[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] #  @KobeissiLetter The Kobeissi Letter The US-China trade relationship is a major focus, with President Trump announcing a XXX% tariff on China and considering increased tariffs on Chinese products, while also expressing concerns about China's control of rare earths. The market is reacting to these developments, with significant fluctuations in stock prices, including surges in rare earth stocks, Broadcom, and Oracle. Meanwhile, gold and silver prices are hitting record highs, with gold now up nearly XX% in 2025, as investors seek safe-haven assets amid rising economic uncertainty. ### Engagements: XXXXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::3316376038/interactions)  - X Week XXXXXXXXXX -XX% - X Month XXXXXXXXXXX +85% - X Months XXXXXXXXXXX +0.61% - X Year XXXXXXXXXXXXX +149% ### Mentions: XXX [#](/creator/twitter::3316376038/posts_active)  - X Week XXX -XXXX% - X Month XXX +0.85% - X Months XXXXX -XX% - X Year XXXXX +110% ### Followers: XXXXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::3316376038/followers)  - X Week XXXXXXXXX +1.10% - X Month XXXXXXXXX +5.90% - X Months XXXXXXXXX +20% - X Year XXXXXXXXX +76% ### CreatorRank: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::3316376038/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence [#](/creator/twitter::3316376038/influence) --- **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) #114 [countries](/list/countries) #3807 [stocks](/list/stocks) #1200 [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) #742 [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) #6200 [currencies](/list/currencies) #3477 [exchanges](/list/exchanges) #3419 [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) XXXX% [celebrities](/list/celebrities) XXXX% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) XXXX% **Social topic influence** [china](/topic/china) #192, [over the](/topic/over-the) #86, [stocks](/topic/stocks) #93, [market cap](/topic/market-cap) #5, [tariffs](/topic/tariffs) #6, [fed](/topic/fed) #20, [futures](/topic/futures) #123, [bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #3691, [24 hours](/topic/24-hours) #529, [rates](/topic/rates) #360 **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@kalshi](/creator/undefined) [@grok](/creator/undefined) [@xynth_m](/creator/undefined) [@stockstormx](/creator/undefined) [@azimuthrsrch](/creator/undefined) [@ksquared1919](/creator/undefined) [@brianobrien13](/creator/undefined) [@elonmusk](/creator/undefined) [@tonitrades_](/creator/undefined) [@realjoseyan](/creator/undefined) [@saylormoon_1](/creator/undefined) [@gainzalgo](/creator/undefined) [@alifarhat79](/creator/undefined) [@soveconomy](/creator/undefined) [@dailynoahnews](/creator/undefined) [@briefing_block_](/creator/undefined) [@shashank_sindhe](/creator/undefined) [@mingle_malinger](/creator/undefined) [@yoki_sgn](/creator/undefined) [@investibrew](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/tesla) [Ethereum (ETH)](/topic/ethereum) [Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)](/topic/$amd) [Goldman Sachs (GS)](/topic/goldman-sachs) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl) [The Official XX Coin (67)](/topic/$67) [Walrus (WAL)](/topic/$wal) [MUX Protocol (MCB)](/topic/$mcb) [Zions Bancorporation, NA. (ZION)](/topic/$zion) [Comerica, Inc. (CMA)](/topic/$cma) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [IBM (IBM)](/topic/ibm) [Intel Corporation (INTC)](/topic/$intc) [Oracle Corporation (ORCL)](/topic/$orcl) [New York Community Bancorp, Inc. (NYCB)](/topic/$nycb) [Valley National Bancorp (VLY)](/topic/$vly) [Centrifuge (CFG)](/topic/$cfg) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/microsoft) [Lithium Americas Corp. Common Shares (LAC)](/topic/$lac) [Bank of America (BAC)](/topic/bank-of-america) ### Top Social Posts [#](/creator/twitter::3316376038/posts) --- Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours "What is happening in Argentina In XX hours Argentina's stock market COLLAPSED -XX% with the Argentine Peso now down -XX% in XX years. Today the Trump Administration offered a "lifeline" to Argentina sending stocks surging +8%. Can Argentina be saved (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970138638634877064) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-22T14:50Z 1.1M followers, 1.2M engagements "Gold demand continues to surge: Global gold ETF holdings rose by +27 tonnes on Friday the biggest daily increase since January 2022. This is DOUBLE the daily average seen so far this year. As a result gold-backed ETFs increased +0.9% the largest single-day percentage gain since 2022. Gold prices are now on track for their 6th consecutive weekly gain the longest streak since February. Meanwhile daily options volume of the largest silver ETF $SLV spiked to XXX million shares on Friday the highest since April 2024. Precious metals are making history" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970997908544561641) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-24T23:44Z 1.1M followers, 144.3K engagements "Something is seriously wrong here: For the first time in history a NEW home in the US costs $33500 LESS than an EXISTING home per Reventure. Not even June 2005 saw such a large gap right before the 2008 Financial Crisis. What is happening Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1957789162683187525) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-19T12:58Z 1.1M followers, 2.9M engagements "BREAKING: Nvidia stock surges above $180/share after announcing plans to invest up to $XXX billion in OpenAI as part of a data center build-out" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970160218983027193) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-22T16:16Z 1.1M followers, 681.3K engagements "We are still early: The Nasdaq XXX is up for X STRAIGHT months for the 6th time since 1986. In the previous X times the Nasdaq XXX NEVER ended lower XX months later with an average gain of +18%. History says the Nasdaq XXX will be +9% higher in X months. Buckle up" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974483143760465947) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-04T14:34Z 1.1M followers, 334.5K engagements "@gainzalgo Leverage + Greed are a dangerous combination" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977008689350623329) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:49Z 1.1M followers, 51.3K engagements "BREAKING: The S&P XXX falls 70+ points in seconds after President Trump publishes the below paragraph about China. Trump says he is calculating increased tariffs on Chinese products. Trump also says there is "no reason" to meet Chinese President Xi anymore" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976664345435414918) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T15:01Z 1.1M followers, 2.1M engagements "BREAKING: S&P XXX futures extend losses to -XXX% on the day as President Trump announces a XXX% tariff on China. Thats a drop of -$2.5 TRILLION over the last X hours" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976754859580756479) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T21:00Z 1.1M followers, 206.3K engagements "This is unusual: XX minutes before President Trump's tariff announcement yesterday a "whale" took a multi-million dollar SHORT in Bitcoin. X hour later crypto saw its largest ever liquidation and this position was liquidated for +$192 MILLION in profit. Did someone know" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977024892886196512) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T14:54Z 1.1M followers, 2.9M engagements "The trillion dollar question: How will we generate enough energy to power all of these AI deals The US Department of Energy says US data centers will use 325000580000 GWh of power per year by 2028. Thats equivalent to the power used by XX million homes all on JUST data centers. Currently nuclear power is viewed as the only solution to the impending power shortage. The average nuclear produces power plant can produce 8000 GWh per year. In other words we would need XX plants new to power 580000 GWh data centers. However here is the problem: The US has added X nuclear reactors since 1995 and it" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978065576753840213) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T11:49Z 1.1M followers, 722.1K engagements "Shocking stat of the day: Working Americans now allocate an average of $2358 per year into the Magnificent X stocks. This comes as XX% of 401(k) contributions totaling $8580 are going into equities according to Apollo. Meanwhile the Magnificent X account for almost XX% of the S&P XXX. This means roughly XX% of 401(k) assets flow directly into these stocks. This represents passive capital moving into the Magnificent X regardless of outlook. Big tech will keep getting bigger" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978268088215773318) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T01:14Z 1.1M followers, 248.8K engagements "What is happening with regional bank stocks today" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978879404081135618) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T17:43Z 1.1M followers, 592K engagements "BREAKING: The S&P XXX extends its rally to over +1% on the day and is now just XX points away from a new record high. Ignore the noise and this market becomes incredibly profitable" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980286419558957474) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-20T14:54Z 1.1M followers, 156.6K engagements "What is happening with Ethereum Short positioning in Ethereum is now up +40% in ONE WEEK and +500% since November 2024. Never in history have Wall Street hedge funds been so short of Ethereum and it's not even close. What do hedge funds know is coming (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1888732751039181154) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-02-09T23:32Z 1.1M followers, 1.5M engagements "BREAKING: An investor group led by @ElonMusk is making a $XXXX billion bid to buy OpenAI per WSJ" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1889052976146157891) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-02-10T20:45Z 1.1M followers, 716.7K engagements "WOW. The SEC just said that meme coins are generally NOT considered securities under US federal law. They also said that meme coins have "limited or no use" and do not need to be registered with the SEC. This is a MASSIVE statement by the SEC" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1895224651414151188) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-02-27T21:29Z 1.1M followers, 774.5K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump is reportedly expected to make a "major update" on his upcoming crypto strategy" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1902432901725106466) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-03-19T18:52Z 1.1M followers, 476.6K engagements "The free fall continues: Today's drop in US stock market futures puts S&P XXX futures down -XX% and in bear market territory. The US stock market has now erased an average of $XXX billion PER TRADING DAY for 32-straight days. Is it time to BUY stocks yet (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1909031822677115320) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-04-06T23:53Z 1.1M followers, 2.6M engagements "BREAKING: S&P XXX futures fall nearly -XXX points as the selloff from todays session continues" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1910494552223269222) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-04-11T00:46Z 1.1M followers, 205.8K engagements "BREAKING: Nvidia $NVDA says the US government has banned them from selling H20 chips to China "for the indefinite future." Nvidia says this will come with a $XXX billion charge to Q1 earnings. The stock is down over -X% on the news" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1912260155351191619) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-04-15T21:42Z 1.1M followers, 2M engagements "The shift in Japanese bond markets is deep rooted and complex. However it will have global implications on financial markets. Let us know if you'd like to see a thread explaining this topic. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1924804447626019078) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-05-20T12:28Z 1.1M followers, 92.3K engagements "The global silver shortage: The price gap between New York silver futures and London spot prices widened to $XXXX per ounce. The last time silver experienced such a disconnect was in March when fears of US tariffs on silver pushed prices higher. At the same time lease rates the short-term borrowing cost of silver jumped to XXX% far above the usual near-zero level signaling a tightening market. According to TD Securities silver supplies are dangerously low and the amount of freely available silver in London is at its lowest level on record. As a result silver prices have surged +5% over the" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1945162694086287374) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-07-15T16:45Z 1.1M followers, 179.8K engagements "Key Events This Week: X. CB Consumer Confidence data - Tuesday X. June JOLTs Job Opening data - Tuesday X. Q2 2025 GDP data - Wednesday X. Fed Meeting and Interest Rate Decision - Wednesday X. June PCE Inflation data - Thursday X. July Jobs Report - Friday We have a massive week ahead of us" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1949430821170856182) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-07-27T11:25Z 1.1M followers, 160.1K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says the August 1st tariff deadline will not be extended. However this weekend the US and China extended their tariff deadline by another XX days" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1950523037226570026) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-07-30T11:45Z 1.1M followers, 194.1K engagements "What just happened Last night news emerged of a "trade deal" that has never happened before. Nvidia and AMD agreed with Trump to provide the US with XX% of REVENUE from chip sales in China to remove export controls. Corporations are panicking. Here's why. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1954841769272541503) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-11T09:46Z 1.1M followers, 5.5M engagements "The AI Revolution is so massive that electricity prices are moving in a literal straight line higher. Energy is the new limiting factor to AI growth" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1962352433272676417) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-01T03:10Z 1.1M followers, 764.5K engagements "BREAKING: The US economy adds 22000 jobs in August below expectations of 75000. The unemployment rate RISES to XXX% in-line with expectations of 4.3%. This marks the 2nd lowest jobs report number since July 2021. The labor market is rapidly deteriorating" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1963943227561537958) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-05T12:32Z 1.1M followers, 354.5K engagements "BREAKING: Global meat prices officially hit an all-time high in August now up another +10% in 2025. This comes the US cattle herd is at its smallest in decades while Brazil a top exporter is also seeing herd numbers shrink. Rising dairy prices are also limiting supply as fewer cattle are being sent to slaughter according to the FAO. Additionally strong US demand lifted Australian beef prices due to tariffs while Chinese imports from Brazil grew. Meanwhile in the UK beef and veal prices are up nearly +25% YoY. Food inflation is still here" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1964703741996908730) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-07T14:54Z 1.1M followers, 354.1K engagements "Shocking stat of the day: US federal debt will reach $XXX TRILLION by 2055 according to the CBO's own forecast. This would be $XXX million of debt per American household up from the current $274000. It would also push the US Debt-to-GDP ratio to a record XXX% up from the current 123%. To put this into perspective US Debt-to-GDP has averaged XX% over the last XX years. The CBO projects that the budget deficit will exceed X% of GDP every year until 2055. In US history deficits this high have only occurred for 5-straight years one time during World War II. The US debt crisis is set to get even" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1965127749925999053) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-08T18:59Z 1.1M followers, 244.8K engagements "BREAKING: The US Treasury posted a $XXX billion budget deficit in August the largest monthly deficit of 2025 and the 2nd-worst August on record. This is up from Julys $XXX billion deficit and has only been surpassed by last years $XXX billion deficit. Government spending surged to $XXX billion for the month. Through the XX months of FY2025 so far the US deficit is now up to $XXXX trillion on track to be the 3rd-largest annual deficit in history after 2020 and 2021. The deficit spending spiral isaccelerating" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1966563964457713818) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-12T18:06Z 1.1M followers, 227.5K engagements "Manufacturing jobs are contracting: The US economy shed -12000 manufacturing jobs in August the second-largest drop since October 2024. This marks the 4th consecutive monthly decline the longest streak since the 2020 pandemic. Over the last X months manufacturing employment has fallen by -42000 to XXXX million the lowest level since March 2022. Furthermore since February 2023 the US economy has lost -178000 manufacturing jobs. Manufacturing employment is now below the pre-pandemic levels seen in 2019. US manufacturing is in a recession" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1968705574855426311) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-18T15:56Z 1.1M followers, 131.1K engagements "This is historic: US nominal GDP has grown XX% since the 2020 low marking the strongest economic expansion since World War X. This surpasses the XX% growth recorded in 1975-1978. It also corresponds to an average annual nominal GDP increase of X% indicating rapid expansion. By comparison the post-2008 Financial Crisis recovery saw XX% nominal growth until 2014. In other words in Dollar terms the US economy has grown twice as fast as it did after emerging from 2008. The US economy is experiencingahistoricrun" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970104542420427251) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-22T12:35Z 1.1M followers, 196.5K engagements "A new era for financial markets: Today's news that the Trump Administration is seeking a XX% stake in Lithium Americas $LAC is huge. This comes just X weeks after President Trump acquired XX% of Intel for $XXX billion. And the US government's portfolio will continue to grow: In June 2025 the Trump Administration negotiated a golden share in US Steel giving it veto/consent rights over key corporate decisions. Then Trump Administration officials floated the idea of an equity stake in defense contractors such as Lockheed Martin. To top it off reports emerged X weeks ago about a 15%" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970602117619438024) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-23T21:32Z 1.1M followers, 199.2K engagements "Pharmaceuticals are next: It began with large cap technology companies announcing $600+ billion investments in the US to avoid tariffs. Now President Trump is explicitly stating that pharmaceutical companies who are not "building their manufacturing plants in America" will face XXX% tariffs. Over the next 48-72 hours we expect to see widespread announcements of new pharmaceutical plants coming to the US. Trump wants more US investment" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1971370234423529607) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-26T00:24Z 1.1M followers, 288.9K engagements "Key Economic Data Suspended During Govt Shutdown: X. Jobless claims (Labor Deptartment) X. Nonfarm payrolls (BLS) X. Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index (BLS) X. Retail sales factory orders housing starts trade data (Census/BEA) X. Employment Trends Index (Conference Board) X. GDP data (BEA) X. New home sales and construction permits (Census Bureau) X. Export and import trade data (Census/Commerce) The next Fed meeting is X weeks away and we are entering a data freeze. Historically the Fed shifts MORE dovish on average during a US government shutdown" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973373583146557671) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-01T13:05Z 1.1M followers, 131.4K engagements "BREAKING: Bank reserves at the Fed dropped -$21 billion last week to $XXXX trillion the lowest since January. This is one of the lowest readings since Q1 2023. This also marks the 7th consecutive weekly decline as liquidity has declined. US banking system reserves are a key factor in the Feds decision to continue shrinking its balance sheet (QT). According to the Fed the ample-reserve level for smooth market functioning is $2.8$3.4 trillion. Is the Fed about to end QT" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973393348221116482) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-01T14:23Z 1.1M followers, 164.5K engagements "The bull market has been historic: The S&P XXX recorded XX all-time highs last quarter its best streak since 1998. This also aligns with the market run observed in Q4 2017. As a result the index rallied +8.4% over the last X months. Last month alone the S&P XXX gained +3.5% posting the best September in XX years. Since 1929 after quarters with 20+ record highs the S&P XXX has risen +6.3% on average and advanced XX% of the time over the next XX months. History suggests this market runshouldcontinue" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973492868716118106) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-01T20:59Z 1.1M followers, 108.8K engagements "This timeline is insane: President Trump is now up +80% on his Intel investment X weeks ago" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973820275905986935) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-02T18:40Z 1.1M followers, 634.5K engagements "Investors are piling into options at a record pace: Total call options volume has averaged over XX million contracts a day over the last XX days the most on record. Call options volume has DOUBLED over the last X years. This is also XX million contracts above the 2021 meme stock frenzy peak. Furthermore call options as a share of total options volume hit XX% on Wednesday matching the highs seen in late 2024. By comparison during the April sell-off this metric sat at XX% one of the lowest readings since the 2022 bear market. Bullish sentiment is throughtheroof" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974166054965260476) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-03T17:34Z 1.1M followers, 272.6K engagements "BREAKING: Bitcoin officially surges to a new record high of $124300" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974665280703078677) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-05T02:37Z 1.1M followers, 693.2K engagements "Yesterday on a casual Saturday night Bitcoin surged to $125000 a new all time high. This makes Bitcoin worth a record $XXX trillion. Meanwhile gold has hit XX record highs in 2025 and is now worth a whopping $XXXX TRILLION. That's more than XX TIMES the value of Bitcoin" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974844936685019463) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-05T14:31Z 1.1M followers, 42.9K engagements "Meanwhile take a look at Silver worth $XXX TRILLION and up over +60% YTD. Gold Silver and Bitcoin are now all in the top XX largest assets in the world. These are all typically viewed as safe haven assets which rise when stocks fall. But take a look at equity markets" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974844939256357078) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-05T14:31Z 1.1M followers, 40K engagements "Something usual is happening: Silver is now up +63% in 2025 and worth a whopping $XXX TRILLION nearly at a record high. Meanwhile Bitcoin casually hit a record $125000 on a Saturday night and gold has made XX all time highs in 2025. All while the S&P XXX is on one of its best 6-month runs in history. Own assets or be left behind" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974899889634185457) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-05T18:10Z 1.1M followers, 619.5K engagements "The US market is on fire: The market cap of US stocks relative to the US M2 money supply hit XXX% the highest since 2000. Over the last X years this percentage has grown a whopping +125 points. This has now officially surpassed the pre-2008 Financial Crisis peak of 290%. By comparison the Dot-Com Bubble peak was 370%. To reach such a level the US stock market would need to grow another XX% assuming a constant M2 money supply. We are witnessing a historic run" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974912724782944337) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-05T19:01Z 1.1M followers, 394.2K engagements "The US manufacturing sector remains under pressure: The ISM Manufacturing Index came in at XXXX in September marking the 7th straight month of contraction. The manufacturing sector has now been in a contraction for XX out of the last XX months. New orders declined -XXX points to XXXX marking the 7th month of contraction this year and reflecting softening demand across the sector. The Employment Index rose +1.5 points to XXXX but remained below expansion for the 8th-straight month. Meanwhile prices paid fell -XXX points to XXXX posting the 3rd consecutive monthly decline. US manufacturing" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974973877739766085) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-05T23:04Z 1.1M followers, 85.1K engagements "This is insane: AMD stock $AMD extends gains to +35% on the day after its deal with OpenAI. AMD is on track for its biggest single-day market cap gain in history" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975174984441233742) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T12:23Z 1.1M followers, 417.9K engagements "Last month the US Dollar Index $DXY hit its lowest level since 2022. It's down -XX% YTD for the first time in X decades. As we began writing a few months ago owning assets is the only hedge to this new era of monetary policy. Gold is trading as if the system has shifted" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975552059123572857) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 18.1K engagements "BREAKING: Silver prices officially exceed $49/oz for the first time since 2011 now up +65% year-to-date. Gold futures are rapidly approaching $4100/oz just hours after breaking above the record $4000 level" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975892200010719550) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T11:53Z 1.1M followers, 312.8K engagements "BREAKING: The S&P XXX surges to a fresh record high now up +35.5% in X months. That's +$16.5 TRILLION in market cap since April 7th" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975960031398183105) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T16:22Z 1.1M followers, 118.9K engagements "BREAKING: The IRS is furloughing close to XX% of its workforce as part of the US government shutdown" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975988612056379669) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T18:16Z 1.1M followers, 352.4K engagements "US consumer borrowing is slowing: US consumer credit rose by just +$363 million in August the slowest pace in X months and far below expectations of a +$14.0 billion increase. The modest gain follows a sharp +$18.1 billion rise in July. The slowdown was driven by a -$6.0 billion drop in revolving credit which includes credit cards the second-largest decline in XXX years. Non-revolving credit which includes auto and student loans rose +$6.3 billion. Meanwhile the average interest rate on credit cards rose to XXXX% the highest this year and near the highest on record. Americans are pulling back" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975993596726661523) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T18:36Z 1.1M followers, 88.7K engagements "The US Dollar is doing something very unusual: The US Dollar has been more volatile than the S&P XXX over the last month according to Goldman Sachs. This is only the 3rd such occurrence over the last X years after December 2023 and July 2025. By comparison during the April sell-off the realized volatility ratio between the S&P XXX and the US Dollar Index jumped to 6x the highest since 2020. This comes as the US Dollar is on track for its worst year since 1973 down -XX% year-to-date. At the same time the S&P XXX has risen +14% hitting XX all-time highs. The Dollar is being sold and asset" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976022788940165290) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T20:32Z 1.1M followers, 155.8K engagements "It's also worth noting that most of the tariff news is priced-in. The US effective tariff rate still stands at XXXX% the highest since 1935. Markets have known this for months now and the rally was technically overbought. We view today's Trump post as a "reason" to selloff" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976683412191592795) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 125K engagements "BREAKING: Bitcoin extends decline to -XX% on the day and falls below $110000 as President Trump announces XXX% tariffs on China" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976759613002301549) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T21:19Z 1.1M followers, 267.9K engagements "The first question becomes how did this large "whale" time the drop so perfectly By 5:20 PM ET XX minutes after Trump's tariff announcement liquidations hit -$19.5 billion. The shorts were closed promptly after the drop for +$192M in profit. But there's more" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005763928506584) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 133.2K engagements "This week's rebound in volatility means opportunity for investors. The macroeconomy is shifting and stocks commodities bonds and crypto are investable. Want to receive our premium analysis Subscribe to access our premium analysis below:" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005779720061011) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 141.2K engagements "BREAKING: The US Government shutdown is now expected to last over XX days per Kalshi. This is just X days less than the longest shutdown in history" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977093245848240491) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T19:25Z 1.1M followers, 242.5K engagements "The shift in positioning on Friday was a wake up call for levered investors. Outsized risk is dangerous in this environment. See a full breakdown of what happened and what we believe is coming next below. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977166810278740247) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T00:17Z 1.1M followers, 174.3K engagements "Meanwhile the market will react to the US-China trade developments this weekend. We just published our trades for premium members. Since 2020 our calls are up over +370%. Subscribe below to see how we are positioned into the week:" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977424838089494905) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T17:23Z 1.1M followers, 63.6K engagements "If you include the after hours drop in futures the S&P XXX is up +120 points at the open. This has effectively erased XX% of the decline seen late-last week. Now we await more guidance from the Trump Admin. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977496085565157458) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T22:06Z 1.1M followers, 71.4K engagements "BREAKING: Bitcoin extends gains to +5% on the day and reclaims $115000. Ethereum is now up +11% on the day and is X% away from pre-liquidation levels seen on October 10th" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977498993539039415) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T22:17Z 1.1M followers, 245.5K engagements "S&P XXX futures are now up +130 points from their post-market low on Friday. Gold is above $4100 for the first time ever and oil prices are back to $XX. Friday's move lower is largely being undone. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977718446612742490) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T12:49Z 1.1M followers, 60.5K engagements "@miyagiticks @elonmusk What can be done" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977737197215236154) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T14:04Z 1.1M followers, 14K engagements "What's even more crazy is when you zoom out: Amid the record buying global official reserve assets in gold have risen toward 25%. The USD has gone from XX% down to 40%. But this is barely starting to make a dent in the below chart. Gold reserves can go much higher" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977753885881127292) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 29.1K engagements "That leads us to this chart: Gold prices adjusted for US Money Supply are breaking out of a 50+ year downtrend. And when you adjust gold prices for US money supply the 1970s peak was X TIMES higher. When you zoom out it begins looking like we are still early here" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977753888292733295) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 28.6K engagements "The other question: why are central banks loading up on gold while calling for a "soft landing" The Fed is cutting rates into 3%+ inflation and global debt is skyrocketing. Global debt jumped +$14 TRILLION in Q2 2025 to a record $XXXXX trillion. Fiat is losing credibility" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977753890545095040) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 27.2K engagements "Meanwhile silver prices are skyrocketing too up another X% today alone. This puts silver up +68% in 2025 and above $50/oz for the first time since 1980. Silver and gold are more than quadrupling the S&P 500's return in a historic EQUITIES bull market. This is unprecedented" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977753892579352865) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 26.1K engagements "For the first time in 50+ years central banks are actually buying silver as well. The Saudi Central Bank purchased $XXXX million worth of $SLV in August. Institutional capital has followed with purchases by many large Wall Street institutions. Once again a major shift" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977753895079125338) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 28.2K engagements "@Stackedd123 Much appreciated" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979150446263443822) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T11:40Z 1.1M followers, 7897 engagements "Most Shorted Stocks by Dollar Amount: X. Tesla $TSLA: $XXXX billion X. RTX Corp $RTX: $XXX billion X. Exxon Mobil $XOM: $XXX billion X. IBM $IBM: $XXX billion X. Charter Comm. $CHTR: $XXX billion X. Chevron $CVX: $XXX billion X. Airbnb $ABNB: $XXX billion X. Blackstone $BX: $XXX billion X. Applied Materials $AMAT: $XXX billion XX. Occidental Petroleum $OXY: $XXX billion For years now Tesla has held the title of being one of the most heavily shorted stocks. Meanwhile the stock is up nearly 20000% since it went public. Elon Musk leads X companies that are now worth a combined $X trillion+. Why" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1728796970460831970) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2023-11-26T15:24Z 1.1M followers, 1.7M engagements "The US dollar has been one of the best-performing currencies of 2024 so far. Some emerging market currencies have weakened by as much as XX% compared to the US Dollar. The Chilean Peso Turkish Lira and Brazilian Real have weakened by XXXX% XXX% and XXX% respectively. A stronger US Dollar makes it more expensive for countries to transact with the US. As higher for longer Fed policy returns it's unlikely this trend reverses. We may actually need a WEAKER US Dollar now" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1780993170035151151) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2024-04-18T16:13Z 1.1M followers, 95.2K engagements "Today the White House said President Trump believes Apple can produce iPhones entirely in the US. How much would this cost According to Forbes it would cost $30000-$100000 to solely manufacture an iPhone in the US" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1909681808419016971) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-04-08T18:56Z 1.1M followers, 688.9K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump just now: I like Tesla. $TSLA" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1933191274221146218) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-06-12T15:54Z 1.1M followers, 383.8K engagements "You cant make this up: On May 23rd President Trump threatened Apple $AAPL and Samsung with a XX% tariff on phones not made in the USA. This was the first Trump tariff in 2025 to target individual companies. Today exactly XX days later the Trump Organization announced Trump Mobile. Trump Mobile will be using phones made in the USA. Truly incredible" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1934585873435070474) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-06-16T12:16Z 1.1M followers, 469.5K engagements "BREAKING: Meta stock $META surges over +9% after posting stronger than expected Q2 2025 earnings results" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1950650112109396046) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-07-30T20:10Z 1.1M followers, 363.3K engagements "BREAKING: U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick announces that the U.S. will be issuing economic data on blockchain beginning with GDP data. The U.S. government is officially embracing blockchain technology" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1960408624334786968) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-26T18:26Z 1.1M followers, 354.7K engagements "History unfolding in one chart: The US Dollar to Gold ratio is falling off of a cliff" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1963272984841388312) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-03T16:08Z 1.1M followers, 906.9K engagements "BREAKING: The US Labor Department's internal watchdog is launching a probe into the BLS to review the "challenges" that they are facing in data collection. This comes just XX hours after US jobs data was revised down by -911000 jobs the largest revision in history" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1965792130846318834) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-10T14:59Z 1.1M followers, 150.4K engagements "BREAKING: Pfizer $PFE and Moderna $MRNA stock fall sharply on reports that US officials are planning to link COVID-19 vaccines to XX child deaths" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1966529604652314975) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-12T15:49Z 1.1M followers, 388.5K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says all NATO nations are preparing to "do major sanctions on Russia" and impose XX% to XXX% tariffs on China" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1966837146460848394) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-13T12:11Z 1.1M followers, 879.2K engagements "BREAKING: Alphabet $GOOGL officially becomes the 4th company in history to hit $X trillion in market cap" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1967592917356498993) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-15T14:14Z 1.1M followers, 238.1K engagements "BREAKING: US Treasury Secretary Bessent says the next round of US-China trade talks could result in another 90-day tariff pause. This would be the third straight pause for a total of XXX days" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1967597840139767941) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-15T14:34Z 1.1M followers, 282.2K engagements "BREAKING: Unrealized losses on investment securities for US banks reached $XXXXX billion in Q2 2025. This is X TIMES higher than at the peak of the 2008 Financial Crisis. This also marks the 13th consecutive quarter of losses as interest rates remained elevated. Meanwhile the number of banks on the FDIC Problem Bank List reached XX in Q2 2025 or XXX% of the aggregate. Unrealized losses at banks continue to pose a significantrisk" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1967991620109767069) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-16T16:39Z 1.1M followers, 314.6K engagements "President Trump just posted this. We are living in unprecedented times for financial markets" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1968893035271315666) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-19T04:20Z 1.1M followers, 598.2K engagements "This is unprecedented: Software and technology investment's contribution to US Real GDP growth surpassed X percentage point for the first time in history. Contribution has DOUBLED over the last several quarters. It has also exceeded the previous peak reached during the Dot-Com Bubble in 1998. However after the bubble popped software and technology businesses were the biggest drag on GDP during the 2001 recession. Deutsche Bank estimates that without technology spending the US economy would have been close to or in a recession. The AI boom is driving economicgrowth" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1971711128360439948) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-26T22:59Z 1.1M followers, 123.9K engagements "Is the US Dollar set for a rebound The Bloomberg US Economic Surprise Index turned positive this week for the first time since February. The index measures whether economic data comes in above or below consensus estimates. This comes as Q2 2025 GDP growth initial jobless claims and personal spending data all surprised to the upside. Historically when the Economic Surprise Index rises and stays positive the US Dollar tends to strengthen. Meanwhile speculative USD short positions by asset managers and leveraged funds have hit their highest level since early 2021. Is a US Dollar short squeeze" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1971942860724260977) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-27T14:19Z 1.1M followers, 197.8K engagements "BREAKING: The US government will shut down at midnight as Congress has failed to pass a funding bill" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973190337750540645) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-01T00:56Z 1.1M followers, 323.8K engagements "@elonmusk Netflix has now lost -$20 billion in market value this week. X is the most powerful platform in the world" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973580075368161497) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-02T02:45Z 1.1M followers, 642.4K engagements "Semiconductor stocks are making history: The Semiconductors Index $SOX relative to the S&P XXX equal-weighted index reached XXXX the highest since the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. Since the 2022 bear market this ratio has more than DOUBLED. This comes as Semiconductor stocks have rallied +202% during this period. At the same time the equal-weighted S&P XXX has increased just +48%. To put this into perspective the ratio reached 1.3x at the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak. Chip stocks are massive" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976006934395486540) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T19:29Z 1.1M followers, 105.2K engagements "Compute is quickly becoming the world's most valuable commodity. By 2028 global data center spend will hit $XXX BILLION. AI servers are growing at a +41% CAGR and the market overall is growing at a +23% CAGR. This is UNPRECEDENTED growth for the industry" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976276096174927976) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 53.4K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says US gas prices will fall below $2.00/gallon soon. This implies a -XX% drop from the current national average of $3.11/gallon" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976342221931864493) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T17:41Z 1.1M followers, 191.9K engagements "US stocks are DOMINATING global equities: The US information technology sector has recorded a +588% increase in EPS since the pre-2008 peak the most among any other sector. By comparison world tech stocks excluding the US have seen a +203% increase or nearly X times less. During the same period US discretionary stocks have posted a +317% surge in net income XX times more than their world counterparts. US healthcare earnings have risen +288% nearly X times more than the +78% increase in world ex-US. US industrials have beaten the rest of the world by X times growing their earnings by +124%." [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976452454947381273) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T00:59Z 1.1M followers, 107.1K engagements "Yesterday's drop was a reminder of how fragile yet profitable markets have become. Between 9:30 AM ET and 5:20 PM ET crypto erased -$800 BILLION of market cap. Remain objective and capitalize on volatility. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005781620080688) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 137.8K engagements "China urges the US to correct its wrong practices as soon as possible" China says. Threatening with high tariffs at every turn is not the right way to get along with China." China seems to be standing by the export controls. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time updates" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977220565745226168) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T03:51Z 1.1M followers, 84K engagements "If President Trump responds and de-escalates on Sunday markets are set for a big jump on Monday. The reactivity of markets to Trump's posts remains incredibly high. More clarity is now being obtained. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977224564439499061) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T04:07Z 1.1M followers, 176.7K engagements "In the April 2025 era of the trade war Sundays before futures opened were a crucial time. The next X hours have often come with statements from the Trump Admin. We would not be surprised to see one today. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977372148873196007) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T13:53Z 1.1M followers, 290.4K engagements "Once again it appears this is NOT heading to an April 2025-like escalation. China appears to be willing to cooperate to avoid global supply chain disruptions. Now we await a statement from President Trump. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977396869887099004) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T15:32Z 1.1M followers, 86.7K engagements "Gold's record run is just the tip of the iceberg in the global currency crisis. The backdrop is shifting and stocks commodities bonds and crypto are investable. Want to receive our premium analysis Subscribe to access our premium analysis below:" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977753896983375996) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 75.2K engagements "Lastly foreign investors now hold a higher amount of gold than US treasuries. The share of US Treasuries held by foreign investors is down from XX% in 2013 to XX% today. Gold is the GLOBAL safe haven. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977753898803679510) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 75.6K engagements "BREAKING: US markets pare losses with the Dow now up +500 points from its low on the day. Dip buyers remain in full swing. Are we about to turn green on the day" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978108261984272643) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T14:38Z 1.1M followers, 122K engagements "The REAL reason markets are crashing: Over the last X months the S&P XXX and crypto have erased a combined -$5.5 TRILLION of market cap. We have just witnessed one of the most SUDDEN shifts in sentiment since 2020. What's happening Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1899147239160693054) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-03-10T17:16Z 1.1M followers, 6.6M engagements "President Trump is now officially calling to Make Iran Great Again. Trump is suggesting that a regime change is needed to do so. Its going to be an interesting week" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1936892798906581069) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-06-22T21:03Z 1.1M followers, 206.9K engagements "This is wild: We now have a President who is actively calling for interest rates to be cut to as low as 1%. And he is actively stating that he will be replacing Fed Chair Powell with someone who will immediately cut rates. Meanwhile stocks are at all time highs real estate prices are at all time highs US debt is at all time highs and crypto is at all time highs. If the new Fed Chair actually cuts rates to X% we are going to witness perhaps one of the biggest runs of all time in stocks and real estate. There has never been a time in history where the Fed cut rates to X% with the stock market" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1939689652312572158) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-06-30T14:17Z 1.1M followers, 1.7M engagements "This has been one of the best earnings seasons in years: XX% of the S&P XXX companies have beat earnings expectations by at least X standard deviation the highest percentage in X years. Excluding the post-pandemic recovery this marks the best quarter in at least XX years. By comparison the long-term average has been 48%. At the same time just XX% of firms have missed estimates by at least X standard deviation the lowest share in a year and below the long-term average of 13%. Earnings momentum is exceptionally strong" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1953455172815864215) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-07T13:56Z 1.1M followers, 387.6K engagements "This is unprecedented: Core CPI inflation is back above +3% and PPI inflation is at its hottest since March 2022. Meanwhile President Trump is calling for a XXX BASIS POINT rate cut and is set to replace Fed Chair Powell. Are you ready for what's next (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1955992213759959444) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-14T13:57Z 1.1M followers, 2.6M engagements "Massive jobs data revisions are coming: On September 9th the BLS will release its preliminary benchmark revision to nonfarm payrolls for April 2024 through March 2025. Goldman Sachs estimates the revision could cut reported payrolls by 550000 to 950000 jobs. This implies payroll growth was overstated by a massive 45000 to 80000 jobs PER MONTH. If confirmed it would mark the largest 12-month revision since 2010. This also follows an earlier 589000 downward adjustment for the year ending March 2024. What is happening with the labor market data" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1957808773289885940) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-19T14:16Z 1.1M followers, 466.1K engagements "Gold is replacing fiat currencies as a reserve currency: Gold's share of global international reserves rose X percentage points in Q1 2025 to XX% the highest in XX years. This marks the 3rd consecutive annual increase. Meanwhile the US Dollar's share declined X percentage points to XX% the lowest since the mid-1990s. The Euro share remained roughly unchanged at 15%. Gold is now the worlds second-largest reserve asset after surpassing the Euro in 2024. Gold is seeing historic levels of demand" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1962235795622035767) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-31T19:27Z 1.1M followers, 674.2K engagements "Gold is telling the future: The S&P XXX is in one of its strongest bull runs in decades up +1650 POINTS in under X months. Meanwhile Gold's YTD return just hit +37% nearly X TIMES more than the S&P XXX YTD. Why is gold crushing stocks in a bull market (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1963224895522824286) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-03T12:57Z 1.1M followers, 2.1M engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says US companies should no longer be "forced" to report earnings every quarter. Trump says this is "subject to SEC approval."" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1967567093249007941) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-15T12:32Z 1.1M followers, 515K engagements "This is unprecedented: On August 22nd President Trump announced that the US took a XX% stake in Intel $INTC worth $XX billion. Today XX days later NVIDIA made a massive investment in Intel sending the US' position +$5 BILLION higher. What just happened (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1968663511531167909) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-18T13:08Z 1.1M followers, 960.3K engagements "Crypto adoption is about to SURGE: A new Bank of America survey shows XX% of investors have ZERO exposure to crypto. Now US lawmakers are requesting the SEC implements President Trump's Executive Order allowing 401(K)s to BUY crypto. What's next Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970485423081185561) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-23T13:48Z 1.1M followers, 842K engagements "An affordability nightmare: It would take a -XX% drop in home prices OR a +60% JUMP in household income JUST for affordability to go back to 2019 levels. You must now make $113000/year to afford the MEDIAN home in the US. Will housing ever be affordable again (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1971242173782950048) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-25T15:55Z 1.1M followers, 1.3M engagements "US households have massive exposure to equities: Equities now account for XX% of total US household assets the largest percentage among all categories. This is followed by real estate at XX% and insurance & pensions at 21%. By comparison in China real estate accounts for the majority of total assets at XX% while equities make up only 11%. In the UK Korea and Australia households hold XX% XX% and XX% in property while equities represent only X% X% and X% respectively. In Taiwan and Japan households hold XX% and XX% of their wealth in real estate and XX% and XX% in equities. US households" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1971978137937293366) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-27T16:40Z 1.1M followers, 219.3K engagements "BREAKING: Oil prices extend losses toward $62/barrel on reports that OPEC+ is considering a 500000 barrel per day output hike every month for the next X months. Gas prices are likely heading to a new 2025 low next" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1972995882850328844) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-30T12:04Z 1.1M followers, 545.4K engagements "The US government shutdown: For the first time since 2018 the US is about to enter a government shutdown and investors are bracing for it. This would furlough 750000 workers PER DAY costing $400M in daily compensation. What does it all mean Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973107796536361038) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-30T19:28Z 1.1M followers, 1.5M engagements "BREAKING: Intel stock $INTC surges over +7% on reports of talks of a deal to manufacture semiconductors for AMD. This stock is now up over +70% since President Trump acquired a XX% stake in it just X weeks ago" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973449309791330519) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-01T18:05Z 1.1M followers, 502.6K engagements "We are witnessing history: Stock market futures are green again with the S&P XXX now +39% since its April 2025 low. Even as a government shutdown began just XX hours ago the S&P XXX is pushing further into record territory. This is the strongest market in modern history" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973575641078571165) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-02T02:27Z 1.1M followers, 446.9K engagements "Container shipping costs are plunging again: The spot rate for a 40-foot container from Shanghai to Rotterdam fell to $1735 last week the lowest since mid-December 2023. This marks the 8th consecutive weekly decline in rates to Europe. Shipping costs from Shanghai to Los Angeles dropped to $2311 also the lowest since December 2023. Weaker global demand price wars and excess shipping capacity have driven the decline. Meanwhile US import volumes are expected to continue declining toward year-end with January 2026 projected to be -XX% lower YoY. Global trade disruptionsare in full swing" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973838898720592091) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-02T19:54Z 1.1M followers, 203.5K engagements "This is absolutely insane: Technology and tech-related stocks now reflect a record XX% of the stock market. This is X percentage points higher than the 2000 Dot-Com bubble peak. At the same time defensive stocks make up just XX% of the market the lowest reading on record. This is the first time in history that defensive stocks have sustained a fall below 20%. Meanwhile traditional cyclicals stocks that move with the economic cycle make up XX% of total market cap near historically low levels. Technology stocks have never beenthisdominant" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974496230123413899) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-04T15:26Z 1.1M followers, 394.1K engagements "We need more electricity: AI data centers are set to consume 1600 terawatt-hours of power demand by 2035 equal to XXX% of global electricity. In other words power demand from AI data centers is set to QUADRUPLE over the next XX years. If counted as a country AI data centers would rank 4th in electricity use behind only China the US and India. In major US markets data center power demand is growing faster than that of electric vehicles hydrogen and other emerging technologies. AI growth will soon be limitedbyenergy" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974519634083905788) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-04T16:59Z 1.1M followers, 607.7K engagements "BREAKING: World central banks bought another XX tonnes of gold in August. This marks the 27th monthly purchase over the last XX months. The National Bank of Kazakhstan added X tonnes while the Bulgarian National Bank and the Central Bank of Turkey each increased gold reserves by X tonnes. The Peoples Bank of China acquired X tonnes marking the 10th consecutive monthly increase in gold reserves. As a result Chinas official gold holdings have surpassed 2300 tonnes for the first time. Central banks are still piling into gold" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974542031902146877) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-04T18:28Z 1.1M followers, 309.5K engagements "What is happening The S&P XXX is up +40% in X months Gold is nearing $4000/oz and Bitcoin hit a record $XXX TRILLION market cap. Meanwhile the US Dollar is set for its WORST year since 1973. Are markets THAT strong or is the US Dollar just crashing (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974844934030287168) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-05T14:31Z 1.1M followers, 2.3M engagements "This is incredible: Venture capitalists have poured a record $XXXXX billion into AI startups YTD. This puts 2025 on track to be the first year where more than XX% of total VC dollars flow into the AI industry. In the US AIs share of venture deals has surpassed XX% over the last XX months. That percentage has TRIPLED since the 2020 pandemic. Overall VC funding has reached $XXXXX billion so far this year with a major share coming from the US at $XXXXX billion. The AI revolution is growing exponentially" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974992499929489703) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T00:18Z 1.1M followers, 217.3K engagements "BREAKING: AMD stock $AMD soars over +25% on news that OpenAI is taking up to a XX% stake in the company. OpenAI will deploy up to X gigawatts of AMD Instinct GPUs beginning with a 1-gigawatt rollout in 2026. This is a MASSIVE deal" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975154427607867777) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T11:01Z 1.1M followers, 1.5M engagements "BREAKING: Trilogy Metals stock $TMQ surges over +210% after the US government announces it will be taking a XX% stake in the company. The US government's portfolio is rapidly expanding" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975315926448021868) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T21:43Z 1.1M followers, 577.2K engagements "Are we in a currency confidence crisis Today gold futures officially hit a RECORD $4000/oz now up +100% in XX months. The last time gold DOUBLED in under X years was in the 1970s after the historic "Nixon Shock." What's happening Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975552034498879955) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements "BREAKING: Oracle stock $ORCL extends its decline to -X% on the day on reports that the company lost $XXX million from rentals of Nvidia chips in the most recent quarter" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975587142173856251) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T15:40Z 1.1M followers, 919.6K engagements "BREAKING: Spot palladium prices surge over +6% on the day as gold hits $4000/oz and silver hits highest level since 2011. The current run in precious metals will be studied for decades to come" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975911825964400936) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T13:11Z 1.1M followers, 307.6K engagements "OpenAI has literally engrained itself in most of the world's largest technology companies. And almost all of the money that companies are investing in OpenAI is being used BY OpenAI to purchase products and compute from the investor. What is happening here" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975975477513757165) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T17:24Z 1.1M followers, 366.9K engagements "The US Government: X. Borrows over $X trillion per year X. Is currently shut down for the 11th time X. Printed $X trillion during the pandemic X. Spurred a -XX% loss in the USD in X years X. Spends close to $X trillion PER YEAR At what point do we fix the system" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975996970306027967) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T18:49Z 1.1M followers, 386.4K engagements "This is incredible: It now takes XXX ounces of gold to buy the median-priced new single-family home in the US the lowest amount in XX years. Excluding 1979 this is the lowest level in at least XX years. The ratio has fallen by -XXX ounces over the last X years as gold prices have risen +133%. By comparison it took XXX ounces of gold or XXX times more in the year 2000. Rarely ever has it been so cheap to buy a new house using gold. Gold is preserving purchasing powerlike never before" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976058524359618612) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T22:54Z 1.1M followers, 395.5K engagements "This is BEYOND insane: AI compute demand is now growing at over X TIMES the rate of Moores Law creating a massive shortage. Just to meet current demand $XXX billion must be invested in data centers PER YEAR until 2030. What does this mean Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976276090059710839) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 2.6M engagements "Data centers are the new oil: Data center energy consumption has reached a record X% of total US power demand. By 2030 data center energy consumption will exceed XX% of total US power demand. The AI revolution is even bigger than you think" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976306659610800447) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T15:20Z 1.1M followers, 335.6K engagements "BREAKING: The US has finalized a $XX billion currency swap agreement with Argentina. The US is also directly purchasing Argentine pesos in an effort to revive Argentinas economy" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976363450352931229) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T19:05Z 1.1M followers, 689.6K engagements "ChatGPT has gone from X million weekly active users to XX% of the world using the platform in X years. Where will we be in XX months from today" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976388196402438604) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T20:44Z 1.1M followers, 213K engagements "BREAKING: Oil prices drop below $60/barrel for the first time since May 2025. This comes just one day after President Trump said gas prices will fall to $2.00/gallon" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976639792000729394) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T13:23Z 1.1M followers, 905.1K engagements "What just happened At 10:57 AM ET President Trump canceled his meeting with China and said "massive" tariff increases are coming. XX minutes later the S&P XXX erased -$1.2 TRILLION of market cap. Is this dip a BUYING opportunity Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976683399239581978) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 3.8M engagements "@mesliquid The market is now more reactive than ever. Being on X and following the right people is literally alpha" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976692415865012286) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T16:52Z 1.1M followers, 47.7K engagements "BREAKING: The Nasdaq XXX extends its decline to -XXX% on the day. Now on track for its biggest drop since April 10th" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976734892894339513) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T19:41Z 1.1M followers, 203.6K engagements "BREAKING: The S&P XXX closes down -XXX% and posts its largest daily decline since April 10th as President Trump prepares "massive" tariffs on China. The S&P XXX erased -$1.5 TRILLION in market cap today" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976739635796877560) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T20:00Z 1.1M followers, 338.5K engagements "What a day: There has never been and there will never be a more exciting time to be in the market than now. Anything can happen on any day amid the trade war AI Revolution government shutdown Fed rate cuts and the list goes on. Embrace volatility; it's opportunity" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976750307884347752) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T20:42Z 1.1M followers, 177.9K engagements "BREAKING: Today's decline officially marks the largest single-day liquidation in crypto history. More than -$9 BILLION was liquidated over the last XX hours" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976809799523373187) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T00:39Z 1.1M followers, 6.9M engagements "It's official: Crypto just saw its LARGEST liquidation event in history with XXX MILLION traders liquidated. Over $XX BILLION worth of leveraged crypto positions were liquidated in XX hours X TIMES the previous record. Why did this happen Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005754289996073) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 4.7M engagements "Amid the liquidation Bitcoin recorded a $20000 DAILY candlestick. This marks a $XXX BILLION swing in Bitcoin's market cap alone in a single-day. That's more than the market cap of all but XX public companies in the world. Once again this has never happened in history" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005759369298045) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 143.3K engagements "But why did this happen To better understand take a look at the timeline below: At 9:50 AM ET crypto began selling off before the 10:57 AM ET Trump tariff post. At 4:30 PM ET a large "whale" took shorts in crypto. At 4:50 PM ET Trump announced a XXX% tariff on China" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005761751339291) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 168.4K engagements "This was an unprecedented liquidation event: Amid the crypto crash yesterday $XRP erased a whopping -XX% of its market cap in XX MINUTES. At 4:50 PM ET $XRP was worth $XXX billion. By 5:20 PM ET $XRP was worth $XX billion. What happened to XRP" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977056349482532922) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T16:59Z 1.1M followers, 545.2K engagements "The more you learn about the October 10th crypto liquidation the crazier it gets: First crypto began selling off at 9:30 AM ET well before the first tariff post at 10:57 AM ET. At this point many "whales" were already loading shorts in anticipation of a big drop. Then at 4:30 PM ET and 4:49 PM ET a "whale" purchased over $XX MILLION of shorts. Where it gets even more crazy is that longs were liquidated at a 7:1 ratio to shorts also historically high. This means that the vast majority (likely 80%+) of the XXX MILLION traders who were liquidated were levered long. The "whales" then promptly" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977137132151226515) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T22:20Z 1.1M followers, 943.7K engagements "Binance Coin $BNB the world's 4th largest cryptocurrency is now UP +10% on the day. It is now ABOVE the October 10th 4:00 PM ET high seen before the massive crypto liquidation. The worst part This was all driven by the "whales" who shorted ahead of the liquidation and an apparent misunderstanding between China and the US. Truly unfortunate" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977380337568112782) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T14:26Z 1.1M followers, 368.4K engagements "BREAKING: Vice President JD Vance continues de-escalation with China following Chinas clarifying statement last night. VP Vance says: X. We appreciate the friendship between Trump and Xi X. President Trump hopes the US wont need to use leverage on China X. President Trump is willing to be reasonable negotiator with China Is a Trump-Xi meeting announcement coming next" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977393953604342070) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T15:20Z 1.1M followers, 611.7K engagements "Like and Bookmark the above post - reference it as the trade war heads into 2026. The ability to weed out NOISE from material developments is crucial right now. This market is very profitable if done right. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977436448241693006) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T18:09Z 1.1M followers, 183.8K engagements "Our investment strategy revolves are OBJECTIVE analysis; fundamental and technical. Combine this with risk management and a dynamic approach and this market is HIGHLY profitable. Volatility is opportunity. Subscribe to access our premium analysis:" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977436864492785909) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T18:11Z 1.1M followers, 147K engagements "BREAKING: US stock market futures open sharply higher as investors react to US-China de-escalation this weekend: X. Dow: +0.9% X. S&P 500: +1.1% X. Nasdaq 100: +1.4% We continue to look for a trade deal before November 1st" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977495020069364056) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T22:02Z 1.1M followers, 355.9K engagements "Investors are waking up to some major news from the US: Trump Administration officials are now saying the US-China relationship is "GOOD." And US Treasury Secretary is on live TV saying XXX% tariffs on China "don't have to happen." This confirms our view; President Trump misinterpreted China's export controls on October 10th. First markets did NOT react to the export controls when they were released XX hours BEFORE Trump's post. Then China clarified that new controls are NOT a full export ban and Trump posts dont worry about China it will be all fine. Now Trump Administration officials are" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977712152644309378) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T12:24Z 1.1M followers, 301.5K engagements "Take a look at China: China's gold holdings are up from XXX% to XXX% of reserves since 2015 while US Treasury holdings have HALVED from XX% to 22%. And these central banks are not concerned about the technical backdrop. They are much more forward looking" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977753883532267999) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 30.8K engagements "BREAKING: Gold futures extend gains to +$130/oz on the day now up +3.3% hitting a record $4130/oz. Gold has now added nearly +$1 trillion in market cap today" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977788587719676212) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T17:28Z 1.1M followers, 305.8K engagements "Shocking stat of the day: The largest gold ETF $GLD posted $XXXX BILLION in volume on Thursday the 2nd-highest on record. The only other time it reached that level was in 2013. By comparison during Aprils gold rally daily volume peaked at $XX billion. Thursdays volume was also higher than most of the Magnificent X stocks. Demand for gold assets is incredibly strong" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977819125322781115) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T19:30Z 1.1M followers, 293.2K engagements "BREAKING: The S&P XXX extends losses to -XXX% on the day as investors react to bank earnings and ongoing trade tensions" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978095044277002612) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T13:46Z 1.1M followers, 136.7K engagements "Dip buyers are taking on more leverage: The 2x leveraged Nvidia ETF $NVDU posted a record $XXX million in net inflows last week. This is XX% above the previous high of $XXX million set in January. It also ends a 4-week streak of net outflows. The surge marks only the 4th time $NVDU has had weekly inflows above $XX million. Meanwhile leveraged ETFs linked to AMD and the Nasdaq index also saw a significant demand last week. Investors are still betting bigontechstocks" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978105513091948801) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T14:28Z 1.1M followers, 138.4K engagements "BREAKING: Global gold ETFs attracted +$2.1 billion in net inflows last week marking their 7th consecutive weekly inflow. This follows the record +$5.3 billion posted in the prior week. Year-to-date gold ETFs have seen +$68 billion in net inflows the highest for any year on record. This equals XXX tonnes the 2nd highest yearly total only behind XXX tonnes posted in 2020. As a result AUM in global gold ETFs hit a record $XXX billion last week doubling since July 2024. Demand for gold has neverbeenstronger" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978149804279820730) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T17:24Z 1.1M followers, 145.5K engagements "The buy-the-dip strategy has rarely ever been so strong: In 2025 the S&P XXX has averaged +2.3% one-week following a 1-day drop of at least -X% the strongest performance since 2019. Outside of 2019 this marks the best year since 1983. This is also only the 3rd year with a return above +2.0% over the last XX years. Since 2008 there have been only X years when this strategy was unprofitable 2022 and 2023. Volatility remains a traders bestopportunity" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978161225834823770) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T18:09Z 1.1M followers, 136.7K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump accuses China of an "economically hostile act" for not buying US soybeans. Trump says he is considering "terminating" business with China having to do with cooking oil and other elements of trade as retribution" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978184453164851477) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T19:41Z 1.1M followers, 553.4K engagements "The bull market is heading into its 4th anniversary: The S&P XXX index began its current bull run on October 12th 2022 surging +85% since adding +$28 trillion in market value. By comparison of the XX prior bull markets since World War II X completed a 4th year with an average total gain of +88%. Historical data suggests the market still has room to run. Since 1950 X bull markets have reached their 4th year delivering an average S&P XXX gain of +12.8%. The strongest 4th-year performances came in 1957 and 1972 with gains of +28.4% and +29.7% respectively. Can AI fuel another 12" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978250653882286534) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T00:04Z 1.1M followers, 132K engagements "When everything hit all time highs at the same time that's no longer a bull market. It's systemic shift. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978295664728547828) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T03:03Z 1.1M followers, 92.4K engagements "BREAKING: Nasdaq XXX futures extend gains to over +1% as investors price-out trade tensions between the US and China" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978437006054076881) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T12:25Z 1.1M followers, 161.4K engagements "The bull run is in full swing: The S&P XXX has gone XX trading sessions without a -X% decline its 2nd-longest streak since 2021. This also marks one of the longest periods since the 2018 record of XXX trading days without a -X% drop. By comparison the long-term average is XX trading days. Since 1928 the market has seen an average of XXX declines of -X% per year. At the same time a -XX% correction has occurred an average of XXX times per year. Momentum is incredibly strong right now" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978456164275720254) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T13:41Z 1.1M followers, 135.4K engagements "The S&P XXX is now XXX% away from hitting a new record high. The October 10th drop has been almost entirely erased over the last XX hours. Ignore the noise and this market becomes highly profitable" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978466162288578809) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T14:21Z 1.1M followers, 123.5K engagements "Shocking stat of the day: Nvidia $NVDA has reflected X% of the S&P 500's market cap on average in 2025 the highest percentage of any company in the index. It has surpassed Apple $AAPL which held the top spot for the previous X consecutive years. Nvidias market weight is now the largest for any company since 1974. For perspective IBM $IBM dominated the market for XX years through the 1970s and 1980s. General Motors led for XX years during the 1950s1970s. Can Nvidia dominate the market over thenextdecade" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978493464984838186) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T16:09Z 1.1M followers, 166.8K engagements "Stock market concentration is hitting another record: The top XX US companies now reflect a record XX% of global stock market capitalization. The percentage has DOUBLED over the last X years. For context at the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak this metric was at XX% or X percentage points lower. Meanwhile the top X US firms make up a record XX% of global equity value also the highest in history. This now DOUBLES the 2000 peak. A handful of stocks are driving theglobalmarket" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978540239380419061) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T19:15Z 1.1M followers, 137.6K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump is considering sending National Guard troops to San Francisco as a part of his "crime crackdown."" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978552758941667559) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T20:05Z 1.1M followers, 122.2K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says that India's Prime Minister Modi has "assured him" that India will no longer be buying Russian oil. On August 27th Trump imposed a XX% tariff on India as punishment for buying Russian oil. US-India trade deal on the way" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978554221248012619) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T20:11Z 1.1M followers, 275.1K engagements "AI debt is taking over the corporate bond market: AI-related firms now reflect a record XX% of the Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index. The percentage has increased by XXX points since 2020 according to JPMorgan. This surpasses the banking sector's weight of XXXX% which held the largest share historically. This comes as AI universe debt has grown +$400 billion to a record $XXX trillion during this period. AI is reshaping capitalmarkets" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978575511623262454) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T21:35Z 1.1M followers, 128.3K engagements "The government shutdown is impacting Americans spending plans: XX% of Americans are delaying major purchases like homes or cars due to the government shutdown. X% have cancelled major plans entirely according to a Redfin survey. Many are canceling or delaying large purchases because they are federal government employees or contractors. Meanwhile over XX% of Americans are delaying or canceling a major purchase due to concerns about job security. At the same time XX% of workers are more worried about their job security than at the start of the year. Americans are concerned about the shutdown" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978603433159721305) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T23:26Z 1.1M followers, 142.8K engagements "BREAKING: Bank of America raises its gold target to $5000/oz and cites "stagflation risks" as the driver" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978789077395648889) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T11:44Z 1.1M followers, 355.2K engagements "Institutional investors remain bullish on stocks and gold: XX% of investors surveyed by Goldman Sachs say their favorite trade this quarter is long gold the highest reading for the second consecutive month. This is followed by long AI stocks at XX% of respondents. XX% of those surveyed expect the S&P XXX to outperform other major global indexes in October. Overall XX% expressed bullish sentiment for equities the highest since December 2024. This comes as XX% of participants say they are most bullish on AI infrastructure names. Meanwhile their positioning in the Magnificent X stocks reached" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978829281812988021) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T14:24Z 1.1M followers, 99.1K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump posts that he is currently on a lengthy call with President Putin" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978844391222448294) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T15:24Z 1.1M followers, 292.2K engagements "US options market activity is exploding: The average daily volume of US equity and index options has surpassed XX million contracts for the first time ever. Total options volume has TRIPLED over the last X years. During this period call options volume has QUADRUPLED hitting a record XX million contracts. Simultaneously put options volume has TRIPLED reaching XX million contracts. Risk appetite is historicallystrong" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978845892728795501) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T15:30Z 1.1M followers, 104.5K engagements "Hedge fund equity sales are accelerating: Investors sold -$3.0 billion of US equities last week marking the 4th consecutive weekly sale. Hedge funds dumped -$2.1 billion posting their 4th consecutive weekly outflow. This brought their 4-week average to -$2.1 billion the largest on record dating back to 2008. Institutional investors sold -$400 million down from -$3.6 billion the prior week. Meanwhile retail investors saw a -$500 million outflow bringing the 4-week average to -$400 million. Hedge funds are cashing in gains" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978868288806621469) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T16:59Z 1.1M followers, 129.9K engagements "BREAKING: Stock market losses accelerate with the Russell 2000 now down over -X% on the day as regional bank stocks fall" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978890032753574066) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T18:25Z 1.1M followers, 167.9K engagements "Confused about what's happening with regional bank stocks Here's the real issue: In March 2023 regional bank stocks collapsed the crisis was "contained" but nothing really changed. Banks who took outsized risk with either "backstopped" by the US government or acquired by JP Morgan. As a result this further incentivized taking on outsized risk particularly as deposits over the $250000 FDIC limit are now inherently "insured." That is: investors and regional bank companies know that the US government will "backstop" deposits in the case of a collapse. Today shares of Zions Bancorp crashed -13%" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978897984340529322) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T18:57Z 1.1M followers, 539.5K engagements "Leading indicators point to further weakness in the US job market: US job postings on Indeed fell another -X% MoM in September reaching the lowest level since February 2021. Postings have declined -XX% since May 2022 and are now just +2.4% above pre-pandemic levels from February 2020. The steepest decline has been in White Collar jobs excluding Health Care with postings now -X% below pre-pandemic levels. Blue Collar job postings have also fallen but remain XX% above February 2020 levels. This all suggests a further deterioration in BLS-reported job openings for September. The labor market" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978910819095126447) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T19:48Z 1.1M followers, 135.9K engagements "A textbook sign of a bull market: Pullbacks become oversold quickly and upswings grind higher. The same can be said with rapid shift and polarization of sentiment amid the current bull run. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978932415633498290) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T21:13Z 1.1M followers, 89.2K engagements "Active managers are underperforming in 2025: Just XXXX% of active funds have beaten the market YTD the worst performance in at least XX years. This is in sharp contrast to XXXX% and XXXX% seen in 2021 and 2022. This is also well below the average of 42%. By comparison the century high was XXXX% in 2000 when the Dot-Com bubble popped. The most common reason for underperformance especially in the large-cap category is a reluctance to hold tech stocks. Active fundsmissed this rally" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978941772895261037) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T21:51Z 1.1M followers, 239.1K engagements "Americans are drowning in credit card debt: US household credit card debt hit a record $XXXX trillion in August. The combined average credit card balance across all age groups is now at whopping $10668 PER household. States with the largest average debts in Q2 2025 were Hawaii at $15100 California at $13800 and Alaska at $13600. Other high-debt states include New York at $12900 Texas at $12800 and Florida at $12600. Credit card debtcontinues to skyrocket" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978966183698116923) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T23:28Z 1.1M followers, 696.5K engagements "BREAKING: S&P XXX futures erase losses as President Trump says high tariffs on China will NOT remain. Futures are now +75 points from their overnight low" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979148530074648736) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T11:32Z 1.1M followers, 1.6M engagements "BREAKING: Oil prices officially fall below $57/barrel for the first time since May 5th now down -XX% since President Trump's inauguration. President Trump really wants gas prices below $2.00/gallon" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979182714826752075) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T13:48Z 1.1M followers, 414K engagements "A clear instance of this occurred in crypto on October 10th. Crypto saw its largest liquidation event in history with XXX million traders liquidated in XX hours. Over $XX billion worth of leveraged crypto positions were liquidated in XX hours X times the previous record" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979196812608020495) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 16.1K engagements "Meanwhile investors are searching for any source of yield to protect their spending power. As the Fed cuts rates into stagflation and US deficit spending exceeds $XXX BILLION in some months the US Dollar is declining. We believe nominal asset prices must rise as a result" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979196818853405084) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 13.2K engagements "Another day another record: US technology stocks now reflect a record XX% of total US stock market cap. This percentage has DOUBLED since 2020. For context this percentage peaked at XX% during 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. Meanwhile global tech stocks ex-US make up XX% of the global market ex-US. This percentage is still below the 2021 and 2000 highs. US tech is absolutely massive" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979267537897451974) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T19:25Z 1.1M followers, 207.2K engagements "Gold is becoming unaffordable: It now takes XXX hours of work in the US to buy X ounce of gold the most in at least XXX years. This comes as gold prices hit a record close of $4225 while average hourly earnings reached $XXXXX in August. The ratio has DOUBLED in just XX months the surge in gold prices has far outpaced income growth. This surpasses the previous peaks of XX hours seen in the 1930s 1980 and 2011. By comparison at the start of the century it took less than XX hours to buy X ounce of gold. Gold's rally is even stronger than you think" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979563634805133590) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-18T15:02Z 1.1M followers, 353.2K engagements "In retrospect this was the ultimate signal" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979579595721466221) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-18T16:05Z 1.1M followers, 331.7K engagements "Something unusual is happening this week: On Friday we are receiving CPI inflation data DURING the US government shutdown. Not only is it X days before the October 29th Fed meeting but it is the first time CPI data will be reported on a Friday since January 2018. The Labor Department has said that NO OTHER releases will be rescheduled or produced until the shutdown ends. This comes during a highly pivotal time for the Fed as they debate whether to continue rate cuts or not. This is drawing speculation of a "bullish" September CPI report. What's happening here" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979951174628376982) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-19T16:42Z 1.1M followers, 613.2K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says President Xi has invited him to China and he will go to China sometime "early next year." President Trump also says he will "make a strong trade deal" with China" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980308536203919590) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-20T16:22Z 1.1M followers, 292K engagements "BREAKING: US natural gas prices extend rally to +12% on the day now on track for their largest daily increase since July 2022. Energy costs are rebounding as winter demand expectations rise" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980317443311694218) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-20T16:57Z 1.1M followers, 151.2K engagements "Retail investors buying streak continues: Individual investors have been net buyers of US stocks in XX of the last XX weeks. Last week marked the 7th consecutive weekly purchase and the largest in X months. Retail investors have also recorded XX straight weeks of net purchases in equity options the longest streak on record in data going back to 2020. This matches the 24-week stretch posted in 2023. All retail has been net buyers of ETFs in XXX of XXX trading days so far in 2025. Retail appetite for risk shows nosignofeasing" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980346813019209789) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-20T18:54Z 1.1M followers, 132.9K engagements "Leveraged equity ETF launches are skyrocketing: The number of leveraged equity ETFs just hit a record XXX. This figure has DOUBLED over the last X years. Year-to-date XXX leveraged stock ETFs have launched the most on record. In total over XXX different ETFs have launched in 2025 surpassing the full-year record set in 2024. As a result the total number of US ETFs has exceeded 4500 for the first time. Risk appetite is through the roof" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980439252191047843) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-21T01:01Z 1.1M followers, 123.5K engagements "Stock market concentration has reached 1800s levels: Information Technology & Communications stocks now reflect a record XX% of total US market cap. This percentage has DOUBLED over the last XX years. Tech is now larger than Energy & Materials which together accounted for XX% of the market at their 1950s peak. The last time any industry had such dominance was the transport sector in the 1880s. In other words the market is the least diversified in XXX years. Technology stockseffectively arethe stockmarket" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980622702319743239) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-21T13:10Z 1.1M followers, 128.3K engagements "BREAKING: Spot gold prices extend their decline to over -X% on the day now on track for the biggest daily decline since April 2013. The long overdue gold pullback has finally arrived" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980654631203270721) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-21T15:17Z 1.1M followers, 410.5K engagements "US Regional Bank Stocks Today: X. PacWest $PACW: -XX% X. Western Alliance $WAL: -X% X. Metropolitan Bank $MCB: -X% X. Fifth Third $FITB: -X% X. Zions Bank $ZION: -X% X. Regions Financial $RF: -X% X. Comerica $CMA: -X% X. First Horizon $FHN: -X% Every time this crisis seems to be coming to an end something new emerges. The Regional Bank Sector $KRE is now down XX% since January 1st. We are officially X months into the banking crisis" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1656656702320640000) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2023-05-11T13:45Z 1.1M followers, 508.2K engagements "US Regional Bank Stocks Today: X. NY Community Bank $NYCB: -XX% X. Valley National Bank $VLY: - X% X. HarborOne $HONE: -X% X. HomeStreet $HMST: -X% X. Zions Bank $ZION: -X% X. Comerica Bank $CMA: -X% X. Metropolitan Bank $MCB: -X% X. Citizens Financial $CFG: -X% X. Western Alliance $WAL: -X% This comes after New York Community bank which acquired the collapsed Signature Bank cut their dividend by 70%. They also posted a quarterly LOSS of $XXX million while a $XXX million GAIN was expected. Did regional banks ever really recover" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1752742968237162941) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2024-01-31T17:17Z 1.1M followers, 465.8K engagements "US Regional Bank Stocks X Month Into 2024: X. NY Community Bank $NYCB: -XX% X. Valley National Bank $VLY: -XX% X. Metropolitan Bank $MCB: -XX% X. HarborOne $HONE: -XX% X. Comerica Bank $CMA: -XX% X. Zions Bank $ZION: -XX% X. Western Alliance $WAL: -XX% X. Citizens Financial $CFG: -X% X. KeyCorp $KEY: -X% Regional bank worries resurfaced as New York Community bank which acquired the collapsed Signature Bank cut their dividend by 70%. These are the same banks that hold nearly XX% of commercial real estate loans. Just XX months ago the regional bank crisis "ended."" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1754982688451080581) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2024-02-06T21:37Z 1.1M followers, 854.6K engagements "US Regional Bank Stocks YTD: X. NY Community Bank $NYCB: -XX% X. Valley National Bank $VLY: -XX% X. Metropolitan Bank $MCB: -XX% X. HarborOne $HONE: -XX% X. Zions Bank $ZION: -XX% X. Western Alliance $WAL: -XX% X. Comerica Bank $CMA: -XX% X. Citizens Financial $CFG: -X% X. US Bank $USB: -X% This comes after New York Community bank which acquired the collapsed Signature Bank cut their dividend by 70%. They also posted a quarterly LOSS of $XXX million while a $XXX million GAIN was expected. Then NYCB announced a "material weakness in internal controls." Did regional banks ever really recover" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1763947855851454919) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2024-03-02T15:21Z 1.1M followers, 385.7K engagements "ANNOUNCEMENT: We are excited to present The Kobeissi Letters 2024 performance report. Our setups have returned +371.7% since 2020 significantly outperforming the S&P 500s +83.0% return over the same period. Our S&P XXX setups provided a net return of +38.1% in 2024 also outperforming the S&P 500's 2024 return of +23.8%. The net return on our calls across all sections was +8.1% building on +15.5% in 2023 +92.8% in 2022 +35.3% in 2021 and +44.8% in 2020. Since 2020 we have returned +39.3% per year on average well ahead of the S&P 500s +14.4% average annual return since 2020. Read the full" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1878124714855694615) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-01-11T17:00Z 1.1M followers, 6.6M engagements "Elon Musk Now Runs: X. Tesla ($1.2 trillion valuation) X. SpaceX ($350 billion valuation) X. Starlink (Owned by SpaceX $XXX billion valuation) X. Grok/xAI ($50 billion valuation) X. X ($40 billion valuation) X. The Boring Company ($7 billion valuation) X. DOGE (Now reducing US deficit by $X billion/day) How is this even physically possible" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1886968396123631869) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-02-05T02:41Z 1.1M followers, 1.2M engagements "This is truly insane: On February XX JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon sold $XXX million worth of $JPM stock. On February XX Warren Buffett disclosed a record $XXX BILLION cash balance. XX trading days later the Nasdaq XXX crashed -24%. How did they know (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1908662746507321533) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-04-05T23:27Z 1.1M followers, 4.6M engagements "Effectively no reaction at all in Bitcoin as the US announces a trade deal with China. Very interesting all eyes are on futures which open in X hours" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1921627510992773526) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-05-11T18:04Z 1.1M followers, 409.4K engagements "BREAKING: Michael Burry has sold every stock in his portfolio except for a new position in Estee Lauder $EL" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1923116270485999988) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-05-15T20:40Z 1.1M followers, 1.8M engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says for $X million $DOLLARS the Trump card is coming. Its unclear why $DOLLARS was displayed as a ticker" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1933221230716313649) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-06-12T17:53Z 1.1M followers, 248K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump accuses Nancy Pelosi of insider trading" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1954325442107744436) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-09T23:34Z 1.1M followers, 786.6K engagements "The longest bear market: The US Dollars purchasing power. Over the last XXX years the US Dollar has lost -XX% of its purchasing power. Since 2000 the US Dollar has lost over -XX% of its purchasing power. Own assets or be left behind" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1959333759355932739) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-23T19:15Z 1.1M followers, 832.8K engagements "BREAKING: Switzerlands Post Office is suspending shipments of US goods beginning tomorrow August 26th due to tariffs" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1959952976547549223) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-25T12:16Z 1.1M followers, 2.6M engagements "BREAKING: President Trump threatens to impose "200% tariffs or something" on China if they do not provide the US with magnets" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1960030260424327342) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-08-25T17:23Z 1.1M followers, 3M engagements "The UK's bond market is collapsing: Today the yield on a 30Y Bond in the UK rose to XXXX% its highest level since 1998. Yields in the UK are now XX TIMES higher than they were at the 2020 low just X years ago. What is happening Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1962532559121764502) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-01T15:06Z 1.1M followers, 4.7M engagements "This is the definition of broken: In XX days the Fed will cut rates for the first time in 2025 yet the 30Y Treasury Yield is now near 5.00%. We have RISING interest rates as markets "price-in" Fed interest rate CUTS. Do you realize what's happening (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1962875968806064527) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-02T13:51Z 1.1M followers, 5.7M engagements "The collapse of G7 bond markets: Despite aggressive global central bank rate cuts yields are surging in France Japan Germany Canada the US and the UK. The market is quite literally rejecting central bank interest rate cuts. How did we end up here" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1962905103469556042) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-02T15:47Z 1.1M followers, 858.9K engagements "BREAKING: Gold officially hits $3600/oz for the first time in history. Gold is now up +33% YTD more than XXX TIMES the S&P 500s return" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1962960375910969773) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-02T19:26Z 1.1M followers, 3.4M engagements "BREAKING: Lululemon stock $LULU crashes over -XX% after reporting weaker than expected earnings. Is consumer spending finally starting to give" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1963696191851626987) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-04T20:10Z 1.1M followers, 523.6K engagements "BREAKING: Tesla $TSLA offers Elon Musk a pay package valued as much as $X trillion. If fully realized this would be the CEO largest pay package in history" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1963932769547129064) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-05T11:50Z 1.1M followers, 615.8K engagements "BREAKING: Robinhood stock $HOOD soars nearly +10% on news that it will be added to the S&P 500" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1964078306417840518) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-05T21:28Z 1.1M followers, 359.3K engagements "The car market bubble is bursting: Subprime auto loan delinquency rates have now surpassed X% for the first time in history. The 60-day delinquency rate for subprime auto loans has more than DOUBLED over the last X years. Delinquency rates are now XXX percentage points above the 2008 Financial Crisis peak. At the same time prime auto loan delinquencies rose to their highest in XX years. Meanwhile the total value of auto loans in the US jumped $XX billion to a record $XXXX trillion in Q2 2025. An auto debt crisis is brewing" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1964789095324066182) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-07T20:33Z 1.1M followers, 405.6K engagements "BREAKING: There are now a record 312000 new homes for sale in the Southern US states. This is 21000 higher than the August 2006 peak just before the housing market crash. The number of new houses for sale in the South was almost half of what it is now during the 2020 pandemic. Meanwhile new homes for sale in the West have risen by 40000 over the last X years to 111000 near the highest level since 2008. New home inventory in the Northeast and Midwest is also near cycle highs but remains well below 2006 housing bubble levels. How much longer can this housing market run last" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1965141842854641779) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-08T19:55Z 1.1M followers, 360.2K engagements "BREAKING: Oracle stock $ORCL surges over +23% after reporting earnings with a +359% increase in contracted revenue. As we continue to reiterate we are still so early in the AI Revolution" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1965520599226483058) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-09T21:00Z 1.1M followers, 627.3K engagements "BREAKING: The odds of a XX basis point rate cut surge to XX% after PPI inflation unexpectdly declines per Kalshi" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1965784478045090179) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-10T14:28Z 1.1M followers, 114.2K engagements "The time has come: On Wednesday the Fed will cut rates for the first time in 2025 and "blame" a weak labor market. This will be just the 3rd year since 1996 with Fed rate cuts while the S&P XXX is at record highs. What happens next Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1966873572128809118) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-13T14:36Z 1.1M followers, 2.8M engagements "It's official: For the first time in 2025 the Fed just cut interest rates by XX basis points and "blamed" a weaker labor market. Immediately after the US Dollar fell to its weakest level since February 2022. What's coming next Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1968402173290524834) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-17T19:50Z 1.1M followers, 1.6M engagements "Current situation: X. Stocks are rising like the US economy is soaring X. Oil prices are falling like we are entering a recession X. Gold is rising like the Fed is cutting rates into inflation X. Bitcoin is falling like Fed rate cuts are postponed X. Home prices are rising like more rate cuts are coming X. Treasury yields are rising like stagflation has arrived The market is entering a new era of monetary policy" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970114665398116428) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-22T13:15Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements "US freight is in a recession: The Cass Freight Index dropped -XXX% YoY in August hitting its lowest level since 2020. This index tracks freight shipments within North America and serves as a key gauge of US shipping activity. August marks its 28th consecutive monthly decline. Freight shipments have now fallen -XX% over the last X years. The last time such a prolonged fall occurred was during the 2008 Financial Crisis. Goods movement in the US is slowingsharply" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1970255788917633232) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-22T22:36Z 1.1M followers, 876.4K engagements "BREAKING: The US has deployed jets against Russian bombers per CNN. Russian military aircraft have been detected in Alaska's airspace" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1971190532308337141) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-25T12:30Z 1.1M followers, 859.1K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump announces a XX% tariff on all kitchen cabinets bathroom vanities and associated products. There will also be a XX% tariff on upholstered furniture. New homes and renovations just became even more expensive" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1971357507768766553) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-25T23:33Z 1.1M followers, 752.7K engagements "This gold run is absolutely insane: Gold just made its 38th all time high of 2025 with gold futures now up +43% year-to-date. This puts on gold on track for its best year since 1979 as the Fed cuts rates into 3%+ inflation. Gold knows what's coming next" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1972494058674372689) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-29T02:50Z 1.1M followers, 866.6K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says he will be imposing substantial tariffs on any country that does not make its furniture in the US. It seems foreign countries must now produce their furniture in the US to avoid tariffs" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1972650794609742211) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-29T13:12Z 1.1M followers, 246.7K engagements "This is insane: As the record run in gold accelerates US gold reserves just exceeded $X TRILLION for the first time in history. The US now holds XXX TIMES more gold than Germany the 2nd-largest holder in the world. What is gold telling us Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1972679656588419504) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-29T15:07Z 1.1M followers, 2M engagements "BREAKING: Zinjin Gold the international unit of Chinas largest gold miner surges over +60% in its IPO. This marks the worlds largest IPO since May 2025. Investor demand for gold is through the roof" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1972843512199844012) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-30T01:58Z 1.1M followers, 213.9K engagements "BREAKING: The SEC is reportedly moving to allow stocks to trade like crypto where stocks would trade on-chain. Under the plan investors could buy tokens on crypto exchanges that represent shares of companies like Tesla or Nvidia" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973014677790843170) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-30T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 632.4K engagements "Shocking stat of the day: Oracle $ORCL has a debt-to-equity ratio of a whopping 520%. This is more than double the ratios of Apple $AAPL and IBM $IBM. By comparison Amazon $AMZN and Microsoft $MSFT have debt-to-equity ratios of XX% and XX% respectively. According to JP Morgan Oracles $XXX billion cloud infrastructure deal with OpenAI would require even more borrowing by the company. Oracle may need to raise up to $XXX billion in debt over the next X years to fund the contract. The AI rush is reaching unprecedented levels" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973145328628146447) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-09-30T21:58Z 1.1M followers, 200.9K engagements "Government Shutdown Facts The Media Won't Cover: X. The average length of a shutdown is only X days X. The S&P XXX has ended higher one year after a shutdown in XX% of cases X. The S&P XXX posts an average gain of +13% one year after the shutdown ends X. During the XX day shutdown in 2018 the S&P XXX rallied +11% X. While the government is shut down the US defers $400M/day in costs X. The Fed generally turns more dovish if government data releases are paused Historically the market actually WELCOMES shutdowns" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973219222223282242) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-01T02:51Z 1.1M followers, 791.5K engagements "BREAKING: Elon Musk officially becomes the first person in history to reach a net worth of $XXX billion" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973475288823767121) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-01T19:49Z 1.1M followers, 5.2M engagements "BREAKING: Silver prices have NEVER ended higher after this: The daily RSI on silver has officially exceeded XX for the first time since 2020. This has only happened X times since 1987 and silver ended lower X months later in XXX% of cases. Is silver nearing its top" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973723387961733621) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-02T12:15Z 1.1M followers, 755.9K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump is considering providing taxpayers with $1000 to $2000 stimulus checks using tariff revenue" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973850191674683690) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-02T20:38Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements "There will be NO jobs report tomorrow. X weeks after the Fed cut rates due to a weak labor market jobs data has been indefinitely suspended. Until the government shutdown ends there will be no BLS labor data. We're XX days from the next Fed meeting with tomorrow's suspended jobs report being the final one before their next meeting. So the Fed is cutting rates into rising inflation due to a weak labor market but we can no longer receive KEY labor market data. And when we do receive the data it is revised down X times before it's considered "accurate." The system is broken" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1973972025770455549) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-03T04:43Z 1.1M followers, 260.2K engagements "BREAKING: The White House announces that the US Treasury will be producing $X coins with President Trump's face" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974170630984790462) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-03T17:52Z 1.1M followers, 5.3M engagements "BREAKING: Foreign holdings of US equities have risen to a record $XX trillion. This marks a +$2.5 trillion rise over the last few months. Investors from overseas now own XX% of the $XX trillion US equity market the most in data going back to 1945. Additionally foreign investors allocation to US equities as a percentage of US financial assets hit a record 61%. This is now X percentage points above the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble high. To put this into perspective the all-time low was XX% in 1974 and the 2008 Financial Crisis low was 25%. Foreign investors are all-inonUSstocks" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974228717489762325) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-03T21:43Z 1.1M followers, 327.9K engagements "Bitcoin now has a market cap of $XXX trillion or $XXXX trillion LESS than gold. In other words gold is currently XXXX times LARGER than Bitcoin. Even if Bitcoin hit $1000000 and gold was unchanged Bitcoin would still only be XX% of the size of gold. We are still early" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1974931850310074506) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-05T20:17Z 1.1M followers, 427.4K engagements "Tonight's price action summarized: X. Japan's Stock Market: Record highs X. Japan's 30Y Bond Yields: Record highs X. Gold: Record highs X. Bitcoin: Record highs Central banks have lost control of long-term rates as economic stimulus ramps up into rising inflation" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975061957456912866) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T04:54Z 1.1M followers, 312.1K engagements "OpenAI now has: X. $XXX billion investment from Nvidia X. Up to XX% ownership in AMD X. $XXX billion Stargate investment X. $XXX billion valuation How is OpenAI still owned by a "nonprofit" parent company" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975158890460217461) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T11:19Z 1.1M followers, 14.1M engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says there is "virtually no inflation" and "stock markets are continually hitting record highs."" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975172520014667883) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T12:13Z 1.1M followers, 282.9K engagements "You can't make this up: On October 2nd users on X began noting unusual options activity in AMD $AMD. Over $X million worth of long-dated calls were purchased and flows into AMD stock were strong. One user explicitly said they "bet AMD just signed a multi-billion dollar deal to support GPUs to OpenAI." X days later AMD announces a deal with OpenAI that will generate "tens of billions in new revenues." Being on X is literally alpha for investors" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975183760200216690) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T12:58Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements "BREAKING: Tens of thousands of Robinhood $HOOD users are reportedly unable to access their accounts amid an outage after the $AMD surge" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975201641180909906) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T14:09Z 1.1M followers, 1.3M engagements "POLL: Are we in an AI Bubble The results of this poll will serve as a key indicator of sentiment. Comment your reasoning below" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975242372612301016) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T16:50Z 1.1M followers, 207.8K engagements "This has never happened before: The Volatility Index $VIX has risen +1.36 points over X consecutive days. Over the same time period the S&P XXX has gained +1.09% also advancing for X days straight. Since the creation of the $VIX in 1990 both measures have never recorded such a streak according to Goldman Sachs. The closest were 4-day streaks of the $VIX rising alongside the S&P XXX in 1995 and 1996. This comes as total call option volume has surpassed XX million contracts a day on average over the last XX trading sessions for the first time. Why is volatility rising with equity prices like" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975268065886814528) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T18:33Z 1.1M followers, 306.6K engagements "The Trump Administration Now Owns: X. XX% equity stake in Intel $INTC X. XX% equity stake in MP Materials $MP X. XX% equity stake in Lithium Americas $LAC X. XX% equity stake in Trilogy Metals $TMC X. A golden share in US Steel Corporation X. Floated idea of equity stake in defense contractors Financial markets have entered a new era: government equity stakes. What's the next acquisition for President Trump" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975326450447217106) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-06T22:25Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements "BREAKING: Gold officially crosses above $4000/oz for the first time in history. Gold is now worth $XX TRILLION" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975358526034956665) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T00:32Z 1.1M followers, 5.9M engagements "The US Dollars reserve currency dominance is declining: The US Dollar's share of the worlds central banks reserves fell XXX percentage points in Q2 2025 to XXXX% the lowest since 1994. Since 2000 this percentage has declined by XX points. By comparison the US Dollar reflected XX% of global reserves in 1977. At the current pace the Dollars weight could drop below XX% within X years. For context the euro represents XXXX% and the Chinese yuan XXX% of global reserves. Inflation is causing a currency confidence crisis" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975375272275824653) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T01:39Z 1.1M followers, 193.1K engagements "When EVERYTHING is at all time highs you need to ask yourself something: What has changed Safe havens risky assets real estate crypto global bond yields and everything in between is hitting daily record highs. The denominator for most assets in this case the US Dollar is what has changed. The US Dollar is on track for its worst year in 40+ years down -XX% YTD. Not only is the numerator going up (intrinsic value of assets) but the denominator is going down (USD). Confidence in fiat currencies is at multi-decade lows. Position accordingly" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975400526624764227) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T03:19Z 1.1M followers, 364.8K engagements "BREAKING: The US stock market capitalization-to-GDP ratio is up to a record 221%. Since the April low this metric has risen a whopping XX percentage points. It's also XXX TIMES higher that it was at the 2008 Financial Crisis low. To put this into perspective this metric peaked at XXX% during the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. The ratio has now remained above its long-term average of XX% for XX years. The market is making history" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975621898034671978) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T17:59Z 1.1M followers, 401.4K engagements "This is wild: A map of OpenAI's recent partnerships. Now one of the largest companies in the world worth over $500B still owned by a non-profit parent. What's next" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975622805300650335) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T18:02Z 1.1M followers, 474.5K engagements "BREAKING: Elon Musks xAI is reportedly nearing a $XX billion capital raise tied to Nvidias chips. Nvidia itself is among the investors in the xAI chip deal. Another multibillion dollar AI deal has arrived" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975703964202287238) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-07T23:25Z 1.1M followers, 482K engagements "Electricity is coming next: Yesterday President Trump said the United States' electricity grid is "old and tired." The Trump Administration recently bought equity stakes in Intel and metals companies. Is the Trump Administration's next XX% equity stake in an electricity-related company" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975738333557891136) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T01:41Z 1.1M followers, 440.2K engagements "BREAKING: Gold's MONTHLY RSI hits XXXX marking its most "overbought" level on record. Not even 2001 2008 or 2020 saw a reading of 90+" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1975948298318938578) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T15:36Z 1.1M followers, 558.8K engagements "The cost of hedging against market volatility is rising: Volatility risk premiums on stocks has jumped to XXXX the highest in X years. The difference between the Volatility Index $VIX and the S&P 500's 20-day realized volatility has more than doubled over the last few weeks. This ratio is now sitting near the top end of its last 10-year range. In other words the difference between how much investors expect the market to move and how much it has actually moved is historically high. Despite this single-stock volatility relative to the S&P 500s expected volatility has hit its highest level since" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976039146675400968) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-08T21:37Z 1.1M followers, 89.4K engagements "And here's what's even more interesting: Amid the daily billion dollar AI deals data centers are now facing an $XXX BILLION revenue shortfall. Just to fund data center construction through 2030 we need $X TRILLION in revenue. Data centers are the new oil" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976276099215786320) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 50.8K engagements "The byproduct of this is a major energy shortage. AI data centers are set to consume 1600 terawatt-hours of power demand by 2035 equal to XXX% of global electricity. Power demand from AI data centers is set to QUADRUPLE over the next XX years. We need more electricity" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976276108007092382) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 49.9K engagements "BREAKING: Nvidia $NVDA surges to a record high market cap of $XXXX trillion. The stock has now added +$2.6 TRILLION of market cap since its April 7th low" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976290169608126506) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T14:14Z 1.1M followers, 516.6K engagements "The elephant in the room: Alphabet Amazon Meta Microsoft and OpenAI alone have announced $XXX BILLION in commitments for new data centers in 2025. Meanwhile electricity prices are up +35% since 2022. With nuclear power 10+ years away how will we meet electricity demand" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976323017429963200) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T16:25Z 1.1M followers, 522K engagements "BREAKING: Gold futures extend their decline to -X% on the day and drop below $4000/oz. This comes less than XX hours after golds monthly RSI hit 90+ for the first time since 1980. Gold is still up +50% in 2025" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976327482698760569) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T16:42Z 1.1M followers, 254.3K engagements "BREAKING: Retail investors bought +$105 billion of US stocks over the last month the largest monthly purchase on record. Retail demand has risen FIVEFOLD since April. This brings total YTD purchases to +$630 billion already surpassing the all-time high of $XXX billion in 2021. Retail investors are now on track to buy $XXX billion worth of stocks in 2025. As a result retail shares traded as a % of total hit XX% just below the XX% record during the 2021 meme stock frenzy. Retail investors are buying likeneverbefore" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976360514230841533) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T18:54Z 1.1M followers, 319.5K engagements "BREAKING: Global debt jumped +$14 TRILLION in Q2 2025 to a record $XXXXX trillion. In the first half of 2025 world debt surged by a massive +$21 trillion a rise comparable to H2 2020 when pandemic responses drove an unprecedented spike in debt. The US China France Germany the UK and Japan recorded the largest increases in debt levels amid a weakening US Dollar. Emerging markets accounted for $XXX trillion of the increase in Q2 pushing their total debt to $XXX trillion an all-time high. The total Debt-to-GDP ratio now stands at 324%. The debt crisis hasgoneglobal" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976407070942560260) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-09T21:59Z 1.1M followers, 150.5K engagements "BREAKING: Total amount of gold owned by US ETFs linked to physical gold is up to a record $XXX billion. Holdings have DOUBLED over the last few years driven by massive investor inflows and a rise in gold prices. Before the 2020 pandemic gold holdings were XXX times less at $XX billion. US ETFs linked to physical gold attracted a record $XX billion in net inflows in September alone. Meanwhile the total assets under management in global gold ETFs rose +23% QoQ in Q3 2025 reaching a record $XXX billion. Investors are piling into gold funds like neverbefore" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976635453890523156) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T13:06Z 1.1M followers, 166.2K engagements "US beef prices are skyrocketing: Average ground beef prices rose +13% YoY in August to a record $6.32/pound according to Labor Department data. Since 2021 beef prices have risen +$2.30/pound or +58%. This comes as US cattle and calves inventories continue to fall pressured by drought high feed costs and record calf prices. The cattle herd is now at its smallest the 1950s. At the same time domestic demand remains strong due to high per capita consumption as the US is one of the largest beef consumers in the world. Beef inflationisnotslowing" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976655652719112283) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T14:26Z 1.1M followers, 153.5K engagements "Absolutely insane: At 10:57 AM ET President Trumped published a massive paragraph about China saying a "massive increase" in tariffs is coming. By 11:00 AM ET X minutes later the S&P XXX the S&P XXX had already erased -$700 BILLION of market cap. Is the trade war back" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976665471568232647) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T15:05Z 1.1M followers, 2.1M engagements "PRESIDENT TRUMP'S STATEMENT ON CHINA JUST NOW: X. China is "becoming very hostile" and controlling rare earths X. "Always felt that China is lying and now as usual I have been proven right" X. China is "holding the world captive" in a "monopoly position" X. There is "no reason" to meet President Xi in X weeks X. Preparing a "massive increase of tariffs on Chinese products" X. "Many other countermeasures" are under serious consideration US stocks are now falling to new weekly lows" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976666984684068950) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T15:11Z 1.1M followers, 454.4K engagements "BREAKING: Oil prices fall to a new low after President Trumps China tariff increase statement. Now at the lowest level since May 8th" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976669940519449034) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T15:23Z 1.1M followers, 184.5K engagements "BREAKING: The S&P XXX extends losses to over -XXX points in XX minutes following President Trumps statement on China" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976670535187915207) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T15:25Z 1.1M followers, 236.6K engagements "Meanwhile Fed rate cuts will resume as the labor market clearly deteriorates. Underemployment is at XXX% the highest since 2021. All while XX% of items in CPI inflation are now rising by at least 3%. As we continue to reiterate asset owners will continue to be rewarded" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976683414737838111) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 117K engagements "On top of this the AI Revolution is accelerating at an unprecedented pace. Magnificent X companies are investing over +$100B in CapEx PER QUARTER. AI now accounts for XX% of S&P XXX CapEx spend. We believe fighting this unprecedented level of investment is dangerous" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976683417480663399) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 109K engagements "Current situation: X. Oil prices are below $59/barrel for the first time since May X. 10Y Note Yield is down XX basis points to XXXX% X. Natural gas prices are down -X% to new monthly lows X. Copper prices are down -X% in biggest drop since July X. The Fed is expected to cut rates X times in 2025 X. S&P XXX is still trading up over +32% in X months Is the trade war accomplishing all of Trump's goals at once" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976716863078858850) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T18:30Z 1.1M followers, 270.8K engagements "Rare earth stocks are skyrocketing: After President Trump's post about China attempting to impose rare earths controls the market shifted. Between a Ukraine deal and China one of President Trump's top strategic priorities is controlling rare earths. Currently XX% of rare earths in the US come from China. Could one of President Trump's next equity stakes be in a rare earths company" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976731710147440848) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T19:29Z 1.1M followers, 613.9K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump announces a XXX% tariff on China starting November 1st and export controls on "any and all critical software."" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976753814754541722) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T20:56Z 1.1M followers, 997.3K engagements "BREAKING: Total crypto market cap losses exceed -$300 BILLION on the day as President Trump announces a XXX% tariff on China" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976763317915206114) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T21:34Z 1.1M followers, 373.6K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says he has not cancelled his meeting with China's President Xi and he "might still" have the meeting. Just hours ago President Trump said he has "no reason" to meet with President Xi" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976773016894992596) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T22:13Z 1.1M followers, 691.3K engagements "LIVE now on CNN Tune in to see Adam Kobeissis exclusive outlook amid resurfacing tariff tensions" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976792611504767297) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-10T23:31Z 1.1M followers, 186.4K engagements "The blatant reality: Heading into President Trump's XXX% China tariff announcement markets were LOOKING for a catalyst to pull back on. Leverage was through the roof and we had not seen a 2%+ decline in the S&P XXX for X months. President Trump's post became THE REASON to sell off in what remains a broader uptrend. The fact that a record near -$20 BILLION was liquidated in crypto in XX hours is clear evidence leverage was through the roof. Fear and Greed are the most powerful emotions in the market; the scale had tipped too far in the direction of the latter. Still ignore the noise and follow" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1976831778527518796) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T02:06Z 1.1M followers, 418.7K engagements "To put this into perspective: The liquidation event we saw over the last XX hours was $XX BILLION larger than the February 2025 crash. It was more than XX TIMES larger than the March 2020 crash and collapse of FTX. Never in history have we seen anything even close to this" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005756915630333) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 160.5K engagements "The main culprit of this appears to be a combination of excessive leverage and risk. If you take a look at the breakdown of liquidations it was heavily skewed towards longs. $XXXX billion in longs were liquidated compared to $XXX billion in shorts. That's a 6.7:1 ratio" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005767091011650) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 120.2K engagements "Even more evidence of the excessive long leverage in the market: ALL major exchanges except for Bitfinex saw an overwhelming percentage of long liquidations. Most were 90%+ long including a massive $XXXX BILLION on Hyperliquid alone. The same exchange the "whale" used" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005769477570767) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 109.7K engagements "The next component was the "shock effect." Markets became excessively crowded to the long direction after a historic run from the April 2025 low. Greed exceeded XX as shown below days before the crash. The sudden shock of the tariff post led to a MASSIVE shift in sentiment" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005772023415223) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 111.7K engagements "So what's next We believe this crash was due to the combination of multiple sudden technical factors. It does NOT have long-term fundamental implications. A technical correction was overdue we think a trade deal will be reached and crypto remains strong. We are bullish" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977005777249616032) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 107.9K engagements "BREAKING: Yesterday's crypto liquidation led to Bitcoin's first ever $20000 daily swing. Bitcoin alone erased -$380 BILLION in market cap over just X hours. That's more than the market cap of all but XX public companies in the world" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977038481538138472) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T15:48Z 1.1M followers, 423.2K engagements "Risk appetite is skyrocketing in China: Stock turnover in Chinas stock market hit a record XXX trillion Yuan year-to-date. This surpassed the previous record set in 2024 when XXX Yuan was turned over. Since 2022 turnover has more than TRIPLED. This comes as the CSI XXX Chinas main stock index posted its 5th consecutive monthly gain in September the longest streak in X years. The index has now risen +19.6% year-to-date. Chinas equity market is gainingmomentum" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977067422336405979) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T17:43Z 1.1M followers, 130.9K engagements "The crypto collapse: At 9:30 AM ET yesterday crypto's market cap hit $XXX TRILLION near a record. By 5:20 PM ET crypto's market cap hit $XXX trillion down -$800 BILLION. That's -$100 billion PER HOUR for X hours straight. Liquidation is an understatement" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977110455848951860) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T20:34Z 1.1M followers, 303.1K engagements "The plot thickens: A "whale" on HyperLiquid placed over $XX MILLION of shorts at 4:49 PM ET yesterday per Coffeezilla. Exactly X MINUTE later President Trump announced XXX% tariffs on China leading to the largest liquidation in crypto history. Is this the best crypto trade of the year" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977120147744702678) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-11T21:12Z 1.1M followers, 730.9K engagements "BREAKING: China responds to President Trump's XXX% tariff for the first time since Friday: China says recent export controls on rare earths were "necessary defensive actions." China also said they will take "corresponding measures" if the US persists in raising tariffs" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977220042748993851) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T03:49Z 1.1M followers, 298.4K engagements "BREAKING: China says new export controls on rare earths are NOT a ban on exports and applications that "meet regulations" will be approved. China says they are willing to strengthen dialogue to "better maintain stability of global industrial and supply chains." Are we back" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977221876704579798) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T03:56Z 1.1M followers, 584.3K engagements "BREAKING: China appears to soften their stance on recent rare earths export controls. China now says: X. The recent change is NOT a full export ban X. Applications that meet regulations will be approved X. Willing to engage in deeper dialogue X. Looks for global industrial and supply chain stability X. Relevant impact of export controls is "very limited" X. Calls this a "necessary defensive action" China also adds that they will take measures if the US persists in raising tariffs" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977223543793340831) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T04:03Z 1.1M followers, 1.2M engagements "Investors are waking up to some major news from China: The entire tariff crash on October 10th may have just been one big misunderstanding between Trump and Xi. The news about Chinas rare earth export controls came out on October 9th at 8:30 am ET XX hours BEFORE Trump posted about it. This was a non-news event UNTIL President Trump posted about it over one day later. Last night China released a statement clarifying their "export controls" on rare earths. In their response China said the new controls are NOT a full export ban and applications that meet regulations will be approved. Amid the" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977370328591438192) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T13:46Z 1.1M followers, 6.3M engagements "BREAKING: Ethereum extends gains to +5% on the day and reclaims $4000/oz. Just like that risk appetite is back" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977392159402709038) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T15:13Z 1.1M followers, 310.1K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says dont worry about China it will be all fine. Trump says Chinas President Xi just had a bad moment. There it is the Sunday pre-futures open post weve been waiting for" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977416957583560860) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T16:51Z 1.1M followers, 1.6M engagements "Key Events This Week: X. OPEC Monthly Report - Monday X. Fed Chair Powell Speaks - Tuesday X. NY Fed Manufacturing Index - Wednesday X. Philly Fed Manufacturing Index - Thursday X. NAHB Housing Market Index - Thursday X. XX% of S&P XXX Companies Report Earnings The data blackout on the US government shutdown continues" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977424835744497766) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T17:23Z 1.1M followers, 171.3K engagements "BREAKING: Ethereum extends gains to over +11% on the day now up +20% from its Friday low. Dip buyers are in full swing after a -$19.5 billion record liquidation. The equity futures market open is going to be big" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977427196823404583) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T17:32Z 1.1M followers, 673.8K engagements "We've spent the last XX months analyzing EVERY single tariff development: Here's the EXACT playbook for investors. X. Trump puts out cryptic post on tariffs coming for a specific country or sector markets drift lower X. Trump announces large tariff rate (50%+) and markets crash to shake out weak positions X. Dip buyers step in but the head fake rally leads to fresh lows where smart money begins buying X. After the market closes on Friday President Trump doubles down on new tariffs to apply pressure X. On Saturday the target of the new tariff typically responds or comments X. On Sunday before" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977435784857690490) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T18:06Z 1.1M followers, 3.7M engagements "Financial markets are evolving: The -$19.5 billion crypto liquidation and -$2.5 trillion equity market crash on October 10th have highlighted a crucial point. Markets in 2025 have evolved to their most reactionary form in history. When you couple this with record levels of leverage a FOMO-inducing market and heavy participation by algorithmic traders it becomes violent. Headlines and posts are now able to move trillions of dollars of market cap in a matter of minutes. In our view there has never been a more exciting time to be an investor than now. And the ability to remain objective and" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977454724317057387) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-12T19:22Z 1.1M followers, 243.3K engagements "BREAKING: US Treasury Secretary Bessent says XXX% tariffs on China "doesn't have to happen" and the US-China "relationship is good." We are now on step #8 of our tariff trading playbook. Are you following our plan" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977708049750950066) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T12:08Z 1.1M followers, 456.9K engagements "Step #8 of our tariff trading "playbook" has arrived down to the hour perfectly on time:" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977709685596655686) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T12:15Z 1.1M followers, 31.3K engagements "BREAKING: Broadcom stock $AVGO surges over +13% after signing a "multi-billion dollar chip deal" with OpenAI. Broadcom will build custom data center chips for OpenAI and the deal covers 10GW of compute capacity. Broadcom now up +$200 BILLION of market cap today" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977722242780872778) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T13:05Z 1.1M followers, 449.2K engagements "OpenAI has now signed "multi-billion dollar deals" with: X. US Government (Stargate) - $XXX Billion X. Nvidia - $XXX Billion X. AMD - Up to $XXX Billion X. Intel - $XX Billion X. TSMC - $XX Billion X. Microsoft - $XX Billion X. Oracle - $XX Billion X. Broadcom - "Multi-Billion" OpenAI's valuation could exceed $X trillion as soon as 2026. The world's fastest growing "non-profit" will soon be engrained in every US tech giant" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977731800018616475) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T13:43Z 1.1M followers, 500.4K engagements "BREAKING: US stocks extend gains with the S&P XXX now up over +1.5% on the day adding +$850 billion of market cap. The S&P XXX is now on track for its biggest daily gain since May 27th" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977737894493110741) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T14:07Z 1.1M followers, 213.5K engagements "Absolute insanity: Gold has now officially added +$10 TRILLION of market cap in XX months up a massive +55%. Over the last XX hours gold has rallied on EVERY headline even as the S&P XXX erased -$2.5 trillion in X hours. What's next Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977753874329993611) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 2.1M engagements "It now takes X Nvidia's to buy gold's market cap. Gold has added an average of $XXX billion PER MONTH for XX straight months. Never in history has any asset done anything remotely near this before" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977771058578248172) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T16:19Z 1.1M followers, 243.3K engagements "US job markets leading indicator is still deteriorating: The gap between Americans saying jobs are plentiful and hard to get fell to XXX% in September the lowest since 2021. This is the weakest reading in X years outside the 2020 pandemic spike. Historically this measure been a leading indicator of unemployment suggesting higher jobless claims ahead. According to Moodys there is no better predictor of changes in unemployment than this metric. The Fed will have no choice but to continue cutting rates" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977803837525065912) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T18:29Z 1.1M followers, 170K engagements "What is happening in the silver market Silver lease rates the cost to borrow London silver overnight have spiked above XXX% annualized hitting an all-time high. This even surpasses the surge seen during the 1980s silver short squeeze when prices reached $52.50/oz. At the same time the 1-month lease rate jumped to a XX% annualized rate the highest in at least X years. The squeeze has been driven by increased investor purchases a sharply reduced supply of bars available to trade and a sudden spike in demand from India. Meanwhile benchmark London silver prices have surged to a record $X premium" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977840767977849217) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T20:56Z 1.1M followers, 445.9K engagements "There it is: Gold has officially posted its highest monthly RSI reading in HISTORY at XXXX. Gold has only seen X red months since March 2024. In retrospect it will be so obvious what this all means" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977876198383296674) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-13T23:16Z 1.1M followers, 617.8K engagements "BREAKING: China urges the US to correct wrongdoings regarding President Trumps XXX% tariff and says it will fight until the end. In other words step #9 in our tariff playbook is on the horizon" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977904276727902633) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T01:08Z 1.1M followers, 518.5K engagements "BREAKING: China confirms working level talks with the US regarding tariffs and export controls. Step #9 is on the way" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977907063893225928) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T01:19Z 1.1M followers, 364.3K engagements "BREAKING: Stock market futures extend gains as China confirms working level talks with the US. S&P XXX futures are now up +160 points since their Friday low" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977908288772604320) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T01:24Z 1.1M followers, 365.3K engagements "Risk appetite just broke another record: Total US options volume reached a record XXX million contracts on Friday. This beats Aprils Liberation Day high when trading activity surpassed XXX million for the first time. This comes as total call options volume hit XX million an all-time high. At the same time put options activity reached XX million contracts the 2nd-largest on record. To put this into perspective the 2021 meme stock mania record was XX million. Friday was a historic day" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978083641507844494) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T13:01Z 1.1M followers, 153.3K engagements "What are your favorite energy-related stocks" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978092215969751291) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T13:35Z 1.1M followers, 68.2K engagements "Prepare for a volatile Q3 earnings season: The average implied earnings-day move for S&P XXX stocks based on options pricing is XXX% the second-highest since the 2022 bear market. Consumer discretionary stocks are expected to experience the most volatility. at 6.2%. This is followed by information technology and communication services at XXX% and 5.8%. We are preparing for big earnings-daystockmoves" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978122122330345713) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T15:34Z 1.1M followers, 86.9K engagements "BREAKING: Binance announces that they will distribute $XXX million to users who were liquidated during the October 10th market crash" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978124338373984366) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T15:42Z 1.1M followers, 609.5K engagements "BREAKING: The Dow erases a -XXX point loss and turns positive on the day as US Trade Representative Greer says a meeting between President Trump and China's President Xi has been SCHEDULED" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978125377017942272) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T15:46Z 1.1M followers, 224.1K engagements "BREAKING: US Trade Representative Greer says the Trump Administration thinks they will be able to "work through it" with China. A meeting between President Trump and President Xi has officially been scheduled. Step number X in our tariff playbook has arrived" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978128413262221389) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T15:59Z 1.1M followers, 377.9K engagements "The Bank of Japans balance sheet shrinkage is accelerating: Total assets on the BoJ balance sheet declined -$148 billion in Q3 2025 to $XXXX trillion the lowest since mid-2022. This marks the largest quarterly decline since Quantitative Tightening (QT) began in 2024. Since the March 2024 peak assets have fallen -$407 billion or -8.1%. To put this into perspective the BoJ's total assets to GDP ratio still stands above 110%. Meanwhile the Bank of Japan announced in late September that it would start gradually selling its ETF and REIT holdings at a pace of $XXX billion per year. Japan's era of" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978175357544267806) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T19:05Z 1.1M followers, 246K engagements "The stock market just erased -$450 billion in X minutes because President Trump threatened to start producing cooking oil in the US" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978187313302602162) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T19:53Z 1.1M followers, 1.8M engagements "BREAKING: The State Department says it has revoked the visas at least X people for their comments on the death of Charlie Kirk" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978224396482334766) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-14T22:20Z 1.1M followers, 184.2K engagements "BREAKING: Gold futures cross above $4200/oz for the first time in history. Gold is now up nearly +60% in 2025 alone. One day we will wonder why gold was so cheap. Own assets or be left behind" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978274372725973312) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T01:38Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements "The big question: What are gold and silver really telling us Gold and silver are now up more than X TIMES the S&P XXX in 2025 during one of the S&P 500's strongest bull runs ever. That is gold and silver are massively outperforming risky assets during a bull run in those same risky assets. When safe havens are rallying with risky assets it tells you one thing: confidence in fiat currencies is eroding. And while deficit spending and rate cuts into stagflation are major drivers of this sentiment shift we believe there is more to it. The market is pricing in record levels of AI CapEx and what" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978293603152675214) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T02:55Z 1.1M followers, 538.6K engagements "Crypto adoption has barely started: The market cap of crypto just exceeded a record $X trillion. Yet XX% of investors have ZERO exposure to crypto right now. We are still early" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978476896175472743) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T15:03Z 1.1M followers, 313.3K engagements "Gold is going mainstream: XX% of global fund managers say Long Gold is the most crowded trade according to a BofA survey of XXX participants with $XXX billion in assets. Gold has reclaimed the lead after X consecutive months where Long Magnificent X topped the list. Interestingly Short US Dollar has fallen 2-straight months from XX% to 8%. Meanwhile XX% of professional investors from the survey do not own any gold in their portfolios. The average investor's allocation to gold is just XXX% near an all-time low. Is Wall Street set to join the gold rally" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978523394313167084) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-15T18:08Z 1.1M followers, 187.3K engagements "Another night another +$300 billion in market cap for gold. Gold futures now rising into a record $4250/oz" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978651732046438406) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T02:38Z 1.1M followers, 956K engagements "BREAKING: Demand for the Feds Reverse Repo (RRP) facility has fallen to $XXX billion the lowest since April 2021. RRP usage one of the financial systems key excess liquidity metrics has declined -$2.5 trillion since its December 2022 peak. Meanwhile bank reserves at the Fed dropped below $XXX trillion a level that many Fed officials consider the red line between abundant and scarce reserves. Such a low level can strain the financial system making it harder for banks to lend money and can cause spikes in market volatility or even bank failures. As a result Fed Chair Powell just said that the" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978811666436358458) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T13:14Z 1.1M followers, 303.2K engagements "BREAKING: Gold futures cross above $4300/oz for the first time in history now up over +60% in 2025. Gold just became the first asset in history to hit $XX TRILLION in market cap. It now takes X Nvidia's to buy gold's market cap" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978859107739128083) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T16:22Z 1.1M followers, 571.8K engagements "Gold is now worth $XX trillion MORE than the 2nd most valuable asset in the world. Gold has also added +$11 TRILLION in 2025 alone. We are witnessing an unprecedented run in precious metals right now. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978865931750146469) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T16:49Z 1.1M followers, 50.3K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump issues a statement about his "lengthy" phone call with President Putin. Trump says he will be meeting with Putin in Budapest to see if they can reach a deal to end the war between Russia and Ukraine" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978872380823830966) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T17:15Z 1.1M followers, 349.1K engagements "Extreme Fear. This is NOT what you see before a market crash with the S&P XXX trading X% away from a record high" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978907402779910308) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T19:34Z 1.1M followers, 853.2K engagements "BREAKING: Gold officially becomes the first asset in history to hit $XX TRILLION in market cap. Its an all out global rush into gold" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978918835144077442) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-16T20:19Z 1.1M followers, 1.4M engagements "The elephant in the room: Confidence in fiat currencies has collapsed. As a result absolutely no one wants cash right now. In fact cash allocation for institutional investors is down to XXX% the lowest percentage in XX years. The Fed will soon lose its independence rate cuts are coming into stagflation and global debt jumped +$14 TRILLION in Q2 2025 to a record $XXXXX trillion. You are either buying stocks at record highs piling into gold and silver or buying crypto. Meanwhile corporations are investing hundreds of billions into AI and governments will soon join the AI arms race prompting" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1978982541563416724) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T00:33Z 1.1M followers, 743.8K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump was just asked if his XXX% tariff on China will stand. His response: No" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979145968944562666) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T11:22Z 1.1M followers, 545.6K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump announces that he will be meeting with Chinas President Xi in X weeks. I think well be fine with China Trump says. There it is folks step #10 of our tariff playbook is in the works. Timing (2 weeks) is exactly in-line as well" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979147437987033437) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T11:28Z 1.1M followers, 745.5K engagements "Exactly X week ago President Trump said there was "no reason" to meet with Xi anymore. Today the meeting is back on and high tariffs will not remain. The market's rollercoaster ride continues. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979150134668616076) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T11:38Z 1.1M followers, 75.5K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump calls his XXX% tariff on China "not sustainable." "We have to have a fair deal" Trump says" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979157236166332891) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T12:07Z 1.1M followers, 842.1K engagements "BREAKING: The Dow erases a -XXX point drop and turns positive as President Trump says no when asked if high tariffs will remain on China" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979157829324784032) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T12:09Z 1.1M followers, 167.2K engagements "The hallmark of any bull market: Pullbacks become oversold quickly and upswings become overbought slowly. That's exactly what we are seeing in stocks gold and crypto now" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979166251869179974) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T12:43Z 1.1M followers, 255K engagements "Margin debt is SKYROCKETING: In September 2025 US investors took on another +$67 billion in margin debt bringing the total to a record $XXXX TRILLION. Meanwhile X TIMES levered ETFs have just been proposed to the SEC. What does it all mean Let us explain. (a thread)" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979196802021658884) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 886.7K engagements "Investor leverage has nearly DOUBLED over the last X years. This marks a similar pace to the rise seen following the 2020 pandemic. As a % of GDP margin debt now sits just below the 2021 peak. Needless to say risk appetite is arguably at its strongest level ever" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979196804265599219) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 22.2K engagements "Everyone wants a piece of the AI Revolution. US households allocation to equities has hit a record 52%. This now surpasses the 2000 peak of XX% by X percentage points. The percentage is also TWICE as high as at the 2008 low. Americans are piling into the stock market" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979196806329246138) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 20.5K engagements "Clearly leveraged debt has skyrocketed to unprecedented levels. But what does it mean In our view the surge in leverage debt reflects just how strong momentum is right now. But it will also come with what we believe will be a more turbulent path higher for risky assets" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979196810506772963) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 21.8K engagements "That said while there is a risk-on mania we do NOT think the top is near. Why not If you take a look at a lot of the large tech names fueling this rally they are getting CHEAPER as they go up. The forward EV/EBIT multiple on Nvidia has fallen to XXXX the same as Walmart" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979196816877813941) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 38.5K engagements "BREAKING: US ETF inflows have crossed above +$1.0 trillion in 2025 the highest YTD total in history. Inflows are now running 3.5x above the usual seasonal average every month. Flows are now on track to exceed +$1.25 trillion in 2025 for the first time. By comparison the full-year record in 2024 was +$1.1 trillion. Meanwhile over XXX new ETFs have launched this year already surpassing the 2024 record. The ETF boom is accelerating" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979214823851192563) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T15:56Z 1.1M followers, 159.4K engagements "BREAKING: Total crypto liquidations have now hit -$1.2 billion over the last XX hours. Bitcoin alone has seen nearly -$500 million of liquidations today" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979226736958099469) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T16:43Z 1.1M followers, 312.3K engagements "BREAKING: Russia has reportedly asked Elon Musk to help build a $XX billion undersea rail tunnel linking Russia and Alaska. The tunnel would be named the Putin-Trump Tunnel" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979236489079706013) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T17:22Z 1.1M followers, 1.3M engagements "BREAKING: Gold & silver funds posted +$8.2 billion in net inflows last week the 2nd-biggest weekly inflow on record. This follows a record +$9.5 billion seen in the prior week. As a result the 4-week moving average of inflows spiked to a record +$7.5 billion. This is almost DOUBLE the previous high seen in early 2022. Overall gold funds have attracted +$34.2 billion over the last XX weeks the most in history. Money is flooding into gold at an unprecedentedpace" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979247287579586931) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T18:05Z 1.1M followers, 131.3K engagements "BREAKING: The US Government is now on track to shut down for more than XX days the longest shut down in history. This means the current shutdown is expected to last X TIMES longer than average" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979257251631149221) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-17T18:44Z 1.1M followers, 389.1K engagements "BREAKING: Total US public debt has hit record $XXXX TRILLION. This marks a +$400 BILLION jump this month or +$25 billion per day. Federal debt has now surged +$1.7 TRILLION since the debt ceiling was raised in July rising over +$425 billion every month. At the current pace total debt would hit a record $XX trillion by as soon as 2026. As a result the Debt-to-GDP ratio now stands at XXX% the highest since 2021 and near the 2020 record. The US debt crisis has reached unprecedentedlevels" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979540446276702707) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-18T13:29Z 1.1M followers, 836.7K engagements "Institutional investors are all-in on stocks: Global managers cash allocation fell to XXX% in October the lowest in XX years. Cash has stayed at or below X% of AUM for the 4th consecutive month. Since 1999 there have been only a few instances when cash levels were this low. Meanwhile XX% of managers said they are net overweight global stocks the most since January 2025. At the same time a record net XX% responded that global stocks are overvalued XX percentage points above the level seen during the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. Institutional investors are heavily exposed to equities" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979618021388812720) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-18T18:38Z 1.1M followers, 283.4K engagements "Investors are piling into defense stocks: Aerospace & Defense ETF inflows hit +$8.2 billion in the first X quarters of 2025. This marks a +573% surge compared to 2024 levels. Monthly inflows peaked at +$1.6 billion in June before moderating to +$634 million in September. The surge has triggered a wave of new fund launches with XX Aerospace & Defense ETFs debuting in 2025 compared to just X last year. Investor demand for defense exposureis very strong" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979655724339757494) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-18T21:07Z 1.1M followers, 181.6K engagements "Buy-the-dip activity is incredibly strong: Investors bought +$3.9 billion in US equities last week following X straight weeks of selling according to BofA. Net inflows to single stocks hit +$4.1 billion the 5th highest since 2008 and the largest on record for a week when the S&P XXX fell at least -1%. This was driven by institutional inflows of +$4.4 billion the most since November 2022. Retail investors bought +$1.1 billion marking their 2nd weekly purchase out of the last X. Meanwhile hedge funds sold -$1.6 billion posting their 5th consecutive weekly sale. Investors are eager to buy dips" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979684370748448797) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-18T23:01Z 1.1M followers, 228.6K engagements "Key Events This Week: X. XX% of S&P XXX companies report earnings X. US Crude Oil Inventory data - Wednesday X. September Existing Home Sales data - Thursday X. September CPI Inflation data - Friday X. October Services PMI data - Friday X. October MI Consumer Sentiment data - Friday We are now X week out from Fed week" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979919901369200669) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-19T14:37Z 1.1M followers, 132.2K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says he is not looking to destroy China and calls Chinas President Xi a smart leader who is open for a deal" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979935193692557533) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-19T15:38Z 1.1M followers, 624.5K engagements "The US is dominating global markets: Total US stock market capitalization just hit $XX TRILLION for the first time. This equals XXX% of the entire US economy. The value of the US market has DOUBLED since the 2022 bear market. By comparison Asian and European stock markets are worth $XX trillion and $XX trillion respectively. This means the US stock market is now XX% larger than Asia and Europe COMBINED. The gap between the US and the rest of the world is historic" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1979986014316958172) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-19T19:00Z 1.1M followers, 602.6K engagements "US consumers are becoming more pessimistic about the job market: Americans perceived probability of losing their job over the next X years jumped to XXXX% in October the 2nd-highest since the 2020 pandemic. This now marks the 3rd-largest reading since the 2008 Financial Crisis. By comparison this percentage was XX% at the beginning of the year. At the same time XX% of Americans expect a higher unemployment rate over the next XX months the 3rd-highest reading since 2009. This is double the percentage seen in December 2024. Americans believe the job market is weaker than officiallyreported" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980007655038157253) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-19T20:26Z 1.1M followers, 219K engagements "The Kobeissi Letter for the week of October 20th has been published and may be viewed through the link below: The Chart of the Week for the week of October 20th has been published. View or sign up for FREE through the link below:" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980028684699668506) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-19T21:50Z 1.1M followers, 87.4K engagements "The US debt crisis is intensifying: Total US debt reached a record $XXXX trillion in Q2 2025 equal to XXX% of GDP. Federal government debt rose to $XXXX trillion in Q2 but the most recent data shows it has reached $XXXX trillion or XXX% of GDP. Nonfinancial corporate debt hit $XXXX trillion representing XX% of GDP. Financial corporate debt totaled $XXXX trillion or XX% of GDP. Household debt reached $XXXX trillion corresponding to XX% of GDP. America has never beenthisindebted" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980240093408346218) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-20T11:50Z 1.1M followers, 407.6K engagements "BREAKING: The US federal deficit reached $XXX trillion in FY2025 according to CBO estimates. This equals XXX% of GDP one of the highest readings outside of WWII the 2008 Financial Crisis and the 2020 Pandemic. It marks the 4th-largest budget gap on record behind the $XXX trillion and $XXX trillion deficits during the pandemic response in 2020 and 2021. Interest payments alone rose by +$80 billion surpassing $X trillion for the full year for the first time in history. The US debt crisis has reached another level" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980267184367530291) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-20T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 175.1K engagements "BREAKING: Apple stock $AAPL surges over +4% and posts its first record high of 2025 now up +55% since its April bottom. That's +$1.4 TRILLION in market cap since April in Apple alone. The AI Revolution is in full swing" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980290735262908491) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-20T15:11Z 1.1M followers, 227K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says he expects to work out a "fair deal" with China's President Xi and is scheduled to meet with him in South Korea. Trump says China has been "very respectful" of the US and "we will see what we can do." Step #10 in our tariff playbook is near" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980301759940894875) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-20T15:55Z 1.1M followers, 396.3K engagements "Its official: The average price of gasoline in the US has fallen to $2.98/gallon the lowest since 2020. Last week President Trump said he will be bringing gas prices below $2.00/gallon" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980324643983753575) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-20T17:26Z 1.1M followers, 198.8K engagements "BREAKING: US tariff revenue jumped +$22.4 billion YoY in September to a record +$29.7 billion. This marks the 7th consecutive monthly increase following Augusts +$29.5 billion. For FY2025 tariff revenues rose +$118 billion YoY to a record +$195 billion. Compared to 2018 this is a FIVEFOLD increase. At the current pace tariff revenue could exceed +$350 billion in FY2026. Tariff revenue is surging at an unprecedented pace" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980335071992180765) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-20T18:07Z 1.1M followers, 301.6K engagements "Gold is casually up another +$170/oz today without any material news at all. Gold can see the future" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980357098564427781) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-20T19:35Z 1.1M followers, 321.4K engagements "More investors are betting on a XX basis point Fed cut this year: Open interest for Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) call options which trade on Fed interest rates falling to XXXX% by year-end jumped to 926000 contracts the highest on record. This suggests the market is pricing in a XX bps of cuts from the current 4.25%. Open interest for SOFR call options on this bet has TRIPLED since July. In other words investors increasingly expect at least one XX bps rate cut at either the October or December Fed meeting. Is the Fed set to cut rates moreaggressively" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980371946668777757) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-20T20:34Z 1.1M followers, 165.5K engagements "Early signs of trouble are emerging in the leveraged loan market: The US leveraged loan market is now on track for its biggest monthly loss since at least 2022. This comes as defaults of First Brands and Tricolor Auto in September have exposed possible weak underwriting standards and growing vulnerabilities in credit markets. The collapse of First Brands alone has triggered over -$4 billion in losses affecting funds run by Blackstone PGIM Franklin Templeton CIFC and Wellington. Despite these failures leveraged loan issuances hit a record +$404 billion in Q3 2025. The leveraged loan market now" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980391751404699907) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-20T21:52Z 1.1M followers, 170.6K engagements "Alternative metrics show US inflation is rising: Inflation rose +2.6% YoY in September the highest in X years according to PriceStats data based on online retail prices. This marks the 5th-consecutive monthly increase. The increase was driven by sharply higher prices for goods such as furniture and household equipment. Additionally CPI for Durable & Personal Goods jumped +0.6% MoM last month the fastest monthly increase since June OpenBrand data shows. The surge was led by higher costs for personal care products and communication devices. Price increases appear to beaccelerating" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980642230017651107) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-21T14:28Z 1.1M followers, 146.9K engagements "BREAKING: President Trump says he expects to make a "good deal" when he meets with China's President Xi. The S&P XXX is now XX points away from a record high" [X Link](https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980678969293959641) [@KobeissiLetter](/creator/x/KobeissiLetter) 2025-10-21T16:54Z 1.1M followers, 103.9K engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
@KobeissiLetter The Kobeissi Letter
The US-China trade relationship is a major focus, with President Trump announcing a XXX% tariff on China and considering increased tariffs on Chinese products, while also expressing concerns about China's control of rare earths. The market is reacting to these developments, with significant fluctuations in stock prices, including surges in rare earth stocks, Broadcom, and Oracle. Meanwhile, gold and silver prices are hitting record highs, with gold now up nearly XX% in 2025, as investors seek safe-haven assets amid rising economic uncertainty.
