[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] [@VolSignals](/creator/twitter/VolSignals) "@ot_see No matter where it lands That spread is worth $1000 at expiry So what does it mean"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1946318678376464636) 2025-07-18 21:18:28 UTC 24.4K followers, 1208 engagements "This is what McElligott flagged in his June 25th note Apparently Nomura's model triggered its largest buy signal in its XX year history projecting $114B of US eq's to buy over the 1-month forward period. The X prior signals didn't come close to the magnitude of the size here- and the backtest data Charlie provided indicated that XXX% of the time (upon triggering this signal) the index is HIGHER both X and 2m out with median returns of XXX% and XXX% respectively Loosely benchmarking the trigger against the closing level of the SPX (6092) the date he sent the note (6/25) the median returns put"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1942411347838337215) 2025-07-08 02:32:08 UTC 24.3K followers, 2451 engagements "Welcome to OPEX Should you trust the rally Let's take a look (1/n)"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1946182848085459047) 2025-07-18 12:18:43 UTC 24.4K followers, 26.1K engagements "if this is helpful retweet it so we get more eyes on ACTUAL information 🍻"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1942289455366193491) 2025-07-07 18:27:46 UTC 24.3K followers, 4113 engagements "@smolprimist the funny part is so many of the SPX trades actually don't have much directional meaning at all they are vol surface plays margin hedging cross-asset arbs structural hedges etc. etc. and then when a real directional bet shows up these guys don't even catch it 🤣"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1944162593670635839) 2025-07-12 22:30:57 UTC 24.4K followers, XXX engagements "There's no generative magnetism from a strike that has X Delta. That giant bar up top at $6350 Not relevant down here at $6300. If we squeezed above 6325 overnight. TOTALLY different story. and how about that inventory on the bottom right which date is that from"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1946182869577060608) 2025-07-18 12:18:49 UTC 24.4K followers, 3483 engagements "Welcome to OPEX Week This marks the seasonal inflection. Last year it was the 17th a seasonal peak that coincided with VIX expiration. The move preceded a series of events that culminated with an epic vol spike and vanna fueled crash. History can't repeat right (1 / n)"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1944744979051491663) 2025-07-14 13:05:09 UTC 24.4K followers, 33.5K engagements "AM rolls off at 9:30 AM and has not been traded since yesterday's close. Does it matter for today's price action Answer: "in a way yes" This is the PM-expiring positioning today- aka "ODTE" These options are subject to change but note the massive clusters of dealer longs"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1946182866091614587) 2025-07-18 12:18:48 UTC 24.4K followers, 3720 engagements "No Sunday spaces tonight Service not great here"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1947062546684366970) 2025-07-20 22:34:20 UTC 24.4K followers, 8985 engagements "@PrinterSanti @doc_mcgraw We dont want naive construction. We want to know that the hedging influences we intend to factor into our market analysis are actually present. This requires correct positioning data. We need much more accuracy than inference alone provides"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1946665621652983924) 2025-07-19 20:17:06 UTC 24.4K followers, 1084 engagements "Since most casual observers here aren't in a position to understand any of these trade prints I will help. In order top to bottom: 1) Aug 6350 Calls marked BUY 177x Whether bought or sold it was a trade where two dealers faced each other. Net a wash (no meaning or influence on the profile) 2) July 6235 Calls marked BUY 248x Correct 3) Sep 6290 Calls marked BUY 173x Correct direction but completely meaningless in terms of customer interest. This is one half of a combo trade which is when the bank bringing the trade to the floor for execution includes the hedge as a synthetic (long Call vs"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1942275294532100262) 2025-07-07 17:31:30 UTC 24.4K followers, 70K engagements "If you're not hedging or shorting here good luck"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1945136189511450635) 2025-07-15 14:59:41 UTC 24.4K followers, 145.6K engagements "How much of the $114B in vol control buying would have hit in the first X days (with the index +3% since 6/25) What else made it a compelling buy setup at 6100 before quarter-end AND OUR ONLY DISCOUNT OF THE YEAR TONIGHT'S NEWSLETTER"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1941968272246665399) 2025-07-06 21:11:30 UTC 24.3K followers, 4674 engagements "This is what McElligott flagged in his June 