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[@navnoorquant](/creator/twitter/navnoorquant)
"📊 2.6x NAV premium MicroStrategy implied BTC $177k vs BTC spot $69k. That structural distortion is the trade. Thread 👇 #QuantFinance #StatArb #VolatilityTrading #ConvertibleArbitrage #RiskManagement #Bitcoin #Arbitrage #QuantResearch"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1978143818886103486) [@navnoorquant](/creator/x/navnoorquant) 2025-10-14T17:00Z XX followers, XX engagements


"Apr '25: Liberation Day tariffs Apr 2S&P -XXX% Apr X -X% Apr X (13th back-2-back 4.5%+ since '29). VIX XXXXX Apr X. +9.5% Apr X pause. Disp Index 41.5highest monthly in XX yrs (CFRA)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1979214298866970815) [@navnoorquant](/creator/x/navnoorquant) 2025-10-17T15:53Z XX followers, XX engagements


"Opp: High disp = stocks move indep = arb. Not dir crashcorr break = wide spreads = max alpha. Mean rev in shocks: Long oversold short overbought comp w/o dir exp"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1979214303837168073) [@navnoorquant](/creator/x/navnoorquant) 2025-10-17T15:53Z XX followers, XX engagements


"Vol cycles: VIX 206020 in XX days (5 up/14 down). Each osc: Temp mispricing entry/exit. High-freq stat arb holds days not wks. Capt mult cycles vs trad X dd"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1979214308648133011) [@navnoorquant](/creator/x/navnoorquant) 2025-10-17T15:53Z XX followers, XX engagements


"Risk Sellers: Nephila (Markel-owned $11.6B AUM) warehouses trades w/ pensions. Diversify geos/seasons via meteo models. HFs in: Citadel DE Shaw Susquehanna. Why Zero stock corr premium carry alpha in inefficiency. #AlternativeInvestments #HedgeFundLife"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1979539823963586736) [@navnoorquant](/creator/x/navnoorquant) 2025-10-18T13:27Z XX followers, XX engagements


"Catalyst: Renewables US: XXXX% green (10.2% wind XXX% solar). Germany: XX% wind (139.8 TWh). Hottest summer ever (NASA). Erratic rain hits ag. SEC rules (final '24 stayed) mandate hedges. Now essential. #RenewableEnergy #ClimateChange"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1979539829257101659) [@navnoorquant](/creator/x/navnoorquant) 2025-10-18T13:27Z XX followers, XX engagements


"Risks: Basis (station site: 10-30% fail). Model drift (climate shifts). OTC credit defaults. Low liquidity. Ex: CA utility hedges LA coast inland temps off 10-15F. Fixes: Baskets custom OTC diversify. #Risks #FinTech"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1979539832197066754) [@navnoorquant](/creator/x/navnoorquant) 2025-10-18T13:27Z XX followers, XX engagements


"Takeaways: 1) $25B fixes corp pain. 2) Hedgers smooth vols; sellers grab uncorr alpha. 3) Renewables fuel it. 4) Basis hurtstech helps. 5) Inefficient = quant opp. 6) Star's decade: Hedging = armor. #KeyInsights #Investing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1979539837276287483) [@navnoorquant](/creator/x/navnoorquant) 2025-10-18T13:27Z XX followers, XX engagements


"Quant Tip: Data moatNOAA/ECMWF sats. Wins: Mean-reversion EVT tails copulas deps. Careers boom in ILS/HFs/energy. Meteo + quant Hot. Who's modeling next #QuantResearch #DataScience"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1979539840015475153) [@navnoorquant](/creator/x/navnoorquant) 2025-10-18T13:27Z XX followers, XX engagements


"Full deep-dive FREE on Substack: "Weather Derivatives Explode XXX% Inside Wall Streets New Climate Bet" by Navnoor Bawa. Sources: CME EIA NOAA SEC. Thoughtsnext hedge or hype RT 👇 #ClimateRisk #WallStreet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1979539842708164667) [@navnoorquant](/creator/x/navnoorquant) 2025-10-18T13:27Z XX followers, XX engagements


"1996-2000: Dispersion traders made XX% monthly returns with a XXX Sharpe ratio. Everyone thinks it was luck. After analyzing XX primary sources and real hedge fund trades here's the untold story of vol-arb's collapse and resurrection:#QuantFinance #VolatilityArbitrage"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1979893645756268834) [@navnoorquant](/creator/x/navnoorquant) 2025-10-19T12:53Z XX followers, X engagements


"Error #1: Assumed normality Error #2: Ignored statistical significance (MinTRL) Error #3: Never adjusted for multiple testing (500+ factors backtested) Error #4: Insufficient out-of-sample testing Error #5: Correlation breakdown (0.3 0.95) #QuantitativeResearch"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1980236154722304117) [@navnoorquant](/creator/x/navnoorquant) 2025-10-20T11:34Z XX followers, X engagements


"August 6-9 2007 cascade: Day 1: Small fund hits stops liquidates Day 2: Price movements trigger other funds Day 3: Synchronized panic Everyone thought they had "different" strategies. They were running THE SAME strategy with different labels"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1980236157515636778) [@navnoorquant](/creator/x/navnoorquant) 2025-10-20T11:34Z XX followers, X engagements


"Week-by-week P&L for August 2007: Aug 6: -$15-20B (industry) Aug 7: -$25-30B Aug 8: -$35-40B (peak panic) Aug 9-10: -$20-25B Total month: $130-165B evaporated Every claim verified with primary sources. #FinancialEngineering"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1980236161185648983) [@navnoorquant](/creator/x/navnoorquant) 2025-10-20T11:34Z XX followers, X engagements