# ![@RationalTrades Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1431464359536979976.png) @RationalTrades RationalTrades

RationalTrades posts on X about bitcoin, $bito, $btc, money the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1431464359536979976/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1431464359536979976/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] -77%
- [--] Month [-----] -12%
- [--] Months [------] +72%
- [--] Year [-------] -23%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1431464359536979976/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1431464359536979976/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Month [--] -63%
- [--] Months [---] +37%
- [--] Year [---] -66%

### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1431464359536979976/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1431464359536979976/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [---] +0.44%
- [--] Month [---] +1.30%
- [--] Months [---] +11%
- [--] Year [---] +45%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1431464359536979976/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1431464359536979976/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  [stocks](/list/stocks)  [finance](/list/finance)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [countries](/list/countries)  [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  [social networks](/list/social-networks)  [currencies](/list/currencies)  [fashion brands](/list/fashion-brands) 

**Social topic influence**
[bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin), [$bito](/topic/$bito) #10, [$btc](/topic/$btc), [money](/topic/money), [dividend](/topic/dividend) #785, [inflation](/topic/inflation), [$clsk](/topic/$clsk), [$mara](/topic/$mara), [$bitf](/topic/$bitf), [$mstr](/topic/$mstr)

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@davidsilvasmith](/creator/undefined) [@vsa2](/creator/undefined) [@growthport](/creator/undefined) [@dripcalc](/creator/undefined) [@ionicdigital](/creator/undefined) [@celsiusfacts](/creator/undefined) [@maliciim](/creator/undefined) [@knappr](/creator/undefined) [@aarondbennett](/creator/undefined) [@saavedrafilm](/creator/undefined) [@ronpaulbot1234](/creator/undefined) [@unusualwhales](/creator/undefined) [@selling4premium](/creator/undefined) [@steelersfelix](/creator/undefined) [@whiterocksbros](/creator/undefined) [@ajtrades373](/creator/undefined) [@daagent6](/creator/undefined) [@simondixontwitt](/creator/undefined) [@otisa502](/creator/undefined) [@jamers2012](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [BitoPro Exchange Token (BITO)](/topic/$bito) [CLEANSPARK INC (CLSK)](/topic/$clsk) [MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA)](/topic/$mara) [Bitfarms Ltd. (BITF)](/topic/$bitf) [Strategy (MSTR)](/topic/$mstr) [Hut [--] Mining Corp. (HUT)](/topic/$hut) [Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT)](/topic/$riot) [Hive (HIVE)](/topic/$hive) [Cipher Mining Inc. Common Stock (CIFR)](/topic/$cifr) [iShares BTC Trust (IBIT)](/topic/$ibit) [Hive Digital Technologies Ltd (HIVE)](/topic/hive) [TeraWulf Inc. (WULF)](/topic/$wulf) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/$msft) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Iris Energy Limited (IREN)](/topic/$iren) [Grayscale BTC ETF (GBTC)](/topic/$gbtc) [PENN Entertainment Inc (PENN)](/topic/$penn) [PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL)](/topic/$pypl) [Argo Blockchain Plc (ARBK)](/topic/$arbk) [Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)](/topic/$amzn) [Activision Blizzard, Inc. (ATVI)](/topic/$atvi) [Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)](/topic/$sbux) [Alibaba Group (BABA)](/topic/$baba) [Robinhood Markets, Inc.  (HOOD)](/topic/$hood) [Fidelity BTC Trust (FBTC)](/topic/$fbtc) [Stronghold Digital Mining, Inc. (SDIG)](/topic/$sdig) [Oklo Inc. (OKLO)](/topic/$oklo) [QuantumCore (QBS)](/topic/quantum) [AT&T Inc. (T)](/topic/$t) [DisChain (DIS)](/topic/$dis) [Rally (RLY)](/topic/rally) [Bit Digital, Inc. (BTBT)](/topic/$btbt)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"@hoon_sky How come there is no negative correlation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1651971617667575808)  2023-04-28T15:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#SEC sued #binance #BTC dropped. But is there fear It doesn't look this way. All of the btc proxy ratios to bitcoin (here $MSTR) are close to their average. We are simply correcting too much optimism and returning at arbitrage equivalent values"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1666081835477274627)  2023-06-06T13:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@goatfury @LynAldenContact I took a short position on $NVDA this week. Not much cause liquidities are not drying up yet. But has good as it can be it is bound to mean revert"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1667301948515835905)  2023-06-09T22:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#Voyager recovery is effectively 14.5%. I know it's recovery at date of chapter [--] and etc. But from $BTC to $BTC that's 14.5%. Talk about a disaster. And the worst part is that it's the company that had the most assets left of all these chapter 11s"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1669806753364713472)  2023-06-16T20:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#Inflation for June YoY: 3% MoM N.S.A: 0.32% How Using Average Seasonal Adjustment and Lag model vs #truflation #CPI #BLS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1672640489210937346)  2023-06-24T16:19Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"1- Avg June S.A. to #CPI is 0.12% Mai was [---] above avg S.A. So: MoM NSA CPI of 0.22% on low end = 2.9% YoY 2- #truflation at 2.4% YoY My model taking BLS lag into account vs truflation predicts 3.1% as a maximum outcome. (0.42 MoM) 3-With rounding this could be [---] or 3%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1672640492843171842)  2023-06-24T16:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"I have made some bets (just for fun) that inflation would not be above 3.049% in June. I'll be making $240 if I'm right ;)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1672641454781657088)  2023-06-24T16:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"All $BTC proxies ran too high last week $MSTR $HUT $CLSK $BITF $MARA $ARBK a small correction is welcome to rebuild position. Especially MSTR is now back at a correlation support level. Personally selling puts at $250 as this could happen on a 10% BTC correction"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1673374768576487424)  2023-06-26T16:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@SPXQUANT oh wow. I do have couple shares myself. But risk reward look slightly unfavorable at the moment. This run was one the best uptrend for Microsoft EVER so i have been selling off most of it. Anyway good luck to you :)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1678409675195179012)  2023-07-10T14:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$MSTR ratio to $BTC is entering the danger zone. We see this happens when there is a lot of optimism for BTC and we saw this ratio go even higher during previous bull market. Still if BTC doesn't move higher during this summer $MSTR might bleed down. Moving to $GBTC and $BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1679131357639761922)  2023-07-12T14:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"On Monday 24th #Nasdaq will be rebalanced. $QQQ market cap of 148B will create sell pressure on some stocks. Here is impact: $MSFT -2.94% = 4.35B = 44% of daily volume. $NVDA -2.98% = 4.41B = 18% $GOOGL -1.91% = 2.83B = 70% $AMZN -1.61% = 2.38B = 29% $TSLA -1.04% = 1.54B = 4%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1682093742436524043)  2023-07-20T18:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$INTC #intel earnings have a high Implied Volatility :) [--] sigma move at $29 is also on a zone of resistance. [--] sigma move at $25 has no bids. Sold some $29 puts and luckily got executed at [----] instead of [----]. 42% APY for betting on 17% drop not happening is worth it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1684604800787263488)  2023-08-06T05:45Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"This is an example of how learning to use covered call options can protect you from downside. #trading #OptionsTrading $T #learningnewthings"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1684936866183651328)  2023-07-28T14:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$ATVI #Activision deal with $MSFT #microsoft is pretty much a done deal. The IV on the options is low but not THAT low. You can still make an easy 25% APY selling puts. There are even bids on calls at $95 or above. Who would buy a $96 call on a $95 deal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1686743103753818112)  2023-08-02T14:17Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Would you like an extra 0.34% APY on your Money Market Fund (or bond) 5% APY for the next [--] months Sell a call $ATVI at $95. That's as free money as you can get. Only do this if you are not planning to use cash in other ways. #ActivisionBlizzard #Activision"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1686744989106126850)  2023-08-02T14:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"If #Disney reports bad earnings there is no telling how low they can go. $DIS chart look like we have the resistance at $85 and then nothing until $35. Given the #woke backlash and previous earnings resulting in 10% drops with IV is only in the 60s% I'm scared of selling PUT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1688553916831547392)  2023-08-07T14:13Z [---] followers, 11K engagements


