[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] #  @AlanReynoldsEcn Alan Reynolds Alan Reynolds posts on X about fed, $reyn, fed rate, rates the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXX engagements in the last XX hours. ### Engagements: XXX [#](/creator/twitter::790330998/interactions)  - X Week XXXXX +78% - X Month XXXXX +98% - X Months XXXXXXX -XX% - X Year XXXXXXX +25% ### Mentions: X [#](/creator/twitter::790330998/posts_active)  - X Week XX +67% - X Month XX +70% - X Months XXX -XX% - X Year XXX +45% ### Followers: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::790330998/followers)  - X Week XXXXX no change - X Month XXXXX -XXXX% - X Months XXXXX +4.70% - X Year XXXXX +7.20% ### CreatorRank: XXXXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::790330998/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence [#](/creator/twitter::790330998/influence) --- **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) [countries](/list/countries) [luxury brands](/list/luxury-brands) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [stocks](/list/stocks) [formula 1](/list/formula-1) **Social topic influence** [fed](/topic/fed) #1388, [$reyn](/topic/$reyn) #264, [fed rate](/topic/fed-rate) #585, [rates](/topic/rates), [deflation](/topic/deflation) #125, [targets](/topic/targets), [burns](/topic/burns), [federal reserve](/topic/federal-reserve) #764, [inflation](/topic/inflation), [colors](/topic/colors) **Top assets mentioned** [Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. Common Stock (REYN)](/topic/$reyn) ### Top Social Posts [#](/creator/twitter::790330998/posts) --- Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours "Hi Ron. In retrospect the 1987 Fed illustrated the heretofore nameless "Reynolds Model of Fed Rate Cycle." My model predicts that the Fed will raise fed funds rate targets whenever world oil prices spike -- thus combining higher borrowing costs with higher energy prices. The model worked very well in 2000 (FT said I was first to call that one) and 2007 too and obviously under Burns and Volcker. At least the market crash in 1987 seems to have gotten the Fed to pause raising rates and back off a bit for a while. 1988 was when the top tax rate dropped to XX% from XX% in 1986 so us fat cats were" [X Link](https://x.com/AlanReynoldsEcn/status/1979700728705753459) [@AlanReynoldsEcn](/creator/x/AlanReynoldsEcn) 2025-10-19T00:06Z 3854 followers, XX engagements "In the first XX years of the Federal Reserve using interest rates to expertly doctor the economy's movements (1914 to 1954) they used the discount rate on bank reserves to engineer purgative recessions rather than the federal funds rate on interbank reserve loans. As you can see by the vertical gray bars (illustrating recessions or worse) the old prewar discount rate purges worked well too -- except between the second Depression in 1937 and the end of World War in 1945 when the Fed took a relaxing break" [X Link](https://x.com/AlanReynoldsEcn/status/1977456699612016641) [@AlanReynoldsEcn](/creator/x/AlanReynoldsEcn) 2025-10-12T19:29Z 3855 followers, XXX engagements "Until 1954 the Fed moved the discount rate rather than the federal funds rate to influence other short-term interest rates and growth of bank credit and demand deposits. The graph links vintage and newer data sets for annual discount rates in distinct colors. The gold CPI line showing annual inflation or deflation for urban wage and clerical workers is not ideal but has the longest history. Inflation spiked in both World Wars and the Korean War but inflation also had negligible effect on prewar Fed discount rates in peacetime. Fed policymakers were quick to raise the discount rate for their" [X Link](https://x.com/AlanReynoldsEcn/status/1979240898124021774) [@AlanReynoldsEcn](/creator/x/AlanReynoldsEcn) 2025-10-17T17:39Z 3855 followers, XXX