[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] [@LukePreston687](/creator/twitter/LukePreston687) "People going to start selling their #gold and #bitcoin to FOMO stocks methinks $spx $spy"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948587544431694214) 2025-07-25 03:34:08 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements "Crashes generally come from a state of being too stretched over the monthly averages (1987). The last XX% drop in 2025 and 1987 were both +25% over the XX month MA. Were only XX% over now so any pullback is more likely a weekly reversion pullback not a month big one $spx $spy"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948563889354145907) 2025-07-25 02:00:08 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements "Next weeks reaction to FOMC will be the one to watch as usual. The Fed isnt expected to cut. Supposing they surprise that would likely cause an explosion higher in stocks initially. If they dont cut it would be expected but raise the possibility Trump is done with Powell"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948717500880847316) 2025-07-25 12:10:32 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements "RSI(2) on $spx hit XX today which usually means an imminent down day often not too small. Just not a lot of room to go up under normal circumstances. Nothing normal about this market though"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948124514967269869) 2025-07-23 20:54:13 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements "The $vix continues to hold above XX except for about X day it dipped below. This is more bear market behavior since the lower end for the vix range in a bull is 10-13 before pullbacks. I suspect one thing keeping it up is the looming tariff stuff. Could still drop more $spx"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1947634650236784992) 2025-07-22 12:27:40 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements "$vix heading for extreme contango. What does it mean Often a bout of volatility ahead but not necessarily an important top. Not quite there yet anyway. $spx $spy"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948392238708388163) 2025-07-24 14:38:03 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements "Stretch rank percentiles for daily and weekly (shown on far right) are not over XX yet which would indicate overstretched conditions on the indices. Explains why no pullback yet. $es $nq $spx $spy"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948783061539455203) 2025-07-25 16:31:03 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements "$vix established some kind of low below XX. Now if bears (or bulls) want a pullback they will need another higher high in $spx with the vix diverging and not making a lower low if the vix keeps confirming we just keep melting up"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948421066822721651) 2025-07-24 16:32:36 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements "Money supply growth (lower chart) hit new all time highs in June so bears really have nothing to go on. This has to tick down to get a top. The mild dip last month might produce a mild dip in the market over the next month at worse but the market will continue up $spx $spy $vix"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1947733148370166259) 2025-07-22 18:59:04 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements "Price is king so take with a grain of salt but $SKEW is quickly rising again into dangerous levels. This is usually a pretty early warning though. It can take a full X months to see a major decline. Reaching similar levels to near peaks in 2021. $spx $spy $vix"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948132058397823072) 2025-07-23 21:24:11 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements "Dow theory says the transports have to confirm any breakout in the Dow industrials. The industrials are on new highs. Obviously not doing that yet. Something to watch but like most warnings in this marketcan be ignored. $spx $spy $vix $ym $dia"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948133923269333245) 2025-07-23 21:31:36 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements "$vix closed up on the $spx up day but $uvxy did not. I would prefer to see uvxy close up over the spot vix. If they both are up even better"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948502847232135585) 2025-07-24 21:57:34 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements "McClellan Osc goes green X in a sign of strength for bulls. I dont see a top here unless things u turn in a major way tomorrow looks like another leg up $spx $spy"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948166170877812956) 2025-07-23 23:39:44 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements "$vix closed outside its bollinger band which is a very rare occurrence. Usually some down continuation before eventually punching back to the middle of the bb a level of complacency not often seen $uvxy $vxx"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948183024878989730) 2025-07-24 00:46:43 UTC XXX followers, 2378 engagements "The best way to predict a pullback in markets or at least a one day significant decline is when $uvxy is up on an up day in $spx. Not happening today but on the lookout $vxx $vix"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948441956662870291) 2025-07-24 17:55:37 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements "No S&P down days this week. Tough to have a bearish view until we see one at least an up day with $uvxy closing up which still hasnt happened. Think we blow off to the upside next week and finally pullback post FOMC. $spx $spy $vix"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948844400911810584) 2025-07-25 20:34:47 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements "$tsla is now below the XX and XXX day but hasnt broken the structure yet to the downside. If it hasnt within a few days bears might be out of luck"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948379414590333178) 2025-07-24 13:47:06 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements "Volatility broke down today. Usually a higher low as $spx makes a higher high before a pullback can start. Doesnt seem like the market is ready to drop at this point because vol keeps dropping as price rises $vix"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948113857081483575) 2025-07-23 20:11:52 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements "Things have to get more stupid on the Russell before any pullback I think. Too orderly as of now. $rty $iwm $spx $spy"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948852251705180428) 2025-07-25 21:05:59 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements "If $tsla opens anywhere above $XXX tomorrow it wont be clear which way this triangle has broken at least at that point"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948233866721804750) 2025-07-24 04:08:44 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements "This isnt really true. The lower the $vix the more stable the gains. Obviously risk to reward has changed but below XX on the vix is 1) a confirmed bull market 2) slow and steady gains with an occasional pullback. Worst case now is a vix rise into the low 20s which you buy $spx"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948496988548247596) 2025-07-24 21:34:18 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements "Not sure if any top can be in at this point without the proper $vix signals which havent shown up yet. This structure points to another 13pts or XXX or so $spx points to 6530 $spy"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948368976888864976) 2025-07-24 13:05:37 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements "So here is another chart (similar to the 1998 one) that lines up with the current market and has a totally different path. Thats why I never trust any of these kinds of charts. Lots of things will line up if you look for them $spx $spg"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1944391479570641102) 2025-07-13 13:40:28 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements "The $spx is now nearly XX% over the weekly MA the highest reading in the past decade was 12%. The normal reaction when this normalizes is a quick pullback to the weekly MA (5-10% drop as of now). It could always push to new extremes $spy $vix"  [@LukePreston687](/creator/x/LukePreston687) on [X](/post/tweet/1948436760985567313) 2025-07-24 17:34:58 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements
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@LukePreston687
"People going to start selling their #gold and #bitcoin to FOMO stocks methinks $spx $spy"
@LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-25 03:34:08 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements
"Crashes generally come from a state of being too stretched over the monthly averages (1987). The last XX% drop in 2025 and 1987 were both +25% over the XX month MA. Were only XX% over now so any pullback is more likely a weekly reversion pullback not a month big one $spx $spy" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-25 02:00:08 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements
"Next weeks reaction to FOMC will be the one to watch as usual. The Fed isnt expected to cut. Supposing they surprise that would likely cause an explosion higher in stocks initially. If they dont cut it would be expected but raise the possibility Trump is done with Powell" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-25 12:10:32 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements
"RSI(2) on $spx hit XX today which usually means an imminent down day often not too small. Just not a lot of room to go up under normal circumstances. Nothing normal about this market though" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-23 20:54:13 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements
"The $vix continues to hold above XX except for about X day it dipped below. This is more bear market behavior since the lower end for the vix range in a bull is 10-13 before pullbacks. I suspect one thing keeping it up is the looming tariff stuff. Could still drop more $spx" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-22 12:27:40 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements
"$vix heading for extreme contango. What does it mean Often a bout of volatility ahead but not necessarily an important top. Not quite there yet anyway. $spx $spy" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-24 14:38:03 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements
"Stretch rank percentiles for daily and weekly (shown on far right) are not over XX yet which would indicate overstretched conditions on the indices. Explains why no pullback yet. $es $nq $spx $spy" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-25 16:31:03 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements
"$vix established some kind of low below XX. Now if bears (or bulls) want a pullback they will need another higher high in $spx with the vix diverging and not making a lower low if the vix keeps confirming we just keep melting up" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-24 16:32:36 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements
"Money supply growth (lower chart) hit new all time highs in June so bears really have nothing to go on. This has to tick down to get a top. The mild dip last month might produce a mild dip in the market over the next month at worse but the market will continue up $spx $spy $vix" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-22 18:59:04 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements
"Price is king so take with a grain of salt but $SKEW is quickly rising again into dangerous levels. This is usually a pretty early warning though. It can take a full X months to see a major decline. Reaching similar levels to near peaks in 2021. $spx $spy $vix" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-23 21:24:11 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements
"Dow theory says the transports have to confirm any breakout in the Dow industrials. The industrials are on new highs. Obviously not doing that yet. Something to watch but like most warnings in this marketcan be ignored. $spx $spy $vix $ym $dia" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-23 21:31:36 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements
"$vix closed up on the $spx up day but $uvxy did not. I would prefer to see uvxy close up over the spot vix. If they both are up even better" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-24 21:57:34 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements
"McClellan Osc goes green X in a sign of strength for bulls. I dont see a top here unless things u turn in a major way tomorrow looks like another leg up $spx $spy" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-23 23:39:44 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements
"$vix closed outside its bollinger band which is a very rare occurrence. Usually some down continuation before eventually punching back to the middle of the bb a level of complacency not often seen $uvxy $vxx" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-24 00:46:43 UTC XXX followers, 2378 engagements
"The best way to predict a pullback in markets or at least a one day significant decline is when $uvxy is up on an up day in $spx. Not happening today but on the lookout $vxx $vix" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-24 17:55:37 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements
"No S&P down days this week. Tough to have a bearish view until we see one at least an up day with $uvxy closing up which still hasnt happened. Think we blow off to the upside next week and finally pullback post FOMC. $spx $spy $vix" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-25 20:34:47 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements
"$tsla is now below the XX and XXX day but hasnt broken the structure yet to the downside. If it hasnt within a few days bears might be out of luck" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-24 13:47:06 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements
"Volatility broke down today. Usually a higher low as $spx makes a higher high before a pullback can start. Doesnt seem like the market is ready to drop at this point because vol keeps dropping as price rises $vix" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-23 20:11:52 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements
"Things have to get more stupid on the Russell before any pullback I think. Too orderly as of now. $rty $iwm $spx $spy" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-25 21:05:59 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements
"If $tsla opens anywhere above $XXX tomorrow it wont be clear which way this triangle has broken at least at that point" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-24 04:08:44 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements
"This isnt really true. The lower the $vix the more stable the gains. Obviously risk to reward has changed but below XX on the vix is 1) a confirmed bull market 2) slow and steady gains with an occasional pullback. Worst case now is a vix rise into the low 20s which you buy $spx" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-24 21:34:18 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements
"Not sure if any top can be in at this point without the proper $vix signals which havent shown up yet. This structure points to another 13pts or XXX or so $spx points to 6530 $spy" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-24 13:05:37 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements
"So here is another chart (similar to the 1998 one) that lines up with the current market and has a totally different path. Thats why I never trust any of these kinds of charts. Lots of things will line up if you look for them $spx $spg" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-13 13:40:28 UTC XXX followers, XX engagements
"The $spx is now nearly XX% over the weekly MA the highest reading in the past decade was 12%. The normal reaction when this normalizes is a quick pullback to the weekly MA (5-10% drop as of now). It could always push to new extremes $spy $vix" @LukePreston687 on X 2025-07-24 17:34:58 UTC XXX followers, XXX engagements