"Maybe Technical Analysis IS astrology for men. But $TSN went up to touch the upper bound and dropped right on the resistance zone. Both of them drawn a while ago. At this level I like selling PUT on #Tyson"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1688562555164176384)  2023-08-07T14:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"It's still a bit early to predict US August #inflation as oil price is on fast uptrend. But if @truflation ends at 2.5% (currently 2.25) we could see #CPI YoY 3.5% [----] MoM August usually has a strong S.A. (around -0.17) but looks unjustified. Most likely outcome [---] MoM 3.4%YoY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1689927513454125056)  2023-08-11T09:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"I love making money from irrationality in markets. $800 for betting that companies going bankrupt are not going to miraculously recover or that fake expensive meat is suddenly more profitable than real meat. $TUP $YELL $BYND $AMC $ATVI Follow the Implied Volatility"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1690089575438282753)  2023-08-11T19:55Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@Mr_APLEE Wework looks more like a buying PUT candidate either grinding up in some period or couple of stable days after a pump (that would crush the IV). I didn't look at this company before but earnings are going up (let's say less bad) so yeah I would definitely prefer buying PUTs :)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1690232351513559040)  2023-08-12T05:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@TimHaldorsson @unusual_whales No. June was the lowest cpi of the year. That's how YoY comparison works. Not that it makes much sense but that's how it is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1690461124729143297)  2023-08-12T20:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"I did warn that proxies got overextended on $BTC rally. But I didn't expect the way down to be so steep. I thought we would get a slow bleed until September but the correction has not slowed yet. Only $CLSK is not affected $HUT $MSTR $MARA $RIOT $BITF $CIFR ouch"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1691483841553215492)  2023-08-15T16:15Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Wanted to buyback some options I sold. But #fidelity is down. I guess that's also a reason to not have short dated options :D"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1691532807032467456)  2023-08-15T19:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$PYPL double bottom Or is the news of a stablecoin that bad of an idea With short term bonds at 5% that should be a good cash grab"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1691547601764556800)  2023-08-15T20:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"All of these are Correlation vs $BTC $MSTR has some support at this level but could still drop 15% $HUT limited support at this level trend support 15% down $CLSK $MARA $CIFR $RIOT trend support around 9% down. $BITF at support or 15/20% down. Not full panic in proxies yet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1692534244327739394)  2023-08-18T13:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"$MARA is totally getting squeezed right now. Correlation with $BTC wasn't lower than the other miners but it moved 12% more than similar miners like $RIOT $CLSK $HUT. Expect a underperformance by about 10% vs other miners in coming weeks. #bitcoin #GBTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1696602522180350442)  2023-08-29T19:15Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@STC_BTC $HUT has more $BTC per market cap than $MARA (about 2X) Also for previous pumps $RIOT had similar pattern as $MARA I'm not saying it's a bad stock but I think that it pumped too much today probably because it's a stock owned by multiple big institutions (like blackrock)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1696768502638538938)  2023-08-30T06:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@STC_BTC I look at correlations to move in assets reacting slower to some news which is why I mentioned it. Also except if there is a lot of debt/leverage the more bitcoin on balance sheet the more correlated to BTC they become. Meaning there should be less premium or discount vs btc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1696769256073936898)  2023-08-30T06:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@DavidSilvaSmith Mara is the go to stock for institutions for now (like BlackRock). It's very hard to analyze when squeezes are happening but it's possible that since they recently increased their holdings that news helped in pumping it more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1696770793215005081)  2023-08-30T06:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@YunSean1234 I don't think [---] is realistic. BLS data lags a lot and the non lagging indicator Gasoline price increase is not enough to pull the whole CPI so high. Depending on rounding we will get [---] or [---] #nowcasting predicting 3.8% is wrong EVERYTIME"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1697255301777592532)  2023-08-31T14:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$PENN is finally starting to look attractive 1- 30% return for selling short term PUT at $22 2-Some trend support 3-Intrinsic value and DFCF upside. 4-PE ratio under [--]. 5-Lot of retails burned by their investment. Better than $DRAFT making no money"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1699070354948600302)  2023-09-05T14:41Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@1m_chart @Grayscale It will probably get arbitraged away before they actually convert to ETF. Meaning all sellers of GBTC will suddenly only sell at spot price and poof no BTC to sell anymore. (or only a fraction because of 2% fees that exist)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1699305723589427263)  2023-09-06T06:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Some stocks like $T AT&T have lower implied volatility in option than the historical volatility. It doesn't really make sense to me as to why it's happening but on these stocks it is more profitable to buy options than to sell them"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1699417923490566390)  2023-09-06T13:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"August US #inflation on #kalshi is predicting: 0.65% MoM inflation which should be 0.48% non seasonally adjusted. That means 3.71% YoY inflation At same time the YoY market is forecasting 3.61% (0.55MoM S.A.) It's my 1st time seeing such spread some arbitrage might be possible"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1700177798881562793)  2023-09-08T16:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@SteveSokolowsk2 @DCGco @MicroStrategy @SECGov That's quite a gloomy outlook honestly if btc fails the only viable hope for future gets crushed and I dont see any peaceful alternative for next generations. I believe that big price swings are indeed likely but i don't think that the genie can go back in the bottle"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1700579417909559587)  2023-09-09T18:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"One of the many reasons crypto is going to crush the banking system. #btc #bitcoin #crypto #banks And the worst is that even if it was online to move money before Monday morning will not happen"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1700796488551424398)  2023-09-10T09:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#CPI betting recommendation I offer you a 3% return by Oct 12th. This is as close as 100% guarantee as you can get. See the graph. Even a triple covid event wouldn't change the result. US core inflation for September above [---] to 3%. About 8k of liquidity left at this price"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1703391160729776131)  2023-09-17T12:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Kalshi Who is providing the liquidity on CPI market Even if I'm forecasting perfectly the CPI price it's still very hard to monetize it with options trading on the stock market. I'm curious if it's your platform is selling CPI forecast enough to make up for the 99-98c "safe" bets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1703395687071654161)  2023-09-17T13:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Something unusual is going on. Normally on $BTC pump all proxy over react by at least 2X. Today $MARA is even down And all miners like $RIOT $CLSK $HUT are not moving much. Either there is no confidence in the pump or it's a set up for a squeeze. #Bullish #bitcoin📷 #GBTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1703782981075087527)  2023-09-18T14:48Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"$MARA $HUT $RIOT $BITF are all at the correlation level that they were before the pump of $BTC to 30k. While it's higher than when the market was depressed last march the fact that they barely reacted today is either manipulation or that there are no leverages at play"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1703804963132940678)  2023-09-18T16:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@online_activist Can you share invite i'm not sure which discord you are talking about"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1703838258243768471)  2023-09-18T18:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Last time I posted about weird correlation was mid March when there was a rally of #bitcoin and proxies ( $MSTR $BITF $MARA $HUT $CLSK $RIOT didn't react. Though the scale is smaller this time it's showing the same behavior. Look at history Be patient. https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1636378691801616389s=20 Weird $mstr and $bitf have not been decorrelating with $btc on the last move up. Either BTC drop wasn't long enough to accumulate short interest or markets don't believe in the rally of BTC. We are close to levels of when people believed MSTR loans were going to be liquidated."  