[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/twitter/KobeissiLetter) "Key Economic Data Suspended During Govt Shutdown: X. Jobless claims (Labor Deptartment) X. Nonfarm payrolls (BLS) X. Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index (BLS) X. Retail sales factory orders housing starts trade data (Census/BEA) X. Employment Trends Index (Conference Board) X. GDP data (BEA) X. New home sales and construction permits (Census Bureau) X. Export and import trade data (Census/Commerce) The next Fed meeting is X weeks away and we are entering a data freeze. Historically the Fed shifts MORE dovish on average during a US government shutdown" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973373583146557671) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-01T13:05Z 1.1M followers, 131.4K engagements "History unfolding in one chart: The US Dollar to Gold ratio is falling off of a cliff" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1963272984841388312) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-03T16:08Z 1.1M followers, 906.8K engagements "The time has come: On Wednesday the Fed will cut rates for the first time in 2025 and "blame" a weak labor market. This will be just the 3rd year since 1996 with Fed rate cuts while the S&P XXX is at record highs. What happens next Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1966873572128809118) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-13T14:36Z 1.1M followers, 2.8M engagements "What is happening in Argentina In XX hours Argentina's stock market COLLAPSED -XX% with the Argentine Peso now down -XX% in XX years. Today the Trump Administration offered a "lifeline" to Argentina sending stocks surging +8%. Can Argentina be saved (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970138638634877064) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-22T14:50Z 1.1M followers, 1.2M engagements "Pharmaceuticals are next: It began with large cap technology companies announcing $600+ billion investments in the US to avoid tariffs. Now President Trump is explicitly stating that pharmaceutical companies who are not "building their manufacturing plants in America" will face XXX% tariffs. Over the next 48-72 hours we expect to see widespread announcements of new pharmaceutical plants coming to the US. Trump wants more US investment" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1971370234423529607) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-26T00:24Z 1.1M followers, 288.9K engagements "BREAKING: Trilogy Metals stock $TMQ surges over +210% after the US government announces it will be taking a XX% stake in the company. The US government's portfolio is rapidly expanding" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975315926448021868) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T21:43Z 1.1M followers, 576.9K engagements "This is BEYOND insane: AI compute demand is now growing at over X TIMES the rate of Moores Law creating a massive shortage. Just to meet current demand $XXX billion must be invested in data centers PER YEAR until 2030. What does this mean Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976276090059710839) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 2.6M engagements "BREAKING: Total amount of gold owned by US ETFs linked to physical gold is up to a record $XXX billion. Holdings have DOUBLED over the last few years driven by massive investor inflows and a rise in gold prices. Before the 2020 pandemic gold holdings were XXX times less at $XX billion. US ETFs linked to physical gold attracted a record $XX billion in net inflows in September alone. Meanwhile the total assets under management in global gold ETFs rose +23% QoQ in Q3 2025 reaching a record $XXX billion. Investors are piling into gold funds like neverbefore" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976635453890523156) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T13:06Z 1.1M followers, 166K engagements "BREAKING: The S&P XXX closes down -XXX% and posts its largest daily decline since April 10th as President Trump prepares "massive" tariffs on China. The S&P XXX erased -$1.5 TRILLION in market cap today" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976739635796877560) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T20:00Z 1.1M followers, 337.5K engagements "The main culprit of this appears to be a combination of excessive leverage and risk. If you take a look at the breakdown of liquidations it was heavily skewed towards longs. $XXXX billion in longs were liquidated compared to $XXX billion in shorts. That's a 6.7:1 ratio" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005767091011650) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 120K engagements "This was an unprecedented liquidation event: Amid the crypto crash yesterday $XRP erased a whopping -XX% of its market cap in XX MINUTES. At 4:50 PM ET $XRP was worth $XXX billion. By 5:20 PM ET $XRP was worth $XX billion. What happened to XRP" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977056349482532922) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T16:59Z 1.1M followers, 545K engagements "The crypto collapse: At 9:30 AM ET yesterday crypto's market cap hit $XXX TRILLION near a record. By 5:20 PM ET crypto's market cap hit $XXX trillion down -$800 BILLION. That's -$100 billion PER HOUR for X hours straight. Liquidation is an understatement" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977110455848951860) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T20:34Z 1.1M followers, 302.9K engagements "BREAKING: China says new export controls on rare earths are NOT a ban on exports and applications that "meet regulations" will be approved. China says they are willing to strengthen dialogue to "better maintain stability of global industrial and supply chains." Are we back" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977221876704579798) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T03:56Z 1.1M followers, 583.7K engagements "@ol_bowman The market has evolved to its most reactionary form in history. Any headline or post at any time can drive trillions of dollars of market cap. Position (and hedge) accordingly" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977372898294714831) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T13:56Z 1.1M followers, 70.2K engagements "BREAKING: Ethereum extends gains to +5% on the day and reclaims $4000/oz. Just like that risk appetite is back" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977392159402709038) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T15:13Z 1.1M followers, 309.8K engagements "BREAKING: Vice President JD Vance continues de-escalation with China following Chinas clarifying statement last night. VP Vance says: X. We appreciate the friendship between Trump and Xi X. President Trump hopes the US wont need to use leverage on China X. President Trump is willing to be reasonable negotiator with China Is a Trump-Xi meeting announcement coming next" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977393953604342070) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T15:20Z 1.1M followers, 611K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says dont worry about China it will be all fine. Trump says Chinas President Xi just had a bad moment. There it is the Sunday pre-futures open post weve been waiting for" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977416957583560860) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T16:51Z 1.1M followers, 1.6M engagements "Financial markets are evolving: The -$19.5 billion crypto liquidation and -$2.5 trillion equity market crash on October 10th have highlighted a crucial point. Markets in 2025 have evolved to their most reactionary form in history. When you couple this with record levels of leverage a FOMO-inducing market and heavy participation by algorithmic traders it becomes violent. Headlines and posts are now able to move trillions of dollars of market cap in a matter of minutes. In our view there has never been a more exciting time to be an investor than now. And the ability to remain objective and" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977454724317057387) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T19:22Z 1.1M followers, 243.1K engagements "BREAKING: US stock market futures open sharply higher as investors react to US-China de-escalation this weekend: X. Dow: +0.9% X. S&P 500: +1.1% X. Nasdaq 100: +1.4% We continue to look for a trade deal before November 1st" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977495020069364056) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T22:02Z 1.1M followers, 355.4K engagements "Step #8 of our tariff trading "playbook" has arrived down to the hour perfectly on time:" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977709685596655686) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T12:15Z 1.1M followers, 29.6K engagements "BREAKING: US stocks extend gains with the S&P XXX now up over +1.5% on the day adding +$850 billion of market cap. The S&P XXX is now on track for its biggest daily gain since May 27th" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977737894493110741) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T14:07Z 1.1M followers, 213.3K engagements "Gold's record run is just the tip of the iceberg in the global currency crisis. The backdrop is shifting and stocks commodities bonds and crypto are investable. Want to receive our premium analysis Subscribe to access our premium analysis below:" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977753896983375996) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 75.1K engagements "What is happening in the silver market Silver lease rates the cost to borrow London silver overnight have spiked above XXX% annualized hitting an all-time high. This even surpasses the surge seen during the 1980s silver short squeeze when prices reached $52.50/oz. At the same time the 1-month lease rate jumped to a XX% annualized rate the highest in at least X years. The squeeze has been driven by increased investor purchases a sharply reduced supply of bars available to trade and a sudden spike in demand from India. Meanwhile benchmark London silver prices have surged to a record $X premium" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977840767977849217) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T20:56Z 1.1M followers, 444.1K engagements "BREAKING: China confirms working level talks with the US regarding tariffs and export controls. Step #9 is on the way" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977907063893225928) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T01:19Z 1.1M followers, 364K engagements "BREAKING: The S&P XXX extends losses to -XXX% on the day as investors react to bank earnings and ongoing trade tensions" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978095044277002612) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T13:46Z 1.1M followers, 136.5K engagements "BREAKING: Binance announces that they will distribute $XXX million to users who were liquidated during the October 10th market crash" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978124338373984366) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T15:42Z 1.1M followers, 608.2K engagements "The buy-the-dip strategy has rarely ever been so strong: In 2025 the S&P XXX has averaged +2.3% one-week following a 1-day drop of at least -X% the strongest performance since 2019. Outside of 2019 this marks the best year since 1983. This is also only the 3rd year with a return above +2.0% over the last XX years. Since 2008 there have been only X years when this strategy was unprofitable 2022 and 2023. Volatility remains a traders bestopportunity" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978161225834823770) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T18:09Z 1.1M followers, 136.4K engagements "The stock market just erased -$450 billion in X minutes because President Trump threatened to start producing cooking oil in the US" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978187313302602162) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T19:53Z 1.1M followers, 1.8M engagements "Shocking stat of the day: Working Americans now allocate an average of $2358 per year into the Magnificent X stocks. This comes as XX% of 401(k) contributions totaling $8580 are going into equities according to Apollo. Meanwhile the Magnificent X account for almost XX% of the S&P XXX. This means roughly XX% of 401(k) assets flow directly into these stocks. This represents passive capital moving into the Magnificent X regardless of outlook. Big tech will keep getting bigger" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978268088215773318) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T01:14Z 1.1M followers, 248.3K engagements "The S&P XXX is now XXX% away from hitting a new record high. The October 10th drop has been almost entirely erased over the last XX hours. Ignore the noise and this market becomes highly profitable" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978466162288578809) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T14:21Z 1.1M followers, 122.3K engagements "Crypto adoption has barely started: The market cap of crypto just exceeded a record $X trillion. Yet XX% of investors have ZERO exposure to crypto right now. We are still early" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978476896175472743) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T15:03Z 1.1M followers, 312.5K engagements "Gold is going mainstream: XX% of global fund managers say Long Gold is the most crowded trade according to a BofA survey of XXX participants with $XXX billion in assets. Gold has reclaimed the lead after X consecutive months where Long Magnificent X topped the list. Interestingly Short US Dollar has fallen 2-straight months from XX% to 8%. Meanwhile XX% of professional investors from the survey do not own any gold in their portfolios. The average investor's allocation to gold is just XXX% near an all-time low. Is Wall Street set to join the gold rally" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978523394313167084) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T18:08Z 1.1M followers, 186.1K engagements "Stock market concentration is hitting another record: The top XX US companies now reflect a record XX% of global stock market capitalization. The percentage has DOUBLED over the last X years. For context at the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak this metric was at XX% or X percentage points lower. Meanwhile the top X US firms make up a record XX% of global equity value also the highest in history. This now DOUBLES the 2000 peak. A handful of stocks are driving theglobalmarket" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978540239380419061) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T19:15Z 1.1M followers, 137.2K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump is considering sending National Guard troops to San Francisco as a part of his "crime crackdown."" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978552758941667559) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T20:05Z 1.1M followers, 121.9K engagements "The government shutdown is impacting Americans spending plans: XX% of Americans are delaying major purchases like homes or cars due to the government shutdown. X% have cancelled major plans entirely according to a Redfin survey. Many are canceling or delaying large purchases because they are federal government employees or contractors. Meanwhile over XX% of Americans are delaying or canceling a major purchase due to concerns about job security. At the same time XX% of workers are more worried about their job security than at the start of the year. Americans are concerned about the shutdown" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978603433159721305) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T23:26Z 1.1M followers, 142.2K engagements "BREAKING: Bank of America raises its gold target to $5000/oz and cites "stagflation risks" as the driver" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978789077395648889) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T11:44Z 1.1M followers, 353.6K engagements "BREAKING: Demand for the Feds Reverse Repo (RRP) facility has fallen to $XXX billion the lowest since April 2021. RRP usage one of the financial systems key excess liquidity metrics has declined -$2.5 trillion since its December 2022 peak. Meanwhile bank reserves at the Fed dropped below $XXX trillion a level that many Fed officials consider the red line between abundant and scarce reserves. Such a low level can strain the financial system making it harder for banks to lend money and can cause spikes in market volatility or even bank failures. As a result Fed Chair Powell just said that the" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978811666436358458) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T13:14Z 1.1M followers, 301.7K engagements "BREAKING: Gold futures cross above $4300/oz for the first time in history now up over +60% in 2025. Gold just became the first asset in history to hit $XX TRILLION in market cap. It now takes X Nvidia's to buy gold's market cap" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978859107739128083) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T16:22Z 1.1M followers, 566.4K engagements "Hedge fund equity sales are accelerating: Investors sold -$3.0 billion of US equities last week marking the 4th consecutive weekly sale. Hedge funds dumped -$2.1 billion posting their 4th consecutive weekly outflow. This brought their 4-week average to -$2.1 billion the largest on record dating back to 2008. Institutional investors sold -$400 million down from -$3.6 billion the prior week. Meanwhile retail investors saw a -$500 million outflow bringing the 4-week average to -$400 million. Hedge funds are cashing in gains" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978868288806621469) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T16:59Z 1.1M followers, 129.3K engagements "@Stackedd123 Much appreciated" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979150446263443822) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T11:40Z 1.1M followers, 7781 engagements "The hallmark of any bull market: Pullbacks become oversold quickly and upswings become overbought slowly. That's exactly what we are seeing in stocks gold and crypto now" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979166251869179974) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T12:43Z 1.1M followers, 252.4K engagements "Margin debt is SKYROCKETING: In September 2025 US investors took on another +$67 billion in margin debt bringing the total to a record $XXXX TRILLION. Meanwhile X TIMES levered ETFs have just been proposed to the SEC. What does it all mean Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979196802021658884) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 838.6K engagements "A clear instance of this occurred in crypto on October 10th. Crypto saw its largest liquidation event in history with XXX million traders liquidated in XX hours. Over $XX billion worth of leveraged crypto positions were liquidated in XX hours X times the previous record" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979196812608020495) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 15K engagements "BREAKING: US ETF inflows have crossed above +$1.0 trillion in 2025 the highest YTD total in history. Inflows are now running 3.5x above the usual seasonal average every month. Flows are now on track to exceed +$1.25 trillion in 2025 for the first time. By comparison the full-year record in 2024 was +$1.1 trillion. Meanwhile over XXX new ETFs have launched this year already surpassing the 2024 record. The ETF boom is accelerating" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979214823851192563) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T15:56Z 1.1M followers, 156.4K engagements "BREAKING: Total crypto liquidations have now hit -$1.2 billion over the last XX hours. Bitcoin alone has seen nearly -$500 million of liquidations today" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979226736958099469) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T16:43Z 1.1M followers, 306.5K engagements "US Regional Bank Stocks Today: X. NY Community Bank $NYCB: -XX% X. Valley National Bank $VLY: - X% X. HarborOne $HONE: -X% X. HomeStreet $HMST: -X% X. Zions Bank $ZION: -X% X. Comerica Bank $CMA: -X% X. Metropolitan Bank $MCB: -X% X. Citizens Financial $CFG: -X% X. Western Alliance $WAL: -X% This comes after New York Community bank which acquired the collapsed Signature Bank cut their dividend by 70%. They also posted a quarterly LOSS of $XXX million while a $XXX million GAIN was expected. Did regional banks ever really recover" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1752742968237162941) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2024-01-31T17:17Z 1.1M followers, 465.8K engagements "US Regional Bank Stocks X Month Into 2024: X. NY Community Bank $NYCB: -XX% X. Valley National Bank $VLY: -XX% X. Metropolitan Bank $MCB: -XX% X. HarborOne $HONE: -XX% X. Comerica Bank $CMA: -XX% X. Zions Bank $ZION: -XX% X. Western Alliance $WAL: -XX% X. Citizens Financial $CFG: -X% X. KeyCorp $KEY: -X% Regional bank worries resurfaced as New York Community bank which acquired the collapsed Signature Bank cut their dividend by 70%. These are the same banks that hold nearly XX% of commercial real estate loans. Just XX months ago the regional bank crisis "ended."" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1754982688451080581) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2024-02-06T21:37Z 1.1M followers, 854.6K engagements "US Regional Bank Stocks YTD: X. NY Community Bank $NYCB: -XX% X. Valley National Bank $VLY: -XX% X. Metropolitan Bank $MCB: -XX% X. HarborOne $HONE: -XX% X. Zions Bank $ZION: -XX% X. Western Alliance $WAL: -XX% X. Comerica Bank $CMA: -XX% X. Citizens Financial $CFG: -X% X. US Bank $USB: -X% This comes after New York Community bank which acquired the collapsed Signature Bank cut their dividend by 70%. They also posted a quarterly LOSS of $XXX million while a $XXX million GAIN was expected. Then NYCB announced a "material weakness in internal controls." Did regional banks ever really recover" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1763947855851454919) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2024-03-02T15:21Z 1.1M followers, 385.7K engagements "Today the White House said President Trump believes Apple can produce iPhones entirely in the US. How much would this cost According to Forbes it would cost $30000-$100000 to solely manufacture an iPhone in the US" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1909681808419016971) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-04-08T18:56Z 1.1M followers, 688.9K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says "something has happened" to Putin and that "he has gone absolutely crazy." He also says "everything out of Zelensky's mouth causes problems" and that "it better stop."" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1926802805269872881) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-05-26T00:49Z 1.1M followers, 927.1K engagements "This is incredible: The difference between Microsoft's 30Y bond yield $MSFT and the US 30Y Treasury yield is just XX basis points the lowest on record. The extra yield that investors demand to own Microsofts 30Y bond over 30Y US Treasuries is now down -XXX bps since 2020. This comes as the 30-year Treasury yield has risen by XXX bps over the last X years. Microsoft is now on track to have a lower credit risk than the US by as soon as next year. Meanwhile the 10-year annualized return in 15Y+ Treasuries dropped to -XXX% the lowest in history. Deficit spending is crushing the US bond market" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1927757004099219838) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-05-28T16:01Z 1.1M followers, 128.1K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump accuses Nancy Pelosi of insider trading" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1954325442107744436) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-09T23:34Z 1.1M followers, 786.5K engagements "BREAKING: The US Labor Department's internal watchdog is launching a probe into the BLS to review the "challenges" that they are facing in data collection. This comes just XX hours after US jobs data was revised down by -911000 jobs the largest revision in history" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1965792130846318834) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-10T14:59Z 1.1M followers, 150.4K engagements "BREAKING: Intel stock $INTC surges over +30% after Nvidia announces a $X billion investment in the company. The investment will be used to jointly develop custom data centers and personal computing products" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1968641467565425097) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-18T11:41Z 1.1M followers, 498.3K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump posts a picture of himself firing Fed Chair Powell" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1972038399940088013) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-27T20:39Z 1.1M followers, 623K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump commits to spending over $X trillion on the military in 2026" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973024378687570084) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-30T13:57Z 1.1M followers, 408.4K engagements "BREAKING: Nvidia stock $NVDA breaks above $XXXXXX and becomes the world's first $XXX trillion company. Nvidia has now added $XXX TRILLION of market cap since its April 2025 low" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973743120492949926) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-02T13:33Z 1.1M followers, 370.7K engagements "Layoffs are running historically high: US job cut announcements fell -XX% YoY in September to 54064 marking just the 3rd month this year with a YoY decline in cuts. In Q3 planned layoffs rose +16% YoY to 202118 the highest Q3 since the 2020 pandemic. Year-to-date US employers have announced 946426 job cuts the highest total since 2020. This is also the 5th-highest reading over the last XX years of Challenger Gray & Christmas data. The government sector has led the increase with 299755 job cuts in 2025 including 289363 Federal workers. Technology and retail have followed with 107878 and 86233" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974201035037229329) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-03T19:53Z 1.1M followers, 110.4K engagements "Shocking stat of the day: US federal government jobs are estimated to drop by roughly -100000 in September and October. This comes as 100000 workers out of the 154000 who took the voluntary deferred resignation deal last spring came off the payrolls on September 30th. This data will be reflected in the October jobs report reported on November 7th It will bring the total number of federal workers down to XXXX million the lowest since 2019. As a result federal government jobs would fall to just XXXX% of total nonfarm payrolls the lowest percentage in records going back to 1939. Federal job" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975289204881170456) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T19:57Z 1.1M followers, 151.6K engagements "You cant make this up: On May 23rd President Trump threatened Apple $AAPL and Samsung with a XX% tariff on phones not made in the USA. This was the first Trump tariff in 2025 to target individual companies. Today exactly XX days later the Trump Organization announced Trump Mobile. Trump Mobile will be using phones made in the USA. Truly incredible" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1934585873435070474) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-06-16T12:16Z 1.1M followers, 469.5K engagements "The global silver shortage: The price gap between New York silver futures and London spot prices widened to $XXXX per ounce. The last time silver experienced such a disconnect was in March when fears of US tariffs on silver pushed prices higher. At the same time lease rates the short-term borrowing cost of silver jumped to XXX% far above the usual near-zero level signaling a tightening market. According to TD Securities silver supplies are dangerously low and the amount of freely available silver in London is at its lowest level on record. As a result silver prices have surged +5% over the" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1945162694086287374) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-07-15T16:45Z 1.1M followers, 179.8K engagements "Key Events This Week: X. CB Consumer Confidence data - Tuesday X. June JOLTs Job Opening data - Tuesday X. Q2 2025 GDP data - Wednesday X. Fed Meeting and Interest Rate Decision - Wednesday X. June PCE Inflation data - Thursday X. July Jobs Report - Friday We have a massive week ahead of us" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1949430821170856182) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-07-27T11:25Z 1.1M followers, 160.1K engagements "BREAKING: Switzerlands Post Office is suspending shipments of US goods beginning tomorrow August 26th due to tariffs" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1959952976547549223) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-25T12:16Z 1.1M followers, 2.6M engagements "The AI Revolution is so massive that electricity prices are moving in a literal straight line higher. Energy is the new limiting factor to AI growth" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1962352433272676417) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-01T03:10Z 1.1M followers, 764.5K engagements "The UK's bond market is collapsing: Today the yield on a 30Y Bond in the UK rose to XXXX% its highest level since 1998. Yields in the UK are now XX TIMES higher than they were at the 2020 low just X years ago. What is happening Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1962532559121764502) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-01T15:06Z 1.1M followers, 4.7M engagements "BREAKING: Global meat prices officially hit an all-time high in August now up another +10% in 2025. This comes the US cattle herd is at its smallest in decades while Brazil a top exporter is also seeing herd numbers shrink. Rising dairy prices are also limiting supply as fewer cattle are being sent to slaughter according to the FAO. Additionally strong US demand lifted Australian beef prices due to tariffs while Chinese imports from Brazil grew. Meanwhile in the UK beef and veal prices are up nearly +25% YoY. Food inflation is still here" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1964703741996908730) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-07T14:54Z 1.1M followers, 354K engagements "This is unprecedented: Software and technology investment's contribution to US Real GDP growth surpassed X percentage point for the first time in history. Contribution has DOUBLED over the last several quarters. It has also exceeded the previous peak reached during the Dot-Com Bubble in 1998. However after the bubble popped software and technology businesses were the biggest drag on GDP during the 2001 recession. Deutsche Bank estimates that without technology spending the US economy would have been close to or in a recession. The AI boom is driving economicgrowth" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1971711128360439948) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-26T22:59Z 1.1M followers, 123.8K engagements "Is the US Dollar set for a rebound The Bloomberg US Economic Surprise Index turned positive this week for the first time since February. The index measures whether economic data comes in above or below consensus estimates. This comes as Q2 2025 GDP growth initial jobless claims and personal spending data all surprised to the upside. Historically when the Economic Surprise Index rises and stays positive the US Dollar tends to strengthen. Meanwhile speculative USD short positions by asset managers and leveraged funds have hit their highest level since early 2021. Is a US Dollar short squeeze" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1971942860724260977) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-27T14:19Z 1.1M followers, 197.8K engagements "This gold run is absolutely insane: Gold just made its 38th all time high of 2025 with gold futures now up +43% year-to-date. This puts on gold on track for its best year since 1979 as the Fed cuts rates into 3%+ inflation. Gold knows what's coming next" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1972494058674372689) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-29T02:50Z 1.1M followers, 866.2K engagements "BREAKING: Netflix stock $NFLX extends its 5-day decline to -X% as @elonmusk urges users to "cancel Netflix." The stock has now erased nearly -$30 billion in market cap since widespread cancellations began on X" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973778249466405195) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-02T15:53Z 1.1M followers, 181.4K engagements "BREAKING: The White House announces that the US Treasury will be producing $X coins with President Trump's face" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974170630984790462) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-03T17:52Z 1.1M followers, 5.3M engagements "You can't make this up: On October 2nd users on X began noting unusual options activity in AMD $AMD. Over $X million worth of long-dated calls were purchased and flows into AMD stock were strong. One user explicitly said they "bet AMD just signed a multi-billion dollar deal to support GPUs to OpenAI." X days later AMD announces a deal with OpenAI that will generate "tens of billions in new revenues." Being on X is literally alpha for investors" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975183760200216690) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T12:58Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements "This has never happened before: The Volatility Index $VIX has risen +1.36 points over X consecutive days. Over the same time period the S&P XXX has gained +1.09% also advancing for X days straight. Since the creation of the $VIX in 1990 both measures have never recorded such a streak according to Goldman Sachs. The closest were 4-day streaks of the $VIX rising alongside the S&P XXX in 1995 and 1996. This comes as total call option volume has surpassed XX million contracts a day on average over the last XX trading sessions for the first time. Why is volatility rising with equity prices like" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975268065886814528) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T18:33Z 1.1M followers, 306.5K engagements "BREAKING: Gold's MONTHLY RSI hits XXXX marking its most "overbought" level on record. Not even 2001 2008 or 2020 saw a reading of 90+" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975948298318938578) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T15:36Z 1.1M followers, 557.8K engagements "The US Government: X. Borrows over $X trillion per year X. Is currently shut down for the 11th time X. Printed $X trillion during the pandemic X. Spurred a -XX% loss in the USD in X years X. Spends close to $X trillion PER YEAR At what point do we fix the system" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975996970306027967) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T18:49Z 1.1M followers, 386.1K engagements "Absolutely insane: At 10:57 AM ET President Trumped published a massive paragraph about China saying a "massive increase" in tariffs is coming. By 11:00 AM ET X minutes later the S&P XXX the S&P XXX had already erased -$700 BILLION of market cap. Is the trade war back" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976665471568232647) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T15:05Z 1.1M followers, 2.1M engagements "BREAKING: The S&P XXX extends losses to over -XXX points in XX minutes following President Trumps statement on China" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976670535187915207) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T15:25Z 1.1M followers, 236.4K engagements "The blatant reality: Heading into President Trump's XXX% China tariff announcement markets were LOOKING for a catalyst to pull back on. Leverage was through the roof and we had not seen a 2%+ decline in the S&P XXX for X months. President Trump's post became THE REASON to sell off in what remains a broader uptrend. The fact that a record near -$20 BILLION was liquidated in crypto in XX hours is clear evidence leverage was through the roof. Fear and Greed are the most powerful emotions in the market; the scale had tipped too far in the direction of the latter. Still ignore the noise and follow" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976831778527518796) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T02:06Z 1.1M followers, 418.2K engagements "But why did this happen To better understand take a look at the timeline below: At 9:50 AM ET crypto began selling off before the 10:57 AM ET Trump tariff post. At 4:30 PM ET a large "whale" took shorts in crypto. At 4:50 PM ET Trump announced a XXX% tariff on China" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005761751339291) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 167.8K engagements "The first question becomes how did this large "whale" time the drop so perfectly By 5:20 PM ET XX minutes after Trump's tariff announcement liquidations hit -$19.5 billion. The shorts were closed promptly after the drop for +$192M in profit. But there's more" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005763928506584) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 133.1K engagements "So what's next We believe this crash was due to the combination of multiple sudden technical factors. It does NOT have long-term fundamental implications. A technical correction was overdue we think a trade deal will be reached and crypto remains strong. We are bullish" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005777249616032) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 107.8K engagements "This is unusual: XX minutes before President Trump's tariff announcement yesterday a "whale" took a multi-million dollar SHORT in Bitcoin. X hour later crypto saw its largest ever liquidation and this position was liquidated for +$192 MILLION in profit. Did someone know" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977024892886196512) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T14:54Z 1.1M followers, 2.8M engagements "The plot thickens: A "whale" on HyperLiquid placed over $XX MILLION of shorts at 4:49 PM ET yesterday per Coffeezilla. Exactly X MINUTE later President Trump announced XXX% tariffs on China leading to the largest liquidation in crypto history. Is this the best crypto trade of the year" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977120147744702678) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T21:12Z 1.1M followers, 730.1K engagements "The shift in positioning on Friday was a wake up call for levered investors. Outsized risk is dangerous in this environment. See a full breakdown of what happened and what we believe is coming next below. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977166810278740247) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T00:17Z 1.1M followers, 174.3K engagements "Binance Coin $BNB the world's 4th largest cryptocurrency is now UP +10% on the day. It is now ABOVE the October 10th 4:00 PM ET high seen before the massive crypto liquidation. The worst part This was all driven by the "whales" who shorted ahead of the liquidation and an apparent misunderstanding between China and the US. Truly unfortunate" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977380337568112782) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T14:26Z 1.1M followers, 368.1K engagements "Meanwhile the market will react to the US-China trade developments this weekend. We just published our trades for premium members. Since 2020 our calls are up over +370%. Subscribe below to see how we are positioned into the week:" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977424838089494905) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T17:23Z 1.1M followers, 63.5K engagements "BREAKING: Ethereum extends gains to over +11% on the day now up +20% from its Friday low. Dip buyers are in full swing after a -$19.5 billion record liquidation. The equity futures market open is going to be big" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977427196823404583) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T17:32Z 1.1M followers, 671.9K engagements "We've spent the last XX months analyzing EVERY single tariff development: Here's the EXACT playbook for investors. X. Trump puts out cryptic post on tariffs coming for a specific country or sector markets drift lower X. Trump announces large tariff rate (50%+) and markets crash to shake out weak positions X. Dip buyers step in but the head fake rally leads to fresh lows where smart money begins buying X. After the market closes on Friday President Trump doubles down on new tariffs to apply pressure X. On Saturday the target of the new tariff typically responds or comments X. On Sunday before" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977435784857690490) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T18:06Z 1.1M followers, 3.3M engagements "Our investment strategy revolves are OBJECTIVE analysis; fundamental and technical. Combine this with risk management and a dynamic approach and this market is HIGHLY profitable. Volatility is opportunity. Subscribe to access our premium analysis:" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977436864492785909) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T18:11Z 1.1M followers, 143.6K engagements "S&P XXX futures are now up +130 points from their post-market low on Friday. Gold is above $4100 for the first time ever and oil prices are back to $XX. Friday's move lower is largely being undone. