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[@alshfaw](/creator/twitter/alshfaw)
"Point A defended by bears. The triple top on $SPY is officially in. Let's see if the arc holds the price down below the blue support line. See below"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945852513644630427) 2025-07-17 14:26:06 UTC 10.4K followers, 17.1K engagements


"$532K $VIX CALL $XX at 4:03PM EST August 2025. Tagged as unusual. This confirms the previous target i shared with you $XX for $VIX Courtesy of @CheddarFlow for the screenshot / data source. $SPY $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947436597076758633) 2025-07-21 23:20:41 UTC 10.4K followers, 12.7K engagements


"@ralphkaz @jb_equities @D3GSolutions You can see $XXX $UVIX for one of these X reasons: There are people waiting for $SPY $XXX or $XXX Equally the same there are people waiting for $SPY $480"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948472499874017748) 2025-07-24 19:56:59 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"My job is to highlight risk only. If it happens you win because you were prepared. If it doesn't you also win for the same reason. I don't provide any trading advice. This afternoon everyone is buying $SPY $SPX $SPXW because at the end of the tunnel today there sits #TACO to sign executive orders at 5pm EST. This is a painful trade for the bears"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948090299080921417) 2025-07-23 18:38:15 UTC 10.4K followers, 12.1K engagements


"I was one of the early people to call for a $DXY reversal in June against the one-sided short trade. I'm with your opinion. I was only warning about the FOMC being the more likely dislocation date than the 27th. Cycles have been working less effectively given the market impulse cycle impact is directionally ok but with subdued response. I share with you X things that support a rising $DXY faster in favor of your thesis both #VIX1D and #VIX9D bottomed ofc ahead of $VIX aka #VIX30D see pics. When these can't make new lows it means $VIX will soon find a floor and so will $DXY to allow $SPY and"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948407593862389967) 2025-07-24 15:39:04 UTC 10.4K followers, 5459 engagements


"@Californiawala @ralphkaz @NoelKapela @D3GSolutions @jb_equities Within X trading days. My best guess the Thu Fri after FOMC. So Trump blames it on Jpow"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948547479483412627) 2025-07-25 00:54:56 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@CurtisT00808613 $GOOG always sells on good news and goes up next day. So tomorrow you see $XXX again and then that maybe the rejection level. It has to reject hard if so. Will watch $SPY tomorrow"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948120719558332599) 2025-07-23 20:39:08 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@JohnDoss1 @jb_equities @DaveHcontrarian @MultiMoDouglas @janicezhang2008 @JohnDoss1 John: $VXX and these:"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948150884593963216) 2025-07-23 22:39:00 UTC 10.4K followers, 1015 engagements


"@D3GSolutions @BIGswinginTCKR The way the market resolves resilient markets like this I'm old enough to remember is with shock and awe events one day of X% to X% down. A wake-up call to reset short-term expectations. That's the day $VIX us waiting for"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947409421421736310) 2025-07-21 21:32:41 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@ralphkaz @NoelKapela @D3GSolutions @jb_equities The first $SPY stop is $XXX. I will exit my put here. I will renter after exit from a higher level after a little bounce. I expect X back to back large drawdown days. That's how the MM will trap the bulls. Sudden cardiac arrest type move"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948543162978632093) 2025-07-25 00:37:46 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@CurtisT00808613 $VIX up means $USO up going forward. Today I got a note that $GS vol control funds were done buying yesterday and from today $X will be spent on suppressing $VIX. That's another signal confirming that trade"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948374150281580865) 2025-07-24 13:26:11 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"ES SEP finally broke out of the 2-week trading range. Coincidence A breakout the night before JUL Opex This looks bullish but very quickly it faces massive resistance approaching the old target $6360. See pic. Now at $6350 level. Coincidentally today @BbSignal issued an Algos Signal of Trend Change. I trust their signals a lot. Today may be a reversal day. Not trading advice just highlighting the changes I see. If you're bullish enough please buy $SPY at $XXX RSI XX Greed XX% (=Bait). $SPX $QQQ $VIX $SPY"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946003872696209434) 2025-07-18 00:27:32 UTC 10.4K followers, 13.3K engagements