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1704160681627385974)  2023-09-19T15:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@SailingBitcoin @CelsiansNetwork I think If you get 100% it means that you will get a higher percentage of the company cause not all shares are fulfilled. And Maybe it means less investors in the company so more potential upside"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1704562586329493860)  2023-09-20T18:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"I don't believe in "Deflation is bad". Nobody waits a year to buy tomatoes 2% cheaper. Phones lose value in [--] months but people still buy new iphone on release date. And what if it actually lead to less useless consumption All the better for mankind. #inflation #theft"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1705470150256824732)  2023-09-23T06:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@aditya_baradwaj @Kalshi Surprisingly(it seems) i am one of the few being interested by both kalshi and ftx news :)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1705651633491677391)  2023-09-23T18:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"US #CPI #inflation forecast for September: 3.75% YoY Given Oil trend I don't believe that September can be lower than average seasonal inflation (0.18). So [---] is MIN. Though Sep is usually higher than August I don't see a repeat of the surprising 0.43% MoM So [---] is MAX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1706592644049072363)  2023-09-26T08:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"1/ How to really measure what #Bitcoin will be worth in [----] It is very hard to choose a metric that will ensure that I will be able to feed my family in the coming years. Here is an attempt at that: a thread: TLDR: $BTC will increase my purchasing power by a minimum of 46%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1706662564560597238)  2023-09-26T13:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"2/ We see a lot of prediction in dollar prices but these are meaningless in the long term. Correcting it with inflation can give an idea but does not help in calculating a person purchasing power. Reported inflation does not represent any person spending habit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1706662567228199117)  2023-09-26T13:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"3/My spending habit for example represent an inflation more than 50% higher than reported by BLS. And all of that is assuming that every other aspect of inflation are right. Both from number collection to different adjustments"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1706662569639903405)  2023-09-26T13:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"14/Its pretty much guaranteed that OIL will be over $100(in todays $) by [----]. We can expect energy prices to lower eventually (2050) if we get more nuclear/hydro/renewable (driven by BTC adoption )"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1706662600371503575)  2023-09-26T13:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"15/ That gives us a MINIMUM target of $46k for BTC by [----]. Not crazy amount but that is a 6% INFLATION ADJUSTED return When the bear case is 8-10% per year its definitely an asset worth looking into"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1706662603894956514)  2023-09-26T13:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@danieleripoll Exactly the point i kept making. Deflation is only bad as a consequence a deflation due to healthy innovation will NOT stop the economy. And if it does have consequences it will affect all the trash that should never have been in shops in the first place. GDP = quality life"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1707819011419873307)  2023-09-29T18:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#tradingeconomics us cpi forecast for september is out. 3.8% YoY. Cleveland CPI forecast was around [---] before but they updated in to be wrong this month too. My forecast is 3.75% which should round to 3.8%. Government shutdown can affect release time :("  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1708105827347808538)  2023-09-30T13:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@btcprophecy @BTC_for_Freedom I would have said Bitcoin or Nuclear war"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1708514452717339011)  2023-10-01T16:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$BTC pumped 5% but most proxies stayed in the starting blocks. $MSTR correlation to #bitcoin even dropping For most we are only 10% away of average correlation that we get during morose times. If rally happens now it will be a hated one. $HUT $MARA $RIOT $CLSK $BITF $CIFR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1708848568478335447)  2023-10-02T14:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$MARA is the closest to the bottom based on correlation to #BTC Maybe it has to do with the 30% short interest. $MSTR is also 8% away from fair average value. Sentiment is getting worse and worse"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1709212120263315928)  2023-10-03T14:21Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@STC_BTC I saw one argument online that it's the anticipation of halving and so it needs a double price bitcoin to survive. But it doesn't really make sense since $MSTR is also down big during the same time period and they don't mine"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1710347249669038301)  2023-10-06T17:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"5000 rockets sent by Hamas a cost of about 100k per interception from the iron dome. That's at least $500M of revenue for $LMT (Lockheed martin) (about 1% of current annual revenue) to replenish the missiles. War for profits once again. #israel"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1710720525830434849)  2023-10-07T18:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"#CPI forecast: consensus is 3.55% YoY USOIL went up 9% last month historical average for September is 0.18% MoM inflation. But now it's [----] MoM How We got [---] point above historical average in August and they expect [-----] now What are the analysts smoking"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1711386314430390635)  2023-10-09T14:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"I honestly don't understand how they can get these numbers. Last month we got 0.43% MoM with an uptrend of inflation. Last time such big drops happened was when oil dropped 20%+ in a month. And scoop: It didn't happen this time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1711388306959745246)  2023-10-09T14:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@sabrikilic_ Oh yeah definitely Price of crude oil is the most up to date metric in the CPI. Many of of the other components have a lag (from [--] to [--] months) but us crude oil change is being reflected in the next month. For example 11% increased on CPI in Feb [--] for a14% crude oil change"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1711396506782093379)  2023-10-09T15:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Analysts are quite optimistic coming into inflation release tomorrow. Bank of America publish a [-------] which would be 3.549% and would round [---]. Or 0.104% MoM this #CPI number is possible considering that last month [----] points were due to gas price only Possible but unlikely"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1712125779813757284)  2023-10-11T15:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The last #MissionImpossible shows how useful crypto is. You just need to enter you IBAN and wait to decrypt the blockchain to receive your dollars :D This is a [----] movie. If you are buying #Bitcoin today you are still early"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1712432443465105910)  2023-10-12T11:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@80IQmindset If you can borrow at 3% borrow ALL YOU CAN. Buy US bond at 5.4% use the 2.4% profit to buy BTC. [--] risks this way"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1712464190781497581)  2023-10-12T13:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The bests I made on #Kalshi on #CPI #inflation this time were not as profitable as other months in term of percentage. But this is what I expected when I started to increase the amounts. Still I averaged a return of 4.3% in a month. Pretty good for decorrelated returns ;)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1712467948231852379)  2023-10-12T13:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@DavidSilvaSmith @JasonRaznick I don't think they will. 1-When inflation was too high due to oil price rising like crazy they said they only cared about "core" inflation. 2-Their "nowcasting" predictions have purposely been too high for past [--] months too. 3-Also they know housing data lags a lot"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1712496219623198754)  2023-10-12T15:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Interesting CPI US inflation forecast for October on #kalshi The MoM data is forecasting a [----] seasonally adjusted which is a 0.1-0.12MoM n.s.a. This should correspond to a 3.4% inflation YoY but YoY market bets on 3.3%. Too bad the spreads are too wide for arbitrage"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1712893255031963987)  2023-10-13T18:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@luke_broyles I actually created a model that could predict a conservative Bitcoin price if this were to happen. This take into account the sell pressure from LTH when price increase based on historical data"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1713227878152749530)  2023-10-14T16:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@SteveSokolowsk2 It's a "fake" news from cointelegraph that claimed bitcoin etf got approved"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1713954476909043925)  2023-10-16T16:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$TSLA earnings coming on Wednesday. [--] sigma moves + support at $212.5 selling PUTS at this strike is 10.4% API. Descent risk reward. #Tesla"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1713979509098053927)  2023-10-16T18:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$NFLX #Netflix