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# ![@navnoorquant Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1684847959874101250.png) @navnoorquant Navnoor Bawa

Navnoor Bawa posts on X about polymarket, prediction markets, $370b, $700b the most. They currently have XX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XX engagements in the last XX hours.

### Engagements: XX [#](/creator/twitter::1684847959874101250/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1684847959874101250/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXX +93%
- X Month XXXXX +54%
- X Months XXXXX +10,076%

### Mentions: X [#](/creator/twitter::1684847959874101250/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1684847959874101250/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Week X -XX%
- X Month XX -XX%
- X Months XXX +14,333%

### Followers: XX [#](/creator/twitter::1684847959874101250/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1684847959874101250/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XX +17%
- X Month XX +95%
- X Months XX +925%

### CreatorRank: undefined [#](/creator/twitter::1684847959874101250/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1684847959874101250/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  XXXXX% [stocks](/list/stocks)  XXXX%

**Social topic influence**
[polymarket](/topic/polymarket) 10.71%, [prediction markets](/topic/prediction-markets) 7.14%, [$370b](/topic/$370b) 3.57%, [$700b](/topic/$700b) 3.57%, [hidden](/topic/hidden) 3.57%, [hedging](/topic/hedging) 3.57%, [flow](/topic/flow) 3.57%, [obi](/topic/obi) 3.57%, [$18b](/topic/$18b) 3.57%, [$100b](/topic/$100b) XXXX%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@navnoorbawabeyondthesmilehowhedgefundstrade3dvolatilitysurfacesforspatialarbitrage74746cdd357e](/creator/undefined) [@navnoorbawahowqisproductsdemocratizeddispersiontradingpackagingsystematiccorrelationpremiumfor81ef1451a8b6](/creator/undefined) [@crypt0b3ar](/creator/undefined)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"2/12 Banks package dispersion strategies (long single-stock vol short index vol) as total return swaps. Market grew: $370B (2022) $700B+ (2024). But there's a hidden risk allocators miss. #QIS #Volatility #Trading"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1998746036333064647)  2025-12-10T13:26Z XX followers, XX engagements


"2/12 Event contracts = cash-or-nothing binary options Price formula: P = e(-rT) N(d) Same Black-Scholes framework. Edge from probability estimation not vol hedging. #DerivativesTrading #OptionsTrading"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1999491266271412323)  2025-12-12T14:47Z XX followers, XX engagements


"3/12 Kelly Criterion position sizing: f* = (P_true - P_market) / (1 - P_market) Model estimates XX% at $XXXX XXXX% position Use 25-50% fractional Kelly for model uncertainty. #RiskManagement #QuantTrading"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1999491270109200607)  2025-12-12T14:47Z XX followers, X engagements


"7/12 Order flow imbalance predicts moves: OBI = (Q_bid - Q_ask) / (Q_bid + Q_ask) Imbalance XXXX price up in 15-30 min (58% accuracy) R = XXXX for short-term variance #HFT #MarketMaking"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1999491280150364614)  2025-12-12T14:47Z XX followers, X engagements


"3/12 UBS acquired $18B in QIS strategies from Credit Suisse (March 2023). JPMorgan's platform: $100B+ notionals. The pitch: harvest correlation premium with 15-20% margin 80-85% capital in T-bills. Sounds perfect right #HedgeFunds #Swaps"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1998746039713734965)  2025-12-10T13:26Z XX followers, XX engagements


"6/12 August 2024 Yen Carry Unwind VIX spiked to XXXXX. "Vega-neutral" dispersion strategies hemorrhaged. Why Correlations XXX turning the trade into an UNINTENDED short vol position. #RiskManagement #VIX #Markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1998746047955480674)  2025-12-10T13:26Z XX followers, XX engagements


"7/12 BNP Paribas QIS Lab breaks this into X implementations: - Gamma-flat - Vega-flat - Theta-flat Each has distinct Greek exposures. Generic packaging ignores this. That's where allocators get burned. #Derivatives #Portfolio"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1998746051143254272)  2025-12-10T13:26Z XX followers, XX engagements