engagements "Jude Wanniski once told me "I didn't have deflation in my model" until I eventually changed his mind. Then he tinkered with the concept to suit his taste. But Jude's every thought does not define "the" supply-side model. "Wanniski model" could sometimes be more precise. It took Jude and I many New Jersey train commutes to Wall Street together in 1976 (after I told him about a Herb Stein conference lecture that March) to convince him to understand and embrace the "supply side" label (microeconomic incentives) rather than his "Mundell-Laffer World Hypothesis" (which also involved global" [X Link](https://x.com/AlanReynoldsEcn/status/1979579685081407664) [@AlanReynoldsEcn](/creator/x/AlanReynoldsEcn) 2025-10-18T16:05Z 3855 followers, XX engagements "Black Monday October XX 1987 was biggest one day stock crash ever. Dow stocks dropped XXXX% that day alone and by more than a third from October X. "A clear and simple explanation for this extraordinary event is lacking" declares Brittanica. I beg to differ. Steve Forbes got it right in his column of November XX 1987 finding ample reason for worldwide investor panic: "protectionism tax increases. . . and a weaker greenback did to equities what a similar combination did XX years ago" in 1929. The clear and present danger of trade war and devaluation were not clear and simple enough for" [X Link](https://x.com/AlanReynoldsEcn/status/1979625592313024595) [@AlanReynoldsEcn](/creator/x/AlanReynoldsEcn) 2025-10-18T19:08Z 3854 followers, XXX engagements "The unfamous Reynolds Model of the Fed rate cycle fit better for 1987 2000 and 2007 than it did for 1989-90. The target and actual fed funds rate went above the 10-year bond yield in 1989 2000 and 2007. That was classic yield curve inversion which could fairly be described as a deliberate planned Fed recession. What anyone was surprised is surprising. The oil price was rising quickly in 2000 and especially 2007 but not much before the Iraq war in 1990. The 1990 recession also combined a high fed funds rate with an oil price spike but the funds rate taget had been in the slowly declining phase" [X Link](https://x.com/AlanReynoldsEcn/status/1979880122086740283) [@AlanReynoldsEcn](/creator/x/AlanReynoldsEcn) 2025-10-19T11:59Z 3854 followers, XX engagements "A Fortune interview with Steve Moore notes that "Nobel laureate Paul Krugman wrote 'a recession seems likely' following 'the biggest trade shock in history' (referring to the stock market rout following Trumps 'Liberation Day' tariffs announcement)." Krugman's forecast made perfect sense if Trump had done what he said he was going to do on April X. Instead he paused the original most extreme tariffs until August X then to November XX. But tariff by executive order whim became increasingly punitive toward Americans doing business with friendly countries lately (50% India and Brazil) and unduly" [X Link](https://x.com/AlanReynoldsEcn/status/1979942407895740882) [@AlanReynoldsEcn](/creator/x/AlanReynoldsEcn) 2025-10-19T16:07Z 3855 followers, XXX engagements "Stuck on stupid: The 1980 gas guzzler tax is still on the books but it only applies to quaint little vehicles called "cars." To pay this stupid tax would be stupid. To avoid it with a little flare you simply need to buy one of the world's fastest SUVs --from Lamborghini Ferrari Aston Martin Bentley Porsche Audi BMW or Mercedes. Getting rid of stupid old taxes and regulations is as hard as getting rid of stupid old Senators and Representatives" [X Link](https://x.com/AlanReynoldsEcn/status/1980010382979694970) [@AlanReynoldsEcn](/creator/x/AlanReynoldsEcn) 2025-10-19T20:37Z 3855 followers, XXX engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
@AlanReynoldsEcn Alan Reynolds
Alan Reynolds posts on X about fed, $reyn, fed rate, rates the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXX engagements in the last XX hours.