Implied Volatility for this earning is lower than last quarter. Selling PUT on the [--] sigma move at $285 returns 10% API"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1713992496475226213)  2023-10-16T18:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"As expected $ATVI options will expire at the end of the week. Selling the calls with [--] months expiry which expired in [--] months made about 4% return (15-20% API) on this trade at no risks. Thanks $msft The selling of PUTS also made money but had some risks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1714278300468830370)  2023-10-17T13:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"One reason for $NFLX price increase is not leading to massive unsubscribing is shared accounts. Cause it needs shared subscribers to agree on deleting account at the same time. And if politics taught you anything is that people dont agree. Less password sharing could backfire"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1714876438279499977)  2023-10-19T05:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$BTC is up but all proxies are in the toilets it's like #bitcoin price doesn't have an impact on miners earnings. Except for $CIFR and $MSTR All other should be 20-25% higher compared to recent history $MARA $CLSK $HUT $BITF $RIOT Will patience be rewarded"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1715437140211908612)  2023-10-20T18:37Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"$WLN #Worldline updated their objectives and tanked the fintech market #paypal #block. Is reducing next year growth by 30% really worth a drop of 60% in the stock $PYPL and $SQ lost 5% as well just for correlation sake. I will hold until earnings since they can't be that bad"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1717232820874285490)  2023-10-25T17:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Would you touch $ABNB ahead of earnings with an ugly chart that broke trend and months of negative news about the airbnb model I think selling call spreads might be the only way to profit from the IV but what a risk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1718983641743647137)  2023-10-30T13:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@LynAldenContact If adjusted with the CPI of food away from home instead of global one this looks very different. It's still up from [----]. But almost no growth since 2021"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1719190636325126163)  2023-10-31T03:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@WhiteRu23473756 @verifiedjeff @CelsiusNewCo @CelsiusNetwork At this point it might be time to consider everything expect the 30% as a loss for taxe purposes of 2023"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1719389552069026094)  2023-10-31T16:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@RiskOnBobby @mikealfred Weekly covered calls while waiting. It needs a second surprising btc pump for miners to react. Probably the pump due to etf announcement wich i expect is still couple weeks away"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1719946692936483314)  2023-11-02T05:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$PENN is saying that in [--] years they would have a cash flow almost equal to their market cap. Is the stock really undervalued or are they hiding something to investors"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1720077142862840155)  2023-11-02T13:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$CIFR correlation to #Bitcoin is getting very close to squeeze levels. Seems like $DGHI squeeze risk was rebalanced. All others $MARA $RIOT $HUT $CLSK are lagging hard. A 10% pump on $BTC by mid-end November could make all of them 2X. I'm selling covered calls until then"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1720078892319617454)  2023-11-02T14:02Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"If you are worried that you missed the recent $BTC pump you can still buy miners. $MARA for example is trading at the equivalent of a sub 30k #Bitcoin . $RIOT $CLSK $BITF $HIVE and some others are behaving the same. $CIFR is not fully caught up but over the 30k already"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1720446059762106794)  2023-11-03T14:21Z [---] followers, 10.1K engagements


"Learning about options matter: In last [--] months I sold option (PUT and Covered CALL) on $DIS within the descending range I made $1723 return for a capital of about $20k. That's about 17% APY on an asset that has dropped by about 15% in the last [--] months. Repeat for next Earnings"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1720725243109445943)  2023-11-04T08:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@SteveSokolowsk2 From a social perspective it's always interesting to discover why people invent certain beliefs as it can lead to some discoveries. 40% of people also believe in ghosts but I don't think it's worth spending "serious" money on such thing. Occam's razor is not in avg person mind"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1721259549867246026)  2023-11-05T20:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"My US #CPI forecast for October is 3.4% YoY. This has been delayed as I know other forecast show #inflation at 3.3%. (0% MoM s.a.) To increase confidence I've been working on a new model to understand these difference work is not complete so 3.4% is still based on old model"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1721837011143708709)  2023-11-07T10:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@reversemtgfl $BTC is best $MSTR and $GBTC are easier to handle. I for sure prefer bitcoin for investing long term but shorter time frames option trading on miners is too profitable to just ignore. On a bad week I still make something like 0.5% return"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1721980071693500678)  2023-11-07T19:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@JMellerud How does that work All profits always become a new depreciating asset forever When is balance sheet becomes profitable"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1723028474963587173)  2023-11-10T17:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"This is one of the reasons I trade option on miners and not just #Bitcoin📷 . I sold $HUT option for 2$(0.66% return per week) but it got filled at 18$ $300 bonus for free"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1723056860733800815)  2023-11-10T19:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$HUT is now the miner with the lowest correlation to $BTC. It's trading at the same ratio as when Bitcoin was in full fear mode at the end of December at 16k. It's not the most efficient miner but I don't think it's gonna get bankrupt either. $MARA $RIOT $CLSK $BITF $WULF $CIFR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1724450429264625670)  2023-11-14T15:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Totally playing the volatility crush of $NVDA upside Sigma moves are : [------] / [------] / [------] For even extra safety: Selling call spread 640-650 over [--] weeks should return 2% when buying back tomorrow. (unless stock goes up 25% upon earnings which I highly doubt it will)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1727058632062427355)  2023-11-21T20:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@AjaSois710 @ChaturGPT @satyanadella What intellectual property Models are black boxes anyway. The models are running in azure. They could have litteraly duplicated open ai infra in the next week"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1727221322776740207)  2023-11-22T07:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@AutismCapital They acted exactly as chat gpt does when you tell it that the answer is wrong"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1727260716212908531)  2023-11-22T09:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@sunglassesface Putting a ranking of cheese without mentioning how aged is the cheese. loses all credibility. It's like ranking richest people in the world by numbers on account and using different currencies"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1727397248450138514)  2023-11-22T18:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"ChatGPT really empowers creating tools for anyone. It took me couple hours to create my first chrome extension to add calculation of APY earning percentages on fidelity for selling puts covered calls and spreads. Nothing fancy but it never was this easy to get stuff to work"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1728162381925138626)  2023-11-24T21:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$CLSK squeeze can still go up 10-20% but usually it's in 80% range from bottom. I do regret not having switched my $hut to CLSK on mid November when I considered it but now even if it's a good miner with upside potential correlation to $btc upside will be limited"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1729573250437439572)  2023-11-28T18:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$CIFR and $HUT are the [--] miner stocks with the lowest ratios to #bitcoin . $MSTR correlation is not moving even with BTC going up so much. $CLSK then $BITF look a bit optimistic $MARA $RIOT seems depressed but reacting. Selling puts on CIFR at $2.5"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1732110964743352453)  2023-12-05T18:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$MDB beat on all metrics. But as is often the case high expectation + high IV means that selling CALL spreads works great. Used my website and my new chrome extension to find the safest spreads giving the best returns and I got a 2% return overnight"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1732146209341747366)  2023-12-05T21:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Markets are reacting from a #FOMC no rate hike that was "100% priced in". So do you really think bitcoin etf and halving are priced in #BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1735016748552781844)  