#  @valuesci Chris Clark Chris Clark posts on X about $glng, $dac, $fi, $ypf the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1579136142594609152/interactions)  - [--] Week [---] +1,159% - [--] Month [-----] -46% - [--] Months [------] -60% - [--] Year [------] +101% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1579136142594609152/posts_active)  - [--] Months [--] -20% - [--] Year [---] +117% ### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1579136142594609152/followers)  - [--] Week [---] -0.16% - [--] Month [---] +0.16% - [--] Months [---] +2.70% - [--] Year [---] +23% ### CreatorRank: undefined [#](/creator/twitter::1579136142594609152/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) [stocks](/list/stocks) [countries](/list/countries) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) [us election](/list/us-election) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) **Social topic influence** [$glng](/topic/$glng), [$dac](/topic/$dac), [$fi](/topic/$fi) #24, [$ypf](/topic/$ypf), [$tgb](/topic/$tgb), [venezuela](/topic/venezuela), [argentina](/topic/argentina), [oil](/topic/oil), [tariffs](/topic/tariffs), [investment](/topic/investment) **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@fishtowncap](/creator/undefined) [@christankerfund](/creator/undefined) [@nickalobeultra](/creator/undefined) [@siyul](/creator/undefined) [@tjzhang2003](/creator/undefined) [@joeriwestland](/creator/undefined) [@justfactstruth](/creator/undefined) [@gabcasla](/creator/undefined) [@capitalobserver](/creator/undefined) [@remindmeofthis](/creator/undefined) [@lukeskiba](/creator/undefined) [@roryjohnston](/creator/undefined) [@madisonlackey44](/creator/undefined) [@calvinfroedge](/creator/undefined) [@cp89880222](/creator/undefined) [@henrik115](/creator/undefined) [@pulltopar](/creator/undefined) [@vijarkohli](/creator/undefined) [@rkpse56](/creator/undefined) [@novembergain](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Golar LNG Ltd (GLNG)](/topic/$glng) [Danaos Corporation (DAC)](/topic/$dac) [Fiserv, Inc. (FI)](/topic/$fi) [YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF)](/topic/$ypf) [Taseko Mines Limited (TGB)](/topic/$tgb) [Fiserv Inc (FISV)](/topic/$fisv) [CVS Health Corp (CVS)](/topic/$cvs) [Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK)](/topic/$sblk) [ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. (ZIM)](/topic/$zim) [Sasol Limited (SSL)](/topic/$ssl) [Braskem S.A. American Depositary Shares (BAK)](/topic/$bak) [Easterly Government Properties, Inc. (DEA)](/topic/$dea) [Elevance Health Inc (ELV)](/topic/$elv) [The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO)](/topic/$geo) [Global Payments Inc (GPN)](/topic/$gpn) [PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL)](/topic/$pypl) [Cool Company Ltd. (CLCO)](/topic/$clco) [International Seaways, Inc. Common Stock (INSW)](/topic/$insw) [Scorpio Tankers Inc. (STNG)](/topic/$stng) [Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp. (ECO)](/topic/$eco) [Kraft Heinz Co (KHC)](/topic/$khc) [Centene Corp (CNC)](/topic/$cnc) [Paramount Global (PARA)](/topic/paramount-global) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl) [Optimism (OP)](/topic/optimism) [Frontline Ltd. (FRO)](/topic/$fro) [dHedge DAO (DHT)](/topic/$dht) [TORM plc Class A Common Stock (TRMD)](/topic/$trmd) [Hafnia Limited (HAFN)](/topic/$hafn) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "$GLNG "Most of the opportunities we are discussing in West Africa is likely Mark I or II. And then some of the projects we are discussing in South America and in the Middle East could be a Mark III"" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1956066553683669343) 2025-08-14T18:53Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@rkpse56 $ZIM is currently hoarding $3.1B in cash and bonds vs a $1.3B market cap. There's not much value they can tap from a $1.3B market cap especially since issuing shares under distress would crash the share price" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1765988456998850567) 2024-03-08T06:30Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "$GEO refinancing de-risks but is otherwise valuation neutral. The stock seems fairly valued at $16 with further gains likely to be slower. They still have 15% of beds unutilized could gradually lower interest expense further and maybe re-REIT eventually" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1777781015370752304) 2024-04-09T19:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@joeriwestland Thanks for the list I also have $DAC $AOI $PXS $TNP. I was disappointed with $DAC before but now I think I can kinda understand their approach after I got more cautious on the segment. I'm avoiding $ZIM (there's a post on it in my profile)" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1783663226561179881) 2024-04-26T01:03Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@joeriwestland For dry bulk I'm in $GNK since I don't have enough conviction on the market yet and the quality stocks should handle a weak market better. Also interested in $SBLK and might try to grab more marginal stocks if the market strengthens. I was in $EDRY earlier" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1783664914718179647) 2024-04-26T01:10Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@joeriwestland For tankers since it's a strong market I'm just going for a diversified mix of cheaper stocks: $INSW $STNG $NAT $PXS $TNP" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1783667692098253297) 2024-04-26T01:21Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "After years of worsening oil reserve replacement Parex is starting to focus more on natural gas. It could work out but I don't see the stock as cheap enough to buy considering all the uncertainty and complexity. $PXT.TO http://blog.valunexus.com http://blog.valunexus.com" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1785001434616094795) 2024-04-29T17:41Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "Brutal guidance revision by $CVS but it's now trading at an adjusted P/E of [--] on what is supposed to be a trough year with low double-digit EPS growth expected in [----] and previous long-term EPS growth guidance of 6%. Note that front store retail is a relatively minor factor" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1785756159582097610) 2024-05-01T19:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements ""Insiders tell Variety that the expectation at the company is that neither of the two offers in play Skydance Media-RedBird Capital Partners and Sony Pictures Entertainment-Apollo Global Management will come to fruition." $PARA https://variety.com/2024/biz/news/paramount-global-reject-skydance-sony-apollo-offers-1235991298/ https://variety.com/2024/biz/news/paramount-global-reject-skydance-sony-apollo-offers-1235991298/" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1786483068850549131) 2024-05-03T19:48Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@christankerfund I buy [--] week t-bills directly; no extra counterparty risk or management overhead fees. You can set them up to auto-roll with some brokerages so it's almost as easy as an ETF" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1788992962728501355) 2024-05-10T18:02Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "The #drybulk outlook is too complicated for me now. There's a risk that temporary effects from the canal disruptions and China iron ore inventory builds are being priced in as a sustained trend. Gersemi is short. https://www.tradewindsnews.com/gas/joakim-hannisdahl-s-gersemi-fund-grabs-stake-in-idan-ofer-s-coolco-in-dash-for-gas/2-1-1641568 https://www.tradewindsnews.com/gas/joakim-hannisdahl-s-gersemi-fund-grabs-stake-in-idan-ofer-s-coolco-in-dash-for-gas/2-1-1641568" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1789023676593303833) 2024-05-10T20:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@FishtownCap @MadisonLackey44 @christankerfund Also I don't think the containership market is anywhere near out of the woods yet; we're just now at the peak of deliveries so about halfway there. We might have to wait until end of [----] for the valuation to become clear. The current valuation is conservative but not crazy" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1789055729229562162) 2024-05-10T22:11Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@MadisonLackey44 @FishtownCap @christankerfund The P/E will probably be negative in a few years after the contracts end in a depressed market so [--] or [--] is way too high. The value comes from the current contracts and the residual value of the ships which is significant even if they are losing money for several years" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1789056805966148026) 2024-05-10T22:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "$CVS "January was very high when we look at inpatient admits. February improved some. March and April have been down dramatically from that level. It's way too early to get excited about that until we've seen more data inside the second quarter." https://seekingalpha.com/article/4693174-cvs-health-corporation-cvs-bofa-securities-2024-health-care-conference-transcript https://seekingalpha.com/article/4693174-cvs-health-corporation-cvs-bofa-securities-2024-health-care-conference-transcript" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1790470941824451049) 2024-05-14T19:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Treating $CVS as a convenience store operator is like treating $AAPL as a brick & mortar electronics retailer. $CVS Dec [----] long-term EPS growth guidance of 6% (4% earnings growth 2% from buybacks) already assumes a 5% decline in income from stores and pharmacies" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1790482314960761187) 2024-05-14T20:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "@FishtownCap Regarding a buyout note that back in [----] $DAC management said "we want to be a public company we care about the trading of the stock. We want access to public equity and debt." https://seekingalpha.com/article/4526002-danaos-undervaluation-strong-returns-podcast https://seekingalpha.com/article/4526002-danaos-undervaluation-strong-returns-podcast" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1795493826855112877) 2024-05-28T16:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements "A week after $GEO discontinued the Lawton contract Oklahoma agrees to improved terms with a reduced population. https://www.geogroup.com/ODOC-and-The-GEO-Group-reach-contract-agreement https://www.geogroup.com/ODOC-and-The-GEO-Group-reach-contract-agreement" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1806722829100150859) 2024-06-28T16:14Z [--] followers, [---] engagements ""Baskin the former negotiator said that added US pressure is unlikely to sway the Israeli prime minister. 'If the Americans are still optimistic (after Netanyahus Sunday statement) then they are really living in La La land' Baskin told CNN." https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/08/middleeast/israel-hamas-ceasefire-hostage-deal-demands-explainer-mime-intl/index.html https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/08/middleeast/israel-hamas-ceasefire-hostage-deal-demands-explainer-mime-intl/index.html" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1810390409719459916) 2024-07-08T19:08Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "@FishtownCap $CVS did say on the 2023Q1 call: "over time we'll look at what other assets but right now we need to focus on execution of the assets that we just acquired. for the near term"" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1811086803509858454) 2024-07-10T17:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements ""2025 has the potential to be the craziest year weve ever seen on the ocean container side. If Trump wins and the 60% China tariff happens. we will see front-loading like we have never seen before in 2025." #Containers $DAC https://www.lloydslist.com/LL1149865/Container-rates-in-doom-loop-and-bubble-amid-strong-US-imports https://www.lloydslist.com/LL1149865/Container-rates-in-doom-loop-and-bubble-amid-strong-US-imports" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1816993933148455413) 2024-07-27T00:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "It sounds like this is most likely a temporary issue but it can be tough for investors to ride out situations like this. $CVS" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1824535569407545779) 2024-08-16T19:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I don't currently have any position in $BAK $SSL or any other companies with significant basic chemicals exposure. See my post on Ethylene which partially explains why I'm avoiding the industry for now. https://x.com/AlmostValueInv/status/1829267457149747694 @valuesci @calvinfroedge If you see any issues regarding $bak please share as well 😂 https://x.com/AlmostValueInv/status/1829267457149747694 @valuesci @calvinfroedge If you see any issues regarding $bak please share as well 😂" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1829274364510089372) 2024-08-29T21:46Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "The selloff in oil equities seems overdone. WTI is at Permian breakevens which doesn't provide incentive to drill. Prices will average around the marginal cost of production including capital costs probably in the $70-$80 range. Many equities are pricing low $60s average WTI" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1833557311392194563) 2024-09-10T17:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "It's possible that breakevens could come down if we get deflation in oilfield services but I think it would be premature to price that in and I'd be surprised if that's how it played out" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1833567193726128587) 2024-09-10T18:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@justfactstruth Note that this is FID on conversion as opposed to FID on contracting. It probably indicates optimism on contracting at least" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1835727699572396402) 2024-09-16T17:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG Argentina "Deal completion expected by Q1 2025". The market might be waiting for the FID on the Argentina deal before pricing in the full expected value for a valuation of $51/share. This is not including other potential deals like Nigeria. https://ml-eu.globenewswire.com/Resource/Download/4916d9ed-87e2-4298-8db3-87492d9aaa21#page=9 https://ml-eu.globenewswire.com/Resource/Download/4916d9ed-87e2-4298-8db3-87492d9aaa21#page=9" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1835733840914182573) 2024-09-16T17:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@NickalobeUltra I estimate it's currently pricing in a 50% probability at base case LNG prices but it could also be pricing in a higher probability with more pessimistic LNG expectations in which case it may not move as much as I'd hope in the near term" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1835740797914042443) 2024-09-16T18:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@novembergain @NickalobeUltra Are you referring to the Stifel analysis below They had $16/share for the MkII/Nigeria using the low-end illustrative guidance. Using the mid-range illustrative guidance of $875M for [--] years it would be around $33/share just for the Nigeria deal. https://x.com/justfactstruth/status/1805215756134547815 $GLNG - Buy $55 Stifel -SOTP Summary Hilli currently. The Hilli is currently operating at basically half capacity in Cameroon with a contract that expires in July [----]. We estimate that it generates $150 million in tolling EBITDA a year. In addition there is an" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1836470671804895278) 2024-09-18T18:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Stifel is using pessimistic low-end illustrative guidance numbers for their $GLNG targets. With mid-range numbers you would get much higher than $80/share in this scenario. And how are they getting $277M base EBITDA for Hilli I thought it was $296M. https://x.com/charlesbonnerjr/status/1836773160319926275 Stifel out with post-Gastech update on $GLNG thinks $80 in a year is doable🚀 https://t.co/AIPQiqmQ0z https://x.com/charlesbonnerjr/status/1836773160319926275 Stifel out with post-Gastech update on $GLNG thinks $80 in a year is doable🚀 https://t.co/AIPQiqmQ0z" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1836794231236800655) 2024-09-19T15:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I doubt they are going to offer over $100/share so this makes me more worried that I could end up getting robbed of my top position. I'll vote against any double-digit offers. It's not easy to find investments like this. $GLNG https://seekingalpha.com/news/4153883-golar-gains-amid-takeover-speculation https://seekingalpha.com/news/4153883-golar-gains-amid-takeover-speculation" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1839404336071463035) 2024-09-26T20:39Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "The new location for the Hilli decided to be the Gulf of San Matas Argentina the closest site from the Vaca Muerta (for the deal with PAE). $GLNG https://x.com/H_01101000/status/1841059130225660156 https://t.co/BoVU8e4h6L https://x.com/H_01101000/status/1841059130225660156 https://t.co/BoVU8e4h6L" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1841158915498938650) 2024-10-01T16:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Closed out for 20% in a month. $GEO https://x.com/valuesci/status/1833935470767825003 $GEO tends to get valuation support at around these levels. Range trading this has been really easy money. https://t.co/5cnyitKCwU https://x.com/valuesci/status/1833935470767825003 $GEO tends to get valuation support at around these levels. Range trading this has been really easy money. https://t.co/5cnyitKCwU" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1846231327605203292) 2024-10-15T16:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I wish I had held on through the election up 39% today $GEO https://x.com/valuesci/status/1846231327605203292 Closed out for 20% in a month. $GEO https://t.co/Ft8QZt0WEC https://x.com/valuesci/status/1846231327605203292 Closed out for 20% in a month. $GEO https://t.co/Ft8QZt0WEC" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1854222422297481708) 2024-11-06T18:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@OriginalBraila My concern with tankers is that with Trump back in power peace in Ukraine is imminent. Any thoughts on the possible resumption of the Russia-Europe trade" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1854920700047638869) 2024-11-08T16:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "With Trump's return peace in Ukraine is imminent. Will Europe resume tanker trade with Russia Tankers will get whacked on the news but how bad will it be fundamentally $FRO $INSW $STNG $DHT $TRMD $ECO $HAFN $ASC $DIS.MI $CMBT $NAT $TNK $TK $TEN https://x.com/ImMeme0/status/1808895165169287630 BREAKING: Putin says he supports Trump's plan to end the war in Ukraine. https://t.co/IkmO3Uzhco https://x.com/ImMeme0/status/1808895165169287630 BREAKING: Putin says he supports Trump's plan to end the war in Ukraine. https://t.co/IkmO3Uzhco" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1854930714527252823) 2024-11-08T16:55Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "I expect a containership downturn at some point but I'm bullish on $DAC. Even with a severe [--] year recession and a 12% discount rate it's worth $115 (41% upside) due to strong charter coverage. Full analysis at http://blog.valunexus.com http://blog.valunexus.com" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1856016613688127560) 2024-11-11T16:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$DAC had a strong quarter booking $308M in new contracts which boosts my valuation from $115 to $125. This is an impressive boost for a single quarter and they said they've signed more contracts since this release. Full update at http://blog.valunexus.com http://blog.valunexus.com" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1856777649592353249) 2024-11-13T19:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$EMX Is a small copper-gold royalty company trading for around half of NAV but I'm not interested due to high operating expenses. Analysis at http://blog.valunexus.com http://blog.valunexus.com" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1856817018382815616) 2024-11-13T21:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Is the latest commodities crash a Trump trade Big divergence between US and ex-US starting in early October when my portfolio started dumping" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1856894684133834940) 2024-11-14T02:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG might take the $YPF business from Petronas $YPF CEO said YPF would be joining the Pan American-Golar venture. "it isnt clear what will happen to Petronas. Marin has more recently cast doubt on the Malaysian companys continued involvement." https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/argentinas-ypf-to-merge-lng-project-with-rivals-joint-venture https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/argentinas-ypf-to-merge-lng-project-with-rivals-joint-venture" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1861123354301997209) 2024-11-25T19:02Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Exiting #drybulk in May worked out well. $SBLK is down about 32% in the [--] months since this post. I'm now re-accumulating $SBLK as a statistical play based on the NAV discount of 41% vs the analysts' NAV estimate of $30. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1789023676593303833 The #drybulk outlook is too complicated for me now. There's a risk that temporary effects from the canal disruptions and China iron ore inventory builds are being priced in as a sustained trend. Gersemi is short. https://t.co/CxDgPuabBu https://x.com/valuesci/status/1789023676593303833 The #drybulk outlook is too complicated" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1861860329036321157) 2024-11-27T19:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "This is why I'm skeptical of forecasts that have oil prices going lower from here AND Permian production rising. These are averages of responses which means around half of respondents need even higher prices than this to profitably drill new wells" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1864173738792767570) 2024-12-04T05:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "TGS estimated "the break-even prices of the Delaware Basin Midland Basin and Eagle Ford at $56.26 $66.28 and $66.35 per barrel respectively" in September [----]. https://www.tgs.com/weekly-spotlight/2024-09-16 https://www.tgs.com/weekly-spotlight/2024-09-16" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1864442665645101467) 2024-12-04T22:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Looks like a good day to check in on @calvinfroedge after his 2nd deal renege. $PXT.TO $BAK $SSL $SBSW $VALE $VTNRQ not looking so good Meanwhile my biggest position $GLNG is up 100% and making new highs and 2nd biggest position $DAC is holding strong. Tough out there though" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1865132649741979703) 2024-12-06T20:34Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@CP89880222 I agree that it probably won't be huge like the Q2 to Q3 jump of +$10 but they did say that they already signed more contracts after the Q3 results and the strong market can drive longer-term contracts even if it's not entirely rational" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1877816621236113867) 2025-01-10T20:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@CP89880222 And yeah I don't expect them to suddenly ramp shareholder returns and I don't expect the stock to suddenly take off either. I think this is more like a 20% annualized over the next [--] years type of situation" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1877817945956720743) 2025-01-10T20:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@christankerfund It's a bit confusing with a full cabinet vs security cabinet. Just now: "Israels full Cabinet is considering a ceasefire deal" "The full Cabinet meeting follows one held earlier Friday by Israels security Cabinet which recommended approval." https://apnews.com/live/israel-hamas-ceasefire-updates https://apnews.com/live/israel-hamas-ceasefire-updates" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1880332875826098280) 2025-01-17T19:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Updated $GLNG valuation matrix assuming possibly aspirational commodity-linked tariffs based on "illustrative" guidance. Fair value could reach $120 (194% upside) this year if they get two MkII contracts at Golar's desired terms. Full update at http://blog.valunexus.com http://blog.valunexus.com" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1885439815300382861) 2025-01-31T21:27Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$GLNG [----] Q4 Update * Aim to charter MkII and FID 4th FLNG in [----] * Already discussing 4th FLNG with shipyards * Discussing projects with potential for multiple FLNGs and an MkIII * Advanced discussions in Americas West Africa SE Asia and Middle East https://seekingalpha.com/article/4762789-golar-lng-limited-glng-q4-2024-earnings-call-transcript https://seekingalpha.com/article/4762789-golar-lng-limited-glng-q4-2024-earnings-call-transcript" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1895142997844730112) 2025-02-27T16:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG: $PAM Q4 [----] Call: "we are in the process of deciding whether we will move forward with an FID or not in the coming future. The project consists of two vessels the first [--] of [---] million TPA tons per year and the second one [---] TPA tons per year." https://x.com/gabcasla/status/1899223204914209142 $GLNG Let me explain the situation Pampa Energa (20% shareholder in Argentina LNG): We are very eager to take Hilli and MK2 from Golar for the next 20y The market: Oof Nvidia is falling let's tank Golar's stock price too Gas prices up for 2nd day in a row.tough to explain" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1899293439306691062) 2025-03-11T02:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@kcambrecht @gabcasla $PAM [----] Q4 earnings call https://seekingalpha.com/article/4765416-pampa-energia-s-a-pam-q4-2024-earnings-call-transcript https://seekingalpha.com/article/4765416-pampa-energia-s-a-pam-q4-2024-earnings-call-transcript" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1899294337420456102) 2025-03-11T03:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$GLNG: $PMOIF [----] Q4 Call: "we have a position in Southern Energy LNG which we're quite excited about. There are plans already by third-party developers to put a direct connection between where that- those FLNG vessel will reside in port to connect it to the Vaca Muerta shale"" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1899347056013062344) 2025-03-11T06:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG: $YPF [----] Q4 Call: "Update of LNG we are in a very good situation. I will explain in more detail on April [--]. But I'm very positive with the two with the Argentine LNG project. Very positive that Argentina and YPF itself will deliver this project for us"" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1899347600056467827) 2025-03-11T06:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG strongest statement yet on the MkII "phase [--] which consists of two ships totaling [--] MPTAs between them is well advanced and Marn said that the FID (final investment decision) would be announced in April" https://x.com/gabcasla/status/1901641586934509737 $GLNG YPF's CEO can say it louder but can't say it clearer Last Friday Horacio participated in a conference in Houston: Phase [--] of the Argentina LNG project which consists of [--] Golar vessels will be FID next April. The offtaker will likely be Germany https://t.co/WWircexNyU https://x.com/gabcasla/status/1901641586934509737 $GLNG YPF's" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1901676786133643429) 2025-03-17T16:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$GLNG Everyone is missing this. Poten's business intelligence chief: $12/mmbtu LNG "should continue for the next decade." Analysts are valuing an MkII contract at $16.50/sh but at $12 LNG and Golar's desired terms ONE CONTRACT would be worth $80/sh. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/rising-lng-terminal-costs-make-new-us-projects-less-competitive-says-analyst-2024-12-03/ https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/rising-lng-terminal-costs-make-new-us-projects-less-competitive-says-analyst-2024-12-03/" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1902447787016675452) 2025-03-19T19:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@AAGresearch When I asked it picked $WMT $JNJ and $NEE. I wonder if your tweets affect its response. https://x.com/i/grok/share/5USiyCTJ0fVbjXH2PMRljP80V https://x.com/i/grok/share/5USiyCTJ0fVbjXH2PMRljP80V" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1905084486204936670) 2025-03-27T02:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$DAC buybacks are going to be very accretive here" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1909249365916758353) 2025-04-07T14:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG Looks like no FID announcement at $YPF investor day today. Argentina LNG 1: Tolling System [--] MTPA [--] FLNG new dedicated gas pipeline FID [----]. https://investors.ypf.com/documents/presentaciones/YPF-IR-DAY-2025-presentation.pdf#page=27 https://investors.ypf.com/documents/presentaciones/YPF-IR-DAY-2025-presentation.pdf#page=27" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1910680222103740773) 2025-04-11T13:03Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$GLNG Stifel on $YPF investor day news: "unquestionably Golars Hilli (2.5 mtpa) and the MK2 Fuji (3.5 mtpa) which are the only two vessels in the world that fit that profile and availability timeline" https://www.tipranks.com/news/the-fly/ypf-investor-day-removes-doubt-on-golar-lng-position-in-argentina-says-stifel https://www.tipranks.com/news/the-fly/ypf-investor-day-removes-doubt-on-golar-lng-position-in-argentina-says-stifel" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1910706313819980057) 2025-04-11T14:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "After a week like this Harpex is up again today $DAC" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1910779309503242591) 2025-04-11T19:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$BAK is up 9% probably because of the news that China's chemical plants are getting cut off from US ethane. This would be bullish for $BAK if it sticks but keep in mind that the US wants a deal with China and generally wants buyers for it's exports. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1829274364510089372 I don't currently have any position in $BAK $SSL or any other companies with significant basic chemicals exposure. See my post on Ethylene which partially explains why I'm avoiding the industry for now. https://t.co/8fql4yvxqw https://x.com/valuesci/status/1829274364510089372 I don't currently have" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1914769653139955839) 2025-04-22T19:53Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Sounds like the $BAK rally might be over already. https://x.com/Sino_Market/status/1915610808911856019 #CHINA WEIGHS EXEMPTING SOME US GOODS FROM TARIFFS AS COSTS RISE. CHINESE AUTHORITIES ARE CONSIDERING REMOVING THE ADDITIONAL LEVIES FOR MEDICAL EQUIPMENT AND SOME INDUSTRIAL CHEMICALS LIKE ETHANE. https://t.co/Cjso0K22C6 https://t.co/iuOaIQVcq6 https://x.com/Sino_Market/status/1915610808911856019 #CHINA WEIGHS EXEMPTING SOME US GOODS FROM TARIFFS AS COSTS RISE. CHINESE AUTHORITIES ARE CONSIDERING REMOVING THE ADDITIONAL LEVIES FOR MEDICAL EQUIPMENT AND SOME INDUSTRIAL CHEMICALS LIKE ETHANE." [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1915634294082474388) 2025-04-25T05:09Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$GLNG Not sure if this is a fresh update from the company or just based on old remarks but this says the Nigeria FID is expected this year. https://energycapitalpower.com/golar-lng-cco-joins-iae-2025-speaker-lineup/ https://energycapitalpower.com/golar-lng-cco-joins-iae-2025-speaker-lineup/" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1915646373040710112) 2025-04-25T05:57Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@TootieFrootie13 I'm bearish on commodity chemicals. See the Ethylene post on http://blog.valunexus.com http://blog.valunexus.com" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1915652082708648320) 2025-04-25T06:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Marcelo12650938 The article quoting Ahmed makes it sound like a superficial analysis based on historical price action. I think many are mistaken in thinking that this is just a typical "cycle". It looks more like a major restructuring of global supply based on the data" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1915795742381453762) 2025-04-25T15:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@justfactstruth Yeah as I wrote in my January post I think there is still a decent chance that $YPF ends up changing their plans yet again and doing more deals with $GLNG just because the economics and track record should be relatively appealing. But not much evidence that is happening yet" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1915834548136608076) 2025-04-25T18:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG not planned to get any deals in $YPF Argentina LNG phases [--] and [--] (22 mtpa): "confirmed the construction of four LNG units in China: two in partnership with the Italian Eni and two with the Anglo-Dutch Shell" $E $SHEL https://www.infobae.com/economia/2025/04/24/ypf-descarto-la-construccion-de-una-planta-de-gnl-en-tierra-y-la-reemplazara-por-barcos-en-la-costa-de-rio-negro/ https://www.infobae.com/economia/2025/04/24/ypf-descarto-la-construccion-de-una-planta-de-gnl-en-tierra-y-la-reemplazara-por-barcos-en-la-costa-de-rio-negro/" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1915845381159850136) 2025-04-25T19:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$GLNG Permit acquired. FID imminent "enables the Southern Energy consortium to export LNG from the provincial coast in the San Matas Gulf. This is the first free export permit granted in the country with a validity of [--] years." (April [--] 2025) https://rionegro.gov.ar/articulo/53728/habilitan-la-primera-exportacion-de-gnl-desde-las-costas-rionegrinas https://rionegro.gov.ar/articulo/53728/habilitan-la-primera-exportacion-de-gnl-desde-las-costas-rionegrinas" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1916272785229550036) 2025-04-26T23:26Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$DAC still hovering around $80 while the valuation grows. Even if new contracts stop the valuation should continue to grow due to buybacks" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1917482830420140316) 2025-04-30T07:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG Ro Negro Governor: "There is a contract signed for [--] years to come to Ro Negro and the last administrative procedures are missing for the works to begin" https://prensa.rionegro.gov.ar/articulo/53782/nunca-estuvieron-en-duda-los-proyectos-de-gnl-en-el-golfo-san-matiasn=OTE https://prensa.rionegro.gov.ar/articulo/53782/nunca-estuvieron-en-duda-los-proyectos-de-gnl-en-el-golfo-san-matiasn=OTE" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1917596622839804205) 2025-04-30T15:07Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$GLNG "The government of Javier Milei was advancing on Tuesday in the approval of the third project within the framework of the Large Incentives Regime (RIGI). As Bloomberg Line was able to find out this is the one powered by Southern Energy" https://www.bloomberglinea.com/latinoamerica/argentina/gobierno-define-aprobacion-de-nuevo-proyecto-rigi-y-acelera-licitacion-de-inversion-clave/ https://www.bloomberglinea.com/latinoamerica/argentina/gobierno-define-aprobacion-de-nuevo-proyecto-rigi-y-acelera-licitacion-de-inversion-clave/" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1917610179149062349) 2025-04-30T16:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$DEA is a REIT that leases properties primarily to the US federal government but it's trading at a P/FFO of [---] and a 9% yield due to DOGE fears despite have no DOGE lease terminations to date according to the company. Full analysis at http://blog.valunexus.com http://blog.valunexus.com" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1917621101036986755) 2025-04-30T16:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG The deal is much weaker than earlier indications in terms of commodity upside but also stronger in the low end due to CPI linkage. $41.25 is an absurd bear case that values no chance of future deals no chance of LNG over $8 no run rate upside and no SESA equity value" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1918356369318809673) 2025-05-02T17:26Z [---] followers, 10.9K engagements "$DAC I already have $SBLK. We just want buybacks until we reach $130 at least https://www.tradewindsnews.com/finance/danaos-adds-32m-in-star-bulk-shares-making-it-second-largest-investor/2-1-1817870 https://www.tradewindsnews.com/finance/danaos-adds-32m-in-star-bulk-shares-making-it-second-largest-investor/2-1-1817870" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1921399351911334042) 2025-05-11T02:57Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$GLNG "the goal is to order both a fourth and a fifth unit" "it's fair to say that there were more people than just Argentina who had hopes of getting these two boats" "we spend a lot of time with Perenco. looking at stranded gas fields" https://youtu.be/7ZoaJtS50Yw https://youtu.be/7ZoaJtS50Yw" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1922097154568450413) 2025-05-13T01:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$DAC Another valuation boost this quarter with a few more charter extensions since the 20-F. "We are currently holding off on new vessel investments" Repurchases fell to $33.8M from $47.6M last quarter. https://www.danaos.com/news-and-media/press-release-details/2025/Danaos-Corporation-Reports-First-Quarter-Results-for-Period-Ended-March-31-2025/default.aspx https://www.danaos.com/news-and-media/press-release-details/2025/Danaos-Corporation-Reports-First-Quarter-Results-for-Period-Ended-March-31-2025/default.aspx" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1922415883743343095) 2025-05-13T22:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$DAC had a small increase in valuation this quarter with a few new contracts since the 20-F and accretive buybacks offset by increased expenses. The conservative fair value remains around $130" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1922702023784284369) 2025-05-14T17:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$FEC.TO is continuing to tender at an aggressive pace blowdown valuation is good "C$12.00 per share offer is in-line with the fundamental value the Board and management see in the Company" "The year-to-date distribution total to Shareholders. is equivalent to a 27.6% yield"" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1926036065422295044) 2025-05-23T22:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "It's worth a lot more in a blowdown scenario than as a perpetual business like many oil companies. The difference is they are 40%+ owned by private equity that seems to actually want to optimize for shareholders unlike most oil companies" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1926037662386794867) 2025-05-23T22:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG [----] Q1 Call: "several people that we have advanced stages of commercial negotiations with" "you could see us progressing with more than one ship this year" "if the undervaluation we have today persists over time the board will be forced to find ways to unlock that value"" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1927423989099438251) 2025-05-27T17:57Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@siyul @FishtownCap @VulmearJ45663 I looked at $KHC a few weeks ago. Good shareholder returns and you can get in way cheaper than Buffet. But they are basically junk food and I think there is at least a small secular trend against junk food. If it does 1-2% terminal decline then it doesn't look so compelling" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1932633821532598517) 2025-06-11T02:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG has been stable around a valuation that prices in zero growth and almost worst case commodity price assumptions. Are there any other quality growth stocks that are priced as if they'll never grow I wanna own more of them. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1918356369318809673 $GLNG The deal is much weaker than earlier indications in terms of commodity upside but also stronger in the low end due to CPI linkage. $41.25 is an absurd bear case that values no chance of future deals no chance of LNG over $8 no run rate upside and no SESA equity value. https://t.co/g1TRzDiFEr" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1937178781883781262) 2025-06-23T15:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@christankerfund @FishtownCap I agree that the market is likely to sell it down when/if the container market goes into a real downturn but my strategy is to size down a bit so I can add later without risking missing out and hopefully enjoy seeing them do hugely accretive buybacks at even lower prices" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1938068875872178389) 2025-06-26T02:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@FishtownCap @christankerfund You should ignore book value and use NAV instead in shipping but in the case of $DAC even NAV is pretty useless. The only useful way to analyze this is a DCF that accounts for every charter which requires a computer program or spreadsheet" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1938073769819705731) 2025-06-26T03:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@FishtownCap @christankerfund Yeah I don't want to have to watch anything or think too hard I'd rather just buy when it's cheap and wait a few years. With enough diversification it isn't too bad if some positions take a long time to play out" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1938079667833249885) 2025-06-26T03:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$GLNG I wish they would tell us about the "adjustment upon the occurrence of certain events" on the convertible Ignoring the unknown adjustments the terms look pretty good. It's only value dilutive to the extent that current fair value is well above $57.53 which is reasonable" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1938281300244517071) 2025-06-26T17:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Suez canal traffic could be coming back soon "Netanyahu agreed to end Gaza war within two weeks after US strike on Iran" https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/report-netanyahu-agreed-to-end-gaza-war-within-two-weeks-after-us-strike-on-iran/ https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/report-netanyahu-agreed-to-end-gaza-war-within-two-weeks-after-us-strike-on-iran/" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1938424591493566582) 2025-06-27T02:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG Love to see the [---] million share repurchase in less than a week They just replaced 10%+ cost of capital equity with 2.75% debt which is massively accretive" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1940131618385273262) 2025-07-01T19:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$GLNG Looks like the potential Nigeria FLNG would be an MkII. Not priced in at all. "The project will have the capacity to produce 400-500 million standard cubic feet per day (MMscf/d) of LNG LPG and condensate." (Updated June [--] 2025) https://www.bncnetwork.net/project/NNPCGolar-LNG-Floating-LNG-FLNG-Plant/MzAxMDI2 https://www.bncnetwork.net/project/NNPCGolar-LNG-Floating-LNG-FLNG-Plant/MzAxMDI2" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1940434158075158694) 