#  @luke_preston687 Jeffrey Robinson Jeffrey Robinson posts on X about $spx, $spy, vix, $vix the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [----] posts still getting attention that total [---------] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1897503882206687233/interactions)  - [--] Week [---------] +27,913% - [--] Month [---------] +3,196% - [--] Months [---------] +11,208% - [--] Year [---------] -29% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1897503882206687233/posts_active)  - [--] Week [---] +53% - [--] Month [---] -5.20% - [--] Months [-----] +501% - [--] Year [-----] +126,200% ### Followers: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1897503882206687233/followers)  - [--] Week [---] +0.96% - [--] Month [---] +8.50% - [--] Months [---] +148% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1897503882206687233/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [stocks](/list/stocks) [finance](/list/finance) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) [countries](/list/countries) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [exchanges](/list/exchanges) #5674 [currencies](/list/currencies) [celebrities](/list/celebrities) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [social networks](/list/social-networks) **Social topic influence** [$spx](/topic/$spx) #114, [$spy](/topic/$spy) #289, [vix](/topic/vix) #169, [$vix](/topic/$vix) #32, [spx](/topic/spx) #170, [spy](/topic/spy), [$uvxy](/topic/$uvxy) #16, [$vxx](/topic/$vxx) #5, [$qqq](/topic/$qqq) #391, [stocks](/topic/stocks) **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@ryandetrick](/creator/undefined) [@kobeissiletter](/creator/undefined) [@dampedspring](/creator/undefined) [@mrderivatives](/creator/undefined) [@bennpeifert](/creator/undefined) [@mikealfred](/creator/undefined) [@chartfest1](/creator/undefined) [@keithmccullough](/creator/undefined) [@jimjame74888138](/creator/undefined) [@sentimentrader](/creator/undefined) [@liathetrader](/creator/undefined) [@jamcroissant](/creator/undefined) [@grok](/creator/undefined) [@theshortbear](/creator/undefined) [@lordfed](/creator/undefined) [@warrenpies](/creator/undefined) [@subutrade](/creator/undefined) [@bobeunlimited](/creator/undefined) [@jakewujastyk](/creator/undefined) [@marketsleuth](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [SPX6900 (SPX)](/topic/$spx) [SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY)](/topic/$spy) [Vixco (VIX)](/topic/$vix) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Eclipse (ES)](/topic/$es) [SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD)](/topic/$gld) [Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL)](/topic/$cl) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)](/topic/$amzn) [Uniris (UCO)](/topic/$uco) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla) [Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)](/topic/$pltr) [iShares BTC Trust (IBIT)](/topic/$ibit) [DIA (DIA)](/topic/$dia) [Oracle Corporation (ORCL)](/topic/$orcl) [DeepBrain Chain (DBC)](/topic/$dbc) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/$msft) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "@bluechipdaily So youll end up buying the next tops" [X Link](https://x.com/luke_preston687/status/1906071324537274597) 2025-03-29T19:49Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@PBInvesting Ross Dress for Less" [X Link](https://x.com/luke_preston687/status/1907239201621660135) 2025-04-02T01:10Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@jam_croissant @DougTweet1 If the trade war escalation couldnt even get a 20% decline difficult to say its a bear market or if one not a very long or big one. Also [--] waves down on the first wave is still bull market correction stuff" [X Link](https://x.com/luke_preston687/status/1912158285161001464) 2025-04-15T14:57Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@jam_croissant The U.K. trade deal opened up new markets for U.S. companies. Boeing up 4% or so and held gains this week. Why is this bearish How does the S&P mark if China opens up to any greater extent" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1921080428183634054) 2025-05-10T05:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@BobEUnlimited The problem with your analysis is that the deal with U.K. already added market value to US companies like Boeing. New markets being opened as a result of tariffs is not something any analyst is discounting. If China does end up more open than before the S&P goes higher" [X Link](https://x.com/luke_preston687/status/1921243490039578692) 2025-05-10T16:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@jam_croissant [--] yr is going to 2%. Got it all wrong. Inflation is not a risk here deflation is" [X Link](https://x.com/luke_preston687/status/1922109090852999566) 2025-05-13T01:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@BobEUnlimited @DonFSchneider The housing market and all housing related stocks are dead quiet and not participating in the rally at this stage. Also points to lower than normal future growth" [X Link](https://x.com/luke_preston687/status/1924159176571560164) 2025-05-18T17:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@EliteOptions2 Bessent told you the stock market is heading lower this morning when he said Walmart agreed to eat tariff costs. How do earnings rise in that scenario" [X Link](https://x.com/luke_preston687/status/1924201804939895024) 2025-05-18T20:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Recency bias has everyone assuming Jamie Dimon who runs the biggest bank around is a total idiot because he got it wrong last time $JPM JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon says markets are too complacent on tariffs expects S&P [---] earnings growth to collapse. New all time highs coming 😄📈 $JPM JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon says markets are too complacent on tariffs expects S&P [---] earnings growth to collapse. New all time highs coming 😄📈" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1924609584842563595) 2025-05-19T23:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "#Gold will suffer the most if anything when or if Russia and Ukraine agree to a peace treaty. I dont see it helping or hurting much else. $GLD" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1924694841969283437) 2025-05-20T05:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Jake__Wujastyk There is zero chance of QE with the current alignment of inflation expectations. They wont do QE until they are worried about deflation not even rising unemployment (rate cut)" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1925417368815378657) 2025-05-22T05:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Bonds can head lower but if people think deficits mean the U.S. will default they might be what we call a moron. And consider the interest rate - approaching 6% guaranteed interest with oil just about to go in the 50s again. The market is getting very very stoopid . $spy $tlt" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1925532111039344896) 2025-05-22T12:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "If today closes down it triggers a [--] down day rule in $spy $spx implying a possible trend change. Strong trends dont get [--] consecutive down. $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1925540519482204204) 2025-05-22T13:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$QCOM (and $AAPL $INTC) not a great look for tech heading into $NVDA earnings. Maybe they will save the day but I wouldnt want to be long any of those" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1926057525968818230) 2025-05-23T23:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Mr_Derivatives Looks like a bubble in equities" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1926127295435006253) 2025-05-24T04:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "This is a bad comparison. 2007-2008 had [--] waves down and this had [--] indicating this is corrective in [----] and no new lows are likely this year but a deeper retest is my thesis $spx $spy DOW JONES [----] vs. [----] comparison. Not void still intact. Next few weeks will be telling. Scary https://t.co/9iUlpENfjJ DOW JONES [----] vs. [----] comparison. Not void still intact. Next few weeks will be telling. Scary https://t.co/9iUlpENfjJ" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1926134417166106925) 2025-05-24T04:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$WMT Walmart is trading at a [--] PE and priced like a growth stock. Last I checked it was a discount retailer with tight margins. Lol $spx $spy $dia" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1926166612555522532) 2025-05-24T06:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@great_martis Gold is still 30% over the [--] month MA. You would really have to believe it is making a parabolic move like [----] for it to advance much. In fact a crash in gold is statistically more likely here. In [--] there was double digit inflation" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1926296068699914646) 2025-05-24T15:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@jam_croissant The presence of innovation means less than the valuation of the earnings it will produce" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1926324347775435017) 2025-05-24T17:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@StealthQE4 Stagflation happened when oil prices rose in the 70s. The reason: people have to drive and oil is essential. The tariffs might not cause inflation in any real sense because people can refuse to buy stuff at higher prices like toys and furniture and other crap coming from China" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1926630543489187923) 2025-05-25T13:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@CyclesFan How about the fact this company is totally cooked from tariff impacts Some real problems here. Might be right but I see no reason to jump in BEFORE earnings on any bullish thesis. Smarter to wait to see what they say" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1926668833399468450) 2025-05-25T15:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Bond futures market likes that the Senate might block Trumps bill $TLT $SPY $ZB #ZB_F" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1927016782000194020) 2025-05-26T14:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$NVDA can take the market down this week but its no reason to short ahead of it. Lots of ways it can go including a gap up Thursday and a red close. Better to wait and see than guess. My inclination is that it will be bad news in the end regardless of initial reactions $qqq $nq" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1927455642647658928) 2025-05-27T20:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@market_sleuth He didnt nail anything he just parrots implied moves based on vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1927581718069850135) 2025-05-28T04:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Bond market continues to act well. Held up after some overnight weakness. Biggest surprise in [----] will be how little inflation tariffs caused (my thesis). Lets see how that idea tests as data comes in. $TLT $zb #zb_f" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1927711104035131621) 2025-05-28T12:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "June is the worst time to own #gold $gld Will be interesting what that means for stocks because at the moment weak gold has meant strong stocks" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1927714973037264925) 2025-05-28T13:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Trump will likely ignore the court order on tariffs in the same vein as Biden ignoring them over student loans. Its the world we are in now. $spx $spy $es #es_f $nq #nq_f" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1927878900690162039) 2025-05-29T00:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Meanwhile in the [--] yr lmao #zb_f $zb $tlt" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1928087140157546772) 2025-05-29T13:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "While everyone talks tariffs the [--] yr popped up big on the continuous jobless claims number at 8:30 am that shows the U.S. might be heading into a major slowdown in hiring and a potential rise in unemployment having little to do with tariffs $zn $spx $spy $tlt" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1928112090063196418) 2025-05-29T15:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The Fed will have to cut this year because the unemployment rate is set to rise. They will table inflation to juice the slowing economy. Maybe if they act soon enough and large enough on cuts it will cause inflation later on. But they might have already waited too long $spx $spy 🚨🚨 FED'S POWELL MET WITH TRUMP AT WHITE HOUSE TODAY -STATEMENT FROM FED 🚨🚨 FED'S POWELL MET WITH TRUMP AT WHITE HOUSE TODAY -STATEMENT FROM FED" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1928182829009064250) 2025-05-29T20:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@PauloMacro No comment on treasuries ripping higher lately on recessionary employment data as oil collapses back to 50s" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1928435260485738550) 2025-05-30T12:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@EPBResearch No difference in anything that matters. Its recessionary" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1928861283408847225) 2025-05-31T17:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "If this happens we could have multiple limit downs and ultimately a trading halt entirely for the session in $es $nq $spx $spy hope people have some bond/dollar holdings $tlt $zb Hegseth warns Chinese military action against Taiwan could be imminent-ft Hegseth warns Chinese military action against Taiwan could be imminent-ft" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1929003450320527762) 2025-06-01T02:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$spx broke to a new multi week high but $vix is still [--] pt or so above the multi week low. Not bullish until that resolves with a new vix low $vxx $uvxy $spy $SPX needs to break above [----] (last weeks high) with $VIX breaking below [-----] to establish that the trend is still healthy to the upside. Hasnt happened yet although you would never believe it with all the bullishness around https://t.co/RHwN1Y0P5j $SPX needs to break above [----] (last weeks high) with $VIX breaking below [-----] to establish that the trend is still healthy to the upside. Hasnt happened yet although you would never" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1929939536546803733) 2025-06-03T16:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Recessionary ADP print sends bonds soaring and confirms what anyone with a brain already knows $spx $spy #adp $vix $tlt" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1930242631029928099) 2025-06-04T12:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Recessionary PMI and ADP on the same morning. Can bulls shake off this obviously terrible news $spx $spy $vix $tlt" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1930263526742065508) 2025-06-04T14:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$vix still hasnt confirmed the $spx breakout from yesterday. Hedgers still deciding if theres enough risk here to hold puts. For bulls they want to see new lows here on vix. Probably get a resolution by end of week in one direct or the other $spy $uvxy $vxx" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1930279845071655414) 2025-06-04T15:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Imagine people saying high treasury yields signaled some kind of inflationary problem right before the hard data is conclusively deflationary but that is what happened $tlt $zb" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1930300767002587508) 2025-06-04T16:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "#gold people think a recession is good for goldand also inflation is good for gold. Well treasuries wouldnt be exploding if we are in stagflation so the dollar is set to explode higher with bonds sending gold into a crash event. Nothing works in all environments $gld $tlt" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1930301536942575945) 2025-06-04T16:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Bears notched [--] down day on $spy at least even if slight still can start things especially with observations on $vix Now need [--] more down in a row to knock out these caught the bottom bulls. Only wish $spx had also closed down. Weird" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1930356113423380871) 2025-06-04T20:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$TSLA and the $es $nq futures are up a fair amount overnight as news crossed of a phone call between Musk and Trump and earlier today the market traded higher on a phone call between Trump and Xi. Apparently the bull case rests on phone calls these days. Interesting $spx" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1930853129358299206) 2025-06-06T05:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$vix pushed to new lows as $spx made a new high today and removing the warning that was present this week pending some major change by the close. FYI: A bear market never prints a vix in the 15s $spy $uvxy $vxx" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1931046625029533912) 2025-06-06T17:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Bears cant string together more than a day or two down in a row. Bulls remain in control but Id only warn the $vix is in extreme contango and at the [--] percentile distance to ma on the weekly. Last time it hit this the market pulled back several percent $spx $spy Bears notch [--] down in a row on $spy only [--] in a row on $spx [--] down in a row on both would be good confirmation of an intermediate term trend change as was the case in the last correction to kick it off $vix $vxx $uvxy https://t.co/vgP1SEGaBz Bears notch [--] down in a row on $spy only [--] in a row on $spx [--] down in a row on both would be" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1931137076596261060) 2025-06-06T23:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Think of the dot com bubble as being a new technology that phases out old tech. The crash/recession comes from the old tech losing revenues as the new tech ramps up. AI will eventually cause market pain before it causes huge gains. Mag7 feeling that lately $qqq $nq $aapl $goog" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1931348732978618460) 2025-06-07T13:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "June is the last month of Q2 $spx $spy $vix $vxx $uvxy Did you know: if you only owned the market in the first month of each quarter since [----] youd be up 370%. If you only owned in the last month of each quarter youd be up 46%. Since [----] if you only owned in the last month of each quarter youd be down 10%. https://t.co/MqHOAIXRbb Did you know: if you only owned the market in the first month of each quarter since [----] youd be up 370%. If you only owned in the last month of each quarter youd be up 46%. Since [----] if you only owned in the last month of each quarter youd be down 10%." [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1931404854083420458) 2025-06-07T17:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I live in CA and it is slowwwwww with significant price declines in my neighborhood lately. Peak buying season was the coldest Ive seen in years. Not good for the economy $spx $spy Lmfao https://t.co/yTq7CfR0eE Lmfao https://t.co/yTq7CfR0eE" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1931670149398229350) 2025-06-08T11:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Bearish how does China look if Japan deal isnt close $spx $spy $vix $vxx $uvxy Japan-US tariff deal 'unlikely' before G7 summit: Tokyo negotiator https://t.co/D6Jh1yOHro Japan-US tariff deal 'unlikely' before G7 summit: Tokyo negotiator https://t.co/D6Jh1yOHro" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1931817323905859659) 2025-06-08T20:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "How about the fact we have no trade deal with China yet and the tariffs are starting to flow through to consumers with no end in sight At least we can agree this is a RISK Since it seems the market suddenly believes there are none $spx $spy $vix $uvxy $vxx" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1931841193371222129) 2025-06-08T22:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Globalflows It will show deflation more than likely which is most definitely bearish equities" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1931862159526613168) 2025-06-08T23:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The market that wont let you in has made [--] advance in [--] months and added about [--] S&P pts in [--] weeks plenty of time for someone to get in if they want and those who havent arent missing out much (and avoiding risk of a rug pull) So much for a runaway melt up $spx $spy $es $spy A few 5% dips Likely IMHO . But they're not gonna let you in Andy $spy A few 5% dips Likely IMHO . But they're not gonna let you in Andy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1932223354247029063) 2025-06-09T23:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "A trade deal with China assuming it legitimately opens up markets for U.S. companies should be additive to the S&P. Have to wait to see how many companies would be impacted and what kind of revenue growth might be expected and that the market closes up on the deal $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1932256474430103937) 2025-06-10T02:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Only [--] new highs on the entire NYSE today and new highs minus new lows was lower than on Friday. These are not impressive numbers historically. Last year regularly saw a net +300-400 $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1932277876474441983) 2025-06-10T03:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "If this is the roaring 20s before a huge depression surely there will be talk of 0DTE options and easy money selling options when the big one hits and bankrupts most small investors. The names change but the game never does. $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1932291400366006756) 2025-06-10T04:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Not my call but if $nq and $es double top here we are going to [-----] on NQ and [----] on ES. Would be nuts. Too good for bears to be true. $qqq $spx $spy $vix $vxx" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1932295864502157314) 2025-06-10T04:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$WMT Walmart had a [--] wave down pattern that could mean its in a bear market. Invalidated on new highs which arent far off. However bulls keep getting slapped down trying to push for it" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1932402122529862077) 2025-06-10T11:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "If trade talks end on a positive note and the market squeezes up that is likely a fake out. If it melts down right away on terrible news then that is real. If it melts down on positive news that is likely also a fake out. $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1932441362865291531) 2025-06-10T14:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "And on [--] occasions multiple years of gains were wiped out in about a month (Covid tariff crash). Really stable markets with no risk" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1932492748445319612) 2025-06-10T17:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "We know retail/dumb money is mostly behind the buying during trade talks with China. How Because a professional would wait to actually see what happens with the talks before committing capital not speculating on possible upside $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1932511509193937115) 2025-06-10T18:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@nope_its_lily Depends. If Trump opens up China he gets a notable spot in the history books and creates genuine alpha for the stock market. Its basic math with that population to tap. If it goes south and trade collapses he will also get all the blame" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1932574513855963553) 2025-06-10T23:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Everyone is bearish. Everyone is short. Yet I cant find a single account calling for a retest of the lows anymore. Actually you can count me in for a move down to [----]. Just making that call since no one else is and seeing what sticks $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1932576538370900308) 2025-06-10T23:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Bears notch a down day. They need [--] more to get a confirmed trend change $spx $spy $vix Vix stopped short of printing 15s which would be bull market confirmation (vix never hits 15s in a bear). Subtle stuff but could be important" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1932897846380146930) 2025-06-11T20:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "I try hard to not be a conspiracy theorist but on the day markets spike on cool CPI we have reports of a possible flair up in the Middle East reversal in stocks and a big jump in crude (inflation). Cant make it up almost seems planned $spx $spy $tlt $uso $cl" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1932905837712060460) 2025-06-11T21:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "War or geopolitical tension playbook is usually energy (oil) energy stocks treasuries yen Swiss franc and USD vs other currencies. Short stocks and long volatility probably works. $uso $cl $dxy $tlt $spx $spy $vxx $uvxy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1932920597199429698) 2025-06-11T21:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Forgot #gold tends to go up in these conflicts. I just hate gold here myself and would do anything of the above but that $gld" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1932921185626698084) 2025-06-11T22:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@JimJame74888138 What happens when vix is on the 5th percentile distance from MA on weekly Volatility explosion on deck" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1932992823705677827) 2025-06-12T02:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Failure of bulls to get a [--] print on $vix could prove disastrous as we head into light summer trading. A bear market never sees [--] but 16s yes it can get that low. Therefore its unclear at this point if this is actually a new bull market or just a continuation of a bear $spx" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1933122814162391160) 2025-06-12T11:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Not discussed enough: deteriorating job market $spx $spy Initial jobless claims came in above expectations. The last two weeks of claims represent the two highest readings since last October. https://t.co/1H4g7y1XgD Initial jobless claims came in above expectations. The last two weeks of claims represent the two highest readings since last October. https://t.co/1H4g7y1XgD" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1933147330754261222) 2025-06-12T13:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Russell broke out yesterday but also tagged the [---] day and was rejected so remain a little cautious about what is going on here. If we break back above by next week yeah Russell is going way higher. A break back down into the recent range means a retest of lows $iwm $tna" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1933148070986006676) 2025-06-12T13:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Looks like some kind of major strike is imminent based on a huge spike in oil and crash in equity futures $cl $es $nq not difficult to predict 👇 $spx $spy $vix $uvxy $vxx $vix $uvxy $vxx all closed up on a $spx $spy up day which does tend to be a short term warning. Volatility is too stretched from the weekly average so a vol pop would make sense here but nothing is guaranteed. $vix $uvxy $vxx all closed up on a $spx $spy up day which does tend to be a short term warning. Volatility is too stretched from the weekly average so a vol pop would make sense here but nothing is guaranteed" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1933315674505666785) 2025-06-13T00:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Lets see if the dollar catches a risk off bid and crashes #gold - been waiting on this for a while $gld $dxy would be a major market surprise since people think gold is a safety trade $tlt $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1933319253970858494) 2025-06-13T00:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Dollar pressuring gold a little bit. Already pushing yen down in a risk off environment. Swiss franc struggling. This is the big shocker coming I think. #gold $gld $dxy $tlt" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1933381363299987811) 2025-06-13T04:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Bears notched [--] down day in a row but need [--] more since Thursday interrupted the streak. They also gained McClellan Osc [--] by the close which is a bearish development. Bias is still towards further declines but bears have to get Mon/Tues both down. Tough ask $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1933621351556002026) 2025-06-13T20:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$xlf financials failed to make a new high with the latest rally and warned something was up. Notable underperformance $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1933664288478278011) 2025-06-13T23:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The Dow and the Russell are back under the 200ma and all you hear on X is the bull is back. How Those are not bull market behaviors. Dow and Russell make up more stocks than the Nasdaq and S&P. $iwm $dia $spx $spy $qqq" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1933669143926223029) 2025-06-13T23:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "This sounds bullish lmao $spx $spy $vix $uvxy $vxx" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1933681973173891365) 2025-06-14T00:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Exactly as predicted $spx Retail will dip buy the open tomorrow because they have done that every day for weeks dumb money thinks they caught the low But they will get distributed into as they mostly have been $spx $spy Retail will dip buy the open tomorrow because they have done that every day for weeks dumb money thinks they caught the low But they will get distributed into as they mostly have been $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1933684339335967027) 2025-06-14T00:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$SKEW keeps rising. Crash protection is being bought aggressively. Usually it produces a significant pullback and often a crash $spx $spy $vix $vxx $uvxy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1933685266184876186) 2025-06-14T00:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The problem here is that the market has other stuff going on (tariffs rising jobless claims frozen housing) on top of all this. Sort of like [----] or the mid 1970s with an avalanche of catalysts to pick from. $spx $spy BUY THE INVASION: Markets often tank when wars start but bounce back fast. $SPX 1-month returns post-invasion: Iraq-Kuwait (1990): +5-7% Afghanistan (2001): +10-11% Iraq (2003): +7-8% Russia-Ukraine (2022): +3% BUY THE INVASION: Markets often tank when wars start but bounce back fast. $SPX 1-month returns post-invasion: Iraq-Kuwait (1990): +5-7% Afghanistan (2001): +10-11% Iraq" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1933876888185024760) 2025-06-14T13:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "It should go without saying if the Strait of Hormuz closes its game over for the stock market and oil moons. That aint a dip you want to buy. $cl $es $nq $spx $spy $uso $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1933878180399686118) 2025-06-14T13:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$WMT continues to drop every day down $2 since this post. I think that is saying something important. $spx $spy $vix $WMT be the stock that best reflects how trade talks are going. It should be one to benefit the most from an ideal outcome. $spx $spy $vix https://t.co/raFeyE5If5 $WMT be the stock that best reflects how trade talks are going. It should be one to benefit the most from an ideal outcome. $spx $spy $vix https://t.co/raFeyE5If5" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1933919877372563527) 2025-06-14T16:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$spx $spy $cl $uso https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/iranian-lawmaker-says-closure-of-key-strait-of-hormuz-under-consideration/ https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/iranian-lawmaker-says-closure-of-key-strait-of-hormuz-under-consideration/" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1934008079626232059) 2025-06-14T22:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Jake__Wujastyk Not if people are selling stocks. Looks like ACHR got crushed Friday" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1934076312970551441) 2025-06-15T02:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Oil prices can go up in war panics but quickly crash as production concerns are overblown. I can say with certainty global demand must be in the shitter for all this to be happening and oil to only be at $73. $cl $uso #oil #CrudeOILM BREAKING: Oil prices are now expected to rise to a high of $94.10 this year as Israel strikes Iranian energy facilities per @Kalshi. Inflation is likely to rebound sharply as a result. https://t.co/O6aKAjAPYF BREAKING: Oil prices are now expected to rise to a high of $94.10 this year as Israel strikes Iranian energy facilities per @Kalshi. Inflation is likely to" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1934123226126573985) 2025-06-15T05:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "A stock like Walmart was declining many days before the Middle East news came out. Bears never had any need for this catalyst. If oil collapses that might not be the good news everyone assumes it is. $wmt $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1934601592797528190) 2025-06-16T13:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$wmt dropped yet again today. How is that China trade deal going $spx $spy $vix A stock like Walmart was declining many days before the Middle East news came out. Bears never had any need for this catalyst. If oil collapses that might not be the good news everyone assumes it is. $wmt $spx $spy https://t.co/CkvFwrZFhA A stock like Walmart was declining many days before the Middle East news came out. Bears never had any need for this catalyst. If oil collapses that might not be the good news everyone assumes it is. $wmt $spx $spy https://t.co/CkvFwrZFhA" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1934714726669582471) 2025-06-16T20:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@ZeeContrarian1 I see [----] on the S&P because that is what building permits price it at. Has nothing to do with Iran" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1934938772623552532) 2025-06-17T11:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Did bonds drop 20% this year or was that stocks $tlt $spx $spy If you own bonds youre paying for the fiscal insanity Turns out its very expensive to do that https://t.co/djLDF8fnLN If you own bonds youre paying for the fiscal insanity Turns out its very expensive to do that https://t.co/djLDF8fnLN" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1934955589786010075) 2025-06-17T12:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$vix is behaving more consistently with a bear market (for now). Bull markets have the vix between [--] and [--]. In a bear its 16-35 with an occasional adventure into 40+. Bulls have to do more to push volatility ranges into a bull market. Vix popped right from 16s $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1934972407284211741) 2025-06-17T13:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "ISEE printed [---] calls for every put today which is very high considering the down move. A bit more likely bears get continuation tomorrow with sentiment on buy the dip and ignore weakness mode. Investors are complacent. $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935070661061570879) 2025-06-17T20:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "All the people crowded into dollar short trades are surely fucked $dxy $gld $eurusd $gbpusd $cadusd" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935104158618845381) 2025-06-17T22:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@MattWalshBlog Mossad has something on him" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935154143011946573) 2025-06-18T01:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Bears notch [--] down yet again but tomorrow has to be down for follow through or its all for nothing. McClellan Osc is just getting weaker now [--] so nothing too bullish going on but means nothing if bears cant even get [--] down in a row $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935155359049728475) 2025-06-18T01:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "There is almost no reason NOT to buy some out of the money calls on $uso or whatever oil trade you want to make now simply due to the asymmetrical nature of what is happening. I dont see oil collapsing too much (maybe down to $60 again) if these events reverse $cl" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935349240865374568) 2025-06-18T14:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Bears need a down close even if small. The amount of tension the market is ignoring and still cant get [--] down in a row might suggest the market collectively knows this Middle East thing is nothing. Have to see the close $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935422727806206278) 2025-06-18T19:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Bears did it . Underachievers but they did do it now a [--] down day rule triggers on a down close Friday confirming a trend change. Seems pretty possible