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[@alshfaw](/creator/twitter/alshfaw)
"$532K $VIX CALL $XX at 4:03PM EST August 2025. Tagged as unusual. This confirms the previous target i shared with you $XX for $VIX Courtesy of @CheddarFlow for the screenshot / data source. $SPY $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947436597076758633) 2025-07-21 23:20:41 UTC 10.4K followers, 12.6K engagements


"@CurtisT00808613 $GOOG always sells on good news and goes up next day. So tomorrow you see $XXX again and then that maybe the rejection level. It has to reject hard if so. Will watch $SPY tomorrow"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948120719558332599) 2025-07-23 20:39:08 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@JohnDoss1 @jb_equities @DaveHcontrarian @MultiMoDouglas @janicezhang2008 @JohnDoss1 John: $VXX and these:"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948150884593963216) 2025-07-23 22:39:00 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@D3GSolutions @BIGswinginTCKR The way the market resolves resilient markets like this I'm old enough to remember is with shock and awe events one day of X% to X% down. A wake-up call to reset short-term expectations. That's the day $VIX us waiting for"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947409421421736310) 2025-07-21 21:32:41 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@CurtisT00808613 $VIX up means $USO up going forward. Today I got a note that $GS vol control funds were done buying yesterday and from today $X will be spent on suppressing $VIX. That's another signal confirming that trade"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948374150281580865) 2025-07-24 13:26:11 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"#VIX9D Today logged its highest reading of the 9-day volatility indexthe highest since the end of the Iran-Israel war. Translation: clouds expected over the next X days. $SPY $VIX $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1942381752938602510) 2025-07-08 00:34:32 UTC 10.4K followers, 7040 engagements


"This $NVDA put order from yesterday was golden. Everyone should have copied it. @CheddarFlow $SOXX $SOXS"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947665148413358503) 2025-07-22 14:28:51 UTC 10.4K followers, 12.4K engagements


"$VIX Term Structure is repricing to $XXXXX I think we should see a $XXXXX price on VIX today. So buckle up $SPY $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945472250410385649) 2025-07-16 13:15:04 UTC 10.4K followers, 13.8K engagements


"Quick $SPY Update. 1) Market painted a mountain today (a gravestone candlestick) I like to call it a mountain as it shows long investors coming back empty-handed on the day. It is an empty ride. 2) No technical damage. Bears can't celebrate yet. Above the blue staircase support line above all the moving averages. 3) It didn't keep the $63x handle on the day is bearish. A gravestone is bearish. A reversal The price will confirm tomorrow. 4) Japan's bond market reopens this evening and the down $DXY day today may become an up day and the yen takes its right path towards the XXX yens resistance"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947396950183317893) 2025-07-21 20:43:08 UTC 10.4K followers, 11.1K engagements


"Alert The #US3MO just went up X% from XXXX% to XXXX% a big jump that causes US10-3MO curve inversion This means more % is demanded for short-term debt. I normally see this on the 1st day of a new month due to TGA issues. It is weird for tonight. See pic. @zerohedge fyi $SPY $VIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947463900452036694) 2025-07-22 01:09:10 UTC 10.4K followers, 8078 engagements


"This is why I highlighted the $AAPL upside risk this last weekend. The #LILO effect see original post below. $XXX to $XXX real fast. Target $XXXXXX aggressive $XXX. $SPY $QQQ #ATH"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947321831645430062) 2025-07-21 15:44:38 UTC 10.4K followers, 11K engagements


"$SPY Important Update + BOJ Notes. 1) See the picture comparing the run-up into December 2024 and now. 2) we are today where the black arrow is on the left with a similar candle. 3) We just hit the upper rising wedge resistance line if constructed exactly like 12/2024. See the overshoot in both constructs at point X. Zoom on the right to see how we touched it today. 4) Just like back then the low $VIX regime will end up with a bang. 5) The bang was two trading days of X% down total. 6) This time is no different going down will not be peaceful. It will be with a cardiac arrest. 7) See the next"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948071358526898543) 2025-07-23 17:22:59 UTC 10.4K followers, 13.6K engagements