2025-07-02T15:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "I think there's huge alpha in oil producers at these levels. You can earn 10%/year at marginal producer breakeven levels for as long as it takes until the market realizes that US shale is maturing and then we should see a lot of multi-baggers. https://x.com/JavierBlas/status/1940422701530878006 Another anonymous E&P oil executive quoted by the @DallasFed in its quarterly energy survey: "There is constant noise coming from the administration saying $50-per-barrel oil is the target . $50 is not a sustainable price for oil. It needs to be mid-$60s." #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1940497205317754975) 2025-07-02T19:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "All the filings trackers said that Mohnish Pabrai sold $DAC in Q4 [----] but it turns out they were wrong. He said he still holds $DAC in the last investor call on May [--] [----]. In the March call he said the price "makes no sense". https://www.wagonsfund.com/investor-call-replay-may-14-2025 https://www.wagonsfund.com/investor-call-replay-may-14-2025" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1942606974589493430) 2025-07-08T15:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$TGB with a US copper mine under construction is up 10%+ on Trump's copper tariff news" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1942637873024672051) 2025-07-08T17:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$TGB would have huge upside if the US tariffs copper at 50% long-term. "U.S. net import reliance for copper was approximately 45% in 2024" https://www.uschamber.com/environment/u-s-comments-on-section-232-investigation-of-imports-of-copper https://www.uschamber.com/environment/u-s-comments-on-section-232-investigation-of-imports-of-copper" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1942640617747800493) 2025-07-08T17:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Based on the company's NPV8 estimates $TGB currently has 100% upside at US$4.25 copper assuming Florence runs smoothly. This also isn't accounting for its early stage mines. If it gets 50% tariff support on Florence could be a multi-bagger. Added more today" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1942664224851026296) 2025-07-08T19:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Good point this probably explains the muted response of US copper producers. Would probably still take a while to transition but faster than building mines. $TGB "US currently exports enough scrap (to China) to almost fully replace it's net imports." https://x.com/ALikhodedov/status/1943361142736248982 COPPER I do not think 50% tariffs are a great idea but the below misses the point. Of course tariff won't create copper mines. But what it can do is incentivise domestic processing of scrap. US currently exports enough scrap (to China) to almost fully replace it's net imports." [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1943367803282862507) 2025-07-10T17:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements ""copper refineries take years to build. nobody is going to spend money building new copper mines and refining facilities unless there is a guarantee that the price of copper will stay sufficiently elevated to justify such investments" $TGB https://oilprice.com/Metals/Commodities/Copper-Tariffs-A-Risky-Gamble-for-US-Industry.html https://oilprice.com/Metals/Commodities/Copper-Tariffs-A-Risky-Gamble-for-US-Industry.html" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1945327754712637695) 2025-07-16T03:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@FishtownCap @siyul I haven't looked at $CNC yet but have some experience with $CVS. I agree that repricing should help but there are a couple caveats: [--]. Centene is the largest Medicaid managed care organization and the government sets Medicaid rates [--]. Some group plans are multi-year contracts" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1948551896622682280) 2025-07-25T01:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$DAC valuation went up about $1 this quarter with new contracts and buybacks but increasing expenses again" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1952837229564576143) 2025-08-05T21:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$DAC Not too surprising: "when you see actually the stock appreciating really so much to continue buyback would have shot the price up quite dramatically which is not really to the interest of long-term shareholders. And that is why we have paused the buyback."" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1952845051685683406) 2025-08-05T21:31Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@source_result The operating expenses. Capital expenditures aren't considered expenses" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1953096445352902723) 2025-08-06T14:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$GLNG Great to see the MkII FID today I'm curious to see if the market was fully pricing it in already" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1953202736998089123) 2025-08-06T21:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "Yup $GLNG down after FID news. I guess this suggests that the market probably isn't offsetting growth upside with downside risks it just doesn't want to give any premium for growth. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1953202736998089123 $GLNG Great to see the MkII FID today I'm curious to see if the market was fully pricing it in already. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1953202736998089123 $GLNG Great to see the MkII FID today I'm curious to see if the market was fully pricing it in already" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1953513820590084552) 2025-08-07T17:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$DAC I would much prefer that they continue buybacks but I can somewhat understand their reasoning: if they quickly push the price up to fair value then they'd have to stop buybacks but dragging it out lets them milk the depressed valuation a lot longer. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1952845051685683406 $DAC Not too surprising: "when you see actually the stock appreciating really so much to continue buyback would have shot the price up quite dramatically which is not really to the interest of long-term shareholders. And that is why we have paused the buyback."" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1953665936621269472) 2025-08-08T03:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@FishtownCap How are you getting 5% growth Looks like TTM net income is only up about 1% annualized since [----] which is down in real terms" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1954405459533697386) 2025-08-10T04:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@TraderPamplona Gibraltar seems to be doing well at current prices despite being well below your cutoff. Is this cutoff more about being competitive with other available options as opposed to economic viability" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1955716835631841644) 2025-08-13T19:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$GLNG "we plan to order our next FLNG before locking in a charter to drive competitive tension. 4th Golar FLNG will be the only open and available FLNG capacity within this decade. a 5th unit could follow shortly after a 4th unit has been ordered and chartered"" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1955975370051580044) 2025-08-14T12:50Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$SFL [----] Q2 call: "we'll unfortunately continue to have kind of a negative drag from the energy segment going forward"" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1957930485818028401) 2025-08-19T22:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG Shell vs LSEG LNG supply/demand forecasts look quite different I don't have much faith in these forecasts but there is so much supply coming I'd expect a period of low LNG prices coming up to induce demand perhaps switching from coal. https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/europe-gas-markets-escape-hectic-lng-summer-storage-race-2025-08-28/ https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/europe-gas-markets-escape-hectic-lng-summer-storage-race-2025-08-28/" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1961392374212333877) 2025-08-29T11:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@coeus12345 If OPEC maximizes output that decreases the marginal producer's cost. The optimal amount of cartel cuts depends on the intricacies of the cost curve. The persistent threat of further cuts isn't a reliable price booster but it can only help OPEC so it's optimal to use it" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1964722832619057208) 2025-09-07T16:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The Trump admin is smart about the economy. They may want low oil prices to support growth but they definitely don't want to crush the domestic oil and gas industry. My guess is that this is a temporary push to put pressure on Putin. https://x.com/Josh_Young_1/status/1964476527246205005 https://x.com/Josh_Young_1/status/1964476527246205005" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1964777943718363452) 2025-09-07T19:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$FI is down 45% from its high apparently because growth is decelerating but they are still guiding for 10% organic revenue growth 15-17% adj EPS growth and a 10% buyback yield based on 130% of free cash flow. 13x adj P/E seems way too cheap" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1965870530776662527) 2025-09-10T20:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "This explains the reason for the drop in more detail: https://rosenlegal.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Fiserv-complaint-upload1.pdf https://rosenlegal.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Fiserv-complaint-upload1.pdf" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1965913692610179463) 2025-09-10T23:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@FishtownCap The class action complaint explains what happened really well. They gave deceptive guidance on Clover growth and now there is probably a lot of distrust and resentment weighing on the stock. Plus the company has a lot of bad reviews from both clients and employees" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1965931569530712165) 2025-09-11T00:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$FI At the current price and growth rate EPS would grow 10% from revenue and 10% from buybacks plus likely more from margin expansion totaling 20%+. If the stock price goes down this goes up 20% would bring it from a P/E of [--] now to [----] next year. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1965870530776662527 $FI is down 45% from its high apparently because growth is decelerating but they are still guiding for 10% organic revenue growth 15-17% adj EPS growth and a 10% buyback yield based on 130% of free cash flow. 13x adj P/E seems way too cheap. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1965870530776662527 $FI is" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1966133100372795532) 2025-09-11T13:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@FishtownCap I ended up adding $ELV $CNC $UNH about a week ago took me a while to get around to looking at them. I also think $ELV seems like the best risk/reward overall but I like a basket approach here. I think the main risk is they take longer to recover but seem pretty safe long term" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1966178678590812433) 2025-09-11T16:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@FishtownCap I'm still holding $CVS also which I think is worthy of inclusion" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1966186794296422872) 2025-09-11T17:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@FishtownCap I didn't notice this until now but Klarman's two biggest purchases last quarter were $FI and $ELV at higher prices than now. https://www.dataroma.com/m/m_activity.phpm=BAUPOST&typ=a https://www.dataroma.com/m/m_activity.phpm=BAUPOST&typ=a" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1966537998599672030) 2025-09-12T16:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@FishtownCap @NickalobeUltra What other stocks have reasonable base case 30% annualized returns (10% discount rate plus 20% from say one contract a year) with no fundamental downside risk without strong counterparties breaking contracts I want every stock with this risk profile" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1969081070256570591) 2025-09-19T16:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "US offering to support Argentina amidst peso panic Not that relevant to $GLNG but the market seems to think it is. https://x.com/JMilei/status/1970112820923547924 Enorme agradecimiento al @SecScottBessent y al Presidente @realDonaldTrump por el apoyo incondicional al pueblo argentino que hace dos aos eligi dar vuelta un siglo de decadencia con mucho esfuerzo. Los que defendemos las ideas de la libertad debemos trabajar juntos para el https://x.com/JMilei/status/1970112820923547924 Enorme agradecimiento al @SecScottBessent y al Presidente @realDonaldTrump por el apoyo incondicional al pueblo" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1970140488104911041) 2025-09-22T14:57Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$PXS is still trading at 43% of NAV and probably earning over 1/2 of market cap per year. They were recently doing buybacks and said: "Until we can identify economically viable vessel acquisitions we look to further improve our balance sheet and repurchase common shares."" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1788996747882295650) 2024-05-10T18:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "ICE is closing $CXW's expensive 50-acre detention center with [--] individual cottages to free up funds to expand total ICE beds and "filing a motion to allow intake of individuals to resume at the Adelanto ICE Processing Center" owned by $GEO. https://www.ice.gov/news/releases/ice-announces-ongoing-work-optimize-enforcement-resources https://www.ice.gov/news/releases/ice-announces-ongoing-work-optimize-enforcement-resources" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1800549994971471918) 2024-06-11T15:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Half of $PXS ships are MRs but the stock has barely moved today. It's been flat since May. https://x.com/ed_fin/status/1841158034036294041 After a rough September MR rates on benchmark route TC14 rose +29.8% today to ws140. https://t.co/l9DYe7R2AN https://x.com/ed_fin/status/1841158034036294041 After a rough September MR rates on benchmark route TC14 rose +29.8% today to ws140. https://t.co/l9DYe7R2AN" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1841162225647829209) 2024-10-01T17:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG Always delays. June: "NNPC Limited and Golar LNG have both expressed their commitment to achieve Final Investment Decision (FID) before end of Q4 2024" Today: "Golar CEO says Nigerian FLNG FID unlikely before 2025" https://lngprime.com/africa/golar-ceo-says-nigerian-flng-fid-unlikely-before-2025/132219/ https://nnpcgroup.com/insights/nnpc-ltd-progresses-floating-lng-project-with-golar-lng-signs-pda-on-400-500mmscf-gas-deal-eyes-fid-before-dec-2024-ending https://lngprime.com/africa/golar-ceo-says-nigerian-flng-fid-unlikely-before-2025/132219/" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1856829308129656878) 2024-11-13T22:39Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@TJZhang2003 This comes out to about an 11.6% yield which is a little lower than before because these are floating rate and rates have come down recently" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1887642418604089607) 2025-02-06T23:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@TJZhang2003 Each of the CLOs owns a portfolio of high yield loans which you can buy in a fund like $SRLN which earns 7.25%. But instead of giving you direct exposure to the pool of loans the CLO "repackages" them into tranches" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1887642838705602930) 2025-02-06T23:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@TJZhang2003 So investors are earning the high yield because they are effectively providing default insurance to the more senior tranches" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1887643133552505152) 2025-02-06T23:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@TJZhang2003 You can invest in the senior tranches through funds like $JAAA which yields around 6%. The senior tranches earn less yield than the pool average and this difference provides the funds to pay the high rates on the lower tranches that $EIC owns" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1887643180566520316) 2025-02-06T23:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "https://seekingalpha.com/article/4813764-golar-lng-limited-glng-q2-2025-earnings-call-transcript https://seekingalpha.com/article/4813764-golar-lng-limited-glng-q2-2025-earnings-call-transcript" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1956066356257820865) 2025-08-14T18:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "https://seekingalpha.com/article/4813764-golar-lng-limited-glng-q2-2025-earnings-call-transcript https://seekingalpha.com/article/4813764-golar-lng-limited-glng-q2-2025-earnings-call-transcript" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1956066581437366780) 2025-08-14T18:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG Even after the MkII FID announcement the market waited for the formal regulatory approval news before moving: the news on August 25th coincided with the beginning of the move. Nice to see some recognition https://www.diariocronica.com.ar/noticias/2025/08/25/123009-southern-energy-autorizada-a-exportar-gnl-por-30-anos https://www.diariocronica.com.ar/noticias/2025/08/25/123009-southern-energy-autorizada-a-exportar-gnl-por-30-anos" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1960433374335488256) 2025-08-26T20:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "In a job ad posted today $GLNG leaked that they now have an office in Nigeria which isn't listed on their website and hasn't been mentioned before. Sounds like the Nigeria deal is still on. It was originally supposed to FID in [----]. https://www.finn.no/job/ad/424924387 https://www.finn.no/job/ad/424924387" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1962637749086720240) 2025-09-01T22:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@FishtownCap $CI is comparable to $ELV but $ELV has a stronger tangible book value. Morningstar on $CI: "Cigna is trading at the most modest discount to fair value of the managed care organizations that we cover meaning we think more attractive options exist in this industry"" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1966186365101756763) 2025-09-11T17:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG: $YPF CEO "Horacio Marn assures that Vaca Muerta and the development of LNG will continue despite political volatility" "the economic and fiscal conditions favor the continuity of the plan." "Neither Sunday's election nor the next one affects us" https://agroempresario.com/publicacion/111829/horacio-marin-asegura-que-vaca-muerta-y-el-desarrollo-de-gnl-seguiran-pese-a-la-volatilidad-politica/cat=61 https://agroempresario.com/publicacion/111829/horacio-marin-asegura-que-vaca-muerta-y-el-desarrollo-de-gnl-seguiran-pese-a-la-volatilidad-politica/cat=61" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1966366481584918868) 2025-09-12T05:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@ZeeContrarian1 Why do you have a slide from Atlas (formerly $ATCO) on a post about $ZIM" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1967932248566706285) 2025-09-16T12:43Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@Henrik115 The presentation says ATO NPV is $423M BGC NPV is $257M and combined is $449M. Shouldn't these be additive" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1970142308105613724) 2025-09-22T15:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@jddonovan_ @GoldForecast @Henrik115 It's confusing because this slide makes it seem like the $449 NPV is ATO+BGC" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1970570360870597112) 2025-09-23T19:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@gabcasla It's not hard to get to a $100 valuation if you believe growth will continue. One MkII per year for the next [--] years puts the current value at around $95 before counting any commodity price upside. The upside story mostly comes down to whether an LNG glut derails growth" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1970874929999683725) 2025-09-24T15:36Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@Toronto242M @gabcasla $GLNG isn't comparable to most stocks in the energy sector because it's current valuation is fully supported by contracts. Please tell me if you find any other stock (in any sector) with 20%+/yr base case and 10%/yr bear case" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1970887814993646007) 2025-09-24T16:27Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$GLNG "The next [--] years we want to order at least [--] FLNGs minimum." From: https://x.com/BeatingMrMarket/status/1975576257321705530 https://www.youtube.com/watchv=EUas25ejzho&t=3520s $GLNG Staubo speaking at the MSGBC Roundtable during AEW 2025: We are planning to order our fourth FLNG on speculation this year. We want it to be deployed in this basin (MSGBC)" "The next five years we want to order at least three FLNGs minimum. That is our ambition https://x.com/BeatingMrMarket/status/1975576257321705530 https://www.youtube.com/watchv=EUas25ejzho&t=3520s $GLNG Staubo speaking at the MSGBC" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1975586842801013115) 2025-10-07T15:39Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@Fenmagne Check out my post "The Ethylene Market" on it might convince you to get more conviction on the overcapacity question. http://blog.valunexus.com http://blog.valunexus.com" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1978101197824196976) 2025-10-14T14:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Maybe this is why $FI keeps falling people don't want to buy before a downward revision even if it's already priced in. I bought some more today and will be happy if it crashes after guidance updates so I can buy even more. https://x.com/CapitalObserver/status/1977722944429138420 Literally everyone and their mother knows that $FI needs to adjust numbers slightly lower. The stock is down nearly 50%. Next years number probably have to come down to [-----] which is [----] times earnings and the EPS will still be growing by 12% YoY https://t.co/ipF32KW47a" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1978828397758325054) 2025-10-16T14:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@CapitalObserver @RemindMe_OfThis What is the thesis on $KHC With declining revenue in real terms and declining operating income even in nominal terms it doesn't really seem undervalued unless it can start generating some growth" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1978835014553928149) 2025-10-16T14:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@CapitalObserver @RemindMe_OfThis Is there a reason why the overall growth would change now after about a decade of stagnation If so how do we get confidence in that before it actually happens" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1978845147539398814) 2025-10-16T15:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$CCAP 30% discount to NAV seems pretty crazy for a mostly first-lien BDC with long-term stable NAV that's executing buybacks" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1978845621726458242) 2025-10-16T15:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@CapitalObserver @RemindMe_OfThis Ok thanks this increases my confidence a bit that I'm not missing anything interesting which I keep wondering because of Buffett. Buffett opposed the breakup" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1978857175721058816) 2025-10-16T16:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "$FI dropped more than I expected looks like a massive overreaction just as I was hoping for I bought a lot more today. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1978828397758325054 Maybe this is why $FI keeps falling people don't want to buy before a downward revision even if it's already priced in. I bought some more today and will be happy if it crashes after guidance updates so I can buy even more. https://t.co/4gzHYhSXR7 https://x.com/valuesci/status/1978828397758325054 Maybe this is why $FI keeps falling people don't want to buy before a downward revision even if it's already priced in. I bought" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1983565479609339929) 2025-10-29T16:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$FI On the earnings call when an analyst asked what changed so much since last quarter the new CEO basically said it was his review of all the business segments and their corresponding growth targets which he viewed as too optimistic. Could be an element of sandbagging too" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1983603574870593734) 2025-10-29T18:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Back in $GEO. Wasn't expecting to be able to get it at $15 again" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1986504450983567744) 2025-11-06T18:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG Back in January I wrote that I thought there was still a decent chance that $YPF would end up coming back to Golar despite their plans with Shell and Eni. Well now Shell is pulling out: "YPF would seek another partner to replace Shell" https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/ypf-ceo-sees-green-light-20-billion-argentina-lng-project-mid-2026-2025-12-04/ https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/ypf-ceo-sees-green-light-20-billion-argentina-lng-project-mid-2026-2025-12-04/" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1996752838295540133) 2025-12-05T01:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@FishtownCap @siyul Why $GPN instead of $FISV though I think $FISV is a much more defensive business due to the banking segment and size stronger revenue growth (after near term recalibration) and valuation is probably better overall. Plus $GPN is integrating Worldpay after it failed elsewhere" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1997139627095085262) 2025-12-06T03:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@siyul @FishtownCap $PYPL looks cheap but I find it harder to feel confident in its long-term growth. I view $FISV and $FIS as higher quality names that are getting pessimistic valuations like the lower quality names" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1997162546009391484) 2025-12-06T04:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@FishtownCap Yeah actually it was just the [--] year charters that covered the full cost though still the [--] year charters massively de-risk the newbuilds https://x.com/valuesci/status/1902930513830289644 This article was wrong. according to the 20-F $DAC chartered both of the two newbuilds for [--] years at $48500/day which means the added revenue backlog amounts to 101% of the purchase price. https://t.co/BO0jQj4oVe https://x.com/valuesci/status/1902930513830289644 This article was wrong. according to the 20-F $DAC chartered both of the two newbuilds for [--] years at $48500/day which means the added" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/2006596324565856736) 2026-01-01T05:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@FishtownCap There are Greek shipping companies with very good reputations like $SBLK and $ECO which also have similar private management companies $ECO related-party and $SBLK subsidiary. There are a lot of bad ones but I don't think $DAC deserves to be in that category" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/2006600291341189167) 2026-01-01T05:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@FishtownCap The problem with $DAC as an investment is that management has no sympathy for short-term investors. It could have been a quick +100% from July [----] but instead they are optimizing for very long-term holders which turns it into a 5+ year process to get the full value" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/2006602292435488798) 2026-01-01T05:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements ""If Venezuela had a regime change political stability and an attractive and credible oil investment framework. production could increase significantly by a yearly average [------------] bpd with annual investments of around $89B." (Baker Institute) https://x.com/ALikhodedov/status/2007549641047585016 VENEZUELA - PRODUCTION RECOVERY SCOPE https://t.co/BI5H5pIuUF thnx to @luke_skiba for giving the link to the article. I also recommend an episode on @Rory_Johnston 's "Oil Ground Up" - with Dr. Fransico Monaldi (the author of the paper above). https://t.co/RJbOwKKWe3 https://t.co/HDgRiDiJ9T" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2007559679602540892) 2026-01-03T21:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$TGB announced Florence construction is complete. The stock is up over 100% since this post [--] months ago. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1942664224851026296 Based on the company's NPV8 estimates $TGB currently has 100% upside at US$4.25 copper assuming Florence runs smoothly. This also isn't accounting for its early stage mines. If it gets 50% tariff support on Florence could be a multi-bagger. Added more today. https://t.co/ZH5Tgodtaz https://x.com/valuesci/status/1942664224851026296 Based on the company's NPV8 estimates $TGB currently has 100% upside at US$4.25 copper assuming Florence runs" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2011462855556538640) 2026-01-14T15:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@justfactstruth It still sounds like $YPF is going to build the FLNGs with Eni but this could slightly increase the probability that $GLNG gets additional deals - the Eni deal is still MoU phase and with so many ships needed there's a chance they split future vessels between Eni and Golar" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1915827054345654768) 2025-04-25T17:55Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$GLNG "we think the biggest sort of misunderstanding or arguably mispricing is understanding the upside of our commodity exposure. we see upward pressure on Henry Hub. according to Venture Global it needs to go north of $4 to justify any exports"" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1956066335353426169) 2025-08-14T18:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "@christankerfund LNG will probably take some time $CLCO sees a more balanced market in [----]. The stock has been very strong recently. Expectations of an LNG glut should help" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1966521961518883102) 2025-09-12T15:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@NickalobeUltra @FishtownCap Or maybe nobody knows how to do a DCF I've only seen one other person that seemed to value it properly: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4785788-golar-lng-stock-update-after-the-argentina-announcement https://seekingalpha.com/article/4785788-golar-lng-stock-update-after-the-argentina-announcement" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1969099442826395665) 2025-09-19T18:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$CLCO I asked ChatGPT and it sounds like this deal would require majority of minority approval is that right Hard to complain about a 99% gain since April but I was using this as an LNG glut hedge and I think $9.65 is still undervalued long term. https://x.com/christankerfund/status/1970801111742496769 Wow $CLCO in advanced discussions to be acquired by EPS ventures for $9.65/share in cash. https://t.co/xDTw0kjc95 https://x.com/christankerfund/status/1970801111742496769 Wow $CLCO in advanced discussions to be acquired by EPS ventures for $9.65/share in cash. https://t.co/xDTw0kjc95" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1970857302766092321) 2025-09-24T14:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$CLCO We're getting scammed "Unlike the default Bermuda rule CoolCos bye-laws explicitly set the threshold for a merger at a simple majority. Therefore with 59.3% the majority owner can unilaterally approve the cash merger" https://seekingalpha.com/news/4498203-cool-company-announces-agreement-regarding-potential-combination-of-coolco-and-eps-ventures#comment-101169447 https://seekingalpha.com/news/4498203-cool-company-announces-agreement-regarding-potential-combination-of-coolco-and-eps-ventures#comment-101169447" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/1978204654551859557) 2025-10-14T21:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG For the Camuzzi FLNG not only does the capacity exactly match an MkI but nobody else leases FLNGs "It's an initial investment of [---] or [---] million dollars and then it's a lease of a liquefaction ship of another [----] over a period of [--] years." https://www.youtube.com/live/T2nvAisQVM4si=IdprhRWeOeAGTWJK&t=3348 https://www.youtube.com/live/T2nvAisQVM4si=IdprhRWeOeAGTWJK&t=3348" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2004977208054681781) 2025-12-27T18:06Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$DEA Q3 [----] Earnings Call: "why is our stock at $22 It just doesn't make sense." "If we were in line with office our stock would be $28 to $32. If we were in line with net lease peers it would be $36."" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2005344341372579851) 2025-12-28T18:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@FishtownCap I'm curious why you exited $DAC cause I think the process is still playing out and only halfway done. They also said they are resuming buybacks on the last call. Even factoring in a recession it's about a 20% discount rate so should do about 20%/yr over the next few years" [X Link](https://x.com/valuesci/status/2006529205681475999) 2026-01-01T00:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$FISV "Burry himself holds a position in Fiserv shares. and does not plan to increase his stake in the company until the quotes fall to $37." $PYPL $GPN Burry "excluded PayPal and Global Payments from his interest list" https://en.oninvest.com/article/burry-warned-of-risks-in-the-fintech-sector-what-stock-is-he-holding-and-what-is-he-watching-out-forutm_source=chatgpt.com https://en.oninvest.com/article/burry-warned-of-risks-in-the-fintech-sector-what-stock-is-he-holding-and-what-is-he-watching-out-forutm_source=chatgpt.com" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2012291051768172663) 2026-01-16T22:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I closed out $TGB because it closed the NAV gap at $4.50/lb copper. I think copper could stay elevated above that level but I see it more as copper beta than high alpha now. Hoping I can get back in at lower levels. [--] bagger in [--] years 148% since adding https://x.com/valuesci/status/2011462855556538640 $TGB announced Florence construction is complete. The stock is up over 100% since this post [--] months ago. https://t.co/NwnsvuQNBT https://x.com/valuesci/status/2011462855556538640 $TGB announced Florence construction is complete. The stock is up over 100% since this post [--] months ago." [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2017174391927304283) 2026-01-30T09:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$FISV "we believe Fiserv can achieve modest 5% revenue growth once it moves past this reset" "We will maintain our $126 fair value estimate and see the shares as deeply undervalued from a long-term perspective" - Morningstar 2026-02-10 I agree 13% adj earnings yield is crazy" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021646060272353590) 2026-02-11T18:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Also given the company's long history of growth through acquisitions I think the 5% revenue growth estimate probably underestimates the actual long-term growth potential after accounting for acquisitions" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021648379458285929) 2026-02-11T18:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$FISV "we believe Fiserv can achieve modest 5% revenue growth once it moves past this reset" "We will maintain our $126 fair value estimate and see the shares as deeply undervalued from a long-term perspective" - Morningstar 2026-02-10 I agree 13% adj earnings yield is crazy" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021646060272353590) 2026-02-11T18:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Also given the company's long history of growth through acquisitions I think the 5% revenue growth estimate probably underestimates the actual long-term growth potential after accounting for acquisitions" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021648379458285929) 2026-02-11T18:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I closed out $TGB because it closed the NAV gap at $4.50/lb copper. I think copper could stay elevated above that level but I see it more as copper beta than high alpha now. Hoping I can get back in at lower levels. [--] bagger in [--] years 148% since adding https://x.com/valuesci/status/2011462855556538640 $TGB announced Florence construction is complete. The stock is up over 100% since this post [--] months ago. https://t.co/NwnsvuQNBT https://x.com/valuesci/status/2011462855556538640 $TGB announced Florence construction is complete. The stock is up over 100% since this post [--] months ago." [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2017174391927304283) 2026-01-30T09:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$TGB announced Florence construction is complete. The stock is up over 100% since this post [--] months ago. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1942664224851026296 Based on the company's NPV8 estimates $TGB currently has 100% upside at US$4.25 copper assuming Florence runs smoothly. This also isn't accounting for its early stage mines. If it gets 50% tariff support on Florence could be a multi-bagger. Added more today. https://t.co/ZH5Tgodtaz https://x.com/valuesci/status/1942664224851026296 Based on the company's NPV8 estimates $TGB currently has 100% upside at US$4.25 copper assuming Florence runs" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2011462855556538640) 2026-01-14T15:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "$FISV "Burry himself holds a position in Fiserv shares. and does not plan to increase his stake in the company until the quotes fall to $37." $PYPL $GPN Burry "excluded PayPal and Global Payments from his interest list" https://en.oninvest.com/article/burry-warned-of-risks-in-the-fintech-sector-what-stock-is-he-holding-and-what-is-he-watching-out-forutm_source=chatgpt.com https://en.oninvest.com/article/burry-warned-of-risks-in-the-fintech-sector-what-stock-is-he-holding-and-what-is-he-watching-out-forutm_source=chatgpt.com" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2012291051768172663) 2026-01-16T22:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Based on the company's NPV8 estimates $TGB currently has 100% upside at US$4.25 copper assuming Florence runs smoothly. This also isn't accounting for its early stage mines. If it gets 50% tariff support on Florence could be a multi-bagger. Added more today" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1942664224851026296) 2025-07-08T19:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements ""Breakeven costs for key grades in the Orinoco belt already average more than $80 a barrel according to estimates by consultancy Wood Mackenzie. Canada has an average breakeven cost of around $55 a barrel." https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/trump-offers-us-oil-companies-poisoned-chalice-venezuela-2026-01-06/ https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/trump-offers-us-oil-companies-poisoned-chalice-venezuela-2026-01-06/" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2008553382064378041) 2026-01-06T14:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements ""the Venezuela situation does not meaningfully change the future global oil market balance" https://x.com/HFI_Research/status/2007699088406671655 https://x.com/HFI_Research/status/2007699088406671655" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2007776389181882525) 2026-01-04T11:29Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "(Public) Venezuela Regime Change And The Impact On The Oil Market https://www.hfir.com/p/public-venezuela-regime-change-and https://www.hfir.com/p/public-venezuela-regime-change-and" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2007699088406671655) 2026-01-04T06:22Z 74.2K followers, 55.6K engagements "The oil narrative on Venezuela didn't make sense to me but this explanation makes sense to me. I'd also add that using oil as the narrative could accomplish an additional objective of further suppressing oil prices to put near-term pressure on Russia. https://renegaderesources.pro/p/the-venezuelan-oil-narative-is-pure https://renegaderesources.pro/p/the-venezuelan-oil-narative-is-pure" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2007648943430381895) 2026-01-04T03:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "My current take on the Venezuela oil situation is that if regime change works out there will be a small increase in production but large scale development probably doesn't make sense at current oil prices so it shouldn't derail the oil thesis. It's still all about OPEC" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2007569391840580083) 2026-01-03T21:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "If the US congress decides to fund production in Venezuela I could see it happening but in that scenario I think we would see OPEC cuts anyways so still it's all about OPEC" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2007569923896164623) 2026-01-03T21:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements ""Many consider Venezuela a longer-term play given current low prices of $50 per barrel oil and the huge capital investments needed to modernize the infrastructure" https://www.politico.com/news/2026/01/03/trump-venezuela-oil-us-companies-return-00709782 https://www.politico.com/news/2026/01/03/trump-venezuela-oil-us-companies-return-00709782" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2007567339206881636) 2026-01-03T21:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "This means US majors would have to invest $88 to increase production by [--] barrel/year in a country with a history of nationalization and instability. Given current low oil prices if this were to push prices down further I'm doubtful the economics work. https://x.com/valuesci/status/2007559679602540892 "If Venezuela had a regime change political stability and an attractive and credible oil investment framework. production could increase significantly by a yearly average [------------] bpd with annual investments of around $89B." (Baker Institute) https://t.co/HVwodefIj7" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2007564235337797728) 2026-01-03T21:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements ""If Venezuela had a regime change political stability and an attractive and credible oil investment framework. production could increase significantly by a yearly average [------------] bpd with annual investments of around $89B." (Baker Institute) https://x.com/ALikhodedov/status/2007549641047585016 VENEZUELA - PRODUCTION RECOVERY SCOPE https://t.co/BI5H5pIuUF thnx to @luke_skiba for giving the link to the article. I also recommend an episode on @Rory_Johnston 's "Oil Ground Up" - with Dr. Fransico Monaldi (the author of the paper above). https://t.co/RJbOwKKWe3 https://t.co/HDgRiDiJ9T" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2007559679602540892) 2026-01-03T21:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "VENEZUELA - PRODUCTION RECOVERY SCOPE thnx to @luke_skiba for giving the link to the article. I also recommend an episode on @Rory_Johnston 's "Oil Ground Up" - with Dr. Fransico Monaldi (the author of the paper above). https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/oil-ground-up/id1666068669i=1000736607549 https://www.bakerinstitute.org/research/latin-american-oil-production-rosy-outlook-change https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/oil-ground-up/id1666068669i=1000736607549 https://www.bakerinstitute.org/research/latin-american-oil-production-rosy-outlook-change" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2007549641047585016) 2026-01-03T20:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "$DEA Q3 [----] Earnings Call: "why is our stock at $22 It just doesn't make sense." "If we were in line with office our stock would be $28 to $32. If we were in line with net lease peers it would be $36."" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2005344341372579851) 2025-12-28T18:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$GLNG For the Camuzzi FLNG not only does the capacity exactly match an MkI but nobody else leases FLNGs "It's an initial investment of [---] or [---] million dollars and then it's a lease of a liquefaction ship of another [----] over a period of [--] years." https://www.youtube.com/live/T2nvAisQVM4si=IdprhRWeOeAGTWJK&t=3348 https://www.youtube.com/live/T2nvAisQVM4si=IdprhRWeOeAGTWJK&t=3348" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2004977208054681781) 2025-12-27T18:06Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "https://x.com/Carlos_MoraM/status/1996571267911029153 More info from min [--] onwards Credit: @Pulltopar https://t.co/ieCxPHOIZM https://x.com/Carlos_MoraM/status/1996571267911029153 More info from min [--] onwards Credit: @Pulltopar https://t.co/ieCxPHOIZM" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2004980122030669865) 2025-12-27T18:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "More info from min [--] onwards Credit: @Pulltopar https://www.youtube.com/live/T2nvAisQVM4si=8F2iVHfNRp-7_WYm https://www.youtube.com/live/T2nvAisQVM4si=8F2iVHfNRp-7_WYm" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1996571267911029153) 2025-12-04T13:24Z 13.3K followers, [----] engagements "$GLNG Back in January I wrote that I thought there was still a decent chance that $YPF would end up coming back to Golar despite their plans with Shell and Eni. Well now Shell is pulling out: "YPF would seek another partner to replace Shell" https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/ypf-ceo-sees-green-light-20-billion-argentina-lng-project-mid-2026-2025-12-04/ https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/ypf-ceo-sees-green-light-20-billion-argentina-lng-project-mid-2026-2025-12-04/" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1996752838295540133) 2025-12-05T01:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Back in $GEO. Wasn't expecting to be able to get it at $15 again" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1986504450983567744) 2025-11-06T18:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$FI On the earnings call when an analyst asked what changed so much since last quarter the new CEO basically said it was his review of all the business segments and their corresponding growth targets which he viewed as too optimistic. Could be an element of sandbagging too" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1983603574870593734) 2025-10-29T18:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$FI This is roughly how I view the main cause for the crash. New management seems more focused on sustainable growth. I view the business itself as robust but transitioning to sustainable growth will require a weak period partly due to exiting non-core. https://x.com/Zander62171942/status/1983563154102591791 @VijarKohli I worked at Fiserv. There is a lot more going on here behind the scenes. An active class action lawsuit from last month is the tip of the iceberg. Frank cooked the books while he was here and it is now being exposed. https://x.com/Zander62171942/status/1983563154102591791" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1983589051954557380) 2025-10-29T17:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@VijarKohli I worked at Fiserv. There is a lot more going on here behind the scenes. An active class action lawsuit from last month is the tip of the iceberg. Frank cooked the books while he was here and it is now being exposed" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1983563154102591791) 2025-10-29T15:54Z [--] followers, [----] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@valuesci Chris Clark
Chris Clark posts on X about $glng, $dac, $fi, $ypf the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [---] #
- [--] Week [---] +1,159%
- [--] Month [-----] -46%
- [--] Months [------] -60%
- [--] Year [------] +101%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Months [--] -20%
- [--] Year [---] +117%
Followers: [------] #
- [--] Week [---] -0.16%
- [--] Month [---] +0.16%
- [--] Months [---] +2.70%
- [--] Year [---] +23%
CreatorRank: undefined #
Social Influence
Social category influence finance stocks countries technology brands cryptocurrencies travel destinations us election automotive brands
Social topic influence $glng, $dac, $fi #24, $ypf, $tgb, venezuela, argentina, oil, tariffs, investment
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @fishtowncap @christankerfund @nickalobeultra @siyul @tjzhang2003 @joeriwestland @justfactstruth @gabcasla @capitalobserver @remindmeofthis @lukeskiba @roryjohnston @madisonlackey44 @calvinfroedge @cp89880222 @henrik115 @pulltopar @vijarkohli @rkpse56 @novembergain
Top assets mentioned Golar LNG Ltd (GLNG) Danaos Corporation (DAC) Fiserv, Inc. (FI) YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) Taseko Mines Limited (TGB) Fiserv Inc (FISV) CVS Health Corp (CVS) Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. (ZIM) Sasol Limited (SSL) Braskem S.A. American Depositary Shares (BAK) Easterly Government Properties, Inc. (DEA) Elevance Health Inc (ELV) The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) Global Payments Inc (GPN) PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL) Cool Company Ltd. (CLCO) International Seaways, Inc. Common Stock (INSW) Scorpio Tankers Inc. (STNG) Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp. (ECO) Kraft Heinz Co (KHC) Centene Corp (CNC) Paramount Global (PARA) Apple, Inc. (AAPL) Optimism (OP) Frontline Ltd. (FRO) dHedge DAO (DHT) TORM plc Class A Common Stock (TRMD) Hafnia Limited (HAFN)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"$GLNG "Most of the opportunities we are discussing in West Africa is likely Mark I or II. And then some of the projects we are discussing in South America and in the Middle East could be a Mark III""
X Link 2025-08-14T18:53Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@rkpse56 $ZIM is currently hoarding $3.1B in cash and bonds vs a $1.3B market cap. There's not much value they can tap from a $1.3B market cap especially since issuing shares under distress would crash the share price"
X Link 2024-03-08T06:30Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"$GEO refinancing de-risks but is otherwise valuation neutral. The stock seems fairly valued at $16 with further gains likely to be slower. They still have 15% of beds unutilized could gradually lower interest expense further and maybe re-REIT eventually"
X Link 2024-04-09T19:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@joeriwestland Thanks for the list I also have $DAC $AOI $PXS $TNP. I was disappointed with $DAC before but now I think I can kinda understand their approach after I got more cautious on the segment. I'm avoiding $ZIM (there's a post on it in my profile)"
X Link 2024-04-26T01:03Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@joeriwestland For dry bulk I'm in $GNK since I don't have enough conviction on the market yet and the quality stocks should handle a weak market better. Also interested in $SBLK and might try to grab more marginal stocks if the market strengthens. I was in $EDRY earlier"
X Link 2024-04-26T01:10Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@joeriwestland For tankers since it's a strong market I'm just going for a diversified mix of cheaper stocks: $INSW $STNG $NAT $PXS $TNP"
X Link 2024-04-26T01:21Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"After years of worsening oil reserve replacement Parex is starting to focus more on natural gas. It could work out but I don't see the stock as cheap enough to buy considering all the uncertainty and complexity. $PXT.TO http://blog.valunexus.com http://blog.valunexus.com"
X Link 2024-04-29T17:41Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"Brutal guidance revision by $CVS but it's now trading at an adjusted P/E of [--] on what is supposed to be a trough year with low double-digit EPS growth expected in [----] and previous long-term EPS growth guidance of 6%. Note that front store retail is a relatively minor factor"
X Link 2024-05-01T19:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
""Insiders tell Variety that the expectation at the company is that neither of the two offers in play Skydance Media-RedBird Capital Partners and Sony Pictures Entertainment-Apollo Global Management will come to fruition." $PARA https://variety.com/2024/biz/news/paramount-global-reject-skydance-sony-apollo-offers-1235991298/ https://variety.com/2024/biz/news/paramount-global-reject-skydance-sony-apollo-offers-1235991298/"
X Link 2024-05-03T19:48Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@christankerfund I buy [--] week t-bills directly; no extra counterparty risk or management overhead fees. You can set them up to auto-roll with some brokerages so it's almost as easy as an ETF"
X Link 2024-05-10T18:02Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"The #drybulk outlook is too complicated for me now. There's a risk that temporary effects from the canal disruptions and China iron ore inventory builds are being priced in as a sustained trend. Gersemi is short. https://www.tradewindsnews.com/gas/joakim-hannisdahl-s-gersemi-fund-grabs-stake-in-idan-ofer-s-coolco-in-dash-for-gas/2-1-1641568 https://www.tradewindsnews.com/gas/joakim-hannisdahl-s-gersemi-fund-grabs-stake-in-idan-ofer-s-coolco-in-dash-for-gas/2-1-1641568"
X Link 2024-05-10T20:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@FishtownCap @MadisonLackey44 @christankerfund Also I don't think the containership market is anywhere near out of the woods yet; we're just now at the peak of deliveries so about halfway there. We might have to wait until end of [----] for the valuation to become clear. The current valuation is conservative but not crazy"
X Link 2024-05-10T22:11Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@MadisonLackey44 @FishtownCap @christankerfund The P/E will probably be negative in a few years after the contracts end in a depressed market so [--] or [--] is way too high. The value comes from the current contracts and the residual value of the ships which is significant even if they are losing money for several years"
X Link 2024-05-10T22:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"$CVS "January was very high when we look at inpatient admits. February improved some. March and April have been down dramatically from that level. It's way too early to get excited about that until we've seen more data inside the second quarter." https://seekingalpha.com/article/4693174-cvs-health-corporation-cvs-bofa-securities-2024-health-care-conference-transcript https://seekingalpha.com/article/4693174-cvs-health-corporation-cvs-bofa-securities-2024-health-care-conference-transcript"
X Link 2024-05-14T19:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Treating $CVS as a convenience store operator is like treating $AAPL as a brick & mortar electronics retailer. $CVS Dec [----] long-term EPS growth guidance of 6% (4% earnings growth 2% from buybacks) already assumes a 5% decline in income from stores and pharmacies"
X Link 2024-05-14T20:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"@FishtownCap Regarding a buyout note that back in [----] $DAC management said "we want to be a public company we care about the trading of the stock. We want access to public equity and debt." https://seekingalpha.com/article/4526002-danaos-undervaluation-strong-returns-podcast https://seekingalpha.com/article/4526002-danaos-undervaluation-strong-returns-podcast"
X Link 2024-05-28T16:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
"A week after $GEO discontinued the Lawton contract Oklahoma agrees to improved terms with a reduced population. https://www.geogroup.com/ODOC-and-The-GEO-Group-reach-contract-agreement https://www.geogroup.com/ODOC-and-The-GEO-Group-reach-contract-agreement"
X Link 2024-06-28T16:14Z [--] followers, [---] engagements
""Baskin the former negotiator said that added US pressure is unlikely to sway the Israeli prime minister. 'If the Americans are still optimistic (after Netanyahus Sunday statement) then they are really living in La La land' Baskin told CNN." https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/08/middleeast/israel-hamas-ceasefire-hostage-deal-demands-explainer-mime-intl/index.html https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/08/middleeast/israel-hamas-ceasefire-hostage-deal-demands-explainer-mime-intl/index.html"
X Link 2024-07-08T19:08Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"@FishtownCap $CVS did say on the 2023Q1 call: "over time we'll look at what other assets but right now we need to focus on execution of the assets that we just acquired. for the near term""
X Link 2024-07-10T17:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
""2025 has the potential to be the craziest year weve ever seen on the ocean container side. If Trump wins and the 60% China tariff happens. we will see front-loading like we have never seen before in 2025." #Containers $DAC https://www.lloydslist.com/LL1149865/Container-rates-in-doom-loop-and-bubble-amid-strong-US-imports https://www.lloydslist.com/LL1149865/Container-rates-in-doom-loop-and-bubble-amid-strong-US-imports"
X Link 2024-07-27T00:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"It sounds like this is most likely a temporary issue but it can be tough for investors to ride out situations like this. $CVS"
X Link 2024-08-16T19:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I don't currently have any position in $BAK $SSL or any other companies with significant basic chemicals exposure. See my post on Ethylene which partially explains why I'm avoiding the industry for now. https://x.com/AlmostValueInv/status/1829267457149747694 @valuesci @calvinfroedge If you see any issues regarding $bak please share as well 😂 https://x.com/AlmostValueInv/status/1829267457149747694 @valuesci @calvinfroedge If you see any issues regarding $bak please share as well 😂"
X Link 2024-08-29T21:46Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"The selloff in oil equities seems overdone. WTI is at Permian breakevens which doesn't provide incentive to drill. Prices will average around the marginal cost of production including capital costs probably in the $70-$80 range. Many equities are pricing low $60s average WTI"
X Link 2024-09-10T17:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"It's possible that breakevens could come down if we get deflation in oilfield services but I think it would be premature to price that in and I'd be surprised if that's how it played out"
X Link 2024-09-10T18:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@justfactstruth Note that this is FID on conversion as opposed to FID on contracting. It probably indicates optimism on contracting at least"
X Link 2024-09-16T17:09Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG Argentina "Deal completion expected by Q1 2025". The market might be waiting for the FID on the Argentina deal before pricing in the full expected value for a valuation of $51/share. This is not including other potential deals like Nigeria. https://ml-eu.globenewswire.com/Resource/Download/4916d9ed-87e2-4298-8db3-87492d9aaa21#page=9 https://ml-eu.globenewswire.com/Resource/Download/4916d9ed-87e2-4298-8db3-87492d9aaa21#page=9"
X Link 2024-09-16T17:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@NickalobeUltra I estimate it's currently pricing in a 50% probability at base case LNG prices but it could also be pricing in a higher probability with more pessimistic LNG expectations in which case it may not move as much as I'd hope in the near term"
X Link 2024-09-16T18:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@novembergain @NickalobeUltra Are you referring to the Stifel analysis below They had $16/share for the MkII/Nigeria using the low-end illustrative guidance. Using the mid-range illustrative guidance of $875M for [--] years it would be around $33/share just for the Nigeria deal. https://x.com/justfactstruth/status/1805215756134547815 $GLNG - Buy $55 Stifel -SOTP Summary Hilli currently. The Hilli is currently operating at basically half capacity in Cameroon with a contract that expires in July [----]. We estimate that it generates $150 million in tolling EBITDA a year. In addition there is an"
X Link 2024-09-18T18:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Stifel is using pessimistic low-end illustrative guidance numbers for their $GLNG targets. With mid-range numbers you would get much higher than $80/share in this scenario. And how are they getting $277M base EBITDA for Hilli I thought it was $296M. https://x.com/charlesbonnerjr/status/1836773160319926275 Stifel out with post-Gastech update on $GLNG thinks $80 in a year is doable🚀 https://t.co/AIPQiqmQ0z https://x.com/charlesbonnerjr/status/1836773160319926275 Stifel out with post-Gastech update on $GLNG thinks $80 in a year is doable🚀 https://t.co/AIPQiqmQ0z"
X Link 2024-09-19T15:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I doubt they are going to offer over $100/share so this makes me more worried that I could end up getting robbed of my top position. I'll vote against any double-digit offers. It's not easy to find investments like this. $GLNG https://seekingalpha.com/news/4153883-golar-gains-amid-takeover-speculation https://seekingalpha.com/news/4153883-golar-gains-amid-takeover-speculation"
X Link 2024-09-26T20:39Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"The new location for the Hilli decided to be the Gulf of San Matas Argentina the closest site from the Vaca Muerta (for the deal with PAE). $GLNG https://x.com/H_01101000/status/1841059130225660156 https://t.co/BoVU8e4h6L https://x.com/H_01101000/status/1841059130225660156 https://t.co/BoVU8e4h6L"
X Link 2024-10-01T16:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Closed out for 20% in a month. $GEO https://x.com/valuesci/status/1833935470767825003 $GEO tends to get valuation support at around these levels. Range trading this has been really easy money. https://t.co/5cnyitKCwU https://x.com/valuesci/status/1833935470767825003 $GEO tends to get valuation support at around these levels. Range trading this has been really easy money. https://t.co/5cnyitKCwU"
X Link 2024-10-15T16:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I wish I had held on through the election up 39% today $GEO https://x.com/valuesci/status/1846231327605203292 Closed out for 20% in a month. $GEO https://t.co/Ft8QZt0WEC https://x.com/valuesci/status/1846231327605203292 Closed out for 20% in a month. $GEO https://t.co/Ft8QZt0WEC"
X Link 2024-11-06T18:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@OriginalBraila My concern with tankers is that with Trump back in power peace in Ukraine is imminent. Any thoughts on the possible resumption of the Russia-Europe trade"
X Link 2024-11-08T16:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"With Trump's return peace in Ukraine is imminent. Will Europe resume tanker trade with Russia Tankers will get whacked on the news but how bad will it be fundamentally $FRO $INSW $STNG $DHT $TRMD $ECO $HAFN $ASC $DIS.MI $CMBT $NAT $TNK $TK $TEN https://x.com/ImMeme0/status/1808895165169287630 BREAKING: Putin says he supports Trump's plan to end the war in Ukraine. https://t.co/IkmO3Uzhco https://x.com/ImMeme0/status/1808895165169287630 BREAKING: Putin says he supports Trump's plan to end the war in Ukraine. https://t.co/IkmO3Uzhco"
X Link 2024-11-08T16:55Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"I expect a containership downturn at some point but I'm bullish on $DAC. Even with a severe [--] year recession and a 12% discount rate it's worth $115 (41% upside) due to strong charter coverage. Full analysis at http://blog.valunexus.com http://blog.valunexus.com"
X Link 2024-11-11T16:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$DAC had a strong quarter booking $308M in new contracts which boosts my valuation from $115 to $125. This is an impressive boost for a single quarter and they said they've signed more contracts since this release. Full update at http://blog.valunexus.com http://blog.valunexus.com"
X Link 2024-11-13T19:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$EMX Is a small copper-gold royalty company trading for around half of NAV but I'm not interested due to high operating expenses. Analysis at http://blog.valunexus.com http://blog.valunexus.com"
X Link 2024-11-13T21:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Is the latest commodities crash a Trump trade Big divergence between US and ex-US starting in early October when my portfolio started dumping"
X Link 2024-11-14T02:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG might take the $YPF business from Petronas $YPF CEO said YPF would be joining the Pan American-Golar venture. "it isnt clear what will happen to Petronas. Marin has more recently cast doubt on the Malaysian companys continued involvement." https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/argentinas-ypf-to-merge-lng-project-with-rivals-joint-venture https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/argentinas-ypf-to-merge-lng-project-with-rivals-joint-venture"