2023-12-13T19:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$X United States steel corporation is being acquired for $55 per share. If you sell these calls on margin you make about $50 for $1000 of collateral. (so 5%) and if the deal closes within [--] months that's a 20% APY. If the deal doesn't go through option becomes worthless"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1736825377509544027)  2023-12-18T19:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"My post was couple days early but it looks like the miner rotation is finally happening. Laggards are finally catching up. Selling PUTs on HUT and CIFR was indeed a good risk reward approach. (less profit but less risk) $HUT $CIFR $MARA $CLSK $BITF #BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1736826896925573464)  2023-12-18T19:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@RemiMarenco L'aspect chimique de la dpression est pour moi l'approche la plus raisonable mais a la fois difficile a s'extraire. Malbouffe pas de motivation et sport mauvais sommeil et on rentre dans le cercle vicieux qui empire chimiquement. Ce qu'il y dans ton point [--] est parfait"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1736844390394741136)  2023-12-18T20:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$BITO open interest [-----] contracts at $65 for Jan. That's a very weird bet even if ETF is approved i doubt $BTC will triple in [--] weeks. Maybe 10-20% upside for #bitcoin etf approval i'll publish spreads idea to maximize gains next week"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1740465965069148357)  2023-12-28T20:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The shorts are back I thought the volume might have waited for after new year to crush everything back down but it seems their was too many CALL options in profit to allow that. $HUT $RIOT $MARA $CLSK $BITF $CIFR $WULF Wait for correlation to #bitcoin to drop more before ETF"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1740760164783776180)  2023-12-29T15:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@earnings_watch Good article but one thing i have noticed is that often the IV rise enough during the week to compensate for the theta decay. Meaning that from monday to thursday the option price is mostly flat for a flat underlying. It even some time increase due to reduction in spreads"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1740813469673259345)  2023-12-29T19:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@vsa2 @Paolodamus Can grok even search in twitter database As an engineer who worked in back end of search pipeline i can tell this is not an easy task if the backend isnt made for such queries. If it was doing just a ai reading of whole database it would take days to reply accurately"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1741165258838880305)  2023-12-30T18:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@vsa2 @Paolodamus Yes for sure. But for having used LLM in different projects to enhance backend data when you give the choice to the LLM to not answer if they are not sure or can't do it you end up with 95% of null results. Companies prefer being wrong over not answering in the race for LLM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1741174289829666856)  2023-12-30T19:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"My goal this year was 30k + matching inflation. Condition were truly favorable but I easily beat my goal. I now have some margin of error for coming years. My biggest winners were Crypto Proxies ( $MSTR $HUT $MARA) But my earnings strategies also paid up. $BABA $NVDA $ULTA $CVNA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1741408593864171614)  2023-12-31T10:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"( $BTC proxy tickers are removed from the summary as I don't have a good way of displaying gains here) Money market funds also brought good extra income after I learned how to not use margin but cash as collateral for assets requiring 100% collateral"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1741408596028518514)  2023-12-31T10:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"My biggest loser was $GOOGL which I sold for tax reason in December of [----] (I was on margin because of some assignment of MSTR shares). My entry was bad but good learning here. And I really failed on $CLSK from boredom of it lagging hard"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1741408597756518824)  2023-12-31T10:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"#bitcoin technical analysis shows support and resistance everywhere. As we approach next halving cycle I think it's time to clean up my $BTC chart. ETF approval chances on Thursday [--] AM (EST)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1742102508800004214)  2024-01-02T08:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@DavidSilvaSmith No it depends on the stock you are selling put for. If you sell a put for msft for example. You need about 15-25% of strike as collateral but the money leaves the cash sweep or mmf to provide the collateral. If you sell a put on a bitcoin proxy ( $hut $mara) the collateral is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1742145557735387479)  2024-01-02T11:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@DavidSilvaSmith 100% So if i You buy on "margin" the money of collateral leaves the mmf. If you buy with "cash" as collateral it always use 100% of strike price ( so never risk a margin call) and cash stays in mmf. Since volatile stocks need 100% as collateral anyway there is no reason to sell"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1742146322822488083)  2024-01-02T11:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@100trillionUSD Just enough to match inflation ;)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1742250536697766202)  2024-01-02T18:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"I'm pretty grateful to the fud article on #BitcoinETF rejection. I was almost sad that i couldnt place bullish bets just right before thursday the day of statistically more etf approvals. $bito $gbtc $hut $mara"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1742623747884909004)  2024-01-03T19:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@otteroooo I'm also havw mixed opinion. But how can be sell the news when etf approval is equivalent to a 70k btc price It should be representative of probabilities. So I think etf approval chances are not deemed 100% yet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1743323390344147170)  2024-01-05T17:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"1- You have 500k and decide to retire after placing money in S&P ETF at 9% per year. You spend 35k each year. After [--] years you are broke :( 2-You learn #Optionselling and make 100% on the first year then buy the same ETF. Money goes to infinity you never work again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1743926226144649281)  2024-01-07T09:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"US CPI for December: 3.3% YoY 0.3% MoM s.a. #Inflation numbers are dropping fast and if my forecast is correct in January the numbers will make the market VERY happy since it's showing deflation instead of usual inflation. We will be at 2.2% YoY and an insane -0.5% s.a. MoM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1744339777929818616)  2024-01-08T12:46Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"I don't have enough data on the deflation spectrum so I have a bit less confidence in the forecast so don't go crazy betting on outcomes. But the model I've created should get better over time AND I'll be working on making it available on"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1744339780681207841)  2024-01-08T12:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@CB30A1 That's true they don't like it. But deflation numbers like these would really drive the rate cut narrative by end of Q1. "Bad news is good news" type of event"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1744343494238306507)  2024-01-08T13:01Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Sometime I wonder if there is really people working at They often make [--] different #inflation prediction depending on the metric. CPI 3.2% but index 3.3%. Always right but always wrong too. Wide spread from analysts for CPI this month from 3.1% to 3.3%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1744348547770663124)  2024-01-08T13:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@SteveSokolowsk2 @GenesisTrading [--] pe ratio doesnt scare you"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1744587118049919352)  2024-01-09T05:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$MSTR correlation to $BTC got smacked down 22% in past few days. Stay alert price is getting in the attractive zone soon. I've started selling couple PUTs. $riot $cifr $hut ratios are also starting to get more attractive for #Optionselling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1744827164728418484)  2024-01-09T21:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Who could have guessed that a social media account could get hacked. I always wondered how some official news of events were first twitted. In software engineering this is akin to deploying to prod from personal laptop. 🚨 Breaking: SEC's Twitter Hack Promotes a False Bitcoin ETF Approval 🚨 A fake post by @SECGov claiming a #Bitcoin ETF approval sent the market into a frenzy. Uncover the full story and its implications on the crypto world. $BTC Read more: https://t.co/nfE0n4wvSj 🚨 Breaking: SEC's Twitter Hack Promotes a False Bitcoin ETF Approval 🚨 A fake post by @SECGov claiming a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1744893165268562299)  2024-01-10T01:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"I've updated my #inflation model to take into account historical and seasonality data of BLS. Correlation to actual BLS is up by 2-3% but seems to be less accurate for big readings. Still 3.3% for December CPI But Jan at 2.5% YoY and [----] MoM seems better US CPI for December: 3.3% YoY 0.3% MoM s.a. #Inflation numbers are dropping fast and if my forecast is correct in January the numbers will make the market VERY happy since it's showing deflation instead of usual inflation. We will be at 2.2% YoY and an insane -0.5% s.a. MoM https://t.co/gxuQWN12Kf US CPI for December: 3.3% YoY 0.3% MoM s.a."  