"This $NVDA put order from yesterday was golden. Everyone should have copied it. @CheddarFlow $SOXX $SOXS"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947665148413358503) 2025-07-22 14:28:51 UTC 10.4K followers, 12.5K engagements


"$VIX Term Structure is repricing to $XXXXX I think we should see a $XXXXX price on VIX today. So buckle up $SPY $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945472250410385649) 2025-07-16 13:15:04 UTC 10.4K followers, 13.8K engagements


"Quick $SPY Update. 1) Market painted a mountain today (a gravestone candlestick) I like to call it a mountain as it shows long investors coming back empty-handed on the day. It is an empty ride. 2) No technical damage. Bears can't celebrate yet. Above the blue staircase support line above all the moving averages. 3) It didn't keep the $63x handle on the day is bearish. A gravestone is bearish. A reversal The price will confirm tomorrow. 4) Japan's bond market reopens this evening and the down $DXY day today may become an up day and the yen takes its right path towards the XXX yens resistance"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947396950183317893) 2025-07-21 20:43:08 UTC 10.4K followers, 11.3K engagements


"Alert The #US3MO just went up X% from XXXX% to XXXX% a big jump that causes US10-3MO curve inversion This means more % is demanded for short-term debt. I normally see this on the 1st day of a new month due to TGA issues. It is weird for tonight. See pic. @zerohedge fyi $SPY $VIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947463900452036694) 2025-07-22 01:09:10 UTC 10.4K followers, 8125 engagements


"This is why I highlighted the $AAPL upside risk this last weekend. The #LILO effect see original post below. $XXX to $XXX real fast. Target $XXXXXX aggressive $XXX. $SPY $QQQ #ATH"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947321831645430062) 2025-07-21 15:44:38 UTC 10.4K followers, 11K engagements


"$SPY & $BTC stayed in the bull flag limits I drew a few days ago. See pic. This is following the pattern from May 2025 similar flag. Unless it breaks down below point X or the line X is on this is bullish consolidation in a descending flag. For $SPY if we don't see a hard rejection below $XXX then this can be a small price movement. We must see "a hard rejection" to confirm a reversal and trap the bulls. If we don't this can go a little longer around the topping levels. The highest risk period remains 8/8 to 8/12 for the $VIX cycle peak"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948714204812157201) 2025-07-25 11:57:26 UTC 10.4K followers, 7594 engagements


"See the note on @zerohedge from yesterday whereby $GS said that the $VIX crush was mostly due to vol controls funds and a preference to hedge with $SPY puts. That said and given what I showed about #VIX1D #VIX9D bottoming I think $VIX will have its day. If I were to get in VIX again I will do it on Monday ahead of #FOMC"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948412094954491964) 2025-07-24 15:56:57 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"$SPY Important Update + BOJ Notes. 1) See the picture comparing the run-up into December 2024 and now. 2) we are today where the black arrow is on the left with a similar candle. 3) We just hit the upper rising wedge resistance line if constructed exactly like 12/2024. See the overshoot in both constructs at point X. Zoom on the right to see how we touched it today. 4) Just like back then the low $VIX regime will end up with a bang. 5) The bang was two trading days of X% down total. 6) This time is no different going down will not be peaceful. It will be with a cardiac arrest. 7) See the next"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948071358526898543) 2025-07-23 17:22:59 UTC 10.4K followers, 14.2K engagements


