# ![@Providenti64524 Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1921963557438050304.png) @Providenti64524 Providential Capital

Providential Capital posts on X about ai, stocks, momentum, basket the most. They currently have [--] followers and [--] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1921963557438050304/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1921963557438050304/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] +3,663%
- [--] Month [-----] +305%
- [--] Months [-----] +1,404%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1921963557438050304/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1921963557438050304/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)


### Followers: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1921963557438050304/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1921963557438050304/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +6.90%
- [--] Month [--] no change
- [--] Months [--] +210%

### CreatorRank: undefined [#](/creator/twitter::1921963557438050304/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1921963557438050304/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  [stocks](/list/stocks)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [social networks](/list/social-networks)  [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  [countries](/list/countries)  [currencies](/list/currencies)  [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  [celebrities](/list/celebrities) 

**Social topic influence**
[ai](/topic/ai), [stocks](/topic/stocks), [momentum](/topic/momentum), [basket](/topic/basket), [dead](/topic/dead), [software](/topic/software), [meme](/topic/meme), [$rum](/topic/$rum) #34, [trend](/topic/trend), [growth](/topic/growth)

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@stockthoughts81](/creator/undefined) [@clarksquarecap](/creator/undefined) [@vestaviacapital](/creator/undefined) [@tomsmith839](/creator/undefined) [@invest091](/creator/undefined) [@thebryanjun](/creator/undefined) [@investornick](/creator/undefined) [@thekapg](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Rumble Inc. Class A Common Stock (RUM)](/topic/$rum) [Brookfield Corporation (BN)](/topic/$bn) [Pinterest, Inc. (PINS)](/topic/$pins) [Snap, Inc. (SNAP)](/topic/$snap) [Reddit, Inc.  (RDDT)](/topic/$rddt) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Brookfield Asset Management Inc (BAM)](/topic/$bam) [Blue Owl Capital, Inc. (OWL)](/topic/$owl) [Rivian Automotive, Inc.  (RIVN)](/topic/$rivn) [VinFast Auto Ltd. Ordinary Shares (VFS)](/topic/$vfs) [Lucid Group Inc (LCID)](/topic/$lcid) [Gemini Space Station, Inc.  (GEMI)](/topic/$gemi) [Chime Financial, Inc (CHYM)](/topic/$chym) [Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL)](/topic/$crcl) [Klarna Group plc (KLAR)](/topic/$klar) [Crypterium (CRPT)](/topic/$crpt) [Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL)](/topic/$odfl) [Otis Worldwide Corp (OTIS)](/topic/$otis) [Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. (FIGR)](/topic/$figr) [IonQ, Inc. (IONQ)](/topic/$ionq) [D-Wave Quantum Inc. (QBTS)](/topic/$qbts) [Rigetti Computing, Inc. Common Stock (RGTI)](/topic/$rgti) [Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT)](/topic/$qubt) [Axe (AXE)](/topic/$axe)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"@VestaviaCapital Why is this inflecting Revenue growth is negative"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/1933295698776371629)  2025-06-12T22:49Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@stockthoughts81 $BN is very interesting. Happy to share thesis/more thoughts in DMs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/1933307208223056028)  2025-06-12T23:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@stockthoughts81 $BN is 10x more complicated than $BAM. But $BAM is trading roughly at fair value maybe slight discount and $BN is trading at a large discount to intrinsic value. $BN owns 73% of BAM and it accounts for 60-70% of the value of $BN. So probably start with $BAM before valuing $BN"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/1933308451717104091)  2025-06-12T23:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@TomSmith839 $OWL has never generated differentiated returns in private credit basically just private credit beta (or worse). $OWL employees say spreads will compress more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/1965189163864785137)  2025-09-08T23:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"I analyzed 80+ traveltech names. My conclusion: the industry is facing a "Great Bifurcation" from AI and a macro slowdown. The real opportunities are in defensible moats and B2B infrastructure not cyclical consumer names. Favorite names: $SKO $HBX JET2 and $HSW"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/1966695767835328613)  2025-09-13T02:49Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Currently wishing I was a GARP (growth at a ridiculous price) investor this year First slide from the global equities paper by Schroeder. Unprofitable companies have been the one of the best performing group this year. Even wilder companies with no revenue have outperform all groups by a minimum factor of 2x Its all about AI or fluff this year. https://t.co/4uQECFWZYK First slide from the global equities paper by Schroeder. Unprofitable companies have been the one of the best performing group this year. Even wilder companies with no revenue have outperform all groups by a minimum factor of 2x"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/1980477052739547587)  2025-10-21T03:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Regional banks are still interesting. I wonder if AI will narrow the gap between large and small banks. If technology becomes cheaper large bank