclonic rot. able to transcend thru"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T18:07Z XX followers, XX engagements
"-Momentum transporting and vort. stretching with sfc eyewall adiabatic favouring eyewall including outside forcing of mesovort. merge + contraction forcing increase rate of rot. of strongest winds"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T18:07Z XX followers, XX engagements
"Classic ball shape reminiscent of 140kts equivalent TCs but this TC by ground obs. is non traditional it is very hard to know that stuff without ground obs. but you'd have to not sheep the Dvorak. This is analogous to Erick 25' earlier which is the only other non traditional"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T18:38Z XX followers, XX engagements
"TC I can think of. Also there is a wind lag particularly W quad but also lag in the sfc wind mixing from a mature CDO structure post CB rings and the contraction"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T18:38Z XX followers, X engagements
"Called it above without knowing the dropsonde. Its because this theory method works everytime as it approaches the practical uncertainty first before obs. Intensity based on FL sfc mixing to increase sfc above FL makes sense as it occurred yesterday and also the contraction"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T18:49Z XX followers, XXX engagements
"I think +SRH is shaping the NE quad well although IRG kind of implies the intensity will be altercated with EWRC the fate is dependent but if it sustains contraction at this size the intensity could graze 140kts at this same point for a pass"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T19:01Z XX followers, XXX engagements
"@Sekai_WX @NexaNews_ looks like contraction sustained without mature EWRC developing concentric ring inner core is too stable and intense like Milton also the spiral banding merged several times"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T19:05Z XX followers, XXX engagements
"Radar is back up to support. It also appears the spiral bands merged and the faint line had EWRC failure due to the stability of the core and the intense inward forcing with eyewall pressure gradient in intensification period to prevent it forming one mature concentric ring"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T19:33Z XX followers, XX engagements
"As a result this extreme contraction is allowing FL winds increase and extremely stability presents with subsident forcing rates increasing much greater than eye IR increase now N quad is experiencing 124kts FL with SE at 125kts FL so sfc could be 3-5kts higher"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T19:33Z XX followers, XX engagements
"Uh oh is indeed correct Melissa is more quickly having a shrinking eyewall with the rate of CB banding dramatically increasing and a wobble effect with the eye including the CDO minus eye gradient sharpening up very quickly this could lead to faster less expected pressure"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T22:38Z XX followers, XXX engagements
"I refer to this effect as rapidly rapid wobble eyewall contraction (I call RWEC) which Milton performed as it was just N of Yucatan. On full IR loop it is apparent rather than using the latest X frame (more typical)"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T22:47Z XX followers, XXX engagements
"I am still conflicted as I do not think the TC wobbled much in consequence to eyewall contraction I don't think that suits this case Milton was a very unique case this is likely what Levi mentioned as well as OHC pockets DAI extrusions completed shear pocket removed etc"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-27T04:50Z XX followers, XX engagements
"I mentioned forecast intensity at 160-170kts SW Jamaica tracks FNV3 with the slow translation speed (OHC + SSTs exceed environmental shear spaces and orographically enhanced) would occur considering MPI at 165kts but favoured intensity is 150-155kts in close approach where"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-25T23:36Z XX followers, XX engagements
"-eye scene type may not reach maturity in time for contraction by shear + shear induced DAI to the W although the other point is more leaned to again"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-25T23:37Z XX followers, XX engagements
"The avg. CDO IR is about to reach -83Deg C if complete with current which is unheard of CDO development (CDO scene type Dvorak for comparison to analogue) almost only seen in West Pacific"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-25T23:58Z XX followers, XXX engagements
"Some perhaps not EWRC contraction already in the inner eyewall with remnant green reflectivity lost suggesting 100kts imminent and mature NW SW and quicker maturation to NE despite some fill in to E needed. The MPERC appears with a the deep red gradient showing this (RI product)"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T00:08Z XX followers, XX engagements
"You may not need Dvorak obs. (of course recon but in practice sat. obs.) but the TC has the classic fossil shape for TCs approaching 100kts analogues to Beryl 24' Milton 24' even Yagi 24' and the CDO has the vigorous CB ring to demonstrate eye scene type is quite close"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T00:29Z XX followers, XXX engagements
"VDM report was reduced LB 20s mi radii to 17mi a lot of contraction representative of CB ring avg. -XX Deg C almost (inner CDO) blackbody pixel at -90-91 Deg C which is scarily cold tops and dual VHT pattern appears every time the larger CB ring makes XX% W quad rotations"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T01:19Z XX followers, XX engagements