"@Dhitaldheep @ralphkaz @NoelKapela @D3GSolutions @jb_equities I think $AAPL will fare out best here as per the last AAPL post I put out. The #LILO trade"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948726497948074494) 2025-07-25 12:46:17 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"$SPY Monday's Price will be decided by Japan's Sunday elections. Either a big gap down or a big gap up. Maybe nothing in between 1) Bessent magically is in Japan the day before the elections to discuss tariffs wink wink. Maybe we do like Ishiba Let's cook something. Not rice 2) Rice prices are up XXX% the last XX months and that's causing trouble to the Japanese citizens as it is a main staple. 🍚 3) Japan faces the possibility of Market Instability if this weekend's election leads to Opposition parties gaining Parliamentary Influence read: Market Turmoil fall of Stocks $USDJPY and JGB Bonds."  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946351068398690341) 2025-07-18 23:27:10 UTC 10.4K followers, 28.5K engagements


"Trump's Major Health Scare @PressSec Ms. Leavitt briefed the world this last Friday on health concerns relative to @realDonaldTrump: swollen legs bruised hands. Will this develop into a major health scare for #POTUS if he will be hospitalized Those Simpsons pictures Enter the forecast from 01/01/2025 it sounds silly with the asparagus but her track record is good. See link below. While I don't base any investment decisions on fortunetelling I'm only interested in the timing of his health info release just before the start of the panic / $VIX cycle 08/01 🤔 $SPY $DXY $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946921806155448537) 2025-07-20 13:15:05 UTC 10.4K followers, 8060 engagements


"#US20Y Auction at 1pm EST today will be interesting coming on a day with reduced liquidity after EU's rate hold. I closed my $TQQQ longs this AM. Not going long into this auction ⚠ $TLT $SPY $TSLA $QQQ $VIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948383097960972348) 2025-07-24 14:01:44 UTC 10.4K followers, 13.5K engagements


"$NIKKEI. The large $DXY drop tonight allowed the NIKKEI to come back full circle to the February breakdown candle level. Up XXX pts. See pic. Mission Accomished Where to next #ATH or #crash Watch $dxy for the answer. ====== $SPY $VIX $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1938092901457613186) 2025-06-26 04:32:10 UTC 10.4K followers, 6290 engagements


"$BTC is down but $SPY is up. 1) $SPY is lying and will crash X% just like I told you minutes ago. 2) BTC will go up but not now it will repeat the May Bull Flag that lasted for XX days. See pic. 3) BTC is only XX days out of XX into the bull flag. 4) Expect your BTC money to be dead money in August as we go through the panic / $VIX / war cycle in early August. 5) Once the next XX days are gone maybe less than XX expect BTC to rise to $130k as first stop. 6) The BTC action confirms my SPY call from earlier today. See pic compare X to 1"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948078955753254960) 2025-07-23 17:53:11 UTC 10.4K followers, 18K engagements


"Japan Election Results below. Results described as disastrous. Full market impact may not be till Tuesday due to a bank holiday in Japan tomorrow Monday: Marine Day. FX impact after 5pm. $NIKKEI $USDJPY $SPY $VIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946907179560104365) 2025-07-20 12:16:58 UTC 10.4K followers, 15K engagements


"@npresc @saltydocEM @rchahall7 Until you hear $AAPL buying Perplexity AI and it jumps to $XXX or $XXX but i think they leave this to post-correction 😉 then AAPL becomes an AI play that lagged behind. Spoiler Alerr"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946979331034460596) 2025-07-20 17:03:40 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"ES SEP. The holy range. $SPX $VIX $SPY $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945881079153316032) 2025-07-17 16:19:36 UTC 10.4K followers, 15.2K engagements


"@D3GSolutions Yes but sometimes the X points may spread over days it depends on the $SPY drop they want for the day. I expect showtime to be at NOON EST for $VIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945478623302947009) 2025-07-16 13:40:23 UTC 10.4K followers, 6881 engagements


