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# ![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) @alshfaw Astro Zan

The market is experiencing significant volatility due to geopolitical tensions, including a US attack on Iranian nuclear sites and uncertainty around a potential ceasefire. Zan is providing updates on the market's expected movements, citing astrological and technical analysis, and warning of potential reversals and corrections. The $SPY index is being closely watched, with key levels identified at $601.14, $602.66, and $603.47, which could determine the market's direction in the coming days.

### Engagements: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::777152191425642496/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::777152191425642496/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXXX -XX%
- X Month XXXXXXXXX +118%
- X Months XXXXXXXXX +1,827%
- X Year XXXXXXXXX +5,442%

### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::777152191425642496/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::777152191425642496/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Week XXX -XX%
- X Month XXX +79%
- X Months XXX +81%
- X Year XXXXX +307%

### Followers: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::777152191425642496/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::777152191425642496/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXXXXX +2.90%
- X Month XXXXXX +43%
- X Months XXXXXX +804%
- X Year XXXXXX +1,558%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::777152191425642496/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::777152191425642496/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence [#](/creator/twitter::777152191425642496/influence)
---

**Social category influence**
[stocks](/list/stocks)  #4445 [finance](/list/finance)  #4468 [countries](/list/countries)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  [exchanges](/list/exchanges) 

**Social topic influence**
[spy](/topic/spy) #133, [$spy](/topic/$spy) #13, [vix](/topic/vix) #21, [$vix](/topic/$vix) #3, [qqq](/topic/qqq) #12, [$qqq](/topic/$qqq) #8, [nvda](/topic/nvda) #22, [$nvda](/topic/$nvda) #104, [iran](/topic/iran), [fomc](/topic/fomc) #6

**Top assets mentioned**
[SPDR S&P XXX ETF Trust (SPY)](/topic/$spy) [Vixco (VIX)](/topic/$vix) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [SPX6900 (SPX)](/topic/$spx) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/$btc) [iShares BTC Trust (IBIT)](/topic/$ibit) [Spacemesh (SMH)](/topic/$smh) [Broadcom, Inc. (AVGO)](/topic/$avgo) [BlueMove (MOVE)](/topic/$move) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla) [Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)](/topic/$amzn) [Super Micro Computer, Inc. Common Stock (SMCI)](/topic/$smci) [Mario Coin (COIN)](/topic/$coin) [Grayscale BTC ETF (GBTC)](/topic/$gbtc)
### Top Social Posts [#](/creator/twitter::777152191425642496/posts)
---
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"100% sure. And I have the data to back it up. I see those large MMs VJX puts that come just before the SPY ramps. They crush it. At some point when they decide the top is in the opposite will start happening they buy otm calls. We're entering the strongest seasonal period for VIX. Panic cycle begins Aug X. Just make sure when you get to $XX again not to panic sell. Hold through FOMC into at least X trading days after FOMC"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946232039562469698) 2025-07-18 15:34:12 UTC 10.3K followers, XXX engagements


"$BTC reached the end of the wedge it is in not many buyers at this level. See pic. I think it heads down to $87000 to grab some liquidity. My lines a bit unconventional I know 😃 $BITX $IBIT $VIX $SPY"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1917033106990579791) 2025-04-29 01:48:04 UTC 10.3K followers, 2175 engagements


"Here's why you're wrong what brought you back up on $SPY was this downward corrective move on $DXY after Trump's comments exactly $XXXX from XXXX to XXXX Convince me DXY is going down again tomorrow then I believe you. DXY is going to $XXX. $SPY and esp $QQQ going down from here. Do you remember what happened exactly at $XXXX DXY last week They brought Trump and talked it down. Corrective moves on DXY nothing more"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945655972606927157) 2025-07-17 01:25:07 UTC 10.3K followers, 7165 engagements


"$SPY Update by Zan. Monday PM 07/14/2025. 1) Once again the purple channel that was protected Thursday and Friday was again a fortress today a little wick into it and rejected. See pic. The gapdown happened the recovery back up happened as outlined last week. 2) This channel must be protected tomorrow as well ⚠ 3) How tomorrow will play out Uneventful AM with a small upward bias until 2pm. I think CPI will provide the wrong response initially for upward green bias. But it will not be a massive impulse higher. 4) At 2PM EST MM will price in the new $VIX contract. There will be a massive drop"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1944852721401803078) 2025-07-14 20:13:17 UTC 10.3K followers, 38.7K engagements


