[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/twitter/Arya__Deniz) "Deep Dive: Vistra Corp (NYSE: $VST) Vistra is setting up as a compelling asymmetrical bet a transformed power producer flying under the radar of many investors even after an explosive 2024 rally. The stock rocketed +258% last year outperforming even AI darling Nvidia yet it remains misunderstood"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1903492870033842456) 2025-03-22 17:04:00 UTC 1269 followers, 7470 engagements "$TPL is crashing - I am not sure why apart from valuation which is as good of a reason as any. $TPL vs. $XLE ratio hit oversold conditions"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1945500775439802795) 2025-07-16 15:08:25 UTC 1270 followers, 1203 engagements "@bgurley I feel like even as a venture capitalist instead of allocating to these companies and at best getting 20-25% IRR over 5-years the right move is to allocate the capital to $NVDA $AMD $TSM $BABA Xiaomi et al. Not a VC move but still especially with whats going on at $META"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1944974914412535908) 2025-07-15 04:18:50 UTC 1270 followers, 4080 engagements "Deep Dive: Vistra Corp (NYSE: $VST) Vistra is setting up as a compelling asymmetrical bet a transformed power producer flying under the radar of many investors even after an explosive 2024 rally. The stock was up +258% last year outperforming even AI darling $NVDA yet it remains misunderstood"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1903544448354582551) 2025-03-22 20:28:57 UTC 1270 followers, 2525 engagements "$RBLX is a good tactical short. Weekly RSI is at XX performance has been weak in August and September and price trades at 20+ P/S with XX% gross margin. It's a great company but I don't get the rally - whether I understand it or not is irrelevant the stock is extended"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1944762759851245977) 2025-07-14 14:15:48 UTC 1270 followers, 3195 engagements "Damn $KKR to the stratosphere along with $BX $CG $APO et al"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1945241429476860207) 2025-07-15 21:57:52 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements "@JaredKubin I think $GOOGL is a great long the only issue I have is - in a fund when you own all the Mag X names you essentially turn the portfolio into Nasdaq XXX But I think the way you laid out. To me some of the tickers that make sense with that perspective are $TPL $UNH and $FICO"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1946608046697861417) 2025-07-19 16:28:19 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements "Revisiting Advanced Micro Devices - $AMD AMD is up X% pre-market on 7/15/2025. It is one of the core portfolio positions. I wanted to revisit the stock after noticing some interesting trends on the charts I track and positive news flow this week. AMD is entering a new growth inflection driven by data-center dominance and AI accelerators. Roughly half of its revenue now comes from server CPUs/GPUs where AMD is rapidly gaining share and recent U.S. export-license approvals reopened the vast China market for its MI300-series AI chips. AMDs chiplet-enabled cost leadership and broadening product"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1945100095860441311) 2025-07-15 12:36:15 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements "$QQQ / $FXI - QQQ has been persistently underperforming FXI (basically US tech vs. China tech). I think this trend will flip soon $NVDA news tonight can be the catalyst. We'll see"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1944949381620265211) 2025-07-15 02:37:22 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements "Deep Dive: Fair Isaac Corporation $FICO Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) has achieved what few companies ever do its become practically synonymous with the service it provides. The ubiquitous FICO Score underpins the vast majority of consumer lending decisions in the U.S. giving FICO a tollbooth-like position in the credit ecosystem. This entrenched role coupled with savvy management and a high-margin business model has turned FICO into a profit machine for long-term shareholders"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1903942417545408989) 2025-03-23 22:50:20 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements "It's not just the US $SPY $IWM $QQQ are extended but so are $GREK $EWG $EWS $EWJ $FXI $KWEB etc. Seasonally July is a great month - but a pause and/or 3-5% drawdown would be a great reset. $SPY has ended the month in the green XXX% of the time since 2020"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1942626753194951047) 2025-07-08 16:48:04 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements "$CHGG - Chegg Inc. looks interesting. Ed-tech company that I used to use in college got disrupted by OpenAI. The market cap is $150M but the brand alone is most likely worth $500M - the company has X net debt and 10%+ FCF yield. Forming a cup & handle. Interesting"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1938653544090886472) 2025-06-27 17:39:58 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements "Investing is a power-law game. Venture capital is already a 50-plus-year-old industry hedge funds have existed for over XX years and the first private-equity firms only emerged in the late 1970s. If you tried to list the players in each field you wouldnt get past fifty - especially among newer funds. Like any business some firms are good a few are great and most are bad; you could make the same case for oil companies real-estate developers et al"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1946239582875308527) 2025-07-18 16:04:10 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements "Every conceivable bearish angle related to this topic on $FICO has already been exhausted - at this point fatigue is inevitable. Could the stock break below $1500 Possibly. But at $1700 the risk/reward looks compelling. If were serious about fixing the housing crisis we have to address the cartel-like tactics of $DHI $LEN and $PHM who option vast tracts of zoned land at pennies on the dollar and deliberately keep it undeveloped to constrain supply and inflate new home prices. @pulte understands this system better than anyone - hes one of the good guys. What I outlined above would immediately"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1942593317755105296) 2025-07-08 14:35:13 UTC 1270 followers, 4498 engagements "Teradyne Inc $TER looks interesting. 