with the geopolitical stuff and no help from FOMC $spx $spy Bears need a down close even if small. The amount of tension the market is ignoring and still cant get [--] down in a row might suggest the market collectively knows this Middle East thing is nothing. Have to see the close $spx $spy Bears need a down close even if small. The amount of tension the market is ignoring and still cant get [--] down in a row might suggest the market collectively" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935442136423612525) 2025-06-18T20:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Like almost everyday the dumb money hours (first 2-3 hours) saw all the buying and the smart money hours (last 2-3 hours) saw selling. Not bullish $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935443564856754461) 2025-06-18T21:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "For every post calling for a crash (hardly any) I see about [--] of these saying we are on the verge of a melt up rally higher. Interesting $es #es_f $spx $spy $vix $vxx $uvxy Tomorrow will be the first time EVER the market closed after an FOMC meeting. Watch them rip futures to the moon 🤣🌙 Tomorrow will be the first time EVER the market closed after an FOMC meeting. Watch them rip futures to the moon 🤣🌙" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935478800135139347) 2025-06-18T23:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Trump ordering an attack on Iran dramatically increases odds of the Strait of Hormuz being in some way impeded for some time. Higher odds not guaranteed. Thats why futures are selling off. $spx $spy $vix $es #es_f" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935514278204948778) 2025-06-19T01:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "A lot can change between now and the close Friday but bears are looking good for [--] down in a row which is how the last major correction started. If bears succeed Im expecting at minimum a move to [----] to backfill some of this rally up (40-60% retracement) $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935676732130099244) 2025-06-19T12:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "10 yr is consolidating. If it breaks out this target might be achievable $zn" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935685592253436407) 2025-06-19T13:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "If people bought the WW3 dip I can only say this: even if it ends up working out its still a deeply retarded thing to do. Accepting massive risk for unknown reward. This is a new problem hence even if it went away it doesnt really add value to the economy. $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935708139363701081) 2025-06-19T14:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@ZaStocks Retail heavy means worthless stocks" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935723948609855881) 2025-06-19T15:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Trump saying next [--] weeks for a decision to attack Iran seems to be a reaction to the futures selling off and oil rising. Clear they are testing ideas with the markets from trade to war deals. That might seem bullish but pushing markets with chaotic policy is a hard task" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935764808122744874) 2025-06-19T18:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "WH press briefing reveals Iran is functionally ready to arm and launch a nuke within [--] weeks so we can safely conclude that when Iran said a surprise was coming that would be remembered for centuries they are willing AND ABLE to nuke Israel within a month $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935778888942317792) 2025-06-19T19:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Mr_Derivatives Yeah I recommend you go all in on the Iran index fund" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935894549102313641) 2025-06-20T02:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Trump is caught between [--] outcomes: 1) bomb Iran and only possibly take out the nuke capability with the risk of a Strait of Hormuz incident or 2) do nothing and let Israel/Iran fight it out risk Iran launching a nuke at Israel. This is his Cuban Missile Crisis $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935912974289715634) 2025-06-20T04:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Dont know what to believe but if Iran is as close to a nuke as the U.S. and Israel claim to negotiate disarmament is like being on the [--] yard line with the final play of the Super Bowl and just saying nah we concede the game is yours $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1935919062946922765) 2025-06-20T04:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "ISEE dipped way down as investors gave up Friday only at [---] calls for every put which is a low for several months now. Seems like maybe a bounce could be due early next week since they had been dip buying the previous down days and finally gave up $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1936391019655999695) 2025-06-21T11:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "If Iran backs off and wants to talk we open green Monday. If they step up attacks probably red. If they do their big surprise and it wasnt bullshit maybe limit down $spx $spy $vix $uvxy $vxx $es #es_f $nq" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1936618540980957341) 2025-06-22T02:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "On crude oil remember the U.S. has a strategic petroleum reserve for situations just like this one. I expect it will be exhausted to a great extent. Then it is a question of how long Iran can do any real long term damage to the supply chain for oil $cl $spx $spy $uso $es #es_f" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1936650501128622108) 2025-06-22T05:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Ultimately the military came to the same conclusion which means they probably really WERE/are that close to a nuke. Scary shit. $spx $spy $vix Futures didnt reverse at all on this news. Iran doesnt want any deal here with the U.S. involved. So I guess they hope Trump holding off means they will make a deal for peace directly with Israel. But again if so close to a nuke why would they bargain here $spx $spy https://t.co/YBzc6Yo4jp Futures didnt reverse at all on this news. Iran doesnt want any deal here with the U.S. involved. So I guess they hope Trump holding off means they will make a deal" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1936657270634680497) 2025-06-22T05:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Iran shoots itself in the foot by closing the Strait. Its extremely dumb. Might not happen. $cl $uso $spx $spy $vix $uvxy $vxx #IranIsraelConflict #Iran #Strait_of_Hormuz IRAN'S PARLIAMENT APPROVES CLOSING HORMUZ STRAIT FINAL DECISION RESTS WITH SUPREME NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL PRESS TV IRAN'S PARLIAMENT APPROVES CLOSING HORMUZ STRAIT FINAL DECISION RESTS WITH SUPREME NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL PRESS TV" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1936814351140405314) 2025-06-22T15:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "An obvious trade is to fade the strait of Hormuz closure buzz and short oil since now it is asymmetrical to bet against the crowd $cl The repost below by @mercoglianos makes a good case for why Iran CANNOT close the Strait of Hormuz. That said the bettors (chart) are suggesting a real possibility/fear that Iran will close the Strait (trading above 50%). If this fear persists crude oil prices are at risk https://t.co/OoREdlJ0zv The repost below by @mercoglianos makes a good case for why Iran CANNOT close the Strait of Hormuz. That said the bettors (chart) are suggesting a real possibility/fear" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1936844909329444866) 2025-06-22T17:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Crude has now swung in the opposite direction to an extent that the market has once again overreacted. Could easily see another pop up here if Israel reignites $cl" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1937266726737183101) 2025-06-23T21:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Iran was supposedly going to unleash a surprise that the world would remember for centuries. One thing we can say with confidence it was no surprise to anyone when they attacked US bases today so that wasnt it $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1937302082333356492) 2025-06-24T00:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "For now another rejection at the 200ma for Russell probably most obvious thing to watch today and tomorrow $iwm $rty $spy $qqq $dia" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1937512118703784092) 2025-06-24T14:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$spy objective flashed. Bears would be dumb to give up now $spx $vix $vxx $uvxy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1937513186544222228) 2025-06-24T14:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "What if this isnt about regime change in Iran but regime change in the United States Wonder which cabinet members or military advisers convinced #Trump to bomb Iran and what links to any CIA operation/Iranian sleeper cell in the US does that individual have Secret Service better be up to the task lest he get JFKd $spx $spy Wonder which cabinet members or military advisers convinced #Trump to bomb Iran and what links to any CIA operation/Iranian sleeper cell in the US does that individual have Secret Service better be up to the task lest he get JFKd $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1937572601699938519) 2025-06-24T18:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The fact the U.S. did not destroy Irans uranium enrichment capacity necessarily means Israel will reignite the war as early as this week. Bullish crude here $uso $cl" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1937633961599287297) 2025-06-24T22:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Everyone assumes this is bullish because it was in [----]. Check what happened in 2007-2008 when they were short $es #es_f Hedge funds / large speculators continue to increase net short positions in S&P [---] futures . back to levels not seen since first half of [----] https://t.co/FQm222sFIl Hedge funds / large speculators continue to increase net short positions in S&P [---] futures . back to levels not seen since first half of [----] https://t.co/FQm222sFIl" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1937692121504551238) 2025-06-25T01:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$SKEW spiked less than current values prior to the Covid crash. The market has generally corrected a minimum of 10% but more like 15-20%+ (eventually) after levels weve seen just this month around [---] $spx $spy $vxx $uvxy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1937816679184273633) 2025-06-25T10:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "In terms of realized volatility (so we can look at history) the $vix spiking to [--] only happened frequently in the crash of the Great Depression. Weve seen [--] spikes over [--] within a year indicating that the market is growing increasingly unstable relative to the past $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1937830249800351966) 2025-06-25T11:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$vix needs to break below [-----] to confirm $spx new highs today. Powell could do it. I prefer to see vix breaking new lows BEFORE the index breaks to new highs or at least concurrently but a new low in vix here would be more bullish than not for the S&P" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1937838227173544232) 2025-06-25T11:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "They just moved the uranium. Now the odds are even higher they will use a functional nuke (once they have it) after all this. That was the risk they took with this action. Supposedly they cant but all they need is to borrow some scientists from the right country $vix $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1937891825710399543) 2025-06-25T15:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "McClellan Osc popped above [--] yesterday but follow through is still required. Not getting it so far today with it falling back [--]. $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1937917385941676506) 2025-06-25T16:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$vix is now on the 4th percentile distance from [--] week avg going back [---] weeks. Once again a volatility explosion is likely. Hasnt failed yet when this gets under [--]. Complacency is still at extremes. $uvxy $vxx $spx $spy $es" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1937966040501350590) 2025-06-25T20:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "M2 rate of change declined using May data on a quarterly basis. This is usually a sell signal for equities as increasing growth of M2 is required for market returns to be positive. A bearish development combined with SKEW and sentiment paint the same pic $spx $spy $vix $es $nq" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1937969605471047765) 2025-06-25T20:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Not to rain on the parade but the current spread of new highs to new lows is worse than we saw in [----] with the index still 15-20% below all time highs at the time and now we are on all time high levels. Breadth isnt there. Bulls have to get this up $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1938299987588424071) 2025-06-26T18:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The amount of good news coming out from trade deals to peace in the Middle East is actually bad news for bulls since markets bottom on terrible news and top on good news but profit taking hasnt started yet $spx $spy PRESIDENT TRUMP: WE JUST SIGNED A DEAL WITH CHINA YESTERDAY https://t.co/RgD9br2F9D PRESIDENT TRUMP: WE JUST SIGNED A DEAL WITH CHINA YESTERDAY https://t.co/RgD9br2F9D" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1938371594478621075) 2025-06-26T22:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Yield curve inversion is at [----] the exact same level as it was for the double top that kicked off the 07-08 bear market. Of course that dip before the final top was only 8% compared to 20% for [----]. Its one possibility but lets face it bears always fumble $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1938425743530479867) 2025-06-27T02:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The Dow is on the 99th percentile stretched over the [--] day going back [---] days. The Dow respects the distances best of all indices. Likely to correct here $dia $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1938641076858024107) 2025-06-27T16:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "All the dumb shit posted on Fintwit the last week or two making a bull case is all null and void by a single tweet. We knew this was coming based on the forward model. Retest of April lows coming. $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1938667626441646256) 2025-06-27T18:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "This is being quoted as a sign of market strength but recall we had [--] instances of [--] vix in the past year. That means climactic action is in progress and the rubberband will snap the other way just as hard $spx $spy Biggest. Rebound. Ever https://t.co/7KG860yx2d Biggest. Rebound. Ever https://t.co/7KG860yx2d" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1938727263849324991) 2025-06-27T22:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Without being able to be perfect on sub waves and timing this is the rough path the forward model predicts through Oct. Once at that low the market will grind to new all time highs once again. Fill the [--] futures gaps will happen on [--] waves correction $spx $spy $es #es_f" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1938745490910388561) 2025-06-27T23:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Those who claim this year will be like [----] or [----] (which it might) have to explain how we get there on twice the calls vs put sentiment compared to those years. Anything is possible though. Maybe the upper limit of this extreme has not been seen yet. $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1939022153464352899) 2025-06-28T18:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Consider a homebuilder like Lennar that is not only not near new all time highs but still 50% off them and not far above the lows. If someone wants to go full bulltard because nothing to see here then this is a buy otherwise it looks like a lot like [----] $spx $spy $vix $len" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1939078881455296527) 2025-06-28T21:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "If Walmart can make a new all time high with all the tariff stuff going on what does that mean Probably gains from other things (CB liquidity buybacks AI productivity etc) are making up for profits lost on tariff effects. Will believe it when we see the ATH. $wmt $spx $spy $WMT is a key stock to let us know when the tariff debacle is past us and there were no longer term effects. A new all time high would convince me but it just keeps muddling around so still not clear. Looks bearish though $spx $spy https://t.co/Th8jVFfmDv $WMT is a key stock to let us know when the tariff debacle is past us" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1939119131359608916) 2025-06-29T00:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@historyinmemes @grok how tall are these waves" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1939202153979249115) 2025-06-29T05:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "This is a good visual for how shitty the market is broadly think of stocks like Lennar and Walmart but also big names like Qualcomm and Apple that are nowhere near new highs. The market is waiting to see the impact of tariffs bulls have to believe no impact $spx $spy S&P [---] 52-week market breadth is dreadful https://t.co/lqVziE17TL S&P [---] 52-week market breadth is dreadful https://t.co/lqVziE17TL" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1939288513872322774) 2025-06-29T11:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Spending bill ramp up optimism has unwound in bitcoin. Looks like a flat futures open for risk tonight $es $nq #bitcoin" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1939421381206421537) 2025-06-29T20:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Trends most likely to face problems going forward based on percentile of distance to MA: Dow (daily) - 97th pct Platinum (weekly) - 98th pct U.S. Dollar (weekly) - 7th pct Vix (weekly) - 3rd pct For currencies the EUR CHF GBP are all over 90th pct weekly $dia $pl $dxy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1939519363331268610) 2025-06-30T03:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "#gold is also on the 4th percentile (daily) so decent chance of a gold bounce here soon weekly trend could run lower for sure $gld Trends most likely to face problems going forward based