"@vladtiminski @billnadamsonfin $XX is my target on $VIX. The larger spike in October"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946623696812056918) 2025-07-19 17:30:30 UTC 10.3K followers, XXX engagements


"That's what I'm expecting Tomorrow Friday Israel or Iran attack one another. I expect Iran to take the lead next so they go finish the Iranian regime and complete the new Middle East map redraw. Everything is ready. The market is waiting for an event to happen so it releases all the steam it has. $SPY $VIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945889610900361391) 2025-07-17 16:53:30 UTC 10.3K followers, XXX engagements


"$SPY wedge resolved higher. This opens the door to $6315 $SPX in theory. Puts closed in less profit before open. I will short again at $6315 She has one last high to put before going down. That's why we follow the price not the judgment call. $6275 is the first target she can reach today. $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1942942219100414025) 2025-07-09 13:41:37 UTC 10.3K followers, 13.8K engagements


"$SPY Top Is In Monday Gap-Down to $XXXXXX See pic. 1) SPY failed to go above the channel marked with the purple bracket. 2) This confirmed the double-top above this channel. 3) The wave harmonic must now reset to the next level which is $XXXXXX the previous linear geometric high. This is the amount of gap for Monday morning. This will trap die-hard bulls above it along with their future hopium I'm hereby confirming $6333.50 as the top and we no longer need to touch the $6360 pure mathematical cyclical target. This target will be resolved by breaking below $6240. See the full path in the"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1943761064232972355) 2025-07-11 19:55:25 UTC 10.2K followers, 119.3K engagements


"@D3GSolutions Lol. If i say short you don't short blindly there are signs that must confirm short entry. You will know when to close it watch the $VIX peak to close your position. If no VJX rising action before 2pm why bother. It is a forecast I'm not the market maker"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1944910461541212358) 2025-07-15 00:02:43 UTC 10.3K followers, XXX engagements


"Japan Election Results below. Results described as disastrous. Full market impact may not be till Tuesday due to a bank holiday in Japan tomorrow Monday: Marine Day. FX impact after 5pm. $NIKKEI $USDJPY $SPY $VIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946907179560104365) 2025-07-20 12:16:58 UTC 10.3K followers, 7058 engagements


"Based on the daily bar count stochastics triple top on ES and ES reaching the 6360 target (1929 resistance line). Granted $SPX didn't hit the line yet bulls say we must go up into FOMC to hit this line on SPX. Elliott Wave says so as well. I argue that the hit on ES is sufficient for now and the SPX will hit on the way back up to put new ATH later this year after this risk coming period. That's how the market traps the bulls by not fulfilling their last target. My 0.02"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946567715256201425) 2025-07-19 13:48:03 UTC 10.3K followers, XXX engagements


"@jb_equities @the1geek Iran to Israel is the only direction that matters to the market. Especially if destructive or small tactical nuclear as a proof of concept"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945890425002217515) 2025-07-17 16:56:44 UTC 10.3K followers, XXX engagements


"$QQQ hit a new ATH on Friday. How many out of its XXX constituents hit an ATH The answer is a paltry X. See them in the attached picture. Now I need the bulls to convince me that these X overbought stocks can take me to a new ATH next week This index is running on fumes. On X% $VIX $SPY $NVDA"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946611211921195277) 2025-07-19 16:40:53 UTC 10.3K followers, 9188 engagements


"Point A defended by bears. The triple top on $SPY is officially in. Let's see if the arc holds the price down below the blue support line. See below"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945852513644630427) 2025-07-17 14:26:06 UTC 10.3K followers, 16.9K engagements


"We're not building a rocket here even if the algorithm that did the chart was wrong it is an add-on to T.V. the point is that the price of $NVDA has been overstretched twice to high levels last week and on Feb 14th with highs of X and X on sigma respectively. The point is still the same whether you compare X to X or X to X or X to X this is a widely held stock that doubled in price in XX trading days that's a big deal it is not a meme stock. When they allow this to happen they are engineering a bubble. You can't easily add $2T to X stock without the hands of the Feds trading desk at FRBNY"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946658912108675407) 2025-07-19 19:50:26 UTC 10.3K followers, XXX engagements