Engagements: XXXXXXXXX #
- X Week XXXXXXXXXX -XX%
- X Month XXXXXXXXXXX +85%
- X Months XXXXXXXXXXX +0.61%
- X Year XXXXXXXXXXXXX +149%
Mentions: XXX #
- X Week XXX -XXXX%
- X Month XXX +0.85%
- X Months XXXXX -XX%
- X Year XXXXX +110%
Followers: XXXXXXXXX #
- X Week XXXXXXXXX +1.10%
- X Month XXXXXXXXX +5.90%
- X Months XXXXXXXXX +20%
- X Year XXXXXXXXX +76%
CreatorRank: XXXXX #
Social Influence #
Social category influence finance #114 countries #3807 stocks #1200 cryptocurrencies #742 technology brands #6200 currencies #3477 exchanges #3419 automotive brands XXXX% celebrities XXXX% travel destinations XXXX%
Social topic influence china #192, over the #86, stocks #93, market cap #5, tariffs #6, fed #20, futures #123, bitcoin #3691, 24 hours #529, rates #360
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @kalshi @grok @xynth_m @stockstormx @azimuthrsrch @ksquared1919 @brianobrien13 @elonmusk @tonitrades_ @realjoseyan @saylormoon_1 @gainzalgo @alifarhat79 @soveconomy @dailynoahnews @briefing_block_ @shashank_sindhe @mingle_malinger @yoki_sgn @investibrew
Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Ethereum (ETH) Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Goldman Sachs (GS) Apple, Inc. (AAPL) The Official XX Coin (67) Walrus (WAL) MUX Protocol (MCB) Zions Bancorporation, NA. (ZION) Comerica, Inc. (CMA) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) IBM (IBM) Intel Corporation (INTC) Oracle Corporation (ORCL) New York Community Bancorp, Inc. (NYCB) Valley National Bancorp (VLY) Centrifuge (CFG) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Lithium Americas Corp. Common Shares (LAC) Bank of America (BAC)
Top Social Posts #
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours
"What is happening in Argentina In XX hours Argentina's stock market COLLAPSED -XX% with the Argentine Peso now down -XX% in XX years. Today the Trump Administration offered a "lifeline" to Argentina sending stocks surging +8%. Can Argentina be saved (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-22T14:50Z 1.1M followers, 1.2M engagements
"Gold demand continues to surge: Global gold ETF holdings rose by +27 tonnes on Friday the biggest daily increase since January 2022. This is DOUBLE the daily average seen so far this year. As a result gold-backed ETFs increased +0.9% the largest single-day percentage gain since 2022. Gold prices are now on track for their 6th consecutive weekly gain the longest streak since February. Meanwhile daily options volume of the largest silver ETF $SLV spiked to XXX million shares on Friday the highest since April 2024. Precious metals are making history"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-24T23:44Z 1.1M followers, 144.3K engagements
"Something is seriously wrong here: For the first time in history a NEW home in the US costs $33500 LESS than an EXISTING home per Reventure. Not even June 2005 saw such a large gap right before the 2008 Financial Crisis. What is happening Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-19T12:58Z 1.1M followers, 2.9M engagements
"BREAKING: Nvidia stock surges above $180/share after announcing plans to invest up to $XXX billion in OpenAI as part of a data center build-out"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-22T16:16Z 1.1M followers, 681.3K engagements
"We are still early: The Nasdaq XXX is up for X STRAIGHT months for the 6th time since 1986. In the previous X times the Nasdaq XXX NEVER ended lower XX months later with an average gain of +18%. History says the Nasdaq XXX will be +9% higher in X months. Buckle up"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-04T14:34Z 1.1M followers, 334.5K engagements
"@gainzalgo Leverage + Greed are a dangerous combination"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:49Z 1.1M followers, 51.3K engagements
"BREAKING: The S&P XXX falls 70+ points in seconds after President Trump publishes the below paragraph about China. Trump says he is calculating increased tariffs on Chinese products. Trump also says there is "no reason" to meet Chinese President Xi anymore"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T15:01Z 1.1M followers, 2.1M engagements
"BREAKING: S&P XXX futures extend losses to -XXX% on the day as President Trump announces a XXX% tariff on China. Thats a drop of -$2.5 TRILLION over the last X hours"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T21:00Z 1.1M followers, 206.3K engagements
"This is unusual: XX minutes before President Trump's tariff announcement yesterday a "whale" took a multi-million dollar SHORT in Bitcoin. X hour later crypto saw its largest ever liquidation and this position was liquidated for +$192 MILLION in profit. Did someone know"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T14:54Z 1.1M followers, 2.9M engagements
"The trillion dollar question: How will we generate enough energy to power all of these AI deals The US Department of Energy says US data centers will use 325000580000 GWh of power per year by 2028. Thats equivalent to the power used by XX million homes all on JUST data centers. Currently nuclear power is viewed as the only solution to the impending power shortage. The average nuclear produces power plant can produce 8000 GWh per year. In other words we would need XX plants new to power 580000 GWh data centers. However here is the problem: The US has added X nuclear reactors since 1995 and it"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T11:49Z 1.1M followers, 722.1K engagements
"Shocking stat of the day: Working Americans now allocate an average of $2358 per year into the Magnificent X stocks. This comes as XX% of 401(k) contributions totaling $8580 are going into equities according to Apollo. Meanwhile the Magnificent X account for almost XX% of the S&P XXX. This means roughly XX% of 401(k) assets flow directly into these stocks. This represents passive capital moving into the Magnificent X regardless of outlook. Big tech will keep getting bigger"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T01:14Z 1.1M followers, 248.8K engagements
"What is happening with regional bank stocks today"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T17:43Z 1.1M followers, 592K engagements
"BREAKING: The S&P XXX extends its rally to over +1% on the day and is now just XX points away from a new record high. Ignore the noise and this market becomes incredibly profitable"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-20T14:54Z 1.1M followers, 156.6K engagements
"What is happening with Ethereum Short positioning in Ethereum is now up +40% in ONE WEEK and +500% since November 2024. Never in history have Wall Street hedge funds been so short of Ethereum and it's not even close. What do hedge funds know is coming (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-02-09T23:32Z 1.1M followers, 1.5M engagements
"BREAKING: An investor group led by @ElonMusk is making a $XXXX billion bid to buy OpenAI per WSJ"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-02-10T20:45Z 1.1M followers, 716.7K engagements
"WOW. The SEC just said that meme coins are generally NOT considered securities under US federal law. They also said that meme coins have "limited or no use" and do not need to be registered with the SEC. This is a MASSIVE statement by the SEC"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-02-27T21:29Z 1.1M followers, 774.5K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump is reportedly expected to make a "major update" on his upcoming crypto strategy"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-03-19T18:52Z 1.1M followers, 476.6K engagements
"The free fall continues: Today's drop in US stock market futures puts S&P XXX futures down -XX% and in bear market territory. The US stock market has now erased an average of $XXX billion PER TRADING DAY for 32-straight days. Is it time to BUY stocks yet (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-04-06T23:53Z 1.1M followers, 2.6M engagements
"BREAKING: S&P XXX futures fall nearly -XXX points as the selloff from todays session continues"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-04-11T00:46Z 1.1M followers, 205.8K engagements
"BREAKING: Nvidia $NVDA says the US government has banned them from selling H20 chips to China "for the indefinite future." Nvidia says this will come with a $XXX billion charge to Q1 earnings. The stock is down over -X% on the news"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-04-15T21:42Z 1.1M followers, 2M engagements
"The shift in Japanese bond markets is deep rooted and complex. However it will have global implications on financial markets. Let us know if you'd like to see a thread explaining this topic. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-05-20T12:28Z 1.1M followers, 92.3K engagements
"The global silver shortage: The price gap between New York silver futures and London spot prices widened to $XXXX per ounce. The last time silver experienced such a disconnect was in March when fears of US tariffs on silver pushed prices higher. At the same time lease rates the short-term borrowing cost of silver jumped to XXX% far above the usual near-zero level signaling a tightening market. According to TD Securities silver supplies are dangerously low and the amount of freely available silver in London is at its lowest level on record. As a result silver prices have surged +5% over the"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-07-15T16:45Z 1.1M followers, 179.8K engagements
"Key Events This Week: X. CB Consumer Confidence data - Tuesday X. June JOLTs Job Opening data - Tuesday X. Q2 2025 GDP data - Wednesday X. Fed Meeting and Interest Rate Decision - Wednesday X. June PCE Inflation data - Thursday X. July Jobs Report - Friday We have a massive week ahead of us"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-07-27T11:25Z 1.1M followers, 160.1K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says the August 1st tariff deadline will not be extended. However this weekend the US and China extended their tariff deadline by another XX days"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-07-30T11:45Z 1.1M followers, 194.1K engagements
"What just happened Last night news emerged of a "trade deal" that has never happened before. Nvidia and AMD agreed with Trump to provide the US with XX% of REVENUE from chip sales in China to remove export controls. Corporations are panicking. Here's why. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-11T09:46Z 1.1M followers, 5.5M engagements
"The AI Revolution is so massive that electricity prices are moving in a literal straight line higher. Energy is the new limiting factor to AI growth"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-01T03:10Z 1.1M followers, 764.5K engagements
"BREAKING: The US economy adds 22000 jobs in August below expectations of 75000. The unemployment rate RISES to XXX% in-line with expectations of 4.3%. This marks the 2nd lowest jobs report number since July 2021. The labor market is rapidly deteriorating"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-05T12:32Z 1.1M followers, 354.5K engagements
"BREAKING: Global meat prices officially hit an all-time high in August now up another +10% in 2025. This comes the US cattle herd is at its smallest in decades while Brazil a top exporter is also seeing herd numbers shrink. Rising dairy prices are also limiting supply as fewer cattle are being sent to slaughter according to the FAO. Additionally strong US demand lifted Australian beef prices due to tariffs while Chinese imports from Brazil grew. Meanwhile in the UK beef and veal prices are up nearly +25% YoY. Food inflation is still here"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-07T14:54Z 1.1M followers, 354.1K engagements
"Shocking stat of the day: US federal debt will reach $XXX TRILLION by 2055 according to the CBO's own forecast. This would be $XXX million of debt per American household up from the current $274000. It would also push the US Debt-to-GDP ratio to a record XXX% up from the current 123%. To put this into perspective US Debt-to-GDP has averaged XX% over the last XX years. The CBO projects that the budget deficit will exceed X% of GDP every year until 2055. In US history deficits this high have only occurred for 5-straight years one time during World War II. The US debt crisis is set to get even"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-08T18:59Z 1.1M followers, 244.8K engagements
"BREAKING: The US Treasury posted a $XXX billion budget deficit in August the largest monthly deficit of 2025 and the 2nd-worst August on record. This is up from Julys $XXX billion deficit and has only been surpassed by last years $XXX billion deficit. Government spending surged to $XXX billion for the month. Through the XX months of FY2025 so far the US deficit is now up to $XXXX trillion on track to be the 3rd-largest annual deficit in history after 2020 and 2021. The deficit spending spiral isaccelerating"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-12T18:06Z 1.1M followers, 227.5K engagements
"Manufacturing jobs are contracting: The US economy shed -12000 manufacturing jobs in August the second-largest drop since October 2024. This marks the 4th consecutive monthly decline the longest streak since the 2020 pandemic. Over the last X months manufacturing employment has fallen by -42000 to XXXX million the lowest level since March 2022. Furthermore since February 2023 the US economy has lost -178000 manufacturing jobs. Manufacturing employment is now below the pre-pandemic levels seen in 2019. US manufacturing is in a recession"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-18T15:56Z 1.1M followers, 131.1K engagements
"This is historic: US nominal GDP has grown XX% since the 2020 low marking the strongest economic expansion since World War X. This surpasses the XX% growth recorded in 1975-1978. It also corresponds to an average annual nominal GDP increase of X% indicating rapid expansion. By comparison the post-2008 Financial Crisis recovery saw XX% nominal growth until 2014. In other words in Dollar terms the US economy has grown twice as fast as it did after emerging from 2008. The US economy is experiencingahistoricrun"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-22T12:35Z 1.1M followers, 196.5K engagements
"A new era for financial markets: Today's news that the Trump Administration is seeking a XX% stake in Lithium Americas $LAC is huge. This comes just X weeks after President Trump acquired XX% of Intel for $XXX billion. And the US government's portfolio will continue to grow: In June 2025 the Trump Administration negotiated a golden share in US Steel giving it veto/consent rights over key corporate decisions. Then Trump Administration officials floated the idea of an equity stake in defense contractors such as Lockheed Martin. To top it off reports emerged X weeks ago about a 15%"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-23T21:32Z 1.1M followers, 199.2K engagements
"Pharmaceuticals are next: It began with large cap technology companies announcing $600+ billion investments in the US to avoid tariffs. Now President Trump is explicitly stating that pharmaceutical companies who are not "building their manufacturing plants in America" will face XXX% tariffs. Over the next 48-72 hours we expect to see widespread announcements of new pharmaceutical plants coming to the US. Trump wants more US investment"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-26T00:24Z 1.1M followers, 288.9K engagements
"Key Economic Data Suspended During Govt Shutdown: X. Jobless claims (Labor Deptartment) X. Nonfarm payrolls (BLS) X. Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index (BLS) X. Retail sales factory orders housing starts trade data (Census/BEA) X. Employment Trends Index (Conference Board) X. GDP data (BEA) X. New home sales and construction permits (Census Bureau) X. Export and import trade data (Census/Commerce) The next Fed meeting is X weeks away and we are entering a data freeze. Historically the Fed shifts MORE dovish on average during a US government shutdown"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-01T13:05Z 1.1M followers, 131.4K engagements
"BREAKING: Bank reserves at the Fed dropped -$21 billion last week to $XXXX trillion the lowest since January. This is one of the lowest readings since Q1 2023. This also marks the 7th consecutive weekly decline as liquidity has declined. US banking system reserves are a key factor in the Feds decision to continue shrinking its balance sheet (QT). According to the Fed the ample-reserve level for smooth market functioning is $2.8$3.4 trillion. Is the Fed about to end QT"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-01T14:23Z 1.1M followers, 164.5K engagements
"The bull market has been historic: The S&P XXX recorded XX all-time highs last quarter its best streak since 1998. This also aligns with the market run observed in Q4 2017. As a result the index rallied +8.4% over the last X months. Last month alone the S&P XXX gained +3.5% posting the best September in XX years. Since 1929 after quarters with 20+ record highs the S&P XXX has risen +6.3% on average and advanced XX% of the time over the next XX months. History suggests this market runshouldcontinue"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-01T20:59Z 1.1M followers, 108.8K engagements
"This timeline is insane: President Trump is now up +80% on his Intel investment X weeks ago"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-02T18:40Z 1.1M followers, 634.5K engagements
"Investors are piling into options at a record pace: Total call options volume has averaged over XX million contracts a day over the last XX days the most on record. Call options volume has DOUBLED over the last X years. This is also XX million contracts above the 2021 meme stock frenzy peak. Furthermore call options as a share of total options volume hit XX% on Wednesday matching the highs seen in late 2024. By comparison during the April sell-off this metric sat at XX% one of the lowest readings since the 2022 bear market. Bullish sentiment is throughtheroof"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-03T17:34Z 1.1M followers, 272.6K engagements
"BREAKING: Bitcoin officially surges to a new record high of $124300"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-05T02:37Z 1.1M followers, 693.2K engagements
"Yesterday on a casual Saturday night Bitcoin surged to $125000 a new all time high. This makes Bitcoin worth a record $XXX trillion. Meanwhile gold has hit XX record highs in 2025 and is now worth a whopping $XXXX TRILLION. That's more than XX TIMES the value of Bitcoin"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-05T14:31Z 1.1M followers, 42.9K engagements
"Meanwhile take a look at Silver worth $XXX TRILLION and up over +60% YTD. Gold Silver and Bitcoin are now all in the top XX largest assets in the world. These are all typically viewed as safe haven assets which rise when stocks fall. But take a look at equity markets"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-05T14:31Z 1.1M followers, 40K engagements
"Something usual is happening: Silver is now up +63% in 2025 and worth a whopping $XXX TRILLION nearly at a record high. Meanwhile Bitcoin casually hit a record $125000 on a Saturday night and gold has made XX all time highs in 2025. All while the S&P XXX is on one of its best 6-month runs in history. Own assets or be left behind"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-05T18:10Z 1.1M followers, 619.5K engagements
"The US market is on fire: The market cap of US stocks relative to the US M2 money supply hit XXX% the highest since 2000. Over the last X years this percentage has grown a whopping +125 points. This has now officially surpassed the pre-2008 Financial Crisis peak of 290%. By comparison the Dot-Com Bubble peak was 370%. To reach such a level the US stock market would need to grow another XX% assuming a constant M2 money supply. We are witnessing a historic run"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-05T19:01Z 1.1M followers, 394.2K engagements
"The US manufacturing sector remains under pressure: The ISM Manufacturing Index came in at XXXX in September marking the 7th straight month of contraction. The manufacturing sector has now been in a contraction for XX out of the last XX months. New orders declined -XXX points to XXXX marking the 7th month of contraction this year and reflecting softening demand across the sector. The Employment Index rose +1.5 points to XXXX but remained below expansion for the 8th-straight month. Meanwhile prices paid fell -XXX points to XXXX posting the 3rd consecutive monthly decline. US manufacturing"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-05T23:04Z 1.1M followers, 85.1K engagements
"This is insane: AMD stock $AMD extends gains to +35% on the day after its deal with OpenAI. AMD is on track for its biggest single-day market cap gain in history"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T12:23Z 1.1M followers, 417.9K engagements
"Last month the US Dollar Index $DXY hit its lowest level since 2022. It's down -XX% YTD for the first time in X decades. As we began writing a few months ago owning assets is the only hedge to this new era of monetary policy. Gold is trading as if the system has shifted"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 18.1K engagements
"BREAKING: Silver prices officially exceed $49/oz for the first time since 2011 now up +65% year-to-date. Gold futures are rapidly approaching $4100/oz just hours after breaking above the record $4000 level"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T11:53Z 1.1M followers, 312.8K engagements
"BREAKING: The S&P XXX surges to a fresh record high now up +35.5% in X months. That's +$16.5 TRILLION in market cap since April 7th"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T16:22Z 1.1M followers, 118.9K engagements
"BREAKING: The IRS is furloughing close to XX% of its workforce as part of the US government shutdown"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T18:16Z 1.1M followers, 352.4K engagements
"US consumer borrowing is slowing: US consumer credit rose by just +$363 million in August the slowest pace in X months and far below expectations of a +$14.0 billion increase. The modest gain follows a sharp +$18.1 billion rise in July. The slowdown was driven by a -$6.0 billion drop in revolving credit which includes credit cards the second-largest decline in XXX years. Non-revolving credit which includes auto and student loans rose +$6.3 billion. Meanwhile the average interest rate on credit cards rose to XXXX% the highest this year and near the highest on record. Americans are pulling back"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T18:36Z 1.1M followers, 88.7K engagements
"The US Dollar is doing something very unusual: The US Dollar has been more volatile than the S&P XXX over the last month according to Goldman Sachs. This is only the 3rd such occurrence over the last X years after December 2023 and July 2025. By comparison during the April sell-off the realized volatility ratio between the S&P XXX and the US Dollar Index jumped to 6x the highest since 2020. This comes as the US Dollar is on track for its worst year since 1973 down -XX% year-to-date. At the same time the S&P XXX has risen +14% hitting XX all-time highs. The Dollar is being sold and asset"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T20:32Z 1.1M followers, 155.8K engagements
"It's also worth noting that most of the tariff news is priced-in. The US effective tariff rate still stands at XXXX% the highest since 1935. Markets have known this for months now and the rally was technically overbought. We view today's Trump post as a "reason" to selloff"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 125K engagements
"BREAKING: Bitcoin extends decline to -XX% on the day and falls below $110000 as President Trump announces XXX% tariffs on China"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T21:19Z 1.1M followers, 267.9K engagements
"The first question becomes how did this large "whale" time the drop so perfectly By 5:20 PM ET XX minutes after Trump's tariff announcement liquidations hit -$19.5 billion. The shorts were closed promptly after the drop for +$192M in profit. But there's more"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 133.2K engagements
"This week's rebound in volatility means opportunity for investors. The macroeconomy is shifting and stocks commodities bonds and crypto are investable. Want to receive our premium analysis Subscribe to access our premium analysis below:"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 141.2K engagements
"BREAKING: The US Government shutdown is now expected to last over XX days per Kalshi. This is just X days less than the longest shutdown in history"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T19:25Z 1.1M followers, 242.5K engagements
"The shift in positioning on Friday was a wake up call for levered investors. Outsized risk is dangerous in this environment. See a full breakdown of what happened and what we believe is coming next below. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T00:17Z 1.1M followers, 174.3K engagements
"Meanwhile the market will react to the US-China trade developments this weekend. We just published our trades for premium members. Since 2020 our calls are up over +370%. Subscribe below to see how we are positioned into the week:"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T17:23Z 1.1M followers, 63.6K engagements
"If you include the after hours drop in futures the S&P XXX is up +120 points at the open. This has effectively erased XX% of the decline seen late-last week. Now we await more guidance from the Trump Admin. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T22:06Z 1.1M followers, 71.4K engagements
"BREAKING: Bitcoin extends gains to +5% on the day and reclaims $115000. Ethereum is now up +11% on the day and is X% away from pre-liquidation levels seen on October 10th"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T22:17Z 1.1M followers, 245.5K engagements
"S&P XXX futures are now up +130 points from their post-market low on Friday. Gold is above $4100 for the first time ever and oil prices are back to $XX. Friday's move lower is largely being undone. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T12:49Z 1.1M followers, 60.5K engagements
"@miyagiticks @elonmusk What can be done"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T14:04Z 1.1M followers, 14K engagements
"What's even more crazy is when you zoom out: Amid the record buying global official reserve assets in gold have risen toward 25%. The USD has gone from XX% down to 40%. But this is barely starting to make a dent in the below chart. Gold reserves can go much higher"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 29.1K engagements
"That leads us to this chart: Gold prices adjusted for US Money Supply are breaking out of a 50+ year downtrend. And when you adjust gold prices for US money supply the 1970s peak was X TIMES higher. When you zoom out it begins looking like we are still early here"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 28.6K engagements
"The other question: why are central banks loading up on gold while calling for a "soft landing" The Fed is cutting rates into 3%+ inflation and global debt is skyrocketing. Global debt jumped +$14 TRILLION in Q2 2025 to a record $XXXXX trillion. Fiat is losing credibility"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 27.2K engagements
"Meanwhile silver prices are skyrocketing too up another X% today alone. This puts silver up +68% in 2025 and above $50/oz for the first time since 1980. Silver and gold are more than quadrupling the S&P 500's return in a historic EQUITIES bull market. This is unprecedented"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 26.1K engagements
"For the first time in 50+ years central banks are actually buying silver as well. The Saudi Central Bank purchased $XXXX million worth of $SLV in August. Institutional capital has followed with purchases by many large Wall Street institutions. Once again a major shift"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 28.2K engagements
"@Stackedd123 Much appreciated"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T11:40Z 1.1M followers, 7897 engagements
"Most Shorted Stocks by Dollar Amount: X. Tesla $TSLA: $XXXX billion X. RTX Corp $RTX: $XXX billion X. Exxon Mobil $XOM: $XXX billion X. IBM $IBM: $XXX billion X. Charter Comm. $CHTR: $XXX billion X. Chevron $CVX: $XXX billion X. Airbnb $ABNB: $XXX billion X. Blackstone $BX: $XXX billion X. Applied Materials $AMAT: $XXX billion XX. Occidental Petroleum $OXY: $XXX billion For years now Tesla has held the title of being one of the most heavily shorted stocks. Meanwhile the stock is up nearly 20000% since it went public. Elon Musk leads X companies that are now worth a combined $X trillion+. Why"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2023-11-26T15:24Z 1.1M followers, 1.7M engagements
"The US dollar has been one of the best-performing currencies of 2024 so far. Some emerging market currencies have weakened by as much as XX% compared to the US Dollar. The Chilean Peso Turkish Lira and Brazilian Real have weakened by XXXX% XXX% and XXX% respectively. A stronger US Dollar makes it more expensive for countries to transact with the US. As higher for longer Fed policy returns it's unlikely this trend reverses. We may actually need a WEAKER US Dollar now"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2024-04-18T16:13Z 1.1M followers, 95.2K engagements
"Today the White House said President Trump believes Apple can produce iPhones entirely in the US. How much would this cost According to Forbes it would cost $30000-$100000 to solely manufacture an iPhone in the US"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-04-08T18:56Z 1.1M followers, 688.9K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump just now: I like Tesla. $TSLA"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-06-12T15:54Z 1.1M followers, 383.8K engagements
"You cant make this up: On May 23rd President Trump threatened Apple $AAPL and Samsung with a XX% tariff on phones not made in the USA. This was the first Trump tariff in 2025 to target individual companies. Today exactly XX days later the Trump Organization announced Trump Mobile. Trump Mobile will be using phones made in the USA. Truly incredible"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-06-16T12:16Z 1.1M followers, 469.5K engagements
"BREAKING: Meta stock $META surges over +9% after posting stronger than expected Q2 2025 earnings results"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-07-30T20:10Z 1.1M followers, 363.3K engagements
"BREAKING: U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick announces that the U.S. will be issuing economic data on blockchain beginning with GDP data. The U.S. government is officially embracing blockchain technology"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-26T18:26Z 1.1M followers, 354.7K engagements
"History unfolding in one chart: The US Dollar to Gold ratio is falling off of a cliff"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-03T16:08Z 1.1M followers, 906.9K engagements
"BREAKING: The US Labor Department's internal watchdog is launching a probe into the BLS to review the "challenges" that they are facing in data collection. This comes just XX hours after US jobs data was revised down by -911000 jobs the largest revision in history"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-10T14:59Z 1.1M followers, 150.4K engagements
"BREAKING: Pfizer $PFE and Moderna $MRNA stock fall sharply on reports that US officials are planning to link COVID-19 vaccines to XX child deaths"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-12T15:49Z 1.1M followers, 388.5K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says all NATO nations are preparing to "do major sanctions on Russia" and impose XX% to XXX% tariffs on China"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-13T12:11Z 1.1M followers, 879.2K engagements
"BREAKING: Alphabet $GOOGL officially becomes the 4th company in history to hit $X trillion in market cap"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-15T14:14Z 1.1M followers, 238.1K engagements
"BREAKING: US Treasury Secretary Bessent says the next round of US-China trade talks could result in another 90-day tariff pause. This would be the third straight pause for a total of XXX days"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-15T14:34Z 1.1M followers, 282.2K engagements
"BREAKING: Unrealized losses on investment securities for US banks reached $XXXXX billion in Q2 2025. This is X TIMES higher than at the peak of the 2008 Financial Crisis. This also marks the 13th consecutive quarter of losses as interest rates remained elevated. Meanwhile the number of banks on the FDIC Problem Bank List reached XX in Q2 2025 or XXX% of the aggregate. Unrealized losses at banks continue to pose a significantrisk"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-16T16:39Z 1.1M followers, 314.6K engagements
"President Trump just posted this. We are living in unprecedented times for financial markets"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-19T04:20Z 1.1M followers, 598.2K engagements
"This is unprecedented: Software and technology investment's contribution to US Real GDP growth surpassed X percentage point for the first time in history. Contribution has DOUBLED over the last several quarters. It has also exceeded the previous peak reached during the Dot-Com Bubble in 1998. However after the bubble popped software and technology businesses were the biggest drag on GDP during the 2001 recession. Deutsche Bank estimates that without technology spending the US economy would have been close to or in a recession. The AI boom is driving economicgrowth"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-26T22:59Z 1.1M followers, 123.9K engagements
"Is the US Dollar set for a rebound The Bloomberg US Economic Surprise Index turned positive this week for the first time since February. The index measures whether economic data comes in above or below consensus estimates. This comes as Q2 2025 GDP growth initial jobless claims and personal spending data all surprised to the upside. Historically when the Economic Surprise Index rises and stays positive the US Dollar tends to strengthen. Meanwhile speculative USD short positions by asset managers and leveraged funds have hit their highest level since early 2021. Is a US Dollar short squeeze"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-27T14:19Z 1.1M followers, 197.8K engagements
"BREAKING: The US government will shut down at midnight as Congress has failed to pass a funding bill"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-01T00:56Z 1.1M followers, 323.8K engagements
"@elonmusk Netflix has now lost -$20 billion in market value this week. X is the most powerful platform in the world"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-02T02:45Z 1.1M followers, 642.4K engagements
"Semiconductor stocks are making history: The Semiconductors Index $SOX relative to the S&P XXX equal-weighted index reached XXXX the highest since the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. Since the 2022 bear market this ratio has more than DOUBLED. This comes as Semiconductor stocks have rallied +202% during this period. At the same time the equal-weighted S&P XXX has increased just +48%. To put this into perspective the ratio reached 1.3x at the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak. Chip stocks are massive"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T19:29Z 1.1M followers, 105.2K engagements
"Compute is quickly becoming the world's most valuable commodity. By 2028 global data center spend will hit $XXX BILLION. AI servers are growing at a +41% CAGR and the market overall is growing at a +23% CAGR. This is UNPRECEDENTED growth for the industry"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 53.4K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says US gas prices will fall below $2.00/gallon soon. This implies a -XX% drop from the current national average of $3.11/gallon"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T17:41Z 1.1M followers, 191.9K engagements
"US stocks are DOMINATING global equities: The US information technology sector has recorded a +588% increase in EPS since the pre-2008 peak the most among any other sector. By comparison world tech stocks excluding the US have seen a +203% increase or nearly X times less. During the same period US discretionary stocks have posted a +317% surge in net income XX times more than their world counterparts. US healthcare earnings have risen +288% nearly X times more than the +78% increase in world ex-US. US industrials have beaten the rest of the world by X times growing their earnings by +124%."
