#  @proyandavid David David posts on X about $duol, $tsla, investment, morris the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1359127876948406275/interactions)  - [--] Week [---] -47% - [--] Month [------] +1,100% - [--] Months [------] +2,199% - [--] Year [------] +275% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1359127876948406275/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] -25% - [--] Month [--] -43% - [--] Months [---] +29% - [--] Year [---] +21% ### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1359127876948406275/followers)  - [--] Week [---] no change - [--] Month [---] -2.10% - [--] Months [---] -5.50% - [--] Year [---] +11% ### CreatorRank: undefined [#](/creator/twitter::1359127876948406275/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) [stocks](/list/stocks) [countries](/list/countries) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [luxury brands](/list/luxury-brands) [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) [currencies](/list/currencies) [social networks](/list/social-networks) [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) **Social topic influence** [$duol](/topic/$duol), [$tsla](/topic/$tsla), [investment](/topic/investment), [morris](/topic/morris), [$race](/topic/$race), [tsla](/topic/tsla), [novo](/topic/novo), [accounting](/topic/accounting), [stocks](/topic/stocks), [$6324t](/topic/$6324t) **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@chriscamillo](/creator/undefined) [@amitisinvesting](/creator/undefined) [@datadinvesting](/creator/undefined) [@em013l](/creator/undefined) [@partnersroad](/creator/undefined) [@nolanantonucci](/creator/undefined) [@optionscjp](/creator/undefined) [@brianstoffel](/creator/undefined) [@alc2022](/creator/undefined) [@eugeneng](/creator/undefined) [@jordaantrades](/creator/undefined) [@scientificecon](/creator/undefined) [@elmhurstsb](/creator/undefined) [@uvshares](/creator/undefined) [@alexavoigt](/creator/undefined) [@teslaoptimus](/creator/undefined) [@curiouspejjy](/creator/undefined) [@mzatastock](/creator/undefined) [@blackrussian1](/creator/undefined) [@timothyhliu5](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL)](/topic/$duol) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla) [Ferrari N.V. (RACE)](/topic/$race) [Symbotic Inc. Class A Common Stock (SYM)](/topic/$sym) [Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)](/topic/eli-lilly) [Robot Consulting Co., Ltd. (LAWR)](/topic/robot) [Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)](/topic/$hood) [Deckers Outdoor, Corp. (DECK)](/topic/$deck) [Grab Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (GRAB)](/topic/$grab) [Walmart, Inc. (WMT)](/topic/walmart) [Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER)](/topic/$uber) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/$msft) [Celsius Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (CELH)](/topic/$celh) [Crocs, Inc. (CROX)](/topic/$crox) [On Holding AG (ONON)](/topic/$onon) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Texas Instruments (TXN)](/topic/texas-instruments) [Monster Beverage Corp (MNST)](/topic/$mnst) [pizzacoin (PIZZACOIN)](/topic/pizza) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "@scientificecon Briefly - CSTO didnt fulfil obligations in defending Arm in [----] war and afterwards even when Arm territory directly was attacked - Weapons paid for werent supplied by Rus making Arm diversify its arm supplies (France and India)" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1761379313364947130) 2024-02-24T13:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements "Curious about $MNST earnings tomorrow. Lets try to link it to $CELH next weeks earnings $MNST got downgraded lately while $CELH only upgraded" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1785674489641988305) 2024-05-01T14:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "This is so cool $TSLA Trying to be useful lately https://t.co/TlPF9YB61W Trying to be useful lately https://t.co/TlPF9YB61W" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1787036674737750349) 2024-05-05T08:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@ElmhurstSB It has a first mover advantage in capturing female customer demographic and healthy energy drink theme. Plus their marketing is very strong. However yes these all can be copied by others if $CELH doesnt move fast enough in its expansion" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1788534751369777640) 2024-05-09T11:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "A reason $HOOD didnt move with good results is that many are still doubtful if those growth numbers are sustainable or were just caused by temporary crypto run and promotions. Also their new innovative features sometimes dont work as well and they halt them temporarily" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1788538576780607725) 2024-05-09T11:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Next quarter is looking good for $HOOD with meme stock rally credit card rollout and increasing AUC. Maybe even a crypto rally happens" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1790850017143517580) 2024-05-15T21:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$DECK A catalyst besides Hokas growth. UGGs sandals of the summer - sold out for many sizes - good reviews across TikTok - if comfortable disregard ugliness - UGG finally has shoes for all seasons Earnings next week" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1791248139178934477) 2024-05-16T23:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Lets see how this plays out Hoka's traction in the Asia-Pacific region could be a highlight in this week's $DECK earnings. https://t.co/zSeByHnDV3 Hoka's traction in the Asia-Pacific region could be a highlight in this week's $DECK earnings. https://t.co/zSeByHnDV3" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1792991944861163911) 2024-05-21T18:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$DECK Beats as expected EPS $4.95 โ Rev $959.76M โ " [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1793742214910431696) 2024-05-23T20:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Laughing at Wall Street by Chris Camillo #socialarbitrage #informationarbitrage" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1806774151543169031) 2024-06-28T19:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Exploit Wall Street's vulnerability. Focus your efforts on products companies and trends (female youth low income rural) viewed as foreign to Wall Street's core demographic of middle-aged affluent men who work and reside in major metropolitan areas" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1806774153552257037) 2024-06-28T19:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Believe what you see not what financial pundits and those on Wall Street tell you to believe" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1806774156291121662) 2024-06-28T19:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Research your investment observations like a scientist seeking to submit a breakthrough discovery to a prestigious scientific journal pursuing only game-changing investment observations that are not yet widely known or accepted as fact by Wall Street" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1806774159109664784) 2024-06-28T19:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The strategy of Sabato de Sarno can make Gucci more in line with the style currently high-end Hermes or LVMH brands are benefitting from. Still nobody knows how long it can take for consumers to notice that and change their impression of Guccis cheap logo-based designs. $KER With $KER's stock price down 35% over the last five years and valued at 14x EV/EBIT for FY25 is it a buying opportunity or a value trap Kering's Revenue by House: https://t.co/4sKWljy8Mf With $KER's stock price down 35% over the last five years and valued at 14x EV/EBIT for FY25 is it a buying opportunity or a value trap" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1807051006129119595) 2024-06-29T13:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Interesting how Kering and Burberry have approach the problem becoming a high end luxury brands" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1813133013477191980) 2024-07-16T08:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@uv_shares Which $JEMA Emerging Europe or Activebuilders Emerging Europe one can be a better Russia play but Interactive Brokers doesnt let to buy" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1823385352721347063) 2024-08-13T15:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "This acquisition went largely unnoticed in the face of political situation worldwide and protests in Georgia against the Russian style foreign agent law. Armenia and Georgia experienced double digit growth while capital inflow from Russia increased since the Ukraine War" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1825893471988977984) 2024-08-20T13:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@alex_avoigt unfortunately not all countries implemented such good policies like Norway" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1828648101718151171) 2024-08-28T04:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Brandon Solano began at Dominos in [----] where he was VP of Innovation and later of Development. He was at the heart of Dominos during the turnaround" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1835255457902178815) 2024-09-15T09:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "In [----] he became the CEO of $RAVE which was a failing pizza franchise in Texas. Then Covid hit in [----] adding a lot of hardship to already struggling business but since [----] the business started to come back to life having already [--] consecutive quarters of profitability" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1835255461433458862) 2024-09-15T09:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$RAVE has 27m market cap 6.3m in cash no debt and 2.2m in TTM earnings at [--] P/E. $RAVE is away from many eyes due to being very small illiquid and with history of failing and almost getting delisted not once" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1835255464616985060) 2024-09-15T09:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The same store sales growth of 13% over the last two years and new franchise concept is getting good reviews. The CEO believes store count can 10x by re-entering old markets lost over the last [--] years" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1835255467674902537) 2024-09-15T09:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$TSLA @Tesla_Optimus started to be used in production as mentioned a couple of quarterly earning calls before. Curious about how it evolves over the next two years Being excited that Optimus did play a (very) small role in this. Being excited that Optimus did play a (very) small role in this" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1835315146702635294) 2024-09-15T13:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@CuriousPejjy DCA-d $TSLA at 160$. It was very tough to catch the bottom at 138$ but in the long run it wont matter" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1835515044651806746) 2024-09-16T03:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@mzata_stock I didnt notice that. thanks for pointing out. maybe old ones were too expensive for the business or what do you think was the reason" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1835828249806688399) 2024-09-16T23:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Black_Russian_1 @timothyhliu5 @Secrets4stocks Belarus business is negligible. $BGEO management expects most future growth from the Armenian subsidiary. Transfers from Russia to Armenia will always stay high: there are more Armenians in Russia than in Armenia. These sanction risks are overstated" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1837171954685726992) 2024-09-20T16:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@gurgavin Exactly the same for me. i change my iphone every [--] years $AAPL" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1837300017880781027) 2024-09-21T01:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@SawyerMerritt its interesting how @cybertruck due to its unusual design is becoming a status symbol or a unique thing for celebrities to have. this is very different from teslas other models. $TSLA" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1837797464566649329) 2024-09-22T10:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@DividendDude_X only $CROX for now" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1840234503887040519) 2024-09-29T03:37Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "How effective are companys research and development efforts in relation to its size Does the company have an above average sales organisation Does the company have worthwhile profit margin What is the company doing to maintain or improve profit margins" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1842422281668276657) 2024-10-05T04:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Does the company have outstanding labour and personnel relations Does the company have outstanding executive relations Does the company have depth to its management How good are companys cost analysis and accounting controls" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1842422284402991357) 2024-10-05T04:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Philip Fishers investment philosophy" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1843638185932534270) 2024-10-08T13:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@JonahLupton do you think $PLTR upcoming earnings wont justify the high expectations reflected in multiples leading to a drop" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1843881153192964567) 2024-10-09T05:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@em013L Value investing is an amazing strategy if you figure out the actual value and not just look at multiples. Actual value includes potential growth and reflects on how people think of company industry and overall market" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1843955944197407030) 2024-10-09T10:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I wish there were more quality public humanoid robotics companies besides $TSLA. All good ones are private so most investors might not catch the trend the way they did with semiconductors $NVDA $TSM $ASML https://youtu.be/s4XXcdFkgQgsi=7qCTmqzlLs2Hsk4R https://youtu.be/s4XXcdFkgQgsi=7qCTmqzlLs2Hsk4R" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1848918321221206487) 2024-10-23T02:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Spinoffs outperform because [--]. It is an inefficient way of distributing stock to wrong people that sell it immediately [--]. spinoffs are smaller than parent companies or arent part of index so many cannot hold [--]. After spinoff stock options can directly compensate managements" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1849444013147091304) 2024-10-24T13:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Merger securities are usually used for partial payments so if it is a small part of the whole payment it can be ignored. Going-private transactions are especially interesting because the insiders decided to purchase the entire equity interest highlighting strong conviction" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1849444016120897584) 2024-10-24T13:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Holders of bankrupt companys debt usually dont get paid off in cash. They get some sort of security so new shareholders and bondholders of newly emerged company out of bankruptcy are the previous bondholders. Their time horizon might be short" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1849444018993947112) 2024-10-24T13:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "The quality of companies coming out of bankruptcy isnt great so Walls Street usually ignores them. Look at the ones that went bankrupt because of over-leveraging due to takeover or leverage-buyout or because of product-liability lawsuits for discontinued or isolated product" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1849444022315880894) 