"$SPY Monday's Price will be decided by Japan's Sunday elections. Either a big gap down or a big gap up. Maybe nothing in between 1) Bessent magically is in Japan the day before the elections to discuss tariffs wink wink. Maybe we do like Ishiba Let's cook something. Not rice 2) Rice prices are up XXX% the last XX months and that's causing trouble to the Japanese citizens as it is a main staple. 🍚 3) Japan faces the possibility of Market Instability if this weekend's election leads to Opposition parties gaining Parliamentary Influence read: Market Turmoil fall of Stocks $USDJPY and JGB Bonds."  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946351068398690341) 2025-07-18 23:27:10 UTC 10.4K followers, 28.5K engagements


"The next leg down with the assumption that this market will resume to new ATH afterwards should be X to X% but if it goes down and likes it down there timberrr 😆 What I know August XX should will be peak $VIX the safest short for you is Monday two days before FOMC and BOJ rate / $AAPL ER. Or tomorrow reassess if you see it breakdown"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947494879623352431) 2025-07-22 03:12:16 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"Trump's Major Health Scare @PressSec Ms. Leavitt briefed the world this last Friday on health concerns relative to @realDonaldTrump: swollen legs bruised hands. Will this develop into a major health scare for #POTUS if he will be hospitalized Those Simpsons pictures Enter the forecast from 01/01/2025 it sounds silly with the asparagus but her track record is good. See link below. While I don't base any investment decisions on fortunetelling I'm only interested in the timing of his health info release just before the start of the panic / $VIX cycle 08/01 🤔 $SPY $DXY $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946921806155448537) 2025-07-20 13:15:05 UTC 10.4K followers, 8059 engagements


"#US20Y Auction at 1pm EST today will be interesting coming on a day with reduced liquidity after EU's rate hold. I closed my $TQQQ longs this AM. Not going long into this auction ⚠ $TLT $SPY $TSLA $QQQ $VIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948383097960972348) 2025-07-24 14:01:44 UTC 10.4K followers, 5464 engagements


"$NIKKEI. The large $DXY drop tonight allowed the NIKKEI to come back full circle to the February breakdown candle level. Up XXX pts. See pic. Mission Accomished Where to next #ATH or #crash Watch $dxy for the answer. ====== $SPY $VIX $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1938092901457613186) 2025-06-26 04:32:10 UTC 10.4K followers, 6290 engagements


"$BTC is down but $SPY is up. 1) $SPY is lying and will crash X% just like I told you minutes ago. 2) BTC will go up but not now it will repeat the May Bull Flag that lasted for XX days. See pic. 3) BTC is only XX days out of XX into the bull flag. 4) Expect your BTC money to be dead money in August as we go through the panic / $VIX / war cycle in early August. 5) Once the next XX days are gone maybe less than XX expect BTC to rise to $130k as first stop. 6) The BTC action confirms my SPY call from earlier today. See pic compare X to 1"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948078955753254960) 2025-07-23 17:53:11 UTC 10.4K followers, 13.9K engagements


"Japan Election Results below. Results described as disastrous. Full market impact may not be till Tuesday due to a bank holiday in Japan tomorrow Monday: Marine Day. FX impact after 5pm. $NIKKEI $USDJPY $SPY $VIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946907179560104365) 2025-07-20 12:16:58 UTC 10.4K followers, 15K engagements