"@CurtisT00808613 That's how they prepare $DXY $USO $UNG $VIX for an event. Coming to a theatre near you We have everything except for the Showtime"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948169257121874071) 2025-07-23 23:52:00 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@jb_equities @D3GSolutions From $17+ levels for sure. And going into August"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948462876290580559) 2025-07-24 19:18:45 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@maxipad2981 That was NOT my forecast. It was Japan's Tatsuki forecast. I reposted a summary of it"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947873471972970986) 2025-07-23 04:16:40 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"The $AAPL Conundrum. FIFO vs. LILO. How do you know when markets top/bottom Look at $AAPL for clues. To illustrate. At the 4/7 bottom $NVDA and the semis led us out. The semis lead out of a bottom. They're also the first to lead down from a top. $AAPL was the last to go down into 4/7 it was used to provide the final push down. It plays the opposite role near tops it is used by MMs to provide the final push on the way up as the semis begin their corrective move down. And again AAPL will be the last to go down this cycle now. So: Semis are #FIFO: First In First Out And AAPL is #LILO: Last In"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946937878233469268) 2025-07-20 14:18:57 UTC 10.4K followers, 25.3K engagements


"@margo_amala @forexstophunter @MichaelMOTTCM fyi #vix1d #vix9d bottoms $vix floor"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948413547626516974) 2025-07-24 16:02:44 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"$SPY RSI will open tomorrow above XX% This is the 2nd highest reading this year. SPY has a habit of going down after hitting such levels to let some steam out. Just saying in case RSI still matters 😆 I highlight the risk what you do with the info is up to you Please do not shoot the messenger. See pic. $VIX $QQQ $TSLA $GOOG"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948165433468633205) 2025-07-23 23:36:49 UTC 10.4K followers, 16.4K engagements


"Based on the daily bar count stochastics triple top on ES and ES reaching the 6360 target (1929 resistance line). Granted $SPX didn't hit the line yet bulls say we must go up into FOMC to hit this line on SPX. Elliott Wave says so as well. I argue that the hit on ES is sufficient for now and the SPX will hit on the way back up to put new ATH later this year after this risk coming period. That's how the market traps the bulls by not fulfilling their last target. My 0.02"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946567715256201425) 2025-07-19 13:48:03 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson on Bloomberg: 1) Sees a 5-10% drop in Q3 on tariffs negative impact 2) $SPX $6500 in Q4 / eoy 3) "This is what the beginning of a new bull market looks like. The man who told us we were going down to $3600 when the market was at $4200. Is he still a contrarian indicator $SPY $VIX $QQQ $SOXX #MIKEWILSON $MS"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947285967057928371) 2025-07-21 13:22:08 UTC 10.4K followers, 11.1K engagements


"$SPY Update by Zan. 1) Market started the day looking for a liquidity grab from the AM. It couldn't find it at the 5-dma it needed to dig deeper and found it EXACTEDLY at the 8-dma at $XXX and change. See pic. 2) Dip buyers came as expected since we're above the $XXX gamma flip line = it is a BTFD regime. Clockwork 3) Low liquidity should be a warning it started last night with the higher #US3MO event. 4) $SOXX were weaker than traditional $QQQ tech now they take a back seat as $AAPL holds the Q's minimizing the corrective price. 5) Bearish Case first. If a low liquidity regime has started"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947751168131637355) 2025-07-22 20:10:40 UTC 10.4K followers, 19.6K engagements


"@MOSSADil left the podium unexpectedly today with a "Take care of yourselves." How am I supposed to sleep tonight I'm not going to speculate about anything. Don't ❌ But this never happened before. My antennas 📡 are up. $SPY $VIX $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948190479868174644) 2025-07-24 01:16:20 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@the1geek On the day $VIX Controls stopped. See below note"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948435041748472240) 2025-07-24 17:28:08 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"$SKEW. The last piece of the puzzle Finally the SKEW Index which measures tail risk is reaching a high it hasn't reached since early March during the tariffs ordeal ⚠ The SKEW prices risk of a Black Swan / unexpected events / $SPY Crashes as downside protection increases along with implied volatility. Once the SKEW reaches its highest target level the MMs start selling SKEW bringing both it and $SPY down. Now at $XXX while pre-Feb crash it reached $XXX but the risk now shouldn't be as high so SKEW should peak soon. The chart shows resistance at $XXX. $VIX should go up when this unwind begins."  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948810393125900314) 2025-07-25 18:19:39 UTC 10.4K followers, 7169 engagements