2024-10-24T13:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Sale or shuttering of an entire division significant to the company to stanch losses pay off debt and focus more on promising business lines. Companies doing restructuring of this kind are usually shareholder oriented. The decision to sell a major division is difficult to do" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1849444025155420635) 2024-10-24T13:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements ""IPOs are underpriced everywhere. The averages are equally weighted." by the University of Florida Professor Jay R. Ritter (March 2024) Average first-day returns on IPOs" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1851088715252449416) 2024-10-29T02:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@NolanAntonucci @Hawkeye_74 i still dont understand why and how that happened. hayedude was brand on fire and the moment crocs bought it everything reversed" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1851228590823850464) 2024-10-29T11:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Until now $DECK and $ONON have been correlated in their sales growth and earnings as $NKE continues to lose market shares. $DECK beat earnings estimate already and $ONON jumped quite a bit on that day. Curious to see $ONON earnings" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1853069884089143797) 2024-11-03T13:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@ChrisCamillo Do you think at some point when closer to mass production its worth looking at humanoid supply chains especially harmonic reducers very few leading producers in that space but very crucial for robotic joints" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1854866245189091356) 2024-11-08T12:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@catapultcap @ChrisCamillo @doneill its so hard to find brokerage with Korean stocks. apparently the government only wants foreigners to go through local Korean brokerages for buying Korean stocks" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1855038198155747546) 2024-11-09T00:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@ChrisCamillo @KennysCapital i guess for levering up you need to see a clear path for TSLA with little falls. do you see that now post-election like you saw in palantir for the next year" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1855038854891553029) 2024-11-09T00:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "$CROX problem is Hey Dude but since the end of September any new Hey Dude shoe with Sweeney collab has been selling out immediately. the recent earnings covered the period up to the end of September. Terrence Reilly needs to some time to turn Hey Dude around" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1855520430423146531) 2024-11-10T07:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@amitisinvesting $HOOD is a better way to bet on $BTC in stock market than $MSTR and $COIN because the underlying business is way stronger and diversified compared to the other two so downside risk when crypto pulls back is always lower" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1855793844434149422) 2024-11-11T02:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Micro2Macr0 only if you like $UBER s business model because $GRAB is technically Southeast Asian uber with taxi and food delivery services. there is no uber in Singapore for example. unlike uber it also has financial service (loans insurance payments web3 wallet) division" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1856487268007194932) 2024-11-13T00:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@RealMattMoney $6324 - Harmonic Drive Systems" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1858165769932247188) 2024-11-17T15:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Companies like Service Titan $TTAN already started registering for IPO-s even before Trump entered the White House expecting strong stock market and easing rules. Exciting to times ahead" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1858686616837214480) 2024-11-19T01:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Harmonic Drive Systems $6324 ๐งต 1/ Humanoid robots are coming Mass production of humanoids is expected to ramp up globally in the next two years and HDS is uniquely positioned to benefit. Heres why this company could be a game-changer in this emerging market" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1860331258871709840) 2024-11-23T14:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "4/ Why It Matters: Scaling Up The company has plans to invest JPY [--] billion ($50M) to enhance productivity and update facilities. While cautious about over-investment HDS is prepared for the mass production boom. This positions them to supply more as demand soars" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1860331265234534661) 2024-11-23T14:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "5/ China's Robot Surge: A Balancing Act In China high-end robot manufacturers are growing. Harmonic Drive has carved out a niche by supplying premium products rather than competing on price. This strategy ensures profitability even as the market evolves" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1860331267763634368) 2024-11-23T14:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "10/ Temporary Struggles Amid Big Plans HDS is maintaining full production capacity to avoid the long wait times seen during previous demand booms. Lessons learned from past "growth mountains" are guiding them to stay ahead of orders" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1860331280938025053) 2024-11-23T14:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "11/ Stock Strategy & Buybacks HDS hinted at potential share buybacks if market conditions dont improve. This could support the stock price and reward shareholders while the company gears up for its next phase of growth" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1860331283274170754) 2024-11-23T14:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Harmonic Drive Systems $6324 sees a recovery in bookings. Still too early to invest but worth keeping in the watchlist with upcoming humanoid mass production" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1860334183194980590) 2024-11-23T14:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@amitisinvesting $TSLA $HOOD $6324" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1862776829003940325) 2024-11-30T08:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "3/ Saving money takes years of discipline but investing it poorly can take minutes. Careless investment decisions destroy long-term financial goals. Be deliberate" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863077971428601926) 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "4/ Low bond yields often push investors into stocks. But stock prices already factor in low yields. Blindly chasing alternatives without assessing value is a trap. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863077973408321707) 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "6/ Avoid Pavlovian responses to market downturns as buying opportunities. A falling stock isn't always a bargainit can keep declining. Context and valuation matter. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863077976721830335) 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "7/ Wall Street's structure often works against investors: High fees incentivize frequent transactions. IPOs are often overpriced favoring issuers over buyers. Optimistic research reports drive transactions not necessarily good advice" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863077978328203375) 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "13/ Categorization is flawed: Bonds of bankrupt companies may resemble equity. Utility stocks may behave like bonds. Labels can mislead; focus on characteristics and value. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863077990688829581) 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "14a/ The [----] stock market crash highlighted a critical flaw in "portfolio insurance" a strategy meant to limit losses by selling stock index futures when prices dropped. In theory this would cap losses to 3%. Sounds safe right ๐จ" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863077992865665142) 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "14b/ The problem Too many investors used the same strategy. When markets dropped mass selling of futures created a feedback loop: futures prices fell sharply triggering arbitrage and forcing more stock selling which fueled further panic. ๐๐ฅ" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863077994602057891) 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "14c/ This vicious cycle showed the danger of herd behavior in markets. Strategies that work for a few can fail catastrophically when adopted by the masses. Diversification and skepticism of safe trends are key lessons for investors. ๐ก" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863077996279783542) 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "15/ Tactical asset allocation has limits: Markets aren't infinitely liquid. Large shifts incur costs and impact prices. It's hard to predict consistently. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863077997961773200) 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "16/ Indexing flaws: Heavy indexing reduces market efficiency as fewer investors analyze fundamentals. Small-cap indexers face liquidity issues and often underperform. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863077999614251323) 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "17a/ In the 1980s junk bonds (low-grade high-yield bonds) were overlooked by risk-averse investors creating bargains. But as demand grew newly issued junk bonds often lacked a margin of safety and carried significant risks. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863078001468113133) 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Margin of Safety by Seth Klarman Part [--] 1/ Free cash flow is critical: Defined as after-tax earnings + depreciation - capital expenditures. Overleveraged companies often misuse depreciation cash flow for debt risking bankruptcy" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863082262944006215) 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "2/ Depreciation vs. capital spending: Depreciation adds cash but must fund future asset replacement. If capex is consistently below depreciation a company may be in gradual liquidation. ๐ก" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863082264730665314) 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "3b/ NPV = Discounted future cash flows. Use conservative projections to manage uncertainty. Discount rate = risk-free rate (gov bonds) + business risk. โ Beware of high multiples in low-rate environments. ๐ "Predict the unpredictable" by buying with a margin of safety. ๐ก" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863082268664996322) 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "3c/ Liquidation Value: Value if the business is dismantled and assets are sold off. Fire sale = deeply discounted assets. Orderly liquidation = closer to book value especially for fixed assets. Net-net working capital = Current assets - Current & Long-term liabilities" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863082270447579560) 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "3d/ Market Comparables: Value based on what similar businesses are sold for in the market. Risks: Multiples can vary widely. Buyers may overpay in frothy markets. Useful for estimating short-term trading value especially for closed-end funds. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863082272527950101) 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "4/ Reflexivity in valuations: Stock prices influence business viability especially in capital-raising or bankruptcy. Markets can shape outcomes not just reflect them. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863082274700562640) 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "8/ Catalysts like spinoffs buybacks or reorganizations help unlock value. Spinoffs often trade below fair value due to neglect or forced selling by institutional holders. ๐ " [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863082282476867791) 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "9/ Bankruptcy opportunities: Post-bankruptcy reorganizations often create undervalued securities. Prepackaged bankruptcies can resolve free-rider problems efficiently. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863082284557152353) 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "10/ Growth investing risk: Overconfidence in predicting growth often leads to overpaying. Popular growth stocks can exceed fundamental value due to crowd enthusiasm. ๐จ" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863082286687907862) 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "๐งตWhy "Embodied AI" (Humanoid Robots) could redefine global labor markets and investing. Based on Morgan Stanley's report heres how humanoids address labor shortages and disrupt industries. ๐๐ค" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863088274585288806) 2024-12-01T05:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "1/ Why Humanoids Global labor is in crisis: - Workforce shortages. - Aging populations. - Jobs humans cant/wont do. Humanoids robots designed to navigate human environments are the solution. They integrate into spaces designed for humans unlike specialized robots. ๐ข" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863088276334330310) 2024-12-01T05:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "2/ The $30 Trillion Opportunity Labor = $30T global market (30% of GDP). Humanoids aim to replace or assist workers in jobs that are: Dangerous Repetitive Hard to staff. U.S. projections: 8M humanoids by [----] impacting $357B in wages. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863088278133682390) 2024-12-01T05:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "7/ Challenges to Humanoid Adoption [--] Mechanics: Fine motor skills are tough for robots. [--] Energy: Batteries must last hours. [--] ROI: Companies need cost-effective deployment. [--] Social: Workforce disruption and public skepticism must be addressed" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863088287650591041) 2024-12-01T05:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "8/ Investment Opportunities: The Humanoid [--] Morgan Stanley highlights two key investment categories: [--] Enablers: AI chipmakers actuators. [--] Beneficiaries: Industries like healthcare manufacturing logistics. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863088289890398507) 2024-12-01T05:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "9/ Teslas Role Teslas Optimus robot could dominate humanoid production: Gen1 is being tested in factories. Gen2 aims for $20K/unit leveraging Teslas expertise in AI and manufacturing. Elon Musk predicts humanoids will outnumber humans by [----]. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863088291979149571) 2024-12-01T05:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "10/ The Big Picture Humanoids are more than toolstheyre a reinvention of work itself. With the $30T global labor market ripe for disruption these robots could change how industries function and how we view labor. The future of work is humanoid. Lets build it. ๐ค๐" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863088294181105849) 2024-12-01T05:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "2/ Current Focus: Industrial Robots Not Humanoids Currently most harmonic drive orders are for robotic arms in industrial robots. $688017.SS has been working with $TSLA since [----] supplying harmonic drives for testing in humanoid robots" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863091496653848988) 2024-12-01T05:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "4/ LeaderDrive Delivered 200K+ harmonic reducers in [----]. Partnered with $TSLA to supply components for humanoids. Focused on innovation with new heat-treated materials for durability. Despite near-term macro challenges localization trends support long-term growth. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863091500739162605) 2024-12-01T05:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "5/ $6324.T (Harmonic Drive Systems) Largest producer of gear reducers globally (ex-China). Focused on high-margin small-to-medium-sized robots. Targets high-end humanoid applications where precision and quality are critical" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863091502920110498) 2024-12-01T05:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@optionscjp $TSLA and $HOOD are 50% of the portfolio due to their run this year. No plans to sell but will be adding newer positions" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863363930309144924) 2024-12-01T23:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Japans macro looks pretty attractive for automation and robotics investments but not only: [--]. There are increasing tariffs on China from the West. [--]. Japan is in severe need of automation and robotics due to its low birth rate" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863423668233326654) 2024-12-02T03:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@wiixmonster5 @optionscjp Looking at $6324 $SYM $GRAB" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1863572110473613799) 2024-12-02T13:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@amitisinvesting $HOOD investor day and now this. $HOOD is going to have definitely amazing 12-18 months at least" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1864507117350293724) 2024-12-05T03:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@AydenMMiller dont look at the price. dont care about it even. look at fundamentals and be happy about new EV models FSD updates Optimus trials energy contracts cost decrease etc. stock price can fluctuate unreasonably. this the difference between speculation and investment $TSLA" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1865287880333234682) 2024-12-07T06:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "A Good Summary of $HOOD Investor Day. Robinhood Markets Inc $HOOD โ did not enter the S&P [---] last Friday but I was amazed by the Investoy Day [----] event. My portfolio is 100% concentrated in three stocks and it's really hard to convince me about a company. Robinhood did it. Let's take a look at the highlights of Robinhood Markets Inc $HOOD โ did not enter the S&P [---] last Friday but I was amazed by the Investoy Day [----] event. My portfolio is 100% concentrated in three stocks and it's really hard to convince me about a company. Robinhood did it. Let's take a look at the highlights of" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1866703729413722510) 2024-12-11T04:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@realMeetKevin other LLMs arent as convenient tbh. or maybe im just used to ChatGBTs features. Grok is amazing but for news updates rather than working with documents like excel spreadsheets. for example with Grok you cant reply to specific word or sentence in the conversation @xai" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1867103785723777259) 2024-12-12T07:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "2/ ๐ต The History of USD Cycles: Since the end of the gold standard in [----] the USD has alternated between long periods of strength and weakness. These cycles dictate global capital flows impacting everything from commodities to equity markets" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1867446595098489288) 2024-12-13T05:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "3/ ๐ฅ What Drives These Cycles - High debt levels: Lead to interest rate suppression. - Fiscal imbalances: Demand tighter spending or devaluation. - Capital reallocation: Shifts toward underappreciated assets" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1867446598915305520) 2024-12-13T05:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "7/ ๐ค Why This Matters: Market leadership doesnt last forever. Historically when US equities become too dominant: - Capital flows out. - Emerging and international markets surge. - Commodities outperform. Were approaching one of those inflection points. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1867446612643168323) 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "8/ ๐ The Buffett Indicator Flashing Red: Warren Buffetts favorite metric market cap-to-GDP shows US equities at extreme overvaluation levels. Historically this precedes corrections or prolonged underperformance" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1867446615986123224) 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "13/ ๐ The Case for EM: Emerging markets are at historically low valuations compared to US equities. After decades of consolidation theyre primed for a structural breakout. Example: Indias post-COVID rally is a harbinger of broader EM strength" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1867446628053135452) 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "14/ ๐ Capital Flows Are Shifting: Smart money is already moving into EM. Early examples include Argentina and frontier markets where valuations remain deeply discounted. EM's upward trajectory will likely accelerate in tandem with USD weakness. ๐" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1867446630208995499) 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "15/ ๐ Key EM Investment Themes: - Underappreciated resources and commodities. - Emerging tech ecosystems (India SE Asia). - Frontier opportunities (Argentina Africa)" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1867446632276799614) 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "16/ ๐ช The Gold Revival:Gold is reclaiming its role as the ultimate reserve asset. With global debt at record highs central banks are hoarding gold at levels unseen since the 1970s" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1867446634973737140) 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "17/ ๐ Why Gold Is a Buy: - Record central bank demand (20% of reserves vs. 70% in 1980). - Currency devaluation pressures. - Hedge against inflation and geopolitical risk" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1867446638413066618) 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "21/ ๐ Market Leadership Changes: History shows extreme capital concentration in one region (like US equities today) always precedes a reversal. As valuations peak global capital flows favor undervalued markets" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1867446648684839405) 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "22/ ๐ฐ Beware the Magazine Cover Curse: The Economists recent cover celebrates US dominancea classic contrarian signal. Remember 2009's "Brazil Takes Off" cover The country has struggled ever since. Whats next for the US History isnt kind to these narratives" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1867446651717398984) 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "1/ $SYM was founded in [----] by Rick Cohen (owner of C&S Wholesale Grocers) as CasePick Systems. The vision was to fix supply chain inefficiencies with robotics and AI. By [----] the company rebranded to Symbotic and began building end-to-end warehouse automation systems" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1870395580893249974) 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "2/ Fast-forward to 2022: - $WMT committed to installing Symbotic's systems across all regional distribution centers. - Walmart also took an 11% stake in $SYM. - Symbotic went public via a SPAC with SVF Investment Corp. [--] (SoftBank-backed) valuing it at $5.5B" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1870395582776574170) 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "3/ Business Model: - Automation: Modular systems using AMRs AS/RS and AI-driven software for picking sorting inventory management. - SaaS Revenue: Ongoing service contracts software subscriptions parts & upgrades. - GreenBox JV: Warehouse-as-a-service for SMEs" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1870395584634622283) 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "4/ Financial Highlights: - $727M in cash (24Q4). - 50%+ YoY revenue growth with SG&A down 12% in [----]. - $20B+ backlog (mostly Walmart & SoftBank). - Gross margin at 19.6% software gross margin 50%" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1870395586845069456) 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "5a/ Strengths: - Walmart Partnership: Walmart owns 11% share. Vital revenue source & massive scale for R&Dbut 90% reliance on one client is risky. - Scalable Design: Flexible for different warehouse sizes. Competitors often have narrower focuses" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1870395588644307375) 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "5b/ - AI-Driven Software: Real-time optimization & continuous learning loop. Competitors like Berkshire Grey & Amazon Robotics also invest heavily in AI. - GreenBox JV: Offers WaaS. Diversifies revenue streams & opens mid-market opportunities" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1870395591563575484) 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "5c/ - Strong Backlog: $20B pipeline ensures future revenue visibilityexecution & timing are critical. - Proprietary Robotics: High throughput & flexibility essential for complex grocery SKUs. - First-mover in challenging grocery automation space with temp/shelf-life constraints" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1870395594231177296) 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "6/ Recent Accounting Issues: - Some deployment overruns werent properly accounted for leading to premature or inflated revenue recognition. - Internal controls over financial reporting had gaps. - Delayed filing of the [----] 10-K eroding investor confidencebut fixable" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1870395596756193590) 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "7/ Possible Reasons: - $20B+ backlog in multi-year contracts with varying milestones complicates revenue recognition. - Massive Walmart orders + expansion could strain internal processes. 90% revenue from Walmart = big urgency to meet deadlines risking thorough cost tracking" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1870395598882615547) 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "8/ Investment Angle: - Some see the accounting issues as operational complexity rather than deception. Others remain cautious. - High Short Float (30%+) suggests potential short-squeeze. But fundamental performance hinges on consistent execution and tight financial controls" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1870395601512489331) 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "9a/ Recent Acquisitions: - OhmniLabs (Dec 24): Healthcare robotics (disinfection telepresence). Symbotic expands beyond supply chain into high-demand healthcare" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1870395603563466975) 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "9b/ - Veo Robotics (Aug 24): Human-robot collaboration tech (FreeMove). Symbotic gains improved safety & efficiency capabilities enabling humans and robots to work side by side" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1870395606222729602) 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "10/ - Symbotic isnt just another automation company. Backing by Walmart & SoftBank gives it scale and credibility. - Expansion into healthcare software and WaaS indicates a push toward diversified high-margin revenue streams" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1870395608294699185) 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "11/ - Upside: Huge backlog strong strategic partners AI-driven edge and expansions into new verticals. - Downside: Accounting missteps reliance on a single major customer fierce competition (Amazon Dematic Ocado Berkshire Grey)" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1870395610094031335) 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@amitisinvesting Random fact: In Bali $GRAB charges higher commissions from drivers than ride-hailing apps like Gojek but tourists still trust Grab more so drivers cannot leave it" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1872959852332625968) 2024-12-28T10:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Robinhood ft. Vlad Tenev - Reinventing Finance for a New Generation l https://youtu.be/fA5VYLpNkh4si=_mV3xlAlhtgbZFT9 https://youtu.be/fA5VYLpNkh4si=_mV3xlAlhtgbZFT9" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1873910583902495171) 2024-12-31T01:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Key Takeaway: focusing on sophisticated active traders makes $HOOD business less dependent market cycles" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1873913455499239635) 2024-12-31T02:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "It is going to be hard to repeat and bear markets can be painful but I will continue trying my best in [----] and beyond. Main contributors: $TSLA $HOOD $6324" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1874262711007383638) 2025-01-01T01:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@InvestInJapan Tesla has ordered from Leaderdrive in China before and will probably vertically integrate actuators. [----] is supplying other humanoid prototype companies though. [----] actuators are higher quality and more expensive so only humanoids used for high precision task will choose it" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1875101860497162378) 2025-01-03T08:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Major Deal - $SYM Symbotic is acquiring Walmart's Advanced Systems & Robotics business in a transformative deal for last-mile delivery and eCommerce fulfillment" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1882427896532529361) 2025-01-23T13:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@Kross_Roads $HOOD is the only indirect crypto bet worth taking to minimize the risk by staying invested in a more diversified company" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1882678681145147424) 2025-01-24T06:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Thread ๐งต After listening to $TSLA earnings call its clear that Elon is heavily emphasizing Optimusmentioning it again and again as his main focus" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1884861221876416715) 2025-01-30T07:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "2/ Thinking Long-Term Short-term noise can mask huge potential. Andersons biggest regret Selling Amazon & Tesla too soon. High-volatility winners often yield massive compounding over time" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1887405388712317095) 2025-02-06T07:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "3/ Rethink Traditional Analysis Quarterly earnings & spot metrics arent enough. Instead deep innovation exponential technologies & academic-style research drive real edge in spotting the next big shifts" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1887405390545268953) 2025-02-06T07:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "5/ Public vs. Private Public markets offer liquidity & discipline but can force short-term pressure. Private markets can be more patient but sometimes push for exits too soon. Andersons approach: act like a patient private investor in public markets" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1887405394278162637) 2025-02-06T07:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "6/ Europes Innovation Gap Many European firms struggle to scale globally (ARM sale to SoftBank limited VC pools). Cultural fear of failure also hampers ambition. Bright spots include ASML Spotify and some biotech around Oxford/Cambridge" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1887405395917832526) 2025-02-06T07:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "2/ Jetson Thor built on Nvidias Thor chip powers robots to make quick decisions understand surroundings and interact naturally with people. Its part of Nvidias Jetson platform evolving from small AI tasks to heavy real-time processing" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1900798453690548471) 2025-03-15T06:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "3/ Nvidias goal Support