200-DMA is key Teradynes Vulcan robotic arm developed by its Universal Robots division is an Amazon-specific next-generation arm designed to tackle high-throughput warehouse automation with advanced AI-driven vision and motion planning"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1943696318506918211) 2025-07-11 15:38:09 UTC 1270 followers, 2303 engagements "$AXON down big today -X% I get the instinct to look for readthroughs from companies that are compared to AXON like $BYRN but honestly $AXON is in a league of its own. The core business is a vertically integrated ecosystem - hardware SaaS cloud digital evidence - wrapped around law enforcement workflows. There is no direct comp. $BYRN and other so-called peers are either pure-play hardware shops commoditized or entirely outside the TAM that $AXON dominates. The whole reason $AXON gets a premium is because it created the niche and then compounded it - Taser body cams cloud software real public"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1943378581305860597) 2025-07-10 18:35:34 UTC 1270 followers, 2461 engagements "$AMD - performance YTD correlation to 2018 is now at XXXX. If you compare $AMD to $SMH you'll see a breakout above 50-DMA and 200-DMA. RSI is extended but the overall trend is still intact (most likely pullback ahead)"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1945575911425716405) 2025-07-16 20:06:58 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements "@kiantrades Panamera is the move especially if you have a family - you need to chop legs off to sit in the back in those cars"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1945590768925659460) 2025-07-16 21:06:01 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements "@jbulltard1 $OSCR is a good company man cant talk about other shitcos but for Oscar Health think about it this way. EPS growth will be 100%+ (by a big margin) multiples are below market and health insurer comps CEO comes from Cigna and top share holders include Kushner family"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1945078786950680639) 2025-07-15 11:11:35 UTC 1270 followers, 2305 engagements "@jasonfurman You are not wrong but the positive effects from tariffs (both quantifiable and arcane) outweighs the de minimis impact on CPI (so far) - core CPI came below expectations. We should all be humble about underwriting this macro environment"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1945109063957708950) 2025-07-15 13:11:53 UTC 1270 followers, 1505 engagements "In my opinion $AXON an industrial stock in the $XLI has only one publicly traded comp - $PLTR. Completely different businesses but similar investor base (in my opinion) Check out the $AXON / $XLI (oversold) and $AXON / $PLTR charts (oversold)"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1945965383657423184) 2025-07-17 21:54:36 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements "$META performance is overwhelmingly better than that of $GOOGL year-to-date. That said RSI (7) for $META is at XX and for $GOOGL at 100"  [@Arya__Deniz](/creator/x/Arya__Deniz) on [X](/post/tweet/1946585367701762467) 2025-07-19 14:58:12 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
@Arya__Deniz
"Deep Dive: Vistra Corp (NYSE: $VST) Vistra is setting up as a compelling asymmetrical bet a transformed power producer flying under the radar of many investors even after an explosive 2024 rally. The stock rocketed +258% last year outperforming even AI darling Nvidia yet it remains misunderstood" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-03-22 17:04:00 UTC 1269 followers, 7470 engagements
"$TPL is crashing - I am not sure why apart from valuation which is as good of a reason as any. $TPL vs. $XLE ratio hit oversold conditions" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-16 15:08:25 UTC 1270 followers, 1203 engagements
"@bgurley I feel like even as a venture capitalist instead of allocating to these companies and at best getting 20-25% IRR over 5-years the right move is to allocate the capital to $NVDA $AMD $TSM $BABA Xiaomi et al. Not a VC move but still especially with whats going on at $META" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-15 04:18:50 UTC 1270 followers, 4080 engagements
"Deep Dive: Vistra Corp (NYSE: $VST) Vistra is setting up as a compelling asymmetrical bet a transformed power producer flying under the radar of many investors even after an explosive 2024 rally. The stock was up +258% last year outperforming even AI darling $NVDA yet it remains misunderstood" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-03-22 20:28:57 UTC 1270 followers, 2525 engagements
"$RBLX is a good tactical short. Weekly RSI is at XX performance has been weak in August and September and price trades at 20+ P/S with XX% gross margin. It's a great company but I don't get the rally - whether I understand it or not is irrelevant the stock is extended" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-14 14:15:48 UTC 1270 followers, 3195 engagements
"Damn $KKR to the stratosphere along with $BX $CG $APO et al" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-15 21:57:52 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements
"@JaredKubin I think $GOOGL is a great long the only issue I have is - in a fund when you own all the Mag X names you essentially turn the portfolio into Nasdaq XXX But I think the way you laid out. To me some of the tickers that make sense with that perspective are $TPL $UNH and $FICO" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-19 16:28:19 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements
"Revisiting Advanced Micro Devices - $AMD AMD is up X% pre-market on 7/15/2025. It is one of the core portfolio positions. I wanted to revisit the stock after noticing some interesting trends on the charts I track and positive news flow this week. AMD is entering a new growth inflection driven by data-center dominance and AI accelerators. Roughly half of its revenue now comes from server CPUs/GPUs where AMD is rapidly gaining share and recent U.S. export-license approvals reopened the vast China market for its MI300-series AI chips. AMDs chiplet-enabled cost leadership and broadening product" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-15 12:36:15 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements
"$QQQ / $FXI - QQQ has been persistently underperforming FXI (basically US tech vs. China tech). I think this trend will flip soon $NVDA news tonight can be the catalyst. We'll see" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-15 02:37:22 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements
"Deep Dive: Fair Isaac Corporation $FICO Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) has achieved what few companies ever do its become practically synonymous with the service it provides. The ubiquitous FICO Score underpins the vast majority of consumer lending decisions in the U.S. giving FICO a tollbooth-like position in the credit ecosystem. This entrenched role coupled with savvy management and a high-margin business model has turned FICO into a profit machine for long-term shareholders" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-03-23 22:50:20 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements
"It's not just the US $SPY $IWM $QQQ are extended but so are $GREK $EWG $EWS $EWJ $FXI $KWEB etc. Seasonally July is a great month - but a pause and/or 3-5% drawdown would be a great reset. $SPY has ended the month in the green XXX% of the time since 2020" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-08 16:48:04 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements
"$CHGG - Chegg Inc. looks interesting. Ed-tech company that I used to use in college got disrupted by OpenAI. The market cap is $150M but the brand alone is most likely worth $500M - the company has X net debt and 10%+ FCF yield. Forming a cup & handle. Interesting" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-06-27 17:39:58 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements
"Investing is a power-law game. Venture capital is already a 50-plus-year-old industry hedge funds have existed for over XX years and the first private-equity firms only emerged in the late 1970s. If you tried to list the players in each field you wouldnt get past fifty - especially among newer funds. Like any business some firms are good a few are great and most are bad; you could make the same case for oil companies real-estate developers et al" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-18 16:04:10 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements
"Every conceivable bearish angle related to this topic on $FICO has already been exhausted - at this point fatigue is inevitable. Could the stock break below $1500 Possibly. But at $1700 the risk/reward looks compelling. If were serious about fixing the housing crisis we have to address the cartel-like tactics of $DHI $LEN and $PHM who option vast tracts of zoned land at pennies on the dollar and deliberately keep it undeveloped to constrain supply and inflate new home prices. @pulte understands this system better than anyone - hes one of the good guys. What I outlined above would immediately" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-08 14:35:13 UTC 1270 followers, 4498 engagements
"Teradyne Inc $TER looks interesting. 200-DMA is key Teradynes Vulcan robotic arm developed by its Universal Robots division is an Amazon-specific next-generation arm designed to tackle high-throughput warehouse automation with advanced AI-driven vision and motion planning" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-11 15:38:09 UTC 1270 followers, 2303 engagements
"$AXON down big today -X% I get the instinct to look for readthroughs from companies that are compared to AXON like $BYRN but honestly $AXON is in a league of its own. The core business is a vertically integrated ecosystem - hardware SaaS cloud digital evidence - wrapped around law enforcement workflows. There is no direct comp. $BYRN and other so-called peers are either pure-play hardware shops commoditized or entirely outside the TAM that $AXON dominates. The whole reason $AXON gets a premium is because it created the niche and then compounded it - Taser body cams cloud software real public" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-10 18:35:34 UTC 1270 followers, 2461 engagements
"$AMD - performance YTD correlation to 2018 is now at XXXX. If you compare $AMD to $SMH you'll see a breakout above 50-DMA and 200-DMA. RSI is extended but the overall trend is still intact (most likely pullback ahead)" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-16 20:06:58 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements
"@kiantrades Panamera is the move especially if you have a family - you need to chop legs off to sit in the back in those cars" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-16 21:06:01 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements
"@jbulltard1 $OSCR is a good company man cant talk about other shitcos but for Oscar Health think about it this way. EPS growth will be 100%+ (by a big margin) multiples are below market and health insurer comps CEO comes from Cigna and top share holders include Kushner family" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-15 11:11:35 UTC 1270 followers, 2305 engagements
"@jasonfurman You are not wrong but the positive effects from tariffs (both quantifiable and arcane) outweighs the de minimis impact on CPI (so far) - core CPI came below expectations. We should all be humble about underwriting this macro environment" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-15 13:11:53 UTC 1270 followers, 1505 engagements
"In my opinion $AXON an industrial stock in the $XLI has only one publicly traded comp - $PLTR. Completely different businesses but similar investor base (in my opinion) Check out the $AXON / $XLI (oversold) and $AXON / $PLTR charts (oversold)" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-17 21:54:36 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements
"$META performance is overwhelmingly better than that of $GOOGL year-to-date. That said RSI (7) for $META is at XX and for $GOOGL at 100" @Arya__Deniz on X 2025-07-19 14:58:12 UTC 1270 followers, XXX engagements
/creator/twitter::1714446178631233536/posts