"-Analogous to Humberto 25' but with prolonged period with improved background profile I think the consensus is higher intensity than 150kts in theory. The CDO ring also has fully formed with inst. eye scene type and clearing therefore pressure deepening needed +subsident forcing"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T01:22Z XX followers, XX engagements
"Starting to appear with classic buzzsaw Dvorak appearance towards T6.0 and the N quad CB ring is very tight with persistent almost IR symmetric CB ring persistent suggesting brute development note how on Zehr eye isn't even sig. clear but the CDO is becoming more round already"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T02:59Z XX followers, XXX engagements
"This is insane levels of RO development even some areas early Milton did not exhibit. The persistent sfc-FL wind pattern evident but oddly the VDM supporting the obs. of rapidly cooling eye although its warmed to 27Deg C likely the product of eye maturation well before"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T03:09Z XX followers, XXX engagements
"-supposed too with also the 20nmi increase this however looks reasonable although there could be a jump here and there the mature state of the eyewall looks to hold yet so contraction dependent on how much NE CBs orientate cyclonically inwards and towards NW which is probable"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T03:09Z XX followers, XX engagements
"I believe this is the 2nd full CDO CB ring already and there's new CB ring sustaining the current thus the smooth laminar avg. CDO temp. -83Deg C min. with SE higher towards -85Deg C and the eye has -40Deg C now indicating eye clearing will slowly undergo with centre of circ. "
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T03:38Z XX followers, XXX engagements
"Symmetry alone the TC is generating within each 50mi even smoothing to CDO with this process evident and active with the -88Deg C CB ring wrapping in curl very sharp C turn indicates perhaps early contraction than expected which leaves behind a tight inner CDO and expanding"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-26T04:08Z XX followers, XXX engagements
"Looks to be a product of MERC with a rapid CB ring -83Deg C initiating in NW quad not SE in this occasion and propagating along the SE CDO ring which has sustained -83-85Deg C this could mean contraction further despite VDM 15nmi to shrink with again more forcing mechanism to"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-27T00:24Z XX followers, XX engagements
"Very analogous TC CDO evolution (particularly post CDO T7.0 type consolidation) to Typhoon Yagi 24' #melissa"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-27T00:30Z XX followers, XXX engagements
"Due to the lack of pinhole 6nmi eye (or VDM confirmed/radar size rapid contraction in nmi) and the full CDO not attaining with the MERC interference it may have had half effect than typical where it usually cause a spike where they don't last that long at peak (more so lead up)"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-27T02:53Z XX followers, XX engagements
"Shallow warm clouds keep obscuring WV IR however again 1Deg C flux means the bottom of -14.2Deg C leans on -13.2Deg C min. which means that the TC is once again very stable for a fairly decent duration perhaps longer in this case than before with the T7.0 Dvorak ball structure"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-27T03:14Z XX followers, XX engagements
"I'm pretty sure thats a 20Deg C eye with inner gradient -69-75 to CDO max (CB ring) of -85Deg C which is extremely rare and usually T7.5 Dvorak (of course there are inhibitors with eye symmetry warming WV IR inner CDO roundness outer CDO persistence) casually achieved in ATL"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-27T03:14Z XX followers, XX engagements
"@WeathermanAAA_ Conventional sat obs. are towards T7.2-7.4 with even AI ML CIMS fix pushing 150kts it is quite crazy but in reality they are correct in what they are observing as by manual Dvorak it can only be achieved thru this anyways. Of course this TC is non traditional in p/w"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-27T03:25Z XX followers, XXX engagements
"I personally have to add that the TC denoted intensity is also random and the 6h avg. is looking at a CB ring and presuming mature development where it is not or it is assuming the p/w with consequent pressure drops on steroids with low values then isnt adjusting to recon:"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-27T03:58Z XX followers, XX engagements
"White is post -80Deg C CDO pink ring or T7.0 type manual Dvorak and non shaded is pre showing the overshoot adjusting. Uncertainty bracket is probably 20kts through a lot of this development today which is unaffordable margin"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-27T03:58Z XX followers, XX engagements
"If you look closely to Melissa inner CDO towards eyewall there are rapid streamers of CBs continually cyclonic orbiting around a very distinct mature TC intensification seen in very stable cores of the most robust Atl TCs Milton had this sustained for a good duration in RWEC"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-27T04:46Z XX followers, XXX engagements
"Something in vis sat. like Beryl like Milton that you won't just see. This is historic. I believe (by analysis) would be most recent Category X landfall since Iota 20'"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-27T04:58Z XX followers, XX engagements
"Symmetric CDO cooling and a very smooth overall CDO minus eye gradient with small maxima in NE any obtuse eye shape to mesovort. Almost purely red (on radarscope would be 60dBz) reflectivity in the eyewall (Don't take this seriously) presumption it may reach 150kts 917mb pass"
X Link @PlaysSaheb 2025-10-27T05:21Z XX followers, XX engagements