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977718446612742490) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T12:49Z 1.1M followers, 60.5K engagements "Absolute insanity: Gold has now officially added +$10 TRILLION of market cap in XX months up a massive +55%. Over the last XX hours gold has rallied on EVERY headline even as the S&P XXX erased -$2.5 trillion in X hours. What's next Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977753874329993611) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 2.1M engagements "There it is: Gold has officially posted its highest monthly RSI reading in HISTORY at XXXX. Gold has only seen X red months since March 2024. In retrospect it will be so obvious what this all means" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977876198383296674) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T23:16Z 1.1M followers, 617.1K engagements "The trillion dollar question: How will we generate enough energy to power all of these AI deals The US Department of Energy says US data centers will use 325000580000 GWh of power per year by 2028. Thats equivalent to the power used by XX million homes all on JUST data centers. Currently nuclear power is viewed as the only solution to the impending power shortage. The average nuclear produces power plant can produce 8000 GWh per year. In other words we would need XX plants new to power 580000 GWh data centers. However here is the problem: The US has added X nuclear reactors since 1995 and it" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978065576753840213) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T11:49Z 1.1M followers, 719.3K engagements "BREAKING: Global gold ETFs attracted +$2.1 billion in net inflows last week marking their 7th consecutive weekly inflow. This follows the record +$5.3 billion posted in the prior week. Year-to-date gold ETFs have seen +$68 billion in net inflows the highest for any year on record. This equals XXX tonnes the 2nd highest yearly total only behind XXX tonnes posted in 2020. As a result AUM in global gold ETFs hit a record $XXX billion last week doubling since July 2024. Demand for gold has neverbeenstronger" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978149804279820730) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T17:24Z 1.1M followers, 145.3K engagements "The big question: What are gold and silver really telling us Gold and silver are now up more than X TIMES the S&P XXX in 2025 during one of the S&P 500's strongest bull runs ever. That is gold and silver are massively outperforming risky assets during a bull run in those same risky assets. When safe havens are rallying with risky assets it tells you one thing: confidence in fiat currencies is eroding. And while deficit spending and rate cuts into stagflation are major drivers of this sentiment shift we believe there is more to it. The market is pricing in record levels of AI CapEx and what" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978293603152675214) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T02:55Z 1.1M followers, 537K engagements "AI debt is taking over the corporate bond market: AI-related firms now reflect a record XX% of the Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index. The percentage has increased by XXX points since 2020 according to JPMorgan. This surpasses the banking sector's weight of XXXX% which held the largest share historically. This comes as AI universe debt has grown +$400 billion to a record $XXX trillion during this period. AI is reshaping capitalmarkets" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978575511623262454) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T21:35Z 1.1M followers, 125.3K engagements "BREAKING: Stock market losses accelerate with the Russell 2000 now down over -X% on the day as regional bank stocks fall" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978890032753574066) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T18:25Z 1.1M followers, 167.3K engagements "A textbook sign of a bull market: Pullbacks become oversold quickly and upswings grind higher. The same can be said with rapid shift and polarization of sentiment amid the current bull run. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978932415633498290) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T21:13Z 1.1M followers, 88.5K engagements "Americans are drowning in credit card debt: US household credit card debt hit a record $XXXX trillion in August. The combined average credit card balance across all age groups is now at whopping $10668 PER household. States with the largest average debts in Q2 2025 were Hawaii at $15100 California at $13800 and Alaska at $13600. Other high-debt states include New York at $12900 Texas at $12800 and Florida at $12600. Credit card debtcontinues to skyrocket" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978966183698116923) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T23:28Z 1.1M followers, 583.1K engagements "BREAKING: The Dow erases a -XXX point drop and turns positive as President Trump says no when asked if high tariffs will remain on China" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979157829324784032) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T12:09Z 1.1M followers, 165.3K engagements "That said while there is a risk-on mania we do NOT think the top is near. Why not If you take a look at a lot of the large tech names fueling this rally they are getting CHEAPER as they go up. The forward EV/EBIT multiple on Nvidia has fallen to XXXX the same as Walmart" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979196816877813941) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 36.3K engagements "Another day another record: US technology stocks now reflect a record XX% of total US stock market cap. This percentage has DOUBLED since 2020. For context this percentage peaked at XX% during 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. Meanwhile global tech stocks ex-US make up XX% of the global market ex-US. This percentage is still below the 2021 and 2000 highs. US tech is absolutely massive" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979267537897451974) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T19:25Z 1.1M followers, 200.1K engagements "BREAKING: Total US public debt has hit record $XXXX TRILLION. This marks a +$400 BILLION jump this month or +$25 billion per day. Federal debt has now surged +$1.7 TRILLION since the debt ceiling was raised in July rising over +$425 billion every month. At the current pace total debt would hit a record $XX trillion by as soon as 2026. As a result the Debt-to-GDP ratio now stands at XXX% the highest since 2021 and near the 2020 record. The US debt crisis has reached unprecedentedlevels" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979540446276702707) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-18T13:29Z 1.1M followers, 542.8K engagements "BREAKING: Donald Trump's memecoin $TRUMP now has a record 781223 wallets holding the coin. There are currently X wallets worth over $XXX million. Trump's stake is worth a whopping $XXXX billion" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1881062069086408785) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-01-19T19:32Z 1.1M followers, 332.1K engagements "WOW. The SEC just said that meme coins are generally NOT considered securities under US federal law. They also said that meme coins have "limited or no use" and do not need to be registered with the SEC. This is a MASSIVE statement by the SEC" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1895224651414151188) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-02-27T21:29Z 1.1M followers, 774.5K engagements "What just happened At 10:10 AM ET rumors emerged that the White House was considering a "90-day tariff pause." At 10:15 AM ET CNBC reported that Trump is considering a 90-day pause on tariffs for ALL countries except for China. By 10:18 AM ET the S&P XXX had added over +$3 TRILLION in market cap from its low. At 10:25 AM ET reports emerged that the White House was "unaware" of Trump considering a 90-day pause. At 10:26 AM ET CNBC reports that the 90-day tariff pause headlines were incorrect. At 10:34 AM ET the White House officially called the tariff pause headlines "fake news." By 10:40 AM" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1909259768398479839) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-04-07T14:59Z 1.1M followers, 1.8M engagements "BREAKING: Michael Burry has sold every stock in his portfolio except for a new position in Estee Lauder $EL" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1923116270485999988) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-05-15T20:40Z 1.1M followers, 1.8M engagements "BREAKING: President Trump just now: I like Tesla. $TSLA" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1933191274221146218) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-06-12T15:54Z 1.1M followers, 383.8K engagements "This is wild: We now have a President who is actively calling for interest rates to be cut to as low as 1%. And he is actively stating that he will be replacing Fed Chair Powell with someone who will immediately cut rates. Meanwhile stocks are at all time highs real estate prices are at all time highs US debt is at all time highs and crypto is at all time highs. If the new Fed Chair actually cuts rates to X% we are going to witness perhaps one of the biggest runs of all time in stocks and real estate. There has never been a time in history where the Fed cut rates to X% with the stock market" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1939689652312572158) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-06-30T14:17Z 1.1M followers, 1.7M engagements "BREAKING: Meta stock $META surges over +9% after posting stronger than expected Q2 2025 earnings results" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1950650112109396046) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-07-30T20:10Z 1.1M followers, 363.3K engagements "This has been one of the best earnings seasons in years: XX% of the S&P XXX companies have beat earnings expectations by at least X standard deviation the highest percentage in X years. Excluding the post-pandemic recovery this marks the best quarter in at least XX years. By comparison the long-term average has been 48%. At the same time just XX% of firms have missed estimates by at least X standard deviation the lowest share in a year and below the long-term average of 13%. Earnings momentum is exceptionally strong" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1953455172815864215) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-07T13:56Z 1.1M followers, 387.5K engagements "This is unprecedented: Core CPI inflation is back above +3% and PPI inflation is at its hottest since March 2022. Meanwhile President Trump is calling for a XXX BASIS POINT rate cut and is set to replace Fed Chair Powell. Are you ready for what's next (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1955992213759959444) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-14T13:57Z 1.1M followers, 2.6M engagements "BREAKING: U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick announces that the U.S. will be issuing economic data on blockchain beginning with GDP data. The U.S. government is officially embracing blockchain technology" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1960408624334786968) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-26T18:26Z 1.1M followers, 354.7K engagements "This is historic: The number of ETFs has surpassed the number of individual stocks for the first time in history. There are now over 4300 ETFs roughly XXX more than the 4200 US-listed companies. The number of ETFs has doubled over the last X years. Year-to-date XXX ETFs have been launched on track for an annual record. As a result ETFs account for XX% of the total universe of investment vehicles including mutual funds closed-end funds and unit investment trusts. New investment products are skyrocketing in popularity" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1960423501741089084) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-26T19:26Z 1.1M followers, 153.7K engagements "This is insane: The Nasdaq's market cap relative to the US M2 money supply has hit a record 176%. This means the market value of the Nasdaq is nearly TWICE as large as the the total stock of liquid money in the economy. The ratio has now exceeded the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak by XX percentage points. Never in the history of financial markets has the rise in stock prices exceeded the growth of the money supply by this much. At the same time the Nasdaqs market cap relative to US GDP has risen to a record XXX% almost double the Dot-Com peak. How much further can it go" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1961906697682743360) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-30T21:39Z 1.1M followers, 585K engagements "BREAKING: Robinhood stock $HOOD soars nearly +10% on news that it will be added to the S&P 500" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1964078306417840518) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-05T21:28Z 1.1M followers, 359.2K engagements "BREAKING: The odds of a XX basis point rate cut surge to XX% after PPI inflation unexpectdly declines per Kalshi" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1965784478045090179) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-10T14:28Z 1.1M followers, 114.2K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says US companies should no longer be "forced" to report earnings every quarter. Trump says this is "subject to SEC approval."" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1967567093249007941) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-15T12:32Z 1.1M followers, 514.9K engagements "BREAKING: US Treasury Secretary Bessent says the next round of US-China trade talks could result in another 90-day tariff pause. This would be the third straight pause for a total of XXX days" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1967597840139767941) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-15T14:34Z 1.1M followers, 282.1K engagements "US freight is in a recession: The Cass Freight Index dropped -XXX% YoY in August hitting its lowest level since 2020. This index tracks freight shipments within North America and serves as a key gauge of US shipping activity. August marks its 28th consecutive monthly decline. Freight shipments have now fallen -XX% over the last X years. The last time such a prolonged fall occurred was during the 2008 Financial Crisis. Goods movement in the US is slowingsharply" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970255788917633232) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-22T22:36Z 1.1M followers, 875.9K engagements "BREAKING: Money market fund assets under management hit a record $XXX trillion last week. In the first X days of September these funds attracted $XX BILLION in net inflows. Total assets have DOUBLED over the last XXX years. At this pace money market fund assets will surpass $X trillion by year-end. According to Cranes index of XXX money-market funds these funds currently yield 4.1%. By comparison the national average savings account yields just XXX% Bankrate data shows. Americans are chasing risk-free yields" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970268661240799249) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-22T23:27Z 1.1M followers, 190.5K engagements "BREAKING: Lithium Americas stock $LAC surges +90% on reports that the U.S. government is seeking to buy up to a XX% equity stake in the company. At the current pace the U.S. government will build a diverse portfolio of stocks by year-end" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970584310219522127) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-23T20:21Z 1.1M followers, 701.9K engagements "A new era for financial markets: Today's news that the Trump Administration is seeking a XX% stake in Lithium Americas $LAC is huge. This comes just X weeks after President Trump acquired XX% of Intel for $XXX billion. And the US government's portfolio will continue to grow: In June 2025 the Trump Administration negotiated a golden share in US Steel giving it veto/consent rights over key corporate decisions. Then Trump Administration officials floated the idea of an equity stake in defense contractors such as Lockheed Martin. To top it off reports emerged X weeks ago about a 15%" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970602117619438024) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-23T21:32Z 1.1M followers, 199.2K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says he will be imposing substantial tariffs on any country that does not make its furniture in the US. It seems foreign countries must now produce their furniture in the US to avoid tariffs" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1972650794609742211) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-29T13:12Z 1.1M followers, 246.6K engagements "Shocking stat of the day: The US Dollar is now on track for its world year since 1973 down over -XX% YTD. Since 2000 the US Dollar has lost over XX% of its purchasing power. All as the Fed cuts rates into 2.9%+ Core PCE inflation for the first time in 30+ years. Gold and Bitcoin know what's coming next" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1972747205271241119) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-29T19:36Z 1.1M followers, 371K engagements "BREAKING: Zinjin Gold the international unit of Chinas largest gold miner surges over +60% in its IPO. This marks the worlds largest IPO since May 2025. Investor demand for gold is through the roof" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1972843512199844012) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-30T01:58Z 1.1M followers, 213.9K engagements "Japanese bond yields are surging again: Japan's 2Y Government Bond Yield has officially surpassed XXXX% its highest level since 2008. At the same time the 10Y Government Bond Yield hit XXXX% near the highest since July 2008. This follows Tuesdays auction of 2-year government bonds which recorded the weakest demand since 2009. The bid-to-cover ratio a key measure of demand fell to XXXX from the previous auction well below the 12-month average of XXXX. This suggests investors increasingly expect a Bank of Japan rate hike in October and are demanding higher yields to compensate for the risk." [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973460656386171165) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-01T18:51Z 1.1M followers, 131.3K engagements "We are witnessing history: Stock market futures are green again with the S&P XXX now +39% since its April 2025 low. Even as a government shutdown began just XX hours ago the S&P XXX is pushing further into record territory. This is the strongest market in modern history" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973575641078571165) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-02T02:27Z 1.1M followers, 446.7K engagements "BREAKING: Tesla $TSLA delivered a record 497099 vehicles in Q3 2025 crushing expectations of 439612. The stock is trading +4% higher on the news and approaching record high territory" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973736096824738160) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-02T13:05Z 1.1M followers, 150.3K engagements "This timeline is insane: President Trump is now up +80% on his Intel investment X weeks ago" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973820275905986935) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-02T18:40Z 1.1M followers, 634.3K engagements "This is absolutely insane: Technology and tech-related stocks now reflect a record XX% of the stock market. This is X percentage points higher than the 2000 Dot-Com bubble peak. At the same time defensive stocks make up just XX% of the market the lowest reading on record. This is the first time in history that defensive stocks have sustained a fall below 20%. Meanwhile traditional cyclicals stocks that move with the economic cycle make up XX% of total market cap near historically low levels. Technology stocks have never beenthisdominant" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974496230123413899) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-04T15:26Z 1.1M followers, 393.8K engagements "Bitcoin is officially a $XXX trillion asset the 7th most valuable asset in the world" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974708307672932715) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-05T05:28Z 1.1M followers, 320.2K engagements "Rate cuts into stagflation: The latest ISM Services report showed prices paid rising toward XX and employment remaining below XX. As a result we are now seeing the biggest gap between prices paid and employment since the 2020 Pandemic. Asset owners know this" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974872950655586721) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-05T16:22Z 1.1M followers, 258.9K engagements "These AI deals are getting creative: First Nvidia invests $XXX billion in OpenAI which OpenAI uses to buy Nvidia chips. Now OpenAI invests in AMD chips which OpenAI uses to buy up to XX% equity in AMD" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975225284098949448) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T15:43Z 1.1M followers, 242.6K engagements "POLL: Are we in an AI Bubble The results of this poll will serve as a key indicator of sentiment. Comment your reasoning below" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975242372612301016) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T16:50Z 1.1M followers, 207.7K engagements "We need a new system: The Fed is running world's largest economy on labor market data that is revised X times suspended for a government shutdown and then revised lower again a year later by nearly X million jobs. All as the majority of economic data is in a blackout until the shutdown ends. It simply is not possible to efficiently run the US economy under the current system" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975342053572645093) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T23:27Z 1.1M followers, 178.7K engagements "BREAKING: Nvidia $NVDA now represents XXXX% of the MSCI All Country World Index. The MSCI ACWI Index captures XX% of global equity markets including large and mid-cap stocks. Nvidia's weight now significantly surpasses Japan's XXXX% share the worlds 3rd-largest stock market. By comparison China the UK and Canada account for XXXX% XXXX% and XXXX% respectively. Nvidias contribution to the index is now larger than France and Germany combined. Nvidia is dominating the global equity market" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975391629906485511) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T02:44Z 1.1M followers, 184K engagements "Today our long-time target of $4000/oz was crossed by gold futures. In February 2024 gold hit $2000/oz in what seemed to be a historic move. XX months later gold prices have doubled in their fastest move since the 1970s. This is a crucial point to understand" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975552038202421508) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 24.6K engagements "The last time this happened was after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system in the 1970s. Bretton Woods was a post-WW2 monetary agreement with XX countries. Its central feature was a FIXED exchange rate that PEGGED currencies to the USD. This was then convertible to gold" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975552041473933377) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 23.1K engagements "Since this happened Gold prices and US M2 Money Supply have skyrocketed. As deficit spending rises inflation is elevated and the US prints more money gold knows what's next. Gold (and Bitcoin) is bracing for a new era of monetary policy with rate cuts into stagflation" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975552049682260297) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 20.8K engagements "And it's looking eerily similar to 2021: As Apollo notes below XX% of items in CPI inflation are now rising by at least 3%. The Fed is cutting rates into 3%+ inflation because they have no choice. The labor market is simply too weak to ignore even at the cost of inflation" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975552052978982934) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 19.2K engagements "In the latest data the US showed 157000 more unemployed Americans than job openings This is the widest gap since March 2021 amid the pandemic. JOLTs quits in leisure and hospitality have collapsed to levels only seen in 2020 and 2008. Gold knows the Fed can't ignore this" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975552056044998875) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 18.7K engagements "What's even more incredible is how cheap gold mining stocks are relative to money supply. In the 1980s gold mining stocks were X TIMES more expensive relative to US M2 Money Supply. It's not necessarily JUST that gold is strong it's more-so that the US Dollar is weak" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975552062458093931) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 17.5K engagements "For the first time in over a decade Wall Street is piling into gold. Goldman Sachs just raised its 2026 gold price target to $4900/oz. The bank says continued buying from ETFs and Central Banks is durable. Institutional capital is looking to hedge against inflation" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975552065859690811) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 17.3K engagements "Shocking stat of the day: Gold prices relative to crude oil prices have jumped to XX points the highest since the 2020 pandemic. This ratio has TRIPLED over the last X years. Excluding the 2020 pandemic drop of crude oil prices the ratio is now at its highest level in at least XX years. Historically an elevated gold-to-oil ratio signaled stress in the global economy or the financial system. Gold says markets are experiencing a major shift" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975600758520193228) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T16:35Z 1.1M followers, 205.3K engagements "Gold stocks are experiencing a historic run: Global gold stocks have outperformed world semiconductor stocks by XX percentage points YTD the largest gap in at least XX years. This is only the 2nd year of outperformance over the last X years. This comes as the MSCI ACWI Select Gold Miners a gauge of the worlds gold equities has surged +134% YTD. During the same period the MSCI World Semiconductor & Semiconductor Equipment Index has risen 40%. Gold miners are on fire" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975641778305818925) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T19:18Z 1.1M followers, 196.7K engagements "Investing in 2025: X. Oracle: Loses $XXX million on Nvidia chips X. Stock market: Erases $XX billion in Oracle stock Welcome to markets and AI" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975757540941041720) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T02:58Z 1.1M followers, 305.2K engagements "This is absolutely insane: The S&P XXX is now up +34% in X months a move only seen XX previous times since 1930. In X of the XX previous occurrences the S&P XXX ended lower 2-weeks later with an average decline of -3.5%. Is the market overdue for a pullback" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975931691215860181) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T14:30Z 1.1M followers, 224.5K engagements "The US government is now expected to be shut down for XX days. This would exceed the length of the 1995 shutdown under President Clinton marking the 2nd longest shutdown in history" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975941578557657558) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T15:09Z 1.1M followers, 187.7K engagements "Cocoa prices are trading like meme coins: Cocoa prices in New York are now down over -XX% from their all-time high in 2024 to $6000 per ton the lowest in nearly X years. This comes after cocoa prices rose over +600% in 2023 and 2024. Meanwhile London prices which almost tripled in early 2024 have declined -XX% from their April 2024 peak to $4262 the lowest in XX months. The drop reflects weaker consumer demand after last years price surge and expectations of a larger crop due to improved weather in West Africa. Additionally speculators have exited long positions with many now betting on" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976074882078343678) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T23:59Z 1.1M followers, 191K engagements "BREAKING: The US Senate has passed legislation requiring Nvidia and AMD to give US companies "priority access" to their chips before China" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976487581329260941) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T03:18Z 1.1M followers, 246.1K engagements "The S&P XXX is already down over-1% on this post from President Trump. Trump is no longer set to meet with China's President just as trade tensions were calming. The trade war seems to be returning. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976665680075481278) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T15:06Z 1.1M followers, 139.6K engagements "This is the first trade war headline that markets have reacted to in months. And it comes at a time when the US-China trade war was fully priced-out. We expect more details to come in the near future. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976667569294856398) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T15:14Z 1.1M followers, 93.1K engagements "Here is the statement that President Trump posted today. He accused China of "lying" and imposing export controls on rare earth metals. Trump cancelled his meeting in X weeks with China's President Xi and said "massive" tariff increases are coming. So what does it all mean" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976683401823289843) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 221.4K engagements "On top of this the AI Revolution is accelerating at an unprecedented pace. Magnificent X companies are investing over +$100B in CapEx PER QUARTER. AI now accounts for XX% of S&P XXX CapEx spend. We believe fighting this unprecedented level of investment is dangerous" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976683417480663399) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 109K engagements "Overall we believe the return of a prolonged trade war is highly unlikely. Tariff headlines are near-term noise amid the AI Revolution and rate cuts into inflation. We believe asset owners will be rewarded. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976683427094303034) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 124.2K engagements "@mesliquid The market is now more reactive than ever. Being on X and following the right people is literally alpha" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976692415865012286) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T16:52Z 1.1M followers, 47.7K engagements "BREAKING: The S&P XXX extends losses to -X% on the day now on track for its biggest daily drop since April 21st. The S&P XXX has now erased -$2.1 trillion over the last X hours" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976697058917842948) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T17:11Z 1.1M followers, 206.6K engagements "The Labor Department has said that NO OTHER releases will be rescheduled or produced until the shutdown ends. This is drawing speculation of a constructive September CPI report. All eyes will be on this data. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976705865437646866) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T17:46Z 1.1M followers, 59.6K engagements "BREAKING: The S&P XXX falls below 6600 for the first time since September 25th. The index is still up over +36% since its April 2025 low" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976723423943705090) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T18:56Z 1.1M followers, 131.8K engagements "Trump says these tariffs are "over and above" any Tariff that China is currently paying. Trump also says these tariffs could be imposed sooner than November 1st. It appears the US-China trade war is returning. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976755280638525621) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T21:02Z 1.1M followers, 78K engagements "This statement has sent crypto markets off of their lows. Equity markets and futures are officially closed for the weekend. We are bracing for a busy weekend ahead as trade tensions resurface. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976776228570120579) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T22:25Z 1.1M followers, 91.5K engagements "@em_rite Two things can be true at once" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977788701053944305) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T17:29Z 1.1M followers, 10.4K engagements "The US dollar has been one of the best-performing currencies of 2024 so far. Some emerging market currencies have weakened by as much as XX% compared to the US Dollar. The Chilean Peso Turkish Lira and Brazilian Real have weakened by XXXX% XXX% and XXX% respectively. A stronger US Dollar makes it more expensive for countries to transact with the US. As higher for longer Fed policy returns it's unlikely this trend reverses. We may actually need a WEAKER US Dollar now" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1780993170035151151) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2024-04-18T16:13Z 1.1M followers, 95.2K engagements "BREAKING: Alphabet $GOOGL officially becomes the 4th company in history to hit $X trillion in market cap" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1967592917356498993) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-15T14:14Z 1.1M followers, 238.1K engagements "President Trump just posted this. We are living in unprecedented times for financial markets" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1968893035271315666) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-19T04:20Z 1.1M followers, 598.1K engagements "A new era for financial markets means new opportunities. The macroeconomy is shifting and stocks commodities bonds and crypto are tradable and investable. Want to receive our premium analysis Subscribe to access our premium analysis below:" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975552068392808945) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 57.6K engagements "Cracks in the luxury housing market are widening: US luxury home sales fell -XXX% YoY in August to 57258 the lowest August level in Redfins data going back to 2013. Over the last X years luxury home sales have dropped by -37359 or -40%. Sales were weak despite the number of luxury home listings jumping +9.5% YoY reaching the highest level for August since 2020. Additionally the share of luxury homes going under contract within two weeks fell -XXX percentage points YoY to XXXX% the lowest reading for the month in X years. Meanwhile luxury home sale prices rose +3.9% YoY to a median of $1.25" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975671474230075888) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T21:16Z 1.1M followers, 167.1K engagements "Rare earths have been very important for Trump. Between a Ukraine deal and the US-China trade war Trump has prioritized rare earths. These metals are CRUCIAL for the production of weapons chips AI and strategic leverage. The US gets XX% of its rare earths from China" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976683404683788548) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 149.4K engagements "The result was a +$192 million gain on shorts just XX minutes later. Following these flows AHEAD of time ahead has become a crucial part of markets in 2025. We are tracking periods of unusual activity. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977120579422740709) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T21:14Z 1.1M followers, 80.3K engagements "@Kramaramb Exactly. The solver of this issue will be the modern day Rockefeller" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978066471449243975) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T11:52Z 1.1M followers, 17.7K engagements "Hundreds of U.S. stocks are currently down -XX% or more from their all time highs. If you could only pick X stock to buy right now what would it be" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1909625262699872423) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-04-08T15:11Z 1.1M followers, 516.4K engagements "You can't print your away out of this anymore: US M2 Money Supply is now growing at a +5.1% annualized rate of change. It should be no surprise that Core CPI inflation is back above XXX% AND rate cuts are on the way. After XX years of X% inflation the US Dollar loses 25%+ of its purchasing power. This is on top of the XX% in value that the US Dollar has lost since 2020. Own assets or you will be left behind" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1962923223265509764) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-02T16:59Z 1.1M followers, 762.7K engagements "Gold is telling the future: The S&P XXX is in one of its strongest bull runs in decades up +1650 POINTS in under X months. Meanwhile Gold's YTD return just hit +37% nearly X TIMES more than the S&P XXX YTD. Why is gold crushing stocks in a bull market (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1963224895522824286) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-03T12:57Z 1.1M followers, 2.1M engagements "This is unprecedented: On August 22nd President Trump announced that the US took a XX% stake in Intel $INTC worth $XX billion. Today XX days later NVIDIA made a massive investment in Intel sending the US' position +$5 BILLION higher. What just happened (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1968663511531167909) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-18T13:08Z 1.1M followers, 960K engagements "An affordability nightmare: It would take a -XX% drop in home prices OR a +60% JUMP in household income JUST for affordability to go back to 2019 levels. You must now make $113000/year to afford the MEDIAN home in the US. Will housing ever be affordable again (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1971242173782950048) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-25T15:55Z 1.1M followers, 1.3M engagements "Fannie Mae on if we want affordable homes again: X. Prices must crash by -XX% or: X. Incomes must rise by +60% or: X. Mortgage rates must crash by -XXX bps For any of these X things something massive would have to happen to the macroeconomy. How did we end up here" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1971271229521920447) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-25T17:51Z 1.1M followers, 618.7K engagements "US households have massive exposure to equities: Equities now account for XX% of total US household assets the largest percentage among all categories. This is followed by real estate at XX% and insurance & pensions at 21%. By comparison in China real estate accounts for the majority of total assets at XX% while equities make up only 11%. In the UK Korea and Australia households hold XX% XX% and XX% in property while equities represent only X% X% and X% respectively. In Taiwan and Japan households hold XX% and XX% of their wealth in real estate and XX% and XX% in equities. US households" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1971978137937293366) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-27T16:40Z 1.1M followers, 219.1K engagements "BREAKING: Intel stock $INTC surges over +7% on reports of talks of a deal to manufacture semiconductors for AMD. This stock is now up over +70% since President Trump acquired a XX% stake in it just X weeks ago" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973449309791330519) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-01T18:05Z 1.1M followers, 502.3K engagements "There will be NO jobs report tomorrow. X weeks after the Fed cut rates due to a weak labor market jobs data has been indefinitely suspended. Until the government shutdown ends there will be no BLS labor data. We're XX days from the next Fed meeting with tomorrow's suspended jobs report being the final one before their next meeting. So the Fed is cutting rates into rising inflation due to a weak labor market but we can no longer receive KEY labor market data. And when we do receive the data it is revised down X times before it's considered "accurate." The system is broken" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973972025770455549) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-03T04:43Z 1.1M followers, 260.1K engagements "We need more electricity: AI data centers are set to consume 1600 terawatt-hours of power demand by 2035 equal to XXX% of global electricity. In other words power demand from AI data centers is set to QUADRUPLE over the next XX years. If counted as a country AI data centers would rank 4th in electricity use behind only China the US and India. In major US markets data center power demand is growing faster than that of electric vehicles hydrogen and other emerging technologies. AI growth will soon be limitedbyenergy" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974519634083905788) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-04T16:59Z 1.1M followers, 607.2K engagements "BREAKING: World central banks bought another XX tonnes of gold in August. This marks the 27th monthly purchase over the last XX months. The National Bank of Kazakhstan added X tonnes while the Bulgarian National Bank and the Central Bank of Turkey each increased gold reserves by X tonnes. The Peoples Bank of China acquired X tonnes marking the 10th consecutive monthly increase in gold reserves. As a result Chinas official gold holdings have surpassed 2300 tonnes for the first time. Central banks are still piling into gold" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974542031902146877) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-04T18:28Z 1.1M followers, 309.3K engagements "BREAKING: Bitcoin officially surges to a new record high of $124300" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974665280703078677) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-05T02:37Z 1.1M followers, 693K engagements "The US market is on fire: The market cap of US stocks relative to the US M2 money supply hit XXX% the highest since 2000. Over the last X years this percentage has grown a whopping +125 points. This has now officially surpassed the pre-2008 Financial Crisis peak of 290%. By comparison the Dot-Com Bubble peak was 370%. To reach such a level the US stock market would need to grow another XX% assuming a constant M2 money supply. We are witnessing a historic run" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974912724782944337) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-05T19:01Z 1.1M followers, 394.1K engagements "This is incredible: Venture capitalists have poured a record $XXXXX billion into AI startups YTD. This puts 2025 on track to be the first year where more than XX% of total VC dollars flow into the AI industry. In the US AIs share of venture deals has surpassed XX% over the last XX months. That percentage has TRIPLED since the 2020 pandemic. Overall VC funding has reached $XXXXX billion so far this year with a major share coming from the US at $XXXXX billion. The AI revolution is growing exponentially" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974992499929489703) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T00:18Z 1.1M followers, 217.2K engagements "Are we in a currency confidence crisis Today gold futures officially hit a RECORD $4000/oz now up +100% in XX months. The last time gold DOUBLED in under X years was in the 1970s after the historic "Nixon Shock." What's happening Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975552034498879955) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements "BREAKING: Oracle stock $ORCL extends its decline to -X% on the day on reports that the company lost $XXX million from rentals of Nvidia chips in the most recent quarter" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975587142173856251) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T15:40Z 1.1M followers, 919.3K engagements "BREAKING: Silver prices officially exceed $49/oz for the first time since 2011 now up +65% year-to-date. Gold futures are rapidly approaching $4100/oz just hours after breaking above the record $4000 level" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975892200010719550) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T11:53Z 1.1M followers, 312.8K engagements "BREAKING: Spot palladium prices surge over +6% on the day as gold hits $4000/oz and silver hits highest level since 2011. The current run in precious metals will be studied for decades to come" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975911825964400936) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T13:11Z 1.1M followers, 307.4K engagements "Data centers are the new oil: Data center energy consumption has reached a record X% of total US power demand. By 2030 data center energy consumption will exceed XX% of total US power demand. The AI revolution is even bigger than you think" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976306659610800447) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T15:20Z 1.1M followers, 335.2K engagements "BREAKING: Oil prices drop below $60/barrel for the first time since May 2025. This comes just one day after President Trump said gas prices will fall to $2.00/gallon" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976639792000729394) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T13:23Z 1.1M followers, 904.5K engagements "BREAKING: Oil prices fall to a new low after President Trumps China tariff increase statement. Now at the lowest level since May 8th" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976669940519449034) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T15:23Z 1.1M followers, 184.4K engagements "It's official: Crypto just saw its LARGEST liquidation event in history with XXX MILLION traders liquidated. Over $XX BILLION worth of leveraged crypto positions were liquidated in XX hours X TIMES the previous record. Why did this happen Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005754289996073) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 4.7M engagements "To put this into perspective: The liquidation event we saw over the last XX hours was $XX BILLION larger than the February 2025 crash. It was more than XX TIMES larger than the March 2020 crash and collapse of FTX. Never in history have we seen anything even close to this" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005756915630333) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 160.3K engagements "This week's rebound in volatility means opportunity for investors. The macroeconomy is shifting and stocks commodities bonds and crypto are investable. Want to receive our premium analysis Subscribe to access our premium analysis below:" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005779720061011) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 141.2K engagements "BREAKING: Yesterday's crypto liquidation led to Bitcoin's first ever $20000 daily swing. Bitcoin alone erased -$380 BILLION in market cap over just X hours. That's more than the market cap of all but XX public companies in the world" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977038481538138472) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T15:48Z 1.1M followers, 422.9K engagements "Like and Bookmark the above post - reference it as the trade war heads into 2026. The ability to weed out NOISE from material developments is crucial right now. This market is very profitable if done right. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977436448241693006) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T18:09Z 1.1M followers, 175.8K engagements "Lastly foreign investors now hold a higher amount of gold than US treasuries. The share of US Treasuries held by foreign investors is down from XX% in 2013 to XX% today. Gold is the GLOBAL safe haven. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977753898803679510) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 75.5K engagements "Prepare for a volatile Q3 earnings season: The average implied earnings-day move for S&P XXX stocks based on options pricing is XXX% the second-highest since the 2022 bear market. Consumer discretionary stocks are expected to experience the most volatility. at 6.2%. This is followed by information technology and communication services at XXX% and 5.8%. We are preparing for big earnings-daystockmoves" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978122122330345713) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T15:34Z 1.1M followers, 86.8K engagements "The bull run is in full swing: The S&P XXX has gone XX trading sessions without a -X% decline its 2nd-longest streak since 2021. This also marks one of the longest periods since the 2018 record of XXX trading days without a -X% drop. By comparison the long-term average is XX trading days. Since 1928 the market has seen an average of XXX declines of -X% per year. At the same time a -XX% correction has occurred an average of XXX times per year. Momentum is incredibly strong right now" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978456164275720254) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T13:41Z 1.1M followers, 135K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says that India's Prime Minister Modi has "assured him" that India will no longer be buying Russian oil. On August 27th Trump imposed a XX% tariff on India as punishment for buying Russian oil. US-India trade deal on the way" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978554221248012619) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T20:11Z 1.1M followers, 274K engagements "Extreme Fear. This is NOT what you see before a market crash with the S&P XXX trading X% away from a record high" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978907402779910308) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T19:34Z 1.1M followers, 849.8K engagements "BREAKING: Russia has reportedly asked Elon Musk to help build a $XX billion undersea rail tunnel linking Russia and Alaska. The tunnel would be named the Putin-Trump Tunnel" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979236489079706013) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T17:22Z 1.1M followers, 1.2M engagements "In retrospect this was the ultimate signal" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979579595721466221) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-18T16:05Z 1.1M followers, 257.4K engagements "Investors are piling into defense stocks: Aerospace & Defense ETF inflows hit +$8.2 billion in the first X quarters of 2025. This marks a +573% surge compared to 2024 levels. Monthly inflows peaked at +$1.6 billion in June before moderating to +$634 million in September. The surge has triggered a wave of new fund launches with XX Aerospace & Defense ETFs debuting in 2025 compared to just X last year. Investor demand for defense exposureis very strong" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979655724339757494) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-18T21:07Z 1.1M followers, 128.9K engagements "BREAKING: Donald Trumps memecoin $TRUMP crashes over -XX% as Melania Trump launches her own memecoin. This is beyond insane" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1881091214474375346) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-01-19T21:27Z 1.1M followers, 6.1M engagements "BREAKING: An investor group led by @ElonMusk is making a $XXXX billion bid to buy OpenAI per WSJ" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1889052976146157891) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-02-10T20:45Z 1.1M followers, 716.7K engagements "Javier Milei just DESTROYED the memecoin market: Hours ago Argentinian President Milei launched a memecoin $LIBRA for "the growth of their economy." Within X hours over -$4.4 BILLION of market cap was erased. Is this the biggest rug pull in history (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1890611963203334190) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-02-15T03:59Z 1.1M followers, 8.8M engagements "BREAKING: Gold prices fall to $3050 as a mass capital flight to the sidelines begins accelerates" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1908170399495459319) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-04-04T14:50Z 1.1M followers, 125.4K engagements "The free fall continues: Today's drop in US stock market futures puts S&P XXX futures down -XX% and in bear market territory. The US stock market has now erased an average of $XXX billion PER TRADING DAY for 32-straight days. Is it time to BUY stocks yet (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1909031822677115320) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-04-06T23:53Z 1.1M followers, 2.6M engagements "Effectively no reaction at all in Bitcoin as the US announces a trade deal with China. Very interesting all eyes are on futures which open in X hours" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1921627510992773526) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-05-11T18:04Z 1.1M followers, 409.4K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump comments on Fed Chair Powell: "He's leaving very soon I'll miss him" Trump says" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1949857643150839843) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-07-28T15:41Z 1.1M followers, 323.7K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says the August 1st tariff deadline will not be extended. However this weekend the US and China extended their tariff deadline by another XX days" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1950523037226570026) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-07-30T11:45Z 1.1M followers, 194.1K engagements "What just happened Last night news emerged of a "trade deal" that has never happened before. Nvidia and AMD agreed with Trump to provide the US with XX% of REVENUE from chip sales in China to remove export controls. Corporations are panicking. Here's why. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1954841769272541503) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-11T09:46Z 1.1M followers, 5.5M engagements "Something is seriously wrong here: For the first time in history a NEW home in the US costs $33500 LESS than an EXISTING home per Reventure. Not even June 2005 saw such a large gap right before the 2008 Financial Crisis. What is happening Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1957789162683187525) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-19T12:58Z 1.1M followers, 2.9M engagements "Massive jobs data revisions are coming: On September 9th the BLS will release its preliminary benchmark revision to nonfarm payrolls for April 2024 through March 2025. Goldman Sachs estimates the revision could cut reported payrolls by 550000 to 950000 jobs. This implies payroll growth was overstated by a massive 45000 to 80000 jobs PER MONTH. If confirmed it would mark the largest 12-month revision since 2010. This also follows an earlier 589000 downward adjustment for the year ending March 2024. What is happening with the labor market data" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1957808773289885940) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-19T14:16Z 1.1M followers, 466.1K engagements "The longest bear market: The US Dollars purchasing power. Over the last XXX years the US Dollar has lost -XX% of its purchasing power. Since 2000 the US Dollar has lost over -XX% of its purchasing power. Own assets or be left behind" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1959333759355932739) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-23T19:15Z 1.1M followers, 832.7K engagements "Gold is replacing fiat currencies as a reserve currency: Gold's share of global international reserves rose X percentage points in Q1 2025 to XX% the highest in XX years. This marks the 3rd consecutive annual increase. Meanwhile the US Dollar's share declined X percentage points to XX% the lowest since the mid-1990s. The Euro share remained roughly unchanged at 15%. Gold is now the worlds second-largest reserve asset after surpassing the Euro in 2024. Gold is seeing historic levels of demand" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1962235795622035767) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-31T19:27Z 1.1M followers, 674.1K engagements "BREAKING: The UK's 30-Year Yield officially crosses above XXXX% for the first time since April 1998. Despite the Bank of England cutting rates FIVE times in XX months yields are soaring. When you have higher rates with rate cuts something is seriously wrong" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1962847363036279027) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-02T11:57Z 1.1M followers, 749.7K engagements "This is the definition of broken: In XX days the Fed will cut rates for the first time in 2025 yet the 30Y Treasury Yield is now near 5.00%. We have RISING interest rates as markets "price-in" Fed interest rate CUTS. Do you realize what's happening (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1962875968806064527) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-02T13:51Z 1.1M followers, 5.7M engagements "The collapse of G7 bond markets: Despite aggressive global central bank rate cuts yields are surging in France Japan Germany Canada the US and the UK. The market is quite literally rejecting central bank interest rate cuts. How did we end up here" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1962905103469556042) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-02T15:47Z 1.1M followers, 858.8K engagements "BREAKING: Gold officially hits $3600/oz for the first time in history. Gold is now up +33% YTD more than XXX TIMES the S&P 500s return" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1962960375910969773) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-02T19:26Z 1.1M followers, 3.4M engagements "BREAKING: Lululemon stock $LULU crashes over -XX% after reporting weaker than expected earnings. Is consumer spending finally starting to give" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1963696191851626987) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-04T20:10Z 1.1M followers, 523.5K engagements "BREAKING: The US economy adds 22000 jobs in August below expectations of 75000. The unemployment rate RISES to XXX% in-line with expectations of 4.3%. This marks the 2nd lowest jobs report number since July 2021. The labor market is rapidly deteriorating" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1963943227561537958) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-05T12:32Z 1.1M followers, 354.5K engagements "The car market bubble is bursting: Subprime auto loan delinquency rates have now surpassed X% for the first time in history. The 60-day delinquency rate for subprime auto loans has more than DOUBLED over the last X years. Delinquency rates are now XXX percentage points above the 2008 Financial Crisis peak. At the same time prime auto loan delinquencies rose to their highest in XX years. Meanwhile the total value of auto loans in the US jumped $XX billion to a record $XXXX trillion in Q2 2025. An auto debt crisis is brewing" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1964789095324066182) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-07T20:33Z 1.1M followers, 405.4K engagements "Shocking stat of the day: US federal debt will reach $XXX TRILLION by 2055 according to the CBO's own forecast. This would be $XXX million of debt per American household up from the current $274000. It would also push the US Debt-to-GDP ratio to a record XXX% up from the current 123%. To put this into perspective US Debt-to-GDP has averaged XX% over the last XX years. The CBO projects that the budget deficit will exceed X% of GDP every year until 2055. In US history deficits this high have only occurred for 5-straight years one time during World War II. The US debt crisis is set to get even" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1965127749925999053) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-08T18:59Z 1.1M followers, 244.8K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says the Federal Reserve is broken and needs to be fixed" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1965404462534754326) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 268.2K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says all NATO nations are preparing to "do major sanctions on Russia" and impose XX% to XXX% tariffs on China" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1966837146460848394) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-13T12:11Z 1.1M followers, 879.1K engagements "BREAKING: Unrealized losses on investment securities for US banks reached $XXXXX billion in Q2 2025. This is X TIMES higher than at the peak of the 2008 Financial Crisis. This also marks the 13th consecutive quarter of losses as interest rates remained elevated. Meanwhile the number of banks on the FDIC Problem Bank List reached XX in Q2 2025 or XXX% of the aggregate. Unrealized losses at banks continue to pose a significantrisk" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1967991620109767069) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-16T16:39Z 1.1M followers, 314.6K engagements "It's official: For the first time in 2025 the Fed just cut interest rates by XX basis points and "blamed" a weaker labor market. Immediately after the US Dollar fell to its weakest level since February 2022. What's coming next Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1968402173290524834) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-17T19:50Z 1.1M followers, 1.6M engagements "Gold versus crypto: Beginning at 10:30 PM ET gold and crypto began trading in complete opposite directions. Ether fell as much as -XX% as gold extended its run into record territory. This marks one of the biggest divergences between gold and crypto in 10+ weeks. What changed" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970027282887524410) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-22T07:28Z 1.1M followers, 672.2K engagements "Immediately after Javier Milei became Argentina's President inflation hit 300%+. In late-2023 inflation in Argentina was above XX% PER MONTH. At one point a cup of coffee cost more by the time you finished drinking it. It's now down to X% per month or XX% YoY" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970138645148393908) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-22T14:50Z 1.1M followers, 40.8K engagements "While this is an improvement it's far from sustainable to have 30%+ annual inflation. By comparison the US Fed targets X% inflation as its long-term run rate. As a result the Argentine Peso has collapsed over -XX% in XX years. And the crisis recently accelerated" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970138647526518803) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-22T14:50Z 1.1M followers, 36.7K engagements "On April 11th Argentina attempted a similar "lifeline" with the IMF. The deal included: A $XX billion agreement with the IMF which included a $XX billion upfront payment. And Argentina's central bank let the Peso trade freely in a range of 1000 to 1400 pesos per dollar" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970138659438379278) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-22T14:50Z 1.1M followers, 28K engagements "However this clearly has not fixed the issue. At its core the Argentine Peso is overvalued and artificially propped up by the government. Short-term relief by the IMF or the US will not fix the long-term issue. The Peso needs to trade freely WITHOUT government manipulation" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970138661745471656) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-22T14:50Z 1.1M followers, 37.5K engagements "BREAKING: Gold futures extend gains to a record $3825/oz now up +42% in 2025. Even amid one of the strongest bull markets in history this puts gold up X TIMES as much as the S&P 500" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970423192259837964) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-23T09:41Z 1.1M followers, 454.7K engagements "Crypto adoption is about to SURGE: A new Bank of America survey shows XX% of investors have ZERO exposure to crypto. Now US lawmakers are requesting the SEC implements President Trump's Executive Order allowing 401(K)s to BUY crypto. What's next Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970485423081185561) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-23T13:48Z 1.1M followers, 841.8K engagements "BREAKING: The US has deployed jets against Russian bombers per CNN. Russian military aircraft have been detected in Alaska's airspace" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1971190532308337141) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-25T12:30Z 1.1M followers, 859K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump announces a XX% tariff on all kitchen cabinets bathroom vanities and associated products. There will also be a XX% tariff on upholstered furniture. New homes and renovations just became even more expensive" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1971357507768766553) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-25T23:33Z 1.1M followers, 752.2K engagements "This is insane: As the record run in gold accelerates US gold reserves just exceeded $X TRILLION for the first time in history. The US now holds XXX TIMES more gold than Germany the 2nd-largest holder in the world. What is gold telling us Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1972679656588419504) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-29T15:07Z 1.1M followers, 2M engagements "Absolute insanity: Gold just hit its 39th all time high of 2025 with futures less than X% away from $3900/oz. At this rate we will see $4000+ gold within a matter of days" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1972863266197315624) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-30T03:17Z 1.1M followers, 366.2K engagements "BREAKING: The SEC is reportedly moving to allow stocks to trade like crypto where stocks would trade on-chain. Under the plan investors could buy tokens on crypto exchanges that represent shares of companies like Tesla or Nvidia" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973014677790843170) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-30T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 631.8K engagements "Shocking stat of the day: Oracle $ORCL has a debt-to-equity ratio of a whopping 520%. This is more than double the ratios of Apple $AAPL and IBM $IBM. By comparison Amazon $AMZN and Microsoft $MSFT have debt-to-equity ratios of XX% and XX% respectively. According to JP Morgan Oracles $XXX billion cloud infrastructure deal with OpenAI would require even more borrowing by the company. Oracle may need to raise up to $XXX billion in debt over the next X years to fund the contract. The AI rush is reaching unprecedented levels" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973145328628146447) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-30T21:58Z 1.1M followers, 200.7K engagements "BREAKING: The US government will shut down at midnight as Congress has failed to pass a funding bill" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973190337750540645) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-01T00:56Z 1.1M followers, 323.7K engagements "Government Shutdown Facts The Media Won't Cover: X. The average length of a shutdown is only X days X. The S&P XXX has ended higher one year after a shutdown in XX% of cases X. The S&P XXX posts an average gain of +13% one year after the shutdown ends X. During the XX day shutdown in 2018 the S&P XXX rallied +11% X. While the government is shut down the US defers $400M/day in costs X. The Fed generally turns more dovish if government data releases are paused Historically the market actually WELCOMES shutdowns" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973219222223282242) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-01T02:51Z 1.1M followers, 791.3K engagements "BREAKING: Bank reserves at the Fed dropped -$21 billion last week to $XXXX trillion the lowest since January. This is one of the lowest readings since Q1 2023. This also marks the 7th consecutive weekly decline as liquidity has declined. US banking system reserves are a key factor in the Feds decision to continue shrinking its balance sheet (QT). According to the Fed the ample-reserve level for smooth market functioning is $2.8$3.4 trillion. Is the Fed about to end QT" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973393348221116482) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-01T14:23Z 1.1M followers, 164.4K engagements "BREAKING: Elon Musk officially becomes the first person in history to reach a net worth of $XXX billion" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973475288823767121) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-01T19:49Z 1.1M followers, 5.2M engagements "BREAKING: Silver prices have NEVER ended higher after this: The daily RSI on silver has officially exceeded XX for the first time since 2020. This has only happened X times since 1987 and silver ended lower X months later in XXX% of cases. Is silver nearing its top" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973723387961733621) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-02T12:15Z 1.1M followers, 755.6K engagements "Container shipping costs are plunging again: The spot rate for a 40-foot container from Shanghai to Rotterdam fell to $1735 last week the lowest since mid-December 2023. This marks the 8th consecutive weekly decline in rates to Europe. Shipping costs from Shanghai to Los Angeles dropped to $2311 also the lowest since December 2023. Weaker global demand price wars and excess shipping capacity have driven the decline. Meanwhile US import volumes are expected to continue declining toward year-end with January 2026 projected to be -XX% lower YoY. Global trade disruptionsare in full swing" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973838898720592091) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-02T19:54Z 1.1M followers, 203.4K engagements "We now have: X. Rate cuts into 2.9%+ Core PCE inflation for the first time in XX years X. Rapidly deteriorating US labor market outlook X. Deficit spending running at over $X trillion per year X. Jobs reports suspended due to government shutdown X. Two more Fed rate cuts in 2025 into stagflation X. $100B+ per quarter in AI CapEx by the Mag X Own assets or be left behind" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974092991842132271) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-03T12:43Z 1.1M followers, 314.5K engagements "Investors are piling into options at a record pace: Total call options volume has averaged over XX million contracts a day over the last XX days the most on record. Call options volume has DOUBLED over the last X years. This is also XX million contracts above the 2021 meme stock frenzy peak. Furthermore call options as a share of total options volume hit XX% on Wednesday matching the highs seen in late 2024. By comparison during the April sell-off this metric sat at XX% one of the lowest readings since the 2022 bear market. Bullish sentiment is throughtheroof" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974166054965260476) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-03T17:34Z 1.1M followers, 272.5K engagements "BREAKING: Foreign holdings of US equities have risen to a record $XX trillion. This marks a +$2.5 trillion rise over the last few months. Investors from overseas now own XX% of the $XX trillion US equity market the most in data going back to 1945. Additionally foreign investors allocation to US equities as a percentage of US financial assets hit a record 61%. This is now X percentage points above the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble high. To put this into perspective the all-time low was XX% in 1974 and the 2008 Financial Crisis low was 25%. Foreign investors are all-inonUSstocks" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974228717489762325) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-03T21:43Z 1.1M followers, 327.7K engagements "We are still early: The Nasdaq XXX is up for X STRAIGHT months for the 6th time since 1986. In the previous X times the Nasdaq XXX NEVER ended lower XX months later with an average gain of +18%. History says the Nasdaq XXX will be +9% higher in X months. Buckle up" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974483143760465947) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-04T14:34Z 1.1M followers, 334.3K engagements "What is happening The S&P XXX is up +40% in X months Gold is nearing $4000/oz and Bitcoin hit a record $XXX TRILLION market cap. Meanwhile the US Dollar is set for its WORST year since 1973. Are markets THAT strong or is the US Dollar just crashing (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974844934030287168) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-05T14:31Z 1.1M followers, 2.3M engagements "Something usual is happening: Silver is now up +63% in 2025 and worth a whopping $XXX TRILLION nearly at a record high. Meanwhile Bitcoin casually hit a record $125000 on a Saturday night and gold has made XX all time highs in 2025. All while the S&P XXX is on one of its best 6-month runs in history. Own assets or be left behind" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974899889634185457) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-05T18:10Z 1.1M followers, 619.4K engagements "The US manufacturing sector remains under pressure: The ISM Manufacturing Index came in at XXXX in September marking the 7th straight month of contraction. The manufacturing sector has now been in a contraction for XX out of the last XX months. New orders declined -XXX points to XXXX marking the 7th month of contraction this year and reflecting softening demand across the sector. The Employment Index rose +1.5 points to XXXX but remained below expansion for the 8th-straight month. Meanwhile prices paid fell -XXX points to XXXX posting the 3rd consecutive monthly decline. US manufacturing" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974973877739766085) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-05T23:04Z 1.1M followers, 85.1K engagements "Tonight's price action summarized: X. Japan's Stock Market: Record highs X. Japan's 30Y Bond Yields: Record highs X. Gold: Record highs X. Bitcoin: Record highs Central banks have lost control of long-term rates as economic stimulus ramps up into rising inflation" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975061957456912866) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T04:54Z 1.1M followers, 312K engagements "BREAKING: AMD stock $AMD soars over +25% on news that OpenAI is taking up to a XX% stake in the company. OpenAI will deploy up to X gigawatts of AMD Instinct GPUs beginning with a 1-gigawatt rollout in 2026. This is a MASSIVE deal" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975154427607867777) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T11:01Z 1.1M followers, 1.5M engagements "OpenAI now has: X. $XXX billion investment from Nvidia X. Up to XX% ownership in AMD X. $XXX billion Stargate investment X. $XXX billion valuation How is OpenAI still owned by a "nonprofit" parent company" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975158890460217461) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T11:19Z 1.1M followers, 14.1M engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says there is "virtually no inflation" and "stock markets are continually hitting record highs."" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975172520014667883) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T12:13Z 1.1M followers, 282.9K engagements "The Trump Administration Now Owns: X. XX% equity stake in Intel $INTC X. XX% equity stake in MP Materials $MP X. XX% equity stake in Lithium Americas $LAC X. XX% equity stake in Trilogy Metals $TMC X. A golden share in US Steel Corporation X. Floated idea of equity stake in defense contractors Financial markets have entered a new era: government equity stakes. What's the next acquisition for President Trump" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975326450447217106) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T22:25Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements "BREAKING: Gold officially crosses above $4000/oz for the first time in history. Gold is now worth $XX TRILLION" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975358526034956665) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T00:32Z 1.1M followers, 5.9M engagements "The US Dollars reserve currency dominance is declining: The US Dollar's share of the worlds central banks reserves fell XXX percentage points in Q2 2025 to XXXX% the lowest since 1994. Since 2000 this percentage has declined by XX points. By comparison the US Dollar reflected XX% of global reserves in 1977. At the current pace the Dollars weight could drop below XX% within X years. For context the euro represents XXXX% and the Chinese yuan XXX% of global reserves. Inflation is causing a currency confidence crisis" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975375272275824653) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T01:39Z 1.1M followers, 192.7K engagements "When EVERYTHING is at all time highs you need to ask yourself something: What has changed Safe havens risky assets real estate crypto global bond yields and everything in between is hitting daily record highs. The denominator for most assets in this case the US Dollar is what has changed. The US Dollar is on track for its worst year in 40+ years down -XX% YTD. Not only is the numerator going up (intrinsic value of assets) but the denominator is going down (USD). Confidence in fiat currencies is at multi-decade lows. Position accordingly" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975400526624764227) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T03:19Z 1.1M followers, 364.7K engagements "Last month the US Dollar Index $DXY hit its lowest level since 2022. It's down -XX% YTD for the first time in X decades. As we began writing a few months ago owning assets is the only hedge to this new era of monetary policy. Gold is trading as if the system has shifted" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975552059123572857) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 18.1K engagements "BREAKING: Crypto funds saw a record $XXXX billion in net inflows last week. This surpassed the previous record by over $X billion. Investors poured the most capital into Bitcoin funds at $XXXX billion followed by $XXXX billion into Ethereum funds. Year-to-date Ethereum has now seen a record $XXXX billion in inflows nearly triple last years total. Solana and XRP also posted record inflows last week at $XXXXX million and $XXXXX million respectively. Investor demand for crypto has never been stronger" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975583141936177411) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T15:25Z 1.1M followers, 220.8K engagements "BREAKING: The US stock market capitalization-to-GDP ratio is up to a record 221%. Since the April low this metric has risen a whopping XX percentage points. It's also XXX TIMES higher that it was at the 2008 Financial Crisis low. To put this into perspective this metric peaked at XXX% during the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. The ratio has now remained above its long-term average of XX% for XX years. The market is making history" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975621898034671978) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T17:59Z 1.1M followers, 401K engagements "This is wild: A map of OpenAI's recent partnerships. Now one of the largest companies in the world worth over $500B still owned by a non-profit parent. What's next" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975622805300650335) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T18:02Z 1.1M followers, 474K engagements "Electricity is coming next: Yesterday President Trump said the United States' electricity grid is "old and tired." The Trump Administration recently bought equity stakes in Intel and metals companies. Is the Trump Administration's next XX% equity stake in an electricity-related company" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975738333557891136) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T01:41Z 1.1M followers, 440.1K engagements "BREAKING: The S&P XXX surges to a fresh record high now up +35.5% in X months. That's +$16.5 TRILLION in market cap since April 7th" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975960031398183105) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T16:22Z 1.1M followers, 118.9K engagements "OpenAI has literally engrained itself in most of the world's largest technology companies. And almost all of the money that companies are investing in OpenAI is being used BY OpenAI to purchase products and compute from the investor. What is happening here" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975975477513757165) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T17:24Z 1.1M followers, 366.5K engagements "BREAKING: The IRS is furloughing close to XX% of its workforce as part of the US government shutdown" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975988612056379669) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T18:16Z 1.1M followers, 352.3K engagements "US consumer borrowing is slowing: US consumer credit rose by just +$363 million in August the slowest pace in X months and far below expectations of a +$14.0 billion increase. The modest gain follows a sharp +$18.1 billion rise in July. The slowdown was driven by a -$6.0 billion drop in revolving credit which includes credit cards the second-largest decline in XXX years. Non-revolving credit which includes auto and student loans rose +$6.3 billion. Meanwhile the average interest rate on credit cards rose to XXXX% the highest this year and near the highest on record. Americans are pulling back" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975993596726661523) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T18:36Z 1.1M followers, 88.7K engagements "Semiconductor stocks are making history: The Semiconductors Index $SOX relative to the S&P XXX equal-weighted index reached XXXX the highest since the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. Since the 2022 bear market this ratio has more than DOUBLED. This comes as Semiconductor stocks have rallied +202% during this period. At the same time the equal-weighted S&P XXX has increased just +48%. To put this into perspective the ratio reached 1.3x at the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak. Chip stocks are massive" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976006934395486540) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T19:29Z 1.1M followers, 105.1K engagements "The cost of hedging against market volatility is rising: Volatility risk premiums on stocks has jumped to XXXX the highest in X years. The difference between the Volatility Index $VIX and the S&P 500's 20-day realized volatility has more than doubled over the last few weeks. This ratio is now sitting near the top end of its last 10-year range. In other words the difference between how much investors expect the market to move and how much it has actually moved is historically high. Despite this single-stock volatility relative to the S&P 500s expected volatility