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T00:59Z 1.1M followers, 107.1K engagements
"Yesterday's drop was a reminder of how fragile yet profitable markets have become. Between 9:30 AM ET and 5:20 PM ET crypto erased -$800 BILLION of market cap. Remain objective and capitalize on volatility. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 137.8K engagements
"China urges the US to correct its wrong practices as soon as possible" China says. Threatening with high tariffs at every turn is not the right way to get along with China." China seems to be standing by the export controls. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time updates"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T03:51Z 1.1M followers, 84K engagements
"If President Trump responds and de-escalates on Sunday markets are set for a big jump on Monday. The reactivity of markets to Trump's posts remains incredibly high. More clarity is now being obtained. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T04:07Z 1.1M followers, 176.7K engagements
"In the April 2025 era of the trade war Sundays before futures opened were a crucial time. The next X hours have often come with statements from the Trump Admin. We would not be surprised to see one today. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T13:53Z 1.1M followers, 290.4K engagements
"Once again it appears this is NOT heading to an April 2025-like escalation. China appears to be willing to cooperate to avoid global supply chain disruptions. Now we await a statement from President Trump. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T15:32Z 1.1M followers, 86.7K engagements
"Gold's record run is just the tip of the iceberg in the global currency crisis. The backdrop is shifting and stocks commodities bonds and crypto are investable. Want to receive our premium analysis Subscribe to access our premium analysis below:"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 75.2K engagements
"Lastly foreign investors now hold a higher amount of gold than US treasuries. The share of US Treasuries held by foreign investors is down from XX% in 2013 to XX% today. Gold is the GLOBAL safe haven. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 75.6K engagements
"BREAKING: US markets pare losses with the Dow now up +500 points from its low on the day. Dip buyers remain in full swing. Are we about to turn green on the day"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T14:38Z 1.1M followers, 122K engagements
"The REAL reason markets are crashing: Over the last X months the S&P XXX and crypto have erased a combined -$5.5 TRILLION of market cap. We have just witnessed one of the most SUDDEN shifts in sentiment since 2020. What's happening Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-03-10T17:16Z 1.1M followers, 6.6M engagements
"President Trump is now officially calling to Make Iran Great Again. Trump is suggesting that a regime change is needed to do so. Its going to be an interesting week"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-06-22T21:03Z 1.1M followers, 206.9K engagements
"This is wild: We now have a President who is actively calling for interest rates to be cut to as low as 1%. And he is actively stating that he will be replacing Fed Chair Powell with someone who will immediately cut rates. Meanwhile stocks are at all time highs real estate prices are at all time highs US debt is at all time highs and crypto is at all time highs. If the new Fed Chair actually cuts rates to X% we are going to witness perhaps one of the biggest runs of all time in stocks and real estate. There has never been a time in history where the Fed cut rates to X% with the stock market"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-06-30T14:17Z 1.1M followers, 1.7M engagements
"This has been one of the best earnings seasons in years: XX% of the S&P XXX companies have beat earnings expectations by at least X standard deviation the highest percentage in X years. Excluding the post-pandemic recovery this marks the best quarter in at least XX years. By comparison the long-term average has been 48%. At the same time just XX% of firms have missed estimates by at least X standard deviation the lowest share in a year and below the long-term average of 13%. Earnings momentum is exceptionally strong"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-07T13:56Z 1.1M followers, 387.6K engagements
"This is unprecedented: Core CPI inflation is back above +3% and PPI inflation is at its hottest since March 2022. Meanwhile President Trump is calling for a XXX BASIS POINT rate cut and is set to replace Fed Chair Powell. Are you ready for what's next (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-14T13:57Z 1.1M followers, 2.6M engagements
"Massive jobs data revisions are coming: On September 9th the BLS will release its preliminary benchmark revision to nonfarm payrolls for April 2024 through March 2025. Goldman Sachs estimates the revision could cut reported payrolls by 550000 to 950000 jobs. This implies payroll growth was overstated by a massive 45000 to 80000 jobs PER MONTH. If confirmed it would mark the largest 12-month revision since 2010. This also follows an earlier 589000 downward adjustment for the year ending March 2024. What is happening with the labor market data"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-19T14:16Z 1.1M followers, 466.1K engagements
"Gold is replacing fiat currencies as a reserve currency: Gold's share of global international reserves rose X percentage points in Q1 2025 to XX% the highest in XX years. This marks the 3rd consecutive annual increase. Meanwhile the US Dollar's share declined X percentage points to XX% the lowest since the mid-1990s. The Euro share remained roughly unchanged at 15%. Gold is now the worlds second-largest reserve asset after surpassing the Euro in 2024. Gold is seeing historic levels of demand"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-31T19:27Z 1.1M followers, 674.2K engagements
"Gold is telling the future: The S&P XXX is in one of its strongest bull runs in decades up +1650 POINTS in under X months. Meanwhile Gold's YTD return just hit +37% nearly X TIMES more than the S&P XXX YTD. Why is gold crushing stocks in a bull market (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-03T12:57Z 1.1M followers, 2.1M engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says US companies should no longer be "forced" to report earnings every quarter. Trump says this is "subject to SEC approval.""
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-15T12:32Z 1.1M followers, 515K engagements
"This is unprecedented: On August 22nd President Trump announced that the US took a XX% stake in Intel $INTC worth $XX billion. Today XX days later NVIDIA made a massive investment in Intel sending the US' position +$5 BILLION higher. What just happened (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-18T13:08Z 1.1M followers, 960.3K engagements
"Crypto adoption is about to SURGE: A new Bank of America survey shows XX% of investors have ZERO exposure to crypto. Now US lawmakers are requesting the SEC implements President Trump's Executive Order allowing 401(K)s to BUY crypto. What's next Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-23T13:48Z 1.1M followers, 842K engagements
"An affordability nightmare: It would take a -XX% drop in home prices OR a +60% JUMP in household income JUST for affordability to go back to 2019 levels. You must now make $113000/year to afford the MEDIAN home in the US. Will housing ever be affordable again (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-25T15:55Z 1.1M followers, 1.3M engagements
"US households have massive exposure to equities: Equities now account for XX% of total US household assets the largest percentage among all categories. This is followed by real estate at XX% and insurance & pensions at 21%. By comparison in China real estate accounts for the majority of total assets at XX% while equities make up only 11%. In the UK Korea and Australia households hold XX% XX% and XX% in property while equities represent only X% X% and X% respectively. In Taiwan and Japan households hold XX% and XX% of their wealth in real estate and XX% and XX% in equities. US households"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-27T16:40Z 1.1M followers, 219.3K engagements
"BREAKING: Oil prices extend losses toward $62/barrel on reports that OPEC+ is considering a 500000 barrel per day output hike every month for the next X months. Gas prices are likely heading to a new 2025 low next"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-30T12:04Z 1.1M followers, 545.4K engagements
"The US government shutdown: For the first time since 2018 the US is about to enter a government shutdown and investors are bracing for it. This would furlough 750000 workers PER DAY costing $400M in daily compensation. What does it all mean Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-30T19:28Z 1.1M followers, 1.5M engagements
"BREAKING: Intel stock $INTC surges over +7% on reports of talks of a deal to manufacture semiconductors for AMD. This stock is now up over +70% since President Trump acquired a XX% stake in it just X weeks ago"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-01T18:05Z 1.1M followers, 502.6K engagements
"We are witnessing history: Stock market futures are green again with the S&P XXX now +39% since its April 2025 low. Even as a government shutdown began just XX hours ago the S&P XXX is pushing further into record territory. This is the strongest market in modern history"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-02T02:27Z 1.1M followers, 446.9K engagements
"Container shipping costs are plunging again: The spot rate for a 40-foot container from Shanghai to Rotterdam fell to $1735 last week the lowest since mid-December 2023. This marks the 8th consecutive weekly decline in rates to Europe. Shipping costs from Shanghai to Los Angeles dropped to $2311 also the lowest since December 2023. Weaker global demand price wars and excess shipping capacity have driven the decline. Meanwhile US import volumes are expected to continue declining toward year-end with January 2026 projected to be -XX% lower YoY. Global trade disruptionsare in full swing"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-02T19:54Z 1.1M followers, 203.5K engagements
"This is absolutely insane: Technology and tech-related stocks now reflect a record XX% of the stock market. This is X percentage points higher than the 2000 Dot-Com bubble peak. At the same time defensive stocks make up just XX% of the market the lowest reading on record. This is the first time in history that defensive stocks have sustained a fall below 20%. Meanwhile traditional cyclicals stocks that move with the economic cycle make up XX% of total market cap near historically low levels. Technology stocks have never beenthisdominant"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-04T15:26Z 1.1M followers, 394.1K engagements
"We need more electricity: AI data centers are set to consume 1600 terawatt-hours of power demand by 2035 equal to XXX% of global electricity. In other words power demand from AI data centers is set to QUADRUPLE over the next XX years. If counted as a country AI data centers would rank 4th in electricity use behind only China the US and India. In major US markets data center power demand is growing faster than that of electric vehicles hydrogen and other emerging technologies. AI growth will soon be limitedbyenergy"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-04T16:59Z 1.1M followers, 607.7K engagements
"BREAKING: World central banks bought another XX tonnes of gold in August. This marks the 27th monthly purchase over the last XX months. The National Bank of Kazakhstan added X tonnes while the Bulgarian National Bank and the Central Bank of Turkey each increased gold reserves by X tonnes. The Peoples Bank of China acquired X tonnes marking the 10th consecutive monthly increase in gold reserves. As a result Chinas official gold holdings have surpassed 2300 tonnes for the first time. Central banks are still piling into gold"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-04T18:28Z 1.1M followers, 309.5K engagements
"What is happening The S&P XXX is up +40% in X months Gold is nearing $4000/oz and Bitcoin hit a record $XXX TRILLION market cap. Meanwhile the US Dollar is set for its WORST year since 1973. Are markets THAT strong or is the US Dollar just crashing (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-05T14:31Z 1.1M followers, 2.3M engagements
"This is incredible: Venture capitalists have poured a record $XXXXX billion into AI startups YTD. This puts 2025 on track to be the first year where more than XX% of total VC dollars flow into the AI industry. In the US AIs share of venture deals has surpassed XX% over the last XX months. That percentage has TRIPLED since the 2020 pandemic. Overall VC funding has reached $XXXXX billion so far this year with a major share coming from the US at $XXXXX billion. The AI revolution is growing exponentially"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T00:18Z 1.1M followers, 217.3K engagements
"BREAKING: AMD stock $AMD soars over +25% on news that OpenAI is taking up to a XX% stake in the company. OpenAI will deploy up to X gigawatts of AMD Instinct GPUs beginning with a 1-gigawatt rollout in 2026. This is a MASSIVE deal"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T11:01Z 1.1M followers, 1.5M engagements
"BREAKING: Trilogy Metals stock $TMQ surges over +210% after the US government announces it will be taking a XX% stake in the company. The US government's portfolio is rapidly expanding"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T21:43Z 1.1M followers, 577.2K engagements
"Are we in a currency confidence crisis Today gold futures officially hit a RECORD $4000/oz now up +100% in XX months. The last time gold DOUBLED in under X years was in the 1970s after the historic "Nixon Shock." What's happening Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T13:21Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements
"BREAKING: Oracle stock $ORCL extends its decline to -X% on the day on reports that the company lost $XXX million from rentals of Nvidia chips in the most recent quarter"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T15:40Z 1.1M followers, 919.6K engagements
"BREAKING: Spot palladium prices surge over +6% on the day as gold hits $4000/oz and silver hits highest level since 2011. The current run in precious metals will be studied for decades to come"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T13:11Z 1.1M followers, 307.6K engagements
"OpenAI has literally engrained itself in most of the world's largest technology companies. And almost all of the money that companies are investing in OpenAI is being used BY OpenAI to purchase products and compute from the investor. What is happening here"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T17:24Z 1.1M followers, 366.9K engagements
"The US Government: X. Borrows over $X trillion per year X. Is currently shut down for the 11th time X. Printed $X trillion during the pandemic X. Spurred a -XX% loss in the USD in X years X. Spends close to $X trillion PER YEAR At what point do we fix the system"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T18:49Z 1.1M followers, 386.4K engagements
"This is incredible: It now takes XXX ounces of gold to buy the median-priced new single-family home in the US the lowest amount in XX years. Excluding 1979 this is the lowest level in at least XX years. The ratio has fallen by -XXX ounces over the last X years as gold prices have risen +133%. By comparison it took XXX ounces of gold or XXX times more in the year 2000. Rarely ever has it been so cheap to buy a new house using gold. Gold is preserving purchasing powerlike never before"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T22:54Z 1.1M followers, 395.5K engagements
"This is BEYOND insane: AI compute demand is now growing at over X TIMES the rate of Moores Law creating a massive shortage. Just to meet current demand $XXX billion must be invested in data centers PER YEAR until 2030. What does this mean Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 2.6M engagements
"Data centers are the new oil: Data center energy consumption has reached a record X% of total US power demand. By 2030 data center energy consumption will exceed XX% of total US power demand. The AI revolution is even bigger than you think"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T15:20Z 1.1M followers, 335.6K engagements
"BREAKING: The US has finalized a $XX billion currency swap agreement with Argentina. The US is also directly purchasing Argentine pesos in an effort to revive Argentinas economy"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T19:05Z 1.1M followers, 689.6K engagements
"ChatGPT has gone from X million weekly active users to XX% of the world using the platform in X years. Where will we be in XX months from today"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T20:44Z 1.1M followers, 213K engagements
"BREAKING: Oil prices drop below $60/barrel for the first time since May 2025. This comes just one day after President Trump said gas prices will fall to $2.00/gallon"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T13:23Z 1.1M followers, 905.1K engagements
"What just happened At 10:57 AM ET President Trump canceled his meeting with China and said "massive" tariff increases are coming. XX minutes later the S&P XXX erased -$1.2 TRILLION of market cap. Is this dip a BUYING opportunity Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 3.8M engagements
"@mesliquid The market is now more reactive than ever. Being on X and following the right people is literally alpha"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T16:52Z 1.1M followers, 47.7K engagements
"BREAKING: The Nasdaq XXX extends its decline to -XXX% on the day. Now on track for its biggest drop since April 10th"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T19:41Z 1.1M followers, 203.6K engagements
"BREAKING: The S&P XXX closes down -XXX% and posts its largest daily decline since April 10th as President Trump prepares "massive" tariffs on China. The S&P XXX erased -$1.5 TRILLION in market cap today"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T20:00Z 1.1M followers, 338.5K engagements
"What a day: There has never been and there will never be a more exciting time to be in the market than now. Anything can happen on any day amid the trade war AI Revolution government shutdown Fed rate cuts and the list goes on. Embrace volatility; it's opportunity"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T20:42Z 1.1M followers, 177.9K engagements
"BREAKING: Today's decline officially marks the largest single-day liquidation in crypto history. More than -$9 BILLION was liquidated over the last XX hours"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T00:39Z 1.1M followers, 6.9M engagements
"It's official: Crypto just saw its LARGEST liquidation event in history with XXX MILLION traders liquidated. Over $XX BILLION worth of leveraged crypto positions were liquidated in XX hours X TIMES the previous record. Why did this happen Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 4.7M engagements
"Amid the liquidation Bitcoin recorded a $20000 DAILY candlestick. This marks a $XXX BILLION swing in Bitcoin's market cap alone in a single-day. That's more than the market cap of all but XX public companies in the world. Once again this has never happened in history"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 143.3K engagements
"But why did this happen To better understand take a look at the timeline below: At 9:50 AM ET crypto began selling off before the 10:57 AM ET Trump tariff post. At 4:30 PM ET a large "whale" took shorts in crypto. At 4:50 PM ET Trump announced a XXX% tariff on China"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 168.4K engagements
"This was an unprecedented liquidation event: Amid the crypto crash yesterday $XRP erased a whopping -XX% of its market cap in XX MINUTES. At 4:50 PM ET $XRP was worth $XXX billion. By 5:20 PM ET $XRP was worth $XX billion. What happened to XRP"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T16:59Z 1.1M followers, 545.2K engagements
"The more you learn about the October 10th crypto liquidation the crazier it gets: First crypto began selling off at 9:30 AM ET well before the first tariff post at 10:57 AM ET. At this point many "whales" were already loading shorts in anticipation of a big drop. Then at 4:30 PM ET and 4:49 PM ET a "whale" purchased over $XX MILLION of shorts. Where it gets even more crazy is that longs were liquidated at a 7:1 ratio to shorts also historically high. This means that the vast majority (likely 80%+) of the XXX MILLION traders who were liquidated were levered long. The "whales" then promptly"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T22:20Z 1.1M followers, 943.7K engagements
"Binance Coin $BNB the world's 4th largest cryptocurrency is now UP +10% on the day. It is now ABOVE the October 10th 4:00 PM ET high seen before the massive crypto liquidation. The worst part This was all driven by the "whales" who shorted ahead of the liquidation and an apparent misunderstanding between China and the US. Truly unfortunate"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T14:26Z 1.1M followers, 368.4K engagements
"BREAKING: Vice President JD Vance continues de-escalation with China following Chinas clarifying statement last night. VP Vance says: X. We appreciate the friendship between Trump and Xi X. President Trump hopes the US wont need to use leverage on China X. President Trump is willing to be reasonable negotiator with China Is a Trump-Xi meeting announcement coming next"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T15:20Z 1.1M followers, 611.7K engagements
"Like and Bookmark the above post - reference it as the trade war heads into 2026. The ability to weed out NOISE from material developments is crucial right now. This market is very profitable if done right. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T18:09Z 1.1M followers, 183.8K engagements
"Our investment strategy revolves are OBJECTIVE analysis; fundamental and technical. Combine this with risk management and a dynamic approach and this market is HIGHLY profitable. Volatility is opportunity. Subscribe to access our premium analysis:"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T18:11Z 1.1M followers, 147K engagements
"BREAKING: US stock market futures open sharply higher as investors react to US-China de-escalation this weekend: X. Dow: +0.9% X. S&P 500: +1.1% X. Nasdaq 100: +1.4% We continue to look for a trade deal before November 1st"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T22:02Z 1.1M followers, 355.9K engagements
"Investors are waking up to some major news from the US: Trump Administration officials are now saying the US-China relationship is "GOOD." And US Treasury Secretary is on live TV saying XXX% tariffs on China "don't have to happen." This confirms our view; President Trump misinterpreted China's export controls on October 10th. First markets did NOT react to the export controls when they were released XX hours BEFORE Trump's post. Then China clarified that new controls are NOT a full export ban and Trump posts dont worry about China it will be all fine. Now Trump Administration officials are"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T12:24Z 1.1M followers, 301.5K engagements
"Take a look at China: China's gold holdings are up from XXX% to XXX% of reserves since 2015 while US Treasury holdings have HALVED from XX% to 22%. And these central banks are not concerned about the technical backdrop. They are much more forward looking"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 30.8K engagements
"BREAKING: Gold futures extend gains to +$130/oz on the day now up +3.3% hitting a record $4130/oz. Gold has now added nearly +$1 trillion in market cap today"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T17:28Z 1.1M followers, 305.8K engagements
"Shocking stat of the day: The largest gold ETF $GLD posted $XXXX BILLION in volume on Thursday the 2nd-highest on record. The only other time it reached that level was in 2013. By comparison during Aprils gold rally daily volume peaked at $XX billion. Thursdays volume was also higher than most of the Magnificent X stocks. Demand for gold assets is incredibly strong"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T19:30Z 1.1M followers, 293.2K engagements
"BREAKING: The S&P XXX extends losses to -XXX% on the day as investors react to bank earnings and ongoing trade tensions"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T13:46Z 1.1M followers, 136.7K engagements
"Dip buyers are taking on more leverage: The 2x leveraged Nvidia ETF $NVDU posted a record $XXX million in net inflows last week. This is XX% above the previous high of $XXX million set in January. It also ends a 4-week streak of net outflows. The surge marks only the 4th time $NVDU has had weekly inflows above $XX million. Meanwhile leveraged ETFs linked to AMD and the Nasdaq index also saw a significant demand last week. Investors are still betting bigontechstocks"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T14:28Z 1.1M followers, 138.4K engagements
"BREAKING: Global gold ETFs attracted +$2.1 billion in net inflows last week marking their 7th consecutive weekly inflow. This follows the record +$5.3 billion posted in the prior week. Year-to-date gold ETFs have seen +$68 billion in net inflows the highest for any year on record. This equals XXX tonnes the 2nd highest yearly total only behind XXX tonnes posted in 2020. As a result AUM in global gold ETFs hit a record $XXX billion last week doubling since July 2024. Demand for gold has neverbeenstronger"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T17:24Z 1.1M followers, 145.5K engagements
"The buy-the-dip strategy has rarely ever been so strong: In 2025 the S&P XXX has averaged +2.3% one-week following a 1-day drop of at least -X% the strongest performance since 2019. Outside of 2019 this marks the best year since 1983. This is also only the 3rd year with a return above +2.0% over the last XX years. Since 2008 there have been only X years when this strategy was unprofitable 2022 and 2023. Volatility remains a traders bestopportunity"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T18:09Z 1.1M followers, 136.7K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump accuses China of an "economically hostile act" for not buying US soybeans. Trump says he is considering "terminating" business with China having to do with cooking oil and other elements of trade as retribution"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T19:41Z 1.1M followers, 553.4K engagements
"The bull market is heading into its 4th anniversary: The S&P XXX index began its current bull run on October 12th 2022 surging +85% since adding +$28 trillion in market value. By comparison of the XX prior bull markets since World War II X completed a 4th year with an average total gain of +88%. Historical data suggests the market still has room to run. Since 1950 X bull markets have reached their 4th year delivering an average S&P XXX gain of +12.8%. The strongest 4th-year performances came in 1957 and 1972 with gains of +28.4% and +29.7% respectively. Can AI fuel another 12"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T00:04Z 1.1M followers, 132K engagements
"When everything hit all time highs at the same time that's no longer a bull market. It's systemic shift. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T03:03Z 1.1M followers, 92.4K engagements
"BREAKING: Nasdaq XXX futures extend gains to over +1% as investors price-out trade tensions between the US and China"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T12:25Z 1.1M followers, 161.4K engagements
"The bull run is in full swing: The S&P XXX has gone XX trading sessions without a -X% decline its 2nd-longest streak since 2021. This also marks one of the longest periods since the 2018 record of XXX trading days without a -X% drop. By comparison the long-term average is XX trading days. Since 1928 the market has seen an average of XXX declines of -X% per year. At the same time a -XX% correction has occurred an average of XXX times per year. Momentum is incredibly strong right now"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T13:41Z 1.1M followers, 135.4K engagements
"The S&P XXX is now XXX% away from hitting a new record high. The October 10th drop has been almost entirely erased over the last XX hours. Ignore the noise and this market becomes highly profitable"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T14:21Z 1.1M followers, 123.5K engagements
"Shocking stat of the day: Nvidia $NVDA has reflected X% of the S&P 500's market cap on average in 2025 the highest percentage of any company in the index. It has surpassed Apple $AAPL which held the top spot for the previous X consecutive years. Nvidias market weight is now the largest for any company since 1974. For perspective IBM $IBM dominated the market for XX years through the 1970s and 1980s. General Motors led for XX years during the 1950s1970s. Can Nvidia dominate the market over thenextdecade"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T16:09Z 1.1M followers, 166.8K engagements
"Stock market concentration is hitting another record: The top XX US companies now reflect a record XX% of global stock market capitalization. The percentage has DOUBLED over the last X years. For context at the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak this metric was at XX% or X percentage points lower. Meanwhile the top X US firms make up a record XX% of global equity value also the highest in history. This now DOUBLES the 2000 peak. A handful of stocks are driving theglobalmarket"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T19:15Z 1.1M followers, 137.6K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump is considering sending National Guard troops to San Francisco as a part of his "crime crackdown.""