robot makers with tech not build robots itselfthink Googles Android model for smartphones. Meanwhile SoftBank is using Nvidias Blackwell chips to supercharge Japans AI and robotics sectors" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1900798455548965012) 2025-03-15T06:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "4/ SoftBanks Masayoshi Son at Nvidias AI Summit: Im passionate about AI robotics. We need to revive this passion bringing AI intelligence into robots. SoftBanks early massive order secured them first dibs on Blackwell chips" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1900798457331249593) 2025-03-15T06:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "5/ Why SoftBank not OpenAI or Google Simple: they ordered early and big. SoftBank and Nvidia are also teaming up on a 5G-AI network for faster robot connectivity. Nvidias robotics foothold is growing stronger" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1900798459160260769) 2025-03-15T06:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "9/ Nvidias HOVER neural network helps robots walk pick up objects and adapt to tasks without retraining. Tested on Unitrees H1 it learns a years worth of data in under an hour powering rapid robot deployment" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1900798466093445558) 2025-03-15T06:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "10/ Companies like Agility Robotics Figure AI Boston Dynamics and Sanctuary use Nvidias Isaac platform. Huang at AI Summit India: Physical AI needs three computers: training (DGX) simulation (Omniverse) and robotics systems" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1900798470073847963) 2025-03-15T06:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Pre-2013 Japan led the early push with Hondas ASIMO (launched in 2000). It could walk climb stairs and interact with peoplebut only in controlled settings. Progress stalled because classical robotics tech couldnt handle the complexity of real-world humanoids" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1905436636047130946) 2025-03-28T01:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "20132021 Google & Boston Dynamics: Acquisition hype in [----] fizzled when Google shifted toward self-driving cars deeming humanoids too complex. SoftBank: Despite buying Boston Dynamics and Aldebaran it couldnt commercialize humanoids. Focus turned to industrial automation" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1905436638161088607) 2025-03-28T01:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Level [--] Foundational Robotics Here comes General-Purpose Mobile Manipulation. Navigation meets dexterity. Robots can explore unstructured environments and handle everyday objects. This is where machines become potential drop-in replacements for human labor" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1905471098139103272) 2025-03-28T04:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Level [--] Modular Robotics Picture an entire ecosystem of plug-and-play components. Different sensors arms and limbs can be swapped in or out. This modular approach cuts costs accelerates innovation and unlocks more specialized use cases" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1905471100672508285) 2025-03-28T04:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Apple & the 30% App Store fee: Apple users face high switching costs (ecosystem lock-in iOS integration) Developers want access to affluent iPhone owners Despite criticism over the tax Apple rarely loses users or devs Hence they sustain power" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1906171606310994302) 2025-03-30T02:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "TSMC (semiconductor foundry): Gigantic capex ( $10B/fab) for next-gen chips Long-term customer commitments help justify these investments They intentionally price so customers stay & guarantee future business Tech leadership + scale = formidable power" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1906171608173306357) 2025-03-30T02:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "These upgrades make robots adaptable to unstructured environmentslike homes warehouses or even city streetsrather than specialized factory floors. Thats a huge shift because it moves beyond the caged pre-programmed arm era and into human worker replacement territory" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1906578578147623179) 2025-03-31T05:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "SOFTWARE Unified AI & Simulation Robotics code was a tangle of small specialized modules. Foundation models: - Single neural architectures handling vision language and sensor fusion - High-fidelity simulations for training at scale cutting time gathering real-world data" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1906578580081082426) 2025-03-31T05:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Enterprise-level infrastructure is finally emerging. Companies are building stable drivers containerized robotics stacks and serious dev tools for debugging real-time sensor data. Robust software ecosystems standard in mobile apps or cloud computingare crossing into robotics" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1906578582396375215) 2025-03-31T05:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "First rewind to the early 1920s. Diabetes was a death sentence especially for kids. Treatment options were basically starve yourself. Everything changed in [----] when Dr. Frederick Banting & Charles Best at U. of Toronto extracted and isolated insulin for the first time" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907379581318803527) 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Insulin was a literal lifesaver: Instead of starving to delay death diabetics could inject insulin and (for the first time) lead a more normal life. Soon the University of Toronto licensed mass production to Eli Lilly in the U.S. to meet global demand" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907379583554556113) 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "World War II changed everything. Denmark fell under Nazi occupation in [----]. Nordisks export markets dried up (Allies = blocked sales) so it nearly went dormant. Novo however was instructed to supply insulin to Nazi-occupied Europe and massively ramped production" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907379595084767295) 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Post-war Novo emerged much bigger while Nordisk struggled. But Nordisk eventually caught up with new forms of long-acting insulin and expansions abroad. Throughout the 70s they were #2 and #4 in the world battling each other and Eli Lilly" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907379597462946058) 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "By the 1970s biotech was on the horizon. Genentech in the U.S. showed you could genetically engineer human insulin enabling scalable production without relying on pig or cow pancreases. Eli Lilly jumped in partnering with Genentech to launch Humulin" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907379599756968348) 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Then came the next frontier: GLP-1 agonists. These are hormones that boost insulin production and reduce appetite. Seminal research in the 90s by Novos Lotte Bjerre Knudsen turned a once-dismissed GLP-1 concept into a new class of type [--] diabetes drugs" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907379612344320281) 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Parallel path in the US: Scientists discovered exendin-4 (similar to GLP-1) in the Gila monsters venom This became Byetta (approved in [----] with Eli Lilly). But it required injections twice a daynot super convenient" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907379615145787865) 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Why the mania Obesity is massive in the U.S.over 40% of adults are obese (BMI 30). Old weight-loss drugs had questionable safety records (think fen-phen). But semaglutide seemed safe had strong results and patients were desperate for options" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907379631407456323) 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Following the success of semaglutide Eli Lilly launched Mounjaro (tirzepatide) for diabetes soon for weight loss as ZepBound. Some data suggest even greater weight loss than Wegovy. The whole GLP-1 category is now a new super-cycle in pharma" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907379633429111291) 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "PART [--] - Novo Nordisk Novos structure gives it huge R&D budgets. As a foundation-owned firm it invests deeply in next-gen obesity research new GLP-1 combos and possible expansions into heart disease kidney diseasesince GLP-1 might help beyond just weight & glucose" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907380557614637283) 2025-04-02T10:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Meanwhile insulin once the lifeblood for Novo is now only 22% of revenue. Biosimilars pricing pressure and the shift to GLP-1s have reshaped the insulin market. But semaglutide is driving new profitsand fueling Novo Nordisks stock to record highs" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907380559518843134) 2025-04-02T10:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Financially Novo Nordisk is a juggernaut: 84% gross margins over $10B in annual net income 69% of total revenue coming from GLP-1-based drugs. Market cap recently flirted with half a trillion dollarsmore than the GDP of Denmark" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907380561556996288) 2025-04-02T10:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Bull case: More than [--] billion overweight/obese people globally GLP-1s might help cardiovascular kidney Alzheimers etc. Chronic medication usage means recurring revenue Decades of R&D runway" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907380574102208896) 2025-04-02T10:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Pharma typically invests in narrow specialty areas. Novo Nordisk did the opposite: it stuck to mass metabolic diseasesonce a small market now huge due to the global diabetes & obesity epidemic. Their timing and relentless focus have paid off" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907380576354787689) 2025-04-02T10:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Societal discussions loom large: Should taxpayers or insurers cover these pricey but life-changing weight-loss drugs If they cut future heart attacks and diabetes complications the long-term cost savings could be hugebut who pays now" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907380580884631848) 2025-04-02T10:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Novo Nordisks story is a testament to: A Century of dedication The importance of stable mission-driven ownership The unpredictability of science and big markets (diabetes + obesity) Luck + skill in forging a new class of blockbuster drugs" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907380582914642333) 2025-04-02T10:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Today Novo Nordisk is a top [--] pharma by revenue andby market capEuropes largest company. All from two small Danish insulin makers that started off separated by a single street in Copenhagen at war over old pig pancreas extraction methods" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907380584844001713) 2025-04-02T10:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Part [--] - TSMC TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) is the worlds largest contract chip manufacturer. Founded in [----] by Dr. Morris Chang it has quietly become one of the most important companies on Earthbuilding the processors that power our modern world" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907384031156511084) 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Morris Changs story is extraordinary. Born in [----] in Ningbo China he grew up amid war and turmoil. Fleeing conflicts he moved to Hong Kong back to mainland China and then ultimately to the U.S. where he studied at Harvard (briefly) before transferring to MIT" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907384033421500487) 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "He earned bachelors and masters degrees in mechanical engineering at MIT then later got a PhD at Stanfordsponsored by his then-employer Texas Instruments (TI). Chang spent [--] years at TI rising to run their entire semiconductor business" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907384035481137547) 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "In the late 1980s TSMCs first customers were giant chip companies who occasionally outsourced overflow manufacturing or older product lines. It wasnt stable business at first; as soon as those companies had extra capacity theyd pull back from TSMC" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907384050270220679) 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Then the fabless era took flight. Qualcomm Broadcom NVIDIA and others rose in the 1990sdesigning chips but with no in-house manufacturing. TSMC became their go-to partner. TSMC soon realized that making chips for many customers drove huge volume and consistent learnings" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907384052212257136) 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "TSMC invests tens of billions in CapEx annually. For [----] the plan was around $30B rising to $100B total over a three-year stretch. They have 40% operating marginsa phenomenal feat for a manufacturerand reinvest huge amounts back into R&D and new fabs" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907384060022067486) 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "A vital TSMC relationship is with ASML a Dutch company making extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines. These $200M+ machines are among the most complex tools in existence using powerful lasers to super-fine-etch circuits. TSMC is their biggest customer" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907384061972414529) 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "In [----] TSMC bet $9B on a dedicated fab for Apple devoting thousands of employees to get the line up fast. It turned into a massive success making iPhones A-series chips ever since. Apple is TSMCs biggest customer" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907384070767858107) 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "NVIDIA AMD Qualcomm Broadcom and even Intel in some scenarios also rely on TSMC. GPUs for AI game consoles automotive chipsTSMC powers it all. Teslas self-driving chips are partly fabbed by Samsung but TSMC remains the go-to name for highest-volume advanced chips" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907384073334686061) 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Financially TSMC is a behemoth. Revenue in [----] was $48B; net income $17B. Its grown 17% compounded annually for 25+ yearsan astonishing run from its [----] market cap of $4B to $500B+ today" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907384075373187326) 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Morris Chang retired multiple times stepping down as CEO in [----] at age [--] returning in [----] then retiring again in [----] at [--]. Under his leadership TSMC redefined an entire industry. He famously never took founder shareshe later bought TSMC stock with personal funds" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907384078271230188) 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "As we look ahead we see 5G AI self-driving cars AR/VR data centerseach requiring advanced processors. TSMCs roadmap including 3nm and future sub-3nm nodes puts them in prime position to supply the worlds demand" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907385088989614357) 2025-04-02T10:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Moores Law (transistors doubling every two years) and Rocks Law (fab costs doubling every four years) suggest that leading semiconductor manufacture inevitably consolidates. TSMCs scale and process power outrun rivals forming