has hit its highest level since" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976039146675400968) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T21:37Z 1.1M followers, 89.4K engagements "This is incredible: It now takes XXX ounces of gold to buy the median-priced new single-family home in the US the lowest amount in XX years. Excluding 1979 this is the lowest level in at least XX years. The ratio has fallen by -XXX ounces over the last X years as gold prices have risen +133%. By comparison it took XXX ounces of gold or XXX times more in the year 2000. Rarely ever has it been so cheap to buy a new house using gold. Gold is preserving purchasing powerlike never before" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976058524359618612) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T22:54Z 1.1M followers, 395.2K engagements "Compute is quickly becoming the world's most valuable commodity. By 2028 global data center spend will hit $XXX BILLION. AI servers are growing at a +41% CAGR and the market overall is growing at a +23% CAGR. This is UNPRECEDENTED growth for the industry" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976276096174927976) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 53.3K engagements "And here's what's even more interesting: Amid the daily billion dollar AI deals data centers are now facing an $XXX BILLION revenue shortfall. Just to fund data center construction through 2030 we need $X TRILLION in revenue. Data centers are the new oil" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976276099215786320) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 50.7K engagements "BREAKING: Nvidia $NVDA surges to a record high market cap of $XXXX trillion. The stock has now added +$2.6 TRILLION of market cap since its April 7th low" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976290169608126506) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T14:14Z 1.1M followers, 516.3K engagements "The elephant in the room: Alphabet Amazon Meta Microsoft and OpenAI alone have announced $XXX BILLION in commitments for new data centers in 2025. Meanwhile electricity prices are up +35% since 2022. With nuclear power 10+ years away how will we meet electricity demand" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976323017429963200) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T16:25Z 1.1M followers, 521.6K engagements "BREAKING: Gold futures extend their decline to -X% on the day and drop below $4000/oz. This comes less than XX hours after golds monthly RSI hit 90+ for the first time since 1980. Gold is still up +50% in 2025" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976327482698760569) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T16:42Z 1.1M followers, 254.2K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says US gas prices will fall below $2.00/gallon soon. This implies a -XX% drop from the current national average of $3.11/gallon" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976342221931864493) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T17:41Z 1.1M followers, 191.9K engagements "ChatGPT has gone from X million weekly active users to XX% of the world using the platform in X years. Where will we be in XX months from today" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976388196402438604) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T20:44Z 1.1M followers, 212.9K engagements "US stocks are DOMINATING global equities: The US information technology sector has recorded a +588% increase in EPS since the pre-2008 peak the most among any other sector. By comparison world tech stocks excluding the US have seen a +203% increase or nearly X times less. During the same period US discretionary stocks have posted a +317% surge in net income XX times more than their world counterparts. US healthcare earnings have risen +288% nearly X times more than the +78% increase in world ex-US. US industrials have beaten the rest of the world by X times growing their earnings by +124%." [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976452454947381273) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T00:59Z 1.1M followers, 107K engagements "US beef prices are skyrocketing: Average ground beef prices rose +13% YoY in August to a record $6.32/pound according to Labor Department data. Since 2021 beef prices have risen +$2.30/pound or +58%. This comes as US cattle and calves inventories continue to fall pressured by drought high feed costs and record calf prices. The cattle herd is now at its smallest the 1950s. At the same time domestic demand remains strong due to high per capita consumption as the US is one of the largest beef consumers in the world. Beef inflationisnotslowing" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976655652719112283) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T14:26Z 1.1M followers, 153.3K engagements "BREAKING: The S&P XXX falls 70+ points in seconds after President Trump publishes the below paragraph about China. Trump says he is calculating increased tariffs on Chinese products. Trump also says there is "no reason" to meet Chinese President Xi anymore" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976664345435414918) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T15:01Z 1.1M followers, 2M engagements "PRESIDENT TRUMP'S STATEMENT ON CHINA JUST NOW: X. China is "becoming very hostile" and controlling rare earths X. "Always felt that China is lying and now as usual I have been proven right" X. China is "holding the world captive" in a "monopoly position" X. There is "no reason" to meet President Xi in X weeks X. Preparing a "massive increase of tariffs on Chinese products" X. "Many other countermeasures" are under serious consideration US stocks are now falling to new weekly lows" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976666984684068950) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T15:11Z 1.1M followers, 453.8K engagements "What just happened At 10:57 AM ET President Trump canceled his meeting with China and said "massive" tariff increases are coming. XX minutes later the S&P XXX erased -$1.2 TRILLION of market cap. Is this dip a BUYING opportunity Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976683399239581978) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 3.8M engagements "BREAKING: President Trump will be speaking at both X PM and X PM ET today including an "announcement." Markets are looking for more detail on his new China tariff statement" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976700238158057552) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T17:23Z 1.1M followers, 391.4K engagements "BREAKING: In a rare exception the US Labor Department will publish the September CPI report on October 24th even during a government shutdown. This will be published just X days prior to the highly anticipated October Fed meeting" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976705034512367794) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T17:43Z 1.1M followers, 198K engagements "What a day: There has never been and there will never be a more exciting time to be in the market than now. Anything can happen on any day amid the trade war AI Revolution government shutdown Fed rate cuts and the list goes on. Embrace volatility; it's opportunity" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976750307884347752) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T20:42Z 1.1M followers, 177.7K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump announces a XXX% tariff on China starting November 1st and export controls on "any and all critical software."" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976753814754541722) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T20:56Z 1.1M followers, 996.2K engagements "BREAKING: S&P XXX futures extend losses to -XXX% on the day as President Trump announces a XXX% tariff on China. Thats a drop of -$2.5 TRILLION over the last X hours" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976754859580756479) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T21:00Z 1.1M followers, 206K engagements "BREAKING: Bitcoin extends decline to -XX% on the day and falls below $110000 as President Trump announces XXX% tariffs on China" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976759613002301549) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T21:19Z 1.1M followers, 267.8K engagements "BREAKING: Total crypto market cap losses exceed -$300 BILLION on the day as President Trump announces a XXX% tariff on China" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976763317915206114) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T21:34Z 1.1M followers, 373K engagements "Amid the liquidation Bitcoin recorded a $20000 DAILY candlestick. This marks a $XXX BILLION swing in Bitcoin's market cap alone in a single-day. That's more than the market cap of all but XX public companies in the world. Once again this has never happened in history" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005759369298045) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 143.2K engagements "Even more evidence of the excessive long leverage in the market: ALL major exchanges except for Bitfinex saw an overwhelming percentage of long liquidations. Most were 90%+ long including a massive $XXXX BILLION on Hyperliquid alone. The same exchange the "whale" used" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005769477570767) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 109.6K engagements "The next component was the "shock effect." Markets became excessively crowded to the long direction after a historic run from the April 2025 low. Greed exceeded XX as shown below days before the crash. The sudden shock of the tariff post led to a MASSIVE shift in sentiment" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005772023415223) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 111.6K engagements "Yesterday's drop was a reminder of how fragile yet profitable markets have become. Between 9:30 AM ET and 5:20 PM ET crypto erased -$800 BILLION of market cap. Remain objective and capitalize on volatility. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005781620080688) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 137.7K engagements "@gainzalgo Leverage + Greed are a dangerous combination" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977008689350623329) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:49Z 1.1M followers, 51.3K engagements "Risk appetite is skyrocketing in China: Stock turnover in Chinas stock market hit a record XXX trillion Yuan year-to-date. This surpassed the previous record set in 2024 when XXX Yuan was turned over. Since 2022 turnover has more than TRIPLED. This comes as the CSI XXX Chinas main stock index posted its 5th consecutive monthly gain in September the longest streak in X years. The index has now risen +19.6% year-to-date. Chinas equity market is gainingmomentum" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977067422336405979) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T17:43Z 1.1M followers, 130.8K engagements "BREAKING: The US Government shutdown is now expected to last over XX days per Kalshi. This is just X days less than the longest shutdown in history" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977093245848240491) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T19:25Z 1.1M followers, 242.4K engagements "BREAKING: China responds to President Trump's XXX% tariff for the first time since Friday: China says recent export controls on rare earths were "necessary defensive actions." China also said they will take "corresponding measures" if the US persists in raising tariffs" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977220042748993851) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T03:49Z 1.1M followers, 298.2K engagements "China urges the US to correct its wrong practices as soon as possible" China says. Threatening with high tariffs at every turn is not the right way to get along with China." China seems to be standing by the export controls. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time updates" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977220565745226168) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T03:51Z 1.1M followers, 83.9K engagements "BREAKING: China appears to soften their stance on recent rare earths export controls. China now says: X. The recent change is NOT a full export ban X. Applications that meet regulations will be approved X. Willing to engage in deeper dialogue X. Looks for global industrial and supply chain stability X. Relevant impact of export controls is "very limited" X. Calls this a "necessary defensive action" China also adds that they will take measures if the US persists in raising tariffs" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977223543793340831) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T04:03Z 1.1M followers, 1.2M engagements "If President Trump responds and de-escalates on Sunday markets are set for a big jump on Monday. The reactivity of markets to Trump's posts remains incredibly high. More clarity is now being obtained. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977224564439499061) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T04:07Z 1.1M followers, 176.5K engagements "Investors are waking up to some major news from China: The entire tariff crash on October 10th may have just been one big misunderstanding between Trump and Xi. The news about Chinas rare earth export controls came out on October 9th at 8:30 am ET XX hours BEFORE Trump posted about it. This was a non-news event UNTIL President Trump posted about it over one day later. Last night China released a statement clarifying their "export controls" on rare earths. In their response China said the new controls are NOT a full export ban and applications that meet regulations will be approved. Amid the" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977370328591438192) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T13:46Z 1.1M followers, 6.3M engagements "Once again it appears this is NOT heading to an April 2025-like escalation. China appears to be willing to cooperate to avoid global supply chain disruptions. Now we await a statement from President Trump. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977396869887099004) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T15:32Z 1.1M followers, 86.5K engagements "If you include the after hours drop in futures the S&P XXX is up +120 points at the open. This has effectively erased XX% of the decline seen late-last week. Now we await more guidance from the Trump Admin. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977496085565157458) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T22:06Z 1.1M followers, 71.3K engagements "BREAKING: US Treasury Secretary Bessent says XXX% tariffs on China "doesn't have to happen" and the US-China "relationship is good." We are now on step #8 of our tariff trading playbook. Are you following our plan" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977708049750950066) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T12:08Z 1.1M followers, 456.5K engagements "Investors are waking up to some major news from the US: Trump Administration officials are now saying the US-China relationship is "GOOD." And US Treasury Secretary is on live TV saying XXX% tariffs on China "don't have to happen." This confirms our view; President Trump misinterpreted China's export controls on October 10th. First markets did NOT react to the export controls when they were released XX hours BEFORE Trump's post. Then China clarified that new controls are NOT a full export ban and Trump posts dont worry about China it will be all fine. Now Trump Administration officials are" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977712152644309378) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T12:24Z 1.1M followers, 301.3K engagements "BREAKING: Broadcom stock $AVGO surges over +13% after signing a "multi-billion dollar chip deal" with OpenAI. Broadcom will build custom data center chips for OpenAI and the deal covers 10GW of compute capacity. Broadcom now up +$200 BILLION of market cap today" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977722242780872778) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T13:05Z 1.1M followers, 448.6K engagements "OpenAI has now signed "multi-billion dollar deals" with: X. US Government (Stargate) - $XXX Billion X. Nvidia - $XXX Billion X. AMD - Up to $XXX Billion X. Intel - $XX Billion X. TSMC - $XX Billion X. Microsoft - $XX Billion X. Oracle - $XX Billion X. Broadcom - "Multi-Billion" OpenAI's valuation could exceed $X trillion as soon as 2026. The world's fastest growing "non-profit" will soon be engrained in every US tech giant" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977731800018616475) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T13:43Z 1.1M followers, 499.8K engagements "What's even more crazy is when you zoom out: Amid the record buying global official reserve assets in gold have risen toward 25%. The USD has gone from XX% down to 40%. But this is barely starting to make a dent in the below chart. Gold reserves can go much higher" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977753885881127292) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 29K engagements "That leads us to this chart: Gold prices adjusted for US Money Supply are breaking out of a 50+ year downtrend. And when you adjust gold prices for US money supply the 1970s peak was X TIMES higher. When you zoom out it begins looking like we are still early here" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977753888292733295) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 28.6K engagements "For the first time in 50+ years central banks are actually buying silver as well. The Saudi Central Bank purchased $XXXX million worth of $SLV in August. Institutional capital has followed with purchases by many large Wall Street institutions. Once again a major shift" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977753895079125338) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 28.1K engagements "BREAKING: Gold futures extend gains to +$130/oz on the day now up +3.3% hitting a record $4130/oz. Gold has now added nearly +$1 trillion in market cap today" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977788587719676212) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T17:28Z 1.1M followers, 305.3K engagements "Shocking stat of the day: The largest gold ETF $GLD posted $XXXX BILLION in volume on Thursday the 2nd-highest on record. The only other time it reached that level was in 2013. By comparison during Aprils gold rally daily volume peaked at $XX billion. Thursdays volume was also higher than most of the Magnificent X stocks. Demand for gold assets is incredibly strong" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977819125322781115) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T19:30Z 1.1M followers, 292.8K engagements "BREAKING: China urges the US to correct wrongdoings regarding President Trumps XXX% tariff and says it will fight until the end. In other words step #9 in our tariff playbook is on the horizon" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977904276727902633) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T01:08Z 1.1M followers, 517.6K engagements "BREAKING: Stock market futures extend gains as China confirms working level talks with the US. S&P XXX futures are now up +160 points since their Friday low" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977908288772604320) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T01:24Z 1.1M followers, 365K engagements "What are your favorite energy-related stocks" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978092215969751291) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T13:35Z 1.1M followers, 67.9K engagements "Dip buyers are taking on more leverage: The 2x leveraged Nvidia ETF $NVDU posted a record $XXX million in net inflows last week. This is XX% above the previous high of $XXX million set in January. It also ends a 4-week streak of net outflows. The surge marks only the 4th time $NVDU has had weekly inflows above $XX million. Meanwhile leveraged ETFs linked to AMD and the Nasdaq index also saw a significant demand last week. Investors are still betting bigontechstocks" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978105513091948801) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T14:28Z 1.1M followers, 138.1K engagements "BREAKING: US markets pare losses with the Dow now up +500 points from its low on the day. Dip buyers remain in full swing. Are we about to turn green on the day" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978108261984272643) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T14:38Z 1.1M followers, 121.8K engagements "BREAKING: The Dow erases a -XXX point loss and turns positive on the day as US Trade Representative Greer says a meeting between President Trump and China's President Xi has been SCHEDULED" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978125377017942272) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T15:46Z 1.1M followers, 223.7K engagements "BREAKING: US Trade Representative Greer says the Trump Administration thinks they will be able to "work through it" with China. A meeting between President Trump and President Xi has officially been scheduled. Step number X in our tariff playbook has arrived" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978128413262221389) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T15:59Z 1.1M followers, 377.1K engagements "The Bank of Japans balance sheet shrinkage is accelerating: Total assets on the BoJ balance sheet declined -$148 billion in Q3 2025 to $XXXX trillion the lowest since mid-2022. This marks the largest quarterly decline since Quantitative Tightening (QT) began in 2024. Since the March 2024 peak assets have fallen -$407 billion or -8.1%. To put this into perspective the BoJ's total assets to GDP ratio still stands above 110%. Meanwhile the Bank of Japan announced in late September that it would start gradually selling its ETF and REIT holdings at a pace of $XXX billion per year. Japan's era of" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978175357544267806) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T19:05Z 1.1M followers, 245.3K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump accuses China of an "economically hostile act" for not buying US soybeans. Trump says he is considering "terminating" business with China having to do with cooking oil and other elements of trade as retribution" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978184453164851477) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T19:41Z 1.1M followers, 547.8K engagements "BREAKING: The State Department says it has revoked the visas at least X people for their comments on the death of Charlie Kirk" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978224396482334766) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T22:20Z 1.1M followers, 184K engagements "The bull market is heading into its 4th anniversary: The S&P XXX index began its current bull run on October 12th 2022 surging +85% since adding +$28 trillion in market value. By comparison of the XX prior bull markets since World War II X completed a 4th year with an average total gain of +88%. Historical data suggests the market still has room to run. Since 1950 X bull markets have reached their 4th year delivering an average S&P XXX gain of +12.8%. The strongest 4th-year performances came in 1957 and 1972 with gains of +28.4% and +29.7% respectively. Can AI fuel another 12" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978250653882286534) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T00:04Z 1.1M followers, 131.8K engagements "BREAKING: Gold futures cross above $4200/oz for the first time in history. Gold is now up nearly +60% in 2025 alone. One day we will wonder why gold was so cheap. Own assets or be left behind" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978274372725973312) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T01:38Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements "When everything hit all time highs at the same time that's no longer a bull market. It's systemic shift. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978295664728547828) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T03:03Z 1.1M followers, 92.2K engagements "BREAKING: Nasdaq XXX futures extend gains to over +1% as investors price-out trade tensions between the US and China" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978437006054076881) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T12:25Z 1.1M followers, 161K engagements "Shocking stat of the day: Nvidia $NVDA has reflected X% of the S&P 500's market cap on average in 2025 the highest percentage of any company in the index. It has surpassed Apple $AAPL which held the top spot for the previous X consecutive years. Nvidias market weight is now the largest for any company since 1974. For perspective IBM $IBM dominated the market for XX years through the 1970s and 1980s. General Motors led for XX years during the 1950s1970s. Can Nvidia dominate the market over thenextdecade" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978493464984838186) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T16:09Z 1.1M followers, 166.3K engagements "Another night another +$300 billion in market cap for gold. Gold futures now rising into a record $4250/oz" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978651732046438406) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T02:38Z 1.1M followers, 952.1K engagements "Institutional investors remain bullish on stocks and gold: XX% of investors surveyed by Goldman Sachs say their favorite trade this quarter is long gold the highest reading for the second consecutive month. This is followed by long AI stocks at XX% of respondents. XX% of those surveyed expect the S&P XXX to outperform other major global indexes in October. Overall XX% expressed bullish sentiment for equities the highest since December 2024. This comes as XX% of participants say they are most bullish on AI infrastructure names. Meanwhile their positioning in the Magnificent X stocks reached" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978829281812988021) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T14:24Z 1.1M followers, 98.7K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump posts that he is currently on a lengthy call with President Putin" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978844391222448294) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T15:24Z 1.1M followers, 291.5K engagements "US options market activity is exploding: The average daily volume of US equity and index options has surpassed XX million contracts for the first time ever. Total options volume has TRIPLED over the last X years. During this period call options volume has QUADRUPLED hitting a record XX million contracts. Simultaneously put options volume has TRIPLED reaching XX million contracts. Risk appetite is historicallystrong" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978845892728795501) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T15:30Z 1.1M followers, 104K engagements "Gold is now worth $XX trillion MORE than the 2nd most valuable asset in the world. Gold has also added +$11 TRILLION in 2025 alone. We are witnessing an unprecedented run in precious metals right now. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978865931750146469) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T16:49Z 1.1M followers, 50K engagements "What is happening with regional bank stocks today" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978879404081135618) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T17:43Z 1.1M followers, 589.1K engagements "Confused about what's happening with regional bank stocks Here's the real issue: In March 2023 regional bank stocks collapsed the crisis was "contained" but nothing really changed. Banks who took outsized risk with either "backstopped" by the US government or acquired by JP Morgan. As a result this further incentivized taking on outsized risk particularly as deposits over the $250000 FDIC limit are now inherently "insured." That is: investors and regional bank companies know that the US government will "backstop" deposits in the case of a collapse. Today shares of Zions Bancorp crashed -13%" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978897984340529322) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T18:57Z 1.1M followers, 535.4K engagements "Leading indicators point to further weakness in the US job market: US job postings on Indeed fell another -X% MoM in September reaching the lowest level since February 2021. Postings have declined -XX% since May 2022 and are now just +2.4% above pre-pandemic levels from February 2020. The steepest decline has been in White Collar jobs excluding Health Care with postings now -X% below pre-pandemic levels. Blue Collar job postings have also fallen but remain XX% above February 2020 levels. This all suggests a further deterioration in BLS-reported job openings for September. The labor market" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978910819095126447) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T19:48Z 1.1M followers, 134.8K engagements "BREAKING: Gold officially becomes the first asset in history to hit $XX TRILLION in market cap. Its an all out global rush into gold" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978918835144077442) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T20:19Z 1.1M followers, 1.4M engagements "The elephant in the room: Confidence in fiat currencies has collapsed. As a result absolutely no one wants cash right now. In fact cash allocation for institutional investors is down to XXX% the lowest percentage in XX years. The Fed will soon lose its independence rate cuts are coming into stagflation and global debt jumped +$14 TRILLION in Q2 2025 to a record $XXXXX trillion. You are either buying stocks at record highs piling into gold and silver or buying crypto. Meanwhile corporations are investing hundreds of billions into AI and governments will soon join the AI arms race prompting" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978982541563416724) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T00:33Z 1.1M followers, 737.4K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump was just asked if his XXX% tariff on China will stand. His response: No" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979145968944562666) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T11:22Z 1.1M followers, 534.5K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump announces that he will be meeting with Chinas President Xi in X weeks. I think well be fine with China Trump says. There it is folks step #10 of our tariff playbook is in the works. Timing (2 weeks) is exactly in-line as well" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979147437987033437) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T11:28Z 1.1M followers, 740.1K engagements "BREAKING: S&P XXX futures erase losses as President Trump says high tariffs on China will NOT remain. Futures are now +75 points from their overnight low" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979148530074648736) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T11:32Z 1.1M followers, 1.6M engagements "BREAKING: Oil prices officially fall below $57/barrel for the first time since May 5th now down -XX% since President Trump's inauguration. President Trump really wants gas prices below $2.00/gallon" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979182714826752075) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T13:48Z 1.1M followers, 407.1K engagements "Investor leverage has nearly DOUBLED over the last X years. This marks a similar pace to the rise seen following the 2020 pandemic. As a % of GDP margin debt now sits just below the 2021 peak. Needless to say risk appetite is arguably at its strongest level ever" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979196804265599219) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 20.8K engagements "Everyone wants a piece of the AI Revolution. US households allocation to equities has hit a record 52%. This now surpasses the 2000 peak of XX% by X percentage points. The percentage is also TWICE as high as at the 2008 low. Americans are piling into the stock market" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979196806329246138) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 19.2K engagements "Clearly leveraged debt has skyrocketed to unprecedented levels. But what does it mean In our view the surge in leverage debt reflects just how strong momentum is right now. But it will also come with what we believe will be a more turbulent path higher for risky assets" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979196810506772963) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 20.7K engagements "BREAKING: Gold & silver funds posted +$8.2 billion in net inflows last week the 2nd-biggest weekly inflow on record. This follows a record +$9.5 billion seen in the prior week. As a result the 4-week moving average of inflows spiked to a record +$7.5 billion. This is almost DOUBLE the previous high seen in early 2022. Overall gold funds have attracted +$34.2 billion over the last XX weeks the most in history. Money is flooding into gold at an unprecedentedpace" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979247287579586931) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T18:05Z 1.1M followers, 126.8K engagements "Gold is becoming unaffordable: It now takes XXX hours of work in the US to buy X ounce of gold the most in at least XXX years. This comes as gold prices hit a record close of $4225 while average hourly earnings reached $XXXXX in August. The ratio has DOUBLED in just XX months the surge in gold prices has far outpaced income growth. This surpasses the previous peaks of XX hours seen in the 1930s 1980 and 2011. By comparison at the start of the century it took less than XX hours to buy X ounce of gold. Gold's rally is even stronger than you think" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979563634805133590) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-18T15:02Z 1.1M followers, 247.6K engagements "Institutional investors are all-in on stocks: Global managers cash allocation fell to XXX% in October the lowest in XX years. Cash has stayed at or below X% of AUM for the 4th consecutive month. Since 1999 there have been only a few instances when cash levels were this low. Meanwhile XX% of managers said they are net overweight global stocks the most since January 2025. At the same time a record net XX% responded that global stocks are overvalued XX percentage points above the level seen during the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. Institutional investors are heavily exposed to equities" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979618021388812720) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-18T18:38Z 1.1M followers, 206.6K engagements "ANNOUNCEMENT: We are excited to present The Kobeissi Letters 2024 performance report. Our setups have returned +371.7% since 2020 significantly outperforming the S&P 500s +83.0% return over the same period. Our S&P XXX setups provided a net return of +38.1% in 2024 also outperforming the S&P 500's 2024 return of +23.8%. The net return on our calls across all sections was +8.1% building on +15.5% in 2023 +92.8% in 2022 +35.3% in 2021 and +44.8% in 2020. Since 2020 we have returned +39.3% per year on average well ahead of the S&P 500s +14.4% average annual return since 2020. Read the full" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1878124714855694615) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-01-11T17:00Z 1.1M followers, 6.6M engagements "BREAKING: President Trump threatens to impose "200% tariffs or something" on China if they do not provide the US with magnets" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1960030260424327342) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-25T17:23Z 1.1M followers, 3M engagements "The US labor market is in trouble: Job cuts just surged by +88736 in August 2025 alone the highest August total since 2020. This brings the YTD total up to 892362 job cuts up a whopping +66% compared to 2024. What's happening to the labor market (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1963598774959218864) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-04T13:43Z 1.1M followers, 1.7M engagements "BREAKING: Tesla $TSLA offers Elon Musk a pay package valued as much as $X trillion. If fully realized this would be the CEO largest pay package in history" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1963932769547129064) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-05T11:50Z 1.1M followers, 615.5K engagements "BREAKING: Oracle stock $ORCL surges over +23% after reporting earnings with a +359% increase in contracted revenue. As we continue to reiterate we are still so early in the AI Revolution" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1965520599226483058) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-09T21:00Z 1.1M followers, 627.1K engagements "Manufacturing jobs are contracting: The US economy shed -12000 manufacturing jobs in August the second-largest drop since October 2024. This marks the 4th consecutive monthly decline the longest streak since the 2020 pandemic. Over the last X months manufacturing employment has fallen by -42000 to XXXX million the lowest level since March 2022. Furthermore since February 2023 the US economy has lost -178000 manufacturing jobs. Manufacturing employment is now below the pre-pandemic levels seen in 2019. US manufacturing is in a recession" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1968705574855426311) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-18T15:56Z 1.1M followers, 131.1K engagements "Current situation: X. Stocks are rising like the US economy is soaring X. Oil prices are falling like we are entering a recession X. Gold is rising like the Fed is cutting rates into inflation X. Bitcoin is falling like Fed rate cuts are postponed X. Home prices are rising like more rate cuts are coming X. Treasury yields are rising like stagflation has arrived The market is entering a new era of monetary policy" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970114665398116428) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-22T13:15Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements "The US government shutdown: For the first time since 2018 the US is about to enter a government shutdown and investors are bracing for it. This would furlough 750000 workers PER DAY costing $400M in daily compensation. What does it all mean Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973107796536361038) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-30T19:28Z 1.1M followers, 1.5M engagements "@elonmusk Netflix has now lost -$20 billion in market value this week. X is the most powerful platform in the world" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973580075368161497) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-02T02:45Z 1.1M followers, 642.3K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump is considering providing taxpayers with $1000 to $2000 stimulus checks using tariff revenue" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973850191674683690) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-02T20:38Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements "Bitcoin now has a market cap of $XXX trillion or $XXXX trillion LESS than gold. In other words gold is currently XXXX times LARGER than Bitcoin. Even if Bitcoin hit $1000000 and gold was unchanged Bitcoin would still only be XX% of the size of gold. We are still early" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974931850310074506) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-05T20:17Z 1.1M followers, 427.2K engagements "This is insane: AMD stock $AMD extends gains to +35% on the day after its deal with OpenAI. AMD is on track for its biggest single-day market cap gain in history" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975174984441233742) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T12:23Z 1.1M followers, 417.8K engagements "BREAKING: Tens of thousands of Robinhood $HOOD users are reportedly unable to access their accounts amid an outage after the $AMD surge" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975201641180909906) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T14:09Z 1.1M followers, 1.3M engagements "The bottom XX% of US households have benefited from the historic market run: The value of equities held by bottom XX% surpassed $XXX billion for the first time. Since the 2020 pandemic this figure has quintupled. This significantly exceeds the pre-pandemic average of roughly $XXX billion. However on a per-household basis that amounts to only $8150/household. Additionally the bottom XX% of households still own just X% of all US equities. The bottom half is still far behind" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975695381754486993) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T22:51Z 1.1M followers, 117.4K engagements "BREAKING: Elon Musks xAI is reportedly nearing a $XX billion capital raise tied to Nvidias chips. Nvidia itself is among the investors in the xAI chip deal. Another multibillion dollar AI deal has arrived" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975703964202287238) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T23:25Z 1.1M followers, 481.4K engagements "The US Dollar is doing something very unusual: The US Dollar has been more volatile than the S&P XXX over the last month according to Goldman Sachs. This is only the 3rd such occurrence over the last X years after December 2023 and July 2025. By comparison during the April sell-off the realized volatility ratio between the S&P XXX and the US Dollar Index jumped to 6x the highest since 2020. This comes as the US