"Bank Upgrades In Feb just before the crash when $NVDA was at $XXX NVDA price was upgraded to $XXX. In June just before the crash when $AVGO was at $XXX it was upgraded to $XXX. I can't wait for the downgrades to buy them at the bottom $SOXL $SMH $SPY $VIX $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1938393545519333604) 2025-06-27 00:26:49 UTC 10.3K followers, 7371 engagements


"$SPY Update by Zan. 1) the AM action with the SPY rise into late AM then fall with $VIX repricing happened accurately to within XX cents on the VIX price. 2) I was expecting some of that price to hold but #POTUS stirred up the pot really hard at peak VIX today. We ended up with a hammer candlestick which is not a signal but a warning that bulls are still strong. 3) I am approximating the week action with a wedge see picture. The wedge has points circles on the two wedge lines. I also show two bad points X was an overshoot from the wedge to ATH and today's low as 2; an undershoot below the"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945582831649927583) 2025-07-16 20:34:28 UTC 10.3K followers, 20.4K engagements


"Bond Market Volatility Update This is the volatility that matters not $VIX for causing market dislocation. $MOVE up XXXX% or +$5 today Correlation with stocks: X month out up XX% ⚠⚠ X month out up X% X month out at XX or XX deltas X% $VXTLT X% It is a question of when not if. $SPY $QQQ $TLT $TNX #US10Y $DXY"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1944895342102897072) 2025-07-14 23:02:38 UTC 10.3K followers, 7928 engagements


"$NVDA is XXX sigmas away from the average. See pic. Where have I seen this movie before Yes February 14th 2025 few days before the XX% crash. If you have any doubt that markets don't mean revert away from 6.1x look at the chart below. Anyone asking for continuation of price levitation here is delusional. First we must correct before going higher again. NVDA HAS NEVER BEEN THIS OVERBOUGHT IN ITS HISTORY. At least take her back to 2x or 3x for starters. $SPY $UVIX $VIX $QQQ $SMH $AVGO $SOXL $SOXX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946287760978931801) 2025-07-18 19:15:37 UTC 10.3K followers, 14.5K engagements


"$SPX Price Simulation using harmonics / fractals. Here's the price action I'm expecting: 1) Top is in at $6333.50 already today or a possible final overshoot tomorrow AM to $6360 (the ES SEP contract target) 2) Close Friday near today's lows. See pic. 3) Gap down Monday AM. Trap longs. 4) Tue + Wed: initial serious breakdown. Current bearish signals: 1) Low volume Declining $MTUM 2) $VIX reached the floor of the compression channel. Also #VIX1D and $MOVE. 3) High RSI 4) Start of the new 90-day cycle. 5) Opex approaching and renewed geo risk. 6) Divergence between $SKEW and $SPY prices is"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1943443963718894000) 2025-07-10 22:55:23 UTC 10.3K followers, 95.6K engagements


"#VIX9D Today logged its highest reading of the 9-day volatility indexthe highest since the end of the Iran-Israel war. Translation: clouds expected over the next X days. $SPY $VIX $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1942381752938602510) 2025-07-08 00:34:32 UTC 10.3K followers, 7031 engagements


"$SPY Trading Note for Tuesday 07/16/25. 1) $VIX Expiry is tomorrow. 2) It is likely SPY may go higher even back to $XXX or higher to retest the previous levels but this is a retest immediately after the cash open at 9:30am. It may not be quick. This is by design to create volatility for the swing down. 3) Bears should not have weak hands with this SPY will sell again from the retest levels and we end up with a red candle on the day and a VIX repricing event to $XX or $XX for starters. 4) I'm forecasting the largest price action to be on Friday with a Gap-down Thursday night into Friday. 5)"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945239636684447928) 2025-07-15 21:50:44 UTC 10.3K followers, 24.5K engagements


"$SPY Update. 1) #VIX1D increased over XX% as $SPY defied $DXY gravity. Both DXY and SPY went up A divergence See pic 2) This amount of VIX1D means we open lower tomorrow as this steam needs to be released overnight. Down AM not necessarily for too long. It just helps you position your first cash open order with a red bias. 3) The old 6360 ES SEP target was revised to 6340 (mathematical cycle top) which we hit today. The previous high near this level was hit overnight few days ago when $BTC also topped and corrected a bit. This time 6340 hit during the cash session. Could this be it Maybe Now"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945984486820270584) 2025-07-17 23:10:30 UTC 10.3K followers, 12.5K engagements