X Link 2024-11-25T19:02Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Exiting #drybulk in May worked out well. $SBLK is down about 32% in the [--] months since this post. I'm now re-accumulating $SBLK as a statistical play based on the NAV discount of 41% vs the analysts' NAV estimate of $30. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1789023676593303833 The #drybulk outlook is too complicated for me now. There's a risk that temporary effects from the canal disruptions and China iron ore inventory builds are being priced in as a sustained trend. Gersemi is short. https://t.co/CxDgPuabBu https://x.com/valuesci/status/1789023676593303833 The #drybulk outlook is too complicated"
X Link 2024-11-27T19:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"This is why I'm skeptical of forecasts that have oil prices going lower from here AND Permian production rising. These are averages of responses which means around half of respondents need even higher prices than this to profitably drill new wells"
X Link 2024-12-04T05:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"TGS estimated "the break-even prices of the Delaware Basin Midland Basin and Eagle Ford at $56.26 $66.28 and $66.35 per barrel respectively" in September [----]. https://www.tgs.com/weekly-spotlight/2024-09-16 https://www.tgs.com/weekly-spotlight/2024-09-16"
X Link 2024-12-04T22:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Looks like a good day to check in on @calvinfroedge after his 2nd deal renege. $PXT.TO $BAK $SSL $SBSW $VALE $VTNRQ not looking so good Meanwhile my biggest position $GLNG is up 100% and making new highs and 2nd biggest position $DAC is holding strong. Tough out there though"
X Link 2024-12-06T20:34Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@CP89880222 I agree that it probably won't be huge like the Q2 to Q3 jump of +$10 but they did say that they already signed more contracts after the Q3 results and the strong market can drive longer-term contracts even if it's not entirely rational"
X Link 2025-01-10T20:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@CP89880222 And yeah I don't expect them to suddenly ramp shareholder returns and I don't expect the stock to suddenly take off either. I think this is more like a 20% annualized over the next [--] years type of situation"
X Link 2025-01-10T20:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@christankerfund It's a bit confusing with a full cabinet vs security cabinet. Just now: "Israels full Cabinet is considering a ceasefire deal" "The full Cabinet meeting follows one held earlier Friday by Israels security Cabinet which recommended approval." https://apnews.com/live/israel-hamas-ceasefire-updates https://apnews.com/live/israel-hamas-ceasefire-updates"
X Link 2025-01-17T19:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Updated $GLNG valuation matrix assuming possibly aspirational commodity-linked tariffs based on "illustrative" guidance. Fair value could reach $120 (194% upside) this year if they get two MkII contracts at Golar's desired terms. Full update at http://blog.valunexus.com http://blog.valunexus.com"
X Link 2025-01-31T21:27Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$GLNG [----] Q4 Update * Aim to charter MkII and FID 4th FLNG in [----] * Already discussing 4th FLNG with shipyards * Discussing projects with potential for multiple FLNGs and an MkIII * Advanced discussions in Americas West Africa SE Asia and Middle East https://seekingalpha.com/article/4762789-golar-lng-limited-glng-q4-2024-earnings-call-transcript https://seekingalpha.com/article/4762789-golar-lng-limited-glng-q4-2024-earnings-call-transcript"
X Link 2025-02-27T16:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG: $PAM Q4 [----] Call: "we are in the process of deciding whether we will move forward with an FID or not in the coming future. The project consists of two vessels the first [--] of [---] million TPA tons per year and the second one [---] TPA tons per year." https://x.com/gabcasla/status/1899223204914209142 $GLNG Let me explain the situation Pampa Energa (20% shareholder in Argentina LNG): We are very eager to take Hilli and MK2 from Golar for the next 20y The market: Oof Nvidia is falling let's tank Golar's stock price too Gas prices up for 2nd day in a row.tough to explain"
X Link 2025-03-11T02:56Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@kcambrecht @gabcasla $PAM [----] Q4 earnings call https://seekingalpha.com/article/4765416-pampa-energia-s-a-pam-q4-2024-earnings-call-transcript https://seekingalpha.com/article/4765416-pampa-energia-s-a-pam-q4-2024-earnings-call-transcript"
X Link 2025-03-11T03:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$GLNG: $PMOIF [----] Q4 Call: "we have a position in Southern Energy LNG which we're quite excited about. There are plans already by third-party developers to put a direct connection between where that- those FLNG vessel will reside in port to connect it to the Vaca Muerta shale""
X Link 2025-03-11T06:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG: $YPF [----] Q4 Call: "Update of LNG we are in a very good situation. I will explain in more detail on April [--]. But I'm very positive with the two with the Argentine LNG project. Very positive that Argentina and YPF itself will deliver this project for us""
X Link 2025-03-11T06:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG strongest statement yet on the MkII "phase [--] which consists of two ships totaling [--] MPTAs between them is well advanced and Marn said that the FID (final investment decision) would be announced in April" https://x.com/gabcasla/status/1901641586934509737 $GLNG YPF's CEO can say it louder but can't say it clearer Last Friday Horacio participated in a conference in Houston: Phase [--] of the Argentina LNG project which consists of [--] Golar vessels will be FID next April. The offtaker will likely be Germany https://t.co/WWircexNyU https://x.com/gabcasla/status/1901641586934509737 $GLNG YPF's"
X Link 2025-03-17T16:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$GLNG Everyone is missing this. Poten's business intelligence chief: $12/mmbtu LNG "should continue for the next decade." Analysts are valuing an MkII contract at $16.50/sh but at $12 LNG and Golar's desired terms ONE CONTRACT would be worth $80/sh. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/rising-lng-terminal-costs-make-new-us-projects-less-competitive-says-analyst-2024-12-03/ https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/rising-lng-terminal-costs-make-new-us-projects-less-competitive-says-analyst-2024-12-03/"
X Link 2025-03-19T19:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@AAGresearch When I asked it picked $WMT $JNJ and $NEE. I wonder if your tweets affect its response. https://x.com/i/grok/share/5USiyCTJ0fVbjXH2PMRljP80V https://x.com/i/grok/share/5USiyCTJ0fVbjXH2PMRljP80V"
X Link 2025-03-27T02:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$DAC buybacks are going to be very accretive here"
X Link 2025-04-07T14:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG Looks like no FID announcement at $YPF investor day today. Argentina LNG 1: Tolling System [--] MTPA [--] FLNG new dedicated gas pipeline FID [----]. https://investors.ypf.com/documents/presentaciones/YPF-IR-DAY-2025-presentation.pdf#page=27 https://investors.ypf.com/documents/presentaciones/YPF-IR-DAY-2025-presentation.pdf#page=27"
X Link 2025-04-11T13:03Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$GLNG Stifel on $YPF investor day news: "unquestionably Golars Hilli (2.5 mtpa) and the MK2 Fuji (3.5 mtpa) which are the only two vessels in the world that fit that profile and availability timeline" https://www.tipranks.com/news/the-fly/ypf-investor-day-removes-doubt-on-golar-lng-position-in-argentina-says-stifel https://www.tipranks.com/news/the-fly/ypf-investor-day-removes-doubt-on-golar-lng-position-in-argentina-says-stifel"
X Link 2025-04-11T14:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"After a week like this Harpex is up again today $DAC"
X Link 2025-04-11T19:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$BAK is up 9% probably because of the news that China's chemical plants are getting cut off from US ethane. This would be bullish for $BAK if it sticks but keep in mind that the US wants a deal with China and generally wants buyers for it's exports. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1829274364510089372 I don't currently have any position in $BAK $SSL or any other companies with significant basic chemicals exposure. See my post on Ethylene which partially explains why I'm avoiding the industry for now. https://t.co/8fql4yvxqw https://x.com/valuesci/status/1829274364510089372 I don't currently have"
X Link 2025-04-22T19:53Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Sounds like the $BAK rally might be over already. https://x.com/Sino_Market/status/1915610808911856019 #CHINA WEIGHS EXEMPTING SOME US GOODS FROM TARIFFS AS COSTS RISE. CHINESE AUTHORITIES ARE CONSIDERING REMOVING THE ADDITIONAL LEVIES FOR MEDICAL EQUIPMENT AND SOME INDUSTRIAL CHEMICALS LIKE ETHANE. https://t.co/Cjso0K22C6 https://t.co/iuOaIQVcq6 https://x.com/Sino_Market/status/1915610808911856019 #CHINA WEIGHS EXEMPTING SOME US GOODS FROM TARIFFS AS COSTS RISE. CHINESE AUTHORITIES ARE CONSIDERING REMOVING THE ADDITIONAL LEVIES FOR MEDICAL EQUIPMENT AND SOME INDUSTRIAL CHEMICALS LIKE ETHANE."
X Link 2025-04-25T05:09Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$GLNG Not sure if this is a fresh update from the company or just based on old remarks but this says the Nigeria FID is expected this year. https://energycapitalpower.com/golar-lng-cco-joins-iae-2025-speaker-lineup/ https://energycapitalpower.com/golar-lng-cco-joins-iae-2025-speaker-lineup/"
X Link 2025-04-25T05:57Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@TootieFrootie13 I'm bearish on commodity chemicals. See the Ethylene post on http://blog.valunexus.com http://blog.valunexus.com"
X Link 2025-04-25T06:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Marcelo12650938 The article quoting Ahmed makes it sound like a superficial analysis based on historical price action. I think many are mistaken in thinking that this is just a typical "cycle". It looks more like a major restructuring of global supply based on the data"
X Link 2025-04-25T15:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@justfactstruth Yeah as I wrote in my January post I think there is still a decent chance that $YPF ends up changing their plans yet again and doing more deals with $GLNG just because the economics and track record should be relatively appealing. But not much evidence that is happening yet"
X Link 2025-04-25T18:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG not planned to get any deals in $YPF Argentina LNG phases [--] and [--] (22 mtpa): "confirmed the construction of four LNG units in China: two in partnership with the Italian Eni and two with the Anglo-Dutch Shell" $E $SHEL https://www.infobae.com/economia/2025/04/24/ypf-descarto-la-construccion-de-una-planta-de-gnl-en-tierra-y-la-reemplazara-por-barcos-en-la-costa-de-rio-negro/ https://www.infobae.com/economia/2025/04/24/ypf-descarto-la-construccion-de-una-planta-de-gnl-en-tierra-y-la-reemplazara-por-barcos-en-la-costa-de-rio-negro/"
X Link 2025-04-25T19:08Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$GLNG Permit acquired. FID imminent "enables the Southern Energy consortium to export LNG from the provincial coast in the San Matas Gulf. This is the first free export permit granted in the country with a validity of [--] years." (April [--] 2025) https://rionegro.gov.ar/articulo/53728/habilitan-la-primera-exportacion-de-gnl-desde-las-costas-rionegrinas https://rionegro.gov.ar/articulo/53728/habilitan-la-primera-exportacion-de-gnl-desde-las-costas-rionegrinas"
X Link 2025-04-26T23:26Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$DAC still hovering around $80 while the valuation grows. Even if new contracts stop the valuation should continue to grow due to buybacks"
X Link 2025-04-30T07:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG Ro Negro Governor: "There is a contract signed for [--] years to come to Ro Negro and the last administrative procedures are missing for the works to begin" https://prensa.rionegro.gov.ar/articulo/53782/nunca-estuvieron-en-duda-los-proyectos-de-gnl-en-el-golfo-san-matiasn=OTE https://prensa.rionegro.gov.ar/articulo/53782/nunca-estuvieron-en-duda-los-proyectos-de-gnl-en-el-golfo-san-matiasn=OTE"
X Link 2025-04-30T15:07Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$GLNG "The government of Javier Milei was advancing on Tuesday in the approval of the third project within the framework of the Large Incentives Regime (RIGI). As Bloomberg Line was able to find out this is the one powered by Southern Energy" https://www.bloomberglinea.com/latinoamerica/argentina/gobierno-define-aprobacion-de-nuevo-proyecto-rigi-y-acelera-licitacion-de-inversion-clave/ https://www.bloomberglinea.com/latinoamerica/argentina/gobierno-define-aprobacion-de-nuevo-proyecto-rigi-y-acelera-licitacion-de-inversion-clave/"
X Link 2025-04-30T16:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$DEA is a REIT that leases properties primarily to the US federal government but it's trading at a P/FFO of [---] and a 9% yield due to DOGE fears despite have no DOGE lease terminations to date according to the company. Full analysis at http://blog.valunexus.com http://blog.valunexus.com"
X Link 2025-04-30T16:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG The deal is much weaker than earlier indications in terms of commodity upside but also stronger in the low end due to CPI linkage. $41.25 is an absurd bear case that values no chance of future deals no chance of LNG over $8 no run rate upside and no SESA equity value"
X Link 2025-05-02T17:26Z [---] followers, 10.9K engagements
"$DAC I already have $SBLK. We just want buybacks until we reach $130 at least https://www.tradewindsnews.com/finance/danaos-adds-32m-in-star-bulk-shares-making-it-second-largest-investor/2-1-1817870 https://www.tradewindsnews.com/finance/danaos-adds-32m-in-star-bulk-shares-making-it-second-largest-investor/2-1-1817870"
X Link 2025-05-11T02:57Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$GLNG "the goal is to order both a fourth and a fifth unit" "it's fair to say that there were more people than just Argentina who had hopes of getting these two boats" "we spend a lot of time with Perenco. looking at stranded gas fields" https://youtu.be/7ZoaJtS50Yw https://youtu.be/7ZoaJtS50Yw"
X Link 2025-05-13T01:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$DAC Another valuation boost this quarter with a few more charter extensions since the 20-F. "We are currently holding off on new vessel investments" Repurchases fell to $33.8M from $47.6M last quarter. https://www.danaos.com/news-and-media/press-release-details/2025/Danaos-Corporation-Reports-First-Quarter-Results-for-Period-Ended-March-31-2025/default.aspx https://www.danaos.com/news-and-media/press-release-details/2025/Danaos-Corporation-Reports-First-Quarter-Results-for-Period-Ended-March-31-2025/default.aspx"
X Link 2025-05-13T22:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$DAC had a small increase in valuation this quarter with a few new contracts since the 20-F and accretive buybacks offset by increased expenses. The conservative fair value remains around $130"
X Link 2025-05-14T17:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$FEC.TO is continuing to tender at an aggressive pace blowdown valuation is good "C$12.00 per share offer is in-line with the fundamental value the Board and management see in the Company" "The year-to-date distribution total to Shareholders. is equivalent to a 27.6% yield""
X Link 2025-05-23T22:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"It's worth a lot more in a blowdown scenario than as a perpetual business like many oil companies. The difference is they are 40%+ owned by private equity that seems to actually want to optimize for shareholders unlike most oil companies"
X Link 2025-05-23T22:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG [----] Q1 Call: "several people that we have advanced stages of commercial negotiations with" "you could see us progressing with more than one ship this year" "if the undervaluation we have today persists over time the board will be forced to find ways to unlock that value""
X Link 2025-05-27T17:57Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@siyul @FishtownCap @VulmearJ45663 I looked at $KHC a few weeks ago. Good shareholder returns and you can get in way cheaper than Buffet. But they are basically junk food and I think there is at least a small secular trend against junk food. If it does 1-2% terminal decline then it doesn't look so compelling"
X Link 2025-06-11T02:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG has been stable around a valuation that prices in zero growth and almost worst case commodity price assumptions. Are there any other quality growth stocks that are priced as if they'll never grow I wanna own more of them. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1918356369318809673 $GLNG The deal is much weaker than earlier indications in terms of commodity upside but also stronger in the low end due to CPI linkage. $41.25 is an absurd bear case that values no chance of future deals no chance of LNG over $8 no run rate upside and no SESA equity value. https://t.co/g1TRzDiFEr"
X Link 2025-06-23T15:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@christankerfund @FishtownCap I agree that the market is likely to sell it down when/if the container market goes into a real downturn but my strategy is to size down a bit so I can add later without risking missing out and hopefully enjoy seeing them do hugely accretive buybacks at even lower prices"
X Link 2025-06-26T02:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@FishtownCap @christankerfund You should ignore book value and use NAV instead in shipping but in the case of $DAC even NAV is pretty useless. The only useful way to analyze this is a DCF that accounts for every charter which requires a computer program or spreadsheet"
X Link 2025-06-26T03:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@FishtownCap @christankerfund Yeah I don't want to have to watch anything or think too hard I'd rather just buy when it's cheap and wait a few years. With enough diversification it isn't too bad if some positions take a long time to play out"
X Link 2025-06-26T03:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$GLNG I wish they would tell us about the "adjustment upon the occurrence of certain events" on the convertible Ignoring the unknown adjustments the terms look pretty good. It's only value dilutive to the extent that current fair value is well above $57.53 which is reasonable"
X Link 2025-06-26T17:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Suez canal traffic could be coming back soon "Netanyahu agreed to end Gaza war within two weeks after US strike on Iran" https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/report-netanyahu-agreed-to-end-gaza-war-within-two-weeks-after-us-strike-on-iran/ https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/report-netanyahu-agreed-to-end-gaza-war-within-two-weeks-after-us-strike-on-iran/"
X Link 2025-06-27T02:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG Love to see the [---] million share repurchase in less than a week They just replaced 10%+ cost of capital equity with 2.75% debt which is massively accretive"
X Link 2025-07-01T19:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$GLNG Looks like the potential Nigeria FLNG would be an MkII. Not priced in at all. "The project will have the capacity to produce 400-500 million standard cubic feet per day (MMscf/d) of LNG LPG and condensate." (Updated June [--] 2025) https://www.bncnetwork.net/project/NNPCGolar-LNG-Floating-LNG-FLNG-Plant/MzAxMDI2 https://www.bncnetwork.net/project/NNPCGolar-LNG-Floating-LNG-FLNG-Plant/MzAxMDI2"
X Link 2025-07-02T15:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"I think there's huge alpha in oil producers at these levels. You can earn 10%/year at marginal producer breakeven levels for as long as it takes until the market realizes that US shale is maturing and then we should see a lot of multi-baggers. https://x.com/JavierBlas/status/1940422701530878006 Another anonymous E&P oil executive quoted by the @DallasFed in its quarterly energy survey: "There is constant noise coming from the administration saying $50-per-barrel oil is the target . $50 is not a sustainable price for oil. It needs to be mid-$60s." #OOTT"
X Link 2025-07-02T19:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"All the filings trackers said that Mohnish Pabrai sold $DAC in Q4 [----] but it turns out they were wrong. He said he still holds $DAC in the last investor call on May [--] [----]. In the March call he said the price "makes no sense". https://www.wagonsfund.com/investor-call-replay-may-14-2025 https://www.wagonsfund.com/investor-call-replay-may-14-2025"
X Link 2025-07-08T15:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$TGB with a US copper mine under construction is up 10%+ on Trump's copper tariff news"
X Link 2025-07-08T17:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$TGB would have huge upside if the US tariffs copper at 50% long-term. "U.S. net import reliance for copper was approximately 45% in 2024" https://www.uschamber.com/environment/u-s-comments-on-section-232-investigation-of-imports-of-copper https://www.uschamber.com/environment/u-s-comments-on-section-232-investigation-of-imports-of-copper"
X Link 2025-07-08T17:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Based on the company's NPV8 estimates $TGB currently has 100% upside at US$4.25 copper assuming Florence runs smoothly. This also isn't accounting for its early stage mines. If it gets 50% tariff support on Florence could be a multi-bagger. Added more today"
X Link 2025-07-08T19:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Good point this probably explains the muted response of US copper producers. Would probably still take a while to transition but faster than building mines. $TGB "US currently exports enough scrap (to China) to almost fully replace it's net imports." https://x.com/ALikhodedov/status/1943361142736248982 COPPER I do not think 50% tariffs are a great idea but the below misses the point. Of course tariff won't create copper mines. But what it can do is incentivise domestic processing of scrap. US currently exports enough scrap (to China) to almost fully replace it's net imports."