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1745009935086174251)  2024-01-10T09:09Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@amitisinvesting Sorry to disappoint but it looks like robinhood numbers are incorrect. I would love for $PYPL to go up once I loaded on more share though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1745343780432101766)  2024-01-11T07:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"As expected many people are moving from $btc proxy to #BitcoinETFs on first trading day. I'm expecting correlations from proxy to bitcoin to suffer a bit in coming days. Be patient an opportunity awaits. $MSTR $MARA $HUT $RIOT $CLSK $BITF $CIFR $ARBK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1745464767148613863)  2024-01-11T15:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$MSTR is entering the 10% normal value zone. I knew it was likely to correct but I'm surprised that it dipped under [---] on Friday I got caught slightly off guard with my #optionselling at [---] strike. Will let some exercise and roll the rest at 460-440. Opportunity is coming"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1745897979058262418)  2024-01-12T19:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Cool [--] days ago I placed a limit order for $BTC at [-----]. Looks like it was the perfect wick for a fill :)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1746083006542963025)  2024-01-13T08:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@Bill121281 Great summary. $MSTR also flashed for me this week. I'm gonna start getting more aggressive for selling some puts. Are you able to value $HUT effectively after the merger (the unknowns are still big no )"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1746176341077074050)  2024-01-13T14:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Homepages of #BlackRock $ibit #Fidelity $FBTC #VanEck $hodl If you were wondering how the old finance will promote #bitcoin📷 . It's literally the first thing you see on login. I've never seen that for anything else. #Wisetree $btcw homepage is disappointing compared"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1747264971036410113)  2024-01-16T14:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$BA dropped 25% from one door not being fixed correctly. Looks like the stock is crashing more than the planes. 195-210 zone has some decent volume probably good strikes for #Optionselling Lot of options at $200 already. Might act as support this week"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1747286722767909217)  2024-01-16T15:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"After #BitcoinETFs approval everyone is expecting #Bitcoin to sell the news or rockets to ATH. Most of the time $BTC stays on support for longer than everyone expects. That's the time to option trade proxies $MSTR $MARA $RIOT $HUT $WULF $CIFR $BITF. High IV but low realized Vol"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1747573620572823612)  2024-01-17T10:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"I have embedded the US #CPI forecasting model in my website. You can now look FOR FREE at the same #inflation data I use to predict BLS numbers one month ahead and make money with. My model is subject to improvements as more data gets released"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1747728141731172726)  2024-01-17T21:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@ParrotCapital Before the merger $1.5 was a good entry point though. So [---] after the merge. I'm not sure how the merging actually decreased the value of the btc holdings and the company overall. For sure not the most efficient miner. But lower than premerge"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1748073739739185188)  2024-01-18T20:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$BTC correction while not my main scenario was well within my expectations. $MSTR and other proxies ( $MARA $RIOT correlation drop as well.) But a -25% daily candle on $hut when correlation to #bitcoin is at all time low THAT I didn't expect. Ouch. Payback for the squeeze"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1748076942367035679)  2024-01-18T20:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Seriously how can anything justify an already optimistic valuation of $NVDA to go up 25% in [--] weeks Company is good yes they will sell a lot for sure. BUT come on. They can't just create factories and materials out of thin air"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1748446656012472330)  2024-01-19T20:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Selling4Premium This was the graph for last week"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1748792348761280624)  2024-01-20T19:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"If $PYPL is not involved friday rally could reverse. JUST IN: X launches new payments account. https://t.co/IHtls7TMDJ JUST IN: X launches new payments account. https://t.co/IHtls7TMDJ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1748950131695657181)  2024-01-21T06:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$V Visa Earning is really not interesting from an #optionselling perspective. Volatility is low Sigma moves at 260-250-240. The stock was at [---] a week ago. Seems like options are undervalued if you can predict the direction options are cheap"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1749503994135748670)  2024-01-22T18:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Is $INTC intel really going to gain so much from the AI craze The [--] sigma move at $56 coincide with some resistance. I prefer selling calls on such stock as a bad news might be real bad but a good news would make all people underwater since [----] to exit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1749506765983527248)  2024-01-22T18:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$MSTR is getting attractive. The [---] ratio to $btc is usually the beginning of the safe buy zone (especially when mstr #bitcoin stack is above dca average) 12% extra drop would bring it to the "buy on hard" or sell PUT ATM. I've started going in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1749809853827355019)  2024-01-23T15:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"I know TA is not everything but for the still popular $T ahead of earnings but it's not looking attractive. [--] years in the same downtrend and we are close to the top of it. Let's come back when it touches the $10 support trend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1749820398886170874)  2024-01-23T15:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@truflation @APompliano @RaoulGMI @FromValue @charliebilello But because of the lag we will still have to wait until April 12th for a CPI print under 2% by BLS. So no rate cut in March. If @truflation numbers continue to show a the same rate of disinflation (basically 0% change MoM) and per my model we could be under 2% BLS inflation for March data. (probably still 2-2.1% for Feb) After march though lagging shipping price rise might make US #CPI go up again. https://t.co/Vz9mMx8Dvk If @truflation numbers continue to show a the same rate of disinflation (basically 0% change MoM) and per my"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1749903156555702721)  2024-01-23T21:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@threefivesinv @truflation @APompliano @RaoulGMI @FromValue @charliebilello It really depends on what they wish to convey. They could focus on annualized MoM seasonally adjusted inflation that could still be above 2% or Core CPI or on recent inflationary pressure from shipping or wish for at least [--] month under 2% to be sure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1750033521731670393)  2024-01-24T05:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Well well well who could have predicted that $T is not breaking out of the down trend. I know TA is not everything but for the still popular $T ahead of earnings but it's not looking attractive. [--] years in the same downtrend and we are close to the top of it. Let's come back when it touches the $10 support trend https://t.co/VW4GJ7BWfw I know TA is not everything but for the still popular $T ahead of earnings but it's not looking attractive. [--] years in the same downtrend and we are close to the top of it. Let's come back when it touches the $10 support trend https://t.co/VW4GJ7BWfw"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1750152684546449756)  2024-01-24T13:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Even though $PYPL is having trouble staying in the short term uptrend On longer time frame it's still a breakout of a descending wedge with a target (according to TA) of $104 which also matches the base case $108 target with DFCF model. Invalidated if drops to $60. Upside 60%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1750176930379289073)  2024-01-24T15:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Given the huge amount of calls at [---] and [---] I was a bit surprised by the huge $NVDA rally to $628 today. They have [--] more days to make these calls worthless. Looking at open interest and maximum pain theory is a must for #optionselling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1750256704413925688)  2024-01-24T20:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$PYPL classic sell the news on "First Look Event" Honestly except for the bullsh*t talk about AI it seems they focused on making operations [--] click. Imo this is the most important though it already exist as chrome extensions for basic customers that's a real difference"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1750616759382741157)  