"@TicTocTick @TicTocTick how much risk do you see from Japan's Sunday elections in terms of bond dislocation A nothingburger Or a market mover $TNX $TLT $DXY More context here:"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946555639565607022) 2025-07-19 13:00:04 UTC 10.3K followers, 5375 engagements


"@elteslaengineer Periodically they buy $XXX $VIX puts these high numbers like $XXX or $XXX they do something to the IV calculation formula they crush the VIX fast. It is an MM trick I noticed over time"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946232728346632317) 2025-07-18 15:36:56 UTC 10.3K followers, XXX engagements


"In spite of the recent selling in tech $AAPL and $AMZN volatility remained low suggesting an orderly selling mostly taking profits absent a catalyzing negative event. See pic showing $VXAPL and $VXAZN $VIX $NVDA $QQQ $SOXX $SMCI $SOXL $SMH $TDEX $SKEW $TLT $YINN $TNX $TSLA $U"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1857805772727435285) 2024-11-16 15:19:47 UTC 10.3K followers, 1079 engagements


"@zerohedge An idea on how to trade $SPY / $VIX tomorrow:"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1944864878461903243) 2025-07-14 21:01:35 UTC 10.3K followers, 2728 engagements


"$VIX Option Flow Monday PM. It was uni-directional and green this afternoon. See pic. Next month calls as the contract rolls in no time. Screenshot and data : @CheddarFlow. $SPY $QQQ $VIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1944938046199357667) 2025-07-15 01:52:20 UTC 10.3K followers, 14.6K engagements


"@ScottNicho14407 @BbSignal @market_sleuth I was completely right Thursady to Wednesday dude with many compliments. Only today was off. You have memory issues I can't be right on daily moves every day. These are forecasts. Can you do better"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946013654949761200) 2025-07-18 01:06:25 UTC 10.3K followers, XXX engagements


"Interesting take by the @MOSSADil on the BBB Taxbill see below. @elonmusk Link. $SPY $TLT $TNX $HYG $LQD"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1940630880625770902) 2025-07-03 04:37:11 UTC 10.3K followers, 13.4K engagements


"A copy of the post on the taxbill vs Elon that the Mossad deleted a few minutes later attached. @zerohedge fyi $TLT $TNX $HYG"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1940634604081500431) 2025-07-03 04:51:59 UTC 10.3K followers, 10.3K engagements


"@iain247 My personal target $SPY $XXX to $XXX but with a catalyst. I think Iran XXX will provide it. Let's see what Trump and Qatari PM announce for Gaza tonight. I know it looks impossible now to reach that low. But let's see how it plays out with geo risk and the cycle change"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945590728597406176) 2025-07-16 21:05:51 UTC 10.2K followers, 1090 engagements


"@bloominggains Maybe by Friday PM. But I was hoping today that we close $XXX or $XXX but we didn't. Let's see what $VIX opex will do tomorrow. They really pushed the envelope and wore the bears out"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945240285300011281) 2025-07-15 21:53:19 UTC 10.3K followers, XXX engagements


"$SPY Cup-and-Handle formation 1) Today's low was last seen around July 7th see picture. 2) Today SPY revisited that level at $XXX closing the CUP 3) The immediate reversal while sharp drew the handle to the resistance line at $XXXXXX 4) Since hitting resistance it has been coming down slowly now at $623+ 5) If this is a Cup-and-Handle and I think it is then you know the rest of the story what happens after the handle is formed. $VIX $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945632162943848885) 2025-07-16 23:50:30 UTC 10.3K followers, 16.9K engagements


"$SPY insisted on X touches to form a nice hat. She likes hats. See pic. It is good time to accumulate short ETFs here and hold through Aug XX $VIX peak cycle. Panic cycle officially begins August 1st. This correlates well with my notes earlier that FOMC will form a critical fear reversal point. $VIX $QQQ $SQQQ $SOXS"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946215080497947042) 2025-07-18 14:26:48 UTC 10.3K followers, 11K engagements


"@CurtisT00808613 What if this uptrend they told you about just ended for good What if the XXX SPY is just Kool-Aid people drank What if you're sitting at $XXX $SPY by end of September ready for a Fed's rate cut Just What if Then this IHS is a ticket to the moon"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1943480831319687644) 2025-07-11 01:21:52 UTC 10.3K followers, 1169 engagements