"@npresc @saltydocEM @rchahall7 Until you hear $AAPL buying Perplexity AI and it jumps to $XXX or $XXX but i think they leave this to post-correction 😉 then AAPL becomes an AI play that lagged behind. Spoiler Alerr"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946979331034460596) 2025-07-20 17:03:40 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@CurtisT00808613 That's how they prepare $DXY $USO $UNG $VIX for an event. Coming to a theatre near you We have everything except for the Showtime"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948169257121874071) 2025-07-23 23:52:00 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@AbundantAlpha No. Unlikely. My original thinking that ES is sufficient will drive this done. $SPX $SPY"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947387608977588587) 2025-07-21 20:06:01 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@maxipad2981 That was NOT my forecast. It was Japan's Tatsuki forecast. I reposted a summary of it"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947873471972970986) 2025-07-23 04:16:40 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"The $AAPL Conundrum. FIFO vs. LILO. How do you know when markets top/bottom Look at $AAPL for clues. To illustrate. At the 4/7 bottom $NVDA and the semis led us out. The semis lead out of a bottom. They're also the first to lead down from a top. $AAPL was the last to go down into 4/7 it was used to provide the final push down. It plays the opposite role near tops it is used by MMs to provide the final push on the way up as the semis begin their corrective move down. And again AAPL will be the last to go down this cycle now. So: Semis are #FIFO: First In First Out And AAPL is #LILO: Last In"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946937878233469268) 2025-07-20 14:18:57 UTC 10.4K followers, 25.2K engagements


"@the1geek #VIX1D at lowest point since July 10th 2024 corrective move. This compression is so strong that when this market corrects you may see X% to X% move in X day 😆 $VIX This 1D VIX move destroyed $UVIX with it"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947300893415612792) 2025-07-21 14:21:26 UTC 10.4K followers, 4287 engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives $VIX current cycle is XXX days -Last peak 04/07 day0 -Mid cycle (64days) exactly 06/11 (Iran War timed that day) -Full period 128days next peak 08/12 () Expect another event. To today: $VIX at rock bottom compressed to $XXXXX While term structure says it has to be $XXXXX So $X or more $VIX bounce possible. What's better than on Jul Opex to do it Or she still has time"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946037688571686984) 2025-07-18 02:41:55 UTC 10.4K followers, 8521 engagements


"@vladtiminski @billnadamsonfin $XX is my target on $VIX. The larger spike in October"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946623696812056918) 2025-07-19 17:30:30 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@am0nca @CheddarFlow I don't work for them. I think they have a free trial for a week or a month"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947439025272590786) 2025-07-21 23:30:19 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"$SPY RSI will open tomorrow above XX% This is the 2nd highest reading this year. SPY has a habit of going down after hitting such levels to let some steam out. Just saying in case RSI still matters 😆 I highlight the risk what you do with the info is up to you Please do not shoot the messenger. See pic. $VIX $QQQ $TSLA $GOOG"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948165433468633205) 2025-07-23 23:36:49 UTC 10.4K followers, 13.7K engagements


"Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson on Bloomberg: 1) Sees a 5-10% drop in Q3 on tariffs negative impact 2) $SPX $6500 in Q4 / eoy 3) "This is what the beginning of a new bull market looks like. The man who told us we were going down to $3600 when the market was at $4200. Is he still a contrarian indicator $SPY $VIX $QQQ $SOXX #MIKEWILSON $MS"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947285967057928371) 2025-07-21 13:22:08 UTC 10.4K followers, 11K engagements


"$SPY Update by Zan. 1) Market started the day looking for a liquidity grab from the AM. It couldn't find it at the 5-dma it needed to dig deeper and found it EXACTEDLY at the 8-dma at $XXX and change. See pic. 2) Dip buyers came as expected since we're above the $XXX gamma flip line = it is a BTFD regime. Clockwork 3) Low liquidity should be a warning it started last night with the higher #US3MO event. 4) $SOXX were weaker than traditional $QQQ tech now they take a back seat as $AAPL holds the Q's minimizing the corrective price. 5) Bearish Case first. If a low liquidity regime has started"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947751168131637355) 2025-07-22 20:10:40 UTC 10.4K followers, 16.9K engagements