"$SPY insisted on X touches to form a nice hat. She likes hats. See pic. It is good time to accumulate short ETFs here and hold through Aug XX $VIX peak cycle. Panic cycle officially begins August 1st. This correlates well with my notes earlier that FOMC will form a critical fear reversal point. $VIX $QQQ $SQQQ $SOXS"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946215080497947042) 2025-07-18 14:26:48 UTC 10.4K followers, 11.2K engagements


"None shorted $VIX today XXX% calls. VIX found a floor. Topping is a process. $SKEW is rising means implied volatility is rising. The market can remain more irrational than you can remain solvent protect your capital with a stop loss. I was forced to buy $TQQQ again today as a hedge. Back positive now net net. But I don't want to be trapped long after all this effort 😐 They want all bears out"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948834186380673034) 2025-07-25 19:54:12 UTC 10.4K followers, 13.3K engagements


"$VIX is currently in jail in this wedge. See 2pm EST is just before the wedge apex. See pic. $SPY $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945169753489686785) 2025-07-15 17:13:03 UTC 10.4K followers, 12.7K engagements


"In theory $VIX peak is 08/12. So we stay at $XX or higher for August. But it is not a straight line. Today early evening Trump and the Qatari PM will meet and they will announce the Gaza peace plan. Trump and Bibi are dying to close this file to open the Iran file again so in the next X weeks Iran and $VIX will be back on the table"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945505154838478980) 2025-07-16 15:25:49 UTC 10.4K followers, 7886 engagements


"@the1geek @SecScottBessent If JGB's keep going up in yield the Japanese people will transfer their sh*** back to Japan. They sell assets here"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947872868617908580) 2025-07-23 04:14:16 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"$NVDA the below distribution on $NVDL is interesting because of its size. Today's NVDL price action may have been an attempt to test the price again "from below" and fail there. This happens often after distributions. The key for NVDL / NVDA here is not to exceed the distribution price levels. If NVDL stays below it will be good for $SOXS holders going into August. Cc: @VolumeLeaders / great tools here as always 👏"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948184619079348249) 2025-07-24 00:53:03 UTC 10.4K followers, 8456 engagements


"@_danny_dimes @PressSec @realDonaldTrump $VIX cycle peak Aug XX. Mid point at XX days materialized exactly on 6/11 Iran war started. Aug XX ="  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946924575041708101) 2025-07-20 13:26:05 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"The panic cycle is the $VIX cycle XXX days long from 04/07 last VIX spike"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947413861398942178) 2025-07-21 21:50:20 UTC 10.4K followers, 3095 engagements


"@D3GSolutions @the1geek $BTC $130k is resistance. But it can go down to $113k easily and fast first support"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1944958007835860998) 2025-07-15 03:11:39 UTC 10.4K followers, 1385 engagements


"@QuantData @QuantData be careful what you wish for here as short-term volatility found a floor here fortunes and flow may start reversing for real soon please keep an eye on $VIX flows see #VIX1D #VIX9D note below:"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948409676229390684) 2025-07-24 15:47:21 UTC 10.4K followers, 1826 engagements


"@DaveHcontrarian I'm testing you only to understand your method better maybe I am a macro forecaster you can't issue judgment that fast we were also aligned at $7000 for sure. $7140 is my level. It is easy to make calls XXX to X sigmas out because if they don't happen the counter argument is easy. I admire your work we're a friendly group here but the first responder put you on the defensive. We love you keep up the good work. We would love to see periodic input from you here we combine astrology time series and chaos theory / fractals for predicting. This last period has been too impulsive"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948137740006019277) 2025-07-23 21:46:46 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"This info is inaccurate today is the #US10Y TIPS for $XX billions. Not the 20yr. I had the wrong entry in my calendar"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948386195228033324) 2025-07-24 14:14:02 UTC 10.4K followers, 8779 engagements