Dollar is on track for its worst year since 1973 down -XX% year-to-date. At the same time the S&P XXX has risen +14% hitting XX all-time highs. The Dollar is being sold and asset" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976022788940165290) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T20:32Z 1.1M followers, 155.8K engagements "The byproduct of this is a major energy shortage. AI data centers are set to consume 1600 terawatt-hours of power demand by 2035 equal to XXX% of global electricity. Power demand from AI data centers is set to QUADRUPLE over the next XX years. We need more electricity" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976276108007092382) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 49.8K engagements "BREAKING: Retail investors bought +$105 billion of US stocks over the last month the largest monthly purchase on record. Retail demand has risen FIVEFOLD since April. This brings total YTD purchases to +$630 billion already surpassing the all-time high of $XXX billion in 2021. Retail investors are now on track to buy $XXX billion worth of stocks in 2025. As a result retail shares traded as a % of total hit XX% just below the XX% record during the 2021 meme stock frenzy. Retail investors are buying likeneverbefore" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976360514230841533) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T18:54Z 1.1M followers, 318.8K engagements "BREAKING: The US has finalized a $XX billion currency swap agreement with Argentina. The US is also directly purchasing Argentine pesos in an effort to revive Argentinas economy" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976363450352931229) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T19:05Z 1.1M followers, 688.8K engagements "BREAKING: Global debt jumped +$14 TRILLION in Q2 2025 to a record $XXXXX trillion. In the first half of 2025 world debt surged by a massive +$21 trillion a rise comparable to H2 2020 when pandemic responses drove an unprecedented spike in debt. The US China France Germany the UK and Japan recorded the largest increases in debt levels amid a weakening US Dollar. Emerging markets accounted for $XXX trillion of the increase in Q2 pushing their total debt to $XXX trillion an all-time high. The total Debt-to-GDP ratio now stands at 324%. The debt crisis hasgoneglobal" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976407070942560260) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T21:59Z 1.1M followers, 150.4K engagements "It's also worth noting that most of the tariff news is priced-in. The US effective tariff rate still stands at XXXX% the highest since 1935. Markets have known this for months now and the rally was technically overbought. We view today's Trump post as a "reason" to selloff" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976683412191592795) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 125K engagements "Meanwhile Fed rate cuts will resume as the labor market clearly deteriorates. Underemployment is at XXX% the highest since 2021. All while XX% of items in CPI inflation are now rising by at least 3%. As we continue to reiterate asset owners will continue to be rewarded" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976683414737838111) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 117K engagements "Current situation: X. Oil prices are below $59/barrel for the first time since May X. 10Y Note Yield is down XX basis points to XXXX% X. Natural gas prices are down -X% to new monthly lows X. Copper prices are down -X% in biggest drop since July X. The Fed is expected to cut rates X times in 2025 X. S&P XXX is still trading up over +32% in X months Is the trade war accomplishing all of Trump's goals at once" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976716863078858850) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T18:30Z 1.1M followers, 270.6K engagements "Rare earth stocks are skyrocketing: After President Trump's post about China attempting to impose rare earths controls the market shifted. Between a Ukraine deal and China one of President Trump's top strategic priorities is controlling rare earths. Currently XX% of rare earths in the US come from China. Could one of President Trump's next equity stakes be in a rare earths company" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976731710147440848) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T19:29Z 1.1M followers, 613.3K engagements "BREAKING: The Nasdaq XXX extends its decline to -XXX% on the day. Now on track for its biggest drop since April 10th" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976734892894339513) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T19:41Z 1.1M followers, 203.4K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says he has not cancelled his meeting with China's President Xi and he "might still" have the meeting. Just hours ago President Trump said he has "no reason" to meet with President Xi" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976773016894992596) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T22:13Z 1.1M followers, 689.7K engagements "BREAKING: Today's decline officially marks the largest single-day liquidation in crypto history. More than -$9 BILLION was liquidated over the last XX hours" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976809799523373187) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T00:39Z 1.1M followers, 6.9M engagements "The more you learn about the October 10th crypto liquidation the crazier it gets: First crypto began selling off at 9:30 AM ET well before the first tariff post at 10:57 AM ET. At this point many "whales" were already loading shorts in anticipation of a big drop. Then at 4:30 PM ET and 4:49 PM ET a "whale" purchased over $XX MILLION of shorts. Where it gets even more crazy is that longs were liquidated at a 7:1 ratio to shorts also historically high. This means that the vast majority (likely 80%+) of the XXX MILLION traders who were liquidated were levered long. The "whales" then promptly" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977137132151226515) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T22:20Z 1.1M followers, 942.7K engagements "In the April 2025 era of the trade war Sundays before futures opened were a crucial time. The next X hours have often come with statements from the Trump Admin. We would not be surprised to see one today. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977372148873196007) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T13:53Z 1.1M followers, 290.2K engagements "Key Events This Week: X. OPEC Monthly Report - Monday X. Fed Chair Powell Speaks - Tuesday X. NY Fed Manufacturing Index - Wednesday X. Philly Fed Manufacturing Index - Thursday X. NAHB Housing Market Index - Thursday X. XX% of S&P XXX Companies Report Earnings The data blackout on the US government shutdown continues" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977424835744497766) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T17:23Z 1.1M followers, 171.1K engagements "BREAKING: Bitcoin extends gains to +5% on the day and reclaims $115000. Ethereum is now up +11% on the day and is X% away from pre-liquidation levels seen on October 10th" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977498993539039415) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T22:17Z 1.1M followers, 245.3K engagements "The other question: why are central banks loading up on gold while calling for a "soft landing" The Fed is cutting rates into 3%+ inflation and global debt is skyrocketing. Global debt jumped +$14 TRILLION in Q2 2025 to a record $XXXXX trillion. Fiat is losing credibility" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977753890545095040) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 27.2K engagements "Meanwhile silver prices are skyrocketing too up another X% today alone. This puts silver up +68% in 2025 and above $50/oz for the first time since 1980. Silver and gold are more than quadrupling the S&P 500's return in a historic EQUITIES bull market. This is unprecedented" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977753892579352865) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 26.1K engagements "It now takes X Nvidia's to buy gold's market cap. Gold has added an average of $XXX billion PER MONTH for XX straight months. Never in history has any asset done anything remotely near this before" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977771058578248172) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T16:19Z 1.1M followers, 242.9K engagements "US job markets leading indicator is still deteriorating: The gap between Americans saying jobs are plentiful and hard to get fell to XXX% in September the lowest since 2021. This is the weakest reading in X years outside the 2020 pandemic spike. Historically this measure been a leading indicator of unemployment suggesting higher jobless claims ahead. According to Moodys there is no better predictor of changes in unemployment than this metric. The Fed will have no choice but to continue cutting rates" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977803837525065912) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T18:29Z 1.1M followers, 169.7K engagements "Risk appetite just broke another record: Total US options volume reached a record XXX million contracts on Friday. This beats Aprils Liberation Day high when trading activity surpassed XXX million for the first time. This comes as total call options volume hit XX million an all-time high. At the same time put options activity reached XX million contracts the 2nd-largest on record. To put this into perspective the 2021 meme stock mania record was XX million. Friday was a historic day" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978083641507844494) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T13:01Z 1.1M followers, 152.9K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump issues a statement about his "lengthy" phone call with President Putin. Trump says he will be meeting with Putin in Budapest to see if they can reach a deal to end the war between Russia and Ukraine" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978872380823830966) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T17:15Z 1.1M followers, 347.7K engagements "Active managers are underperforming in 2025: Just XXXX% of active funds have beaten the market YTD the worst performance in at least XX years. This is in sharp contrast to XXXX% and XXXX% seen in 2021 and 2022. This is also well below the average of 42%. By comparison the century high was XXXX% in 2000 when the Dot-Com bubble popped. The most common reason for underperformance especially in the large-cap category is a reluctance to hold tech stocks. Active fundsmissed this rally" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978941772895261037) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T21:51Z 1.1M followers, 235.6K engagements "Exactly X week ago President Trump said there was "no reason" to meet with Xi anymore. Today the meeting is back on and high tariffs will not remain. The market's rollercoaster ride continues. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979150134668616076) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T11:38Z 1.1M followers, 74.2K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump calls his XXX% tariff on China "not sustainable." "We have to have a fair deal" Trump says" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979157236166332891) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T12:07Z 1.1M followers, 833.4K engagements "Meanwhile investors are searching for any source of yield to protect their spending power. As the Fed cuts rates into stagflation and US deficit spending exceeds $XXX BILLION in some months the US Dollar is declining. We believe nominal asset prices must rise as a result" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979196818853405084) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 12.4K engagements "BREAKING: The US Government is now on track to shut down for more than XX days the longest shut down in history. This means the current shutdown is expected to last X TIMES longer than average" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979257251631149221) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T18:44Z 1.1M followers, 377.1K engagements "Buy-the-dip activity is incredibly strong: Investors bought +$3.9 billion in US equities last week following X straight weeks of selling according to BofA. Net inflows to single stocks hit +$4.1 billion the 5th highest since 2008 and the largest on record for a week when the S&P XXX fell at least -1%. This was driven by institutional inflows of +$4.4 billion the most since November 2022. Retail investors bought +$1.1 billion marking their 2nd weekly purchase out of the last X. Meanwhile hedge funds sold -$1.6 billion posting their 5th consecutive weekly sale. Investors are eager to buy dips" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979684370748448797) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-18T23:01Z 1.1M followers, 118.6K engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
@KobeissiLetter
"Key Economic Data Suspended During Govt Shutdown: X. Jobless claims (Labor Deptartment) X. Nonfarm payrolls (BLS) X. Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index (BLS) X. Retail sales factory orders housing starts trade data (Census/BEA) X. Employment Trends Index (Conference Board) X. GDP data (BEA) X. New home sales and construction permits (Census Bureau) X. Export and import trade data (Census/Commerce) The next Fed meeting is X weeks away and we are entering a data freeze. Historically the Fed shifts MORE dovish on average during a US government shutdown"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-01T13:05Z 1.1M followers, 131.4K engagements
"History unfolding in one chart: The US Dollar to Gold ratio is falling off of a cliff"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-03T16:08Z 1.1M followers, 906.8K engagements
"The time has come: On Wednesday the Fed will cut rates for the first time in 2025 and "blame" a weak labor market. This will be just the 3rd year since 1996 with Fed rate cuts while the S&P XXX is at record highs. What happens next Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-13T14:36Z 1.1M followers, 2.8M engagements
"What is happening in Argentina In XX hours Argentina's stock market COLLAPSED -XX% with the Argentine Peso now down -XX% in XX years. Today the Trump Administration offered a "lifeline" to Argentina sending stocks surging +8%. Can Argentina be saved (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-22T14:50Z 1.1M followers, 1.2M engagements
"Pharmaceuticals are next: It began with large cap technology companies announcing $600+ billion investments in the US to avoid tariffs. Now President Trump is explicitly stating that pharmaceutical companies who are not "building their manufacturing plants in America" will face XXX% tariffs. Over the next 48-72 hours we expect to see widespread announcements of new pharmaceutical plants coming to the US. Trump wants more US investment"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-26T00:24Z 1.1M followers, 288.9K engagements
"BREAKING: Trilogy Metals stock $TMQ surges over +210% after the US government announces it will be taking a XX% stake in the company. The US government's portfolio is rapidly expanding"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T21:43Z 1.1M followers, 576.9K engagements
"This is BEYOND insane: AI compute demand is now growing at over X TIMES the rate of Moores Law creating a massive shortage. Just to meet current demand $XXX billion must be invested in data centers PER YEAR until 2030. What does this mean Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 2.6M engagements
"BREAKING: Total amount of gold owned by US ETFs linked to physical gold is up to a record $XXX billion. Holdings have DOUBLED over the last few years driven by massive investor inflows and a rise in gold prices. Before the 2020 pandemic gold holdings were XXX times less at $XX billion. US ETFs linked to physical gold attracted a record $XX billion in net inflows in September alone. Meanwhile the total assets under management in global gold ETFs rose +23% QoQ in Q3 2025 reaching a record $XXX billion. Investors are piling into gold funds like neverbefore"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T13:06Z 1.1M followers, 166K engagements
"BREAKING: The S&P XXX closes down -XXX% and posts its largest daily decline since April 10th as President Trump prepares "massive" tariffs on China. The S&P XXX erased -$1.5 TRILLION in market cap today"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T20:00Z 1.1M followers, 337.5K engagements
"The main culprit of this appears to be a combination of excessive leverage and risk. If you take a look at the breakdown of liquidations it was heavily skewed towards longs. $XXXX billion in longs were liquidated compared to $XXX billion in shorts. That's a 6.7:1 ratio"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 120K engagements
"This was an unprecedented liquidation event: Amid the crypto crash yesterday $XRP erased a whopping -XX% of its market cap in XX MINUTES. At 4:50 PM ET $XRP was worth $XXX billion. By 5:20 PM ET $XRP was worth $XX billion. What happened to XRP"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T16:59Z 1.1M followers, 545K engagements
"The crypto collapse: At 9:30 AM ET yesterday crypto's market cap hit $XXX TRILLION near a record. By 5:20 PM ET crypto's market cap hit $XXX trillion down -$800 BILLION. That's -$100 billion PER HOUR for X hours straight. Liquidation is an understatement"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T20:34Z 1.1M followers, 302.9K engagements
"BREAKING: China says new export controls on rare earths are NOT a ban on exports and applications that "meet regulations" will be approved. China says they are willing to strengthen dialogue to "better maintain stability of global industrial and supply chains." Are we back"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T03:56Z 1.1M followers, 583.7K engagements
"@ol_bowman The market has evolved to its most reactionary form in history. Any headline or post at any time can drive trillions of dollars of market cap. Position (and hedge) accordingly"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T13:56Z 1.1M followers, 70.2K engagements
"BREAKING: Ethereum extends gains to +5% on the day and reclaims $4000/oz. Just like that risk appetite is back"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T15:13Z 1.1M followers, 309.8K engagements
"BREAKING: Vice President JD Vance continues de-escalation with China following Chinas clarifying statement last night. VP Vance says: X. We appreciate the friendship between Trump and Xi X. President Trump hopes the US wont need to use leverage on China X. President Trump is willing to be reasonable negotiator with China Is a Trump-Xi meeting announcement coming next"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T15:20Z 1.1M followers, 611K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says dont worry about China it will be all fine. Trump says Chinas President Xi just had a bad moment. There it is the Sunday pre-futures open post weve been waiting for"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T16:51Z 1.1M followers, 1.6M engagements
"Financial markets are evolving: The -$19.5 billion crypto liquidation and -$2.5 trillion equity market crash on October 10th have highlighted a crucial point. Markets in 2025 have evolved to their most reactionary form in history. When you couple this with record levels of leverage a FOMO-inducing market and heavy participation by algorithmic traders it becomes violent. Headlines and posts are now able to move trillions of dollars of market cap in a matter of minutes. In our view there has never been a more exciting time to be an investor than now. And the ability to remain objective and"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T19:22Z 1.1M followers, 243.1K engagements
"BREAKING: US stock market futures open sharply higher as investors react to US-China de-escalation this weekend: X. Dow: +0.9% X. S&P 500: +1.1% X. Nasdaq 100: +1.4% We continue to look for a trade deal before November 1st"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T22:02Z 1.1M followers, 355.4K engagements
"Step #8 of our tariff trading "playbook" has arrived down to the hour perfectly on time:"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T12:15Z 1.1M followers, 29.6K engagements
"BREAKING: US stocks extend gains with the S&P XXX now up over +1.5% on the day adding +$850 billion of market cap. The S&P XXX is now on track for its biggest daily gain since May 27th"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T14:07Z 1.1M followers, 213.3K engagements
"Gold's record run is just the tip of the iceberg in the global currency crisis. The backdrop is shifting and stocks commodities bonds and crypto are investable. Want to receive our premium analysis Subscribe to access our premium analysis below:"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 75.1K engagements
"What is happening in the silver market Silver lease rates the cost to borrow London silver overnight have spiked above XXX% annualized hitting an all-time high. This even surpasses the surge seen during the 1980s silver short squeeze when prices reached $52.50/oz. At the same time the 1-month lease rate jumped to a XX% annualized rate the highest in at least X years. The squeeze has been driven by increased investor purchases a sharply reduced supply of bars available to trade and a sudden spike in demand from India. Meanwhile benchmark London silver prices have surged to a record $X premium"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T20:56Z 1.1M followers, 444.1K engagements
"BREAKING: China confirms working level talks with the US regarding tariffs and export controls. Step #9 is on the way"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T01:19Z 1.1M followers, 364K engagements
"BREAKING: The S&P XXX extends losses to -XXX% on the day as investors react to bank earnings and ongoing trade tensions"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T13:46Z 1.1M followers, 136.5K engagements
"BREAKING: Binance announces that they will distribute $XXX million to users who were liquidated during the October 10th market crash"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T15:42Z 1.1M followers, 608.2K engagements
"The buy-the-dip strategy has rarely ever been so strong: In 2025 the S&P XXX has averaged +2.3% one-week following a 1-day drop of at least -X% the strongest performance since 2019. Outside of 2019 this marks the best year since 1983. This is also only the 3rd year with a return above +2.0% over the last XX years. Since 2008 there have been only X years when this strategy was unprofitable 2022 and 2023. Volatility remains a traders bestopportunity"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T18:09Z 1.1M followers, 136.4K engagements
"The stock market just erased -$450 billion in X minutes because President Trump threatened to start producing cooking oil in the US"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T19:53Z 1.1M followers, 1.8M engagements
"Shocking stat of the day: Working Americans now allocate an average of $2358 per year into the Magnificent X stocks. This comes as XX% of 401(k) contributions totaling $8580 are going into equities according to Apollo. Meanwhile the Magnificent X account for almost XX% of the S&P XXX. This means roughly XX% of 401(k) assets flow directly into these stocks. This represents passive capital moving into the Magnificent X regardless of outlook. Big tech will keep getting bigger"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T01:14Z 1.1M followers, 248.3K engagements
"The S&P XXX is now XXX% away from hitting a new record high. The October 10th drop has been almost entirely erased over the last XX hours. Ignore the noise and this market becomes highly profitable"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T14:21Z 1.1M followers, 122.3K engagements
"Crypto adoption has barely started: The market cap of crypto just exceeded a record $X trillion. Yet XX% of investors have ZERO exposure to crypto right now. We are still early"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T15:03Z 1.1M followers, 312.5K engagements
"Gold is going mainstream: XX% of global fund managers say Long Gold is the most crowded trade according to a BofA survey of XXX participants with $XXX billion in assets. Gold has reclaimed the lead after X consecutive months where Long Magnificent X topped the list. Interestingly Short US Dollar has fallen 2-straight months from XX% to 8%. Meanwhile XX% of professional investors from the survey do not own any gold in their portfolios. The average investor's allocation to gold is just XXX% near an all-time low. Is Wall Street set to join the gold rally"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T18:08Z 1.1M followers, 186.1K engagements
"Stock market concentration is hitting another record: The top XX US companies now reflect a record XX% of global stock market capitalization. The percentage has DOUBLED over the last X years. For context at the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak this metric was at XX% or X percentage points lower. Meanwhile the top X US firms make up a record XX% of global equity value also the highest in history. This now DOUBLES the 2000 peak. A handful of stocks are driving theglobalmarket"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T19:15Z 1.1M followers, 137.2K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump is considering sending National Guard troops to San Francisco as a part of his "crime crackdown.""
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T20:05Z 1.1M followers, 121.9K engagements
"The government shutdown is impacting Americans spending plans: XX% of Americans are delaying major purchases like homes or cars due to the government shutdown. X% have cancelled major plans entirely according to a Redfin survey. Many are canceling or delaying large purchases because they are federal government employees or contractors. Meanwhile over XX% of Americans are delaying or canceling a major purchase due to concerns about job security. At the same time XX% of workers are more worried about their job security than at the start of the year. Americans are concerned about the shutdown"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T23:26Z 1.1M followers, 142.2K engagements
"BREAKING: Bank of America raises its gold target to $5000/oz and cites "stagflation risks" as the driver"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T11:44Z 1.1M followers, 353.6K engagements
"BREAKING: Demand for the Feds Reverse Repo (RRP) facility has fallen to $XXX billion the lowest since April 2021. RRP usage one of the financial systems key excess liquidity metrics has declined -$2.5 trillion since its December 2022 peak. Meanwhile bank reserves at the Fed dropped below $XXX trillion a level that many Fed officials consider the red line between abundant and scarce reserves. Such a low level can strain the financial system making it harder for banks to lend money and can cause spikes in market volatility or even bank failures. As a result Fed Chair Powell just said that the"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T13:14Z 1.1M followers, 301.7K engagements
"BREAKING: Gold futures cross above $4300/oz for the first time in history now up over +60% in 2025. Gold just became the first asset in history to hit $XX TRILLION in market cap. It now takes X Nvidia's to buy gold's market cap"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T16:22Z 1.1M followers, 566.4K engagements
"Hedge fund equity sales are accelerating: Investors sold -$3.0 billion of US equities last week marking the 4th consecutive weekly sale. Hedge funds dumped -$2.1 billion posting their 4th consecutive weekly outflow. This brought their 4-week average to -$2.1 billion the largest on record dating back to 2008. Institutional investors sold -$400 million down from -$3.6 billion the prior week. Meanwhile retail investors saw a -$500 million outflow bringing the 4-week average to -$400 million. Hedge funds are cashing in gains"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T16:59Z 1.1M followers, 129.3K engagements
"@Stackedd123 Much appreciated"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T11:40Z 1.1M followers, 7781 engagements
"The hallmark of any bull market: Pullbacks become oversold quickly and upswings become overbought slowly. That's exactly what we are seeing in stocks gold and crypto now"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T12:43Z 1.1M followers, 252.4K engagements
"Margin debt is SKYROCKETING: In September 2025 US investors took on another +$67 billion in margin debt bringing the total to a record $XXXX TRILLION. Meanwhile X TIMES levered ETFs have just been proposed to the SEC. What does it all mean Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 838.6K engagements
"A clear instance of this occurred in crypto on October 10th. Crypto saw its largest liquidation event in history with XXX million traders liquidated in XX hours. Over $XX billion worth of leveraged crypto positions were liquidated in XX hours X times the previous record"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 15K engagements
"BREAKING: US ETF inflows have crossed above +$1.0 trillion in 2025 the highest YTD total in history. Inflows are now running 3.5x above the usual seasonal average every month. Flows are now on track to exceed +$1.25 trillion in 2025 for the first time. By comparison the full-year record in 2024 was +$1.1 trillion. Meanwhile over XXX new ETFs have launched this year already surpassing the 2024 record. The ETF boom is accelerating"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T15:56Z 1.1M followers, 156.4K engagements
"BREAKING: Total crypto liquidations have now hit -$1.2 billion over the last XX hours. Bitcoin alone has seen nearly -$500 million of liquidations today"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T16:43Z 1.1M followers, 306.5K engagements
"US Regional Bank Stocks Today: X. NY Community Bank $NYCB: -XX% X. Valley National Bank $VLY: - X% X. HarborOne $HONE: -X% X. HomeStreet $HMST: -X% X. Zions Bank $ZION: -X% X. Comerica Bank $CMA: -X% X. Metropolitan Bank $MCB: -X% X. Citizens Financial $CFG: -X% X. Western Alliance $WAL: -X% This comes after New York Community bank which acquired the collapsed Signature Bank cut their dividend by 70%. They also posted a quarterly LOSS of $XXX million while a $XXX million GAIN was expected. Did regional banks ever really recover"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2024-01-31T17:17Z 1.1M followers, 465.8K engagements
"US Regional Bank Stocks X Month Into 2024: X. NY Community Bank $NYCB: -XX% X. Valley National Bank $VLY: -XX% X. Metropolitan Bank $MCB: -XX% X. HarborOne $HONE: -XX% X. Comerica Bank $CMA: -XX% X. Zions Bank $ZION: -XX% X. Western Alliance $WAL: -XX% X. Citizens Financial $CFG: -X% X. KeyCorp $KEY: -X% Regional bank worries resurfaced as New York Community bank which acquired the collapsed Signature Bank cut their dividend by 70%. These are the same banks that hold nearly XX% of commercial real estate loans. Just XX months ago the regional bank crisis "ended.""
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2024-02-06T21:37Z 1.1M followers, 854.6K engagements
"US Regional Bank Stocks YTD: X. NY Community Bank $NYCB: -XX% X. Valley National Bank $VLY: -XX% X. Metropolitan Bank $MCB: -XX% X. HarborOne $HONE: -XX% X. Zions Bank $ZION: -XX% X. Western Alliance $WAL: -XX% X. Comerica Bank $CMA: -XX% X. Citizens Financial $CFG: -X% X. US Bank $USB: -X% This comes after New York Community bank which acquired the collapsed Signature Bank cut their dividend by 70%. They also posted a quarterly LOSS of $XXX million while a $XXX million GAIN was expected. Then NYCB announced a "material weakness in internal controls." Did regional banks ever really recover"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2024-03-02T15:21Z 1.1M followers, 385.7K engagements
"Today the White House said President Trump believes Apple can produce iPhones entirely in the US. How much would this cost According to Forbes it would cost $30000-$100000 to solely manufacture an iPhone in the US"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-04-08T18:56Z 1.1M followers, 688.9K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says "something has happened" to Putin and that "he has gone absolutely crazy." He also says "everything out of Zelensky's mouth causes problems" and that "it better stop.""
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-05-26T00:49Z 1.1M followers, 927.1K engagements
"This is incredible: The difference between Microsoft's 30Y bond yield $MSFT and the US 30Y Treasury yield is just XX basis points the lowest on record. The extra yield that investors demand to own Microsofts 30Y bond over 30Y US Treasuries is now down -XXX bps since 2020. This comes as the 30-year Treasury yield has risen by XXX bps over the last X years. Microsoft is now on track to have a lower credit risk than the US by as soon as next year. Meanwhile the 10-year annualized return in 15Y+ Treasuries dropped to -XXX% the lowest in history. Deficit spending is crushing the US bond market"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-05-28T16:01Z 1.1M followers, 128.1K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump accuses Nancy Pelosi of insider trading"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-09T23:34Z 1.1M followers, 786.5K engagements
"BREAKING: The US Labor Department's internal watchdog is launching a probe into the BLS to review the "challenges" that they are facing in data collection. This comes just XX hours after US jobs data was revised down by -911000 jobs the largest revision in history"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-10T14:59Z 1.1M followers, 150.4K engagements
"BREAKING: Intel stock $INTC surges over +30% after Nvidia announces a $X billion investment in the company. The investment will be used to jointly develop custom data centers and personal computing products"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-18T11:41Z 1.1M followers, 498.3K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump posts a picture of himself firing Fed Chair Powell"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-27T20:39Z 1.1M followers, 623K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump commits to spending over $X trillion on the military in 2026"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-30T13:57Z 1.1M followers, 408.4K engagements
"BREAKING: Nvidia stock $NVDA breaks above $XXXXXX and becomes the world's first $XXX trillion company. Nvidia has now added $XXX TRILLION of market cap since its April 2025 low"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-02T13:33Z 1.1M followers, 370.7K engagements
"Layoffs are running historically high: US job cut announcements fell -XX% YoY in September to 54064 marking just the 3rd month this year with a YoY decline in cuts. In Q3 planned layoffs rose +16% YoY to 202118 the highest Q3 since the 2020 pandemic. Year-to-date US employers have announced 946426 job cuts the highest total since 2020. This is also the 5th-highest reading over the last XX years of Challenger Gray & Christmas data. The government sector has led the increase with 299755 job cuts in 2025 including 289363 Federal workers. Technology and retail have followed with 107878 and 86233"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-03T19:53Z 1.1M followers, 110.4K engagements
"Shocking stat of the day: US federal government jobs are estimated to drop by roughly -100000 in September and October. This comes as 100000 workers out of the 154000 who took the voluntary deferred resignation deal last spring came off the payrolls on September 30th. This data will be reflected in the October jobs report reported on November 7th It will bring the total number of federal workers down to XXXX million the lowest since 2019. As a result federal government jobs would fall to just XXXX% of total nonfarm payrolls the lowest percentage in records going back to 1939. Federal job"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T19:57Z 1.1M followers, 151.6K engagements
"You cant make this up: On May 23rd President Trump threatened Apple $AAPL and Samsung with a XX% tariff on phones not made in the USA. This was the first Trump tariff in 2025 to target individual companies. Today exactly XX days later the Trump Organization announced Trump Mobile. Trump Mobile will be using phones made in the USA. Truly incredible"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-06-16T12:16Z 1.1M followers, 469.5K engagements
"The global silver shortage: The price gap between New York silver futures and London spot prices widened to $XXXX per ounce. The last time silver experienced such a disconnect was in March when fears of US tariffs on silver pushed prices higher. At the same time lease rates the short-term borrowing cost of silver jumped to XXX% far above the usual near-zero level signaling a tightening market. According to TD Securities silver supplies are dangerously low and the amount of freely available silver in London is at its lowest level on record. As a result silver prices have surged +5% over the"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-07-15T16:45Z 1.1M followers, 179.8K engagements
"Key Events This Week: X. CB Consumer Confidence data - Tuesday X. June JOLTs Job Opening data - Tuesday X. Q2 2025 GDP data - Wednesday X. Fed Meeting and Interest Rate Decision - Wednesday X. June PCE Inflation data - Thursday X. July Jobs Report - Friday We have a massive week ahead of us"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-07-27T11:25Z 1.1M followers, 160.1K engagements
"BREAKING: Switzerlands Post Office is suspending shipments of US goods beginning tomorrow August 26th due to tariffs"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-25T12:16Z 1.1M followers, 2.6M engagements
"The AI Revolution is so massive that electricity prices are moving in a literal straight line higher. Energy is the new limiting factor to AI growth"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-01T03:10Z 1.1M followers, 764.5K engagements
"The UK's bond market is collapsing: Today the yield on a 30Y Bond in the UK rose to XXXX% its highest level since 1998. Yields in the UK are now XX TIMES higher than they were at the 2020 low just X years ago. What is happening Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-01T15:06Z 1.1M followers, 4.7M engagements
"BREAKING: Global meat prices officially hit an all-time high in August now up another +10% in 2025. This comes the US cattle herd is at its smallest in decades while Brazil a top exporter is also seeing herd numbers shrink. Rising dairy prices are also limiting supply as fewer cattle are being sent to slaughter according to the FAO. Additionally strong US demand lifted Australian beef prices due to tariffs while Chinese imports from Brazil grew. Meanwhile in the UK beef and veal prices are up nearly +25% YoY. Food inflation is still here"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-07T14:54Z 1.1M followers, 354K engagements
"This is unprecedented: Software and technology investment's contribution to US Real GDP growth surpassed X percentage point for the first time in history. Contribution has DOUBLED over the last several quarters. It has also exceeded the previous peak reached during the Dot-Com Bubble in 1998. However after the bubble popped software and technology businesses were the biggest drag on GDP during the 2001 recession. Deutsche Bank estimates that without technology spending the US economy would have been close to or in a recession. The AI boom is driving economicgrowth"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-26T22:59Z 1.1M followers, 123.8K engagements
"Is the US Dollar set for a rebound The Bloomberg US Economic Surprise Index turned positive this week for the first time since February. The index measures whether economic data comes in above or below consensus estimates. This comes as Q2 2025 GDP growth initial jobless claims and personal spending data all surprised to the upside. Historically when the Economic Surprise Index rises and stays positive the US Dollar tends to strengthen. Meanwhile speculative USD short positions by asset managers and leveraged funds have hit their highest level since early 2021. Is a US Dollar short squeeze"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-27T14:19Z 1.1M followers, 197.8K engagements
"This gold run is absolutely insane: Gold just made its 38th all time high of 2025 with gold futures now up +43% year-to-date. This puts on gold on track for its best year since 1979 as the Fed cuts rates into 3%+ inflation. Gold knows what's coming next"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-29T02:50Z 1.1M followers, 866.2K engagements
"BREAKING: Netflix stock $NFLX extends its 5-day decline to -X% as @elonmusk urges users to "cancel Netflix." The stock has now erased nearly -$30 billion in market cap since widespread cancellations began on X"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-02T15:53Z 1.1M followers, 181.4K engagements
"BREAKING: The White House announces that the US Treasury will be producing $X coins with President Trump's face"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-03T17:52Z 1.1M followers, 5.3M engagements
"You can't make this up: On October 2nd users on X began noting unusual options activity in AMD $AMD. Over $X million worth of long-dated calls were purchased and flows into AMD stock were strong. One user explicitly said they "bet AMD just signed a multi-billion dollar deal to support GPUs to OpenAI." X days later AMD announces a deal with OpenAI that will generate "tens of billions in new revenues." Being on X is literally alpha for investors"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T12:58Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements
"This has never happened before: The Volatility Index $VIX has risen +1.36 points over X consecutive days. Over the same time period the S&P XXX has gained +1.09% also advancing for X days straight. Since the creation of the $VIX in 1990 both measures have never recorded such a streak according to Goldman Sachs. The closest were 4-day streaks of the $VIX rising alongside the S&P XXX in 1995 and 1996. This comes as total call option volume has surpassed XX million contracts a day on average over the last XX trading sessions for the first time. Why is volatility rising with equity prices like"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T18:33Z 1.1M followers, 306.5K engagements
"BREAKING: Gold's MONTHLY RSI hits XXXX marking its most "overbought" level on record. Not even 2001 2008 or 2020 saw a reading of 90+"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T15:36Z 1.1M followers, 557.8K engagements
"The US Government: X. Borrows over $X trillion per year X. Is currently shut down for the 11th time X. Printed $X trillion during the pandemic X. Spurred a -XX% loss in the USD in X years X. Spends close to $X trillion PER YEAR At what point do we fix the system"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T18:49Z 1.1M followers, 386.1K engagements
"Absolutely insane: At 10:57 AM ET President Trumped published a massive paragraph about China saying a "massive increase" in tariffs is coming. By 11:00 AM ET X minutes later the S&P XXX the S&P XXX had already erased -$700 BILLION of market cap. Is the trade war back"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T15:05Z 1.1M followers, 2.1M engagements
"BREAKING: The S&P XXX extends losses to over -XXX points in XX minutes following President Trumps statement on China"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T15:25Z 1.1M followers, 236.4K engagements
"The blatant reality: Heading into President Trump's XXX% China tariff announcement markets were LOOKING for a catalyst to pull back on. Leverage was through the roof and we had not seen a 2%+ decline in the S&P XXX for X months. President Trump's post became THE REASON to sell off in what remains a broader uptrend. The fact that a record near -$20 BILLION was liquidated in crypto in XX hours is clear evidence leverage was through the roof. Fear and Greed are the most powerful emotions in the market; the scale had tipped too far in the direction of the latter. Still ignore the noise and follow"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T02:06Z 1.1M followers, 418.2K engagements
"But why did this happen To better understand take a look at the timeline below: At 9:50 AM ET crypto began selling off before the 10:57 AM ET Trump tariff post. At 4:30 PM ET a large "whale" took shorts in crypto. At 4:50 PM ET Trump announced a XXX% tariff on China"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 167.8K engagements
"The first question becomes how did this large "whale" time the drop so perfectly By 5:20 PM ET XX minutes after Trump's tariff announcement liquidations hit -$19.5 billion. The shorts were closed promptly after the drop for +$192M in profit. But there's more"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 133.1K engagements
"So what's next We believe this crash was due to the combination of multiple sudden technical factors. It does NOT have long-term fundamental implications. A technical correction was overdue we think a trade deal will be reached and crypto remains strong. We are bullish"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 107.8K engagements
"This is unusual: XX minutes before President Trump's tariff announcement yesterday a "whale" took a multi-million dollar SHORT in Bitcoin. X hour later crypto saw its largest ever liquidation and this position was liquidated for +$192 MILLION in profit. Did someone know"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T14:54Z 1.1M followers, 2.8M engagements
"The plot thickens: A "whale" on HyperLiquid placed over $XX MILLION of shorts at 4:49 PM ET yesterday per Coffeezilla. Exactly X MINUTE later President Trump announced XXX% tariffs on China leading to the largest liquidation in crypto history. Is this the best crypto trade of the year"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T21:12Z 1.1M followers, 730.1K engagements
"The shift in positioning on Friday was a wake up call for levered investors. Outsized risk is dangerous in this environment. See a full breakdown of what happened and what we believe is coming next below. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T00:17Z 1.1M followers, 174.3K engagements
"Binance Coin $BNB the world's 4th largest cryptocurrency is now UP +10% on the day. It is now ABOVE the October 10th 4:00 PM ET high seen before the massive crypto liquidation. The worst part This was all driven by the "whales" who shorted ahead of the liquidation and an apparent misunderstanding between China and the US. Truly unfortunate"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T14:26Z 1.1M followers, 368.1K engagements
"Meanwhile the market will react to the US-China trade developments this weekend. We just published our trades for premium members. Since 2020 our calls are up over +370%. Subscribe below to see how we are positioned into the week:"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T17:23Z 1.1M followers, 63.5K engagements
"BREAKING: Ethereum extends gains to over +11% on the day now up +20% from its Friday low. Dip buyers are in full swing after a -$19.5 billion record liquidation. The equity futures market open is going to be big"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T17:32Z 1.1M followers, 671.9K engagements
"We've spent the last XX months analyzing EVERY single tariff development: Here's the EXACT playbook for investors. X. Trump puts out cryptic post on tariffs coming for a specific country or sector markets drift lower X. Trump announces large tariff rate (50%+) and markets crash to shake out weak positions X. Dip buyers step in but the head fake rally leads to fresh lows where smart money begins buying X. After the market closes on Friday President Trump doubles down on new tariffs to apply pressure X. On Saturday the target of the new tariff typically responds or comments X. On Sunday before"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T18:06Z 1.1M followers, 3.3M engagements
"Our investment strategy revolves are OBJECTIVE analysis; fundamental and technical. Combine this with risk management and a dynamic approach and this market is HIGHLY profitable. Volatility is opportunity. Subscribe to access our premium analysis:"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T18:11Z 1.1M followers, 143.6K engagements
"S&P XXX futures are now up +130 points from their post-market low on Friday. Gold is above $4100 for the first time ever and oil prices are back to $XX. Friday's move lower is largely being undone. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T12:49Z 1.1M followers, 60.5K engagements
"Absolute insanity: Gold has now officially added +$10 TRILLION of market cap in XX months up a massive +55%. Over the last XX hours gold has rallied on EVERY headline even as the S&P XXX erased -$2.5 trillion in X hours. What's next Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 2.1M engagements
"There it is: Gold has officially posted its highest monthly RSI reading in HISTORY at XXXX. Gold has only seen X red months since March 2024. In retrospect it will be so obvious what this all means"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T23:16Z 1.1M followers, 617.1K engagements
"The trillion dollar question: How will we generate enough energy to power all of these AI deals The US Department of Energy says US data centers will use 325000580000 GWh of power per year by 2028. Thats equivalent to the power used by XX million homes all on JUST data centers. Currently nuclear power is viewed as the only solution to the impending power shortage. The average nuclear produces power plant can produce 8000 GWh per year. In other words we would need XX plants new to power 580000 GWh data centers. However here is the problem: The US has added X nuclear reactors since 1995 and it"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T11:49Z 1.1M followers, 719.3K engagements
"BREAKING: Global gold ETFs attracted +$2.1 billion in net inflows last week marking their 7th consecutive weekly inflow. This follows the record +$5.3 billion posted in the prior week. Year-to-date gold ETFs have seen +$68 billion in net inflows the highest for any year on record. This equals XXX tonnes the 2nd highest yearly total only behind XXX tonnes posted in 2020. As a result AUM in global gold ETFs hit a record $XXX billion last week doubling since July 2024. Demand for gold has neverbeenstronger"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T17:24Z 1.1M followers, 145.3K engagements
"The big question: What are gold and silver really telling us Gold and silver are now up more than X TIMES the S&P XXX in 2025 during one of the S&P 500's strongest bull runs ever. That is gold and silver are massively outperforming risky assets during a bull run in those same risky assets. When safe havens are rallying with risky assets it tells you one thing: confidence in fiat currencies is eroding. And while deficit spending and rate cuts into stagflation are major drivers of this sentiment shift we believe there is more to it. The market is pricing in record levels of AI CapEx and what"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T02:55Z 1.1M followers, 537K engagements
"AI debt is taking over the corporate bond market: AI-related firms now reflect a record XX% of the Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index. The percentage has increased by XXX points since 2020 according to JPMorgan. This surpasses the banking sector's weight of XXXX% which held the largest share historically. This comes as AI universe debt has grown +$400 billion to a record $XXX trillion during this period. AI is reshaping capitalmarkets"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T21:35Z 1.1M followers, 125.3K engagements
"BREAKING: Stock market losses accelerate with the Russell 2000 now down over -X% on the day as regional bank stocks fall"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T18:25Z 1.1M followers, 167.3K engagements
"A textbook sign of a bull market: Pullbacks become oversold quickly and upswings grind higher. The same can be said with rapid shift and polarization of sentiment amid the current bull run. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T21:13Z 1.1M followers, 88.5K engagements
"Americans are drowning in credit card debt: US household credit card debt hit a record $XXXX trillion in August. The combined average credit card balance across all age groups is now at whopping $10668 PER household. States with the largest average debts in Q2 2025 were Hawaii at $15100 California at $13800 and Alaska at $13600. Other high-debt states include New York at $12900 Texas at $12800 and Florida at $12600. Credit card debtcontinues to skyrocket"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T23:28Z 1.1M followers, 583.1K engagements
"BREAKING: The Dow erases a -XXX point drop and turns positive as President Trump says no when asked if high tariffs will remain on China"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T12:09Z 1.1M followers, 165.3K engagements
"That said while there is a risk-on mania we do NOT think the top is near. Why not If you take a look at a lot of the large tech names fueling this rally they are getting CHEAPER as they go up. The forward EV/EBIT multiple on Nvidia has fallen to XXXX the same as Walmart"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 36.3K engagements
"Another day another record: US technology stocks now reflect a record XX% of total US stock market cap. This percentage has DOUBLED since 2020. For context this percentage peaked at XX% during 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. Meanwhile global tech stocks ex-US make up XX% of the global market ex-US. This percentage is still below the 2021 and 2000 highs. US tech is absolutely massive"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T19:25Z 1.1M followers, 200.1K engagements
"BREAKING: Total US public debt has hit record $XXXX TRILLION. This marks a +$400 BILLION jump this month or +$25 billion per day. Federal debt has now surged +$1.7 TRILLION since the debt ceiling was raised in July rising over +$425 billion every month. At the current pace total debt would hit a record $XX trillion by as soon as 2026. As a result the Debt-to-GDP ratio now stands at XXX% the highest since 2021 and near the 2020 record. The US debt crisis has reached unprecedentedlevels"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-18T13:29Z 1.1M followers, 542.8K engagements
"BREAKING: Donald Trump's memecoin $TRUMP now has a record 781223 wallets holding the coin. There are currently X wallets worth over $XXX million. Trump's stake is worth a whopping $XXXX billion"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-01-19T19:32Z 1.1M followers, 332.1K engagements
"WOW. The SEC just said that meme coins are generally NOT considered securities under US federal law. They also said that meme coins have "limited or no use" and do not need to be registered with the SEC. This is a MASSIVE statement by the SEC"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-02-27T21:29Z 1.1M followers, 774.5K engagements
"What just happened At 10:10 AM ET rumors emerged that the White House was considering a "90-day tariff pause." At 10:15 AM ET CNBC reported that Trump is considering a 90-day pause on tariffs for ALL countries except for China. By 10:18 AM ET the S&P XXX had added over +$3 TRILLION in market cap from its low. At 10:25 AM ET reports emerged that the White House was "unaware" of Trump considering a 90-day pause. At 10:26 AM ET CNBC reports that the 90-day tariff pause headlines were incorrect. At 10:34 AM ET the White House officially called the tariff pause headlines "fake news." By 10:40 AM"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-04-07T14:59Z 1.1M followers, 1.8M engagements
"BREAKING: Michael Burry has sold every stock in his portfolio except for a new position in Estee Lauder $EL"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-05-15T20:40Z 1.1M followers, 1.8M engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump just now: I like Tesla. $TSLA"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-06-12T15:54Z 1.1M followers, 383.8K engagements
"This is wild: We now have a President who is actively calling for interest rates to be cut to as low as 1%. And he is actively stating that he will be replacing Fed Chair Powell with someone who will immediately cut rates. Meanwhile stocks are at all time highs real estate prices are at all time highs US debt is at all time highs and crypto is at all time highs. If the new Fed Chair actually cuts rates to X% we are going to witness perhaps one of the biggest runs of all time in stocks and real estate. There has never been a time in history where the Fed cut rates to X% with the stock market"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-06-30T14:17Z 1.1M followers, 1.7M engagements
"BREAKING: Meta stock $META surges over +9% after posting stronger than expected Q2 2025 earnings results"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-07-30T20:10Z 1.1M followers, 363.3K engagements
"This has been one of the best earnings seasons in years: XX% of the S&P XXX companies have beat earnings expectations by at least X standard deviation the highest percentage in X years. Excluding the post-pandemic recovery this marks the best quarter in at least XX years. By comparison the long-term average has been 48%. At the same time just XX% of firms have missed estimates by at least X standard deviation the lowest share in a year and below the long-term average of 13%. Earnings momentum is exceptionally strong"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-07T13:56Z 1.1M followers, 387.5K engagements
"This is unprecedented: Core CPI inflation is back above +3% and PPI inflation is at its hottest since March 2022. Meanwhile President Trump is calling for a XXX BASIS POINT rate cut and is set to replace Fed Chair Powell. Are you ready for what's next (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-14T13:57Z 1.1M followers, 2.6M engagements
"BREAKING: U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick announces that the U.S. will be issuing economic data on blockchain beginning with GDP data. The U.S. government is officially embracing blockchain technology"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-26T18:26Z 1.1M followers, 354.7K engagements
"This is historic: The number of ETFs has surpassed the number of individual stocks for the first time in history. There are now over 4300 ETFs roughly XXX more than the 4200 US-listed companies. The number of ETFs has doubled over the last X years. Year-to-date XXX ETFs have been launched on track for an annual record. As a result ETFs account for XX% of the total universe of investment vehicles including mutual funds closed-end funds and unit investment trusts. New investment products are skyrocketing in popularity"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-26T19:26Z 1.1M followers, 153.7K engagements
"This is insane: The Nasdaq's market cap relative to the US M2 money supply has hit a record 176%. This means the market value of the Nasdaq is nearly TWICE as large as the the total stock of liquid money in the economy. The ratio has now exceeded the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak by XX percentage points. Never in the history of financial markets has the rise in stock prices exceeded the growth of the money supply by this much. At the same time the Nasdaqs market cap relative to US GDP has risen to a record XXX% almost double the Dot-Com peak. How much further can it go"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-30T21:39Z 1.1M followers, 585K engagements
"BREAKING: Robinhood stock $HOOD soars nearly +10% on news that it will be added to the S&P 500"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-05T21:28Z 1.1M followers, 359.2K engagements
"BREAKING: The odds of a XX basis point rate cut surge to XX% after PPI inflation unexpectdly declines per Kalshi"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-10T14:28Z 1.1M followers, 114.2K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says US companies should no longer be "forced" to report earnings every quarter. Trump says this is "subject to SEC approval.""
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-15T12:32Z 1.1M followers, 514.9K engagements
"BREAKING: US Treasury Secretary Bessent says the next round of US-China trade talks could result in another 90-day tariff pause. This would be the third straight pause for a total of XXX days"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-15T14:34Z 1.1M followers, 282.1K engagements
"US freight is in a recession: The Cass Freight Index dropped -XXX% YoY in August hitting its lowest level since 2020. This index tracks freight shipments within North America and serves as a key gauge of US shipping activity. August marks its 28th consecutive monthly decline. Freight shipments have now fallen -XX% over the last X years. The last time such a prolonged fall occurred was during the 2008 Financial Crisis. Goods movement in the US is slowingsharply"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-22T22:36Z 1.1M followers, 875.9K engagements
"BREAKING: Money market fund assets under management hit a record $XXX trillion last week. In the first X days of September these funds attracted $XX BILLION in net inflows. Total assets have DOUBLED over the last XXX years. At this pace money market fund assets will surpass $X trillion by year-end. According to Cranes index of XXX money-market funds these funds currently yield 4.1%. By comparison the national average savings account yields just XXX% Bankrate data shows. Americans are chasing risk-free yields"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-22T23:27Z 1.1M followers, 190.5K engagements
"BREAKING: Lithium Americas stock $LAC surges +90% on reports that the U.S. government is seeking to buy up to a XX% equity stake in the company. At the current pace the U.S. government will build a diverse portfolio of stocks by year-end"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-23T20:21Z 1.1M followers, 701.9K engagements
"A new era for financial markets: Today's news that the Trump Administration is seeking a XX% stake in Lithium Americas $LAC is huge. This comes just X weeks after President Trump acquired XX% of Intel for $XXX billion. And the US government's portfolio will continue to grow: In June 2025 the Trump Administration negotiated a golden share in US Steel giving it veto/consent rights over key corporate decisions. Then Trump Administration officials floated the idea of an equity stake in defense contractors such as Lockheed Martin. To top it off reports emerged X weeks ago about a 15%"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-23T21:32Z 1.1M followers, 199.2K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says he will be imposing substantial tariffs on any country that does not make its furniture in the US. It seems foreign countries must now produce their furniture in the US to avoid tariffs"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-29T13:12Z 1.1M followers, 246.6K engagements
"Shocking stat of the day: The US Dollar is now on track for its world year since 1973 down over -XX% YTD. Since 2000 the US Dollar has lost over XX% of its purchasing power. All as the Fed cuts rates into 2.9%+ Core PCE inflation for the first time in 30+ years. Gold and Bitcoin know what's coming next"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-29T19:36Z 1.1M followers, 371K engagements
"BREAKING: Zinjin Gold the international unit of Chinas largest gold miner surges over +60% in its IPO. This marks the worlds largest IPO since May 2025. Investor demand for gold is through the roof"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-30T01:58Z 1.1M followers, 213.9K engagements
"Japanese bond yields are surging again: Japan's 2Y Government Bond Yield has officially surpassed XXXX% its highest level since 2008. At the same time the 10Y Government Bond Yield hit XXXX% near the highest since July 2008. This follows Tuesdays auction of 2-year government bonds which recorded the weakest demand since 2009. The bid-to-cover ratio a key measure of demand fell to XXXX from the previous auction well below the 12-month average of XXXX. This suggests investors increasingly expect a Bank of Japan rate hike in October and are demanding higher yields to compensate for the risk."
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-01T18:51Z 1.1M followers, 131.3K engagements
"We are witnessing history: Stock market futures are green again with the S&P XXX now +39% since its April 2025 low. Even as a government shutdown began just XX hours ago the S&P XXX is pushing further into record territory. This is the strongest market in modern history"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-02T02:27Z 1.1M followers, 446.7K engagements
"BREAKING: Tesla $TSLA delivered a record 497099 vehicles in Q3 2025 crushing expectations of 439612. The stock is trading +4% higher on the news and approaching record high territory"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-02T13:05Z 1.1M followers, 150.3K engagements
"This timeline is insane: President Trump is now up +80% on his Intel investment X weeks ago"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-02T18:40Z 1.1M followers, 634.3K engagements
"This is absolutely insane: Technology and tech-related stocks now reflect a record XX% of the stock market. This is X percentage points higher than the 2000 Dot-Com bubble peak. At the same time defensive stocks make up just XX% of the market the lowest reading on record. This is the first time in history that defensive stocks have sustained a fall below 20%. Meanwhile traditional cyclicals stocks that move with the economic cycle make up XX% of total market cap near historically low levels. Technology stocks have never beenthisdominant"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-04T15:26Z 1.1M followers, 393.8K engagements
"Bitcoin is officially a $XXX trillion asset the 7th most valuable asset in the world"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-05T05:28Z 1.1M followers, 320.2K engagements
"Rate cuts into stagflation: The latest ISM Services report showed prices paid rising toward XX and employment remaining below XX. As a result we are now seeing the biggest gap between prices paid and employment since the 2020 Pandemic. Asset owners know this"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-05T16:22Z 1.1M followers, 258.9K engagements
"These AI deals are getting creative: First Nvidia invests $XXX billion in OpenAI which OpenAI uses to buy Nvidia chips. Now OpenAI invests in AMD chips which OpenAI uses to buy up to XX% equity in AMD"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T15:43Z 1.1M followers, 242.6K engagements
"POLL: Are we in an AI Bubble The results of this poll will serve as a key indicator of sentiment. Comment your reasoning below"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T16:50Z 1.1M followers, 207.7K engagements
"We need a new system: The Fed is running world's largest economy on labor market data that is revised X times suspended for a government shutdown and then revised lower again a year later by nearly X million jobs. All as the majority of economic data is in a blackout until the shutdown ends. It simply is not possible to efficiently run the US economy under the current system"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T23:27Z 1.1M followers, 178.7K engagements
"BREAKING: Nvidia $NVDA now represents XXXX% of the MSCI All Country World Index. The MSCI ACWI Index captures XX% of global equity markets including large and mid-cap stocks. Nvidia's weight now significantly surpasses Japan's XXXX% share the worlds 3rd-largest stock market. By comparison China the UK and Canada account for XXXX% XXXX% and XXXX% respectively. Nvidias contribution to the index is now larger than France and Germany combined. Nvidia is dominating the global equity market"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T02:44Z 1.1M followers, 184K engagements
"Today our long-time target of $4000/oz was crossed by gold futures. In February 2024 gold hit $2000/oz in what seemed to be a historic move. XX months later gold prices have doubled in their fastest move since the 1970s. This is a crucial point to understand"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 24.6K engagements
"The last time this happened was after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system in the 1970s. Bretton Woods was a post-WW2 monetary agreement with XX countries. Its central feature was a FIXED exchange rate that PEGGED currencies to the USD. This was then convertible to gold"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 23.1K engagements
"Since this happened Gold prices and US M2 Money Supply have skyrocketed. As deficit spending rises inflation is elevated and the US prints more money gold knows what's next. Gold (and Bitcoin) is bracing for a new era of monetary policy with rate cuts into stagflation"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 20.8K engagements
"And it's looking eerily similar to 2021: As Apollo notes below XX% of items in CPI inflation are now rising by at least 3%. The Fed is cutting rates into 3%+ inflation because they have no choice. The labor market is simply too weak to ignore even at the cost of inflation"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 19.2K engagements
"In the latest data the US showed 157000 more unemployed Americans than job openings This is the widest gap since March 2021 amid the pandemic. JOLTs quits in leisure and hospitality have collapsed to levels only seen in 2020 and 2008. Gold knows the Fed can't ignore this"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 18.7K engagements
"What's even more incredible is how cheap gold mining stocks are relative to money supply. In the 1980s gold mining stocks were X TIMES more expensive relative to US M2 Money Supply. It's not necessarily JUST that gold is strong it's more-so that the US Dollar is weak"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 17.5K engagements
"For the first time in over a decade Wall Street is piling into gold. Goldman Sachs just raised its 2026 gold price target to $4900/oz. The bank says continued buying from ETFs and Central Banks is durable. Institutional capital is looking to hedge against inflation"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 17.3K engagements
"Shocking stat of the day: Gold prices relative to crude oil prices have jumped to XX points the highest since the 2020 pandemic. This ratio has TRIPLED over the last X years. Excluding the 2020 pandemic drop of crude oil prices the ratio is now at its highest level in at least XX years. Historically an elevated gold-to-oil ratio signaled stress in the global economy or the financial system. Gold says markets are experiencing a major shift"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T16:35Z 1.1M followers, 205.3K engagements
"Gold stocks are experiencing a historic run: Global gold stocks have outperformed world semiconductor stocks by XX percentage points YTD the largest gap in at least XX years. This is only the 2nd year of outperformance over the last X years. This comes as the MSCI ACWI Select Gold Miners a gauge of the worlds gold equities has surged +134% YTD. During the same period the MSCI World Semiconductor & Semiconductor Equipment Index has risen 40%. Gold miners are on fire"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T19:18Z 1.1M followers, 196.7K engagements
"Investing in 2025: X. Oracle: Loses $XXX million on Nvidia chips X. Stock market: Erases $XX billion in Oracle stock Welcome to markets and AI"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T02:58Z 1.1M followers, 305.2K engagements
"This is absolutely insane: The S&P XXX is now up +34% in X months a move only seen XX previous times since 1930. In X of the XX previous occurrences the S&P XXX ended lower 2-weeks later with an average decline of -3.5%. Is the market overdue for a pullback"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T14:30Z 1.1M followers, 224.5K engagements
"The US government is now expected to be shut down for XX days. This would exceed the length of the 1995 shutdown under President Clinton marking the 2nd longest shutdown in history"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T15:09Z 1.1M followers, 187.7K engagements
"Cocoa prices are trading like meme coins: Cocoa prices in New York are now down over -XX% from their all-time high in 2024 to $6000 per ton the lowest in nearly X years. This comes after cocoa prices rose over +600% in 2023 and 2024. Meanwhile London prices which almost tripled in early 2024 have declined -XX% from their April 2024 peak to $4262 the lowest in XX months. The drop reflects weaker consumer demand after last years price surge and expectations of a larger crop due to improved weather in West Africa. Additionally speculators have exited long positions with many now betting on"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T23:59Z 1.1M followers, 191K engagements
"BREAKING: The US Senate has passed legislation requiring Nvidia and AMD to give US companies "priority access" to their chips before China"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T03:18Z 1.1M followers, 246.1K engagements
"The S&P XXX is already down over-1% on this post from President Trump. Trump is no longer set to meet with China's President just as trade tensions were calming. The trade war seems to be returning. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T15:06Z 1.1M followers, 139.6K engagements
"This is the first trade war headline that markets have reacted to in months. And it comes at a time when the US-China trade war was fully priced-out. We expect more details to come in the near future. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T15:14Z 1.1M followers, 93.1K engagements
"Here is the statement that President Trump posted today. He accused China of "lying" and imposing export controls on rare earth metals. Trump cancelled his meeting in X weeks with China's President Xi and said "massive" tariff increases are coming. So what does it all mean"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 221.4K engagements
"On top of this the AI Revolution is accelerating at an unprecedented pace. Magnificent X companies are investing over +$100B in CapEx PER QUARTER. AI now accounts for XX% of S&P XXX CapEx spend. We believe fighting this unprecedented level of investment is dangerous"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 109K engagements
"Overall we believe the return of a prolonged trade war is highly unlikely. Tariff headlines are near-term noise amid the AI Revolution and rate cuts into inflation. We believe asset owners will be rewarded. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 124.2K engagements
"@mesliquid The market is now more reactive than ever. Being on X and following the right people is literally alpha"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T16:52Z 1.1M followers, 47.7K engagements
"BREAKING: The S&P XXX extends losses to -X% on the day now on track for its biggest daily drop since April 21st. The S&P XXX has now erased -$2.1 trillion over the last X hours"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T17:11Z 1.1M followers, 206.6K engagements
"The Labor Department has said that NO OTHER releases will be rescheduled or produced until the shutdown ends. This is drawing speculation of a constructive September CPI report. All eyes will be on this data. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T17:46Z 1.1M followers, 59.6K engagements
"BREAKING: The S&P XXX falls below 6600 for the first time since September 25th. The index is still up over +36% since its April 2025 low"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T18:56Z 1.1M followers, 131.8K engagements
"Trump says these tariffs are "over and above" any Tariff that China is currently paying. Trump also says these tariffs could be imposed sooner than November 1st. It appears the US-China trade war is returning. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T21:02Z 1.1M followers, 78K engagements
"This statement has sent crypto markets off of their lows. Equity markets and futures are officially closed for the weekend. We are bracing for a busy weekend ahead as trade tensions resurface. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T22:25Z 1.1M followers, 91.5K engagements
"@em_rite Two things can be true at once"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T17:29Z 1.1M followers, 10.4K engagements
"The US dollar has been one of the best-performing currencies of 2024 so far. Some emerging market currencies have weakened by as much as XX% compared to the US Dollar. The Chilean Peso Turkish Lira and Brazilian Real have weakened by XXXX% XXX% and XXX% respectively. A stronger US Dollar makes it more expensive for countries to transact with the US. As higher for longer Fed policy returns it's unlikely this trend reverses. We may actually need a WEAKER US Dollar now"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2024-04-18T16:13Z 1.1M followers, 95.2K engagements
"BREAKING: Alphabet $GOOGL officially becomes the 4th company in history to hit $X trillion in market cap"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-15T14:14Z 1.1M followers, 238.1K engagements
"President Trump just posted this. We are living in unprecedented times for financial markets"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-19T04:20Z 1.1M followers, 598.1K engagements
"A new era for financial markets means new opportunities. The macroeconomy is shifting and stocks commodities bonds and crypto are tradable and investable. Want to receive our premium analysis Subscribe to access our premium analysis below:"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 57.6K engagements
"Cracks in the luxury housing market are widening: US luxury home sales fell -XXX% YoY in August to 57258 the lowest August level in Redfins data going back to 2013. Over the last X years luxury home sales have dropped by -37359 or -40%. Sales were weak despite the number of luxury home listings jumping +9.5% YoY reaching the highest level for August since 2020. Additionally the share of luxury homes going under contract within two weeks fell -XXX percentage points YoY to XXXX% the lowest reading for the month in X years. Meanwhile luxury home sale prices rose +3.9% YoY to a median of $1.25"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T21:16Z 1.1M followers, 167.1K engagements
"Rare earths have been very important for Trump. Between a Ukraine deal and the US-China trade war Trump has prioritized rare earths. These metals are CRUCIAL for the production of weapons chips AI and strategic leverage. The US gets XX% of its rare earths from China"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 149.4K engagements
"The result was a +$192 million gain on shorts just XX minutes later. Following these flows AHEAD of time ahead has become a crucial part of markets in 2025. We are tracking periods of unusual activity. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T21:14Z 1.1M followers, 80.3K engagements
"@Kramaramb Exactly. The solver of this issue will be the modern day Rockefeller"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T11:52Z 1.1M followers, 17.7K engagements
"Hundreds of U.S. stocks are currently down -XX% or more from their all time highs. If you could only pick X stock to buy right now what would it be"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-04-08T15:11Z 1.1M followers, 516.4K engagements
"You can't print your away out of this anymore: US M2 Money Supply is now growing at a +5.1% annualized rate of change. It should be no surprise that Core CPI inflation is back above XXX% AND rate cuts are on the way. After XX years of X% inflation the US Dollar loses 25%+ of its purchasing power. This is on top of the XX% in value that the US Dollar has lost since 2020. Own assets or you will be left behind"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-02T16:59Z 1.1M followers, 762.7K engagements
"Gold is telling the future: The S&P XXX is in one of its strongest bull runs in decades up +1650 POINTS in under X months. Meanwhile Gold's YTD return just hit +37% nearly X TIMES more than the S&P XXX YTD. Why is gold crushing stocks in a bull market (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-03T12:57Z 1.1M followers, 2.1M engagements
"This is unprecedented: On August 22nd President Trump announced that the US took a XX% stake in Intel $INTC worth $XX billion. Today XX days later NVIDIA made a massive investment in Intel sending the US' position +$5 BILLION higher. What just happened (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-18T13:08Z 1.1M followers, 960K engagements
"An affordability nightmare: It would take a -XX% drop in home prices OR a +60% JUMP in household income JUST for affordability to go back to 2019 levels. You must now make $113000/year to afford the MEDIAN home in the US. Will housing ever be affordable again (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-25T15:55Z 1.1M followers, 1.3M engagements
"Fannie Mae on if we want affordable homes again: X. Prices must crash by -XX% or: X. Incomes must rise by +60% or: X. Mortgage rates must crash by -XXX bps For any of these X things something massive would have to happen to the macroeconomy. How did we end up here"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-25T17:51Z 1.1M followers, 618.7K engagements
"US households have massive exposure to equities: Equities now account for XX% of total US household assets the largest percentage among all categories. This is followed by real estate at XX% and insurance & pensions at 21%. By comparison in China real estate accounts for the majority of total assets at XX% while equities make up only 11%. In the UK Korea and Australia households hold XX% XX% and XX% in property while equities represent only X% X% and X% respectively. In Taiwan and Japan households hold XX% and XX% of their wealth in real estate and XX% and XX% in equities. US households"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-27T16:40Z 1.1M followers, 219.1K engagements
"BREAKING: Intel stock $INTC surges over +7% on reports of talks of a deal to manufacture semiconductors for AMD. This stock is now up over +70% since President Trump acquired a XX% stake in it just X weeks ago"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-01T18:05Z 1.1M followers, 502.3K engagements
"There will be NO jobs report tomorrow. X weeks after the Fed cut rates due to a weak labor market jobs data has been indefinitely suspended. Until the government shutdown ends there will be no BLS labor data. We're XX days from the next Fed meeting with tomorrow's suspended jobs report being the final one before their next meeting. So the Fed is cutting rates into rising inflation due to a weak labor market but we can no longer receive KEY labor market data. And when we do receive the data it is revised down X times before it's considered "accurate." The system is broken"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-03T04:43Z 1.1M followers, 260.1K engagements
"We need more electricity: AI data centers are set to consume 1600 terawatt-hours of power demand by 2035 equal to XXX% of global electricity. In other words power demand from AI data centers is set to QUADRUPLE over the next XX years. If counted as a country AI data centers would rank 4th in electricity use behind only China the US and India. In major US markets data center power demand is growing faster than that of electric vehicles hydrogen and other emerging technologies. AI growth will soon be limitedbyenergy"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-04T16:59Z 1.1M followers, 607.2K engagements