a near-monopoly at the top" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907385090948415678) 2025-04-02T10:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "One might say TSMC has grown quietly but in reality every smartphone user every console gamer every HPC or AI researcher relies on TSMC. They are integral to the daily functioning of the global economyyet remain behind the scenes" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907385103497462009) 2025-04-02T10:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Legendary founder Morris Changs life lesson: He bet on an industry model no one else believed in at an age when most retire. Pure-play foundry was ridiculed in the 1980s; its now the cornerstone of modern semiconductor manufacturing" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907385106500829562) 2025-04-02T10:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Founded in [----] TSMC was the brainchild of Morris Changwho started TSMC when he was [--] It has since become a trillion-dollar company powering everything from iPhones to AI data centers" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907773284298408262) 2025-04-03T12:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Morris Changs career began at Texas Instruments (TI) where he learned the art of semiconductor process technologyand business strategy. One major influence on him there was the concept of the learning curve as developed with Bill Bain and BCGs Bruce Henderson" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907773286848803110) 2025-04-03T12:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Morris recounts flying to Silicon Valley having salad and pizza at Jensens house and then at 8pm they moved to Jensens study. Chang put a single take-it-or-leave-it figure on the table good for [--] hours. NVIDIA accepted" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907773299939226076) 2025-04-03T12:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "TSMC was facing macro-level strategic decisions. Morris saw that the next big node after 40nm was 28nm which R&D believed was a sweet spot. However TSMC was dealing with a big wave of smartphone-driven demand. The board got nervous about huge capexbut Chang insisted" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907773302074179797) 2025-04-03T12:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Initially many told Morris it was a bad conceptfabless wasnt a thing yet so TSMCs initial customers were big integrated device manufacturers like Intel who only gave TSMC second-source or older tech runs. But Morris saw the future: design teams starting fabless companies" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907773324987687253) 2025-04-03T12:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Indeed that wave of fabless startups (Qualcomm Broadcom MediaTek NVIDIA and eventually Apples internal chip teams) validated TSMCs business model. The smartphone era supercharged TSMC. Later AI and cloud computing demand took TSMC to an even higher stratosphere" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1907773328926056690) 2025-04-03T12:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@em013L Have you ever looked at/valued $SYM it has its red flags but also is quite beaten down + predictable revenue growth from backlog (at least for the next [--] years)" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1908528879951896672) 2025-04-05T14:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@alojoh still dont understand why Exor would keep such big stake in Stellantis even when considering the legacy factor" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1910662298487972202) 2025-04-11T11:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@em013L Duolingos Rev/FTE = 900k in FY24 although a fair point would be that its B2C unlike palantir" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1942851002476159248) 2025-07-09T07:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@amitisinvesting happened with $SYM last month too" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1947792395980181699) 2025-07-22T22:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@NolanAntonucci the trend seems to have improved in jul/aug" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1953591756710449388) 2025-08-07T22:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "First a reset: digital platforms scale fast because serving one more user is cheap. But staying big is harder. Economics hinge on the network the platform orchestrates not internal ops" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1957081810128568506) 2025-08-17T14:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "#1 Strength of network effects. Direct: more users = more value (your friends on Facebook). Cross-side: one group attracts the other (Uber riders drivers). But strength varies a lot by industry" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1957081814196981957) 2025-08-17T14:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Consoles = weaker effects: you need a few hit games not thousands. A newcomer with a small tech edge + a couple hits can steal sharethink Xbox vs PlayStation cycles" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1957081818030882902) 2025-08-17T14:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "#5 Network bridging. Winners connect networks to create flywheels. Alibaba bridged Alipay Taobao/Tmall; Ant Financial used commerce data for credit/loans which then fuel more commerce. Reinforcing loops beat stand-alone scale" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1957081844177944789) 2025-08-17T14:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Investor takeaway: Dont underwrite scale; underwrite the network. Favor platforms with: strong & learning effects global clustering low disintermediation single-homing incentives and bridges into adjacent networks. These compound; the rest commoditize" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1957081848787382468) 2025-08-17T14:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Antitrust lens: dont punish temporary dominance (its the prize that drives innovation). Do prevent privileged head starts; keep early standards/access fair" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1958111017021665416) 2025-08-20T10:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Managers checklist: map feedback loops; name your complements; trade margin for flywheel speed; plan in waves (formats/tech) not quarters" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1958111021216018919) 2025-08-20T10:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Attention & salience Crowded headlines get instant love; quiet filings get ignored. Vivid stories move price more than boring but important facts. Mispricing thrives in the footnotes" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1962076744212717816) 2025-08-31T08:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Herding & narratives We copy each otherpartly from social proof partly career risk. Shared stories create correlated trades so errors dont cancel; they compound" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1962076746226040864) 2025-08-31T08:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Constraints neutrality Short-sale limits borrow fees VaR/margin rules benchmark pressurethese dont just add friction. They make it hard to bet against bad prices so mistakes persist" [X Link](https://x.com/proyandavid/status/1962076748583260183) 2025-08-31T08:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@proyandavid DavidDavid posts on X about $duol, $tsla, investment, morris the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence finance stocks countries technology brands automotive brands luxury brands travel destinations currencies social networks cryptocurrencies
Social topic influence $duol, $tsla, investment, morris, $race, tsla, novo, accounting, stocks, $6324t
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @chriscamillo @amitisinvesting @datadinvesting @em013l @partnersroad @nolanantonucci @optionscjp @brianstoffel @alc2022 @eugeneng @jordaantrades @scientificecon @elmhurstsb @uvshares @alexavoigt @teslaoptimus @curiouspejjy @mzatastock @blackrussian1 @timothyhliu5
Top assets mentioned Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Ferrari N.V. (RACE) Symbotic Inc. Class A Common Stock (SYM) Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) Robot Consulting Co., Ltd. (LAWR) Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) Deckers Outdoor, Corp. (DECK) Grab Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (GRAB) Walmart, Inc. (WMT) Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Celsius Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (CELH) Crocs, Inc. (CROX) On Holding AG (ONON) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Texas Instruments (TXN) Monster Beverage Corp (MNST) pizzacoin (PIZZACOIN)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"@scientificecon Briefly - CSTO didnt fulfil obligations in defending Arm in [----] war and afterwards even when Arm territory directly was attacked - Weapons paid for werent supplied by Rus making Arm diversify its arm supplies (France and India)"
X Link 2024-02-24T13:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements
"Curious about $MNST earnings tomorrow. Lets try to link it to $CELH next weeks earnings $MNST got downgraded lately while $CELH only upgraded"
X Link 2024-05-01T14:15Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"This is so cool $TSLA Trying to be useful lately https://t.co/TlPF9YB61W Trying to be useful lately https://t.co/TlPF9YB61W"
X Link 2024-05-05T08:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@ElmhurstSB It has a first mover advantage in capturing female customer demographic and healthy energy drink theme. Plus their marketing is very strong. However yes these all can be copied by others if $CELH doesnt move fast enough in its expansion"
X Link 2024-05-09T11:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"A reason $HOOD didnt move with good results is that many are still doubtful if those growth numbers are sustainable or were just caused by temporary crypto run and promotions. Also their new innovative features sometimes dont work as well and they halt them temporarily"
X Link 2024-05-09T11:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Next quarter is looking good for $HOOD with meme stock rally credit card rollout and increasing AUC. Maybe even a crypto rally happens"
X Link 2024-05-15T21:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$DECK A catalyst besides Hokas growth. UGGs sandals of the summer - sold out for many sizes - good reviews across TikTok - if comfortable disregard ugliness - UGG finally has shoes for all seasons Earnings next week"
X Link 2024-05-16T23:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Lets see how this plays out Hoka's traction in the Asia-Pacific region could be a highlight in this week's $DECK earnings. https://t.co/zSeByHnDV3 Hoka's traction in the Asia-Pacific region could be a highlight in this week's $DECK earnings. https://t.co/zSeByHnDV3"
X Link 2024-05-21T18:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$DECK Beats as expected EPS $4.95 โ
Rev $959.76M โ
"
X Link 2024-05-23T20:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Laughing at Wall Street by Chris Camillo #socialarbitrage #informationarbitrage"
X Link 2024-06-28T19:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Exploit Wall Street's vulnerability. Focus your efforts on products companies and trends (female youth low income rural) viewed as foreign to Wall Street's core demographic of middle-aged affluent men who work and reside in major metropolitan areas"
X Link 2024-06-28T19:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Believe what you see not what financial pundits and those on Wall Street tell you to believe"
X Link 2024-06-28T19:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Research your investment observations like a scientist seeking to submit a breakthrough discovery to a prestigious scientific journal pursuing only game-changing investment observations that are not yet widely known or accepted as fact by Wall Street"
X Link 2024-06-28T19:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The strategy of Sabato de Sarno can make Gucci more in line with the style currently high-end Hermes or LVMH brands are benefitting from. Still nobody knows how long it can take for consumers to notice that and change their impression of Guccis cheap logo-based designs. $KER With $KER's stock price down 35% over the last five years and valued at 14x EV/EBIT for FY25 is it a buying opportunity or a value trap Kering's Revenue by House: https://t.co/4sKWljy8Mf With $KER's stock price down 35% over the last five years and valued at 14x EV/EBIT for FY25 is it a buying opportunity or a value trap"
X Link 2024-06-29T13:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Interesting how Kering and Burberry have approach the problem becoming a high end luxury brands"
X Link 2024-07-16T08:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@uv_shares Which $JEMA Emerging Europe or Activebuilders Emerging Europe one can be a better Russia play but Interactive Brokers doesnt let to buy"
X Link 2024-08-13T15:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"This acquisition went largely unnoticed in the face of political situation worldwide and protests in Georgia against the Russian style foreign agent law. Armenia and Georgia experienced double digit growth while capital inflow from Russia increased since the Ukraine War"
X Link 2024-08-20T13:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@alex_avoigt unfortunately not all countries implemented such good policies like Norway"
X Link 2024-08-28T04:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Brandon Solano began at Dominos in [----] where he was VP of Innovation and later of Development. He was at the heart of Dominos during the turnaround"
X Link 2024-09-15T09:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"In [----] he became the CEO of $RAVE which was a failing pizza franchise in Texas. Then Covid hit in [----] adding a lot of hardship to already struggling business but since [----] the business started to come back to life having already [--] consecutive quarters of profitability"
X Link 2024-09-15T09:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$RAVE has 27m market cap 6.3m in cash no debt and 2.2m in TTM earnings at [--] P/E. $RAVE is away from many eyes due to being very small illiquid and with history of failing and almost getting delisted not once"
X Link 2024-09-15T09:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The same store sales growth of 13% over the last two years and new franchise concept is getting good reviews. The CEO believes store count can 10x by re-entering old markets lost over the last [--] years"
X Link 2024-09-15T09:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$TSLA @Tesla_Optimus started to be used in production as mentioned a couple of quarterly earning calls before. Curious about how it evolves over the next two years Being excited that Optimus did play a (very) small role in this. Being excited that Optimus did play a (very) small role in this"
X Link 2024-09-15T13:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CuriousPejjy DCA-d $TSLA at 160$. It was very tough to catch the bottom at 138$ but in the long run it wont matter"
X Link 2024-09-16T03:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@mzata_stock I didnt notice that. thanks for pointing out. maybe old ones were too expensive for the business or what do you think was the reason"
X Link 2024-09-16T23:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Black_Russian_1 @timothyhliu5 @Secrets4stocks Belarus business is negligible. $BGEO management expects most future growth from the Armenian subsidiary. Transfers from Russia to Armenia will always stay high: there are more Armenians in Russia than in Armenia. These sanction risks are overstated"
X Link 2024-09-20T16:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@gurgavin Exactly the same for me. i change my iphone every [--] years $AAPL"