25th note Apparently Nomura's model triggered its largest buy signal in its XX year history projecting $114B of US eq's to buy over the 1-month forward period. The X prior signals didn't come close to the magnitude of the size here- and the backtest data Charlie provided indicated that XXX% of the time (upon triggering this signal) the index is HIGHER both X and 2m out with median returns of XXX% and XXX% respectively Loosely benchmarking the trigger against the closing level of the SPX (6092) the date he sent the note (6/25) the median returns put"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1942411445301371169) 2025-07-08 02:32:31 UTC 24.3K followers, 48.1K engagements "Market Makers don't manipulate price we're trapped by our own hedging requirements. When SPX drifts between long and short strikes our systems start buying and selling futures in ways that create predictable paths. (short thread)"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1923769478694732192) 2025-05-17 15:56:00 UTC 24.4K followers, 304.2K engagements "SPX NOV 5500 6500 BOX TRADES XXXXXX 7K THAT'S 28000 SPX OPTIONS NEARLY $XXX ZILLION NOTIONAL YOU KNOW WHAT THIS MEANS RIGHT"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1946255095580008738) 2025-07-18 17:05:49 UTC 24.4K followers, 37.6K engagements "VIX EXPIRATION Remember last year Doesn't it feel familiar Overnight range probed lows but went vertical into PPI .what's next"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1945488828451438722) 2025-07-16 14:20:56 UTC 24.4K followers, 17.6K engagements "SPX up XXX% just XXX trading days after Nomura's McElligott flagged a $114b buy signal on Jun 25th"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1941891689653702905) 2025-07-06 16:07:12 UTC 24.3K followers, 12.5K engagements "Massive trade for OPEX Week July PM 6300 Call customer sells 9.7k to buy 19.4k of the July 25th 6400 Call "up and out" / double-down this has some serious implications now not just for the default path this week. but now for next week as well customer pays $XXX net"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1945572432787406952) 2025-07-16 19:53:09 UTC 24.4K followers, 32.5K engagements "Good morning. THIS is NOT the July 18th PM position. Which date is this profile from You have one guess. Retweet & reply First to guess correct before 8:30 AM EDT gets a free month in Discord. I will discuss the analog in today's Morning Call"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1946171120597573642) 2025-07-18 11:32:07 UTC 24.4K followers, 8457 engagements "If this is Summer of George and Summer of George was predictable how exactly did one make money"  [@VolSignals](/creator/x/VolSignals) on [X](/post/tweet/1946677833075478692) 2025-07-19 21:05:37 UTC 24.4K followers, 17.2K engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
@VolSignals
"@ot_see No matter where it lands That spread is worth $1000 at expiry So what does it mean" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-18 21:18:28 UTC 24.4K followers, 1208 engagements
"This is what McElligott flagged in his June 25th note Apparently Nomura's model triggered its largest buy signal in its XX year history projecting $114B of US eq's to buy over the 1-month forward period. The X prior signals didn't come close to the magnitude of the size here- and the backtest data Charlie provided indicated that XXX% of the time (upon triggering this signal) the index is HIGHER both X and 2m out with median returns of XXX% and XXX% respectively Loosely benchmarking the trigger against the closing level of the SPX (6092) the date he sent the note (6/25) the median returns put" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-08 02:32:08 UTC 24.3K followers, 2451 engagements
"Welcome to OPEX Should you trust the rally Let's take a look (1/n)" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-18 12:18:43 UTC 24.4K followers, 26.1K engagements
"if this is helpful retweet it so we get more eyes on ACTUAL information 🍻" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-07 18:27:46 UTC 24.3K followers, 4113 engagements
"@smolprimist the funny part is so many of the SPX trades actually don't have much directional meaning at all they are vol surface plays margin hedging cross-asset arbs structural hedges etc. etc. and then when a real directional bet shows up these guys don't even catch it 🤣" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-12 22:30:57 UTC 24.4K followers, XXX engagements
"There's no generative magnetism from a strike that has X Delta. That giant bar up top at $6350 Not relevant down here at $6300. If we squeezed above 6325 overnight. TOTALLY different story. and how about that inventory on the bottom right which date is that from" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-18 12:18:49 UTC 24.4K followers, 3483 engagements