"@MOSSADil left the podium unexpectedly today with a "Take care of yourselves." How am I supposed to sleep tonight I'm not going to speculate about anything. Don't ❌ But this never happened before. My antennas 📡 are up. $SPY $VIX $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948190479868174644) 2025-07-24 01:16:20 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"$SPY insisted on X touches to form a nice hat. She likes hats. See pic. It is good time to accumulate short ETFs here and hold through Aug XX $VIX peak cycle. Panic cycle officially begins August 1st. This correlates well with my notes earlier that FOMC will form a critical fear reversal point. $VIX $QQQ $SQQQ $SOXS"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946215080497947042) 2025-07-18 14:26:48 UTC 10.4K followers, 11.2K engagements


"Sentiment Check on #CPI scheduled for Tuesday. It is a critical report for future market direction as we gage inflationary pressures impact on $SPY $QQQ $VIX What do you think"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1944143979727012022) 2025-07-12 21:16:59 UTC 10.4K followers, 8858 engagements


"$VIX is currently in jail in this wedge. See 2pm EST is just before the wedge apex. See pic. $SPY $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945169753489686785) 2025-07-15 17:13:03 UTC 10.4K followers, 12.6K engagements


"In theory $VIX peak is 08/12. So we stay at $XX or higher for August. But it is not a straight line. Today early evening Trump and the Qatari PM will meet and they will announce the Gaza peace plan. Trump and Bibi are dying to close this file to open the Iran file again so in the next X weeks Iran and $VIX will be back on the table"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945505154838478980) 2025-07-16 15:25:49 UTC 10.4K followers, 7883 engagements


"@the1geek @SecScottBessent If JGB's keep going up in yield the Japanese people will transfer their sh*** back to Japan. They sell assets here"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947872868617908580) 2025-07-23 04:14:16 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"$NVDA the below distribution on $NVDL is interesting because of its size. Today's NVDL price action may have been an attempt to test the price again "from below" and fail there. This happens often after distributions. The key for NVDL / NVDA here is not to exceed the distribution price levels. If NVDL stays below it will be good for $SOXS holders going into August. Cc: @VolumeLeaders / great tools here as always 👏"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948184619079348249) 2025-07-24 00:53:03 UTC 10.4K followers, 7327 engagements


"@_danny_dimes @PressSec @realDonaldTrump $VIX cycle peak Aug XX. Mid point at XX days materialized exactly on 6/11 Iran war started. Aug XX ="  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946924575041708101) 2025-07-20 13:26:05 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"The panic cycle is the $VIX cycle XXX days long from 04/07 last VIX spike"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947413861398942178) 2025-07-21 21:50:20 UTC 10.4K followers, 3095 engagements


"$SPY is XXX sigmas away from the average. Where have I seen this movie before Yes February 14th 2025 two days before the crash. If you have any doubt that markets don't mean revert away from XXX look at the chart below. Anyone asking for continuation of price levitation here is delusional. First we must correct before going higher again. My decision to short this market is XXX% data based. $SPY $UVIX $VIX $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1941153095242723763) 2025-07-04 15:12:17 UTC 10.4K followers, 203.9K engagements


"@DaveHcontrarian I'm testing you only to understand your method better maybe I am a macro forecaster you can't issue judgment that fast we were also aligned at $7000 for sure. $7140 is my level. It is easy to make calls XXX to X sigmas out because if they don't happen the counter argument is easy. I admire your work we're a friendly group here but the first responder put you on the defensive. We love you keep up the good work. We would love to see periodic input from you here we combine astrology time series and chaos theory / fractals for predicting. This last period has been too impulsive"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948137740006019277) 2025-07-23 21:46:46 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"This info is inaccurate today is the #US10Y TIPS for $XX billions. Not the 20yr. I had the wrong entry in my calendar"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948386195228033324) 2025-07-24 14:14:02 UTC 10.4K followers, 3325 engagements


"$TSLA down X% but bears want this tomorrow not today 😆 they will buy this dip again tomorrow"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948152010512982045) 2025-07-23 22:43:28 UTC 10.4K followers, 6541 engagements