on percentile of distance to MA: Dow (daily) - 97th pct Platinum (weekly) - 98th pct U.S. Dollar (weekly) - 7th pct Vix (weekly) - 3rd pct For currencies the EUR CHF GBP are all over 90th pct weekly $dia $pl $dxy $vix Trends most likely to face problems going forward based on percentile of distance to MA: Dow (daily) - 97th pct Platinum (weekly) - 98th pct U.S. Dollar (weekly) - 7th pct Vix (weekly) - 3rd pct" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1939519940949901356) 2025-06-30T03:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Canada folded so that is no longer a catalyst. Seems like the market knew they would by reversing losses by the close Canada rescinds Digital Services Tax after Trump cuts off U.S. trade talks https://cnb.cx/4k9r7EN https://cnb.cx/4k9r7EN" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1939549640632029671) 2025-06-30T05:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$es $nq $ym $rty futures are all above the 90th percentile on the daily AND weekly distance from MA. Doesnt mean the market has to pullback but it would be higher odds than the alternative $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1940805996617830616) 2025-07-03T16:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Difficult to see but I am seeing a $SKEW fractal with a similar melt up move in [----]. What happened next A quick reversion down to the [--] MA one last grinding push to a new high then a 10% correction that erased the melt up move entirely $spx $spy $vix $es" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1940890295568380104) 2025-07-03T21:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Futures are pointing to an identical gap down on day [--] (would be roughly gapping to the open of yesterday). It will be a huge down day $es $nq $spx $spy The latest melt up rally mirrors the first push over new all time highs in [----] - even the count of days up (7 of 8) and matching the down day [--] exactly as well. If we get a sharp down Monday the next part might repeat as well and breakout bulls will be wiped out $spx $spy $es https://t.co/gVsVUIxzmg The latest melt up rally mirrors the first push over new all time highs in [----] - even the count of days up (7 of 8) and matching the down day 6" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1941098382329848272) 2025-07-04T11:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "If people think this is a big dip to buy consider the Russell and Dow after the pullback today are still over the 90th percentile stretched over the [--] day $es $nq $rty $ym $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1942239139178672222) 2025-07-07T15:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "If today closes up on $spx $spy the top is not in yet. A strong trend down will have [--] consecutive down days and this threatens to end it at just [--]. $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1942657954513313858) 2025-07-08T18:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Bears notch [--] down in a row on $spx $spy I would like to see a bigger down bar with bigger intraday selling than Monday by tomorrow to believe the short term top is in. Wide range bars are an important part $vix If today closes up on $spx $spy the top is not in yet. A strong trend down will have [--] consecutive down days and this threatens to end it at just [--]. $vix If today closes up on $spx $spy the top is not in yet. A strong trend down will have [--] consecutive down days and this threatens to end it at just [--]. $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1942675979530559754) 2025-07-08T20:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$XLF and $XLY (cons discretionary) are throwing major underperform signals in this supposedly strong bull market (blue crosses yellow MA). Not what you want to see if bullish as these are high beta and important sectors $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1943096526857003411) 2025-07-09T23:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Definitely sensed today being the all important July 9th day that when nothing bad happened a lot of hedges went off and people got excited the worst is behind us. Might be a short term capitulation moment for shorts $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1943143573664170468) 2025-07-10T03:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "These are intelligent wealthy people waiting for cheap stock prices again. Not unlike Buffett who is sitting in 5% of all T-bills $spx $spy So what are they waiting for So what are they waiting for" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1943430868388999673) 2025-07-10T22:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Mr_Derivatives You can get 4-5% at zero risk or buy the top in equities (roughly speaking). Very rich people know better" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1943431153161277567) 2025-07-10T22:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$vix touching 15s again confirms what we already know - bull market in progress. Doesnt mean it cant correct but a bear market never sees vix in the 15s. Things will be relatively less exciting than earlier this year for the remainder of the year as ranges compress. $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1943449265357099511) 2025-07-10T23:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Most likely any pullback is going to the middle of this channel then likely a bounce from there. Will we hit the lower bound again Yes but maybe not this year $spx $spy $es" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1943467991754260850) 2025-07-11T00:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The black swan with Canada is a full crude oil export blockade (shutting off pipelines) to the US. I cant imagine it happening but that is the most they can do to destroy the US quickly in a trade negotiation. Doubt they have the balls to do it. $spx $spy $vix $cl" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1943473743374037073) 2025-07-11T00:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TheShortBear You didnt read the chart. Hedge fund short positions are at some of the lowest ever. The crowd is NOT short. Look again" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1943776166873379318) 2025-07-11T20:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Are we at max hype yet Cure all diseases Lmao $spx $spy $qqq $googl $GOOGL DEEPMIND WANTS TO CURE ALL DISEASES WITH AI -- HUMAN TRIALS ARE ABOUT TO BEGIN If OpenAIs worth $500B whats DeepMind really worth This might be the most slept-on asset in big tech. https://t.co/oJj2JRro72 $GOOGL DEEPMIND WANTS TO CURE ALL DISEASES WITH AI -- HUMAN TRIALS ARE ABOUT TO BEGIN If OpenAIs worth $500B whats DeepMind really worth This might be the most slept-on asset in big tech. https://t.co/oJj2JRro72" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1943816091698077868) 2025-07-11T23:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "A typical short term peak happens when the $vix diverges as the $SPX makes a new high. Vix posted a new low this week as $spx made a new high. What bears want is a new spx high without a new vix low. So maybe we pullback a little next week and then rally to one last spx high" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1943823797679010099) 2025-07-12T00:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Oops bulls. Better hope its all green by the open Monday $spx $spy $vix EU also getting 30% letter https://t.co/9x5E0lvScR EU also getting 30% letter https://t.co/9x5E0lvScR" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1944025465670565975) 2025-07-12T13:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Whats the China letter looking like and where is this alleged deal they made lol $spx $spy $vix $es $nq EU also getting 30% letter https://t.co/9x5E0lvScR EU also getting 30% letter https://t.co/9x5E0lvScR" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1944026039044186193) 2025-07-12T13:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Bear in mind these are higher than Liberation Day. How the FUCK is the S&P still at all time highs Probably wont be for long. Dumb retail slow on the uptake. $spx $spy $vix $es $nq PRESIDENT TRUMP ANNOUNCES 30% TARIFF ON EU & MEXICO https://t.co/AJhQejXu2v PRESIDENT TRUMP ANNOUNCES 30% TARIFF ON EU & MEXICO https://t.co/AJhQejXu2v" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1944029240984539165) 2025-07-12T13:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "If the dollar has an explosive summer rally on the back of these renewed *higher* tariff rates there is no way all this stuff mooning like #silver #gold #bitcoin survives it $slv $gld $ibit $btc" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1944031874638029290) 2025-07-12T13:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Cant say if the high is in for this move. Im leaning towards not in but even so if it is in this general area these are the $spy retracements. I would expect to see the 23-32% range hit at minimum if this is a bull market correction $spx" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1944176965595897988) 2025-07-12T23:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "So here is another chart (similar to the [----] one) that lines up with the current market and has a totally different path. Thats why I never trust any of these kinds of charts. Lots of things will line up if you look for them $spx $spg Updated [----] analogue. Dont think well follow exact dates but should echo the overall structure / path forward: peak later this year and bear market to follow. @fundstrat @MarkNewtonCMT https://t.co/57e4VGFfkW Updated [----] analogue. Dont think well follow exact dates but should echo the overall structure / path forward: peak later this year and bear market to" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1944391479570641102) 2025-07-13T13:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Bears want a wide red bar to ignite a sustained downtrend and [--] down days. So far only [--] down day and it wasnt a wide range bar (selling from open to close). Looks like futures will open weak so tomorrow is another important test here. $spx $spy $vix $es $nq" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1944515208669708498) 2025-07-13T21:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "While Teddy Roosevelts policy was to speak softly and carry a big stick Trumps policy can better be described as talk loudly and carry a limp noodle. #Trump $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1944852138666176603) 2025-07-14T20:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Bears didnt even get a follow through down day. Not what they want 👇 $spx $spy Bears want a wide red bar to ignite a sustained downtrend and [--] down days. So far only [--] down day and it wasnt a wide range bar (selling from open to close). Looks like futures will open weak so tomorrow is another important test here. $spx $spy $vix $es $nq https://t.co/17qoJ74aCx Bears want a wide red bar to ignite a sustained downtrend and [--] down days. So far only [--] down day and it wasnt a wide range bar (selling from open to close). Looks like futures will open weak so tomorrow is another important test here." [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1944869429034278953) 2025-07-14T21:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$nvda is set to gap up above this structure and if it closes above the line and expands and never falls back in today the rally might be just getting started. If it closes down on good news then perhaps it has hit a short term peak" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1945070283494449309) 2025-07-15T10:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@LizAnnSonders Large speculators in the S&P futures were short the entire bear market of 2007-2008 as it moved over 50% down. They arent always wrong people are just recently conditioned to believe they are (as in 2022)" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1945083956249907505) 2025-07-15T11:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Financials have been a laggard for months now in terms of performance and have now broken to a new high and failed (for now). Worth watching if this underperformance continues. $xlf $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1945091695554781276) 2025-07-15T12:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "#CPI not quite Goldilocks but not terrible either. Still above the Feds target rate so they have to keep holding rates (in their mind). Market is green for now anyway maybe salivating over another rate pause leading to Powells removal $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1945106398066454906) 2025-07-15T13:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The big dump of metals and #bitcoin and general dollar strength today is likely the end of this short dollar parade on the idea tariffs would go to zero (lol) and/or not cause any inflation. Looks pretty risk off. #gold #silver $gld $slv $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1945222223326859415) 2025-07-15T20:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Walmart $wmt never hit new all time highs during the tariff drama and relief rally has always been a canary in the coal mine for the idea the market can skip by this $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1945230901312418117) 2025-07-15T21:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Bears notch a down day reversal day and McClellan Osc [--] which can be a sell signal. Follow through (3 consecutive down with an ignition wide range bar) needed but its a start. $spx $spy $es" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1945243462716228015) 2025-07-15T22:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "If Powell signals resignation it will turmoil markets BEFORE any big rally. Its a hugely negative near term message for markets to have the Fed chair changed on a whim. If people have this as some bullish catalyst fade them $spx $spy https://t.co/svZiKEblwU https://t.co/svZiKEblwU" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1945337149471219864) 2025-07-16T04:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "If you want real time #cpi just follow the $DBC etf representing a commodity basket. Yes inflation is rising a little lately but it isnt in parabolic ascent like late [----] when the Fed had to act and begin a rate hike cycle $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1945468296037605481) 2025-07-16T12:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Bears had a chance there for a nice ignition wide range sell bar for the day but Trump talked markets back up. A down day helps (if they even get it) but tomorrow will need to be the wide range day or else this uptrend still has room up $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1945539335513677832) 2025-07-16T17:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The fireworks come post FOMC when the Fed refuses to bend the knee to Trumps desire to cut rates and he finally releases TACO and actually does move to fire Powell. Today was just psychological pressure for Powell ahead of the meeting $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1945586753638916407) 2025-07-16T20:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$vix didnt confirm the mid week new $spx high by making a new low and that did precede the worlds tiniest pullback and a larger vol pop so now we wait if the next new high also is not confirmed or if vol is about to implode again and make new lows. $uvxy $vxx" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1945774833624908099) 2025-07-17T09:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$sbet is another one when it runs it runs hard and fast but always crashes back down. Look for some reversal sign and buy puts. Its land of the stupid" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1945820854585069594) 2025-07-17T12:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$vix has not confirmed the new $spx high made yesterday but with opex today anything can happen including a huge fall in vix. Otherwise it is usually a warning. New vix lows means the uptrend is still not over $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1946192229812621653) 2025-07-18T12:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Options sentiment on ISEE is roughly the same as last Feb before a 20% decline. The fact the market is higher and sentiment is a little lower could mean a little more optimism is required but these are already near record highs in the data so caution is warranted $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1946200394860048601) 2025-07-18T13:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "McClellan Osc failed to break above [--] today in a small victory for bears. Now they need [--] more down days in a row with one of them as a wide range ignition candle to kick off a correction. Until then snooze fest. Keep repeating this and it never happens $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1946389561095160155) 2025-07-19T02:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Theres no such thing as a risk free guaranteed trade outside cash investments but buying $uvxy with RSI under [--] has been nearly that - if you give the trade time $vxx $vix $spx" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1946390594072551511) 2025-07-19T02:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The week including Aug 1st (next week) will have the FOMC plus the next TACO deadline for Trumps tariffs (where is the China deal). Best chance for the tape to reverse although Trump caving and extending or just walking away from this all is certainly possible $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1946601907839258789) 2025-07-19T16:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Health care performance relative to the S&P is at dot com levels of greed. Health care is a defensive sector. Bubble Hmmmmm $spx $spy $vix $xlv Healthcare is in pure panic territory. https://t.co/3eDXV89RqG Healthcare is in pure panic territory. https://t.co/3eDXV89RqG" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1946603346636489191) 2025-07-19T16:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$tsla is going to break out or down from this triangle earnings next week. It has a $100 payout if the structure works meaning a target of roughly $449 or $229. If it holds above the [---] day post earnings more reason to think it hits the 400s. Have to see though" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1946605016418308155) 2025-07-19T16:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Every time the top channel has been hit past couple years it eventually landed at the bottom of the channel within a year. Small sample so not trying to make this more than it is. Critical time and area for bears to attack as both touches ended in 20% declines. $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1946617343108665515) 2025-07-19T17:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "If investors understand Trump Always Chickens Out then countries in negotiation do too. If bearish that means the trade