Engagements: XXX #
- X Week XXXXX +78%
- X Month XXXXX +98%
- X Months XXXXXXX -XX%
- X Year XXXXXXX +25%
Mentions: X #
- X Week XX +67%
- X Month XX +70%
- X Months XXX -XX%
- X Year XXX +45%
Followers: XXXXX #
- X Week XXXXX no change
- X Month XXXXX -XXXX%
- X Months XXXXX +4.70%
- X Year XXXXX +7.20%
CreatorRank: XXXXXXXXX #
Social Influence #
Social category influence finance countries luxury brands automotive brands stocks formula 1
Social topic influence fed #1388, $reyn #264, fed rate #585, rates, deflation #125, targets, burns, federal reserve #764, inflation, colors
Top assets mentioned Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. Common Stock (REYN)
Top Social Posts #
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours
"Hi Ron. In retrospect the 1987 Fed illustrated the heretofore nameless "Reynolds Model of Fed Rate Cycle." My model predicts that the Fed will raise fed funds rate targets whenever world oil prices spike -- thus combining higher borrowing costs with higher energy prices. The model worked very well in 2000 (FT said I was first to call that one) and 2007 too and obviously under Burns and Volcker. At least the market crash in 1987 seems to have gotten the Fed to pause raising rates and back off a bit for a while. 1988 was when the top tax rate dropped to XX% from XX% in 1986 so us fat cats were"
X Link @AlanReynoldsEcn 2025-10-19T00:06Z 3854 followers, XX engagements
"In the first XX years of the Federal Reserve using interest rates to expertly doctor the economy's movements (1914 to 1954) they used the discount rate on bank reserves to engineer purgative recessions rather than the federal funds rate on interbank reserve loans. As you can see by the vertical gray bars (illustrating recessions or worse) the old prewar discount rate purges worked well too -- except between the second Depression in 1937 and the end of World War in 1945 when the Fed took a relaxing break"
X Link @AlanReynoldsEcn 2025-10-12T19:29Z 3855 followers, XXX engagements
"Until 1954 the Fed moved the discount rate rather than the federal funds rate to influence other short-term interest rates and growth of bank credit and demand deposits. The graph links vintage and newer data sets for annual discount rates in distinct colors. The gold CPI line showing annual inflation or deflation for urban wage and clerical workers is not ideal but has the longest history. Inflation spiked in both World Wars and the Korean War but inflation also had negligible effect on prewar Fed discount rates in peacetime. Fed policymakers were quick to raise the discount rate for their"
X Link @AlanReynoldsEcn 2025-10-17T17:39Z 3855 followers, XXX engagements
"Jude Wanniski once told me "I didn't have deflation in my model" until I eventually changed his mind. Then he tinkered with the concept to suit his taste. But Jude's every thought does not define "the" supply-side model. "Wanniski model" could sometimes be more precise. It took Jude and I many New Jersey train commutes to Wall Street together in 1976 (after I told him about a Herb Stein conference lecture that March) to convince him to understand and embrace the "supply side" label (microeconomic incentives) rather than his "Mundell-Laffer World Hypothesis" (which also involved global"
X Link @AlanReynoldsEcn 2025-10-18T16:05Z 3855 followers, XX engagements
"Black Monday October XX 1987 was biggest one day stock crash ever. Dow stocks dropped XXXX% that day alone and by more than a third from October X. "A clear and simple explanation for this extraordinary event is lacking" declares Brittanica. I beg to differ. Steve Forbes got it right in his column of November XX 1987 finding ample reason for worldwide investor panic: "protectionism tax increases. . . and a weaker greenback did to equities what a similar combination did XX years ago" in 1929. The clear and present danger of trade war and devaluation were not clear and simple enough for"
X Link @AlanReynoldsEcn 2025-10-18T19:08Z 3854 followers, XXX engagements
"The unfamous Reynolds Model of the Fed rate cycle fit better for 1987 2000 and 2007 than it did for 1989-90. The target and actual fed funds rate went above the 10-year bond yield in 1989 2000 and 2007. That was classic yield curve inversion which could fairly be described as a deliberate planned Fed recession. What anyone was surprised is surprising. The oil price was rising quickly in 2000 and especially 2007 but not much before the Iraq war in 1990. The 1990 recession also combined a high fed funds rate with an oil price spike but the funds rate taget had been in the slowly declining phase"
X Link @AlanReynoldsEcn 2025-10-19T11:59Z 3854 followers, XX engagements
"A Fortune interview with Steve Moore notes that "Nobel laureate Paul Krugman wrote 'a recession seems likely' following 'the biggest trade shock in history' (referring to the stock market rout following Trumps 'Liberation Day' tariffs announcement)." Krugman's forecast made perfect sense if Trump had done what he said he was going to do on April X. Instead he paused the original most extreme tariffs until August X then to November XX. But tariff by executive order whim became increasingly punitive toward Americans doing business with friendly countries lately (50% India and Brazil) and unduly"
X Link @AlanReynoldsEcn 2025-10-19T16:07Z 3855 followers, XXX engagements
"Stuck on stupid: The 1980 gas guzzler tax is still on the books but it only applies to quaint little vehicles called "cars." To pay this stupid tax would be stupid. To avoid it with a little flare you simply need to buy one of the world's fastest SUVs --from Lamborghini Ferrari Aston Martin Bentley Porsche Audi BMW or Mercedes. Getting rid of stupid old taxes and regulations is as hard as getting rid of stupid old Senators and Representatives"
X Link @AlanReynoldsEcn 2025-10-19T20:37Z 3855 followers, XXX engagements