"BREAKING: World central banks bought another XX tonnes of gold in August. This marks the 27th monthly purchase over the last XX months. The National Bank of Kazakhstan added X tonnes while the Bulgarian National Bank and the Central Bank of Turkey each increased gold reserves by X tonnes. The Peoples Bank of China acquired X tonnes marking the 10th consecutive monthly increase in gold reserves. As a result Chinas official gold holdings have surpassed 2300 tonnes for the first time. Central banks are still piling into gold"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-04T18:28Z 1.1M followers, 309.3K engagements
"BREAKING: Bitcoin officially surges to a new record high of $124300"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-05T02:37Z 1.1M followers, 693K engagements
"The US market is on fire: The market cap of US stocks relative to the US M2 money supply hit XXX% the highest since 2000. Over the last X years this percentage has grown a whopping +125 points. This has now officially surpassed the pre-2008 Financial Crisis peak of 290%. By comparison the Dot-Com Bubble peak was 370%. To reach such a level the US stock market would need to grow another XX% assuming a constant M2 money supply. We are witnessing a historic run"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-05T19:01Z 1.1M followers, 394.1K engagements
"This is incredible: Venture capitalists have poured a record $XXXXX billion into AI startups YTD. This puts 2025 on track to be the first year where more than XX% of total VC dollars flow into the AI industry. In the US AIs share of venture deals has surpassed XX% over the last XX months. That percentage has TRIPLED since the 2020 pandemic. Overall VC funding has reached $XXXXX billion so far this year with a major share coming from the US at $XXXXX billion. The AI revolution is growing exponentially"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T00:18Z 1.1M followers, 217.2K engagements
"Are we in a currency confidence crisis Today gold futures officially hit a RECORD $4000/oz now up +100% in XX months. The last time gold DOUBLED in under X years was in the 1970s after the historic "Nixon Shock." What's happening Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements
"BREAKING: Oracle stock $ORCL extends its decline to -X% on the day on reports that the company lost $XXX million from rentals of Nvidia chips in the most recent quarter"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T15:40Z 1.1M followers, 919.3K engagements
"BREAKING: Silver prices officially exceed $49/oz for the first time since 2011 now up +65% year-to-date. Gold futures are rapidly approaching $4100/oz just hours after breaking above the record $4000 level"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T11:53Z 1.1M followers, 312.8K engagements
"BREAKING: Spot palladium prices surge over +6% on the day as gold hits $4000/oz and silver hits highest level since 2011. The current run in precious metals will be studied for decades to come"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T13:11Z 1.1M followers, 307.4K engagements
"Data centers are the new oil: Data center energy consumption has reached a record X% of total US power demand. By 2030 data center energy consumption will exceed XX% of total US power demand. The AI revolution is even bigger than you think"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T15:20Z 1.1M followers, 335.2K engagements
"BREAKING: Oil prices drop below $60/barrel for the first time since May 2025. This comes just one day after President Trump said gas prices will fall to $2.00/gallon"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T13:23Z 1.1M followers, 904.5K engagements
"BREAKING: Oil prices fall to a new low after President Trumps China tariff increase statement. Now at the lowest level since May 8th"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T15:23Z 1.1M followers, 184.4K engagements
"It's official: Crypto just saw its LARGEST liquidation event in history with XXX MILLION traders liquidated. Over $XX BILLION worth of leveraged crypto positions were liquidated in XX hours X TIMES the previous record. Why did this happen Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 4.7M engagements
"To put this into perspective: The liquidation event we saw over the last XX hours was $XX BILLION larger than the February 2025 crash. It was more than XX TIMES larger than the March 2020 crash and collapse of FTX. Never in history have we seen anything even close to this"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 160.3K engagements
"This week's rebound in volatility means opportunity for investors. The macroeconomy is shifting and stocks commodities bonds and crypto are investable. Want to receive our premium analysis Subscribe to access our premium analysis below:"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 141.2K engagements
"BREAKING: Yesterday's crypto liquidation led to Bitcoin's first ever $20000 daily swing. Bitcoin alone erased -$380 BILLION in market cap over just X hours. That's more than the market cap of all but XX public companies in the world"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T15:48Z 1.1M followers, 422.9K engagements
"Like and Bookmark the above post - reference it as the trade war heads into 2026. The ability to weed out NOISE from material developments is crucial right now. This market is very profitable if done right. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T18:09Z 1.1M followers, 175.8K engagements
"Lastly foreign investors now hold a higher amount of gold than US treasuries. The share of US Treasuries held by foreign investors is down from XX% in 2013 to XX% today. Gold is the GLOBAL safe haven. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 75.5K engagements
"Prepare for a volatile Q3 earnings season: The average implied earnings-day move for S&P XXX stocks based on options pricing is XXX% the second-highest since the 2022 bear market. Consumer discretionary stocks are expected to experience the most volatility. at 6.2%. This is followed by information technology and communication services at XXX% and 5.8%. We are preparing for big earnings-daystockmoves"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T15:34Z 1.1M followers, 86.8K engagements
"The bull run is in full swing: The S&P XXX has gone XX trading sessions without a -X% decline its 2nd-longest streak since 2021. This also marks one of the longest periods since the 2018 record of XXX trading days without a -X% drop. By comparison the long-term average is XX trading days. Since 1928 the market has seen an average of XXX declines of -X% per year. At the same time a -XX% correction has occurred an average of XXX times per year. Momentum is incredibly strong right now"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T13:41Z 1.1M followers, 135K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says that India's Prime Minister Modi has "assured him" that India will no longer be buying Russian oil. On August 27th Trump imposed a XX% tariff on India as punishment for buying Russian oil. US-India trade deal on the way"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T20:11Z 1.1M followers, 274K engagements
"Extreme Fear. This is NOT what you see before a market crash with the S&P XXX trading X% away from a record high"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T19:34Z 1.1M followers, 849.8K engagements
"BREAKING: Russia has reportedly asked Elon Musk to help build a $XX billion undersea rail tunnel linking Russia and Alaska. The tunnel would be named the Putin-Trump Tunnel"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T17:22Z 1.1M followers, 1.2M engagements
"In retrospect this was the ultimate signal"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-18T16:05Z 1.1M followers, 257.4K engagements
"Investors are piling into defense stocks: Aerospace & Defense ETF inflows hit +$8.2 billion in the first X quarters of 2025. This marks a +573% surge compared to 2024 levels. Monthly inflows peaked at +$1.6 billion in June before moderating to +$634 million in September. The surge has triggered a wave of new fund launches with XX Aerospace & Defense ETFs debuting in 2025 compared to just X last year. Investor demand for defense exposureis very strong"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-18T21:07Z 1.1M followers, 128.9K engagements
"BREAKING: Donald Trumps memecoin $TRUMP crashes over -XX% as Melania Trump launches her own memecoin. This is beyond insane"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-01-19T21:27Z 1.1M followers, 6.1M engagements
"BREAKING: An investor group led by @ElonMusk is making a $XXXX billion bid to buy OpenAI per WSJ"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-02-10T20:45Z 1.1M followers, 716.7K engagements
"Javier Milei just DESTROYED the memecoin market: Hours ago Argentinian President Milei launched a memecoin $LIBRA for "the growth of their economy." Within X hours over -$4.4 BILLION of market cap was erased. Is this the biggest rug pull in history (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-02-15T03:59Z 1.1M followers, 8.8M engagements
"BREAKING: Gold prices fall to $3050 as a mass capital flight to the sidelines begins accelerates"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-04-04T14:50Z 1.1M followers, 125.4K engagements
"The free fall continues: Today's drop in US stock market futures puts S&P XXX futures down -XX% and in bear market territory. The US stock market has now erased an average of $XXX billion PER TRADING DAY for 32-straight days. Is it time to BUY stocks yet (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-04-06T23:53Z 1.1M followers, 2.6M engagements
"Effectively no reaction at all in Bitcoin as the US announces a trade deal with China. Very interesting all eyes are on futures which open in X hours"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-05-11T18:04Z 1.1M followers, 409.4K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump comments on Fed Chair Powell: "He's leaving very soon I'll miss him" Trump says"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-07-28T15:41Z 1.1M followers, 323.7K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says the August 1st tariff deadline will not be extended. However this weekend the US and China extended their tariff deadline by another XX days"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-07-30T11:45Z 1.1M followers, 194.1K engagements
"What just happened Last night news emerged of a "trade deal" that has never happened before. Nvidia and AMD agreed with Trump to provide the US with XX% of REVENUE from chip sales in China to remove export controls. Corporations are panicking. Here's why. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-11T09:46Z 1.1M followers, 5.5M engagements
"Something is seriously wrong here: For the first time in history a NEW home in the US costs $33500 LESS than an EXISTING home per Reventure. Not even June 2005 saw such a large gap right before the 2008 Financial Crisis. What is happening Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-19T12:58Z 1.1M followers, 2.9M engagements
"Massive jobs data revisions are coming: On September 9th the BLS will release its preliminary benchmark revision to nonfarm payrolls for April 2024 through March 2025. Goldman Sachs estimates the revision could cut reported payrolls by 550000 to 950000 jobs. This implies payroll growth was overstated by a massive 45000 to 80000 jobs PER MONTH. If confirmed it would mark the largest 12-month revision since 2010. This also follows an earlier 589000 downward adjustment for the year ending March 2024. What is happening with the labor market data"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-19T14:16Z 1.1M followers, 466.1K engagements
"The longest bear market: The US Dollars purchasing power. Over the last XXX years the US Dollar has lost -XX% of its purchasing power. Since 2000 the US Dollar has lost over -XX% of its purchasing power. Own assets or be left behind"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-23T19:15Z 1.1M followers, 832.7K engagements
"Gold is replacing fiat currencies as a reserve currency: Gold's share of global international reserves rose X percentage points in Q1 2025 to XX% the highest in XX years. This marks the 3rd consecutive annual increase. Meanwhile the US Dollar's share declined X percentage points to XX% the lowest since the mid-1990s. The Euro share remained roughly unchanged at 15%. Gold is now the worlds second-largest reserve asset after surpassing the Euro in 2024. Gold is seeing historic levels of demand"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-31T19:27Z 1.1M followers, 674.1K engagements
"BREAKING: The UK's 30-Year Yield officially crosses above XXXX% for the first time since April 1998. Despite the Bank of England cutting rates FIVE times in XX months yields are soaring. When you have higher rates with rate cuts something is seriously wrong"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-02T11:57Z 1.1M followers, 749.7K engagements
"This is the definition of broken: In XX days the Fed will cut rates for the first time in 2025 yet the 30Y Treasury Yield is now near 5.00%. We have RISING interest rates as markets "price-in" Fed interest rate CUTS. Do you realize what's happening (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-02T13:51Z 1.1M followers, 5.7M engagements
"The collapse of G7 bond markets: Despite aggressive global central bank rate cuts yields are surging in France Japan Germany Canada the US and the UK. The market is quite literally rejecting central bank interest rate cuts. How did we end up here"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-02T15:47Z 1.1M followers, 858.8K engagements
"BREAKING: Gold officially hits $3600/oz for the first time in history. Gold is now up +33% YTD more than XXX TIMES the S&P 500s return"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-02T19:26Z 1.1M followers, 3.4M engagements
"BREAKING: Lululemon stock $LULU crashes over -XX% after reporting weaker than expected earnings. Is consumer spending finally starting to give"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-04T20:10Z 1.1M followers, 523.5K engagements
"BREAKING: The US economy adds 22000 jobs in August below expectations of 75000. The unemployment rate RISES to XXX% in-line with expectations of 4.3%. This marks the 2nd lowest jobs report number since July 2021. The labor market is rapidly deteriorating"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-05T12:32Z 1.1M followers, 354.5K engagements
"The car market bubble is bursting: Subprime auto loan delinquency rates have now surpassed X% for the first time in history. The 60-day delinquency rate for subprime auto loans has more than DOUBLED over the last X years. Delinquency rates are now XXX percentage points above the 2008 Financial Crisis peak. At the same time prime auto loan delinquencies rose to their highest in XX years. Meanwhile the total value of auto loans in the US jumped $XX billion to a record $XXXX trillion in Q2 2025. An auto debt crisis is brewing"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-07T20:33Z 1.1M followers, 405.4K engagements
"Shocking stat of the day: US federal debt will reach $XXX TRILLION by 2055 according to the CBO's own forecast. This would be $XXX million of debt per American household up from the current $274000. It would also push the US Debt-to-GDP ratio to a record XXX% up from the current 123%. To put this into perspective US Debt-to-GDP has averaged XX% over the last XX years. The CBO projects that the budget deficit will exceed X% of GDP every year until 2055. In US history deficits this high have only occurred for 5-straight years one time during World War II. The US debt crisis is set to get even"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-08T18:59Z 1.1M followers, 244.8K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says the Federal Reserve is broken and needs to be fixed"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 268.2K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says all NATO nations are preparing to "do major sanctions on Russia" and impose XX% to XXX% tariffs on China"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-13T12:11Z 1.1M followers, 879.1K engagements
"BREAKING: Unrealized losses on investment securities for US banks reached $XXXXX billion in Q2 2025. This is X TIMES higher than at the peak of the 2008 Financial Crisis. This also marks the 13th consecutive quarter of losses as interest rates remained elevated. Meanwhile the number of banks on the FDIC Problem Bank List reached XX in Q2 2025 or XXX% of the aggregate. Unrealized losses at banks continue to pose a significantrisk"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-16T16:39Z 1.1M followers, 314.6K engagements
"It's official: For the first time in 2025 the Fed just cut interest rates by XX basis points and "blamed" a weaker labor market. Immediately after the US Dollar fell to its weakest level since February 2022. What's coming next Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-17T19:50Z 1.1M followers, 1.6M engagements
"Gold versus crypto: Beginning at 10:30 PM ET gold and crypto began trading in complete opposite directions. Ether fell as much as -XX% as gold extended its run into record territory. This marks one of the biggest divergences between gold and crypto in 10+ weeks. What changed"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-22T07:28Z 1.1M followers, 672.2K engagements
"Immediately after Javier Milei became Argentina's President inflation hit 300%+. In late-2023 inflation in Argentina was above XX% PER MONTH. At one point a cup of coffee cost more by the time you finished drinking it. It's now down to X% per month or XX% YoY"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-22T14:50Z 1.1M followers, 40.8K engagements
"While this is an improvement it's far from sustainable to have 30%+ annual inflation. By comparison the US Fed targets X% inflation as its long-term run rate. As a result the Argentine Peso has collapsed over -XX% in XX years. And the crisis recently accelerated"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-22T14:50Z 1.1M followers, 36.7K engagements
"On April 11th Argentina attempted a similar "lifeline" with the IMF. The deal included: A $XX billion agreement with the IMF which included a $XX billion upfront payment. And Argentina's central bank let the Peso trade freely in a range of 1000 to 1400 pesos per dollar"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-22T14:50Z 1.1M followers, 28K engagements
"However this clearly has not fixed the issue. At its core the Argentine Peso is overvalued and artificially propped up by the government. Short-term relief by the IMF or the US will not fix the long-term issue. The Peso needs to trade freely WITHOUT government manipulation"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-22T14:50Z 1.1M followers, 37.5K engagements
"BREAKING: Gold futures extend gains to a record $3825/oz now up +42% in 2025. Even amid one of the strongest bull markets in history this puts gold up X TIMES as much as the S&P 500"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-23T09:41Z 1.1M followers, 454.7K engagements
"Crypto adoption is about to SURGE: A new Bank of America survey shows XX% of investors have ZERO exposure to crypto. Now US lawmakers are requesting the SEC implements President Trump's Executive Order allowing 401(K)s to BUY crypto. What's next Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-23T13:48Z 1.1M followers, 841.8K engagements
"BREAKING: The US has deployed jets against Russian bombers per CNN. Russian military aircraft have been detected in Alaska's airspace"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-25T12:30Z 1.1M followers, 859K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump announces a XX% tariff on all kitchen cabinets bathroom vanities and associated products. There will also be a XX% tariff on upholstered furniture. New homes and renovations just became even more expensive"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-25T23:33Z 1.1M followers, 752.2K engagements
"This is insane: As the record run in gold accelerates US gold reserves just exceeded $X TRILLION for the first time in history. The US now holds XXX TIMES more gold than Germany the 2nd-largest holder in the world. What is gold telling us Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-29T15:07Z 1.1M followers, 2M engagements
"Absolute insanity: Gold just hit its 39th all time high of 2025 with futures less than X% away from $3900/oz. At this rate we will see $4000+ gold within a matter of days"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-30T03:17Z 1.1M followers, 366.2K engagements
"BREAKING: The SEC is reportedly moving to allow stocks to trade like crypto where stocks would trade on-chain. Under the plan investors could buy tokens on crypto exchanges that represent shares of companies like Tesla or Nvidia"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-30T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 631.8K engagements
"Shocking stat of the day: Oracle $ORCL has a debt-to-equity ratio of a whopping 520%. This is more than double the ratios of Apple $AAPL and IBM $IBM. By comparison Amazon $AMZN and Microsoft $MSFT have debt-to-equity ratios of XX% and XX% respectively. According to JP Morgan Oracles $XXX billion cloud infrastructure deal with OpenAI would require even more borrowing by the company. Oracle may need to raise up to $XXX billion in debt over the next X years to fund the contract. The AI rush is reaching unprecedented levels"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-30T21:58Z 1.1M followers, 200.7K engagements
"BREAKING: The US government will shut down at midnight as Congress has failed to pass a funding bill"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-01T00:56Z 1.1M followers, 323.7K engagements
"Government Shutdown Facts The Media Won't Cover: X. The average length of a shutdown is only X days X. The S&P XXX has ended higher one year after a shutdown in XX% of cases X. The S&P XXX posts an average gain of +13% one year after the shutdown ends X. During the XX day shutdown in 2018 the S&P XXX rallied +11% X. While the government is shut down the US defers $400M/day in costs X. The Fed generally turns more dovish if government data releases are paused Historically the market actually WELCOMES shutdowns"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-01T02:51Z 1.1M followers, 791.3K engagements
"BREAKING: Bank reserves at the Fed dropped -$21 billion last week to $XXXX trillion the lowest since January. This is one of the lowest readings since Q1 2023. This also marks the 7th consecutive weekly decline as liquidity has declined. US banking system reserves are a key factor in the Feds decision to continue shrinking its balance sheet (QT). According to the Fed the ample-reserve level for smooth market functioning is $2.8$3.4 trillion. Is the Fed about to end QT"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-01T14:23Z 1.1M followers, 164.4K engagements
"BREAKING: Elon Musk officially becomes the first person in history to reach a net worth of $XXX billion"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-01T19:49Z 1.1M followers, 5.2M engagements
"BREAKING: Silver prices have NEVER ended higher after this: The daily RSI on silver has officially exceeded XX for the first time since 2020. This has only happened X times since 1987 and silver ended lower X months later in XXX% of cases. Is silver nearing its top"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-02T12:15Z 1.1M followers, 755.6K engagements
"Container shipping costs are plunging again: The spot rate for a 40-foot container from Shanghai to Rotterdam fell to $1735 last week the lowest since mid-December 2023. This marks the 8th consecutive weekly decline in rates to Europe. Shipping costs from Shanghai to Los Angeles dropped to $2311 also the lowest since December 2023. Weaker global demand price wars and excess shipping capacity have driven the decline. Meanwhile US import volumes are expected to continue declining toward year-end with January 2026 projected to be -XX% lower YoY. Global trade disruptionsare in full swing"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-02T19:54Z 1.1M followers, 203.4K engagements
"We now have: X. Rate cuts into 2.9%+ Core PCE inflation for the first time in XX years X. Rapidly deteriorating US labor market outlook X. Deficit spending running at over $X trillion per year X. Jobs reports suspended due to government shutdown X. Two more Fed rate cuts in 2025 into stagflation X. $100B+ per quarter in AI CapEx by the Mag X Own assets or be left behind"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-03T12:43Z 1.1M followers, 314.5K engagements
"Investors are piling into options at a record pace: Total call options volume has averaged over XX million contracts a day over the last XX days the most on record. Call options volume has DOUBLED over the last X years. This is also XX million contracts above the 2021 meme stock frenzy peak. Furthermore call options as a share of total options volume hit XX% on Wednesday matching the highs seen in late 2024. By comparison during the April sell-off this metric sat at XX% one of the lowest readings since the 2022 bear market. Bullish sentiment is throughtheroof"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-03T17:34Z 1.1M followers, 272.5K engagements
"BREAKING: Foreign holdings of US equities have risen to a record $XX trillion. This marks a +$2.5 trillion rise over the last few months. Investors from overseas now own XX% of the $XX trillion US equity market the most in data going back to 1945. Additionally foreign investors allocation to US equities as a percentage of US financial assets hit a record 61%. This is now X percentage points above the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble high. To put this into perspective the all-time low was XX% in 1974 and the 2008 Financial Crisis low was 25%. Foreign investors are all-inonUSstocks"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-03T21:43Z 1.1M followers, 327.7K engagements
"We are still early: The Nasdaq XXX is up for X STRAIGHT months for the 6th time since 1986. In the previous X times the Nasdaq XXX NEVER ended lower XX months later with an average gain of +18%. History says the Nasdaq XXX will be +9% higher in X months. Buckle up"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-04T14:34Z 1.1M followers, 334.3K engagements
"What is happening The S&P XXX is up +40% in X months Gold is nearing $4000/oz and Bitcoin hit a record $XXX TRILLION market cap. Meanwhile the US Dollar is set for its WORST year since 1973. Are markets THAT strong or is the US Dollar just crashing (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-05T14:31Z 1.1M followers, 2.3M engagements
"Something usual is happening: Silver is now up +63% in 2025 and worth a whopping $XXX TRILLION nearly at a record high. Meanwhile Bitcoin casually hit a record $125000 on a Saturday night and gold has made XX all time highs in 2025. All while the S&P XXX is on one of its best 6-month runs in history. Own assets or be left behind"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-05T18:10Z 1.1M followers, 619.4K engagements
"The US manufacturing sector remains under pressure: The ISM Manufacturing Index came in at XXXX in September marking the 7th straight month of contraction. The manufacturing sector has now been in a contraction for XX out of the last XX months. New orders declined -XXX points to XXXX marking the 7th month of contraction this year and reflecting softening demand across the sector. The Employment Index rose +1.5 points to XXXX but remained below expansion for the 8th-straight month. Meanwhile prices paid fell -XXX points to XXXX posting the 3rd consecutive monthly decline. US manufacturing"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-05T23:04Z 1.1M followers, 85.1K engagements
"Tonight's price action summarized: X. Japan's Stock Market: Record highs X. Japan's 30Y Bond Yields: Record highs X. Gold: Record highs X. Bitcoin: Record highs Central banks have lost control of long-term rates as economic stimulus ramps up into rising inflation"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T04:54Z 1.1M followers, 312K engagements
"BREAKING: AMD stock $AMD soars over +25% on news that OpenAI is taking up to a XX% stake in the company. OpenAI will deploy up to X gigawatts of AMD Instinct GPUs beginning with a 1-gigawatt rollout in 2026. This is a MASSIVE deal"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T11:01Z 1.1M followers, 1.5M engagements
"OpenAI now has: X. $XXX billion investment from Nvidia X. Up to XX% ownership in AMD X. $XXX billion Stargate investment X. $XXX billion valuation How is OpenAI still owned by a "nonprofit" parent company"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T11:19Z 1.1M followers, 14.1M engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says there is "virtually no inflation" and "stock markets are continually hitting record highs.""
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T12:13Z 1.1M followers, 282.9K engagements
"The Trump Administration Now Owns: X. XX% equity stake in Intel $INTC X. XX% equity stake in MP Materials $MP X. XX% equity stake in Lithium Americas $LAC X. XX% equity stake in Trilogy Metals $TMC X. A golden share in US Steel Corporation X. Floated idea of equity stake in defense contractors Financial markets have entered a new era: government equity stakes. What's the next acquisition for President Trump"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T22:25Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements
"BREAKING: Gold officially crosses above $4000/oz for the first time in history. Gold is now worth $XX TRILLION"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T00:32Z 1.1M followers, 5.9M engagements
"The US Dollars reserve currency dominance is declining: The US Dollar's share of the worlds central banks reserves fell XXX percentage points in Q2 2025 to XXXX% the lowest since 1994. Since 2000 this percentage has declined by XX points. By comparison the US Dollar reflected XX% of global reserves in 1977. At the current pace the Dollars weight could drop below XX% within X years. For context the euro represents XXXX% and the Chinese yuan XXX% of global reserves. Inflation is causing a currency confidence crisis"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T01:39Z 1.1M followers, 192.7K engagements
"When EVERYTHING is at all time highs you need to ask yourself something: What has changed Safe havens risky assets real estate crypto global bond yields and everything in between is hitting daily record highs. The denominator for most assets in this case the US Dollar is what has changed. The US Dollar is on track for its worst year in 40+ years down -XX% YTD. Not only is the numerator going up (intrinsic value of assets) but the denominator is going down (USD). Confidence in fiat currencies is at multi-decade lows. Position accordingly"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T03:19Z 1.1M followers, 364.7K engagements
"Last month the US Dollar Index $DXY hit its lowest level since 2022. It's down -XX% YTD for the first time in X decades. As we began writing a few months ago owning assets is the only hedge to this new era of monetary policy. Gold is trading as if the system has shifted"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 18.1K engagements
"BREAKING: Crypto funds saw a record $XXXX billion in net inflows last week. This surpassed the previous record by over $X billion. Investors poured the most capital into Bitcoin funds at $XXXX billion followed by $XXXX billion into Ethereum funds. Year-to-date Ethereum has now seen a record $XXXX billion in inflows nearly triple last years total. Solana and XRP also posted record inflows last week at $XXXXX million and $XXXXX million respectively. Investor demand for crypto has never been stronger"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T15:25Z 1.1M followers, 220.8K engagements
"BREAKING: The US stock market capitalization-to-GDP ratio is up to a record 221%. Since the April low this metric has risen a whopping XX percentage points. It's also XXX TIMES higher that it was at the 2008 Financial Crisis low. To put this into perspective this metric peaked at XXX% during the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. The ratio has now remained above its long-term average of XX% for XX years. The market is making history"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T17:59Z 1.1M followers, 401K engagements
"This is wild: A map of OpenAI's recent partnerships. Now one of the largest companies in the world worth over $500B still owned by a non-profit parent. What's next"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T18:02Z 1.1M followers, 474K engagements
"Electricity is coming next: Yesterday President Trump said the United States' electricity grid is "old and tired." The Trump Administration recently bought equity stakes in Intel and metals companies. Is the Trump Administration's next XX% equity stake in an electricity-related company"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T01:41Z 1.1M followers, 440.1K engagements
"BREAKING: The S&P XXX surges to a fresh record high now up +35.5% in X months. That's +$16.5 TRILLION in market cap since April 7th"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T16:22Z 1.1M followers, 118.9K engagements
"OpenAI has literally engrained itself in most of the world's largest technology companies. And almost all of the money that companies are investing in OpenAI is being used BY OpenAI to purchase products and compute from the investor. What is happening here"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T17:24Z 1.1M followers, 366.5K engagements
"BREAKING: The IRS is furloughing close to XX% of its workforce as part of the US government shutdown"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T18:16Z 1.1M followers, 352.3K engagements
"US consumer borrowing is slowing: US consumer credit rose by just +$363 million in August the slowest pace in X months and far below expectations of a +$14.0 billion increase. The modest gain follows a sharp +$18.1 billion rise in July. The slowdown was driven by a -$6.0 billion drop in revolving credit which includes credit cards the second-largest decline in XXX years. Non-revolving credit which includes auto and student loans rose +$6.3 billion. Meanwhile the average interest rate on credit cards rose to XXXX% the highest this year and near the highest on record. Americans are pulling back"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T18:36Z 1.1M followers, 88.7K engagements
"Semiconductor stocks are making history: The Semiconductors Index $SOX relative to the S&P XXX equal-weighted index reached XXXX the highest since the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. Since the 2022 bear market this ratio has more than DOUBLED. This comes as Semiconductor stocks have rallied +202% during this period. At the same time the equal-weighted S&P XXX has increased just +48%. To put this into perspective the ratio reached 1.3x at the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak. Chip stocks are massive"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T19:29Z 1.1M followers, 105.1K engagements
"The cost of hedging against market volatility is rising: Volatility risk premiums on stocks has jumped to XXXX the highest in X years. The difference between the Volatility Index $VIX and the S&P 500's 20-day realized volatility has more than doubled over the last few weeks. This ratio is now sitting near the top end of its last 10-year range. In other words the difference between how much investors expect the market to move and how much it has actually moved is historically high. Despite this single-stock volatility relative to the S&P 500s expected volatility has hit its highest level since"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T21:37Z 1.1M followers, 89.4K engagements
"This is incredible: It now takes XXX ounces of gold to buy the median-priced new single-family home in the US the lowest amount in XX years. Excluding 1979 this is the lowest level in at least XX years. The ratio has fallen by -XXX ounces over the last X years as gold prices have risen +133%. By comparison it took XXX ounces of gold or XXX times more in the year 2000. Rarely ever has it been so cheap to buy a new house using gold. Gold is preserving purchasing powerlike never before"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T22:54Z 1.1M followers, 395.2K engagements
"Compute is quickly becoming the world's most valuable commodity. By 2028 global data center spend will hit $XXX BILLION. AI servers are growing at a +41% CAGR and the market overall is growing at a +23% CAGR. This is UNPRECEDENTED growth for the industry"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 53.3K engagements
"And here's what's even more interesting: Amid the daily billion dollar AI deals data centers are now facing an $XXX BILLION revenue shortfall. Just to fund data center construction through 2030 we need $X TRILLION in revenue. Data centers are the new oil"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 50.7K engagements
"BREAKING: Nvidia $NVDA surges to a record high market cap of $XXXX trillion. The stock has now added +$2.6 TRILLION of market cap since its April 7th low"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T14:14Z 1.1M followers, 516.3K engagements
"The elephant in the room: Alphabet Amazon Meta Microsoft and OpenAI alone have announced $XXX BILLION in commitments for new data centers in 2025. Meanwhile electricity prices are up +35% since 2022. With nuclear power 10+ years away how will we meet electricity demand"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T16:25Z 1.1M followers, 521.6K engagements
"BREAKING: Gold futures extend their decline to -X% on the day and drop below $4000/oz. This comes less than XX hours after golds monthly RSI hit 90+ for the first time since 1980. Gold is still up +50% in 2025"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T16:42Z 1.1M followers, 254.2K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says US gas prices will fall below $2.00/gallon soon. This implies a -XX% drop from the current national average of $3.11/gallon"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T17:41Z 1.1M followers, 191.9K engagements
"ChatGPT has gone from X million weekly active users to XX% of the world using the platform in X years. Where will we be in XX months from today"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T20:44Z 1.1M followers, 212.9K engagements
"US stocks are DOMINATING global equities: The US information technology sector has recorded a +588% increase in EPS since the pre-2008 peak the most among any other sector. By comparison world tech stocks excluding the US have seen a +203% increase or nearly X times less. During the same period US discretionary stocks have posted a +317% surge in net income XX times more than their world counterparts. US healthcare earnings have risen +288% nearly X times more than the +78% increase in world ex-US. US industrials have beaten the rest of the world by X times growing their earnings by +124%."
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T00:59Z 1.1M followers, 107K engagements
"US beef prices are skyrocketing: Average ground beef prices rose +13% YoY in August to a record $6.32/pound according to Labor Department data. Since 2021 beef prices have risen +$2.30/pound or +58%. This comes as US cattle and calves inventories continue to fall pressured by drought high feed costs and record calf prices. The cattle herd is now at its smallest the 1950s. At the same time domestic demand remains strong due to high per capita consumption as the US is one of the largest beef consumers in the world. Beef inflationisnotslowing"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T14:26Z 1.1M followers, 153.3K engagements
"BREAKING: The S&P XXX falls 70+ points in seconds after President Trump publishes the below paragraph about China. Trump says he is calculating increased tariffs on Chinese products. Trump also says there is "no reason" to meet Chinese President Xi anymore"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T15:01Z 1.1M followers, 2M engagements
"PRESIDENT TRUMP'S STATEMENT ON CHINA JUST NOW: X. China is "becoming very hostile" and controlling rare earths X. "Always felt that China is lying and now as usual I have been proven right" X. China is "holding the world captive" in a "monopoly position" X. There is "no reason" to meet President Xi in X weeks X. Preparing a "massive increase of tariffs on Chinese products" X. "Many other countermeasures" are under serious consideration US stocks are now falling to new weekly lows"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T15:11Z 1.1M followers, 453.8K engagements
"What just happened At 10:57 AM ET President Trump canceled his meeting with China and said "massive" tariff increases are coming. XX minutes later the S&P XXX erased -$1.2 TRILLION of market cap. Is this dip a BUYING opportunity Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 3.8M engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump will be speaking at both X PM and X PM ET today including an "announcement." Markets are looking for more detail on his new China tariff statement"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T17:23Z 1.1M followers, 391.4K engagements
"BREAKING: In a rare exception the US Labor Department will publish the September CPI report on October 24th even during a government shutdown. This will be published just X days prior to the highly anticipated October Fed meeting"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T17:43Z 1.1M followers, 198K engagements
"What a day: There has never been and there will never be a more exciting time to be in the market than now. Anything can happen on any day amid the trade war AI Revolution government shutdown Fed rate cuts and the list goes on. Embrace volatility; it's opportunity"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T20:42Z 1.1M followers, 177.7K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump announces a XXX% tariff on China starting November 1st and export controls on "any and all critical software.""