war has only begun (if Trump finally digs in). If bullish it means Trump will make a face-saving deal call it the best deal ever and markets rip $spx" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1947103477102157996) 2025-07-21T01:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Bears missed out on a clean reversal day and no red continuation from Friday so back to [--] on the down day clock. The plus side is that McClellan Osc continues to look terrible considering the highs plus new highs - new lows is pathetic. Hard to be long $spx $spy $vix $es $nq" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1947387987085693098) 2025-07-21T20:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$NVDA - if this volume happened into a pullback or consolidation it would be bullish but it looks like the buying is clearly drying up here $qqq" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1947405287188795670) 2025-07-21T21:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Do people think this is healthy market behavior or the last gasps of dumb money greed $spx $spy I bet more retail money was lost in the last [--] minutes on $OPEN than was made in the entire 700% run up https://t.co/pYoCYoqbGu I bet more retail money was lost in the last [--] minutes on $OPEN than was made in the entire 700% run up https://t.co/pYoCYoqbGu" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1947408132436857158) 2025-07-21T21:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The next major question for the market is if the next panic is dollar bullish or dollar bearish. Going to determine if things like #gold #silver #bitcoin and bonds hold up. It seems LOGICAL the next equities correction would be dollar bullish based on positioning" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1947440305524867300) 2025-07-21T23:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@MomAngtrades Well lots of stocks dumped today like $HIMS $QS $SOFI to name a few. Puts had no problem on these idiotic retail names" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1947461594931449942) 2025-07-22T01:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The $vix continues to hold above [--] except for about [--] day it dipped below. This is more bear market behavior since the lower end for the vix range in a bull is 10-13 before pullbacks. I suspect one thing keeping it up is the looming tariff stuff. Could still drop more $spx" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1947634650236784992) 2025-07-22T12:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Money supply growth (lower chart) hit new all time highs in June so bears really have nothing to go on. This has to tick down to get a top. The mild dip last month might produce a mild dip in the market over the next month at worse but the market will continue up $spx $spy $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1947733148370166259) 2025-07-22T18:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Japan trade deal an important test for the market as wed expect more deals announced soon. Definitely good news that tariffs are coming down from the promised Aug [--] level but will the market find the good news enough to keep the rally going or sell it $spx $spy" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1947809662268830190) 2025-07-23T00:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Volatility broke down today. Usually a higher low as $spx makes a higher high before a pullback can start. Doesnt seem like the market is ready to drop at this point because vol keeps dropping as price rises $vix" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1948113857081483575) 2025-07-23T20:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "RSI(2) on $spx hit [--] today which usually means an imminent down day often not too small. Just not a lot of room to go up under normal circumstances. Nothing normal about this market though" [X Link](https://x.com/LukePreston687/status/1948124514967269869) 2025-07-23T20:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@luke_preston687 Jeffrey Robinson
Jeffrey Robinson posts on X about $spx, $spy, vix, $vix the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [----] posts still getting attention that total [---------] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [---------] #
- [--] Week [---------] +27,913%
- [--] Month [---------] +3,196%
- [--] Months [---------] +11,208%
- [--] Year [---------] -29%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Week [---] +53%
- [--] Month [---] -5.20%
- [--] Months [-----] +501%
- [--] Year [-----] +126,200%
Followers: [-------] #
- [--] Week [---] +0.96%
- [--] Month [---] +8.50%
- [--] Months [---] +148%
CreatorRank: [-------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence stocks finance cryptocurrencies countries technology brands exchanges #5674 currencies celebrities automotive brands social networks
Social topic influence $spx #114, $spy #289, vix #169, $vix #32, spx #170, spy, $uvxy #16, $vxx #5, $qqq #391, stocks
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @ryandetrick @kobeissiletter @dampedspring @mrderivatives @bennpeifert @mikealfred @chartfest1 @keithmccullough @jimjame74888138 @sentimentrader @liathetrader @jamcroissant @grok @theshortbear @lordfed @warrenpies @subutrade @bobeunlimited @jakewujastyk @marketsleuth
Top assets mentioned SPX6900 (SPX) SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY) Vixco (VIX) Bitcoin (BTC) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Eclipse (ES) SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD) Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Uniris (UCO) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) iShares BTC Trust (IBIT) DIA (DIA) Oracle Corporation (ORCL) DeepBrain Chain (DBC) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Apple, Inc. (AAPL)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"@bluechipdaily So youll end up buying the next tops"
X Link 2025-03-29T19:49Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@PBInvesting Ross Dress for Less"
X Link 2025-04-02T01:10Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@jam_croissant @DougTweet1 If the trade war escalation couldnt even get a 20% decline difficult to say its a bear market or if one not a very long or big one. Also [--] waves down on the first wave is still bull market correction stuff"
X Link 2025-04-15T14:57Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@jam_croissant The U.K. trade deal opened up new markets for U.S. companies. Boeing up 4% or so and held gains this week. Why is this bearish How does the S&P mark if China opens up to any greater extent"
X Link 2025-05-10T05:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@BobEUnlimited The problem with your analysis is that the deal with U.K. already added market value to US companies like Boeing. New markets being opened as a result of tariffs is not something any analyst is discounting. If China does end up more open than before the S&P goes higher"
X Link 2025-05-10T16:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@jam_croissant [--] yr is going to 2%. Got it all wrong. Inflation is not a risk here deflation is"
X Link 2025-05-13T01:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@BobEUnlimited @DonFSchneider The housing market and all housing related stocks are dead quiet and not participating in the rally at this stage. Also points to lower than normal future growth"
X Link 2025-05-18T17:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@EliteOptions2 Bessent told you the stock market is heading lower this morning when he said Walmart agreed to eat tariff costs. How do earnings rise in that scenario"
X Link 2025-05-18T20:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Recency bias has everyone assuming Jamie Dimon who runs the biggest bank around is a total idiot because he got it wrong last time $JPM JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon says markets are too complacent on tariffs expects S&P [---] earnings growth to collapse. New all time highs coming 😄📈 $JPM JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon says markets are too complacent on tariffs expects S&P [---] earnings growth to collapse. New all time highs coming 😄📈"
X Link 2025-05-19T23:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"#Gold will suffer the most if anything when or if Russia and Ukraine agree to a peace treaty. I dont see it helping or hurting much else. $GLD"
X Link 2025-05-20T05:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Jake__Wujastyk There is zero chance of QE with the current alignment of inflation expectations. They wont do QE until they are worried about deflation not even rising unemployment (rate cut)"
X Link 2025-05-22T05:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Bonds can head lower but if people think deficits mean the U.S. will default they might be what we call a moron. And consider the interest rate - approaching 6% guaranteed interest with oil just about to go in the 50s again. The market is getting very very stoopid . $spy $tlt"
X Link 2025-05-22T12:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"If today closes down it triggers a [--] down day rule in $spy $spx implying a possible trend change. Strong trends dont get [--] consecutive down. $vix"
X Link 2025-05-22T13:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$QCOM (and $AAPL $INTC) not a great look for tech heading into $NVDA earnings. Maybe they will save the day but I wouldnt want to be long any of those"
X Link 2025-05-23T23:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Mr_Derivatives Looks like a bubble in equities"
X Link 2025-05-24T04:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"This is a bad comparison. 2007-2008 had [--] waves down and this had [--] indicating this is corrective in [----] and no new lows are likely this year but a deeper retest is my thesis $spx $spy DOW JONES [----] vs. [----] comparison. Not void still intact. Next few weeks will be telling. Scary https://t.co/9iUlpENfjJ DOW JONES [----] vs. [----] comparison. Not void still intact. Next few weeks will be telling. Scary https://t.co/9iUlpENfjJ"
X Link 2025-05-24T04:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$WMT Walmart is trading at a [--] PE and priced like a growth stock. Last I checked it was a discount retailer with tight margins. Lol $spx $spy $dia"
X Link 2025-05-24T06:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@great_martis Gold is still 30% over the [--] month MA. You would really have to believe it is making a parabolic move like [----] for it to advance much. In fact a crash in gold is statistically more likely here. In [--] there was double digit inflation"
X Link 2025-05-24T15:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@jam_croissant The presence of innovation means less than the valuation of the earnings it will produce"
X Link 2025-05-24T17:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@StealthQE4 Stagflation happened when oil prices rose in the 70s. The reason: people have to drive and oil is essential. The tariffs might not cause inflation in any real sense because people can refuse to buy stuff at higher prices like toys and furniture and other crap coming from China"
X Link 2025-05-25T13:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@CyclesFan How about the fact this company is totally cooked from tariff impacts Some real problems here. Might be right but I see no reason to jump in BEFORE earnings on any bullish thesis. Smarter to wait to see what they say"
X Link 2025-05-25T15:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Bond futures market likes that the Senate might block Trumps bill $TLT $SPY $ZB #ZB_F"
X Link 2025-05-26T14:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$NVDA can take the market down this week but its no reason to short ahead of it. Lots of ways it can go including a gap up Thursday and a red close. Better to wait and see than guess. My inclination is that it will be bad news in the end regardless of initial reactions $qqq $nq"
X Link 2025-05-27T20:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@market_sleuth He didnt nail anything he just parrots implied moves based on vix"
X Link 2025-05-28T04:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Bond market continues to act well. Held up after some overnight weakness. Biggest surprise in [----] will be how little inflation tariffs caused (my thesis). Lets see how that idea tests as data comes in. $TLT $zb #zb_f"
X Link 2025-05-28T12:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"June is the worst time to own #gold $gld Will be interesting what that means for stocks because at the moment weak gold has meant strong stocks"
X Link 2025-05-28T13:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Trump will likely ignore the court order on tariffs in the same vein as Biden ignoring them over student loans. Its the world we are in now. $spx $spy $es #es_f $nq #nq_f"
X Link 2025-05-29T00:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Meanwhile in the [--] yr lmao #zb_f $zb $tlt"
X Link 2025-05-29T13:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"While everyone talks tariffs the [--] yr popped up big on the continuous jobless claims number at 8:30 am that shows the U.S. might be heading into a major slowdown in hiring and a potential rise in unemployment having little to do with tariffs $zn $spx $spy $tlt"
X Link 2025-05-29T15:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The Fed will have to cut this year because the unemployment rate is set to rise. They will table inflation to juice the slowing economy. Maybe if they act soon enough and large enough on cuts it will cause inflation later on. But they might have already waited too long $spx $spy 🚨🚨 FED'S POWELL MET WITH TRUMP AT WHITE HOUSE TODAY -STATEMENT FROM FED 🚨🚨 FED'S POWELL MET WITH TRUMP AT WHITE HOUSE TODAY -STATEMENT FROM FED"
X Link 2025-05-29T20:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@PauloMacro No comment on treasuries ripping higher lately on recessionary employment data as oil collapses back to 50s"
X Link 2025-05-30T12:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@EPBResearch No difference in anything that matters. Its recessionary"
X Link 2025-05-31T17:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"If this happens we could have multiple limit downs and ultimately a trading halt entirely for the session in $es $nq $spx $spy hope people have some bond/dollar holdings $tlt $zb Hegseth warns Chinese military action against Taiwan could be imminent-ft Hegseth warns Chinese military action against Taiwan could be imminent-ft"
X Link 2025-06-01T02:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$spx broke to a new multi week high but $vix is still [--] pt or so above the multi week low. Not bullish until that resolves with a new vix low $vxx $uvxy $spy $SPX needs to break above [----] (last weeks high) with $VIX breaking below [-----] to establish that the trend is still healthy to the upside. Hasnt happened yet although you would never believe it with all the bullishness around https://t.co/RHwN1Y0P5j $SPX needs to break above [----] (last weeks high) with $VIX breaking below [-----] to establish that the trend is still healthy to the upside. Hasnt happened yet although you would never"
X Link 2025-06-03T16:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Recessionary ADP print sends bonds soaring and confirms what anyone with a brain already knows $spx $spy #adp $vix $tlt"
X Link 2025-06-04T12:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Recessionary PMI and ADP on the same morning. Can bulls shake off this obviously terrible news $spx $spy $vix $tlt"
X Link 2025-06-04T14:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$vix still hasnt confirmed the $spx breakout from yesterday. Hedgers still deciding if theres enough risk here to hold puts. For bulls they want to see new lows here on vix. Probably get a resolution by end of week in one direct or the other $spy $uvxy $vxx"
X Link 2025-06-04T15:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Imagine people saying high treasury yields signaled some kind of inflationary problem right before the hard data is conclusively deflationary but that is what happened $tlt $zb"
X Link 2025-06-04T16:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"#gold people think a recession is good for goldand also inflation is good for gold. Well treasuries wouldnt be exploding if we are in stagflation so the dollar is set to explode higher with bonds sending gold into a crash event. Nothing works in all environments $gld $tlt"
X Link 2025-06-04T16:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Bears notched [--] down day on $spy at least even if slight still can start things especially with observations on $vix Now need [--] more down in a row to knock out these caught the bottom bulls. Only wish $spx had also closed down. Weird"
X Link 2025-06-04T20:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$TSLA and the $es $nq futures are up a fair amount overnight as news crossed of a phone call between Musk and Trump and earlier today the market traded higher on a phone call between Trump and Xi. Apparently the bull case rests on phone calls these days. Interesting $spx"
X Link 2025-06-06T05:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$vix pushed to new lows as $spx made a new high today and removing the warning that was present this week pending some major change by the close. FYI: A bear market never prints a vix in the 15s $spy $uvxy $vxx"
X Link 2025-06-06T17:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Bears cant string together more than a day or two down in a row. Bulls remain in control but Id only warn the $vix is in extreme contango and at the [--] percentile distance to ma on the weekly. Last time it hit this the market pulled back several percent $spx $spy Bears notch [--] down in a row on $spy only [--] in a row on $spx [--] down in a row on both would be good confirmation of an intermediate term trend change as was the case in the last correction to kick it off $vix $vxx $uvxy https://t.co/vgP1SEGaBz Bears notch [--] down in a row on $spy only [--] in a row on $spx [--] down in a row on both would be"
X Link 2025-06-06T23:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Think of the dot com bubble as being a new technology that phases out old tech. The crash/recession comes from the old tech losing revenues as the new tech ramps up. AI will eventually cause market pain before it causes huge gains. Mag7 feeling that lately $qqq $nq $aapl $goog"
X Link 2025-06-07T13:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"June is the last month of Q2 $spx $spy $vix $vxx $uvxy Did you know: if you only owned the market in the first month of each quarter since [----] youd be up 370%. If you only owned in the last month of each quarter youd be up 46%. Since [----] if you only owned in the last month of each quarter youd be down 10%. https://t.co/MqHOAIXRbb Did you know: if you only owned the market in the first month of each quarter since [----] youd be up 370%. If you only owned in the last month of each quarter youd be up 46%. Since [----] if you only owned in the last month of each quarter youd be down 10%."