"Welcome to OPEX Week This marks the seasonal inflection. Last year it was the 17th a seasonal peak that coincided with VIX expiration. The move preceded a series of events that culminated with an epic vol spike and vanna fueled crash. History can't repeat right (1 / n)" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-14 13:05:09 UTC 24.4K followers, 33.5K engagements
"AM rolls off at 9:30 AM and has not been traded since yesterday's close. Does it matter for today's price action Answer: "in a way yes" This is the PM-expiring positioning today- aka "ODTE" These options are subject to change but note the massive clusters of dealer longs" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-18 12:18:48 UTC 24.4K followers, 3720 engagements
"No Sunday spaces tonight Service not great here" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-20 22:34:20 UTC 24.4K followers, 8985 engagements
"@PrinterSanti @doc_mcgraw We dont want naive construction. We want to know that the hedging influences we intend to factor into our market analysis are actually present. This requires correct positioning data. We need much more accuracy than inference alone provides" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-19 20:17:06 UTC 24.4K followers, 1084 engagements
"Since most casual observers here aren't in a position to understand any of these trade prints I will help. In order top to bottom: 1) Aug 6350 Calls marked BUY 177x Whether bought or sold it was a trade where two dealers faced each other. Net a wash (no meaning or influence on the profile) 2) July 6235 Calls marked BUY 248x Correct 3) Sep 6290 Calls marked BUY 173x Correct direction but completely meaningless in terms of customer interest. This is one half of a combo trade which is when the bank bringing the trade to the floor for execution includes the hedge as a synthetic (long Call vs" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-07 17:31:30 UTC 24.4K followers, 70K engagements
"If you're not hedging or shorting here good luck" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-15 14:59:41 UTC 24.4K followers, 145.6K engagements
"How much of the $114B in vol control buying would have hit in the first X days (with the index +3% since 6/25) What else made it a compelling buy setup at 6100 before quarter-end AND OUR ONLY DISCOUNT OF THE YEAR TONIGHT'S NEWSLETTER" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-06 21:11:30 UTC 24.3K followers, 4674 engagements
"This is what McElligott flagged in his June 25th note Apparently Nomura's model triggered its largest buy signal in its XX year history projecting $114B of US eq's to buy over the 1-month forward period. The X prior signals didn't come close to the magnitude of the size here- and the backtest data Charlie provided indicated that XXX% of the time (upon triggering this signal) the index is HIGHER both X and 2m out with median returns of XXX% and XXX% respectively Loosely benchmarking the trigger against the closing level of the SPX (6092) the date he sent the note (6/25) the median returns put" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-08 02:32:31 UTC 24.3K followers, 48.1K engagements
"Market Makers don't manipulate price we're trapped by our own hedging requirements. When SPX drifts between long and short strikes our systems start buying and selling futures in ways that create predictable paths. (short thread)" @VolSignals on X 2025-05-17 15:56:00 UTC 24.4K followers, 304.2K engagements
"SPX NOV 5500 6500 BOX TRADES XXXXXX 7K THAT'S 28000 SPX OPTIONS NEARLY $XXX ZILLION NOTIONAL YOU KNOW WHAT THIS MEANS RIGHT" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-18 17:05:49 UTC 24.4K followers, 37.6K engagements
"VIX EXPIRATION Remember last year Doesn't it feel familiar Overnight range probed lows but went vertical into PPI .what's next" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-16 14:20:56 UTC 24.4K followers, 17.6K engagements
"SPX up XXX% just XXX trading days after Nomura's McElligott flagged a $114b buy signal on Jun 25th" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-06 16:07:12 UTC 24.3K followers, 12.5K engagements
"Massive trade for OPEX Week July PM 6300 Call customer sells 9.7k to buy 19.4k of the July 25th 6400 Call "up and out" / double-down this has some serious implications now not just for the default path this week. but now for next week as well customer pays $XXX net" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-16 19:53:09 UTC 24.4K followers, 32.5K engagements
"Good morning. THIS is NOT the July 18th PM position. Which date is this profile from You have one guess. Retweet & reply First to guess correct before 8:30 AM EDT gets a free month in Discord. I will discuss the analog in today's Morning Call" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-18 11:32:07 UTC 24.4K followers, 8457 engagements
"If this is Summer of George and Summer of George was predictable how exactly did one make money" @VolSignals on X 2025-07-19 21:05:37 UTC 24.4K followers, 17.2K engagements
/creator/twitter::1174510105674571777/posts