"11/12 If allocating to QIS dispersion products ask: X. What's the exact Greek profile X. How is correlation regime monitored X. What's the crisis playbook Don't assume "vega-neutral" means vol-neutral. #DueDiligence #QuantFinance"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1998746063206031362)  2025-12-10T13:26Z XX followers, XX engagements


"12/12 Full technical breakdown with mathematical decomposition + XX verified sources: Follow @navnoorquant for deep quant research. #QuantitativeFinance #FinancialEngineering"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1998746065743523953)  2025-12-10T13:26Z XX followers, XX engagements


"1/12 Prediction markets aren't gambling when you know the math. I reverse-engineered how quants extract 15-25% returns from Polymarket. Thread on the mathematical execution 🧵 #QuantitativeFinance #Trading #AlgoTrading"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1999491262949589404)  2025-12-12T14:47Z XX followers, XX engagements


"5/12 3-way election: A: $XXXX B: $XXXX C: $XXXX Total = $XXXX Buy all three $XXXX payout guaranteed Profit: XXXX% gross XXXX% net Risk-free arbitrage. #QuantResearch #MarketMicrostructure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1999491274957897738)  2025-12-12T14:47Z XX followers, X engagements


"6/12 Saguillo et al. (2025) documented $40M realized arbitrage on Polymarket: XX% market rebalancing XX% combinatorial arbitrage Small inefficiencies volume = institutional returns #HedgeFunds #SystematicTrading"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1999491277663142015)  2025-12-12T14:47Z XX followers, X engagements


"8/12 Information speed: Equities: milliseconds Prediction markets: minutes This latency gap = systematic edge Same HFT infrastructure slower competition #AlgorithmicTrading #FinTech"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1999491282696307067)  2025-12-12T14:47Z XX followers, X engagements


"9/12 Capacity constraints: Kalshi: 25K contracts/strike Polymarket: no limits (1-2% fees) $500M AUM addressable Too small for big shops = persistent edge #Crypto #AlternativeInvestments"  
[X Link](https://x.com/navnoorquant/status/1999491285015756996)  2025-12-12T14:47Z XX followers, XX engagements

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

@navnoorquant Avatar @navnoorquant Navnoor Bawa

Navnoor Bawa posts on X about polymarket, prediction markets, $370b, $700b the most. They currently have XX followers and XX posts still getting attention that total XX engagements in the last XX hours.

Engagements: XX #

Engagements Line Chart

  • X Week XXX +93%
  • X Month XXXXX +54%
  • X Months XXXXX +10,076%

Mentions: X #

Mentions Line Chart

  • X Week X -XX%
  • X Month XX -XX%
  • X Months XXX +14,333%

Followers: XX #

Followers Line Chart

  • X Week XX +17%
  • X Month XX +95%
  • X Months XX +925%

CreatorRank: undefined #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence finance XXXXX% stocks XXXX%

Social topic influence polymarket 10.71%, prediction markets 7.14%, $370b 3.57%, $700b 3.57%, hidden 3.57%, hedging 3.57%, flow 3.57%, obi 3.57%, $18b 3.57%, $100b XXXX%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @navnoorbawabeyondthesmilehowhedgefundstrade3dvolatilitysurfacesforspatialarbitrage74746cdd357e @navnoorbawahowqisproductsdemocratizeddispersiontradingpackagingsystematiccorrelationpremiumfor81ef1451a8b6 @crypt0b3ar

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"2/12 Banks package dispersion strategies (long single-stock vol short index vol) as total return swaps. Market grew: $370B (2022) $700B+ (2024). But there's a hidden risk allocators miss. #QIS #Volatility #Trading"
X Link 2025-12-10T13:26Z XX followers, XX engagements