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T20:56Z 1.1M followers, 996.2K engagements
"BREAKING: S&P XXX futures extend losses to -XXX% on the day as President Trump announces a XXX% tariff on China. Thats a drop of -$2.5 TRILLION over the last X hours"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T21:00Z 1.1M followers, 206K engagements
"BREAKING: Bitcoin extends decline to -XX% on the day and falls below $110000 as President Trump announces XXX% tariffs on China"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T21:19Z 1.1M followers, 267.8K engagements
"BREAKING: Total crypto market cap losses exceed -$300 BILLION on the day as President Trump announces a XXX% tariff on China"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T21:34Z 1.1M followers, 373K engagements
"Amid the liquidation Bitcoin recorded a $20000 DAILY candlestick. This marks a $XXX BILLION swing in Bitcoin's market cap alone in a single-day. That's more than the market cap of all but XX public companies in the world. Once again this has never happened in history"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 143.2K engagements
"Even more evidence of the excessive long leverage in the market: ALL major exchanges except for Bitfinex saw an overwhelming percentage of long liquidations. Most were 90%+ long including a massive $XXXX BILLION on Hyperliquid alone. The same exchange the "whale" used"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 109.6K engagements
"The next component was the "shock effect." Markets became excessively crowded to the long direction after a historic run from the April 2025 low. Greed exceeded XX as shown below days before the crash. The sudden shock of the tariff post led to a MASSIVE shift in sentiment"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 111.6K engagements
"Yesterday's drop was a reminder of how fragile yet profitable markets have become. Between 9:30 AM ET and 5:20 PM ET crypto erased -$800 BILLION of market cap. Remain objective and capitalize on volatility. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 137.7K engagements
"@gainzalgo Leverage + Greed are a dangerous combination"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:49Z 1.1M followers, 51.3K engagements
"Risk appetite is skyrocketing in China: Stock turnover in Chinas stock market hit a record XXX trillion Yuan year-to-date. This surpassed the previous record set in 2024 when XXX Yuan was turned over. Since 2022 turnover has more than TRIPLED. This comes as the CSI XXX Chinas main stock index posted its 5th consecutive monthly gain in September the longest streak in X years. The index has now risen +19.6% year-to-date. Chinas equity market is gainingmomentum"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T17:43Z 1.1M followers, 130.8K engagements
"BREAKING: The US Government shutdown is now expected to last over XX days per Kalshi. This is just X days less than the longest shutdown in history"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T19:25Z 1.1M followers, 242.4K engagements
"BREAKING: China responds to President Trump's XXX% tariff for the first time since Friday: China says recent export controls on rare earths were "necessary defensive actions." China also said they will take "corresponding measures" if the US persists in raising tariffs"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T03:49Z 1.1M followers, 298.2K engagements
"China urges the US to correct its wrong practices as soon as possible" China says. Threatening with high tariffs at every turn is not the right way to get along with China." China seems to be standing by the export controls. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time updates"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T03:51Z 1.1M followers, 83.9K engagements
"BREAKING: China appears to soften their stance on recent rare earths export controls. China now says: X. The recent change is NOT a full export ban X. Applications that meet regulations will be approved X. Willing to engage in deeper dialogue X. Looks for global industrial and supply chain stability X. Relevant impact of export controls is "very limited" X. Calls this a "necessary defensive action" China also adds that they will take measures if the US persists in raising tariffs"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T04:03Z 1.1M followers, 1.2M engagements
"If President Trump responds and de-escalates on Sunday markets are set for a big jump on Monday. The reactivity of markets to Trump's posts remains incredibly high. More clarity is now being obtained. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T04:07Z 1.1M followers, 176.5K engagements
"Investors are waking up to some major news from China: The entire tariff crash on October 10th may have just been one big misunderstanding between Trump and Xi. The news about Chinas rare earth export controls came out on October 9th at 8:30 am ET XX hours BEFORE Trump posted about it. This was a non-news event UNTIL President Trump posted about it over one day later. Last night China released a statement clarifying their "export controls" on rare earths. In their response China said the new controls are NOT a full export ban and applications that meet regulations will be approved. Amid the"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T13:46Z 1.1M followers, 6.3M engagements
"Once again it appears this is NOT heading to an April 2025-like escalation. China appears to be willing to cooperate to avoid global supply chain disruptions. Now we await a statement from President Trump. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T15:32Z 1.1M followers, 86.5K engagements
"If you include the after hours drop in futures the S&P XXX is up +120 points at the open. This has effectively erased XX% of the decline seen late-last week. Now we await more guidance from the Trump Admin. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T22:06Z 1.1M followers, 71.3K engagements
"BREAKING: US Treasury Secretary Bessent says XXX% tariffs on China "doesn't have to happen" and the US-China "relationship is good." We are now on step #8 of our tariff trading playbook. Are you following our plan"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T12:08Z 1.1M followers, 456.5K engagements
"Investors are waking up to some major news from the US: Trump Administration officials are now saying the US-China relationship is "GOOD." And US Treasury Secretary is on live TV saying XXX% tariffs on China "don't have to happen." This confirms our view; President Trump misinterpreted China's export controls on October 10th. First markets did NOT react to the export controls when they were released XX hours BEFORE Trump's post. Then China clarified that new controls are NOT a full export ban and Trump posts dont worry about China it will be all fine. Now Trump Administration officials are"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T12:24Z 1.1M followers, 301.3K engagements
"BREAKING: Broadcom stock $AVGO surges over +13% after signing a "multi-billion dollar chip deal" with OpenAI. Broadcom will build custom data center chips for OpenAI and the deal covers 10GW of compute capacity. Broadcom now up +$200 BILLION of market cap today"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T13:05Z 1.1M followers, 448.6K engagements
"OpenAI has now signed "multi-billion dollar deals" with: X. US Government (Stargate) - $XXX Billion X. Nvidia - $XXX Billion X. AMD - Up to $XXX Billion X. Intel - $XX Billion X. TSMC - $XX Billion X. Microsoft - $XX Billion X. Oracle - $XX Billion X. Broadcom - "Multi-Billion" OpenAI's valuation could exceed $X trillion as soon as 2026. The world's fastest growing "non-profit" will soon be engrained in every US tech giant"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T13:43Z 1.1M followers, 499.8K engagements
"What's even more crazy is when you zoom out: Amid the record buying global official reserve assets in gold have risen toward 25%. The USD has gone from XX% down to 40%. But this is barely starting to make a dent in the below chart. Gold reserves can go much higher"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 29K engagements
"That leads us to this chart: Gold prices adjusted for US Money Supply are breaking out of a 50+ year downtrend. And when you adjust gold prices for US money supply the 1970s peak was X TIMES higher. When you zoom out it begins looking like we are still early here"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 28.6K engagements
"For the first time in 50+ years central banks are actually buying silver as well. The Saudi Central Bank purchased $XXXX million worth of $SLV in August. Institutional capital has followed with purchases by many large Wall Street institutions. Once again a major shift"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 28.1K engagements
"BREAKING: Gold futures extend gains to +$130/oz on the day now up +3.3% hitting a record $4130/oz. Gold has now added nearly +$1 trillion in market cap today"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T17:28Z 1.1M followers, 305.3K engagements
"Shocking stat of the day: The largest gold ETF $GLD posted $XXXX BILLION in volume on Thursday the 2nd-highest on record. The only other time it reached that level was in 2013. By comparison during Aprils gold rally daily volume peaked at $XX billion. Thursdays volume was also higher than most of the Magnificent X stocks. Demand for gold assets is incredibly strong"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T19:30Z 1.1M followers, 292.8K engagements
"BREAKING: China urges the US to correct wrongdoings regarding President Trumps XXX% tariff and says it will fight until the end. In other words step #9 in our tariff playbook is on the horizon"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T01:08Z 1.1M followers, 517.6K engagements
"BREAKING: Stock market futures extend gains as China confirms working level talks with the US. S&P XXX futures are now up +160 points since their Friday low"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T01:24Z 1.1M followers, 365K engagements
"What are your favorite energy-related stocks"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T13:35Z 1.1M followers, 67.9K engagements
"Dip buyers are taking on more leverage: The 2x leveraged Nvidia ETF $NVDU posted a record $XXX million in net inflows last week. This is XX% above the previous high of $XXX million set in January. It also ends a 4-week streak of net outflows. The surge marks only the 4th time $NVDU has had weekly inflows above $XX million. Meanwhile leveraged ETFs linked to AMD and the Nasdaq index also saw a significant demand last week. Investors are still betting bigontechstocks"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T14:28Z 1.1M followers, 138.1K engagements
"BREAKING: US markets pare losses with the Dow now up +500 points from its low on the day. Dip buyers remain in full swing. Are we about to turn green on the day"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T14:38Z 1.1M followers, 121.8K engagements
"BREAKING: The Dow erases a -XXX point loss and turns positive on the day as US Trade Representative Greer says a meeting between President Trump and China's President Xi has been SCHEDULED"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T15:46Z 1.1M followers, 223.7K engagements
"BREAKING: US Trade Representative Greer says the Trump Administration thinks they will be able to "work through it" with China. A meeting between President Trump and President Xi has officially been scheduled. Step number X in our tariff playbook has arrived"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T15:59Z 1.1M followers, 377.1K engagements
"The Bank of Japans balance sheet shrinkage is accelerating: Total assets on the BoJ balance sheet declined -$148 billion in Q3 2025 to $XXXX trillion the lowest since mid-2022. This marks the largest quarterly decline since Quantitative Tightening (QT) began in 2024. Since the March 2024 peak assets have fallen -$407 billion or -8.1%. To put this into perspective the BoJ's total assets to GDP ratio still stands above 110%. Meanwhile the Bank of Japan announced in late September that it would start gradually selling its ETF and REIT holdings at a pace of $XXX billion per year. Japan's era of"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T19:05Z 1.1M followers, 245.3K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump accuses China of an "economically hostile act" for not buying US soybeans. Trump says he is considering "terminating" business with China having to do with cooking oil and other elements of trade as retribution"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T19:41Z 1.1M followers, 547.8K engagements
"BREAKING: The State Department says it has revoked the visas at least X people for their comments on the death of Charlie Kirk"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T22:20Z 1.1M followers, 184K engagements
"The bull market is heading into its 4th anniversary: The S&P XXX index began its current bull run on October 12th 2022 surging +85% since adding +$28 trillion in market value. By comparison of the XX prior bull markets since World War II X completed a 4th year with an average total gain of +88%. Historical data suggests the market still has room to run. Since 1950 X bull markets have reached their 4th year delivering an average S&P XXX gain of +12.8%. The strongest 4th-year performances came in 1957 and 1972 with gains of +28.4% and +29.7% respectively. Can AI fuel another 12"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T00:04Z 1.1M followers, 131.8K engagements
"BREAKING: Gold futures cross above $4200/oz for the first time in history. Gold is now up nearly +60% in 2025 alone. One day we will wonder why gold was so cheap. Own assets or be left behind"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T01:38Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements
"When everything hit all time highs at the same time that's no longer a bull market. It's systemic shift. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T03:03Z 1.1M followers, 92.2K engagements
"BREAKING: Nasdaq XXX futures extend gains to over +1% as investors price-out trade tensions between the US and China"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T12:25Z 1.1M followers, 161K engagements
"Shocking stat of the day: Nvidia $NVDA has reflected X% of the S&P 500's market cap on average in 2025 the highest percentage of any company in the index. It has surpassed Apple $AAPL which held the top spot for the previous X consecutive years. Nvidias market weight is now the largest for any company since 1974. For perspective IBM $IBM dominated the market for XX years through the 1970s and 1980s. General Motors led for XX years during the 1950s1970s. Can Nvidia dominate the market over thenextdecade"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T16:09Z 1.1M followers, 166.3K engagements
"Another night another +$300 billion in market cap for gold. Gold futures now rising into a record $4250/oz"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T02:38Z 1.1M followers, 952.1K engagements
"Institutional investors remain bullish on stocks and gold: XX% of investors surveyed by Goldman Sachs say their favorite trade this quarter is long gold the highest reading for the second consecutive month. This is followed by long AI stocks at XX% of respondents. XX% of those surveyed expect the S&P XXX to outperform other major global indexes in October. Overall XX% expressed bullish sentiment for equities the highest since December 2024. This comes as XX% of participants say they are most bullish on AI infrastructure names. Meanwhile their positioning in the Magnificent X stocks reached"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T14:24Z 1.1M followers, 98.7K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump posts that he is currently on a lengthy call with President Putin"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T15:24Z 1.1M followers, 291.5K engagements
"US options market activity is exploding: The average daily volume of US equity and index options has surpassed XX million contracts for the first time ever. Total options volume has TRIPLED over the last X years. During this period call options volume has QUADRUPLED hitting a record XX million contracts. Simultaneously put options volume has TRIPLED reaching XX million contracts. Risk appetite is historicallystrong"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T15:30Z 1.1M followers, 104K engagements
"Gold is now worth $XX trillion MORE than the 2nd most valuable asset in the world. Gold has also added +$11 TRILLION in 2025 alone. We are witnessing an unprecedented run in precious metals right now. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T16:49Z 1.1M followers, 50K engagements
"What is happening with regional bank stocks today"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T17:43Z 1.1M followers, 589.1K engagements
"Confused about what's happening with regional bank stocks Here's the real issue: In March 2023 regional bank stocks collapsed the crisis was "contained" but nothing really changed. Banks who took outsized risk with either "backstopped" by the US government or acquired by JP Morgan. As a result this further incentivized taking on outsized risk particularly as deposits over the $250000 FDIC limit are now inherently "insured." That is: investors and regional bank companies know that the US government will "backstop" deposits in the case of a collapse. Today shares of Zions Bancorp crashed -13%"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T18:57Z 1.1M followers, 535.4K engagements
"Leading indicators point to further weakness in the US job market: US job postings on Indeed fell another -X% MoM in September reaching the lowest level since February 2021. Postings have declined -XX% since May 2022 and are now just +2.4% above pre-pandemic levels from February 2020. The steepest decline has been in White Collar jobs excluding Health Care with postings now -X% below pre-pandemic levels. Blue Collar job postings have also fallen but remain XX% above February 2020 levels. This all suggests a further deterioration in BLS-reported job openings for September. The labor market"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T19:48Z 1.1M followers, 134.8K engagements
"BREAKING: Gold officially becomes the first asset in history to hit $XX TRILLION in market cap. Its an all out global rush into gold"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T20:19Z 1.1M followers, 1.4M engagements
"The elephant in the room: Confidence in fiat currencies has collapsed. As a result absolutely no one wants cash right now. In fact cash allocation for institutional investors is down to XXX% the lowest percentage in XX years. The Fed will soon lose its independence rate cuts are coming into stagflation and global debt jumped +$14 TRILLION in Q2 2025 to a record $XXXXX trillion. You are either buying stocks at record highs piling into gold and silver or buying crypto. Meanwhile corporations are investing hundreds of billions into AI and governments will soon join the AI arms race prompting"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T00:33Z 1.1M followers, 737.4K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump was just asked if his XXX% tariff on China will stand. His response: No"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T11:22Z 1.1M followers, 534.5K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump announces that he will be meeting with Chinas President Xi in X weeks. I think well be fine with China Trump says. There it is folks step #10 of our tariff playbook is in the works. Timing (2 weeks) is exactly in-line as well"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T11:28Z 1.1M followers, 740.1K engagements
"BREAKING: S&P XXX futures erase losses as President Trump says high tariffs on China will NOT remain. Futures are now +75 points from their overnight low"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T11:32Z 1.1M followers, 1.6M engagements
"BREAKING: Oil prices officially fall below $57/barrel for the first time since May 5th now down -XX% since President Trump's inauguration. President Trump really wants gas prices below $2.00/gallon"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T13:48Z 1.1M followers, 407.1K engagements
"Investor leverage has nearly DOUBLED over the last X years. This marks a similar pace to the rise seen following the 2020 pandemic. As a % of GDP margin debt now sits just below the 2021 peak. Needless to say risk appetite is arguably at its strongest level ever"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 20.8K engagements
"Everyone wants a piece of the AI Revolution. US households allocation to equities has hit a record 52%. This now surpasses the 2000 peak of XX% by X percentage points. The percentage is also TWICE as high as at the 2008 low. Americans are piling into the stock market"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 19.2K engagements
"Clearly leveraged debt has skyrocketed to unprecedented levels. But what does it mean In our view the surge in leverage debt reflects just how strong momentum is right now. But it will also come with what we believe will be a more turbulent path higher for risky assets"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 20.7K engagements
"BREAKING: Gold & silver funds posted +$8.2 billion in net inflows last week the 2nd-biggest weekly inflow on record. This follows a record +$9.5 billion seen in the prior week. As a result the 4-week moving average of inflows spiked to a record +$7.5 billion. This is almost DOUBLE the previous high seen in early 2022. Overall gold funds have attracted +$34.2 billion over the last XX weeks the most in history. Money is flooding into gold at an unprecedentedpace"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T18:05Z 1.1M followers, 126.8K engagements
"Gold is becoming unaffordable: It now takes XXX hours of work in the US to buy X ounce of gold the most in at least XXX years. This comes as gold prices hit a record close of $4225 while average hourly earnings reached $XXXXX in August. The ratio has DOUBLED in just XX months the surge in gold prices has far outpaced income growth. This surpasses the previous peaks of XX hours seen in the 1930s 1980 and 2011. By comparison at the start of the century it took less than XX hours to buy X ounce of gold. Gold's rally is even stronger than you think"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-18T15:02Z 1.1M followers, 247.6K engagements
"Institutional investors are all-in on stocks: Global managers cash allocation fell to XXX% in October the lowest in XX years. Cash has stayed at or below X% of AUM for the 4th consecutive month. Since 1999 there have been only a few instances when cash levels were this low. Meanwhile XX% of managers said they are net overweight global stocks the most since January 2025. At the same time a record net XX% responded that global stocks are overvalued XX percentage points above the level seen during the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. Institutional investors are heavily exposed to equities"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-18T18:38Z 1.1M followers, 206.6K engagements
"ANNOUNCEMENT: We are excited to present The Kobeissi Letters 2024 performance report. Our setups have returned +371.7% since 2020 significantly outperforming the S&P 500s +83.0% return over the same period. Our S&P XXX setups provided a net return of +38.1% in 2024 also outperforming the S&P 500's 2024 return of +23.8%. The net return on our calls across all sections was +8.1% building on +15.5% in 2023 +92.8% in 2022 +35.3% in 2021 and +44.8% in 2020. Since 2020 we have returned +39.3% per year on average well ahead of the S&P 500s +14.4% average annual return since 2020. Read the full"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-01-11T17:00Z 1.1M followers, 6.6M engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump threatens to impose "200% tariffs or something" on China if they do not provide the US with magnets"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-25T17:23Z 1.1M followers, 3M engagements
"The US labor market is in trouble: Job cuts just surged by +88736 in August 2025 alone the highest August total since 2020. This brings the YTD total up to 892362 job cuts up a whopping +66% compared to 2024. What's happening to the labor market (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-04T13:43Z 1.1M followers, 1.7M engagements
"BREAKING: Tesla $TSLA offers Elon Musk a pay package valued as much as $X trillion. If fully realized this would be the CEO largest pay package in history"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-05T11:50Z 1.1M followers, 615.5K engagements
"BREAKING: Oracle stock $ORCL surges over +23% after reporting earnings with a +359% increase in contracted revenue. As we continue to reiterate we are still so early in the AI Revolution"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-09T21:00Z 1.1M followers, 627.1K engagements
"Manufacturing jobs are contracting: The US economy shed -12000 manufacturing jobs in August the second-largest drop since October 2024. This marks the 4th consecutive monthly decline the longest streak since the 2020 pandemic. Over the last X months manufacturing employment has fallen by -42000 to XXXX million the lowest level since March 2022. Furthermore since February 2023 the US economy has lost -178000 manufacturing jobs. Manufacturing employment is now below the pre-pandemic levels seen in 2019. US manufacturing is in a recession"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-18T15:56Z 1.1M followers, 131.1K engagements
"Current situation: X. Stocks are rising like the US economy is soaring X. Oil prices are falling like we are entering a recession X. Gold is rising like the Fed is cutting rates into inflation X. Bitcoin is falling like Fed rate cuts are postponed X. Home prices are rising like more rate cuts are coming X. Treasury yields are rising like stagflation has arrived The market is entering a new era of monetary policy"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-22T13:15Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements
"The US government shutdown: For the first time since 2018 the US is about to enter a government shutdown and investors are bracing for it. This would furlough 750000 workers PER DAY costing $400M in daily compensation. What does it all mean Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-30T19:28Z 1.1M followers, 1.5M engagements
"@elonmusk Netflix has now lost -$20 billion in market value this week. X is the most powerful platform in the world"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-02T02:45Z 1.1M followers, 642.3K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump is considering providing taxpayers with $1000 to $2000 stimulus checks using tariff revenue"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-02T20:38Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements
"Bitcoin now has a market cap of $XXX trillion or $XXXX trillion LESS than gold. In other words gold is currently XXXX times LARGER than Bitcoin. Even if Bitcoin hit $1000000 and gold was unchanged Bitcoin would still only be XX% of the size of gold. We are still early"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-05T20:17Z 1.1M followers, 427.2K engagements
"This is insane: AMD stock $AMD extends gains to +35% on the day after its deal with OpenAI. AMD is on track for its biggest single-day market cap gain in history"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T12:23Z 1.1M followers, 417.8K engagements
"BREAKING: Tens of thousands of Robinhood $HOOD users are reportedly unable to access their accounts amid an outage after the $AMD surge"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T14:09Z 1.1M followers, 1.3M engagements
"The bottom XX% of US households have benefited from the historic market run: The value of equities held by bottom XX% surpassed $XXX billion for the first time. Since the 2020 pandemic this figure has quintupled. This significantly exceeds the pre-pandemic average of roughly $XXX billion. However on a per-household basis that amounts to only $8150/household. Additionally the bottom XX% of households still own just X% of all US equities. The bottom half is still far behind"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T22:51Z 1.1M followers, 117.4K engagements
"BREAKING: Elon Musks xAI is reportedly nearing a $XX billion capital raise tied to Nvidias chips. Nvidia itself is among the investors in the xAI chip deal. Another multibillion dollar AI deal has arrived"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T23:25Z 1.1M followers, 481.4K engagements
"The US Dollar is doing something very unusual: The US Dollar has been more volatile than the S&P XXX over the last month according to Goldman Sachs. This is only the 3rd such occurrence over the last X years after December 2023 and July 2025. By comparison during the April sell-off the realized volatility ratio between the S&P XXX and the US Dollar Index jumped to 6x the highest since 2020. This comes as the US Dollar is on track for its worst year since 1973 down -XX% year-to-date. At the same time the S&P XXX has risen +14% hitting XX all-time highs. The Dollar is being sold and asset"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T20:32Z 1.1M followers, 155.8K engagements
"The byproduct of this is a major energy shortage. AI data centers are set to consume 1600 terawatt-hours of power demand by 2035 equal to XXX% of global electricity. Power demand from AI data centers is set to QUADRUPLE over the next XX years. We need more electricity"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 49.8K engagements
"BREAKING: Retail investors bought +$105 billion of US stocks over the last month the largest monthly purchase on record. Retail demand has risen FIVEFOLD since April. This brings total YTD purchases to +$630 billion already surpassing the all-time high of $XXX billion in 2021. Retail investors are now on track to buy $XXX billion worth of stocks in 2025. As a result retail shares traded as a % of total hit XX% just below the XX% record during the 2021 meme stock frenzy. Retail investors are buying likeneverbefore"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T18:54Z 1.1M followers, 318.8K engagements
"BREAKING: The US has finalized a $XX billion currency swap agreement with Argentina. The US is also directly purchasing Argentine pesos in an effort to revive Argentinas economy"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T19:05Z 1.1M followers, 688.8K engagements
"BREAKING: Global debt jumped +$14 TRILLION in Q2 2025 to a record $XXXXX trillion. In the first half of 2025 world debt surged by a massive +$21 trillion a rise comparable to H2 2020 when pandemic responses drove an unprecedented spike in debt. The US China France Germany the UK and Japan recorded the largest increases in debt levels amid a weakening US Dollar. Emerging markets accounted for $XXX trillion of the increase in Q2 pushing their total debt to $XXX trillion an all-time high. The total Debt-to-GDP ratio now stands at 324%. The debt crisis hasgoneglobal"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T21:59Z 1.1M followers, 150.4K engagements
"It's also worth noting that most of the tariff news is priced-in. The US effective tariff rate still stands at XXXX% the highest since 1935. Markets have known this for months now and the rally was technically overbought. We view today's Trump post as a "reason" to selloff"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 125K engagements
"Meanwhile Fed rate cuts will resume as the labor market clearly deteriorates. Underemployment is at XXX% the highest since 2021. All while XX% of items in CPI inflation are now rising by at least 3%. As we continue to reiterate asset owners will continue to be rewarded"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 117K engagements
"Current situation: X. Oil prices are below $59/barrel for the first time since May X. 10Y Note Yield is down XX basis points to XXXX% X. Natural gas prices are down -X% to new monthly lows X. Copper prices are down -X% in biggest drop since July X. The Fed is expected to cut rates X times in 2025 X. S&P XXX is still trading up over +32% in X months Is the trade war accomplishing all of Trump's goals at once"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T18:30Z 1.1M followers, 270.6K engagements
"Rare earth stocks are skyrocketing: After President Trump's post about China attempting to impose rare earths controls the market shifted. Between a Ukraine deal and China one of President Trump's top strategic priorities is controlling rare earths. Currently XX% of rare earths in the US come from China. Could one of President Trump's next equity stakes be in a rare earths company"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T19:29Z 1.1M followers, 613.3K engagements
"BREAKING: The Nasdaq XXX extends its decline to -XXX% on the day. Now on track for its biggest drop since April 10th"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T19:41Z 1.1M followers, 203.4K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says he has not cancelled his meeting with China's President Xi and he "might still" have the meeting. Just hours ago President Trump said he has "no reason" to meet with President Xi"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T22:13Z 1.1M followers, 689.7K engagements
"BREAKING: Today's decline officially marks the largest single-day liquidation in crypto history. More than -$9 BILLION was liquidated over the last XX hours"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T00:39Z 1.1M followers, 6.9M engagements
"The more you learn about the October 10th crypto liquidation the crazier it gets: First crypto began selling off at 9:30 AM ET well before the first tariff post at 10:57 AM ET. At this point many "whales" were already loading shorts in anticipation of a big drop. Then at 4:30 PM ET and 4:49 PM ET a "whale" purchased over $XX MILLION of shorts. Where it gets even more crazy is that longs were liquidated at a 7:1 ratio to shorts also historically high. This means that the vast majority (likely 80%+) of the XXX MILLION traders who were liquidated were levered long. The "whales" then promptly"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T22:20Z 1.1M followers, 942.7K engagements
"In the April 2025 era of the trade war Sundays before futures opened were a crucial time. The next X hours have often come with statements from the Trump Admin. We would not be surprised to see one today. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T13:53Z 1.1M followers, 290.2K engagements
"Key Events This Week: X. OPEC Monthly Report - Monday X. Fed Chair Powell Speaks - Tuesday X. NY Fed Manufacturing Index - Wednesday X. Philly Fed Manufacturing Index - Thursday X. NAHB Housing Market Index - Thursday X. XX% of S&P XXX Companies Report Earnings The data blackout on the US government shutdown continues"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T17:23Z 1.1M followers, 171.1K engagements
"BREAKING: Bitcoin extends gains to +5% on the day and reclaims $115000. Ethereum is now up +11% on the day and is X% away from pre-liquidation levels seen on October 10th"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T22:17Z 1.1M followers, 245.3K engagements
"The other question: why are central banks loading up on gold while calling for a "soft landing" The Fed is cutting rates into 3%+ inflation and global debt is skyrocketing. Global debt jumped +$14 TRILLION in Q2 2025 to a record $XXXXX trillion. Fiat is losing credibility"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 27.2K engagements
"Meanwhile silver prices are skyrocketing too up another X% today alone. This puts silver up +68% in 2025 and above $50/oz for the first time since 1980. Silver and gold are more than quadrupling the S&P 500's return in a historic EQUITIES bull market. This is unprecedented"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 26.1K engagements
"It now takes X Nvidia's to buy gold's market cap. Gold has added an average of $XXX billion PER MONTH for XX straight months. Never in history has any asset done anything remotely near this before"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T16:19Z 1.1M followers, 242.9K engagements
"US job markets leading indicator is still deteriorating: The gap between Americans saying jobs are plentiful and hard to get fell to XXX% in September the lowest since 2021. This is the weakest reading in X years outside the 2020 pandemic spike. Historically this measure been a leading indicator of unemployment suggesting higher jobless claims ahead. According to Moodys there is no better predictor of changes in unemployment than this metric. The Fed will have no choice but to continue cutting rates"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T18:29Z 1.1M followers, 169.7K engagements
"Risk appetite just broke another record: Total US options volume reached a record XXX million contracts on Friday. This beats Aprils Liberation Day high when trading activity surpassed XXX million for the first time. This comes as total call options volume hit XX million an all-time high. At the same time put options activity reached XX million contracts the 2nd-largest on record. To put this into perspective the 2021 meme stock mania record was XX million. Friday was a historic day"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T13:01Z 1.1M followers, 152.9K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump issues a statement about his "lengthy" phone call with President Putin. Trump says he will be meeting with Putin in Budapest to see if they can reach a deal to end the war between Russia and Ukraine"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T17:15Z 1.1M followers, 347.7K engagements
"Active managers are underperforming in 2025: Just XXXX% of active funds have beaten the market YTD the worst performance in at least XX years. This is in sharp contrast to XXXX% and XXXX% seen in 2021 and 2022. This is also well below the average of 42%. By comparison the century high was XXXX% in 2000 when the Dot-Com bubble popped. The most common reason for underperformance especially in the large-cap category is a reluctance to hold tech stocks. Active fundsmissed this rally"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T21:51Z 1.1M followers, 235.6K engagements
"Exactly X week ago President Trump said there was "no reason" to meet with Xi anymore. Today the meeting is back on and high tariffs will not remain. The market's rollercoaster ride continues. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T11:38Z 1.1M followers, 74.2K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump calls his XXX% tariff on China "not sustainable." "We have to have a fair deal" Trump says"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T12:07Z 1.1M followers, 833.4K engagements
"Meanwhile investors are searching for any source of yield to protect their spending power. As the Fed cuts rates into stagflation and US deficit spending exceeds $XXX BILLION in some months the US Dollar is declining. We believe nominal asset prices must rise as a result"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 12.4K engagements
"BREAKING: The US Government is now on track to shut down for more than XX days the longest shut down in history. This means the current shutdown is expected to last X TIMES longer than average"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T18:44Z 1.1M followers, 377.1K engagements
"Buy-the-dip activity is incredibly strong: Investors bought +$3.9 billion in US equities last week following X straight weeks of selling according to BofA. Net inflows to single stocks hit +$4.1 billion the 5th highest since 2008 and the largest on record for a week when the S&P XXX fell at least -1%. This was driven by institutional inflows of +$4.4 billion the most since November 2022. Retail investors bought +$1.1 billion marking their 2nd weekly purchase out of the last X. Meanwhile hedge funds sold -$1.6 billion posting their 5th consecutive weekly sale. Investors are eager to buy dips"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-18T23:01Z 1.1M followers, 118.6K engagements
/creator/twitter::3316376038/posts