X Link 2024-09-21T01:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@SawyerMerritt its interesting how @cybertruck due to its unusual design is becoming a status symbol or a unique thing for celebrities to have. this is very different from teslas other models. $TSLA"
X Link 2024-09-22T10:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@DividendDude_X only $CROX for now"
X Link 2024-09-29T03:37Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"How effective are companys research and development efforts in relation to its size Does the company have an above average sales organisation Does the company have worthwhile profit margin What is the company doing to maintain or improve profit margins"
X Link 2024-10-05T04:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Does the company have outstanding labour and personnel relations Does the company have outstanding executive relations Does the company have depth to its management How good are companys cost analysis and accounting controls"
X Link 2024-10-05T04:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Philip Fishers investment philosophy"
X Link 2024-10-08T13:02Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@JonahLupton do you think $PLTR upcoming earnings wont justify the high expectations reflected in multiples leading to a drop"
X Link 2024-10-09T05:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@em013L Value investing is an amazing strategy if you figure out the actual value and not just look at multiples. Actual value includes potential growth and reflects on how people think of company industry and overall market"
X Link 2024-10-09T10:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I wish there were more quality public humanoid robotics companies besides $TSLA. All good ones are private so most investors might not catch the trend the way they did with semiconductors $NVDA $TSM $ASML https://youtu.be/s4XXcdFkgQgsi=7qCTmqzlLs2Hsk4R https://youtu.be/s4XXcdFkgQgsi=7qCTmqzlLs2Hsk4R"
X Link 2024-10-23T02:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Spinoffs outperform because [--]. It is an inefficient way of distributing stock to wrong people that sell it immediately [--]. spinoffs are smaller than parent companies or arent part of index so many cannot hold [--]. After spinoff stock options can directly compensate managements"
X Link 2024-10-24T13:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Merger securities are usually used for partial payments so if it is a small part of the whole payment it can be ignored. Going-private transactions are especially interesting because the insiders decided to purchase the entire equity interest highlighting strong conviction"
X Link 2024-10-24T13:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Holders of bankrupt companys debt usually dont get paid off in cash. They get some sort of security so new shareholders and bondholders of newly emerged company out of bankruptcy are the previous bondholders. Their time horizon might be short"
X Link 2024-10-24T13:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"The quality of companies coming out of bankruptcy isnt great so Walls Street usually ignores them. Look at the ones that went bankrupt because of over-leveraging due to takeover or leverage-buyout or because of product-liability lawsuits for discontinued or isolated product"
X Link 2024-10-24T13:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Sale or shuttering of an entire division significant to the company to stanch losses pay off debt and focus more on promising business lines. Companies doing restructuring of this kind are usually shareholder oriented. The decision to sell a major division is difficult to do"
X Link 2024-10-24T13:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
""IPOs are underpriced everywhere. The averages are equally weighted." by the University of Florida Professor Jay R. Ritter (March 2024) Average first-day returns on IPOs"
X Link 2024-10-29T02:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@NolanAntonucci @Hawkeye_74 i still dont understand why and how that happened. hayedude was brand on fire and the moment crocs bought it everything reversed"
X Link 2024-10-29T11:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Until now $DECK and $ONON have been correlated in their sales growth and earnings as $NKE continues to lose market shares. $DECK beat earnings estimate already and $ONON jumped quite a bit on that day. Curious to see $ONON earnings"
X Link 2024-11-03T13:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@ChrisCamillo Do you think at some point when closer to mass production its worth looking at humanoid supply chains especially harmonic reducers very few leading producers in that space but very crucial for robotic joints"
X Link 2024-11-08T12:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@catapultcap @ChrisCamillo @doneill its so hard to find brokerage with Korean stocks. apparently the government only wants foreigners to go through local Korean brokerages for buying Korean stocks"
X Link 2024-11-09T00:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@ChrisCamillo @KennysCapital i guess for levering up you need to see a clear path for TSLA with little falls. do you see that now post-election like you saw in palantir for the next year"
X Link 2024-11-09T00:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"$CROX problem is Hey Dude but since the end of September any new Hey Dude shoe with Sweeney collab has been selling out immediately. the recent earnings covered the period up to the end of September. Terrence Reilly needs to some time to turn Hey Dude around"
X Link 2024-11-10T07:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@amitisinvesting $HOOD is a better way to bet on $BTC in stock market than $MSTR and $COIN because the underlying business is way stronger and diversified compared to the other two so downside risk when crypto pulls back is always lower"
X Link 2024-11-11T02:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Micro2Macr0 only if you like $UBER s business model because $GRAB is technically Southeast Asian uber with taxi and food delivery services. there is no uber in Singapore for example. unlike uber it also has financial service (loans insurance payments web3 wallet) division"
X Link 2024-11-13T00:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@RealMattMoney $6324 - Harmonic Drive Systems"
X Link 2024-11-17T15:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Companies like Service Titan $TTAN already started registering for IPO-s even before Trump entered the White House expecting strong stock market and easing rules. Exciting to times ahead"
X Link 2024-11-19T01:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Harmonic Drive Systems $6324 ๐งต 1/ Humanoid robots are coming Mass production of humanoids is expected to ramp up globally in the next two years and HDS is uniquely positioned to benefit. Heres why this company could be a game-changer in this emerging market"
X Link 2024-11-23T14:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"4/ Why It Matters: Scaling Up The company has plans to invest JPY [--] billion ($50M) to enhance productivity and update facilities. While cautious about over-investment HDS is prepared for the mass production boom. This positions them to supply more as demand soars"
X Link 2024-11-23T14:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"5/ China's Robot Surge: A Balancing Act In China high-end robot manufacturers are growing. Harmonic Drive has carved out a niche by supplying premium products rather than competing on price. This strategy ensures profitability even as the market evolves"
X Link 2024-11-23T14:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"10/ Temporary Struggles Amid Big Plans HDS is maintaining full production capacity to avoid the long wait times seen during previous demand booms. Lessons learned from past "growth mountains" are guiding them to stay ahead of orders"
X Link 2024-11-23T14:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"11/ Stock Strategy & Buybacks HDS hinted at potential share buybacks if market conditions dont improve. This could support the stock price and reward shareholders while the company gears up for its next phase of growth"
X Link 2024-11-23T14:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Harmonic Drive Systems $6324 sees a recovery in bookings. Still too early to invest but worth keeping in the watchlist with upcoming humanoid mass production"
X Link 2024-11-23T14:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@amitisinvesting $TSLA $HOOD $6324"
X Link 2024-11-30T08:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/ Saving money takes years of discipline but investing it poorly can take minutes. Careless investment decisions destroy long-term financial goals. Be deliberate"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4/ Low bond yields often push investors into stocks. But stock prices already factor in low yields. Blindly chasing alternatives without assessing value is a trap. ๐"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"6/ Avoid Pavlovian responses to market downturns as buying opportunities. A falling stock isn't always a bargainit can keep declining. Context and valuation matter. ๐"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"7/ Wall Street's structure often works against investors: High fees incentivize frequent transactions. IPOs are often overpriced favoring issuers over buyers. Optimistic research reports drive transactions not necessarily good advice"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"13/ Categorization is flawed: Bonds of bankrupt companies may resemble equity. Utility stocks may behave like bonds. Labels can mislead; focus on characteristics and value. ๐"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"14a/ The [----] stock market crash highlighted a critical flaw in "portfolio insurance" a strategy meant to limit losses by selling stock index futures when prices dropped. In theory this would cap losses to 3%. Sounds safe right ๐จ"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"14b/ The problem Too many investors used the same strategy. When markets dropped mass selling of futures created a feedback loop: futures prices fell sharply triggering arbitrage and forcing more stock selling which fueled further panic. ๐๐ฅ"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"14c/ This vicious cycle showed the danger of herd behavior in markets. Strategies that work for a few can fail catastrophically when adopted by the masses. Diversification and skepticism of safe trends are key lessons for investors. ๐ก"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"15/ Tactical asset allocation has limits: Markets aren't infinitely liquid. Large shifts incur costs and impact prices. It's hard to predict consistently. ๐"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"16/ Indexing flaws: Heavy indexing reduces market efficiency as fewer investors analyze fundamentals. Small-cap indexers face liquidity issues and often underperform. ๐"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"17a/ In the 1980s junk bonds (low-grade high-yield bonds) were overlooked by risk-averse investors creating bargains. But as demand grew newly issued junk bonds often lacked a margin of safety and carried significant risks. ๐"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Margin of Safety by Seth Klarman Part [--] 1/ Free cash flow is critical: Defined as after-tax earnings + depreciation - capital expenditures. Overleveraged companies often misuse depreciation cash flow for debt risking bankruptcy"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/ Depreciation vs. capital spending: Depreciation adds cash but must fund future asset replacement. If capex is consistently below depreciation a company may be in gradual liquidation. ๐ก"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3b/ NPV = Discounted future cash flows. Use conservative projections to manage uncertainty. Discount rate = risk-free rate (gov bonds) + business risk. โ Beware of high multiples in low-rate environments. ๐ "Predict the unpredictable" by buying with a margin of safety. ๐ก"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3c/ Liquidation Value: Value if the business is dismantled and assets are sold off. Fire sale = deeply discounted assets. Orderly liquidation = closer to book value especially for fixed assets. Net-net working capital = Current assets - Current & Long-term liabilities"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3d/ Market Comparables: Value based on what similar businesses are sold for in the market. Risks: Multiples can vary widely. Buyers may overpay in frothy markets. Useful for estimating short-term trading value especially for closed-end funds. ๐"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4/ Reflexivity in valuations: Stock prices influence business viability especially in capital-raising or bankruptcy. Markets can shape outcomes not just reflect them. ๐"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"8/ Catalysts like spinoffs buybacks or reorganizations help unlock value. Spinoffs often trade below fair value due to neglect or forced selling by institutional holders. ๐ "
X Link 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"9/ Bankruptcy opportunities: Post-bankruptcy reorganizations often create undervalued securities. Prepackaged bankruptcies can resolve free-rider problems efficiently. ๐"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"10/ Growth investing risk: Overconfidence in predicting growth often leads to overpaying. Popular growth stocks can exceed fundamental value due to crowd enthusiasm. ๐จ"
X Link 2024-12-01T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"๐งตWhy "Embodied AI" (Humanoid Robots) could redefine global labor markets and investing. Based on Morgan Stanley's report heres how humanoids address labor shortages and disrupt industries. ๐๐ค"
X Link 2024-12-01T05:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"1/ Why Humanoids Global labor is in crisis: - Workforce shortages. - Aging populations. - Jobs humans cant/wont do. Humanoids robots designed to navigate human environments are the solution. They integrate into spaces designed for humans unlike specialized robots. ๐ข"
X Link 2024-12-01T05:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/ The $30 Trillion Opportunity Labor = $30T global market (30% of GDP). Humanoids aim to replace or assist workers in jobs that are: Dangerous Repetitive Hard to staff. U.S. projections: 8M humanoids by [----] impacting $357B in wages. ๐"
X Link 2024-12-01T05:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"7/ Challenges to Humanoid Adoption [--] Mechanics: Fine motor skills are tough for robots. [--] Energy: Batteries must last hours. [--] ROI: Companies need cost-effective deployment. [--] Social: Workforce disruption and public skepticism must be addressed"
X Link 2024-12-01T05:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"8/ Investment Opportunities: The Humanoid [--] Morgan Stanley highlights two key investment categories: [--] Enablers: AI chipmakers actuators. [--] Beneficiaries: Industries like healthcare manufacturing logistics. ๐"
X Link 2024-12-01T05:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"9/ Teslas Role Teslas Optimus robot could dominate humanoid production: Gen1 is being tested in factories. Gen2 aims for $20K/unit leveraging Teslas expertise in AI and manufacturing. Elon Musk predicts humanoids will outnumber humans by [----]. ๐"
X Link 2024-12-01T05:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"10/ The Big Picture Humanoids are more than toolstheyre a reinvention of work itself. With the $30T global labor market ripe for disruption these robots could change how industries function and how we view labor. The future of work is humanoid. Lets build it. ๐ค๐"
X Link 2024-12-01T05:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/ Current Focus: Industrial Robots Not Humanoids Currently most harmonic drive orders are for robotic arms in industrial robots. $688017.SS has been working with $TSLA since [----] supplying harmonic drives for testing in humanoid robots"
X Link 2024-12-01T05:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"4/ LeaderDrive Delivered 200K+ harmonic reducers in [----]. Partnered with $TSLA to supply components for humanoids. Focused on innovation with new heat-treated materials for durability. Despite near-term macro challenges localization trends support long-term growth. ๐"