"$BTC needs to break below $100500 for serious technical damage. That strong leg with an engulfing candle needs to go first. Until then don't panic. See pic $IBIT $GBTC $COIN"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1936544340647805374) 2025-06-21 21:58:44 UTC 10.3K followers, 12.7K engagements


"$SPY is XXX sigmas away from the average. Where have I seen this movie before Yes February 14th 2025 two days before the crash. If you have any doubt that markets don't mean revert away from XXX look at the chart below. Anyone asking for continuation of price levitation here is delusional. First we must correct before going higher again. My decision to short this market is XXX% data based. $SPY $UVIX $VIX $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1941153095242723763) 2025-07-04 15:12:17 UTC 10.4K followers, 203.7K engagements


"$SPY Trading Note. No technical damage yet. SPY found support at the long-term blue staircase bottom support line. See pic. Bears need the price to go below $XXXXXX and stay below for initial technical damage. Possible path in the gray line heading Southeast. $VIX puts were being opened by MMs at 11am EST to stop the decline of SPY"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946229704949993539) 2025-07-18 15:24:55 UTC 10.3K followers, 10.5K engagements


"$VIX Term Structure is repricing to $XXXXX I think we should see a $XXXXX price on VIX today. So buckle up $SPY $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945472250410385649) 2025-07-16 13:15:04 UTC 10.3K followers, 13.8K engagements


"$SPY Monday's Price will be decided by Japan's Sunday elections. Either a big gap down or a big gap up. Maybe nothing in between 1) Bessent magically is in Japan the day before the elections to discuss tariffs wink wink. Maybe we do like Ishiba Let's cook something. Not rice 2) Rice prices are up XXX% the last XX months and that's causing trouble to the Japanese citizens as it is a main staple. 🍚 3) Japan faces the possibility of Market Instability if this weekend's election leads to Opposition parties gaining Parliamentary Influence read: Market Turmoil fall of Stocks $USDJPY and JGB Bonds."  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946351068398690341) 2025-07-18 23:27:10 UTC 10.3K followers, 19.2K engagements


"@D3GSolutions @slutd3stroy3r I see some sexy legs on #VIX1D. Let's see if she will expose them this week. $VIX $UVIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1944070496003162195) 2025-07-12 16:24:59 UTC 10.3K followers, XXX engagements


"The $AAPL Conundrum. FIFO vs. LILO. How do you know when markets top/bottom Look at $AAPL for clues. To illustrate. At the 4/7 bottom $NVDA and the semis led us out. The semis lead out of a bottom. They're also the first to lead down from a top. $AAPL was the last to go down into 4/7 it was used to provide the final push down. It plays the opposite role near tops it is used by MMs to provide the final push on the way up as the semis begin their corrective move down. And again AAPL will be the last to go down this cycle now. So: Semis are #FIFO: First In First Out And AAPL is #LILO: Last In"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946937878233469268) 2025-07-20 14:18:57 UTC 10.3K followers, 5461 engagements


"@Mr_Derivatives $VIX current cycle is XXX days -Last peak 04/07 day0 -Mid cycle (64days) exactly 06/11 (Iran War timed that day) -Full period 128days next peak 08/12 () Expect another event. To today: $VIX at rock bottom compressed to $XXXXX While term structure says it has to be $XXXXX So $X or more $VIX bounce possible. What's better than on Jul Opex to do it Or she still has time"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946037688571686984) 2025-07-18 02:41:55 UTC 10.3K followers, 8435 engagements


"@_danny_dimes @PressSec @realDonaldTrump $VIX cycle peak Aug XX. Mid point at XX days materialized exactly on 6/11 Iran war started. Aug XX ="  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946924575041708101) 2025-07-20 13:26:05 UTC 10.3K followers, XXX engagements


"@RaymondEdw14400 Hold it until peak $VIX cycle August XX it will be above $X then"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946213592623100396) 2025-07-18 14:20:54 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@slutd3stroy3r @the1geek This came in after 3pm 1.2M 32c $VIX August. Noteworthy"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946310817076433301) 2025-07-18 20:47:14 UTC 10.3K followers, 5087 engagements


"Trump's Truth Social post coincided with $DXY reaching its highest price in a while it was minutes away from hitting the psycological $XX level His comment stopped it. Market manipulation of the first degree by #POTUS. He wants DXY weaker to keep rates lower and $SPY higher. @realDonaldTrump let the market function on its own. @SECGov"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1943320887798743485) 2025-07-10 14:46:19 UTC 10.3K followers, 14.4K engagements