"2/12 Event contracts = cash-or-nothing binary options Price formula: P = e(-rT) N(d) Same Black-Scholes framework. Edge from probability estimation not vol hedging. #DerivativesTrading #OptionsTrading"
X Link 2025-12-12T14:47Z XX followers, XX engagements

"3/12 Kelly Criterion position sizing: f* = (P_true - P_market) / (1 - P_market) Model estimates XX% at $XXXX XXXX% position Use 25-50% fractional Kelly for model uncertainty. #RiskManagement #QuantTrading"
X Link 2025-12-12T14:47Z XX followers, X engagements

"7/12 Order flow imbalance predicts moves: OBI = (Q_bid - Q_ask) / (Q_bid + Q_ask) Imbalance XXXX price up in 15-30 min (58% accuracy) R = XXXX for short-term variance #HFT #MarketMaking"
X Link 2025-12-12T14:47Z XX followers, X engagements

"3/12 UBS acquired $18B in QIS strategies from Credit Suisse (March 2023). JPMorgan's platform: $100B+ notionals. The pitch: harvest correlation premium with 15-20% margin 80-85% capital in T-bills. Sounds perfect right #HedgeFunds #Swaps"
X Link 2025-12-10T13:26Z XX followers, XX engagements

"6/12 August 2024 Yen Carry Unwind VIX spiked to XXXXX. "Vega-neutral" dispersion strategies hemorrhaged. Why Correlations XXX turning the trade into an UNINTENDED short vol position. #RiskManagement #VIX #Markets"
X Link 2025-12-10T13:26Z XX followers, XX engagements

"7/12 BNP Paribas QIS Lab breaks this into X implementations: - Gamma-flat - Vega-flat - Theta-flat Each has distinct Greek exposures. Generic packaging ignores this. That's where allocators get burned. #Derivatives #Portfolio"
X Link 2025-12-10T13:26Z XX followers, XX engagements

"11/12 If allocating to QIS dispersion products ask: X. What's the exact Greek profile X. How is correlation regime monitored X. What's the crisis playbook Don't assume "vega-neutral" means vol-neutral. #DueDiligence #QuantFinance"
X Link 2025-12-10T13:26Z XX followers, XX engagements

"12/12 Full technical breakdown with mathematical decomposition + XX verified sources: Follow @navnoorquant for deep quant research. #QuantitativeFinance #FinancialEngineering"
X Link 2025-12-10T13:26Z XX followers, XX engagements

"1/12 Prediction markets aren't gambling when you know the math. I reverse-engineered how quants extract 15-25% returns from Polymarket. Thread on the mathematical execution 🧵 #QuantitativeFinance #Trading #AlgoTrading"
X Link 2025-12-12T14:47Z XX followers, XX engagements

"5/12 3-way election: A: $XXXX B: $XXXX C: $XXXX Total = $XXXX Buy all three $XXXX payout guaranteed Profit: XXXX% gross XXXX% net Risk-free arbitrage. #QuantResearch #MarketMicrostructure"
X Link 2025-12-12T14:47Z XX followers, X engagements

"6/12 Saguillo et al. (2025) documented $40M realized arbitrage on Polymarket: XX% market rebalancing XX% combinatorial arbitrage Small inefficiencies volume = institutional returns #HedgeFunds #SystematicTrading"
X Link 2025-12-12T14:47Z XX followers, X engagements

"8/12 Information speed: Equities: milliseconds Prediction markets: minutes This latency gap = systematic edge Same HFT infrastructure slower competition #AlgorithmicTrading #FinTech"
X Link 2025-12-12T14:47Z XX followers, X engagements

"9/12 Capacity constraints: Kalshi: 25K contracts/strike Polymarket: no limits (1-2% fees) $500M AUM addressable Too small for big shops = persistent edge #Crypto #AlternativeInvestments"
X Link 2025-12-12T14:47Z XX followers, XX engagements

@navnoorquant
/creator/twitter::navnoorquant