X Link 2024-12-01T05:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"5/ $6324.T (Harmonic Drive Systems) Largest producer of gear reducers globally (ex-China). Focused on high-margin small-to-medium-sized robots. Targets high-end humanoid applications where precision and quality are critical"
X Link 2024-12-01T05:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@optionscjp $TSLA and $HOOD are 50% of the portfolio due to their run this year. No plans to sell but will be adding newer positions"
X Link 2024-12-01T23:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Japans macro looks pretty attractive for automation and robotics investments but not only: [--]. There are increasing tariffs on China from the West. [--]. Japan is in severe need of automation and robotics due to its low birth rate"
X Link 2024-12-02T03:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@wiixmonster5 @optionscjp Looking at $6324 $SYM $GRAB"
X Link 2024-12-02T13:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@amitisinvesting $HOOD investor day and now this. $HOOD is going to have definitely amazing 12-18 months at least"
X Link 2024-12-05T03:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@AydenMMiller dont look at the price. dont care about it even. look at fundamentals and be happy about new EV models FSD updates Optimus trials energy contracts cost decrease etc. stock price can fluctuate unreasonably. this the difference between speculation and investment $TSLA"
X Link 2024-12-07T06:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"A Good Summary of $HOOD Investor Day. Robinhood Markets Inc $HOOD โ
did not enter the S&P [---] last Friday but I was amazed by the Investoy Day [----] event. My portfolio is 100% concentrated in three stocks and it's really hard to convince me about a company. Robinhood did it. Let's take a look at the highlights of Robinhood Markets Inc $HOOD โ
did not enter the S&P [---] last Friday but I was amazed by the Investoy Day [----] event. My portfolio is 100% concentrated in three stocks and it's really hard to convince me about a company. Robinhood did it. Let's take a look at the highlights of"
X Link 2024-12-11T04:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@realMeetKevin other LLMs arent as convenient tbh. or maybe im just used to ChatGBTs features. Grok is amazing but for news updates rather than working with documents like excel spreadsheets. for example with Grok you cant reply to specific word or sentence in the conversation @xai"
X Link 2024-12-12T07:06Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/ ๐ต The History of USD Cycles: Since the end of the gold standard in [----] the USD has alternated between long periods of strength and weakness. These cycles dictate global capital flows impacting everything from commodities to equity markets"
X Link 2024-12-13T05:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/ ๐ฅ What Drives These Cycles - High debt levels: Lead to interest rate suppression. - Fiscal imbalances: Demand tighter spending or devaluation. - Capital reallocation: Shifts toward underappreciated assets"
X Link 2024-12-13T05:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"7/ ๐ค Why This Matters: Market leadership doesnt last forever. Historically when US equities become too dominant: - Capital flows out. - Emerging and international markets surge. - Commodities outperform. Were approaching one of those inflection points. ๐"
X Link 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"8/ ๐ The Buffett Indicator Flashing Red: Warren Buffetts favorite metric market cap-to-GDP shows US equities at extreme overvaluation levels. Historically this precedes corrections or prolonged underperformance"
X Link 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"13/ ๐ The Case for EM: Emerging markets are at historically low valuations compared to US equities. After decades of consolidation theyre primed for a structural breakout. Example: Indias post-COVID rally is a harbinger of broader EM strength"
X Link 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"14/ ๐ Capital Flows Are Shifting: Smart money is already moving into EM. Early examples include Argentina and frontier markets where valuations remain deeply discounted. EM's upward trajectory will likely accelerate in tandem with USD weakness. ๐"
X Link 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"15/ ๐ Key EM Investment Themes: - Underappreciated resources and commodities. - Emerging tech ecosystems (India SE Asia). - Frontier opportunities (Argentina Africa)"
X Link 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"16/ ๐ช The Gold Revival:Gold is reclaiming its role as the ultimate reserve asset. With global debt at record highs central banks are hoarding gold at levels unseen since the 1970s"
X Link 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"17/ ๐ Why Gold Is a Buy: - Record central bank demand (20% of reserves vs. 70% in 1980). - Currency devaluation pressures. - Hedge against inflation and geopolitical risk"
X Link 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"21/ ๐ Market Leadership Changes: History shows extreme capital concentration in one region (like US equities today) always precedes a reversal. As valuations peak global capital flows favor undervalued markets"
X Link 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"22/ ๐ฐ Beware the Magazine Cover Curse: The Economists recent cover celebrates US dominancea classic contrarian signal. Remember 2009's "Brazil Takes Off" cover The country has struggled ever since. Whats next for the US History isnt kind to these narratives"
X Link 2024-12-13T05:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"1/ $SYM was founded in [----] by Rick Cohen (owner of C&S Wholesale Grocers) as CasePick Systems. The vision was to fix supply chain inefficiencies with robotics and AI. By [----] the company rebranded to Symbotic and began building end-to-end warehouse automation systems"
X Link 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"2/ Fast-forward to 2022: - $WMT committed to installing Symbotic's systems across all regional distribution centers. - Walmart also took an 11% stake in $SYM. - Symbotic went public via a SPAC with SVF Investment Corp. [--] (SoftBank-backed) valuing it at $5.5B"
X Link 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"3/ Business Model: - Automation: Modular systems using AMRs AS/RS and AI-driven software for picking sorting inventory management. - SaaS Revenue: Ongoing service contracts software subscriptions parts & upgrades. - GreenBox JV: Warehouse-as-a-service for SMEs"
X Link 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4/ Financial Highlights: - $727M in cash (24Q4). - 50%+ YoY revenue growth with SG&A down 12% in [----]. - $20B+ backlog (mostly Walmart & SoftBank). - Gross margin at 19.6% software gross margin 50%"
X Link 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"5a/ Strengths: - Walmart Partnership: Walmart owns 11% share. Vital revenue source & massive scale for R&Dbut 90% reliance on one client is risky. - Scalable Design: Flexible for different warehouse sizes. Competitors often have narrower focuses"
X Link 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"5b/ - AI-Driven Software: Real-time optimization & continuous learning loop. Competitors like Berkshire Grey & Amazon Robotics also invest heavily in AI. - GreenBox JV: Offers WaaS. Diversifies revenue streams & opens mid-market opportunities"
X Link 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"5c/ - Strong Backlog: $20B pipeline ensures future revenue visibilityexecution & timing are critical. - Proprietary Robotics: High throughput & flexibility essential for complex grocery SKUs. - First-mover in challenging grocery automation space with temp/shelf-life constraints"
X Link 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"6/ Recent Accounting Issues: - Some deployment overruns werent properly accounted for leading to premature or inflated revenue recognition. - Internal controls over financial reporting had gaps. - Delayed filing of the [----] 10-K eroding investor confidencebut fixable"
X Link 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"7/ Possible Reasons: - $20B+ backlog in multi-year contracts with varying milestones complicates revenue recognition. - Massive Walmart orders + expansion could strain internal processes. 90% revenue from Walmart = big urgency to meet deadlines risking thorough cost tracking"
X Link 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"8/ Investment Angle: - Some see the accounting issues as operational complexity rather than deception. Others remain cautious. - High Short Float (30%+) suggests potential short-squeeze. But fundamental performance hinges on consistent execution and tight financial controls"
X Link 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"9a/ Recent Acquisitions: - OhmniLabs (Dec 24): Healthcare robotics (disinfection telepresence). Symbotic expands beyond supply chain into high-demand healthcare"
X Link 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"9b/ - Veo Robotics (Aug 24): Human-robot collaboration tech (FreeMove). Symbotic gains improved safety & efficiency capabilities enabling humans and robots to work side by side"
X Link 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"10/ - Symbotic isnt just another automation company. Backing by Walmart & SoftBank gives it scale and credibility. - Expansion into healthcare software and WaaS indicates a push toward diversified high-margin revenue streams"
X Link 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"11/ - Upside: Huge backlog strong strategic partners AI-driven edge and expansions into new verticals. - Downside: Accounting missteps reliance on a single major customer fierce competition (Amazon Dematic Ocado Berkshire Grey)"
X Link 2024-12-21T09:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@amitisinvesting Random fact: In Bali $GRAB charges higher commissions from drivers than ride-hailing apps like Gojek but tourists still trust Grab more so drivers cannot leave it"
X Link 2024-12-28T10:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Robinhood ft. Vlad Tenev - Reinventing Finance for a New Generation l https://youtu.be/fA5VYLpNkh4si=_mV3xlAlhtgbZFT9 https://youtu.be/fA5VYLpNkh4si=_mV3xlAlhtgbZFT9"
X Link 2024-12-31T01:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Key Takeaway: focusing on sophisticated active traders makes $HOOD business less dependent market cycles"
X Link 2024-12-31T02:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"It is going to be hard to repeat and bear markets can be painful but I will continue trying my best in [----] and beyond. Main contributors: $TSLA $HOOD $6324"
X Link 2025-01-01T01:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@InvestInJapan Tesla has ordered from Leaderdrive in China before and will probably vertically integrate actuators. [----] is supplying other humanoid prototype companies though. [----] actuators are higher quality and more expensive so only humanoids used for high precision task will choose it"
X Link 2025-01-03T08:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Major Deal - $SYM Symbotic is acquiring Walmart's Advanced Systems & Robotics business in a transformative deal for last-mile delivery and eCommerce fulfillment"
X Link 2025-01-23T13:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@Kross_Roads $HOOD is the only indirect crypto bet worth taking to minimize the risk by staying invested in a more diversified company"
X Link 2025-01-24T06:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Thread ๐งต After listening to $TSLA earnings call its clear that Elon is heavily emphasizing Optimusmentioning it again and again as his main focus"
X Link 2025-01-30T07:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/ Thinking Long-Term Short-term noise can mask huge potential. Andersons biggest regret Selling Amazon & Tesla too soon. High-volatility winners often yield massive compounding over time"
X Link 2025-02-06T07:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/ Rethink Traditional Analysis Quarterly earnings & spot metrics arent enough. Instead deep innovation exponential technologies & academic-style research drive real edge in spotting the next big shifts"
X Link 2025-02-06T07:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"5/ Public vs. Private Public markets offer liquidity & discipline but can force short-term pressure. Private markets can be more patient but sometimes push for exits too soon. Andersons approach: act like a patient private investor in public markets"
X Link 2025-02-06T07:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"6/ Europes Innovation Gap Many European firms struggle to scale globally (ARM sale to SoftBank limited VC pools). Cultural fear of failure also hampers ambition. Bright spots include ASML Spotify and some biotech around Oxford/Cambridge"
X Link 2025-02-06T07:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/ Jetson Thor built on Nvidias Thor chip powers robots to make quick decisions understand surroundings and interact naturally with people. Its part of Nvidias Jetson platform evolving from small AI tasks to heavy real-time processing"
X Link 2025-03-15T06:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/ Nvidias goal Support robot makers with tech not build robots itselfthink Googles Android model for smartphones. Meanwhile SoftBank is using Nvidias Blackwell chips to supercharge Japans AI and robotics sectors"
X Link 2025-03-15T06:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4/ SoftBanks Masayoshi Son at Nvidias AI Summit: Im passionate about AI robotics. We need to revive this passion bringing AI intelligence into robots. SoftBanks early massive order secured them first dibs on Blackwell chips"
X Link 2025-03-15T06:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"5/ Why SoftBank not OpenAI or Google Simple: they ordered early and big. SoftBank and Nvidia are also teaming up on a 5G-AI network for faster robot connectivity. Nvidias robotics foothold is growing stronger"
X Link 2025-03-15T06:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"9/ Nvidias HOVER neural network helps robots walk pick up objects and adapt to tasks without retraining. Tested on Unitrees H1 it learns a years worth of data in under an hour powering rapid robot deployment"
X Link 2025-03-15T06:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"10/ Companies like Agility Robotics Figure AI Boston Dynamics and Sanctuary use Nvidias Isaac platform. Huang at AI Summit India: Physical AI needs three computers: training (DGX) simulation (Omniverse) and robotics systems"
X Link 2025-03-15T06:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Pre-2013 Japan led the early push with Hondas ASIMO (launched in 2000). It could walk climb stairs and interact with peoplebut only in controlled settings. Progress stalled because classical robotics tech couldnt handle the complexity of real-world humanoids"
X Link 2025-03-28T01:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"20132021 Google & Boston Dynamics: Acquisition hype in [----] fizzled when Google shifted toward self-driving cars deeming humanoids too complex. SoftBank: Despite buying Boston Dynamics and Aldebaran it couldnt commercialize humanoids. Focus turned to industrial automation"
X Link 2025-03-28T01:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Level [--] Foundational Robotics Here comes General-Purpose Mobile Manipulation. Navigation meets dexterity. Robots can explore unstructured environments and handle everyday objects. This is where machines become potential drop-in replacements for human labor"
X Link 2025-03-28T04:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Level [--] Modular Robotics Picture an entire ecosystem of plug-and-play components. Different sensors arms and limbs can be swapped in or out. This modular approach cuts costs accelerates innovation and unlocks more specialized use cases"
X Link 2025-03-28T04:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Apple & the 30% App Store fee: Apple users face high switching costs (ecosystem lock-in iOS integration) Developers want access to affluent iPhone owners Despite criticism over the tax Apple rarely loses users or devs Hence they sustain power"