"$TSLA down X% but bears want this tomorrow not today 😆 they will buy this dip again tomorrow"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948152010512982045) 2025-07-23 22:43:28 UTC 10.4K followers, 7239 engagements


"$TLT is in a wedge with its apex magically set to end on #FOMC day 07/30. See pic. There is no coincidence in this market. The question is how will it resolve from there Higher yields lower $TLT Or to the other side Wdyt $TNX #US20Y $TIPS $SPY $VIX $USO $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948395316388024731) 2025-07-24 14:50:17 UTC 10.4K followers, 6306 engagements


"See picture how and why the AM scenario was reversed the global sell-off didn't apply to the US. Thanks 🌮 $DXY lost the overnight strength. $TNX $TLT up $SPY $QQQ up"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948786967560552514) 2025-07-25 16:46:34 UTC 10.4K followers, 5914 engagements


"$SPY AM Update. 1) SPY is testing the resistance line from BELOW X times so far this AM going for the 4th after better than expected data. It is hugging the blue staircase bottom support line like a snake. 2) It is clear this admin's BLS will not release any unfavorable data. 3) The talk about firing Powell intensifies Warsh on CNBC just before the data. This talk effects interest rates in a way Trump wants. 4) Europe and Japan green expect $QQQ green. 5) More data at 10am EST 6) If SPY jumps above the blue line the bearish breakdown is challenged. The setup I outlined is also challenged. $VIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945831002829390232) 2025-07-17 13:00:37 UTC 10.4K followers, 11K engagements


"@slutd3stroy3r @the1geek This came in after 3pm 1.2M 32c $VIX August. Noteworthy"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946310817076433301) 2025-07-18 20:47:14 UTC 10.4K followers, 5473 engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives there's another path because impulse is so strong quick X% drawdown then go higher into October driven not by tech but value and commodities with $DXY maintaining strength. Rotation trade. This will allow metals and $BTC to also levitate. The beginnings of a commodity cycle. Wdyt So $SPY & YM / DJIA strength tech esp $SMH takes a back seat. Other $QQQ like $AAPL can go up. Study how $QQQ / $SOXX ratio go up in late cycle ⚠"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947676363751674141) 2025-07-22 15:13:25 UTC 10.4K followers, 6192 engagements


"@the1geek Here's what a sample end of July correction looks like from last year the first X% in X long candles. If this repeats you will be at $XXX next Monday. 😆 No worries about $6180 to August / $XXX that's this Thursday if repeated"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947498699594338464) 2025-07-22 03:27:27 UTC 10.4K followers, 5959 engagements


"@tonyan2060 $SKEW doesn't need to go to $XXX now the tariff risk from Feb is not here now. I see X to $X maybe it can go down from $XXX. The point something changed and protection is being bought IV will go up. $VIX clearly found a floor"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948834875605397953) 2025-07-25 19:56:56 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"Insane Bullish and Bearish $SPY flow on both sides calls all the way up to $XXX and puts all the way down to $XXX. @cheddarflow optoon flow is more bearish 60%. Lucky MMs everyone's checkbook is wide open. See pics"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948817056578638302) 2025-07-25 18:46:08 UTC 10.4K followers, 8866 engagements


"It will when target price and time arrive they will bring $SPY down. One of them has not been met or both. Next possible reversal points: Monday%Tue: pre-FOMC volatility Wednesday: FOMC Thursday: BOJ + Bond market response post FOMC if they cut will be brutal as long-term rates will rise after a not needed cut. Think 10y XXX% Early August: war news panic vix cycle start"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948794598702395595) 2025-07-25 17:16:53 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"Quick Update: $SPY Order Flow above $500k since 10AM has been in puts except for one $XXX call for tomorrow. They're probably all correct since the call is for tomorrow. But if the market is going up why are they buying the puts today It is not time for contracts rollover. 🤔 The usual answer is hedge I say #FOMC #BOJ and August shenanigans. I'm hedging again before close because of the $XXX / $XXX bullish flow I saw since #TACO will be visiting #Powell at 4pm. @realDonaldTrump talking smack about Powell = lower $DXY higher $TLT higher $SPY. Good for $X Maybe. Let's see how that event unfolds"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948450535486439470) 2025-07-24 18:29:42 UTC 10.4K followers, 21.9K engagements