X Link 2025-06-07T17:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I live in CA and it is slowwwwww with significant price declines in my neighborhood lately. Peak buying season was the coldest Ive seen in years. Not good for the economy $spx $spy Lmfao https://t.co/yTq7CfR0eE Lmfao https://t.co/yTq7CfR0eE"
X Link 2025-06-08T11:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Bearish how does China look if Japan deal isnt close $spx $spy $vix $vxx $uvxy Japan-US tariff deal 'unlikely' before G7 summit: Tokyo negotiator https://t.co/D6Jh1yOHro Japan-US tariff deal 'unlikely' before G7 summit: Tokyo negotiator https://t.co/D6Jh1yOHro"
X Link 2025-06-08T20:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"How about the fact we have no trade deal with China yet and the tariffs are starting to flow through to consumers with no end in sight At least we can agree this is a RISK Since it seems the market suddenly believes there are none $spx $spy $vix $uvxy $vxx"
X Link 2025-06-08T22:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Globalflows It will show deflation more than likely which is most definitely bearish equities"
X Link 2025-06-08T23:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The market that wont let you in has made [--] advance in [--] months and added about [--] S&P pts in [--] weeks plenty of time for someone to get in if they want and those who havent arent missing out much (and avoiding risk of a rug pull) So much for a runaway melt up $spx $spy $es $spy A few 5% dips Likely IMHO . But they're not gonna let you in Andy $spy A few 5% dips Likely IMHO . But they're not gonna let you in Andy"
X Link 2025-06-09T23:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"A trade deal with China assuming it legitimately opens up markets for U.S. companies should be additive to the S&P. Have to wait to see how many companies would be impacted and what kind of revenue growth might be expected and that the market closes up on the deal $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-10T02:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Only [--] new highs on the entire NYSE today and new highs minus new lows was lower than on Friday. These are not impressive numbers historically. Last year regularly saw a net +300-400 $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-10T03:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"If this is the roaring 20s before a huge depression surely there will be talk of 0DTE options and easy money selling options when the big one hits and bankrupts most small investors. The names change but the game never does. $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-10T04:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Not my call but if $nq and $es double top here we are going to [-----] on NQ and [----] on ES. Would be nuts. Too good for bears to be true. $qqq $spx $spy $vix $vxx"
X Link 2025-06-10T04:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$WMT Walmart had a [--] wave down pattern that could mean its in a bear market. Invalidated on new highs which arent far off. However bulls keep getting slapped down trying to push for it"
X Link 2025-06-10T11:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"If trade talks end on a positive note and the market squeezes up that is likely a fake out. If it melts down right away on terrible news then that is real. If it melts down on positive news that is likely also a fake out. $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-10T14:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"And on [--] occasions multiple years of gains were wiped out in about a month (Covid tariff crash). Really stable markets with no risk"
X Link 2025-06-10T17:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"We know retail/dumb money is mostly behind the buying during trade talks with China. How Because a professional would wait to actually see what happens with the talks before committing capital not speculating on possible upside $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-10T18:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@nope_its_lily Depends. If Trump opens up China he gets a notable spot in the history books and creates genuine alpha for the stock market. Its basic math with that population to tap. If it goes south and trade collapses he will also get all the blame"
X Link 2025-06-10T23:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Everyone is bearish. Everyone is short. Yet I cant find a single account calling for a retest of the lows anymore. Actually you can count me in for a move down to [----]. Just making that call since no one else is and seeing what sticks $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-06-10T23:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Bears notch a down day. They need [--] more to get a confirmed trend change $spx $spy $vix Vix stopped short of printing 15s which would be bull market confirmation (vix never hits 15s in a bear). Subtle stuff but could be important"
X Link 2025-06-11T20:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"I try hard to not be a conspiracy theorist but on the day markets spike on cool CPI we have reports of a possible flair up in the Middle East reversal in stocks and a big jump in crude (inflation). Cant make it up almost seems planned $spx $spy $tlt $uso $cl"
X Link 2025-06-11T21:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"War or geopolitical tension playbook is usually energy (oil) energy stocks treasuries yen Swiss franc and USD vs other currencies. Short stocks and long volatility probably works. $uso $cl $dxy $tlt $spx $spy $vxx $uvxy $vix"
X Link 2025-06-11T21:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Forgot #gold tends to go up in these conflicts. I just hate gold here myself and would do anything of the above but that $gld"
X Link 2025-06-11T22:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@JimJame74888138 What happens when vix is on the 5th percentile distance from MA on weekly Volatility explosion on deck"
X Link 2025-06-12T02:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Failure of bulls to get a [--] print on $vix could prove disastrous as we head into light summer trading. A bear market never sees [--] but 16s yes it can get that low. Therefore its unclear at this point if this is actually a new bull market or just a continuation of a bear $spx"
X Link 2025-06-12T11:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Not discussed enough: deteriorating job market $spx $spy Initial jobless claims came in above expectations. The last two weeks of claims represent the two highest readings since last October. https://t.co/1H4g7y1XgD Initial jobless claims came in above expectations. The last two weeks of claims represent the two highest readings since last October. https://t.co/1H4g7y1XgD"
X Link 2025-06-12T13:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Russell broke out yesterday but also tagged the [---] day and was rejected so remain a little cautious about what is going on here. If we break back above by next week yeah Russell is going way higher. A break back down into the recent range means a retest of lows $iwm $tna"
X Link 2025-06-12T13:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Looks like some kind of major strike is imminent based on a huge spike in oil and crash in equity futures $cl $es $nq not difficult to predict 👇 $spx $spy $vix $uvxy $vxx $vix $uvxy $vxx all closed up on a $spx $spy up day which does tend to be a short term warning. Volatility is too stretched from the weekly average so a vol pop would make sense here but nothing is guaranteed. $vix $uvxy $vxx all closed up on a $spx $spy up day which does tend to be a short term warning. Volatility is too stretched from the weekly average so a vol pop would make sense here but nothing is guaranteed"
X Link 2025-06-13T00:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Lets see if the dollar catches a risk off bid and crashes #gold - been waiting on this for a while $gld $dxy would be a major market surprise since people think gold is a safety trade $tlt $spy"
X Link 2025-06-13T00:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Dollar pressuring gold a little bit. Already pushing yen down in a risk off environment. Swiss franc struggling. This is the big shocker coming I think. #gold $gld $dxy $tlt"
X Link 2025-06-13T04:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Bears notched [--] down day in a row but need [--] more since Thursday interrupted the streak. They also gained McClellan Osc [--] by the close which is a bearish development. Bias is still towards further declines but bears have to get Mon/Tues both down. Tough ask $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-06-13T20:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$xlf financials failed to make a new high with the latest rally and warned something was up. Notable underperformance $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-06-13T23:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The Dow and the Russell are back under the 200ma and all you hear on X is the bull is back. How Those are not bull market behaviors. Dow and Russell make up more stocks than the Nasdaq and S&P. $iwm $dia $spx $spy $qqq"
X Link 2025-06-13T23:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"This sounds bullish lmao $spx $spy $vix $uvxy $vxx"
X Link 2025-06-14T00:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Exactly as predicted $spx Retail will dip buy the open tomorrow because they have done that every day for weeks dumb money thinks they caught the low But they will get distributed into as they mostly have been $spx $spy Retail will dip buy the open tomorrow because they have done that every day for weeks dumb money thinks they caught the low But they will get distributed into as they mostly have been $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-14T00:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$SKEW keeps rising. Crash protection is being bought aggressively. Usually it produces a significant pullback and often a crash $spx $spy $vix $vxx $uvxy"
X Link 2025-06-14T00:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The problem here is that the market has other stuff going on (tariffs rising jobless claims frozen housing) on top of all this. Sort of like [----] or the mid 1970s with an avalanche of catalysts to pick from. $spx $spy BUY THE INVASION: Markets often tank when wars start but bounce back fast. $SPX 1-month returns post-invasion: Iraq-Kuwait (1990): +5-7% Afghanistan (2001): +10-11% Iraq (2003): +7-8% Russia-Ukraine (2022): +3% BUY THE INVASION: Markets often tank when wars start but bounce back fast. $SPX 1-month returns post-invasion: Iraq-Kuwait (1990): +5-7% Afghanistan (2001): +10-11% Iraq"
X Link 2025-06-14T13:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"It should go without saying if the Strait of Hormuz closes its game over for the stock market and oil moons. That aint a dip you want to buy. $cl $es $nq $spx $spy $uso $vix"
X Link 2025-06-14T13:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$WMT continues to drop every day down $2 since this post. I think that is saying something important. $spx $spy $vix $WMT be the stock that best reflects how trade talks are going. It should be one to benefit the most from an ideal outcome. $spx $spy $vix https://t.co/raFeyE5If5 $WMT be the stock that best reflects how trade talks are going. It should be one to benefit the most from an ideal outcome. $spx $spy $vix https://t.co/raFeyE5If5"
X Link 2025-06-14T16:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$spx $spy $cl $uso https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/iranian-lawmaker-says-closure-of-key-strait-of-hormuz-under-consideration/ https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/iranian-lawmaker-says-closure-of-key-strait-of-hormuz-under-consideration/"
X Link 2025-06-14T22:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Jake__Wujastyk Not if people are selling stocks. Looks like ACHR got crushed Friday"
X Link 2025-06-15T02:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Oil prices can go up in war panics but quickly crash as production concerns are overblown. I can say with certainty global demand must be in the shitter for all this to be happening and oil to only be at $73. $cl $uso #oil #CrudeOILM BREAKING: Oil prices are now expected to rise to a high of $94.10 this year as Israel strikes Iranian energy facilities per @Kalshi. Inflation is likely to rebound sharply as a result. https://t.co/O6aKAjAPYF BREAKING: Oil prices are now expected to rise to a high of $94.10 this year as Israel strikes Iranian energy facilities per @Kalshi. Inflation is likely to"
X Link 2025-06-15T05:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"A stock like Walmart was declining many days before the Middle East news came out. Bears never had any need for this catalyst. If oil collapses that might not be the good news everyone assumes it is. $wmt $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-16T13:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$wmt dropped yet again today. How is that China trade deal going $spx $spy $vix A stock like Walmart was declining many days before the Middle East news came out. Bears never had any need for this catalyst. If oil collapses that might not be the good news everyone assumes it is. $wmt $spx $spy https://t.co/CkvFwrZFhA A stock like Walmart was declining many days before the Middle East news came out. Bears never had any need for this catalyst. If oil collapses that might not be the good news everyone assumes it is. $wmt $spx $spy https://t.co/CkvFwrZFhA"
X Link 2025-06-16T20:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@ZeeContrarian1 I see [----] on the S&P because that is what building permits price it at. Has nothing to do with Iran"
X Link 2025-06-17T11:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Did bonds drop 20% this year or was that stocks $tlt $spx $spy If you own bonds youre paying for the fiscal insanity Turns out its very expensive to do that https://t.co/djLDF8fnLN If you own bonds youre paying for the fiscal insanity Turns out its very expensive to do that https://t.co/djLDF8fnLN"
X Link 2025-06-17T12:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$vix is behaving more consistently with a bear market (for now). Bull markets have the vix between [--] and [--]. In a bear its 16-35 with an occasional adventure into 40+. Bulls have to do more to push volatility ranges into a bull market. Vix popped right from 16s $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-17T13:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"ISEE printed [---] calls for every put today which is very high considering the down move. A bit more likely bears get continuation tomorrow with sentiment on buy the dip and ignore weakness mode. Investors are complacent. $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-17T20:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"All the people crowded into dollar short trades are surely fucked $dxy $gld $eurusd $gbpusd $cadusd"
X Link 2025-06-17T22:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@MattWalshBlog Mossad has something on him"
X Link 2025-06-18T01:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Bears notch [--] down yet again but tomorrow has to be down for follow through or its all for nothing. McClellan Osc is just getting weaker now [--] so nothing too bullish going on but means nothing if bears cant even get [--] down in a row $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-18T01:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"There is almost no reason NOT to buy some out of the money calls on $uso or whatever oil trade you want to make now simply due to the asymmetrical nature of what is happening. I dont see oil collapsing too much (maybe down to $60 again) if these events reverse $cl"
X Link 2025-06-18T14:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Bears need a down close even if small. The amount of tension the market is ignoring and still cant get [--] down in a row might suggest the market collectively knows this Middle East thing is nothing. Have to see the close $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-18T19:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Bears did it . Underachievers but they did do it now a [--] down day rule triggers on a down close Friday confirming a trend change. Seems pretty possible with the geopolitical stuff and no help from FOMC $spx $spy Bears need a down close even if small. The amount of tension the market is ignoring and still cant get [--] down in a row might suggest the market collectively knows this Middle East thing is nothing. Have to see the close $spx $spy Bears need a down close even if small. The amount of tension the market is ignoring and still cant get [--] down in a row might suggest the market collectively"
X Link 2025-06-18T20:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Like almost everyday the dumb money hours (first 2-3 hours) saw all the buying and the smart money hours (last 2-3 hours) saw selling. Not bullish $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-06-18T21:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"For every post calling for a crash (hardly any) I see about [--] of these saying we are on the verge of a melt up rally higher. Interesting $es #es_f $spx $spy $vix $vxx $uvxy Tomorrow will be the first time EVER the market closed after an FOMC meeting. Watch them rip futures to the moon 🤣🌙 Tomorrow will be the first time EVER the market closed after an FOMC meeting. Watch them rip futures to the moon 🤣🌙"
X Link 2025-06-18T23:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Trump ordering an attack on Iran dramatically increases odds of the Strait of Hormuz being in some way impeded for some time. Higher odds not guaranteed. Thats why futures are selling off. $spx $spy $vix $es #es_f"