X Link 2025-03-30T02:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"TSMC (semiconductor foundry): Gigantic capex ( $10B/fab) for next-gen chips Long-term customer commitments help justify these investments They intentionally price so customers stay & guarantee future business Tech leadership + scale = formidable power"
X Link 2025-03-30T02:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"These upgrades make robots adaptable to unstructured environmentslike homes warehouses or even city streetsrather than specialized factory floors. Thats a huge shift because it moves beyond the caged pre-programmed arm era and into human worker replacement territory"
X Link 2025-03-31T05:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"SOFTWARE Unified AI & Simulation Robotics code was a tangle of small specialized modules. Foundation models: - Single neural architectures handling vision language and sensor fusion - High-fidelity simulations for training at scale cutting time gathering real-world data"
X Link 2025-03-31T05:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Enterprise-level infrastructure is finally emerging. Companies are building stable drivers containerized robotics stacks and serious dev tools for debugging real-time sensor data. Robust software ecosystems standard in mobile apps or cloud computingare crossing into robotics"
X Link 2025-03-31T05:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"First rewind to the early 1920s. Diabetes was a death sentence especially for kids. Treatment options were basically starve yourself. Everything changed in [----] when Dr. Frederick Banting & Charles Best at U. of Toronto extracted and isolated insulin for the first time"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Insulin was a literal lifesaver: Instead of starving to delay death diabetics could inject insulin and (for the first time) lead a more normal life. Soon the University of Toronto licensed mass production to Eli Lilly in the U.S. to meet global demand"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"World War II changed everything. Denmark fell under Nazi occupation in [----]. Nordisks export markets dried up (Allies = blocked sales) so it nearly went dormant. Novo however was instructed to supply insulin to Nazi-occupied Europe and massively ramped production"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Post-war Novo emerged much bigger while Nordisk struggled. But Nordisk eventually caught up with new forms of long-acting insulin and expansions abroad. Throughout the 70s they were #2 and #4 in the world battling each other and Eli Lilly"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"By the 1970s biotech was on the horizon. Genentech in the U.S. showed you could genetically engineer human insulin enabling scalable production without relying on pig or cow pancreases. Eli Lilly jumped in partnering with Genentech to launch Humulin"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Then came the next frontier: GLP-1 agonists. These are hormones that boost insulin production and reduce appetite. Seminal research in the 90s by Novos Lotte Bjerre Knudsen turned a once-dismissed GLP-1 concept into a new class of type [--] diabetes drugs"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Parallel path in the US: Scientists discovered exendin-4 (similar to GLP-1) in the Gila monsters venom This became Byetta (approved in [----] with Eli Lilly). But it required injections twice a daynot super convenient"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Why the mania Obesity is massive in the U.S.over 40% of adults are obese (BMI 30). Old weight-loss drugs had questionable safety records (think fen-phen). But semaglutide seemed safe had strong results and patients were desperate for options"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Following the success of semaglutide Eli Lilly launched Mounjaro (tirzepatide) for diabetes soon for weight loss as ZepBound. Some data suggest even greater weight loss than Wegovy. The whole GLP-1 category is now a new super-cycle in pharma"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:28Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PART [--] - Novo Nordisk Novos structure gives it huge R&D budgets. As a foundation-owned firm it invests deeply in next-gen obesity research new GLP-1 combos and possible expansions into heart disease kidney diseasesince GLP-1 might help beyond just weight & glucose"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Meanwhile insulin once the lifeblood for Novo is now only 22% of revenue. Biosimilars pricing pressure and the shift to GLP-1s have reshaped the insulin market. But semaglutide is driving new profitsand fueling Novo Nordisks stock to record highs"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Financially Novo Nordisk is a juggernaut: 84% gross margins over $10B in annual net income 69% of total revenue coming from GLP-1-based drugs. Market cap recently flirted with half a trillion dollarsmore than the GDP of Denmark"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Bull case: More than [--] billion overweight/obese people globally GLP-1s might help cardiovascular kidney Alzheimers etc. Chronic medication usage means recurring revenue Decades of R&D runway"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Pharma typically invests in narrow specialty areas. Novo Nordisk did the opposite: it stuck to mass metabolic diseasesonce a small market now huge due to the global diabetes & obesity epidemic. Their timing and relentless focus have paid off"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Societal discussions loom large: Should taxpayers or insurers cover these pricey but life-changing weight-loss drugs If they cut future heart attacks and diabetes complications the long-term cost savings could be hugebut who pays now"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Novo Nordisks story is a testament to: A Century of dedication The importance of stable mission-driven ownership The unpredictability of science and big markets (diabetes + obesity) Luck + skill in forging a new class of blockbuster drugs"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Today Novo Nordisk is a top [--] pharma by revenue andby market capEuropes largest company. All from two small Danish insulin makers that started off separated by a single street in Copenhagen at war over old pig pancreas extraction methods"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Part [--] - TSMC TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) is the worlds largest contract chip manufacturer. Founded in [----] by Dr. Morris Chang it has quietly become one of the most important companies on Earthbuilding the processors that power our modern world"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Morris Changs story is extraordinary. Born in [----] in Ningbo China he grew up amid war and turmoil. Fleeing conflicts he moved to Hong Kong back to mainland China and then ultimately to the U.S. where he studied at Harvard (briefly) before transferring to MIT"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"He earned bachelors and masters degrees in mechanical engineering at MIT then later got a PhD at Stanfordsponsored by his then-employer Texas Instruments (TI). Chang spent [--] years at TI rising to run their entire semiconductor business"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"In the late 1980s TSMCs first customers were giant chip companies who occasionally outsourced overflow manufacturing or older product lines. It wasnt stable business at first; as soon as those companies had extra capacity theyd pull back from TSMC"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Then the fabless era took flight. Qualcomm Broadcom NVIDIA and others rose in the 1990sdesigning chips but with no in-house manufacturing. TSMC became their go-to partner. TSMC soon realized that making chips for many customers drove huge volume and consistent learnings"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"TSMC invests tens of billions in CapEx annually. For [----] the plan was around $30B rising to $100B total over a three-year stretch. They have 40% operating marginsa phenomenal feat for a manufacturerand reinvest huge amounts back into R&D and new fabs"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"A vital TSMC relationship is with ASML a Dutch company making extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines. These $200M+ machines are among the most complex tools in existence using powerful lasers to super-fine-etch circuits. TSMC is their biggest customer"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"In [----] TSMC bet $9B on a dedicated fab for Apple devoting thousands of employees to get the line up fast. It turned into a massive success making iPhones A-series chips ever since. Apple is TSMCs biggest customer"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"NVIDIA AMD Qualcomm Broadcom and even Intel in some scenarios also rely on TSMC. GPUs for AI game consoles automotive chipsTSMC powers it all. Teslas self-driving chips are partly fabbed by Samsung but TSMC remains the go-to name for highest-volume advanced chips"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Financially TSMC is a behemoth. Revenue in [----] was $48B; net income $17B. Its grown 17% compounded annually for 25+ yearsan astonishing run from its [----] market cap of $4B to $500B+ today"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Morris Chang retired multiple times stepping down as CEO in [----] at age [--] returning in [----] then retiring again in [----] at [--]. Under his leadership TSMC redefined an entire industry. He famously never took founder shareshe later bought TSMC stock with personal funds"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"As we look ahead we see 5G AI self-driving cars AR/VR data centerseach requiring advanced processors. TSMCs roadmap including 3nm and future sub-3nm nodes puts them in prime position to supply the worlds demand"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Moores Law (transistors doubling every two years) and Rocks Law (fab costs doubling every four years) suggest that leading semiconductor manufacture inevitably consolidates. TSMCs scale and process power outrun rivals forming a near-monopoly at the top"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"One might say TSMC has grown quietly but in reality every smartphone user every console gamer every HPC or AI researcher relies on TSMC. They are integral to the daily functioning of the global economyyet remain behind the scenes"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Legendary founder Morris Changs life lesson: He bet on an industry model no one else believed in at an age when most retire. Pure-play foundry was ridiculed in the 1980s; its now the cornerstone of modern semiconductor manufacturing"
X Link 2025-04-02T10:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Founded in [----] TSMC was the brainchild of Morris Changwho started TSMC when he was [--] It has since become a trillion-dollar company powering everything from iPhones to AI data centers"
X Link 2025-04-03T12:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Morris Changs career began at Texas Instruments (TI) where he learned the art of semiconductor process technologyand business strategy. One major influence on him there was the concept of the learning curve as developed with Bill Bain and BCGs Bruce Henderson"
X Link 2025-04-03T12:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Morris recounts flying to Silicon Valley having salad and pizza at Jensens house and then at 8pm they moved to Jensens study. Chang put a single take-it-or-leave-it figure on the table good for [--] hours. NVIDIA accepted"
X Link 2025-04-03T12:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"TSMC was facing macro-level strategic decisions. Morris saw that the next big node after 40nm was 28nm which R&D believed was a sweet spot. However TSMC was dealing with a big wave of smartphone-driven demand. The board got nervous about huge capexbut Chang insisted"
X Link 2025-04-03T12:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Initially many told Morris it was a bad conceptfabless wasnt a thing yet so TSMCs initial customers were big integrated device manufacturers like Intel who only gave TSMC second-source or older tech runs. But Morris saw the future: design teams starting fabless companies"
X Link 2025-04-03T12:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Indeed that wave of fabless startups (Qualcomm Broadcom MediaTek NVIDIA and eventually Apples internal chip teams) validated TSMCs business model. The smartphone era supercharged TSMC. Later AI and cloud computing demand took TSMC to an even higher stratosphere"
X Link 2025-04-03T12:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@em013L Have you ever looked at/valued $SYM it has its red flags but also is quite beaten down + predictable revenue growth from backlog (at least for the next [--] years)"
X Link 2025-04-05T14:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@alojoh still dont understand why Exor would keep such big stake in Stellantis even when considering the legacy factor"
X Link 2025-04-11T11:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@em013L Duolingos Rev/FTE = 900k in FY24 although a fair point would be that its B2C unlike palantir"
X Link 2025-07-09T07:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@amitisinvesting happened with $SYM last month too"
X Link 2025-07-22T22:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@NolanAntonucci the trend seems to have improved in jul/aug"
X Link 2025-08-07T22:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"First a reset: digital platforms scale fast because serving one more user is cheap. But staying big is harder. Economics hinge on the network the platform orchestrates not internal ops"
X Link 2025-08-17T14:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"#1 Strength of network effects. Direct: more users = more value (your friends on Facebook). Cross-side: one group attracts the other (Uber riders drivers). But strength varies a lot by industry"
X Link 2025-08-17T14:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Consoles = weaker effects: you need a few hit games not thousands. A newcomer with a small tech edge + a couple hits can steal sharethink Xbox vs PlayStation cycles"
X Link 2025-08-17T14:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"#5 Network bridging. Winners connect networks to create flywheels. Alibaba bridged Alipay Taobao/Tmall; Ant Financial used commerce data for credit/loans which then fuel more commerce. Reinforcing loops beat stand-alone scale"
X Link 2025-08-17T14:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Investor takeaway: Dont underwrite scale; underwrite the network. Favor platforms with: strong & learning effects global clustering low disintermediation single-homing incentives and bridges into adjacent networks. These compound; the rest commoditize"
X Link 2025-08-17T14:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Antitrust lens: dont punish temporary dominance (its the prize that drives innovation). Do prevent privileged head starts; keep early standards/access fair"
X Link 2025-08-20T10:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Managers checklist: map feedback loops; name your complements; trade margin for flywheel speed; plan in waves (formats/tech) not quarters"
X Link 2025-08-20T10:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Attention & salience Crowded headlines get instant love; quiet filings get ignored. Vivid stories move price more than boring but important facts. Mispricing thrives in the footnotes"
X Link 2025-08-31T08:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Herding & narratives We copy each otherpartly from social proof partly career risk. Shared stories create correlated trades so errors dont cancel; they compound"
X Link 2025-08-31T08:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Constraints neutrality Short-sale limits borrow fees VaR/margin rules benchmark pressurethese dont just add friction. They make it hard to bet against bad prices so mistakes persist"
X Link 2025-08-31T08:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
/creator/twitter::proyandavid