2024-01-25T20:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Not much risk with $INTC earning calls and a descent reward. It doesn't matter if you are right or wrong as long as you have enough of a safety margin. There is enough to me made already while playing it safe through #Optionselling Is $INTC intel really going to gain so much from the AI craze The [--] sigma move at $56 coincide with some resistance. I prefer selling calls on such stock as a bad news might be real bad but a good news would make all people underwater since [----] to exit. https://t.co/JyLshZKWGj Is $INTC intel really going to gain so much from the AI craze The [--] sigma move at $56"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1750910803526467664)  2024-01-26T15:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"I still havent figured out how to play next gafam earnings. $msft $goog $amzn $meta $aapl are so high that even a 20% drop is barely attractive. Results will probably be good too but who knows how much they could squeeze. if they follow Nvidia trend anything is possible"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1751702038893727757)  2024-01-28T20:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Playing it super safe on $MSFT $GOOG $3T company at an all time high. It's not a good entry price but at the same time but one mention of AI and market goes bonkers. (not for $PYPL though) Low profit and staying patient until then"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1752067039664165350)  2024-01-29T20:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$HUT keeps underperforming. The rebound after the FUD piece was actually much faster than I expected and I did loose couple teeth because of it. But correlation to $BTC is still in a solid downtrend so I don't recommend jumping back in blindly. $MSTR is a better option now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1752079201597899043)  2024-01-29T21:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"#Optionselling for earnings tonight couple of very wide short strangle. $GOOG [---] [---] $MSFT [---] [---] $cp puts [--] [--] $AMD [---] $SBUX [--] $EA [---] [---] Good luck everyone"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1752426869297668517)  2024-01-30T20:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"#FOMC Powel saying that the balance sheet reduction is going well. It can go well it's trending up since jan [----]. If reduction means increasing then all is good"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1752787196728275342)  2024-01-31T20:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"#bitcoin miners are getting shorted right now. How do I know Everytime short sellers are on the move I receive an email asking me to lend my $HUT and $MSTR shares. Review your lending policies some brokers like webull lend your shares by default. Don't lend for pennies"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1753082731636854938)  2024-02-01T15:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$IREN is starting to look good both on USD and $BTC chart. $HIVE is looking closer to entry too. $HUT $MARA $CLSK $HIVE $WULF $RIOT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1753092000918729063)  2024-02-01T16:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@earnings_watch Meta was crazy. I did good not selling options on this earning call as I noticed that the risk was not worth the reward this time around. I'm too chicken to buy options on earnings even if there is a slight statistical edge"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1753769925808644176)  2024-02-03T13:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Here is some new $BTC chart you've never seen anywhere else. In grey is the realized price of #bitcoin when removing the lost coins. Current realized price charts include [---] millions of lost coins at the price they got lost. Actual realized price of BTC today is about $28k"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1754154711547003280)  2024-02-04T14:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$CLSK doing 5X the $BTC move. Right. Nothing to see move along the whole market makes perfect sense"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1756050310731018368)  2024-02-09T20:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@amitisinvesting Yes. It's almost sure. But how will the market react is unpredictable. They could decide that deflation is in the cards and bad for economy. #CPI US January: For 1st time in my #inflation model I'm getting a history adjusted data higher than without history. So i'm getting [--] different MoM n.s.a. inflation: [----] and [----]. Which gives [---] or [---] YoY inflation. Consensus is [---] to [--]. Beat on CPI garanteed https://t.co/xlWDwJmVm0 #CPI US January: For 1st time in my #inflation model I'm getting a history adjusted data higher than without history. So i'm getting [--] different MoM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1757327710777381305)  2024-02-13T08:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"I think I found an "arbitrage" opportunity. I'm gonna sell $BITO Puts at -15% and buy proxy miners Puts at -40% for 80% of the bito profit. If the price goes up I make 6% APY. If price goes down $MARA $RIOT $CLSK $BITF should print more than $BITO put loses value by about 25%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1758098248995045489)  2024-02-15T11:57Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"I'm seeing a lot of early assignment of $HUT calls. Everything deep in the money got assigned for me and others. I think this means profit taking is happening for $BTC miners. Also beware $MARA $CLSK $BITF as they look like the most stretched out from this pump"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1758154886833684735)  2024-02-15T15:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Looks like my $BITO $CLSK $MARA $MSTR arbitrage play is working. While paying less for PUTS I bought than the ones I sold profit has already compensated the buy-sell spreads. Finally a strategy to profit at low risk when proxies are too high :) I think I found an "arbitrage" opportunity. I'm gonna sell $BITO Puts at -15% and buy proxy miners Puts at -40% for 80% of the bito profit. If the price goes up I make 6% APY. If price goes down $MARA $RIOT $CLSK $BITF should print more than $BITO put loses value by about 25%. I think I found an "arbitrage" opportunity. I'm gonna sell $BITO Puts at"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1758221441974018398)  2024-02-15T20:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Is $PENN drop on earnings really worrying From TA perspective it's just at the bottom of this [--] year range. I have #Optionselling puts at [--]. I'll go through earning call but I believe slow down was expected from what they presented last time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1758222821195448509)  2024-02-15T20:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"So my strategy is working For a loss of around 20$ on the $BITO put I have 200$ profit on $MSTR MSTR Profit is already covering the other puts I bought. Making 200$ for 20k collateral is [--] days is not crazy. But It protects from $BTC correction. Looks like my $BITO $CLSK $MARA $MSTR arbitrage play is working. While paying less for PUTS I bought than the ones I sold profit has already compensated the buy-sell spreads. Finally a strategy to profit at low risk when proxies are too high :) https://t.co/Q2y9fxbY2v https://t.co/JwQtqFX9pl Looks like my $BITO $CLSK $MARA $MSTR arbitrage play is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1758583871174500460)  2024-02-16T20:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@bullfromsea Your site and data is amazing. I was trying to calculate such probability slope based on hodl waves and wasn't really happy with my approximations. Is this chart available on your site"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1758891484202295799)  2024-02-17T16:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@bullfromsea The theory that I'm working on is that the probability of selling btc changes based on age AND price. Thus creating an "available supply" of btc when price rises. This available supply is what dollar inflow/on ramp are buying"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1758892531935273415)  2024-02-17T16:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$MSTR is no longer in overvalue zone. Not yet in fair price zone but in this stable elevated zone. I took profit $150 profit on my put. And bought back the $BITO puts for the same price I sold them. Main issue with this arbitrage play is that $BITO spreads are wide"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1760330152146280546)  2024-02-21T15:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@elskied Implied Volatility. This is the move expected by the option market. Realized or Historical Volatility is what the stock actually moved. When stocks are expected to move a lot VIX is high. When there is low uncertainty VIX is low"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1760907456203395425)  2024-02-23T06:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$PENN is playing it close with the trends. From earning calls; the management team seemed very confident if future growth. I started building a position. People gamble when times are bad. And bad times are coming"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1762218663216591247)  2024-02-26T20:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"I hope you bought the new #BitcoinETFs right away when you got rid of your $GBTC $BTC is already up 32% since the swap to less fees"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1762495522219434299)  2024-02-27T15:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"My $CLSK $MSTR hedging trade to $BTC has not lost any money. This is a smart way to make money when something happens and not lose any when the opposite occurs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1762854069641601029)  