X Link 2025-06-19T01:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"A lot can change between now and the close Friday but bears are looking good for [--] down in a row which is how the last major correction started. If bears succeed Im expecting at minimum a move to [----] to backfill some of this rally up (40-60% retracement) $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-19T12:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"10 yr is consolidating. If it breaks out this target might be achievable $zn"
X Link 2025-06-19T13:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"If people bought the WW3 dip I can only say this: even if it ends up working out its still a deeply retarded thing to do. Accepting massive risk for unknown reward. This is a new problem hence even if it went away it doesnt really add value to the economy. $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-19T14:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@ZaStocks Retail heavy means worthless stocks"
X Link 2025-06-19T15:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Trump saying next [--] weeks for a decision to attack Iran seems to be a reaction to the futures selling off and oil rising. Clear they are testing ideas with the markets from trade to war deals. That might seem bullish but pushing markets with chaotic policy is a hard task"
X Link 2025-06-19T18:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"WH press briefing reveals Iran is functionally ready to arm and launch a nuke within [--] weeks so we can safely conclude that when Iran said a surprise was coming that would be remembered for centuries they are willing AND ABLE to nuke Israel within a month $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-06-19T19:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Mr_Derivatives Yeah I recommend you go all in on the Iran index fund"
X Link 2025-06-20T02:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Trump is caught between [--] outcomes: 1) bomb Iran and only possibly take out the nuke capability with the risk of a Strait of Hormuz incident or 2) do nothing and let Israel/Iran fight it out risk Iran launching a nuke at Israel. This is his Cuban Missile Crisis $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-06-20T04:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Dont know what to believe but if Iran is as close to a nuke as the U.S. and Israel claim to negotiate disarmament is like being on the [--] yard line with the final play of the Super Bowl and just saying nah we concede the game is yours $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-20T04:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"ISEE dipped way down as investors gave up Friday only at [---] calls for every put which is a low for several months now. Seems like maybe a bounce could be due early next week since they had been dip buying the previous down days and finally gave up $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-21T11:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"If Iran backs off and wants to talk we open green Monday. If they step up attacks probably red. If they do their big surprise and it wasnt bullshit maybe limit down $spx $spy $vix $uvxy $vxx $es #es_f $nq"
X Link 2025-06-22T02:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"On crude oil remember the U.S. has a strategic petroleum reserve for situations just like this one. I expect it will be exhausted to a great extent. Then it is a question of how long Iran can do any real long term damage to the supply chain for oil $cl $spx $spy $uso $es #es_f"
X Link 2025-06-22T05:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Ultimately the military came to the same conclusion which means they probably really WERE/are that close to a nuke. Scary shit. $spx $spy $vix Futures didnt reverse at all on this news. Iran doesnt want any deal here with the U.S. involved. So I guess they hope Trump holding off means they will make a deal for peace directly with Israel. But again if so close to a nuke why would they bargain here $spx $spy https://t.co/YBzc6Yo4jp Futures didnt reverse at all on this news. Iran doesnt want any deal here with the U.S. involved. So I guess they hope Trump holding off means they will make a deal"
X Link 2025-06-22T05:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Iran shoots itself in the foot by closing the Strait. Its extremely dumb. Might not happen. $cl $uso $spx $spy $vix $uvxy $vxx #IranIsraelConflict #Iran #Strait_of_Hormuz IRAN'S PARLIAMENT APPROVES CLOSING HORMUZ STRAIT FINAL DECISION RESTS WITH SUPREME NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL PRESS TV IRAN'S PARLIAMENT APPROVES CLOSING HORMUZ STRAIT FINAL DECISION RESTS WITH SUPREME NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL PRESS TV"
X Link 2025-06-22T15:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"An obvious trade is to fade the strait of Hormuz closure buzz and short oil since now it is asymmetrical to bet against the crowd $cl The repost below by @mercoglianos makes a good case for why Iran CANNOT close the Strait of Hormuz. That said the bettors (chart) are suggesting a real possibility/fear that Iran will close the Strait (trading above 50%). If this fear persists crude oil prices are at risk https://t.co/OoREdlJ0zv The repost below by @mercoglianos makes a good case for why Iran CANNOT close the Strait of Hormuz. That said the bettors (chart) are suggesting a real possibility/fear"
X Link 2025-06-22T17:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Crude has now swung in the opposite direction to an extent that the market has once again overreacted. Could easily see another pop up here if Israel reignites $cl"
X Link 2025-06-23T21:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Iran was supposedly going to unleash a surprise that the world would remember for centuries. One thing we can say with confidence it was no surprise to anyone when they attacked US bases today so that wasnt it $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-06-24T00:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"For now another rejection at the 200ma for Russell probably most obvious thing to watch today and tomorrow $iwm $rty $spy $qqq $dia"
X Link 2025-06-24T14:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$spy objective flashed. Bears would be dumb to give up now $spx $vix $vxx $uvxy"
X Link 2025-06-24T14:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"What if this isnt about regime change in Iran but regime change in the United States Wonder which cabinet members or military advisers convinced #Trump to bomb Iran and what links to any CIA operation/Iranian sleeper cell in the US does that individual have Secret Service better be up to the task lest he get JFKd $spx $spy Wonder which cabinet members or military advisers convinced #Trump to bomb Iran and what links to any CIA operation/Iranian sleeper cell in the US does that individual have Secret Service better be up to the task lest he get JFKd $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-24T18:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The fact the U.S. did not destroy Irans uranium enrichment capacity necessarily means Israel will reignite the war as early as this week. Bullish crude here $uso $cl"
X Link 2025-06-24T22:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Everyone assumes this is bullish because it was in [----]. Check what happened in 2007-2008 when they were short $es #es_f Hedge funds / large speculators continue to increase net short positions in S&P [---] futures . back to levels not seen since first half of [----] https://t.co/FQm222sFIl Hedge funds / large speculators continue to increase net short positions in S&P [---] futures . back to levels not seen since first half of [----] https://t.co/FQm222sFIl"
X Link 2025-06-25T01:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$SKEW spiked less than current values prior to the Covid crash. The market has generally corrected a minimum of 10% but more like 15-20%+ (eventually) after levels weve seen just this month around [---] $spx $spy $vxx $uvxy $vix"
X Link 2025-06-25T10:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"In terms of realized volatility (so we can look at history) the $vix spiking to [--] only happened frequently in the crash of the Great Depression. Weve seen [--] spikes over [--] within a year indicating that the market is growing increasingly unstable relative to the past $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-25T11:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$vix needs to break below [-----] to confirm $spx new highs today. Powell could do it. I prefer to see vix breaking new lows BEFORE the index breaks to new highs or at least concurrently but a new low in vix here would be more bullish than not for the S&P"
X Link 2025-06-25T11:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"They just moved the uranium. Now the odds are even higher they will use a functional nuke (once they have it) after all this. That was the risk they took with this action. Supposedly they cant but all they need is to borrow some scientists from the right country $vix $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-25T15:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"McClellan Osc popped above [--] yesterday but follow through is still required. Not getting it so far today with it falling back [--]. $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-06-25T16:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$vix is now on the 4th percentile distance from [--] week avg going back [---] weeks. Once again a volatility explosion is likely. Hasnt failed yet when this gets under [--]. Complacency is still at extremes. $uvxy $vxx $spx $spy $es"
X Link 2025-06-25T20:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"M2 rate of change declined using May data on a quarterly basis. This is usually a sell signal for equities as increasing growth of M2 is required for market returns to be positive. A bearish development combined with SKEW and sentiment paint the same pic $spx $spy $vix $es $nq"
X Link 2025-06-25T20:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Not to rain on the parade but the current spread of new highs to new lows is worse than we saw in [----] with the index still 15-20% below all time highs at the time and now we are on all time high levels. Breadth isnt there. Bulls have to get this up $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-26T18:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The amount of good news coming out from trade deals to peace in the Middle East is actually bad news for bulls since markets bottom on terrible news and top on good news but profit taking hasnt started yet $spx $spy PRESIDENT TRUMP: WE JUST SIGNED A DEAL WITH CHINA YESTERDAY https://t.co/RgD9br2F9D PRESIDENT TRUMP: WE JUST SIGNED A DEAL WITH CHINA YESTERDAY https://t.co/RgD9br2F9D"
X Link 2025-06-26T22:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Yield curve inversion is at [----] the exact same level as it was for the double top that kicked off the 07-08 bear market. Of course that dip before the final top was only 8% compared to 20% for [----]. Its one possibility but lets face it bears always fumble $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-06-27T02:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The Dow is on the 99th percentile stretched over the [--] day going back [---] days. The Dow respects the distances best of all indices. Likely to correct here $dia $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-27T16:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"All the dumb shit posted on Fintwit the last week or two making a bull case is all null and void by a single tweet. We knew this was coming based on the forward model. Retest of April lows coming. $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-06-27T18:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"This is being quoted as a sign of market strength but recall we had [--] instances of [--] vix in the past year. That means climactic action is in progress and the rubberband will snap the other way just as hard $spx $spy Biggest. Rebound. Ever https://t.co/7KG860yx2d Biggest. Rebound. Ever https://t.co/7KG860yx2d"
X Link 2025-06-27T22:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Without being able to be perfect on sub waves and timing this is the rough path the forward model predicts through Oct. Once at that low the market will grind to new all time highs once again. Fill the [--] futures gaps will happen on [--] waves correction $spx $spy $es #es_f"
X Link 2025-06-27T23:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Those who claim this year will be like [----] or [----] (which it might) have to explain how we get there on twice the calls vs put sentiment compared to those years. Anything is possible though. Maybe the upper limit of this extreme has not been seen yet. $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-06-28T18:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Consider a homebuilder like Lennar that is not only not near new all time highs but still 50% off them and not far above the lows. If someone wants to go full bulltard because nothing to see here then this is a buy otherwise it looks like a lot like [----] $spx $spy $vix $len"
X Link 2025-06-28T21:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"If Walmart can make a new all time high with all the tariff stuff going on what does that mean Probably gains from other things (CB liquidity buybacks AI productivity etc) are making up for profits lost on tariff effects. Will believe it when we see the ATH. $wmt $spx $spy $WMT is a key stock to let us know when the tariff debacle is past us and there were no longer term effects. A new all time high would convince me but it just keeps muddling around so still not clear. Looks bearish though $spx $spy https://t.co/Th8jVFfmDv $WMT is a key stock to let us know when the tariff debacle is past us"
X Link 2025-06-29T00:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@historyinmemes @grok how tall are these waves"
X Link 2025-06-29T05:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"This is a good visual for how shitty the market is broadly think of stocks like Lennar and Walmart but also big names like Qualcomm and Apple that are nowhere near new highs. The market is waiting to see the impact of tariffs bulls have to believe no impact $spx $spy S&P [---] 52-week market breadth is dreadful https://t.co/lqVziE17TL S&P [---] 52-week market breadth is dreadful https://t.co/lqVziE17TL"
X Link 2025-06-29T11:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Spending bill ramp up optimism has unwound in bitcoin. Looks like a flat futures open for risk tonight $es $nq #bitcoin"
X Link 2025-06-29T20:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Trends most likely to face problems going forward based on percentile of distance to MA: Dow (daily) - 97th pct Platinum (weekly) - 98th pct U.S. Dollar (weekly) - 7th pct Vix (weekly) - 3rd pct For currencies the EUR CHF GBP are all over 90th pct weekly $dia $pl $dxy $vix"
X Link 2025-06-30T03:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"#gold is also on the 4th percentile (daily) so decent chance of a gold bounce here soon weekly trend could run lower for sure $gld Trends most likely to face problems going forward based on percentile of distance to MA: Dow (daily) - 97th pct Platinum (weekly) - 98th pct U.S. Dollar (weekly) - 7th pct Vix (weekly) - 3rd pct For currencies the EUR CHF GBP are all over 90th pct weekly $dia $pl $dxy $vix Trends most likely to face problems going forward based on percentile of distance to MA: Dow (daily) - 97th pct Platinum (weekly) - 98th pct U.S. Dollar (weekly) - 7th pct Vix (weekly) - 3rd pct"
X Link 2025-06-30T03:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Canada folded so that is no longer a catalyst. Seems like the market knew they would by reversing losses by the close Canada rescinds Digital Services Tax after Trump cuts off U.S. trade talks https://cnb.cx/4k9r7EN https://cnb.cx/4k9r7EN"
X Link 2025-06-30T05:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$es $nq $ym $rty futures are all above the 90th percentile on the daily AND weekly distance from MA. Doesnt mean the market has to pullback but it would be higher odds than the alternative $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-07-03T16:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Difficult to see but I am seeing a $SKEW fractal with a similar melt up move in [----]. What happened next A quick reversion down to the [--] MA one last grinding push to a new high then a 10% correction that erased the melt up move entirely $spx $spy $vix $es"
X Link 2025-07-03T21:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Futures are pointing to an identical gap down on day [--] (would be roughly gapping to the open of yesterday). It will be a huge down day $es $nq $spx $spy The latest melt up rally mirrors the first push over new all time highs in [----] - even the count of days up (7 of 8) and matching the down day [--] exactly as well. If we get a sharp down Monday the next part might repeat as well and breakout bulls will be wiped out $spx $spy $es https://t.co/gVsVUIxzmg The latest melt up rally mirrors the first push over new all time highs in [----] - even the count of days up (7 of 8) and matching the down day 6"
X Link 2025-07-04T11:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"If people think this is a big dip to buy consider the Russell and Dow after the pullback today are still over the 90th percentile stretched over the [--] day $es $nq $rty $ym $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-07-07T15:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"If today closes up on $spx $spy the top is not in yet. A strong trend down will have [--] consecutive down days and this threatens to end it at just [--]. $vix"