"$TLT is in a wedge with its apex magically set to end on #FOMC day 07/30. See pic. There is no coincidence in this market. The question is how will it resolve from there Higher yields lower $TLT Or to the other side Wdyt $TNX #US20Y $TIPS $SPY $VIX $USO $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948395316388024731) 2025-07-24 14:50:17 UTC 10.4K followers, 2221 engagements


"Japan's $NIKKEI has always been a good proxy for $QQQ last week's green days were green here and there. And so it begins. See pic. BOJ Tankan data shows large manufacturers profits -X% this year. 40k NIKKEI at risk. $VIX $SPY $TSLA"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1939846041747988550) 2025-07-01 00:38:31 UTC 10.4K followers, 11.2K engagements


"@jb_equities Given how the market is conditioned to buy the dips the MM will use this to their benefit they will still load more bulls AM to a level the wake-up call will come to the bulls at 2pm EST"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1944854600588386713) 2025-07-14 20:20:45 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"$SPY Trading Note. No technical damage yet. SPY found support at the long-term blue staircase bottom support line. See pic. Bears need the price to go below $XXXXXX and stay below for initial technical damage. Possible path in the gray line heading Southeast. $VIX puts were being opened by MMs at 11am EST to stop the decline of SPY"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946229704949993539) 2025-07-18 15:24:55 UTC 10.4K followers, 10.7K engagements


"$SPY AM Update. 1) SPY is testing the resistance line from BELOW X times so far this AM going for the 4th after better than expected data. It is hugging the blue staircase bottom support line like a snake. 2) It is clear this admin's BLS will not release any unfavorable data. 3) The talk about firing Powell intensifies Warsh on CNBC just before the data. This talk effects interest rates in a way Trump wants. 4) Europe and Japan green expect $QQQ green. 5) More data at 10am EST 6) If SPY jumps above the blue line the bearish breakdown is challenged. The setup I outlined is also challenged. $VIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945831002829390232) 2025-07-17 13:00:37 UTC 10.4K followers, 11K engagements


"@slutd3stroy3r @the1geek This came in after 3pm 1.2M 32c $VIX August. Noteworthy"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946310817076433301) 2025-07-18 20:47:14 UTC 10.4K followers, 5462 engagements


"Bond Market Volatility Update This is the volatility that matters not $VIX for causing market dislocation. $MOVE up XXXX% or +$5 today Correlation with stocks: X month out up XX% ⚠⚠ X month out up X% X month out at XX or XX deltas X% $VXTLT X% It is a question of when not if. $SPY $QQQ $TLT $TNX #US10Y $DXY"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1944895342102897072) 2025-07-14 23:02:38 UTC 10.4K followers, 7973 engagements


"@D3GSolutions Lol. If i say short you don't short blindly there are signs that must confirm short entry. You will know when to close it watch the $VIX peak to close your position. If no VJX rising action before 2pm why bother. It is a forecast I'm not the market maker"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1944910461541212358) 2025-07-15 00:02:43 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives there's another path because impulse is so strong quick X% drawdown then go higher into October driven not by tech but value and commodities with $DXY maintaining strength. Rotation trade. This will allow metals and $BTC to also levitate. The beginnings of a commodity cycle. Wdyt So $SPY & YM / DJIA strength tech esp $SMH takes a back seat. Other $QQQ like $AAPL can go up. Study how $QQQ / $SOXX ratio go up in late cycle ⚠"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947676363751674141) 2025-07-22 15:13:25 UTC 10.4K followers, 6146 engagements


"$SPY Vertical is now reminiscent of the XX% irrational vertical at the height of the Dot Com bubble in 2000. This can be just starting. ⚠ Lower high $6000 $SPX ❌ Symmetrical high $6200 ❌ Last option: Irrational Vertical"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1940776035823575135) 2025-07-03 14:13:59 UTC 10.4K followers, 11.6K engagements