2024-02-28T14:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"That's not often that you see $BTC proxies decorrelate like that. Yes they pumped too much especially $CLSK. But $MSTR is not correcting neither is $MARA And laggards ( $HUT $CIFR $HIVE ) are correcting hard too Bets are all over. Waiting $HIVE at $3 & $CIFR at $2.5"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1762928619813302388)  2024-02-28T19:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$MSTR on the other hand is getting in the expensive zone. A 15% drop would be normalization of the $btc correlation ratio. Maybe it will not happen but my #optionselling of $BITO will cover the option cost anyway"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1763227829624304026)  2024-02-29T15:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$MSTR is getting real close (about 6% away) from an historical $BTC correlation resistance. The S&P inclusion is bullish for sure but it will not happen right way. There is still upside potential on squeezes but better bet on #bitcoin right now if bullish. Better Risk Reward"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1763679132863365576)  2024-03-01T21:34Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Surprisingly if you look at the overperformance of $COST vs S&P and adjust for inflation. It's not overvalued anymore. It's still in the same range of overperforming the market. Definitely not in a buy zone but not ripe for sell either"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1764632563182666003)  2024-03-04T12:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"For reference this is what $AVGO broadcom charts looks like when compared to s&p and adjusted for inflation. If that's not overbought i'm not sure what is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1764633424969470131)  2024-03-04T12:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Is it possible that $TSLA bulls are moving to $NVDA I believe investors that love huge PE ratios and invest into future promises are the same. Or is it just different people for different dreams"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1764744207590146227)  2024-03-04T20:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$MSTR $BITO arbitrage PUT works again. #Bitcoin goes up I make money #bitcoin goes down I lose less. I am 3k in profit from yesterday arbitrage trade though it needed quite some liquidity for coverging a 5k put. I may have existed the other $CLSK arb puts prematurely"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1765052233564016964)  2024-03-05T16:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Is it time to reenter $BTC miners My targets are: $MARA [--] $CIFR [---] $HIVE [--] $RIOT [--] $IREN [---] $BTBT [--] $CLSK [--] $WULF [--] $HUT [--] For some I started #optionselling PUTs at these levels if they don't get assigned as #bitcoin goes up i'm also fine with it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1765054750645469634)  2024-03-05T16:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Does this look familiar That's $GSOL chart around a 10x premium to NAV. Like it happened for $BTC with $GBTC and $ETH with $ETHE $SOL is getting pushed into another grayscale product. Careful with what you buy. You might be overpaying for no reasons"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1767208941493076441)  2024-03-11T15:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"So the only thing needed for #bitcoin miners correlation to go back up was simply for $BTC to drop. It seems like a good time for entry for $HIVE $BITF $RIOT as btc downside will be [--] to [--] but upside can be 3X bitcoin. Let's see"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1768638532862554459)  2024-03-15T14:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Stevo_12 Fidelity caps fees at 5% Firstrade [--] fees on options. But no mmf"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1770348692790296668)  2024-03-20T07:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@DavidSilvaSmith Microsoft teams. dont you love the fact that a chat messenger has ability to browse the web have a 3d avatar and other features i ve never used but cant copy paste [--] commandline without swapping them around"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1771563497958080597)  2024-03-23T15:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"My $btc arbitrage trade: Sell $BITO puts buy $CIFR and $HUT puts. $Hut is not particularly overbought but earnings might bring calamities. Either way I'll be profitable"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1772621244732428770)  2024-03-26T13:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"I tried pretty hard to get assigned some shares of $HIVE and $BITF I know I could have bought directly and would have made maybe 2x the return of my option sells but the margin of security is what lets me sleep at night and this strategy is repeatable"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1773359125260308991)  2024-03-28T14:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"I profited from this strategy with $HUT last year until the disatrous split and scam allegations. I didn't expect $hut to pump today Every analysis estimated a cost of 100k+ for HUT to mine #bitcoin the claim of 18k while probably true in context seems to be twisting reality"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1773359128594763920)  2024-03-28T14:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Stay cautious the correlation of $hut to $btc is still in a down channel. I'm still sometime selling puts on $HUT but wait for it at the bottoms. $BTBT $BITF $HIVE seems more attractive right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1773359133007249548)  2024-03-28T14:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"What is wrong with the Implied Volatility of S&P Many options for well known stocks are trading below historical volatility. A stock like $PEP making 2% daily candles is trading at 18% IV $SPY is at 12% IV while it went up 12% YTD Oo I smell complacency"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1775531566208348465)  2024-04-03T14:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"It's time It looks like #bitcoin miners capitulation is near. $BITF $HIVE $MARA $CLSK $BTBT $RIOT are all at or near dollar supports while $BTC is higher. Halving WAS priced in miners long time ago so I believe this is just pay back from previous squeezes. Going IN"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1778810634211078279)  2024-04-12T15:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@hoizhagga @invest_answers what war Did a new war start in the past [--] hours"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1778859807421698111)  2024-04-12T18:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@hoizhagga @invest_answers Thank you for answering but why the aggressivity I only asked a question :'( When looking at the news it wasn't obvious that something in middle east would cause market to drop. So many conflicts everywhere"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1778871890917896615)  2024-04-12T19:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@Cashtalkscrypto @cryptonerd75 Start by looking at loss porn on reddit. That will teach you how scary margin is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1779197122396508197)  2024-04-13T17:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The S&P can drop 15% and still be in the bull market trend started in [----]. That would be a good time to enter the market. Inflation adjusted charts are so much more readable"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1780912573673595315)  2024-04-18T10:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$HIVE is lagging its peers ( $BITF $MARA $RIOT $CLSK) today. Even $HUT is pumping. Coincidentaly it's one of the only miners with price far from max pain option target this week. If $btc recovers a bit more I don't see why this wouldn't catch up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1780976570619797857)  2024-04-18T15:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"March 25th was a FOMO day on $BTC and miners. Instead of buying I did my strategy of buying puts on miners that seemed overpriced $CIFR and covering with sell of $bito puts. Though my $HUT bet on earning was wrong I did get a 3.6% return in [--] weeks. (47% APY) #OptionsTrading"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1781419355416252687)  2024-04-19T20:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"I wanted to do the same on $MSTR but was lacking the capital to cover with $BITO options. You can't catch them all. Hopefully we will get $ibit options soon to make this strategy more profitable with lower spreads"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1781419858292314154)  2024-04-19T20:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


""This time is different $btc never had a new ATH before halving" Are you sure we hit an All Time High Remove inflation(+30%) and the top of #bitcoin pre-halving was 7% under previous top. In buying power we are still lower than the top of previous cycle"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1781964820310294784)  2024-04-21T08:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$TSLA is starting the week of earnings right at the bottom support of the [--] years downtrend. Next Technical support is at $100 then there is nothing until small support at $50 and better one at $25 I wanted to short it on the "robotaxi" news but it might be too low by that time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1782359193866965056)  2024-04-22T10:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@DavidSilvaSmith Ah too bad Since etf approval all weekends have been positive except one. So i was somewhat confident"  
[X Link](https://x.com/RationalTrades/status/1782441253096829151)  2024-04-22T16:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements

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