X Link 2025-07-08T18:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Bears notch [--] down in a row on $spx $spy I would like to see a bigger down bar with bigger intraday selling than Monday by tomorrow to believe the short term top is in. Wide range bars are an important part $vix If today closes up on $spx $spy the top is not in yet. A strong trend down will have [--] consecutive down days and this threatens to end it at just [--]. $vix If today closes up on $spx $spy the top is not in yet. A strong trend down will have [--] consecutive down days and this threatens to end it at just [--]. $vix"
X Link 2025-07-08T20:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$XLF and $XLY (cons discretionary) are throwing major underperform signals in this supposedly strong bull market (blue crosses yellow MA). Not what you want to see if bullish as these are high beta and important sectors $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-07-09T23:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Definitely sensed today being the all important July 9th day that when nothing bad happened a lot of hedges went off and people got excited the worst is behind us. Might be a short term capitulation moment for shorts $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-07-10T03:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"These are intelligent wealthy people waiting for cheap stock prices again. Not unlike Buffett who is sitting in 5% of all T-bills $spx $spy So what are they waiting for So what are they waiting for"
X Link 2025-07-10T22:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Mr_Derivatives You can get 4-5% at zero risk or buy the top in equities (roughly speaking). Very rich people know better"
X Link 2025-07-10T22:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$vix touching 15s again confirms what we already know - bull market in progress. Doesnt mean it cant correct but a bear market never sees vix in the 15s. Things will be relatively less exciting than earlier this year for the remainder of the year as ranges compress. $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-07-10T23:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Most likely any pullback is going to the middle of this channel then likely a bounce from there. Will we hit the lower bound again Yes but maybe not this year $spx $spy $es"
X Link 2025-07-11T00:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The black swan with Canada is a full crude oil export blockade (shutting off pipelines) to the US. I cant imagine it happening but that is the most they can do to destroy the US quickly in a trade negotiation. Doubt they have the balls to do it. $spx $spy $vix $cl"
X Link 2025-07-11T00:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TheShortBear You didnt read the chart. Hedge fund short positions are at some of the lowest ever. The crowd is NOT short. Look again"
X Link 2025-07-11T20:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Are we at max hype yet Cure all diseases Lmao $spx $spy $qqq $googl $GOOGL DEEPMIND WANTS TO CURE ALL DISEASES WITH AI -- HUMAN TRIALS ARE ABOUT TO BEGIN If OpenAIs worth $500B whats DeepMind really worth This might be the most slept-on asset in big tech. https://t.co/oJj2JRro72 $GOOGL DEEPMIND WANTS TO CURE ALL DISEASES WITH AI -- HUMAN TRIALS ARE ABOUT TO BEGIN If OpenAIs worth $500B whats DeepMind really worth This might be the most slept-on asset in big tech. https://t.co/oJj2JRro72"
X Link 2025-07-11T23:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"A typical short term peak happens when the $vix diverges as the $SPX makes a new high. Vix posted a new low this week as $spx made a new high. What bears want is a new spx high without a new vix low. So maybe we pullback a little next week and then rally to one last spx high"
X Link 2025-07-12T00:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Oops bulls. Better hope its all green by the open Monday $spx $spy $vix EU also getting 30% letter https://t.co/9x5E0lvScR EU also getting 30% letter https://t.co/9x5E0lvScR"
X Link 2025-07-12T13:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Whats the China letter looking like and where is this alleged deal they made lol $spx $spy $vix $es $nq EU also getting 30% letter https://t.co/9x5E0lvScR EU also getting 30% letter https://t.co/9x5E0lvScR"
X Link 2025-07-12T13:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Bear in mind these are higher than Liberation Day. How the FUCK is the S&P still at all time highs Probably wont be for long. Dumb retail slow on the uptake. $spx $spy $vix $es $nq PRESIDENT TRUMP ANNOUNCES 30% TARIFF ON EU & MEXICO https://t.co/AJhQejXu2v PRESIDENT TRUMP ANNOUNCES 30% TARIFF ON EU & MEXICO https://t.co/AJhQejXu2v"
X Link 2025-07-12T13:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"If the dollar has an explosive summer rally on the back of these renewed higher tariff rates there is no way all this stuff mooning like #silver #gold #bitcoin survives it $slv $gld $ibit $btc"
X Link 2025-07-12T13:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Cant say if the high is in for this move. Im leaning towards not in but even so if it is in this general area these are the $spy retracements. I would expect to see the 23-32% range hit at minimum if this is a bull market correction $spx"
X Link 2025-07-12T23:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"So here is another chart (similar to the [----] one) that lines up with the current market and has a totally different path. Thats why I never trust any of these kinds of charts. Lots of things will line up if you look for them $spx $spg Updated [----] analogue. Dont think well follow exact dates but should echo the overall structure / path forward: peak later this year and bear market to follow. @fundstrat @MarkNewtonCMT https://t.co/57e4VGFfkW Updated [----] analogue. Dont think well follow exact dates but should echo the overall structure / path forward: peak later this year and bear market to"
X Link 2025-07-13T13:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Bears want a wide red bar to ignite a sustained downtrend and [--] down days. So far only [--] down day and it wasnt a wide range bar (selling from open to close). Looks like futures will open weak so tomorrow is another important test here. $spx $spy $vix $es $nq"
X Link 2025-07-13T21:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"While Teddy Roosevelts policy was to speak softly and carry a big stick Trumps policy can better be described as talk loudly and carry a limp noodle. #Trump $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-07-14T20:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Bears didnt even get a follow through down day. Not what they want 👇 $spx $spy Bears want a wide red bar to ignite a sustained downtrend and [--] down days. So far only [--] down day and it wasnt a wide range bar (selling from open to close). Looks like futures will open weak so tomorrow is another important test here. $spx $spy $vix $es $nq https://t.co/17qoJ74aCx Bears want a wide red bar to ignite a sustained downtrend and [--] down days. So far only [--] down day and it wasnt a wide range bar (selling from open to close). Looks like futures will open weak so tomorrow is another important test here."
X Link 2025-07-14T21:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$nvda is set to gap up above this structure and if it closes above the line and expands and never falls back in today the rally might be just getting started. If it closes down on good news then perhaps it has hit a short term peak"
X Link 2025-07-15T10:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@LizAnnSonders Large speculators in the S&P futures were short the entire bear market of 2007-2008 as it moved over 50% down. They arent always wrong people are just recently conditioned to believe they are (as in 2022)"
X Link 2025-07-15T11:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Financials have been a laggard for months now in terms of performance and have now broken to a new high and failed (for now). Worth watching if this underperformance continues. $xlf $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-07-15T12:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"#CPI not quite Goldilocks but not terrible either. Still above the Feds target rate so they have to keep holding rates (in their mind). Market is green for now anyway maybe salivating over another rate pause leading to Powells removal $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-07-15T13:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The big dump of metals and #bitcoin and general dollar strength today is likely the end of this short dollar parade on the idea tariffs would go to zero (lol) and/or not cause any inflation. Looks pretty risk off. #gold #silver $gld $slv $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-07-15T20:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Walmart $wmt never hit new all time highs during the tariff drama and relief rally has always been a canary in the coal mine for the idea the market can skip by this $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-07-15T21:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Bears notch a down day reversal day and McClellan Osc [--] which can be a sell signal. Follow through (3 consecutive down with an ignition wide range bar) needed but its a start. $spx $spy $es"
X Link 2025-07-15T22:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"If Powell signals resignation it will turmoil markets BEFORE any big rally. Its a hugely negative near term message for markets to have the Fed chair changed on a whim. If people have this as some bullish catalyst fade them $spx $spy https://t.co/svZiKEblwU https://t.co/svZiKEblwU"
X Link 2025-07-16T04:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"If you want real time #cpi just follow the $DBC etf representing a commodity basket. Yes inflation is rising a little lately but it isnt in parabolic ascent like late [----] when the Fed had to act and begin a rate hike cycle $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-07-16T12:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Bears had a chance there for a nice ignition wide range sell bar for the day but Trump talked markets back up. A down day helps (if they even get it) but tomorrow will need to be the wide range day or else this uptrend still has room up $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-07-16T17:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The fireworks come post FOMC when the Fed refuses to bend the knee to Trumps desire to cut rates and he finally releases TACO and actually does move to fire Powell. Today was just psychological pressure for Powell ahead of the meeting $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-07-16T20:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$vix didnt confirm the mid week new $spx high by making a new low and that did precede the worlds tiniest pullback and a larger vol pop so now we wait if the next new high also is not confirmed or if vol is about to implode again and make new lows. $uvxy $vxx"
X Link 2025-07-17T09:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$sbet is another one when it runs it runs hard and fast but always crashes back down. Look for some reversal sign and buy puts. Its land of the stupid"
X Link 2025-07-17T12:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$vix has not confirmed the new $spx high made yesterday but with opex today anything can happen including a huge fall in vix. Otherwise it is usually a warning. New vix lows means the uptrend is still not over $spy"
X Link 2025-07-18T12:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Options sentiment on ISEE is roughly the same as last Feb before a 20% decline. The fact the market is higher and sentiment is a little lower could mean a little more optimism is required but these are already near record highs in the data so caution is warranted $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-07-18T13:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"McClellan Osc failed to break above [--] today in a small victory for bears. Now they need [--] more down days in a row with one of them as a wide range ignition candle to kick off a correction. Until then snooze fest. Keep repeating this and it never happens $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-07-19T02:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Theres no such thing as a risk free guaranteed trade outside cash investments but buying $uvxy with RSI under [--] has been nearly that - if you give the trade time $vxx $vix $spx"
X Link 2025-07-19T02:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The week including Aug 1st (next week) will have the FOMC plus the next TACO deadline for Trumps tariffs (where is the China deal). Best chance for the tape to reverse although Trump caving and extending or just walking away from this all is certainly possible $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-07-19T16:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Health care performance relative to the S&P is at dot com levels of greed. Health care is a defensive sector. Bubble Hmmmmm $spx $spy $vix $xlv Healthcare is in pure panic territory. https://t.co/3eDXV89RqG Healthcare is in pure panic territory. https://t.co/3eDXV89RqG"
X Link 2025-07-19T16:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$tsla is going to break out or down from this triangle earnings next week. It has a $100 payout if the structure works meaning a target of roughly $449 or $229. If it holds above the [---] day post earnings more reason to think it hits the 400s. Have to see though"
X Link 2025-07-19T16:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Every time the top channel has been hit past couple years it eventually landed at the bottom of the channel within a year. Small sample so not trying to make this more than it is. Critical time and area for bears to attack as both touches ended in 20% declines. $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-07-19T17:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"If investors understand Trump Always Chickens Out then countries in negotiation do too. If bearish that means the trade war has only begun (if Trump finally digs in). If bullish it means Trump will make a face-saving deal call it the best deal ever and markets rip $spx"
X Link 2025-07-21T01:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Bears missed out on a clean reversal day and no red continuation from Friday so back to [--] on the down day clock. The plus side is that McClellan Osc continues to look terrible considering the highs plus new highs - new lows is pathetic. Hard to be long $spx $spy $vix $es $nq"
X Link 2025-07-21T20:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$NVDA - if this volume happened into a pullback or consolidation it would be bullish but it looks like the buying is clearly drying up here $qqq"
X Link 2025-07-21T21:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Do people think this is healthy market behavior or the last gasps of dumb money greed $spx $spy I bet more retail money was lost in the last [--] minutes on $OPEN than was made in the entire 700% run up https://t.co/pYoCYoqbGu I bet more retail money was lost in the last [--] minutes on $OPEN than was made in the entire 700% run up https://t.co/pYoCYoqbGu"
X Link 2025-07-21T21:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The next major question for the market is if the next panic is dollar bullish or dollar bearish. Going to determine if things like #gold #silver #bitcoin and bonds hold up. It seems LOGICAL the next equities correction would be dollar bullish based on positioning"
X Link 2025-07-21T23:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@MomAngtrades Well lots of stocks dumped today like $HIMS $QS $SOFI to name a few. Puts had no problem on these idiotic retail names"
X Link 2025-07-22T01:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The $vix continues to hold above [--] except for about [--] day it dipped below. This is more bear market behavior since the lower end for the vix range in a bull is 10-13 before pullbacks. I suspect one thing keeping it up is the looming tariff stuff. Could still drop more $spx"
X Link 2025-07-22T12:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Money supply growth (lower chart) hit new all time highs in June so bears really have nothing to go on. This has to tick down to get a top. The mild dip last month might produce a mild dip in the market over the next month at worse but the market will continue up $spx $spy $vix"
X Link 2025-07-22T18:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Japan trade deal an important test for the market as wed expect more deals announced soon. Definitely good news that tariffs are coming down from the promised Aug [--] level but will the market find the good news enough to keep the rally going or sell it $spx $spy"
X Link 2025-07-23T00:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Volatility broke down today. Usually a higher low as $spx makes a higher high before a pullback can start. Doesnt seem like the market is ready to drop at this point because vol keeps dropping as price rises $vix"
X Link 2025-07-23T20:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"RSI(2) on $spx hit [--] today which usually means an imminent down day often not too small. Just not a lot of room to go up under normal circumstances. Nothing normal about this market though"
X Link 2025-07-23T20:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
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