"I'm XXXXXX% this bullish move is done here. The ES overnight action is market ruse for the last bulls to go on board. ES price will reverse at 4am EST. $SPY $XXX is the top. My conviction is now mathematical regardless of $BTC and Asia. I had my Eureka moment tonight. The End of this upward move. Corrective move Friday or Monday latest"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948602254967112113) 2025-07-25 04:32:35 UTC 10.4K followers, 1214 engagements


"@Yodyood No tonight's action is fake on US equities. $NIKKEI $HSI $BTC are shown. It is end of the divergence"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948586001334448558) 2025-07-25 03:28:00 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"I'm not worried about ES SEP going to 6360 I'm worried about $SPX going there. If $SPX must go there then $SPY can go to $XXXXXX before it tops. This is the 1929 line limit. But here's the big question: if they're going down then back up to new ATH why insist on hitting SPX 6360 Hitting it on ES is enough then it hits again on the way up. Unless the plan is to complete a top here and go down for a while The entire move left to this target is XXXX% or $X $SPY. This coming week has a lot of question marks. Japan bond market closed tomorrow. So Tuesday shows bond impact. Powell Tuesday maybe"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947102867082407972) 2025-07-21 01:14:33 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"Risk / Panic cycle begins in X trading days peaks 08/12. Drones exploded in Iran X hours ago. $VIX $SPY"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947410805290328368) 2025-07-21 21:38:11 UTC 10.4K followers, 12.3K engagements


"@CurtisT00808613 You're buying $SPY they're buying $USO $UNG $UUP"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948169481072562289) 2025-07-23 23:52:54 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"Two days ago I asked this question about Ishiba more below ".but for how long before they force him out" Ishiba just submitted his resignation for end of August. @SecScottBessent made sure he visited Ishiba the very day before the elections to get Ishiba's Hancock on the Trade deal papers before he was booted out. This deal became a hot topic. $NIKKEI up 1250 $QQQ up XXXXX instead of XXX this hardly ever happened before (sarc) big divergence on tech pricing. One of these indices is lying $SPY $VIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947855039269138909) 2025-07-23 03:03:25 UTC 10.4K followers, 10.7K engagements


"@Isma05740093932 The post FOMC "initial move" should be to $XXXXXX $SPY Set your ETF targets accordingly you will be in the money by then"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946216429176373382) 2025-07-18 14:32:10 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"$NVDA is XXX sigmas away from the average. See pic. Where have I seen this movie before Yes February 14th 2025 few days before the XX% crash. If you have any doubt that markets don't mean revert away from 6.1x look at the chart below. Anyone asking for continuation of price levitation here is delusional. First we must correct before going higher again. NVDA HAS NEVER BEEN THIS OVERBOUGHT IN ITS HISTORY. At least take her back to 2x or 3x for starters. $SPY $UVIX $VIX $QQQ $SMH $AVGO $SOXL $SOXX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946287760978931801) 2025-07-18 19:15:37 UTC 10.4K followers, 15.4K engagements


"TRADING TIP. $VIX vs. Gamma Flip Line. 1) The current Gamma flip line is just below $6180 $SPX 2) Stay above it means buying the dip. Stay below it means selling the rips 3) Stay below it also means more hedging and higher rate of change on VIX. 4) If you're holding VIX products the market losing this level is the key to your vol investment to grow"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947483429433466899) 2025-07-22 02:26:46 UTC 10.4K followers, 9554 engagements