"If i see this happening I will buy a hedge against my Sep $SPY puts. One weird cycle we should have been down since 07/14. Strong momentum and Wave5 targets seem to be more important to Mrs. Market. FOMC can't come fast enough. Nothing scares me more than $AAPL when it comes to $QQQ moves the sucker is in every fund on earth. Strong pull more than $NVDA"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946954836211073102) 2025-07-20 15:26:20 UTC 10.3K followers, XXX engagements


"ES SEP. The holy range. $SPX $VIX $SPY $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945881079153316032) 2025-07-17 16:19:36 UTC 10.3K followers, 15.2K engagements


"@D3GSolutions Yes but sometimes the X points may spread over days it depends on the $SPY drop they want for the day. I expect showtime to be at NOON EST for $VIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945478623302947009) 2025-07-16 13:40:23 UTC 10.3K followers, 6820 engagements


"Neither bulls nor bears made money holding in this range it is a trading range between two pivot points since July 1st. Smh $SPY"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945888659409863023) 2025-07-17 16:49:43 UTC 10.3K followers, 7569 engagements


"Powell will cut interest rates July 30th. Waller's confirmed vote is a pre-annoucement. It will be a cut to spare Powell legal ramifications. A plea deal of sorts. BUT the initial market response will be down not up. It will be seen as a forced cut or a response to underlying weakness. Powell's words will spook the market. We have X trading days left to FOMC the most plausible setup here: 1) $SPY goes to the 1929 resistance line target at $6360 about $XXX $SPY but not in a straight line. 2) Post-Opex a short period of weakness can take SPY back to $XXX. 3) The target must be hit by Friday"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946198780270817506) 2025-07-18 13:22:02 UTC 10.3K followers, 17K engagements


"$SPY Update. 1) The top was called based on a double-top but Mrs. Market decided to go for a "triple top". Once the key 6340 ES Sep target hit the market started retreating and it is down $X $SPY from the high. If the triple top wasn't gone for SPY would be XXX% down on the day from Monday's levels in line with my original forecast. And VIX much higher. 2) the $VIX repricing didn't happen today. Trump was talking at 2PM EST and the market was already $X down adding another $X down maybe was not possible for today. So this X disappointed. 3) The day ended at the bottom of the support line the"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945213540744507467) 2025-07-15 20:07:03 UTC 10.3K followers, 16.5K engagements


"@Open_Mind_Heart It will come once you lose key support levels on $SPY. This $30k order made me laugh today but maybe he knows something. See pic $UVIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946221251896234229) 2025-07-18 14:51:20 UTC 10.3K followers, 1131 engagements


"#Damascus XX minutes ago the Umayyad Square downtown area. US media is not covering this attack. This is an escalation. $VIX $SPY $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945477066071187795) 2025-07-16 13:34:12 UTC 10.3K followers, 12.2K engagements


"@ssninit @grok The answer from Grok is wrong. It heard the word average and used a 20-dma that's not how Sigma is calculated. Z-scores are calculated relative to a "mean" value which was the low in April 2025"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946379892615995609) 2025-07-19 01:21:43 UTC 10.4K followers, XXX engagements


"@Isma05740093932 The post FOMC "initial move" should be to $XXXXXX $SPY Set your ETF targets accordingly you will be in the money by then"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946216429176373382) 2025-07-18 14:32:10 UTC 10.3K followers, XXX engagements


"@rchahall7 Please buy $NVDA at $XXX I want the fall from a higher price please do. I still have more cash i haven't entered my $NVDQ order yet. And as a reminder $XXX is actually $1800 post the 10:1 split. That's what you're paying for it. Near 60x PE"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946640457351504215) 2025-07-19 18:37:06 UTC 10.3K followers, 1164 engagements


"Trump's Major Health Scare @PressSec Ms. Leavitt briefed the world this last Friday on health concerns relative to @realDonaldTrump: swollen legs bruised hands. Will this develop into a major health scare for #POTUS if he will be hospitalized Those Simpsons pictures Enter the forecast from 01/01/2025 it sounds silly with the asparagus but her track record is good. See link below. While I don't base any investment decisions on fortunetelling I'm only interested in the timing of his health info release just before the start of the panic / $VIX cycle 08/01 🤔 $SPY $DXY $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946921806155448537) 2025-07-20 13:15:05 UTC 10.3K followers, 3118 engagements