X Link 2025-07-10T17:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""copper refineries take years to build. nobody is going to spend money building new copper mines and refining facilities unless there is a guarantee that the price of copper will stay sufficiently elevated to justify such investments" $TGB https://oilprice.com/Metals/Commodities/Copper-Tariffs-A-Risky-Gamble-for-US-Industry.html https://oilprice.com/Metals/Commodities/Copper-Tariffs-A-Risky-Gamble-for-US-Industry.html"
X Link 2025-07-16T03:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@FishtownCap @siyul I haven't looked at $CNC yet but have some experience with $CVS. I agree that repricing should help but there are a couple caveats: [--]. Centene is the largest Medicaid managed care organization and the government sets Medicaid rates [--]. Some group plans are multi-year contracts"
X Link 2025-07-25T01:12Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$DAC valuation went up about $1 this quarter with new contracts and buybacks but increasing expenses again"
X Link 2025-08-05T21:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$DAC Not too surprising: "when you see actually the stock appreciating really so much to continue buyback would have shot the price up quite dramatically which is not really to the interest of long-term shareholders. And that is why we have paused the buyback.""
X Link 2025-08-05T21:31Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@source_result The operating expenses. Capital expenditures aren't considered expenses"
X Link 2025-08-06T14:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$GLNG Great to see the MkII FID today I'm curious to see if the market was fully pricing it in already"
X Link 2025-08-06T21:13Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"Yup $GLNG down after FID news. I guess this suggests that the market probably isn't offsetting growth upside with downside risks it just doesn't want to give any premium for growth. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1953202736998089123 $GLNG Great to see the MkII FID today I'm curious to see if the market was fully pricing it in already. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1953202736998089123 $GLNG Great to see the MkII FID today I'm curious to see if the market was fully pricing it in already"
X Link 2025-08-07T17:49Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$DAC I would much prefer that they continue buybacks but I can somewhat understand their reasoning: if they quickly push the price up to fair value then they'd have to stop buybacks but dragging it out lets them milk the depressed valuation a lot longer. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1952845051685683406 $DAC Not too surprising: "when you see actually the stock appreciating really so much to continue buyback would have shot the price up quite dramatically which is not really to the interest of long-term shareholders. And that is why we have paused the buyback.""
X Link 2025-08-08T03:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@FishtownCap How are you getting 5% growth Looks like TTM net income is only up about 1% annualized since [----] which is down in real terms"
X Link 2025-08-10T04:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@TraderPamplona Gibraltar seems to be doing well at current prices despite being well below your cutoff. Is this cutoff more about being competitive with other available options as opposed to economic viability"
X Link 2025-08-13T19:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$GLNG "we plan to order our next FLNG before locking in a charter to drive competitive tension. 4th Golar FLNG will be the only open and available FLNG capacity within this decade. a 5th unit could follow shortly after a 4th unit has been ordered and chartered""
X Link 2025-08-14T12:50Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$SFL [----] Q2 call: "we'll unfortunately continue to have kind of a negative drag from the energy segment going forward""
X Link 2025-08-19T22:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG Shell vs LSEG LNG supply/demand forecasts look quite different I don't have much faith in these forecasts but there is so much supply coming I'd expect a period of low LNG prices coming up to induce demand perhaps switching from coal. https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/europe-gas-markets-escape-hectic-lng-summer-storage-race-2025-08-28/ https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/europe-gas-markets-escape-hectic-lng-summer-storage-race-2025-08-28/"
X Link 2025-08-29T11:35Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@coeus12345 If OPEC maximizes output that decreases the marginal producer's cost. The optimal amount of cartel cuts depends on the intricacies of the cost curve. The persistent threat of further cuts isn't a reliable price booster but it can only help OPEC so it's optimal to use it"
X Link 2025-09-07T16:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The Trump admin is smart about the economy. They may want low oil prices to support growth but they definitely don't want to crush the domestic oil and gas industry. My guess is that this is a temporary push to put pressure on Putin. https://x.com/Josh_Young_1/status/1964476527246205005 https://x.com/Josh_Young_1/status/1964476527246205005"
X Link 2025-09-07T19:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$FI is down 45% from its high apparently because growth is decelerating but they are still guiding for 10% organic revenue growth 15-17% adj EPS growth and a 10% buyback yield based on 130% of free cash flow. 13x adj P/E seems way too cheap"
X Link 2025-09-10T20:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"This explains the reason for the drop in more detail: https://rosenlegal.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Fiserv-complaint-upload1.pdf https://rosenlegal.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Fiserv-complaint-upload1.pdf"
X Link 2025-09-10T23:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@FishtownCap The class action complaint explains what happened really well. They gave deceptive guidance on Clover growth and now there is probably a lot of distrust and resentment weighing on the stock. Plus the company has a lot of bad reviews from both clients and employees"
X Link 2025-09-11T00:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$FI At the current price and growth rate EPS would grow 10% from revenue and 10% from buybacks plus likely more from margin expansion totaling 20%+. If the stock price goes down this goes up 20% would bring it from a P/E of [--] now to [----] next year. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1965870530776662527 $FI is down 45% from its high apparently because growth is decelerating but they are still guiding for 10% organic revenue growth 15-17% adj EPS growth and a 10% buyback yield based on 130% of free cash flow. 13x adj P/E seems way too cheap. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1965870530776662527 $FI is"
X Link 2025-09-11T13:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@FishtownCap I ended up adding $ELV $CNC $UNH about a week ago took me a while to get around to looking at them. I also think $ELV seems like the best risk/reward overall but I like a basket approach here. I think the main risk is they take longer to recover but seem pretty safe long term"
X Link 2025-09-11T16:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@FishtownCap I'm still holding $CVS also which I think is worthy of inclusion"
X Link 2025-09-11T17:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@FishtownCap I didn't notice this until now but Klarman's two biggest purchases last quarter were $FI and $ELV at higher prices than now. https://www.dataroma.com/m/m_activity.phpm=BAUPOST&typ=a https://www.dataroma.com/m/m_activity.phpm=BAUPOST&typ=a"
X Link 2025-09-12T16:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@FishtownCap @NickalobeUltra What other stocks have reasonable base case 30% annualized returns (10% discount rate plus 20% from say one contract a year) with no fundamental downside risk without strong counterparties breaking contracts I want every stock with this risk profile"
X Link 2025-09-19T16:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"US offering to support Argentina amidst peso panic Not that relevant to $GLNG but the market seems to think it is. https://x.com/JMilei/status/1970112820923547924 Enorme agradecimiento al @SecScottBessent y al Presidente @realDonaldTrump por el apoyo incondicional al pueblo argentino que hace dos aos eligi dar vuelta un siglo de decadencia con mucho esfuerzo. Los que defendemos las ideas de la libertad debemos trabajar juntos para el https://x.com/JMilei/status/1970112820923547924 Enorme agradecimiento al @SecScottBessent y al Presidente @realDonaldTrump por el apoyo incondicional al pueblo"
X Link 2025-09-22T14:57Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$PXS is still trading at 43% of NAV and probably earning over 1/2 of market cap per year. They were recently doing buybacks and said: "Until we can identify economically viable vessel acquisitions we look to further improve our balance sheet and repurchase common shares.""
X Link 2024-05-10T18:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"ICE is closing $CXW's expensive 50-acre detention center with [--] individual cottages to free up funds to expand total ICE beds and "filing a motion to allow intake of individuals to resume at the Adelanto ICE Processing Center" owned by $GEO. https://www.ice.gov/news/releases/ice-announces-ongoing-work-optimize-enforcement-resources https://www.ice.gov/news/releases/ice-announces-ongoing-work-optimize-enforcement-resources"
X Link 2024-06-11T15:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Half of $PXS ships are MRs but the stock has barely moved today. It's been flat since May. https://x.com/ed_fin/status/1841158034036294041 After a rough September MR rates on benchmark route TC14 rose +29.8% today to ws140. https://t.co/l9DYe7R2AN https://x.com/ed_fin/status/1841158034036294041 After a rough September MR rates on benchmark route TC14 rose +29.8% today to ws140. https://t.co/l9DYe7R2AN"
X Link 2024-10-01T17:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG Always delays. June: "NNPC Limited and Golar LNG have both expressed their commitment to achieve Final Investment Decision (FID) before end of Q4 2024" Today: "Golar CEO says Nigerian FLNG FID unlikely before 2025" https://lngprime.com/africa/golar-ceo-says-nigerian-flng-fid-unlikely-before-2025/132219/ https://nnpcgroup.com/insights/nnpc-ltd-progresses-floating-lng-project-with-golar-lng-signs-pda-on-400-500mmscf-gas-deal-eyes-fid-before-dec-2024-ending https://lngprime.com/africa/golar-ceo-says-nigerian-flng-fid-unlikely-before-2025/132219/"
X Link 2024-11-13T22:39Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@TJZhang2003 This comes out to about an 11.6% yield which is a little lower than before because these are floating rate and rates have come down recently"
X Link 2025-02-06T23:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@TJZhang2003 Each of the CLOs owns a portfolio of high yield loans which you can buy in a fund like $SRLN which earns 7.25%. But instead of giving you direct exposure to the pool of loans the CLO "repackages" them into tranches"
X Link 2025-02-06T23:21Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@TJZhang2003 So investors are earning the high yield because they are effectively providing default insurance to the more senior tranches"
X Link 2025-02-06T23:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@TJZhang2003 You can invest in the senior tranches through funds like $JAAA which yields around 6%. The senior tranches earn less yield than the pool average and this difference provides the funds to pay the high rates on the lower tranches that $EIC owns"
X Link 2025-02-06T23:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4813764-golar-lng-limited-glng-q2-2025-earnings-call-transcript https://seekingalpha.com/article/4813764-golar-lng-limited-glng-q2-2025-earnings-call-transcript"
X Link 2025-08-14T18:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4813764-golar-lng-limited-glng-q2-2025-earnings-call-transcript https://seekingalpha.com/article/4813764-golar-lng-limited-glng-q2-2025-earnings-call-transcript"
X Link 2025-08-14T18:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG Even after the MkII FID announcement the market waited for the formal regulatory approval news before moving: the news on August 25th coincided with the beginning of the move. Nice to see some recognition https://www.diariocronica.com.ar/noticias/2025/08/25/123009-southern-energy-autorizada-a-exportar-gnl-por-30-anos https://www.diariocronica.com.ar/noticias/2025/08/25/123009-southern-energy-autorizada-a-exportar-gnl-por-30-anos"
X Link 2025-08-26T20:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"In a job ad posted today $GLNG leaked that they now have an office in Nigeria which isn't listed on their website and hasn't been mentioned before. Sounds like the Nigeria deal is still on. It was originally supposed to FID in [----]. https://www.finn.no/job/ad/424924387 https://www.finn.no/job/ad/424924387"
X Link 2025-09-01T22:04Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@FishtownCap $CI is comparable to $ELV but $ELV has a stronger tangible book value. Morningstar on $CI: "Cigna is trading at the most modest discount to fair value of the managed care organizations that we cover meaning we think more attractive options exist in this industry""
X Link 2025-09-11T17:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG: $YPF CEO "Horacio Marn assures that Vaca Muerta and the development of LNG will continue despite political volatility" "the economic and fiscal conditions favor the continuity of the plan." "Neither Sunday's election nor the next one affects us" https://agroempresario.com/publicacion/111829/horacio-marin-asegura-que-vaca-muerta-y-el-desarrollo-de-gnl-seguiran-pese-a-la-volatilidad-politica/cat=61 https://agroempresario.com/publicacion/111829/horacio-marin-asegura-que-vaca-muerta-y-el-desarrollo-de-gnl-seguiran-pese-a-la-volatilidad-politica/cat=61"
X Link 2025-09-12T05:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@ZeeContrarian1 Why do you have a slide from Atlas (formerly $ATCO) on a post about $ZIM"
X Link 2025-09-16T12:43Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@Henrik115 The presentation says ATO NPV is $423M BGC NPV is $257M and combined is $449M. Shouldn't these be additive"
X Link 2025-09-22T15:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@jddonovan_ @GoldForecast @Henrik115 It's confusing because this slide makes it seem like the $449 NPV is ATO+BGC"
X Link 2025-09-23T19:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@gabcasla It's not hard to get to a $100 valuation if you believe growth will continue. One MkII per year for the next [--] years puts the current value at around $95 before counting any commodity price upside. The upside story mostly comes down to whether an LNG glut derails growth"
X Link 2025-09-24T15:36Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@Toronto242M @gabcasla $GLNG isn't comparable to most stocks in the energy sector because it's current valuation is fully supported by contracts. Please tell me if you find any other stock (in any sector) with 20%+/yr base case and 10%/yr bear case"
X Link 2025-09-24T16:27Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$GLNG "The next [--] years we want to order at least [--] FLNGs minimum." From: https://x.com/BeatingMrMarket/status/1975576257321705530 https://www.youtube.com/watchv=EUas25ejzho&t=3520s $GLNG Staubo speaking at the MSGBC Roundtable during AEW 2025: We are planning to order our fourth FLNG on speculation this year. We want it to be deployed in this basin (MSGBC)" "The next five years we want to order at least three FLNGs minimum. That is our ambition https://x.com/BeatingMrMarket/status/1975576257321705530 https://www.youtube.com/watchv=EUas25ejzho&t=3520s $GLNG Staubo speaking at the MSGBC"
X Link 2025-10-07T15:39Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@Fenmagne Check out my post "The Ethylene Market" on it might convince you to get more conviction on the overcapacity question. http://blog.valunexus.com http://blog.valunexus.com"
X Link 2025-10-14T14:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Maybe this is why $FI keeps falling people don't want to buy before a downward revision even if it's already priced in. I bought some more today and will be happy if it crashes after guidance updates so I can buy even more. https://x.com/CapitalObserver/status/1977722944429138420 Literally everyone and their mother knows that $FI needs to adjust numbers slightly lower. The stock is down nearly 50%. Next years number probably have to come down to [-----] which is [----] times earnings and the EPS will still be growing by 12% YoY https://t.co/ipF32KW47a"
X Link 2025-10-16T14:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CapitalObserver @RemindMe_OfThis What is the thesis on $KHC With declining revenue in real terms and declining operating income even in nominal terms it doesn't really seem undervalued unless it can start generating some growth"
X Link 2025-10-16T14:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@CapitalObserver @RemindMe_OfThis Is there a reason why the overall growth would change now after about a decade of stagnation If so how do we get confidence in that before it actually happens"
X Link 2025-10-16T15:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$CCAP 30% discount to NAV seems pretty crazy for a mostly first-lien BDC with long-term stable NAV that's executing buybacks"
X Link 2025-10-16T15:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CapitalObserver @RemindMe_OfThis Ok thanks this increases my confidence a bit that I'm not missing anything interesting which I keep wondering because of Buffett. Buffett opposed the breakup"
X Link 2025-10-16T16:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"$FI dropped more than I expected looks like a massive overreaction just as I was hoping for I bought a lot more today. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1978828397758325054 Maybe this is why $FI keeps falling people don't want to buy before a downward revision even if it's already priced in. I bought some more today and will be happy if it crashes after guidance updates so I can buy even more. https://t.co/4gzHYhSXR7 https://x.com/valuesci/status/1978828397758325054 Maybe this is why $FI keeps falling people don't want to buy before a downward revision even if it's already priced in. I bought"
X Link 2025-10-29T16:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$FI On the earnings call when an analyst asked what changed so much since last quarter the new CEO basically said it was his review of all the business segments and their corresponding growth targets which he viewed as too optimistic. Could be an element of sandbagging too"
X Link 2025-10-29T18:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Back in $GEO. Wasn't expecting to be able to get it at $15 again"
X Link 2025-11-06T18:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG Back in January I wrote that I thought there was still a decent chance that $YPF would end up coming back to Golar despite their plans with Shell and Eni. Well now Shell is pulling out: "YPF would seek another partner to replace Shell" https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/ypf-ceo-sees-green-light-20-billion-argentina-lng-project-mid-2026-2025-12-04/ https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/ypf-ceo-sees-green-light-20-billion-argentina-lng-project-mid-2026-2025-12-04/"