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T20:05Z 1.1M followers, 122.2K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says that India's Prime Minister Modi has "assured him" that India will no longer be buying Russian oil. On August 27th Trump imposed a XX% tariff on India as punishment for buying Russian oil. US-India trade deal on the way"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T20:11Z 1.1M followers, 275.1K engagements
"AI debt is taking over the corporate bond market: AI-related firms now reflect a record XX% of the Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index. The percentage has increased by XXX points since 2020 according to JPMorgan. This surpasses the banking sector's weight of XXXX% which held the largest share historically. This comes as AI universe debt has grown +$400 billion to a record $XXX trillion during this period. AI is reshaping capitalmarkets"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T21:35Z 1.1M followers, 128.3K engagements
"The government shutdown is impacting Americans spending plans: XX% of Americans are delaying major purchases like homes or cars due to the government shutdown. X% have cancelled major plans entirely according to a Redfin survey. Many are canceling or delaying large purchases because they are federal government employees or contractors. Meanwhile over XX% of Americans are delaying or canceling a major purchase due to concerns about job security. At the same time XX% of workers are more worried about their job security than at the start of the year. Americans are concerned about the shutdown"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T23:26Z 1.1M followers, 142.8K engagements
"BREAKING: Bank of America raises its gold target to $5000/oz and cites "stagflation risks" as the driver"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T11:44Z 1.1M followers, 355.2K engagements
"Institutional investors remain bullish on stocks and gold: XX% of investors surveyed by Goldman Sachs say their favorite trade this quarter is long gold the highest reading for the second consecutive month. This is followed by long AI stocks at XX% of respondents. XX% of those surveyed expect the S&P XXX to outperform other major global indexes in October. Overall XX% expressed bullish sentiment for equities the highest since December 2024. This comes as XX% of participants say they are most bullish on AI infrastructure names. Meanwhile their positioning in the Magnificent X stocks reached"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T14:24Z 1.1M followers, 99.1K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump posts that he is currently on a lengthy call with President Putin"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T15:24Z 1.1M followers, 292.2K engagements
"US options market activity is exploding: The average daily volume of US equity and index options has surpassed XX million contracts for the first time ever. Total options volume has TRIPLED over the last X years. During this period call options volume has QUADRUPLED hitting a record XX million contracts. Simultaneously put options volume has TRIPLED reaching XX million contracts. Risk appetite is historicallystrong"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T15:30Z 1.1M followers, 104.5K engagements
"Hedge fund equity sales are accelerating: Investors sold -$3.0 billion of US equities last week marking the 4th consecutive weekly sale. Hedge funds dumped -$2.1 billion posting their 4th consecutive weekly outflow. This brought their 4-week average to -$2.1 billion the largest on record dating back to 2008. Institutional investors sold -$400 million down from -$3.6 billion the prior week. Meanwhile retail investors saw a -$500 million outflow bringing the 4-week average to -$400 million. Hedge funds are cashing in gains"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T16:59Z 1.1M followers, 129.9K engagements
"BREAKING: Stock market losses accelerate with the Russell 2000 now down over -X% on the day as regional bank stocks fall"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T18:25Z 1.1M followers, 167.9K engagements
"Confused about what's happening with regional bank stocks Here's the real issue: In March 2023 regional bank stocks collapsed the crisis was "contained" but nothing really changed. Banks who took outsized risk with either "backstopped" by the US government or acquired by JP Morgan. As a result this further incentivized taking on outsized risk particularly as deposits over the $250000 FDIC limit are now inherently "insured." That is: investors and regional bank companies know that the US government will "backstop" deposits in the case of a collapse. Today shares of Zions Bancorp crashed -13%"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T18:57Z 1.1M followers, 539.5K engagements
"Leading indicators point to further weakness in the US job market: US job postings on Indeed fell another -X% MoM in September reaching the lowest level since February 2021. Postings have declined -XX% since May 2022 and are now just +2.4% above pre-pandemic levels from February 2020. The steepest decline has been in White Collar jobs excluding Health Care with postings now -X% below pre-pandemic levels. Blue Collar job postings have also fallen but remain XX% above February 2020 levels. This all suggests a further deterioration in BLS-reported job openings for September. The labor market"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T19:48Z 1.1M followers, 135.9K engagements
"A textbook sign of a bull market: Pullbacks become oversold quickly and upswings grind higher. The same can be said with rapid shift and polarization of sentiment amid the current bull run. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T21:13Z 1.1M followers, 89.2K engagements
"Active managers are underperforming in 2025: Just XXXX% of active funds have beaten the market YTD the worst performance in at least XX years. This is in sharp contrast to XXXX% and XXXX% seen in 2021 and 2022. This is also well below the average of 42%. By comparison the century high was XXXX% in 2000 when the Dot-Com bubble popped. The most common reason for underperformance especially in the large-cap category is a reluctance to hold tech stocks. Active fundsmissed this rally"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T21:51Z 1.1M followers, 239.1K engagements
"Americans are drowning in credit card debt: US household credit card debt hit a record $XXXX trillion in August. The combined average credit card balance across all age groups is now at whopping $10668 PER household. States with the largest average debts in Q2 2025 were Hawaii at $15100 California at $13800 and Alaska at $13600. Other high-debt states include New York at $12900 Texas at $12800 and Florida at $12600. Credit card debtcontinues to skyrocket"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T23:28Z 1.1M followers, 696.5K engagements
"BREAKING: S&P XXX futures erase losses as President Trump says high tariffs on China will NOT remain. Futures are now +75 points from their overnight low"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T11:32Z 1.1M followers, 1.6M engagements
"BREAKING: Oil prices officially fall below $57/barrel for the first time since May 5th now down -XX% since President Trump's inauguration. President Trump really wants gas prices below $2.00/gallon"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T13:48Z 1.1M followers, 414K engagements
"A clear instance of this occurred in crypto on October 10th. Crypto saw its largest liquidation event in history with XXX million traders liquidated in XX hours. Over $XX billion worth of leveraged crypto positions were liquidated in XX hours X times the previous record"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 16.1K engagements
"Meanwhile investors are searching for any source of yield to protect their spending power. As the Fed cuts rates into stagflation and US deficit spending exceeds $XXX BILLION in some months the US Dollar is declining. We believe nominal asset prices must rise as a result"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 13.2K engagements
"Another day another record: US technology stocks now reflect a record XX% of total US stock market cap. This percentage has DOUBLED since 2020. For context this percentage peaked at XX% during 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. Meanwhile global tech stocks ex-US make up XX% of the global market ex-US. This percentage is still below the 2021 and 2000 highs. US tech is absolutely massive"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T19:25Z 1.1M followers, 207.2K engagements
"Gold is becoming unaffordable: It now takes XXX hours of work in the US to buy X ounce of gold the most in at least XXX years. This comes as gold prices hit a record close of $4225 while average hourly earnings reached $XXXXX in August. The ratio has DOUBLED in just XX months the surge in gold prices has far outpaced income growth. This surpasses the previous peaks of XX hours seen in the 1930s 1980 and 2011. By comparison at the start of the century it took less than XX hours to buy X ounce of gold. Gold's rally is even stronger than you think"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-18T15:02Z 1.1M followers, 353.2K engagements
"In retrospect this was the ultimate signal"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-18T16:05Z 1.1M followers, 331.7K engagements
"Something unusual is happening this week: On Friday we are receiving CPI inflation data DURING the US government shutdown. Not only is it X days before the October 29th Fed meeting but it is the first time CPI data will be reported on a Friday since January 2018. The Labor Department has said that NO OTHER releases will be rescheduled or produced until the shutdown ends. This comes during a highly pivotal time for the Fed as they debate whether to continue rate cuts or not. This is drawing speculation of a "bullish" September CPI report. What's happening here"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-19T16:42Z 1.1M followers, 613.2K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says President Xi has invited him to China and he will go to China sometime "early next year." President Trump also says he will "make a strong trade deal" with China"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-20T16:22Z 1.1M followers, 292K engagements
"BREAKING: US natural gas prices extend rally to +12% on the day now on track for their largest daily increase since July 2022. Energy costs are rebounding as winter demand expectations rise"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-20T16:57Z 1.1M followers, 151.2K engagements
"Retail investors buying streak continues: Individual investors have been net buyers of US stocks in XX of the last XX weeks. Last week marked the 7th consecutive weekly purchase and the largest in X months. Retail investors have also recorded XX straight weeks of net purchases in equity options the longest streak on record in data going back to 2020. This matches the 24-week stretch posted in 2023. All retail has been net buyers of ETFs in XXX of XXX trading days so far in 2025. Retail appetite for risk shows nosignofeasing"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-20T18:54Z 1.1M followers, 132.9K engagements
"Leveraged equity ETF launches are skyrocketing: The number of leveraged equity ETFs just hit a record XXX. This figure has DOUBLED over the last X years. Year-to-date XXX leveraged stock ETFs have launched the most on record. In total over XXX different ETFs have launched in 2025 surpassing the full-year record set in 2024. As a result the total number of US ETFs has exceeded 4500 for the first time. Risk appetite is through the roof"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-21T01:01Z 1.1M followers, 123.5K engagements
"Stock market concentration has reached 1800s levels: Information Technology & Communications stocks now reflect a record XX% of total US market cap. This percentage has DOUBLED over the last XX years. Tech is now larger than Energy & Materials which together accounted for XX% of the market at their 1950s peak. The last time any industry had such dominance was the transport sector in the 1880s. In other words the market is the least diversified in XXX years. Technology stockseffectively arethe stockmarket"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-21T13:10Z 1.1M followers, 128.3K engagements
"BREAKING: Spot gold prices extend their decline to over -X% on the day now on track for the biggest daily decline since April 2013. The long overdue gold pullback has finally arrived"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-21T15:17Z 1.1M followers, 410.5K engagements
"US Regional Bank Stocks Today: X. PacWest $PACW: -XX% X. Western Alliance $WAL: -X% X. Metropolitan Bank $MCB: -X% X. Fifth Third $FITB: -X% X. Zions Bank $ZION: -X% X. Regions Financial $RF: -X% X. Comerica $CMA: -X% X. First Horizon $FHN: -X% Every time this crisis seems to be coming to an end something new emerges. The Regional Bank Sector $KRE is now down XX% since January 1st. We are officially X months into the banking crisis"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2023-05-11T13:45Z 1.1M followers, 508.2K engagements
"US Regional Bank Stocks Today: X. NY Community Bank $NYCB: -XX% X. Valley National Bank $VLY: - X% X. HarborOne $HONE: -X% X. HomeStreet $HMST: -X% X. Zions Bank $ZION: -X% X. Comerica Bank $CMA: -X% X. Metropolitan Bank $MCB: -X% X. Citizens Financial $CFG: -X% X. Western Alliance $WAL: -X% This comes after New York Community bank which acquired the collapsed Signature Bank cut their dividend by 70%. They also posted a quarterly LOSS of $XXX million while a $XXX million GAIN was expected. Did regional banks ever really recover"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2024-01-31T17:17Z 1.1M followers, 465.8K engagements
"US Regional Bank Stocks X Month Into 2024: X. NY Community Bank $NYCB: -XX% X. Valley National Bank $VLY: -XX% X. Metropolitan Bank $MCB: -XX% X. HarborOne $HONE: -XX% X. Comerica Bank $CMA: -XX% X. Zions Bank $ZION: -XX% X. Western Alliance $WAL: -XX% X. Citizens Financial $CFG: -X% X. KeyCorp $KEY: -X% Regional bank worries resurfaced as New York Community bank which acquired the collapsed Signature Bank cut their dividend by 70%. These are the same banks that hold nearly XX% of commercial real estate loans. Just XX months ago the regional bank crisis "ended.""
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2024-02-06T21:37Z 1.1M followers, 854.6K engagements
"US Regional Bank Stocks YTD: X. NY Community Bank $NYCB: -XX% X. Valley National Bank $VLY: -XX% X. Metropolitan Bank $MCB: -XX% X. HarborOne $HONE: -XX% X. Zions Bank $ZION: -XX% X. Western Alliance $WAL: -XX% X. Comerica Bank $CMA: -XX% X. Citizens Financial $CFG: -X% X. US Bank $USB: -X% This comes after New York Community bank which acquired the collapsed Signature Bank cut their dividend by 70%. They also posted a quarterly LOSS of $XXX million while a $XXX million GAIN was expected. Then NYCB announced a "material weakness in internal controls." Did regional banks ever really recover"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2024-03-02T15:21Z 1.1M followers, 385.7K engagements
"ANNOUNCEMENT: We are excited to present The Kobeissi Letters 2024 performance report. Our setups have returned +371.7% since 2020 significantly outperforming the S&P 500s +83.0% return over the same period. Our S&P XXX setups provided a net return of +38.1% in 2024 also outperforming the S&P 500's 2024 return of +23.8%. The net return on our calls across all sections was +8.1% building on +15.5% in 2023 +92.8% in 2022 +35.3% in 2021 and +44.8% in 2020. Since 2020 we have returned +39.3% per year on average well ahead of the S&P 500s +14.4% average annual return since 2020. Read the full"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-01-11T17:00Z 1.1M followers, 6.6M engagements
"Elon Musk Now Runs: X. Tesla ($1.2 trillion valuation) X. SpaceX ($350 billion valuation) X. Starlink (Owned by SpaceX $XXX billion valuation) X. Grok/xAI ($50 billion valuation) X. X ($40 billion valuation) X. The Boring Company ($7 billion valuation) X. DOGE (Now reducing US deficit by $X billion/day) How is this even physically possible"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-02-05T02:41Z 1.1M followers, 1.2M engagements
"This is truly insane: On February XX JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon sold $XXX million worth of $JPM stock. On February XX Warren Buffett disclosed a record $XXX BILLION cash balance. XX trading days later the Nasdaq XXX crashed -24%. How did they know (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-04-05T23:27Z 1.1M followers, 4.6M engagements
"Effectively no reaction at all in Bitcoin as the US announces a trade deal with China. Very interesting all eyes are on futures which open in X hours"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-05-11T18:04Z 1.1M followers, 409.4K engagements
"BREAKING: Michael Burry has sold every stock in his portfolio except for a new position in Estee Lauder $EL"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-05-15T20:40Z 1.1M followers, 1.8M engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says for $X million $DOLLARS the Trump card is coming. Its unclear why $DOLLARS was displayed as a ticker"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-06-12T17:53Z 1.1M followers, 248K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump accuses Nancy Pelosi of insider trading"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-09T23:34Z 1.1M followers, 786.6K engagements
"The longest bear market: The US Dollars purchasing power. Over the last XXX years the US Dollar has lost -XX% of its purchasing power. Since 2000 the US Dollar has lost over -XX% of its purchasing power. Own assets or be left behind"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-23T19:15Z 1.1M followers, 832.8K engagements
"BREAKING: Switzerlands Post Office is suspending shipments of US goods beginning tomorrow August 26th due to tariffs"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-25T12:16Z 1.1M followers, 2.6M engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump threatens to impose "200% tariffs or something" on China if they do not provide the US with magnets"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-08-25T17:23Z 1.1M followers, 3M engagements
"The UK's bond market is collapsing: Today the yield on a 30Y Bond in the UK rose to XXXX% its highest level since 1998. Yields in the UK are now XX TIMES higher than they were at the 2020 low just X years ago. What is happening Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-01T15:06Z 1.1M followers, 4.7M engagements
"This is the definition of broken: In XX days the Fed will cut rates for the first time in 2025 yet the 30Y Treasury Yield is now near 5.00%. We have RISING interest rates as markets "price-in" Fed interest rate CUTS. Do you realize what's happening (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-02T13:51Z 1.1M followers, 5.7M engagements
"The collapse of G7 bond markets: Despite aggressive global central bank rate cuts yields are surging in France Japan Germany Canada the US and the UK. The market is quite literally rejecting central bank interest rate cuts. How did we end up here"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-02T15:47Z 1.1M followers, 858.9K engagements
"BREAKING: Gold officially hits $3600/oz for the first time in history. Gold is now up +33% YTD more than XXX TIMES the S&P 500s return"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-02T19:26Z 1.1M followers, 3.4M engagements
"BREAKING: Lululemon stock $LULU crashes over -XX% after reporting weaker than expected earnings. Is consumer spending finally starting to give"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-04T20:10Z 1.1M followers, 523.6K engagements
"BREAKING: Tesla $TSLA offers Elon Musk a pay package valued as much as $X trillion. If fully realized this would be the CEO largest pay package in history"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-05T11:50Z 1.1M followers, 615.8K engagements
"BREAKING: Robinhood stock $HOOD soars nearly +10% on news that it will be added to the S&P 500"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-05T21:28Z 1.1M followers, 359.3K engagements
"The car market bubble is bursting: Subprime auto loan delinquency rates have now surpassed X% for the first time in history. The 60-day delinquency rate for subprime auto loans has more than DOUBLED over the last X years. Delinquency rates are now XXX percentage points above the 2008 Financial Crisis peak. At the same time prime auto loan delinquencies rose to their highest in XX years. Meanwhile the total value of auto loans in the US jumped $XX billion to a record $XXXX trillion in Q2 2025. An auto debt crisis is brewing"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-07T20:33Z 1.1M followers, 405.6K engagements
"BREAKING: There are now a record 312000 new homes for sale in the Southern US states. This is 21000 higher than the August 2006 peak just before the housing market crash. The number of new houses for sale in the South was almost half of what it is now during the 2020 pandemic. Meanwhile new homes for sale in the West have risen by 40000 over the last X years to 111000 near the highest level since 2008. New home inventory in the Northeast and Midwest is also near cycle highs but remains well below 2006 housing bubble levels. How much longer can this housing market run last"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-08T19:55Z 1.1M followers, 360.2K engagements
"BREAKING: Oracle stock $ORCL surges over +23% after reporting earnings with a +359% increase in contracted revenue. As we continue to reiterate we are still so early in the AI Revolution"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-09T21:00Z 1.1M followers, 627.3K engagements
"BREAKING: The odds of a XX basis point rate cut surge to XX% after PPI inflation unexpectdly declines per Kalshi"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-10T14:28Z 1.1M followers, 114.2K engagements
"The time has come: On Wednesday the Fed will cut rates for the first time in 2025 and "blame" a weak labor market. This will be just the 3rd year since 1996 with Fed rate cuts while the S&P XXX is at record highs. What happens next Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-13T14:36Z 1.1M followers, 2.8M engagements
"It's official: For the first time in 2025 the Fed just cut interest rates by XX basis points and "blamed" a weaker labor market. Immediately after the US Dollar fell to its weakest level since February 2022. What's coming next Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-17T19:50Z 1.1M followers, 1.6M engagements
"Current situation: X. Stocks are rising like the US economy is soaring X. Oil prices are falling like we are entering a recession X. Gold is rising like the Fed is cutting rates into inflation X. Bitcoin is falling like Fed rate cuts are postponed X. Home prices are rising like more rate cuts are coming X. Treasury yields are rising like stagflation has arrived The market is entering a new era of monetary policy"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-22T13:15Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements
"US freight is in a recession: The Cass Freight Index dropped -XXX% YoY in August hitting its lowest level since 2020. This index tracks freight shipments within North America and serves as a key gauge of US shipping activity. August marks its 28th consecutive monthly decline. Freight shipments have now fallen -XX% over the last X years. The last time such a prolonged fall occurred was during the 2008 Financial Crisis. Goods movement in the US is slowingsharply"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-22T22:36Z 1.1M followers, 876.4K engagements
"BREAKING: The US has deployed jets against Russian bombers per CNN. Russian military aircraft have been detected in Alaska's airspace"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-25T12:30Z 1.1M followers, 859.1K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump announces a XX% tariff on all kitchen cabinets bathroom vanities and associated products. There will also be a XX% tariff on upholstered furniture. New homes and renovations just became even more expensive"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-25T23:33Z 1.1M followers, 752.7K engagements
"This gold run is absolutely insane: Gold just made its 38th all time high of 2025 with gold futures now up +43% year-to-date. This puts on gold on track for its best year since 1979 as the Fed cuts rates into 3%+ inflation. Gold knows what's coming next"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-29T02:50Z 1.1M followers, 866.6K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says he will be imposing substantial tariffs on any country that does not make its furniture in the US. It seems foreign countries must now produce their furniture in the US to avoid tariffs"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-29T13:12Z 1.1M followers, 246.7K engagements
"This is insane: As the record run in gold accelerates US gold reserves just exceeded $X TRILLION for the first time in history. The US now holds XXX TIMES more gold than Germany the 2nd-largest holder in the world. What is gold telling us Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-29T15:07Z 1.1M followers, 2M engagements
"BREAKING: Zinjin Gold the international unit of Chinas largest gold miner surges over +60% in its IPO. This marks the worlds largest IPO since May 2025. Investor demand for gold is through the roof"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-30T01:58Z 1.1M followers, 213.9K engagements
"BREAKING: The SEC is reportedly moving to allow stocks to trade like crypto where stocks would trade on-chain. Under the plan investors could buy tokens on crypto exchanges that represent shares of companies like Tesla or Nvidia"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-30T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 632.4K engagements
"Shocking stat of the day: Oracle $ORCL has a debt-to-equity ratio of a whopping 520%. This is more than double the ratios of Apple $AAPL and IBM $IBM. By comparison Amazon $AMZN and Microsoft $MSFT have debt-to-equity ratios of XX% and XX% respectively. According to JP Morgan Oracles $XXX billion cloud infrastructure deal with OpenAI would require even more borrowing by the company. Oracle may need to raise up to $XXX billion in debt over the next X years to fund the contract. The AI rush is reaching unprecedented levels"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-09-30T21:58Z 1.1M followers, 200.9K engagements
"Government Shutdown Facts The Media Won't Cover: X. The average length of a shutdown is only X days X. The S&P XXX has ended higher one year after a shutdown in XX% of cases X. The S&P XXX posts an average gain of +13% one year after the shutdown ends X. During the XX day shutdown in 2018 the S&P XXX rallied +11% X. While the government is shut down the US defers $400M/day in costs X. The Fed generally turns more dovish if government data releases are paused Historically the market actually WELCOMES shutdowns"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-01T02:51Z 1.1M followers, 791.5K engagements
"BREAKING: Elon Musk officially becomes the first person in history to reach a net worth of $XXX billion"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-01T19:49Z 1.1M followers, 5.2M engagements
"BREAKING: Silver prices have NEVER ended higher after this: The daily RSI on silver has officially exceeded XX for the first time since 2020. This has only happened X times since 1987 and silver ended lower X months later in XXX% of cases. Is silver nearing its top"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-02T12:15Z 1.1M followers, 755.9K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump is considering providing taxpayers with $1000 to $2000 stimulus checks using tariff revenue"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-02T20:38Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements
"There will be NO jobs report tomorrow. X weeks after the Fed cut rates due to a weak labor market jobs data has been indefinitely suspended. Until the government shutdown ends there will be no BLS labor data. We're XX days from the next Fed meeting with tomorrow's suspended jobs report being the final one before their next meeting. So the Fed is cutting rates into rising inflation due to a weak labor market but we can no longer receive KEY labor market data. And when we do receive the data it is revised down X times before it's considered "accurate." The system is broken"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-03T04:43Z 1.1M followers, 260.2K engagements
"BREAKING: The White House announces that the US Treasury will be producing $X coins with President Trump's face"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-03T17:52Z 1.1M followers, 5.3M engagements
"BREAKING: Foreign holdings of US equities have risen to a record $XX trillion. This marks a +$2.5 trillion rise over the last few months. Investors from overseas now own XX% of the $XX trillion US equity market the most in data going back to 1945. Additionally foreign investors allocation to US equities as a percentage of US financial assets hit a record 61%. This is now X percentage points above the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble high. To put this into perspective the all-time low was XX% in 1974 and the 2008 Financial Crisis low was 25%. Foreign investors are all-inonUSstocks"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-03T21:43Z 1.1M followers, 327.9K engagements
"Bitcoin now has a market cap of $XXX trillion or $XXXX trillion LESS than gold. In other words gold is currently XXXX times LARGER than Bitcoin. Even if Bitcoin hit $1000000 and gold was unchanged Bitcoin would still only be XX% of the size of gold. We are still early"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-05T20:17Z 1.1M followers, 427.4K engagements
"Tonight's price action summarized: X. Japan's Stock Market: Record highs X. Japan's 30Y Bond Yields: Record highs X. Gold: Record highs X. Bitcoin: Record highs Central banks have lost control of long-term rates as economic stimulus ramps up into rising inflation"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T04:54Z 1.1M followers, 312.1K engagements
"OpenAI now has: X. $XXX billion investment from Nvidia X. Up to XX% ownership in AMD X. $XXX billion Stargate investment X. $XXX billion valuation How is OpenAI still owned by a "nonprofit" parent company"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T11:19Z 1.1M followers, 14.1M engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says there is "virtually no inflation" and "stock markets are continually hitting record highs.""
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T12:13Z 1.1M followers, 282.9K engagements
"You can't make this up: On October 2nd users on X began noting unusual options activity in AMD $AMD. Over $X million worth of long-dated calls were purchased and flows into AMD stock were strong. One user explicitly said they "bet AMD just signed a multi-billion dollar deal to support GPUs to OpenAI." X days later AMD announces a deal with OpenAI that will generate "tens of billions in new revenues." Being on X is literally alpha for investors"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T12:58Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements
"BREAKING: Tens of thousands of Robinhood $HOOD users are reportedly unable to access their accounts amid an outage after the $AMD surge"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T14:09Z 1.1M followers, 1.3M engagements
"POLL: Are we in an AI Bubble The results of this poll will serve as a key indicator of sentiment. Comment your reasoning below"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T16:50Z 1.1M followers, 207.8K engagements
"This has never happened before: The Volatility Index $VIX has risen +1.36 points over X consecutive days. Over the same time period the S&P XXX has gained +1.09% also advancing for X days straight. Since the creation of the $VIX in 1990 both measures have never recorded such a streak according to Goldman Sachs. The closest were 4-day streaks of the $VIX rising alongside the S&P XXX in 1995 and 1996. This comes as total call option volume has surpassed XX million contracts a day on average over the last XX trading sessions for the first time. Why is volatility rising with equity prices like"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T18:33Z 1.1M followers, 306.6K engagements
"The Trump Administration Now Owns: X. XX% equity stake in Intel $INTC X. XX% equity stake in MP Materials $MP X. XX% equity stake in Lithium Americas $LAC X. XX% equity stake in Trilogy Metals $TMC X. A golden share in US Steel Corporation X. Floated idea of equity stake in defense contractors Financial markets have entered a new era: government equity stakes. What's the next acquisition for President Trump"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-06T22:25Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements
"BREAKING: Gold officially crosses above $4000/oz for the first time in history. Gold is now worth $XX TRILLION"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T00:32Z 1.1M followers, 5.9M engagements
"The US Dollars reserve currency dominance is declining: The US Dollar's share of the worlds central banks reserves fell XXX percentage points in Q2 2025 to XXXX% the lowest since 1994. Since 2000 this percentage has declined by XX points. By comparison the US Dollar reflected XX% of global reserves in 1977. At the current pace the Dollars weight could drop below XX% within X years. For context the euro represents XXXX% and the Chinese yuan XXX% of global reserves. Inflation is causing a currency confidence crisis"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T01:39Z 1.1M followers, 193.1K engagements
"When EVERYTHING is at all time highs you need to ask yourself something: What has changed Safe havens risky assets real estate crypto global bond yields and everything in between is hitting daily record highs. The denominator for most assets in this case the US Dollar is what has changed. The US Dollar is on track for its worst year in 40+ years down -XX% YTD. Not only is the numerator going up (intrinsic value of assets) but the denominator is going down (USD). Confidence in fiat currencies is at multi-decade lows. Position accordingly"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T03:19Z 1.1M followers, 364.8K engagements
"BREAKING: The US stock market capitalization-to-GDP ratio is up to a record 221%. Since the April low this metric has risen a whopping XX percentage points. It's also XXX TIMES higher that it was at the 2008 Financial Crisis low. To put this into perspective this metric peaked at XXX% during the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. The ratio has now remained above its long-term average of XX% for XX years. The market is making history"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T17:59Z 1.1M followers, 401.4K engagements
"This is wild: A map of OpenAI's recent partnerships. Now one of the largest companies in the world worth over $500B still owned by a non-profit parent. What's next"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T18:02Z 1.1M followers, 474.5K engagements
"BREAKING: Elon Musks xAI is reportedly nearing a $XX billion capital raise tied to Nvidias chips. Nvidia itself is among the investors in the xAI chip deal. Another multibillion dollar AI deal has arrived"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-07T23:25Z 1.1M followers, 482K engagements
"Electricity is coming next: Yesterday President Trump said the United States' electricity grid is "old and tired." The Trump Administration recently bought equity stakes in Intel and metals companies. Is the Trump Administration's next XX% equity stake in an electricity-related company"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T01:41Z 1.1M followers, 440.2K engagements
"BREAKING: Gold's MONTHLY RSI hits XXXX marking its most "overbought" level on record. Not even 2001 2008 or 2020 saw a reading of 90+"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T15:36Z 1.1M followers, 558.8K engagements
"The cost of hedging against market volatility is rising: Volatility risk premiums on stocks has jumped to XXXX the highest in X years. The difference between the Volatility Index $VIX and the S&P 500's 20-day realized volatility has more than doubled over the last few weeks. This ratio is now sitting near the top end of its last 10-year range. In other words the difference between how much investors expect the market to move and how much it has actually moved is historically high. Despite this single-stock volatility relative to the S&P 500s expected volatility has hit its highest level since"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-08T21:37Z 1.1M followers, 89.4K engagements
"And here's what's even more interesting: Amid the daily billion dollar AI deals data centers are now facing an $XXX BILLION revenue shortfall. Just to fund data center construction through 2030 we need $X TRILLION in revenue. Data centers are the new oil"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 50.8K engagements
"The byproduct of this is a major energy shortage. AI data centers are set to consume 1600 terawatt-hours of power demand by 2035 equal to XXX% of global electricity. Power demand from AI data centers is set to QUADRUPLE over the next XX years. We need more electricity"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T13:18Z 1.1M followers, 49.9K engagements
"BREAKING: Nvidia $NVDA surges to a record high market cap of $XXXX trillion. The stock has now added +$2.6 TRILLION of market cap since its April 7th low"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T14:14Z 1.1M followers, 516.6K engagements
"The elephant in the room: Alphabet Amazon Meta Microsoft and OpenAI alone have announced $XXX BILLION in commitments for new data centers in 2025. Meanwhile electricity prices are up +35% since 2022. With nuclear power 10+ years away how will we meet electricity demand"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T16:25Z 1.1M followers, 522K engagements
"BREAKING: Gold futures extend their decline to -X% on the day and drop below $4000/oz. This comes less than XX hours after golds monthly RSI hit 90+ for the first time since 1980. Gold is still up +50% in 2025"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T16:42Z 1.1M followers, 254.3K engagements
"BREAKING: Retail investors bought +$105 billion of US stocks over the last month the largest monthly purchase on record. Retail demand has risen FIVEFOLD since April. This brings total YTD purchases to +$630 billion already surpassing the all-time high of $XXX billion in 2021. Retail investors are now on track to buy $XXX billion worth of stocks in 2025. As a result retail shares traded as a % of total hit XX% just below the XX% record during the 2021 meme stock frenzy. Retail investors are buying likeneverbefore"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T18:54Z 1.1M followers, 319.5K engagements
"BREAKING: Global debt jumped +$14 TRILLION in Q2 2025 to a record $XXXXX trillion. In the first half of 2025 world debt surged by a massive +$21 trillion a rise comparable to H2 2020 when pandemic responses drove an unprecedented spike in debt. The US China France Germany the UK and Japan recorded the largest increases in debt levels amid a weakening US Dollar. Emerging markets accounted for $XXX trillion of the increase in Q2 pushing their total debt to $XXX trillion an all-time high. The total Debt-to-GDP ratio now stands at 324%. The debt crisis hasgoneglobal"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-09T21:59Z 1.1M followers, 150.5K engagements
"BREAKING: Total amount of gold owned by US ETFs linked to physical gold is up to a record $XXX billion. Holdings have DOUBLED over the last few years driven by massive investor inflows and a rise in gold prices. Before the 2020 pandemic gold holdings were XXX times less at $XX billion. US ETFs linked to physical gold attracted a record $XX billion in net inflows in September alone. Meanwhile the total assets under management in global gold ETFs rose +23% QoQ in Q3 2025 reaching a record $XXX billion. Investors are piling into gold funds like neverbefore"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T13:06Z 1.1M followers, 166.2K engagements
"US beef prices are skyrocketing: Average ground beef prices rose +13% YoY in August to a record $6.32/pound according to Labor Department data. Since 2021 beef prices have risen +$2.30/pound or +58%. This comes as US cattle and calves inventories continue to fall pressured by drought high feed costs and record calf prices. The cattle herd is now at its smallest the 1950s. At the same time domestic demand remains strong due to high per capita consumption as the US is one of the largest beef consumers in the world. Beef inflationisnotslowing"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T14:26Z 1.1M followers, 153.5K engagements
"Absolutely insane: At 10:57 AM ET President Trumped published a massive paragraph about China saying a "massive increase" in tariffs is coming. By 11:00 AM ET X minutes later the S&P XXX the S&P XXX had already erased -$700 BILLION of market cap. Is the trade war back"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T15:05Z 1.1M followers, 2.1M engagements
"PRESIDENT TRUMP'S STATEMENT ON CHINA JUST NOW: X. China is "becoming very hostile" and controlling rare earths X. "Always felt that China is lying and now as usual I have been proven right" X. China is "holding the world captive" in a "monopoly position" X. There is "no reason" to meet President Xi in X weeks X. Preparing a "massive increase of tariffs on Chinese products" X. "Many other countermeasures" are under serious consideration US stocks are now falling to new weekly lows"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T15:11Z 1.1M followers, 454.4K engagements
"BREAKING: Oil prices fall to a new low after President Trumps China tariff increase statement. Now at the lowest level since May 8th"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T15:23Z 1.1M followers, 184.5K engagements
"BREAKING: The S&P XXX extends losses to over -XXX points in XX minutes following President Trumps statement on China"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T15:25Z 1.1M followers, 236.6K engagements
"Meanwhile Fed rate cuts will resume as the labor market clearly deteriorates. Underemployment is at XXX% the highest since 2021. All while XX% of items in CPI inflation are now rising by at least 3%. As we continue to reiterate asset owners will continue to be rewarded"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 117K engagements
"On top of this the AI Revolution is accelerating at an unprecedented pace. Magnificent X companies are investing over +$100B in CapEx PER QUARTER. AI now accounts for XX% of S&P XXX CapEx spend. We believe fighting this unprecedented level of investment is dangerous"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T16:17Z 1.1M followers, 109K engagements
"Current situation: X. Oil prices are below $59/barrel for the first time since May X. 10Y Note Yield is down XX basis points to XXXX% X. Natural gas prices are down -X% to new monthly lows X. Copper prices are down -X% in biggest drop since July X. The Fed is expected to cut rates X times in 2025 X. S&P XXX is still trading up over +32% in X months Is the trade war accomplishing all of Trump's goals at once"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T18:30Z 1.1M followers, 270.8K engagements
"Rare earth stocks are skyrocketing: After President Trump's post about China attempting to impose rare earths controls the market shifted. Between a Ukraine deal and China one of President Trump's top strategic priorities is controlling rare earths. Currently XX% of rare earths in the US come from China. Could one of President Trump's next equity stakes be in a rare earths company"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T19:29Z 1.1M followers, 613.9K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump announces a XXX% tariff on China starting November 1st and export controls on "any and all critical software.""