"@the1geek Here's what a sample end of July correction looks like from last year the first X% in X long candles. If this repeats you will be at $XXX next Monday. 😆 No worries about $6180 to August / $XXX that's this Thursday if repeated"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947498699594338464) 2025-07-22 03:27:27 UTC 10.4K followers, 5948 engagements


"$QQQ hit a new ATH on Friday. How many out of its XXX constituents hit an ATH The answer is a paltry X. See them in the attached picture. Now I need the bulls to convince me that these X overbought stocks can take me to a new ATH next week This index is running on fumes. On X% $VIX $SPY $NVDA"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946611211921195277) 2025-07-19 16:40:53 UTC 10.4K followers, 10.9K engagements


"A copy of the post on the taxbill vs Elon that the Mossad deleted a few minutes later attached. @zerohedge fyi $TLT $TNX $HYG"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1940634604081500431) 2025-07-03 04:51:59 UTC 10.4K followers, 10.3K engagements


"@ssninit @grok The answer from Grok is wrong. It heard the word average and used a 20-dma that's not how Sigma is calculated. Z-scores are calculated relative to a "mean" value which was the low in April 2025"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946379892615995609) 2025-07-19 01:21:43 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"$SPY Update. 1) The top was called based on a double-top but Mrs. Market decided to go for a "triple top". Once the key 6340 ES Sep target hit the market started retreating and it is down $X $SPY from the high. If the triple top wasn't gone for SPY would be XXX% down on the day from Monday's levels in line with my original forecast. And VIX much higher. 2) the $VIX repricing didn't happen today. Trump was talking at 2PM EST and the market was already $X down adding another $X down maybe was not possible for today. So this X disappointed. 3) The day ended at the bottom of the support line the"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945213540744507467) 2025-07-15 20:07:03 UTC 10.4K followers, 16.6K engagements


"I'm not worried about ES SEP going to 6360 I'm worried about $SPX going there. If $SPX must go there then $SPY can go to $XXXXXX before it tops. This is the 1929 line limit. But here's the big question: if they're going down then back up to new ATH why insist on hitting SPX 6360 Hitting it on ES is enough then it hits again on the way up. Unless the plan is to complete a top here and go down for a while The entire move left to this target is XXXX% or $X $SPY. This coming week has a lot of question marks. Japan bond market closed tomorrow. So Tuesday shows bond impact. Powell Tuesday maybe"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947102867082407972) 2025-07-21 01:14:33 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"Risk / Panic cycle begins in X trading days peaks 08/12. Drones exploded in Iran X hours ago. $VIX $SPY"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947410805290328368) 2025-07-21 21:38:11 UTC 10.4K followers, 12.3K engagements


"@CurtisT00808613 You're buying $SPY they're buying $USO $UNG $UUP"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948169481072562289) 2025-07-23 23:52:54 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"Two days ago I asked this question about Ishiba more below ".but for how long before they force him out" Ishiba just submitted his resignation for end of August. @SecScottBessent made sure he visited Ishiba the very day before the elections to get Ishiba's Hancock on the Trade deal papers before he was booted out. This deal became a hot topic. $NIKKEI up 1250 $QQQ up XXXXX instead of XXX this hardly ever happened before (sarc) big divergence on tech pricing. One of these indices is lying $SPY $VIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947855039269138909) 2025-07-23 03:03:25 UTC 10.4K followers, 10.6K engagements


"@Isma05740093932 The post FOMC "initial move" should be to $XXXXXX $SPY Set your ETF targets accordingly you will be in the money by then"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946216429176373382) 2025-07-18 14:32:10 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"$NVDA is XXX sigmas away from the average. See pic. Where have I seen this movie before Yes February 14th 2025 few days before the XX% crash. If you have any doubt that markets don't mean revert away from 6.1x look at the chart below. Anyone asking for continuation of price levitation here is delusional. First we must correct before going higher again. NVDA HAS NEVER BEEN THIS OVERBOUGHT IN ITS HISTORY. At least take her back to 2x or 3x for starters. $SPY $UVIX $VIX $QQQ $SMH $AVGO $SOXL $SOXX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946287760978931801) 2025-07-18 19:15:37 UTC 10.4K followers, 15.4K engagements