"@ValarMorghuliz9 If it was a quick trip down then back up they would have done it already. When they take their sweet time they're distributing and this can mean the drop maybe more significant than most think. So this extra time maybe for the benefit of the bears"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945585000348328016) 2025-07-16 20:43:05 UTC 10.2K followers, 1478 engagements


"ES SEP finally broke out of the 2-week trading range. Coincidence A breakout the night before JUL Opex This looks bullish but very quickly it faces massive resistance approaching the old target $6360. See pic. Now at $6350 level. Coincidentally today @BbSignal issued an Algos Signal of Trend Change. I trust their signals a lot. Today may be a reversal day. Not trading advice just highlighting the changes I see. If you're bullish enough please buy $SPY at $XXX RSI XX Greed XX% (=Bait). $SPX $QQQ $VIX $SPY"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1946003872696209434) 2025-07-18 00:27:32 UTC 10.3K followers, 13.1K engagements


"$SPY Update by Zan. 1) No accident the SPY closed exactly at the Geometric Top of $XXXXX that I called for to hold last week. This left all the froth above the linear geometric limit priced out. Refer to last week's posts to see the construction of this double-top. I reminded you of $XXXXX many many times. 2) The SPY is in a wedge see picture. $X above $X under the closing price. See how it is top-heavy and only built the lower price (lower triangle quadrant) with hair lines / wicks. 3) The wedge compresses the price making it difficult for #0DTE traders to make money see how the price"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1942681735927374000) 2025-07-08 20:26:33 UTC 10.3K followers, 45.4K engagements


"$SPY Chart Update. Reaching the last point of defense. Confluence of the rising channel and the arc triple top on an arc excluding overshoot at $XXX. Bears can't lose point A. Struggling at this level so far. $VIX $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945850096395984919) 2025-07-17 14:16:29 UTC 10.3K followers, 23.2K engagements


"$VIX is currently in jail in this wedge. See 2pm EST is just before the wedge apex. See pic. $SPY $QQQ"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945169753489686785) 2025-07-15 17:13:03 UTC 10.3K followers, 12.6K engagements


"In theory $VIX peak is 08/12. So we stay at $XX or higher for August. But it is not a straight line. Today early evening Trump and the Qatari PM will meet and they will announce the Gaza peace plan. Trump and Bibi are dying to close this file to open the Iran file again so in the next X weeks Iran and $VIX will be back on the table"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945505154838478980) 2025-07-16 15:25:49 UTC 10.3K followers, 7843 engagements


"$SPY AM Update. 1) SPY is testing the resistance line from BELOW X times so far this AM going for the 4th after better than expected data. It is hugging the blue staircase bottom support line like a snake. 2) It is clear this admin's BLS will not release any unfavorable data. 3) The talk about firing Powell intensifies Warsh on CNBC just before the data. This talk effects interest rates in a way Trump wants. 4) Europe and Japan green expect $QQQ green. 5) More data at 10am EST 6) If SPY jumps above the blue line the bearish breakdown is challenged. The setup I outlined is also challenged. $VIX"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1945831002829390232) 2025-07-17 13:00:37 UTC 10.4K followers, 11K engagements


"$SPY Vertical is now reminiscent of the XX% irrational vertical at the height of the Dot Com bubble in 2000. This can be just starting. ⚠ Lower high $6000 $SPX ❌ Symmetrical high $6200 ❌ Last option: Irrational Vertical"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1940776035823575135) 2025-07-03 14:13:59 UTC 10.3K followers, 11.5K engagements


"Can Trump wait X weeks to decide on Iran Can Israelis spend X more weeks in underground shelters without electricity in the heat Netenyahu will not survive the public outcry This X week delay is market ruse by Trump. The $SPY compounded cycle shows a rise in the morning Friday for a couple hours higher than $XXX again into the resistance area then the market dumps significantly think a X% to X% flush. What triggers this can be a US attack on Iran a culminating event / resolution or some announcement related to this matter. There's an event. If i were to guess a time it would be after the Euro"  
![@alshfaw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::777152191425642496.png) [@alshfaw](/creator/x/alshfaw) on [X](/post/tweet/1935872476308750497) 2025-06-20 01:28:59 UTC 10.3K followers, 21.4K engagements