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T20:56Z 1.1M followers, 997.3K engagements
"BREAKING: Total crypto market cap losses exceed -$300 BILLION on the day as President Trump announces a XXX% tariff on China"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T21:34Z 1.1M followers, 373.6K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says he has not cancelled his meeting with China's President Xi and he "might still" have the meeting. Just hours ago President Trump said he has "no reason" to meet with President Xi"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T22:13Z 1.1M followers, 691.3K engagements
"LIVE now on CNN Tune in to see Adam Kobeissis exclusive outlook amid resurfacing tariff tensions"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-10T23:31Z 1.1M followers, 186.4K engagements
"The blatant reality: Heading into President Trump's XXX% China tariff announcement markets were LOOKING for a catalyst to pull back on. Leverage was through the roof and we had not seen a 2%+ decline in the S&P XXX for X months. President Trump's post became THE REASON to sell off in what remains a broader uptrend. The fact that a record near -$20 BILLION was liquidated in crypto in XX hours is clear evidence leverage was through the roof. Fear and Greed are the most powerful emotions in the market; the scale had tipped too far in the direction of the latter. Still ignore the noise and follow"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T02:06Z 1.1M followers, 418.7K engagements
"To put this into perspective: The liquidation event we saw over the last XX hours was $XX BILLION larger than the February 2025 crash. It was more than XX TIMES larger than the March 2020 crash and collapse of FTX. Never in history have we seen anything even close to this"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 160.5K engagements
"The main culprit of this appears to be a combination of excessive leverage and risk. If you take a look at the breakdown of liquidations it was heavily skewed towards longs. $XXXX billion in longs were liquidated compared to $XXX billion in shorts. That's a 6.7:1 ratio"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 120.2K engagements
"Even more evidence of the excessive long leverage in the market: ALL major exchanges except for Bitfinex saw an overwhelming percentage of long liquidations. Most were 90%+ long including a massive $XXXX BILLION on Hyperliquid alone. The same exchange the "whale" used"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 109.7K engagements
"The next component was the "shock effect." Markets became excessively crowded to the long direction after a historic run from the April 2025 low. Greed exceeded XX as shown below days before the crash. The sudden shock of the tariff post led to a MASSIVE shift in sentiment"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 111.7K engagements
"So what's next We believe this crash was due to the combination of multiple sudden technical factors. It does NOT have long-term fundamental implications. A technical correction was overdue we think a trade deal will be reached and crypto remains strong. We are bullish"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T13:38Z 1.1M followers, 107.9K engagements
"BREAKING: Yesterday's crypto liquidation led to Bitcoin's first ever $20000 daily swing. Bitcoin alone erased -$380 BILLION in market cap over just X hours. That's more than the market cap of all but XX public companies in the world"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T15:48Z 1.1M followers, 423.2K engagements
"Risk appetite is skyrocketing in China: Stock turnover in Chinas stock market hit a record XXX trillion Yuan year-to-date. This surpassed the previous record set in 2024 when XXX Yuan was turned over. Since 2022 turnover has more than TRIPLED. This comes as the CSI XXX Chinas main stock index posted its 5th consecutive monthly gain in September the longest streak in X years. The index has now risen +19.6% year-to-date. Chinas equity market is gainingmomentum"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T17:43Z 1.1M followers, 130.9K engagements
"The crypto collapse: At 9:30 AM ET yesterday crypto's market cap hit $XXX TRILLION near a record. By 5:20 PM ET crypto's market cap hit $XXX trillion down -$800 BILLION. That's -$100 billion PER HOUR for X hours straight. Liquidation is an understatement"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T20:34Z 1.1M followers, 303.1K engagements
"The plot thickens: A "whale" on HyperLiquid placed over $XX MILLION of shorts at 4:49 PM ET yesterday per Coffeezilla. Exactly X MINUTE later President Trump announced XXX% tariffs on China leading to the largest liquidation in crypto history. Is this the best crypto trade of the year"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-11T21:12Z 1.1M followers, 730.9K engagements
"BREAKING: China responds to President Trump's XXX% tariff for the first time since Friday: China says recent export controls on rare earths were "necessary defensive actions." China also said they will take "corresponding measures" if the US persists in raising tariffs"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T03:49Z 1.1M followers, 298.4K engagements
"BREAKING: China says new export controls on rare earths are NOT a ban on exports and applications that "meet regulations" will be approved. China says they are willing to strengthen dialogue to "better maintain stability of global industrial and supply chains." Are we back"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T03:56Z 1.1M followers, 584.3K engagements
"BREAKING: China appears to soften their stance on recent rare earths export controls. China now says: X. The recent change is NOT a full export ban X. Applications that meet regulations will be approved X. Willing to engage in deeper dialogue X. Looks for global industrial and supply chain stability X. Relevant impact of export controls is "very limited" X. Calls this a "necessary defensive action" China also adds that they will take measures if the US persists in raising tariffs"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T04:03Z 1.1M followers, 1.2M engagements
"Investors are waking up to some major news from China: The entire tariff crash on October 10th may have just been one big misunderstanding between Trump and Xi. The news about Chinas rare earth export controls came out on October 9th at 8:30 am ET XX hours BEFORE Trump posted about it. This was a non-news event UNTIL President Trump posted about it over one day later. Last night China released a statement clarifying their "export controls" on rare earths. In their response China said the new controls are NOT a full export ban and applications that meet regulations will be approved. Amid the"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T13:46Z 1.1M followers, 6.3M engagements
"BREAKING: Ethereum extends gains to +5% on the day and reclaims $4000/oz. Just like that risk appetite is back"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T15:13Z 1.1M followers, 310.1K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says dont worry about China it will be all fine. Trump says Chinas President Xi just had a bad moment. There it is the Sunday pre-futures open post weve been waiting for"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T16:51Z 1.1M followers, 1.6M engagements
"Key Events This Week: X. OPEC Monthly Report - Monday X. Fed Chair Powell Speaks - Tuesday X. NY Fed Manufacturing Index - Wednesday X. Philly Fed Manufacturing Index - Thursday X. NAHB Housing Market Index - Thursday X. XX% of S&P XXX Companies Report Earnings The data blackout on the US government shutdown continues"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T17:23Z 1.1M followers, 171.3K engagements
"BREAKING: Ethereum extends gains to over +11% on the day now up +20% from its Friday low. Dip buyers are in full swing after a -$19.5 billion record liquidation. The equity futures market open is going to be big"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T17:32Z 1.1M followers, 673.8K engagements
"We've spent the last XX months analyzing EVERY single tariff development: Here's the EXACT playbook for investors. X. Trump puts out cryptic post on tariffs coming for a specific country or sector markets drift lower X. Trump announces large tariff rate (50%+) and markets crash to shake out weak positions X. Dip buyers step in but the head fake rally leads to fresh lows where smart money begins buying X. After the market closes on Friday President Trump doubles down on new tariffs to apply pressure X. On Saturday the target of the new tariff typically responds or comments X. On Sunday before"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T18:06Z 1.1M followers, 3.7M engagements
"Financial markets are evolving: The -$19.5 billion crypto liquidation and -$2.5 trillion equity market crash on October 10th have highlighted a crucial point. Markets in 2025 have evolved to their most reactionary form in history. When you couple this with record levels of leverage a FOMO-inducing market and heavy participation by algorithmic traders it becomes violent. Headlines and posts are now able to move trillions of dollars of market cap in a matter of minutes. In our view there has never been a more exciting time to be an investor than now. And the ability to remain objective and"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-12T19:22Z 1.1M followers, 243.3K engagements
"BREAKING: US Treasury Secretary Bessent says XXX% tariffs on China "doesn't have to happen" and the US-China "relationship is good." We are now on step #8 of our tariff trading playbook. Are you following our plan"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T12:08Z 1.1M followers, 456.9K engagements
"Step #8 of our tariff trading "playbook" has arrived down to the hour perfectly on time:"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T12:15Z 1.1M followers, 31.3K engagements
"BREAKING: Broadcom stock $AVGO surges over +13% after signing a "multi-billion dollar chip deal" with OpenAI. Broadcom will build custom data center chips for OpenAI and the deal covers 10GW of compute capacity. Broadcom now up +$200 BILLION of market cap today"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T13:05Z 1.1M followers, 449.2K engagements
"OpenAI has now signed "multi-billion dollar deals" with: X. US Government (Stargate) - $XXX Billion X. Nvidia - $XXX Billion X. AMD - Up to $XXX Billion X. Intel - $XX Billion X. TSMC - $XX Billion X. Microsoft - $XX Billion X. Oracle - $XX Billion X. Broadcom - "Multi-Billion" OpenAI's valuation could exceed $X trillion as soon as 2026. The world's fastest growing "non-profit" will soon be engrained in every US tech giant"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T13:43Z 1.1M followers, 500.4K engagements
"BREAKING: US stocks extend gains with the S&P XXX now up over +1.5% on the day adding +$850 billion of market cap. The S&P XXX is now on track for its biggest daily gain since May 27th"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T14:07Z 1.1M followers, 213.5K engagements
"Absolute insanity: Gold has now officially added +$10 TRILLION of market cap in XX months up a massive +55%. Over the last XX hours gold has rallied on EVERY headline even as the S&P XXX erased -$2.5 trillion in X hours. What's next Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T15:10Z 1.1M followers, 2.1M engagements
"It now takes X Nvidia's to buy gold's market cap. Gold has added an average of $XXX billion PER MONTH for XX straight months. Never in history has any asset done anything remotely near this before"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T16:19Z 1.1M followers, 243.3K engagements
"US job markets leading indicator is still deteriorating: The gap between Americans saying jobs are plentiful and hard to get fell to XXX% in September the lowest since 2021. This is the weakest reading in X years outside the 2020 pandemic spike. Historically this measure been a leading indicator of unemployment suggesting higher jobless claims ahead. According to Moodys there is no better predictor of changes in unemployment than this metric. The Fed will have no choice but to continue cutting rates"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T18:29Z 1.1M followers, 170K engagements
"What is happening in the silver market Silver lease rates the cost to borrow London silver overnight have spiked above XXX% annualized hitting an all-time high. This even surpasses the surge seen during the 1980s silver short squeeze when prices reached $52.50/oz. At the same time the 1-month lease rate jumped to a XX% annualized rate the highest in at least X years. The squeeze has been driven by increased investor purchases a sharply reduced supply of bars available to trade and a sudden spike in demand from India. Meanwhile benchmark London silver prices have surged to a record $X premium"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T20:56Z 1.1M followers, 445.9K engagements
"There it is: Gold has officially posted its highest monthly RSI reading in HISTORY at XXXX. Gold has only seen X red months since March 2024. In retrospect it will be so obvious what this all means"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-13T23:16Z 1.1M followers, 617.8K engagements
"BREAKING: China urges the US to correct wrongdoings regarding President Trumps XXX% tariff and says it will fight until the end. In other words step #9 in our tariff playbook is on the horizon"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T01:08Z 1.1M followers, 518.5K engagements
"BREAKING: China confirms working level talks with the US regarding tariffs and export controls. Step #9 is on the way"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T01:19Z 1.1M followers, 364.3K engagements
"BREAKING: Stock market futures extend gains as China confirms working level talks with the US. S&P XXX futures are now up +160 points since their Friday low"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T01:24Z 1.1M followers, 365.3K engagements
"Risk appetite just broke another record: Total US options volume reached a record XXX million contracts on Friday. This beats Aprils Liberation Day high when trading activity surpassed XXX million for the first time. This comes as total call options volume hit XX million an all-time high. At the same time put options activity reached XX million contracts the 2nd-largest on record. To put this into perspective the 2021 meme stock mania record was XX million. Friday was a historic day"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T13:01Z 1.1M followers, 153.3K engagements
"What are your favorite energy-related stocks"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T13:35Z 1.1M followers, 68.2K engagements
"Prepare for a volatile Q3 earnings season: The average implied earnings-day move for S&P XXX stocks based on options pricing is XXX% the second-highest since the 2022 bear market. Consumer discretionary stocks are expected to experience the most volatility. at 6.2%. This is followed by information technology and communication services at XXX% and 5.8%. We are preparing for big earnings-daystockmoves"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T15:34Z 1.1M followers, 86.9K engagements
"BREAKING: Binance announces that they will distribute $XXX million to users who were liquidated during the October 10th market crash"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T15:42Z 1.1M followers, 609.5K engagements
"BREAKING: The Dow erases a -XXX point loss and turns positive on the day as US Trade Representative Greer says a meeting between President Trump and China's President Xi has been SCHEDULED"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T15:46Z 1.1M followers, 224.1K engagements
"BREAKING: US Trade Representative Greer says the Trump Administration thinks they will be able to "work through it" with China. A meeting between President Trump and President Xi has officially been scheduled. Step number X in our tariff playbook has arrived"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T15:59Z 1.1M followers, 377.9K engagements
"The Bank of Japans balance sheet shrinkage is accelerating: Total assets on the BoJ balance sheet declined -$148 billion in Q3 2025 to $XXXX trillion the lowest since mid-2022. This marks the largest quarterly decline since Quantitative Tightening (QT) began in 2024. Since the March 2024 peak assets have fallen -$407 billion or -8.1%. To put this into perspective the BoJ's total assets to GDP ratio still stands above 110%. Meanwhile the Bank of Japan announced in late September that it would start gradually selling its ETF and REIT holdings at a pace of $XXX billion per year. Japan's era of"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T19:05Z 1.1M followers, 246K engagements
"The stock market just erased -$450 billion in X minutes because President Trump threatened to start producing cooking oil in the US"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T19:53Z 1.1M followers, 1.8M engagements
"BREAKING: The State Department says it has revoked the visas at least X people for their comments on the death of Charlie Kirk"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-14T22:20Z 1.1M followers, 184.2K engagements
"BREAKING: Gold futures cross above $4200/oz for the first time in history. Gold is now up nearly +60% in 2025 alone. One day we will wonder why gold was so cheap. Own assets or be left behind"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T01:38Z 1.1M followers, 1.1M engagements
"The big question: What are gold and silver really telling us Gold and silver are now up more than X TIMES the S&P XXX in 2025 during one of the S&P 500's strongest bull runs ever. That is gold and silver are massively outperforming risky assets during a bull run in those same risky assets. When safe havens are rallying with risky assets it tells you one thing: confidence in fiat currencies is eroding. And while deficit spending and rate cuts into stagflation are major drivers of this sentiment shift we believe there is more to it. The market is pricing in record levels of AI CapEx and what"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T02:55Z 1.1M followers, 538.6K engagements
"Crypto adoption has barely started: The market cap of crypto just exceeded a record $X trillion. Yet XX% of investors have ZERO exposure to crypto right now. We are still early"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T15:03Z 1.1M followers, 313.3K engagements
"Gold is going mainstream: XX% of global fund managers say Long Gold is the most crowded trade according to a BofA survey of XXX participants with $XXX billion in assets. Gold has reclaimed the lead after X consecutive months where Long Magnificent X topped the list. Interestingly Short US Dollar has fallen 2-straight months from XX% to 8%. Meanwhile XX% of professional investors from the survey do not own any gold in their portfolios. The average investor's allocation to gold is just XXX% near an all-time low. Is Wall Street set to join the gold rally"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-15T18:08Z 1.1M followers, 187.3K engagements
"Another night another +$300 billion in market cap for gold. Gold futures now rising into a record $4250/oz"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T02:38Z 1.1M followers, 956K engagements
"BREAKING: Demand for the Feds Reverse Repo (RRP) facility has fallen to $XXX billion the lowest since April 2021. RRP usage one of the financial systems key excess liquidity metrics has declined -$2.5 trillion since its December 2022 peak. Meanwhile bank reserves at the Fed dropped below $XXX trillion a level that many Fed officials consider the red line between abundant and scarce reserves. Such a low level can strain the financial system making it harder for banks to lend money and can cause spikes in market volatility or even bank failures. As a result Fed Chair Powell just said that the"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T13:14Z 1.1M followers, 303.2K engagements
"BREAKING: Gold futures cross above $4300/oz for the first time in history now up over +60% in 2025. Gold just became the first asset in history to hit $XX TRILLION in market cap. It now takes X Nvidia's to buy gold's market cap"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T16:22Z 1.1M followers, 571.8K engagements
"Gold is now worth $XX trillion MORE than the 2nd most valuable asset in the world. Gold has also added +$11 TRILLION in 2025 alone. We are witnessing an unprecedented run in precious metals right now. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T16:49Z 1.1M followers, 50.3K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump issues a statement about his "lengthy" phone call with President Putin. Trump says he will be meeting with Putin in Budapest to see if they can reach a deal to end the war between Russia and Ukraine"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T17:15Z 1.1M followers, 349.1K engagements
"Extreme Fear. This is NOT what you see before a market crash with the S&P XXX trading X% away from a record high"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T19:34Z 1.1M followers, 853.2K engagements
"BREAKING: Gold officially becomes the first asset in history to hit $XX TRILLION in market cap. Its an all out global rush into gold"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-16T20:19Z 1.1M followers, 1.4M engagements
"The elephant in the room: Confidence in fiat currencies has collapsed. As a result absolutely no one wants cash right now. In fact cash allocation for institutional investors is down to XXX% the lowest percentage in XX years. The Fed will soon lose its independence rate cuts are coming into stagflation and global debt jumped +$14 TRILLION in Q2 2025 to a record $XXXXX trillion. You are either buying stocks at record highs piling into gold and silver or buying crypto. Meanwhile corporations are investing hundreds of billions into AI and governments will soon join the AI arms race prompting"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T00:33Z 1.1M followers, 743.8K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump was just asked if his XXX% tariff on China will stand. His response: No"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T11:22Z 1.1M followers, 545.6K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump announces that he will be meeting with Chinas President Xi in X weeks. I think well be fine with China Trump says. There it is folks step #10 of our tariff playbook is in the works. Timing (2 weeks) is exactly in-line as well"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T11:28Z 1.1M followers, 745.5K engagements
"Exactly X week ago President Trump said there was "no reason" to meet with Xi anymore. Today the meeting is back on and high tariffs will not remain. The market's rollercoaster ride continues. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T11:38Z 1.1M followers, 75.5K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump calls his XXX% tariff on China "not sustainable." "We have to have a fair deal" Trump says"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T12:07Z 1.1M followers, 842.1K engagements
"BREAKING: The Dow erases a -XXX point drop and turns positive as President Trump says no when asked if high tariffs will remain on China"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T12:09Z 1.1M followers, 167.2K engagements
"The hallmark of any bull market: Pullbacks become oversold quickly and upswings become overbought slowly. That's exactly what we are seeing in stocks gold and crypto now"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T12:43Z 1.1M followers, 255K engagements
"Margin debt is SKYROCKETING: In September 2025 US investors took on another +$67 billion in margin debt bringing the total to a record $XXXX TRILLION. Meanwhile X TIMES levered ETFs have just been proposed to the SEC. What does it all mean Let us explain. (a thread)"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 886.7K engagements
"Investor leverage has nearly DOUBLED over the last X years. This marks a similar pace to the rise seen following the 2020 pandemic. As a % of GDP margin debt now sits just below the 2021 peak. Needless to say risk appetite is arguably at its strongest level ever"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 22.2K engagements
"Everyone wants a piece of the AI Revolution. US households allocation to equities has hit a record 52%. This now surpasses the 2000 peak of XX% by X percentage points. The percentage is also TWICE as high as at the 2008 low. Americans are piling into the stock market"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 20.5K engagements
"Clearly leveraged debt has skyrocketed to unprecedented levels. But what does it mean In our view the surge in leverage debt reflects just how strong momentum is right now. But it will also come with what we believe will be a more turbulent path higher for risky assets"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 21.8K engagements
"That said while there is a risk-on mania we do NOT think the top is near. Why not If you take a look at a lot of the large tech names fueling this rally they are getting CHEAPER as they go up. The forward EV/EBIT multiple on Nvidia has fallen to XXXX the same as Walmart"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T14:44Z 1.1M followers, 38.5K engagements
"BREAKING: US ETF inflows have crossed above +$1.0 trillion in 2025 the highest YTD total in history. Inflows are now running 3.5x above the usual seasonal average every month. Flows are now on track to exceed +$1.25 trillion in 2025 for the first time. By comparison the full-year record in 2024 was +$1.1 trillion. Meanwhile over XXX new ETFs have launched this year already surpassing the 2024 record. The ETF boom is accelerating"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T15:56Z 1.1M followers, 159.4K engagements
"BREAKING: Total crypto liquidations have now hit -$1.2 billion over the last XX hours. Bitcoin alone has seen nearly -$500 million of liquidations today"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T16:43Z 1.1M followers, 312.3K engagements
"BREAKING: Russia has reportedly asked Elon Musk to help build a $XX billion undersea rail tunnel linking Russia and Alaska. The tunnel would be named the Putin-Trump Tunnel"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T17:22Z 1.1M followers, 1.3M engagements
"BREAKING: Gold & silver funds posted +$8.2 billion in net inflows last week the 2nd-biggest weekly inflow on record. This follows a record +$9.5 billion seen in the prior week. As a result the 4-week moving average of inflows spiked to a record +$7.5 billion. This is almost DOUBLE the previous high seen in early 2022. Overall gold funds have attracted +$34.2 billion over the last XX weeks the most in history. Money is flooding into gold at an unprecedentedpace"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T18:05Z 1.1M followers, 131.3K engagements
"BREAKING: The US Government is now on track to shut down for more than XX days the longest shut down in history. This means the current shutdown is expected to last X TIMES longer than average"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-17T18:44Z 1.1M followers, 389.1K engagements
"BREAKING: Total US public debt has hit record $XXXX TRILLION. This marks a +$400 BILLION jump this month or +$25 billion per day. Federal debt has now surged +$1.7 TRILLION since the debt ceiling was raised in July rising over +$425 billion every month. At the current pace total debt would hit a record $XX trillion by as soon as 2026. As a result the Debt-to-GDP ratio now stands at XXX% the highest since 2021 and near the 2020 record. The US debt crisis has reached unprecedentedlevels"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-18T13:29Z 1.1M followers, 836.7K engagements
"Institutional investors are all-in on stocks: Global managers cash allocation fell to XXX% in October the lowest in XX years. Cash has stayed at or below X% of AUM for the 4th consecutive month. Since 1999 there have been only a few instances when cash levels were this low. Meanwhile XX% of managers said they are net overweight global stocks the most since January 2025. At the same time a record net XX% responded that global stocks are overvalued XX percentage points above the level seen during the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. Institutional investors are heavily exposed to equities"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-18T18:38Z 1.1M followers, 283.4K engagements
"Investors are piling into defense stocks: Aerospace & Defense ETF inflows hit +$8.2 billion in the first X quarters of 2025. This marks a +573% surge compared to 2024 levels. Monthly inflows peaked at +$1.6 billion in June before moderating to +$634 million in September. The surge has triggered a wave of new fund launches with XX Aerospace & Defense ETFs debuting in 2025 compared to just X last year. Investor demand for defense exposureis very strong"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-18T21:07Z 1.1M followers, 181.6K engagements
"Buy-the-dip activity is incredibly strong: Investors bought +$3.9 billion in US equities last week following X straight weeks of selling according to BofA. Net inflows to single stocks hit +$4.1 billion the 5th highest since 2008 and the largest on record for a week when the S&P XXX fell at least -1%. This was driven by institutional inflows of +$4.4 billion the most since November 2022. Retail investors bought +$1.1 billion marking their 2nd weekly purchase out of the last X. Meanwhile hedge funds sold -$1.6 billion posting their 5th consecutive weekly sale. Investors are eager to buy dips"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-18T23:01Z 1.1M followers, 228.6K engagements
"Key Events This Week: X. XX% of S&P XXX companies report earnings X. US Crude Oil Inventory data - Wednesday X. September Existing Home Sales data - Thursday X. September CPI Inflation data - Friday X. October Services PMI data - Friday X. October MI Consumer Sentiment data - Friday We are now X week out from Fed week"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-19T14:37Z 1.1M followers, 132.2K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says he is not looking to destroy China and calls Chinas President Xi a smart leader who is open for a deal"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-19T15:38Z 1.1M followers, 624.5K engagements
"The US is dominating global markets: Total US stock market capitalization just hit $XX TRILLION for the first time. This equals XXX% of the entire US economy. The value of the US market has DOUBLED since the 2022 bear market. By comparison Asian and European stock markets are worth $XX trillion and $XX trillion respectively. This means the US stock market is now XX% larger than Asia and Europe COMBINED. The gap between the US and the rest of the world is historic"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-19T19:00Z 1.1M followers, 602.6K engagements
"US consumers are becoming more pessimistic about the job market: Americans perceived probability of losing their job over the next X years jumped to XXXX% in October the 2nd-highest since the 2020 pandemic. This now marks the 3rd-largest reading since the 2008 Financial Crisis. By comparison this percentage was XX% at the beginning of the year. At the same time XX% of Americans expect a higher unemployment rate over the next XX months the 3rd-highest reading since 2009. This is double the percentage seen in December 2024. Americans believe the job market is weaker than officiallyreported"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-19T20:26Z 1.1M followers, 219K engagements
"The Kobeissi Letter for the week of October 20th has been published and may be viewed through the link below: The Chart of the Week for the week of October 20th has been published. View or sign up for FREE through the link below:"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-19T21:50Z 1.1M followers, 87.4K engagements
"The US debt crisis is intensifying: Total US debt reached a record $XXXX trillion in Q2 2025 equal to XXX% of GDP. Federal government debt rose to $XXXX trillion in Q2 but the most recent data shows it has reached $XXXX trillion or XXX% of GDP. Nonfinancial corporate debt hit $XXXX trillion representing XX% of GDP. Financial corporate debt totaled $XXXX trillion or XX% of GDP. Household debt reached $XXXX trillion corresponding to XX% of GDP. America has never beenthisindebted"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-20T11:50Z 1.1M followers, 407.6K engagements
"BREAKING: The US federal deficit reached $XXX trillion in FY2025 according to CBO estimates. This equals XXX% of GDP one of the highest readings outside of WWII the 2008 Financial Crisis and the 2020 Pandemic. It marks the 4th-largest budget gap on record behind the $XXX trillion and $XXX trillion deficits during the pandemic response in 2020 and 2021. Interest payments alone rose by +$80 billion surpassing $X trillion for the full year for the first time in history. The US debt crisis has reached another level"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-20T13:37Z 1.1M followers, 175.1K engagements
"BREAKING: Apple stock $AAPL surges over +4% and posts its first record high of 2025 now up +55% since its April bottom. That's +$1.4 TRILLION in market cap since April in Apple alone. The AI Revolution is in full swing"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-20T15:11Z 1.1M followers, 227K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says he expects to work out a "fair deal" with China's President Xi and is scheduled to meet with him in South Korea. Trump says China has been "very respectful" of the US and "we will see what we can do." Step #10 in our tariff playbook is near"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-20T15:55Z 1.1M followers, 396.3K engagements
"Its official: The average price of gasoline in the US has fallen to $2.98/gallon the lowest since 2020. Last week President Trump said he will be bringing gas prices below $2.00/gallon"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-20T17:26Z 1.1M followers, 198.8K engagements
"BREAKING: US tariff revenue jumped +$22.4 billion YoY in September to a record +$29.7 billion. This marks the 7th consecutive monthly increase following Augusts +$29.5 billion. For FY2025 tariff revenues rose +$118 billion YoY to a record +$195 billion. Compared to 2018 this is a FIVEFOLD increase. At the current pace tariff revenue could exceed +$350 billion in FY2026. Tariff revenue is surging at an unprecedented pace"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-20T18:07Z 1.1M followers, 301.6K engagements
"Gold is casually up another +$170/oz today without any material news at all. Gold can see the future"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-20T19:35Z 1.1M followers, 321.4K engagements
"More investors are betting on a XX basis point Fed cut this year: Open interest for Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) call options which trade on Fed interest rates falling to XXXX% by year-end jumped to 926000 contracts the highest on record. This suggests the market is pricing in a XX bps of cuts from the current 4.25%. Open interest for SOFR call options on this bet has TRIPLED since July. In other words investors increasingly expect at least one XX bps rate cut at either the October or December Fed meeting. Is the Fed set to cut rates moreaggressively"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-20T20:34Z 1.1M followers, 165.5K engagements
"Early signs of trouble are emerging in the leveraged loan market: The US leveraged loan market is now on track for its biggest monthly loss since at least 2022. This comes as defaults of First Brands and Tricolor Auto in September have exposed possible weak underwriting standards and growing vulnerabilities in credit markets. The collapse of First Brands alone has triggered over -$4 billion in losses affecting funds run by Blackstone PGIM Franklin Templeton CIFC and Wellington. Despite these failures leveraged loan issuances hit a record +$404 billion in Q3 2025. The leveraged loan market now"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-20T21:52Z 1.1M followers, 170.6K engagements
"Alternative metrics show US inflation is rising: Inflation rose +2.6% YoY in September the highest in X years according to PriceStats data based on online retail prices. This marks the 5th-consecutive monthly increase. The increase was driven by sharply higher prices for goods such as furniture and household equipment. Additionally CPI for Durable & Personal Goods jumped +0.6% MoM last month the fastest monthly increase since June OpenBrand data shows. The surge was led by higher costs for personal care products and communication devices. Price increases appear to beaccelerating"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-21T14:28Z 1.1M followers, 146.9K engagements
"BREAKING: President Trump says he expects to make a "good deal" when he meets with China's President Xi. The S&P XXX is now XX points away from a record high"
X Link @KobeissiLetter 2025-10-21T16:54Z 1.1M followers, 103.9K engagements