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[@RationalTrades](/creator/twitter/RationalTrades)
"$BITF is underperforming EVERY other bitcoin miners today. It's even underperforming $SDIG the miner it's buying this quarter. The discount of $SDIG which is usually around X% is XXX% right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1885010382051328483) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-01-30T17:01Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"At the end of the year $BITO dividend is quite messy to understand. I only have the past X years as an example to forecast it AND they changed the fund behavior this year. So my understanding is far from perfect. Hopefully we get good data that helps refine the model"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1980525407565930716) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-10-21T06:43Z XXX followers, 1478 engagements


"$BITO Option market is forecasting about $XXXX dividend. Rough estimate cause of high spreads making it difficult to get an exact amount. Looks like my understanding of BITO fund is correct. And will get the same dividends in Dec/Jan. So be ready to arbitrage"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1982896811867275656) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-10-27T19:46Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"@Straw_Hat_B @BTC_Archive @partiudr @eciotti @grok X% France must have the population with the worst average understanding of economy of the EU. There is no way they will ever vote something good for the population"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1983116952945189299) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-10-28T10:21Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"@HagaiDarts2021 Yes you would have to sell ibit to get the profit. Bito is meant to stay flat forever though. Because profits are distributed and loss makes price go down Eventually Bito will reverse split"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1980868868013977748) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-10-22T05:28Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"@scriptstotrade @HagaiDarts2021 And indeed the base price of $BITO could be $X and do a $X distribution :D I think they would reverse split before though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1981740616770797843) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-10-24T15:12Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"This is the reason why I let the other model make the forecast before updating with what I think will happen. But my reasoning is based on THIS line of their documentation. What I'm betting on is $XXXX of distribution before jan 1st and start of new fiscal year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1982073555924681184) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-10-25T13:15Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"Anyway I wouldn't bet too much on the arbitrage trade that I shared for previous month on this dividend distribution but will resume making free money in MARCH 2026"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1982074420836573682) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-10-25T13:19Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"So this is what arbitrage of dividend looks like. I bought $XXX of $BITO PUT options and sold $XXX of $IBIT at same strike percentages. Now my profit is $XXX - $XXX = $XXX Let's ignore the $XX and account $XX for bad spreads. That's $XX profit RISK FREE The strategy WORKS YAY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1972661221435265383) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-09-29T13:54Z XXX followers, 1702 engagements


"$BITO October dividend is $XXXX Once again my model forecast was quite accurate. And more importantly the strategy that I shared for RISK FREE arbitrage of the dividend WORKED perfectly If you know the markets you know that free money is rare very rare. Enjoy that unique gift"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1973390092409446744) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-10-01T14:10Z XXX followers, 1147 engagements


"This distribution and the December 31st will help clear out the mystery hopefully. And If the fund behave as expected I should be able to estimate the new baseline for $BITO and should resume the regular "easy" forecasting from the February dividend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1982074191345037539) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-10-25T13:18Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"@SteveWps 1- Sell options on google amazon baba and bidu 2- wait for talks of trade war between us and china. 3- get assigned 4- sell covered call at insane levels 5- wait for a trump tweet of trade peace. 6- get assigned again. 7- congrats you made XX% in X months"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1982921814453162014) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-10-27T21:26Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"@DU09BTC At least they make the kids play some games. But that's some real bad parenting here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1982665222096658683) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-10-27T04:26Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"How flat do you want Bitcoin price to be this month YES"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1983064096405688661) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-10-28T06:51Z XXX followers, XX engagements


"$BITO november dividend is forecasted at $XXXX Read the previous post to understand that this forecast might be less accurate due to uncertainties in how the bito product works. This year should help up in understanding bito dividends for following years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1981697709791945196) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-10-24T12:22Z XXX followers, 1750 engagements


"So if my fund $BITO theory is correct we should get about $XXXX of dividend for November December and January (dec 31st) dividends. The only problem is that last year this model did NOT predict accurately the November dividend. Was it due to the X months futures or smthg else"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1982073551281696947) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-10-25T13:15Z XXX followers, 1219 engagements


"Wanna learn how $BITO works and make your own little bito fund to optimize your taxes I made a video explaining how to replicate the behavior of BITO using bitcoin or any $BTC etf like $IBIT I know my voice and video skills are atrocious :D Be gentle ;)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1983113288306344049) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-10-28T10:07Z XXX followers, XXX engagements


"@WhaleInsider Guys france just voted a X% increase in taxes on capital gains. Do you seriously think these politicians would do something clever"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1983290402838069404) [@RationalTrades](/creator/x/RationalTrades) 2025-10-28T21:50Z XXX followers, XX engagements