"@zerohedge that's the definition of Masa selling Trump the sizzle not the steak There's no steak whatsoever Both agreed to deliver only the sizzle Meanwhile $NVDA just added $2T's worth of new steak. They don't need Masa's monopoly yens $SOXX are flush with $'s. See below post. $SMH $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947859692136362330) 2025-07-23 03:21:54 UTC 10.4K followers, 1548 engagements


"Iran XXX / Mideast War Date: Friday 08/08/2025 after 5pm EST If you recall I forecasted the Iran XXX War to the nearest X hours on Friday 06/13/25 That happened on the 64th day / half $VIX cycle Iran XXX will also happen the weekend before VIX hits the XXX day cycle peak of 08/12 The choice of 08/08 is astrologically perfect given the celestial configuration that day. Tuesday after the event will see a $VIX cycle peak. Expect $GLD to go down #WTI and $DXY up markets $SPY $QQQ down. Note how $GLD is topping here in prep (triple top). This is a forecast. Please do not fight it or fight me. Just"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947872663512261085) 2025-07-23 04:13:27 UTC 10.4K followers, 9049 engagements


"Can Trump wait X weeks to decide on Iran Can Israelis spend X more weeks in underground shelters without electricity in the heat Netenyahu will not survive the public outcry This X week delay is market ruse by Trump. The $SPY compounded cycle shows a rise in the morning Friday for a couple hours higher than $XXX again into the resistance area then the market dumps significantly think a X% to X% flush. What triggers this can be a US attack on Iran a culminating event / resolution or some announcement related to this matter. There's an event. If i were to guess a time it would be after the Euro"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1935872476308750497) 2025-06-20 01:28:59 UTC 10.4K followers, 21.4K engagements


"Overnight Price Action. For the first time in a long time all red indices in Asia / Australia. $BTC down $3000 If Europe opens red at 4AM EST overnight rest assured then the green US candles will change from green to red at 4:05AM EST. Distribution maybe done. The reversal is imminent in US equities. First leg X to X% $VIX $SPY $QQQ $NIKKEI"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948588512229380278) 2025-07-25 03:37:58 UTC 10.4K followers, 26.3K engagements


"@TicTocTick @TicTocTick how much risk do you see from Japan's Sunday elections in terms of bond dislocation A nothingburger Or a market mover $TNX $TLT $DXY More context here:"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946555639565607022) 2025-07-19 13:00:04 UTC 10.4K followers, 5640 engagements


"@D3GSolutions I don't recommend buying $UVIX here now. It is Friday even if we end up with a red day and higher $VIX unless you see a hard rejection on $SPY this can only be a small volatility move. Volatility will be meaningful for sure in early August esp from 08/08 into the peak 08/12 or mid-month"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948716417940910438) 2025-07-25 12:06:14 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"Trump's Truth Social post coincided with $DXY reaching its highest price in a while it was minutes away from hitting the psycological $XX level His comment stopped it. Market manipulation of the first degree by #POTUS. He wants DXY weaker to keep rates lower and $SPY higher. @realDonaldTrump let the market function on its own. @SECGov"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1943320887798743485) 2025-07-10 14:46:19 UTC 10.4K followers, 14.5K engagements


"@D3GSolutions @the1geek Yes I think so but i would not short it myself. Kissing near the ES 6340 was the event"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1944957124393476115) 2025-07-15 03:08:08 UTC 10.4K followers, 2032 engagements


"@envelope123456 Ofc they will start selling stocks before such event"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1947874101923639579) 2025-07-23 04:19:10 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives @Mr_Derivatives: maybe not because #VIX1D couldn't go to the $6.xx level today it may have bottomed. So X day bottomed next X day #VIX9D bottoming oh it also did today So two horses bottomed. Next up XX day $VIX Let's find out tomorrow"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1948127792119304433) 2025-07-23 21:07:14 UTC 10.4K followers, 4953 engagements