"TRADING TIP. $VIX vs. Gamma Flip Line. 1) The current Gamma flip line is just below $6180 $SPX 2) Stay above it means buying the dip. Stay below it means selling the rips 3) Stay below it also means more hedging and higher rate of change on VIX. 4) If you're holding VIX products the market losing this level is the key to your vol investment to grow"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947483429433466899) 2025-07-22 02:26:46 UTC 10.4K followers, 9505 engagements


"@zerohedge that's the definition of Masa selling Trump the sizzle not the steak There's no steak whatsoever Both agreed to deliver only the sizzle Meanwhile $NVDA just added $2T's worth of new steak. They don't need Masa's monopoly yens $SOXX are flush with $'s. See below post. $SMH $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947859692136362330) 2025-07-23 03:21:54 UTC 10.4K followers, 1533 engagements


"Iran XXX / Mideast War Date: Friday 08/08/2025 after 5pm EST If you recall I forecasted the Iran XXX War to the nearest X hours on Friday 06/13/25 That happened on the 64th day / half $VIX cycle Iran XXX will also happen the weekend before VIX hits the XXX day cycle peak of 08/12 The choice of 08/08 is astrologically perfect given the celestial configuration that day. Tuesday after the event will see a $VIX cycle peak. Expect $GLD to go down #WTI and $DXY up markets $SPY $QQQ down. Note how $GLD is topping here in prep (triple top). This is a forecast. Please do not fight it or fight me. Just"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947872663512261085) 2025-07-23 04:13:27 UTC 10.4K followers, 8810 engagements


"Can Trump wait X weeks to decide on Iran Can Israelis spend X more weeks in underground shelters without electricity in the heat Netenyahu will not survive the public outcry This X week delay is market ruse by Trump. The $SPY compounded cycle shows a rise in the morning Friday for a couple hours higher than $XXX again into the resistance area then the market dumps significantly think a X% to X% flush. What triggers this can be a US attack on Iran a culminating event / resolution or some announcement related to this matter. There's an event. If i were to guess a time it would be after the Euro"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1935872476308750497) 2025-06-20 01:28:59 UTC 10.4K followers, 21.4K engagements


"@TicTocTick @TicTocTick how much risk do you see from Japan's Sunday elections in terms of bond dislocation A nothingburger Or a market mover $TNX $TLT $DXY More context here:"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946555639565607022) 2025-07-19 13:00:04 UTC 10.4K followers, 5632 engagements


"Trump's Truth Social post coincided with $DXY reaching its highest price in a while it was minutes away from hitting the psycological $XX level His comment stopped it. Market manipulation of the first degree by #POTUS. He wants DXY weaker to keep rates lower and $SPY higher. @realDonaldTrump let the market function on its own. @SECGov"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1943320887798743485) 2025-07-10 14:46:19 UTC 10.4K followers, 14.5K engagements


"@envelope123456 Ofc they will start selling stocks before such event"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947874101923639579) 2025-07-23 04:19:10 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@elteslaengineer Periodically they buy $XXX $VIX puts these high numbers like $XXX or $XXX they do something to the IV calculation formula they crush the VIX fast. It is an MM trick I noticed over time"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946232728346632317) 2025-07-18 15:36:56 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives @Mr_Derivatives: maybe not because #VIX1D couldn't go to the $6.xx level today it may have bottomed. So X day bottomed next X day #VIX9D bottoming oh it also did today So two horses bottomed. Next up XX day $VIX Let's find out tomorrow"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948127792119304433) 2025-07-23 21:07:14 UTC 10.4K followers, 4603 engagements