X Link 2025-12-05T01:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@FishtownCap @siyul Why $GPN instead of $FISV though I think $FISV is a much more defensive business due to the banking segment and size stronger revenue growth (after near term recalibration) and valuation is probably better overall. Plus $GPN is integrating Worldpay after it failed elsewhere"
X Link 2025-12-06T03:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@siyul @FishtownCap $PYPL looks cheap but I find it harder to feel confident in its long-term growth. I view $FISV and $FIS as higher quality names that are getting pessimistic valuations like the lower quality names"
X Link 2025-12-06T04:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@FishtownCap Yeah actually it was just the [--] year charters that covered the full cost though still the [--] year charters massively de-risk the newbuilds https://x.com/valuesci/status/1902930513830289644 This article was wrong. according to the 20-F $DAC chartered both of the two newbuilds for [--] years at $48500/day which means the added revenue backlog amounts to 101% of the purchase price. https://t.co/BO0jQj4oVe https://x.com/valuesci/status/1902930513830289644 This article was wrong. according to the 20-F $DAC chartered both of the two newbuilds for [--] years at $48500/day which means the added"
X Link 2026-01-01T05:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@FishtownCap There are Greek shipping companies with very good reputations like $SBLK and $ECO which also have similar private management companies $ECO related-party and $SBLK subsidiary. There are a lot of bad ones but I don't think $DAC deserves to be in that category"
X Link 2026-01-01T05:36Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@FishtownCap The problem with $DAC as an investment is that management has no sympathy for short-term investors. It could have been a quick +100% from July [----] but instead they are optimizing for very long-term holders which turns it into a 5+ year process to get the full value"
X Link 2026-01-01T05:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""If Venezuela had a regime change political stability and an attractive and credible oil investment framework. production could increase significantly by a yearly average [------------] bpd with annual investments of around $89B." (Baker Institute) https://x.com/ALikhodedov/status/2007549641047585016 VENEZUELA - PRODUCTION RECOVERY SCOPE https://t.co/BI5H5pIuUF thnx to @luke_skiba for giving the link to the article. I also recommend an episode on @Rory_Johnston 's "Oil Ground Up" - with Dr. Fransico Monaldi (the author of the paper above). https://t.co/RJbOwKKWe3 https://t.co/HDgRiDiJ9T"
X Link 2026-01-03T21:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$TGB announced Florence construction is complete. The stock is up over 100% since this post [--] months ago. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1942664224851026296 Based on the company's NPV8 estimates $TGB currently has 100% upside at US$4.25 copper assuming Florence runs smoothly. This also isn't accounting for its early stage mines. If it gets 50% tariff support on Florence could be a multi-bagger. Added more today. https://t.co/ZH5Tgodtaz https://x.com/valuesci/status/1942664224851026296 Based on the company's NPV8 estimates $TGB currently has 100% upside at US$4.25 copper assuming Florence runs"
X Link 2026-01-14T15:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@justfactstruth It still sounds like $YPF is going to build the FLNGs with Eni but this could slightly increase the probability that $GLNG gets additional deals - the Eni deal is still MoU phase and with so many ships needed there's a chance they split future vessels between Eni and Golar"
X Link 2025-04-25T17:55Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$GLNG "we think the biggest sort of misunderstanding or arguably mispricing is understanding the upside of our commodity exposure. we see upward pressure on Henry Hub. according to Venture Global it needs to go north of $4 to justify any exports""
X Link 2025-08-14T18:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"@christankerfund LNG will probably take some time $CLCO sees a more balanced market in [----]. The stock has been very strong recently. Expectations of an LNG glut should help"
X Link 2025-09-12T15:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@NickalobeUltra @FishtownCap Or maybe nobody knows how to do a DCF I've only seen one other person that seemed to value it properly: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4785788-golar-lng-stock-update-after-the-argentina-announcement https://seekingalpha.com/article/4785788-golar-lng-stock-update-after-the-argentina-announcement"
X Link 2025-09-19T18:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$CLCO I asked ChatGPT and it sounds like this deal would require majority of minority approval is that right Hard to complain about a 99% gain since April but I was using this as an LNG glut hedge and I think $9.65 is still undervalued long term. https://x.com/christankerfund/status/1970801111742496769 Wow $CLCO in advanced discussions to be acquired by EPS ventures for $9.65/share in cash. https://t.co/xDTw0kjc95 https://x.com/christankerfund/status/1970801111742496769 Wow $CLCO in advanced discussions to be acquired by EPS ventures for $9.65/share in cash. https://t.co/xDTw0kjc95"
X Link 2025-09-24T14:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$CLCO We're getting scammed "Unlike the default Bermuda rule CoolCos bye-laws explicitly set the threshold for a merger at a simple majority. Therefore with 59.3% the majority owner can unilaterally approve the cash merger" https://seekingalpha.com/news/4498203-cool-company-announces-agreement-regarding-potential-combination-of-coolco-and-eps-ventures#comment-101169447 https://seekingalpha.com/news/4498203-cool-company-announces-agreement-regarding-potential-combination-of-coolco-and-eps-ventures#comment-101169447"
X Link 2025-10-14T21:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG For the Camuzzi FLNG not only does the capacity exactly match an MkI but nobody else leases FLNGs "It's an initial investment of [---] or [---] million dollars and then it's a lease of a liquefaction ship of another [----] over a period of [--] years." https://www.youtube.com/live/T2nvAisQVM4si=IdprhRWeOeAGTWJK&t=3348 https://www.youtube.com/live/T2nvAisQVM4si=IdprhRWeOeAGTWJK&t=3348"
X Link 2025-12-27T18:06Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$DEA Q3 [----] Earnings Call: "why is our stock at $22 It just doesn't make sense." "If we were in line with office our stock would be $28 to $32. If we were in line with net lease peers it would be $36.""
X Link 2025-12-28T18:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@FishtownCap I'm curious why you exited $DAC cause I think the process is still playing out and only halfway done. They also said they are resuming buybacks on the last call. Even factoring in a recession it's about a 20% discount rate so should do about 20%/yr over the next few years"
X Link 2026-01-01T00:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$FISV "Burry himself holds a position in Fiserv shares. and does not plan to increase his stake in the company until the quotes fall to $37." $PYPL $GPN Burry "excluded PayPal and Global Payments from his interest list" https://en.oninvest.com/article/burry-warned-of-risks-in-the-fintech-sector-what-stock-is-he-holding-and-what-is-he-watching-out-forutm_source=chatgpt.com https://en.oninvest.com/article/burry-warned-of-risks-in-the-fintech-sector-what-stock-is-he-holding-and-what-is-he-watching-out-forutm_source=chatgpt.com"
X Link 2026-01-16T22:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I closed out $TGB because it closed the NAV gap at $4.50/lb copper. I think copper could stay elevated above that level but I see it more as copper beta than high alpha now. Hoping I can get back in at lower levels. [--] bagger in [--] years 148% since adding https://x.com/valuesci/status/2011462855556538640 $TGB announced Florence construction is complete. The stock is up over 100% since this post [--] months ago. https://t.co/NwnsvuQNBT https://x.com/valuesci/status/2011462855556538640 $TGB announced Florence construction is complete. The stock is up over 100% since this post [--] months ago."
X Link 2026-01-30T09:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$FISV "we believe Fiserv can achieve modest 5% revenue growth once it moves past this reset" "We will maintain our $126 fair value estimate and see the shares as deeply undervalued from a long-term perspective" - Morningstar 2026-02-10 I agree 13% adj earnings yield is crazy"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Also given the company's long history of growth through acquisitions I think the 5% revenue growth estimate probably underestimates the actual long-term growth potential after accounting for acquisitions"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$FISV "we believe Fiserv can achieve modest 5% revenue growth once it moves past this reset" "We will maintain our $126 fair value estimate and see the shares as deeply undervalued from a long-term perspective" - Morningstar 2026-02-10 I agree 13% adj earnings yield is crazy"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Also given the company's long history of growth through acquisitions I think the 5% revenue growth estimate probably underestimates the actual long-term growth potential after accounting for acquisitions"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I closed out $TGB because it closed the NAV gap at $4.50/lb copper. I think copper could stay elevated above that level but I see it more as copper beta than high alpha now. Hoping I can get back in at lower levels. [--] bagger in [--] years 148% since adding https://x.com/valuesci/status/2011462855556538640 $TGB announced Florence construction is complete. The stock is up over 100% since this post [--] months ago. https://t.co/NwnsvuQNBT https://x.com/valuesci/status/2011462855556538640 $TGB announced Florence construction is complete. The stock is up over 100% since this post [--] months ago."
X Link 2026-01-30T09:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$TGB announced Florence construction is complete. The stock is up over 100% since this post [--] months ago. https://x.com/valuesci/status/1942664224851026296 Based on the company's NPV8 estimates $TGB currently has 100% upside at US$4.25 copper assuming Florence runs smoothly. This also isn't accounting for its early stage mines. If it gets 50% tariff support on Florence could be a multi-bagger. Added more today. https://t.co/ZH5Tgodtaz https://x.com/valuesci/status/1942664224851026296 Based on the company's NPV8 estimates $TGB currently has 100% upside at US$4.25 copper assuming Florence runs"
X Link 2026-01-14T15:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"$FISV "Burry himself holds a position in Fiserv shares. and does not plan to increase his stake in the company until the quotes fall to $37." $PYPL $GPN Burry "excluded PayPal and Global Payments from his interest list" https://en.oninvest.com/article/burry-warned-of-risks-in-the-fintech-sector-what-stock-is-he-holding-and-what-is-he-watching-out-forutm_source=chatgpt.com https://en.oninvest.com/article/burry-warned-of-risks-in-the-fintech-sector-what-stock-is-he-holding-and-what-is-he-watching-out-forutm_source=chatgpt.com"
X Link 2026-01-16T22:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Based on the company's NPV8 estimates $TGB currently has 100% upside at US$4.25 copper assuming Florence runs smoothly. This also isn't accounting for its early stage mines. If it gets 50% tariff support on Florence could be a multi-bagger. Added more today"
X Link 2025-07-08T19:16Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
""Breakeven costs for key grades in the Orinoco belt already average more than $80 a barrel according to estimates by consultancy Wood Mackenzie. Canada has an average breakeven cost of around $55 a barrel." https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/trump-offers-us-oil-companies-poisoned-chalice-venezuela-2026-01-06/ https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/trump-offers-us-oil-companies-poisoned-chalice-venezuela-2026-01-06/"
X Link 2026-01-06T14:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""the Venezuela situation does not meaningfully change the future global oil market balance" https://x.com/HFI_Research/status/2007699088406671655 https://x.com/HFI_Research/status/2007699088406671655"
X Link 2026-01-04T11:29Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"(Public) Venezuela Regime Change And The Impact On The Oil Market https://www.hfir.com/p/public-venezuela-regime-change-and https://www.hfir.com/p/public-venezuela-regime-change-and"
X Link 2026-01-04T06:22Z 74.2K followers, 55.6K engagements
"The oil narrative on Venezuela didn't make sense to me but this explanation makes sense to me. I'd also add that using oil as the narrative could accomplish an additional objective of further suppressing oil prices to put near-term pressure on Russia. https://renegaderesources.pro/p/the-venezuelan-oil-narative-is-pure https://renegaderesources.pro/p/the-venezuelan-oil-narative-is-pure"
X Link 2026-01-04T03:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"My current take on the Venezuela oil situation is that if regime change works out there will be a small increase in production but large scale development probably doesn't make sense at current oil prices so it shouldn't derail the oil thesis. It's still all about OPEC"
X Link 2026-01-03T21:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"If the US congress decides to fund production in Venezuela I could see it happening but in that scenario I think we would see OPEC cuts anyways so still it's all about OPEC"
X Link 2026-01-03T21:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""Many consider Venezuela a longer-term play given current low prices of $50 per barrel oil and the huge capital investments needed to modernize the infrastructure" https://www.politico.com/news/2026/01/03/trump-venezuela-oil-us-companies-return-00709782 https://www.politico.com/news/2026/01/03/trump-venezuela-oil-us-companies-return-00709782"
X Link 2026-01-03T21:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"This means US majors would have to invest $88 to increase production by [--] barrel/year in a country with a history of nationalization and instability. Given current low oil prices if this were to push prices down further I'm doubtful the economics work. https://x.com/valuesci/status/2007559679602540892 "If Venezuela had a regime change political stability and an attractive and credible oil investment framework. production could increase significantly by a yearly average [------------] bpd with annual investments of around $89B." (Baker Institute) https://t.co/HVwodefIj7"
X Link 2026-01-03T21:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
""If Venezuela had a regime change political stability and an attractive and credible oil investment framework. production could increase significantly by a yearly average [------------] bpd with annual investments of around $89B." (Baker Institute) https://x.com/ALikhodedov/status/2007549641047585016 VENEZUELA - PRODUCTION RECOVERY SCOPE https://t.co/BI5H5pIuUF thnx to @luke_skiba for giving the link to the article. I also recommend an episode on @Rory_Johnston 's "Oil Ground Up" - with Dr. Fransico Monaldi (the author of the paper above). https://t.co/RJbOwKKWe3 https://t.co/HDgRiDiJ9T"
X Link 2026-01-03T21:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"VENEZUELA - PRODUCTION RECOVERY SCOPE thnx to @luke_skiba for giving the link to the article. I also recommend an episode on @Rory_Johnston 's "Oil Ground Up" - with Dr. Fransico Monaldi (the author of the paper above). https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/oil-ground-up/id1666068669i=1000736607549 https://www.bakerinstitute.org/research/latin-american-oil-production-rosy-outlook-change https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/oil-ground-up/id1666068669i=1000736607549 https://www.bakerinstitute.org/research/latin-american-oil-production-rosy-outlook-change"
X Link 2026-01-03T20:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"$DEA Q3 [----] Earnings Call: "why is our stock at $22 It just doesn't make sense." "If we were in line with office our stock would be $28 to $32. If we were in line with net lease peers it would be $36.""
X Link 2025-12-28T18:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$GLNG For the Camuzzi FLNG not only does the capacity exactly match an MkI but nobody else leases FLNGs "It's an initial investment of [---] or [---] million dollars and then it's a lease of a liquefaction ship of another [----] over a period of [--] years." https://www.youtube.com/live/T2nvAisQVM4si=IdprhRWeOeAGTWJK&t=3348 https://www.youtube.com/live/T2nvAisQVM4si=IdprhRWeOeAGTWJK&t=3348"
X Link 2025-12-27T18:06Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"https://x.com/Carlos_MoraM/status/1996571267911029153 More info from min [--] onwards Credit: @Pulltopar https://t.co/ieCxPHOIZM https://x.com/Carlos_MoraM/status/1996571267911029153 More info from min [--] onwards Credit: @Pulltopar https://t.co/ieCxPHOIZM"
X Link 2025-12-27T18:18Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"More info from min [--] onwards Credit: @Pulltopar https://www.youtube.com/live/T2nvAisQVM4si=8F2iVHfNRp-7_WYm https://www.youtube.com/live/T2nvAisQVM4si=8F2iVHfNRp-7_WYm"
X Link 2025-12-04T13:24Z 13.3K followers, [----] engagements
"$GLNG Back in January I wrote that I thought there was still a decent chance that $YPF would end up coming back to Golar despite their plans with Shell and Eni. Well now Shell is pulling out: "YPF would seek another partner to replace Shell" https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/ypf-ceo-sees-green-light-20-billion-argentina-lng-project-mid-2026-2025-12-04/ https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/ypf-ceo-sees-green-light-20-billion-argentina-lng-project-mid-2026-2025-12-04/"
X Link 2025-12-05T01:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Back in $GEO. Wasn't expecting to be able to get it at $15 again"
X Link 2025-11-06T18:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$FI On the earnings call when an analyst asked what changed so much since last quarter the new CEO basically said it was his review of all the business segments and their corresponding growth targets which he viewed as too optimistic. Could be an element of sandbagging too"
X Link 2025-10-29T18:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$FI This is roughly how I view the main cause for the crash. New management seems more focused on sustainable growth. I view the business itself as robust but transitioning to sustainable growth will require a weak period partly due to exiting non-core. https://x.com/Zander62171942/status/1983563154102591791 @VijarKohli I worked at Fiserv. There is a lot more going on here behind the scenes. An active class action lawsuit from last month is the tip of the iceberg. Frank cooked the books while he was here and it is now being exposed. https://x.com/Zander62171942/status/1983563154102591791"
X Link 2025-10-29T17:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@VijarKohli I worked at Fiserv. There is a lot more going on here behind the scenes. An active class action lawsuit from last month is the tip of the iceberg. Frank cooked the books while he was here and it is now being exposed"
X Link 2025-10-29T15:54Z [--] followers, [----] engagements
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