tech stacks may no longer run circles around small banks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/2004186617649480138)  2025-12-25T13:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Long oil as an AI power proxy might be an interesting trade in [----]. Oil is trading below long-term inflation adjusted historical averages right now. It's continued to trend lower over the past few years. Secondary trade would be short airlines. Higher oil prices means higher fuel prices. Some of the high beta stuff has already run a lot and I wouldn't be surprised if that reverses in [----] - which would impact airlines significantly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/2004594304376078391)  2025-12-26T16:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"It's interesting to see the S&P underperforming this year despite more exposure to the AI theme. I think managers have reached a breaking point in terms of paying a higher multiple for the US vs. rest of the world. Also the Kospi has performed remarkably well on the back of South Korea corporate governance reform. There's probably more room for stuff to run in South Korea given how bad things have been"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/2004707854784028981)  2025-12-27T00:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"If I run a hedge fund eventually all my employees will be from Gen Alpha"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/2006806379613315217)  2026-01-01T19:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"On a lot of stocks you are making binary Kalshi-type bets without realizing it. I think trading on Kalshi can make you a better investor"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/2007169019481092211)  2026-01-02T19:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"The Economist's Country of the year is Syria. Now I want to be long Syrian banks. They're trading for 0.5x earnings and 0.2x book. I'd be interested in insurance too but I'm not sure how you underwrite anything in Syria. but then again these things were basically worth $0 before reform so after reform it's worth 10x 100x So insurance might have more upside. Half of the Syrian insurance companies are losing $$$. But those that are making money trade for 0.02-0.04x earnings according to the Syrian exchange website http://www.dse.gov.sy/issuer-company/index"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/2008523949131379181)  2026-01-06T13:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"It feels like long-term (5+ year) investing in large-cap US equities no longer works. The market is too competitive. To outperform consistently you need to increase IRR by shortening the holding period and relying on catalysts. More ideas (higher portfolio turnover) are required if the return per idea is lower. Maybe this is obvious but some people haven't accepted this fact imo. Personally I've tilted my focus to macro and themes because names with strong tailwinds tend to go up and to the right. Contrarian investing is less viable because the holding period is longer."  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/2012770044032287074)  2026-01-18T06:12Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Closing out the long quality (ASML) short garbage (quantum basket) trade. Return: +56.81% net. Quantum stocks are still worth nothing in my view but I think there's potential for them to rally this year. I think AI and low quality continue to move higher. The recent sell-off due to geopolitical concerns creates an opportunity to exit. My ASML position is no longer that interesting. It's much harder to make the math work at $1367/share (47x earnings). I believe there are better AI plays out there. It's probably okay to hold onto this one for longer but I want to close out the spread trade."  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/2014319384957948244)  2026-01-22T12:49Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Everyone's approach to shorting meme stocks is wrong. Stop focusing on the current mania. The most asymmetric shorts are the companies the market has already forgotten about. Think EV names down 90%+ that still look wildly overvalued. $RIVN $LCID $WKHS $VFS $HYLN etc. Read the full deep dive to learn more. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015849719033967030 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015849719033967030"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/2015849719033967030)  2026-01-26T18:10Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"In [----] a bunch of speculative names IPO'd at ridiculous valuations. Some of the crypto names come to mind first. I think AI continues to run but these get weeded out. $GEMI $CRCL etc. I think the [----] repeat holds for Fintech more broadly as well. We can throw names like $KLAR and $CHYM in there. It's also worth throwing crypto treasury pivot plays into the garbage pile. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2005003248663449813 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2005003248663449813"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/2005003248663449813)  2025-12-27T19:50Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@invest091 Prob time to start buying insurance brokers soon"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/2016563478274756639)  2026-01-28T17:26Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@thebryanjun Whats your project/coin of choice after earlybird"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Providenti64524/status/2019511842981442045)  2026-02-05T20:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Short $RUM. Dead meme stock. "Freedom first" trend is losing momentum. Trading for 16x revenue (basically priced like it's going to be the next YT). Growth decelerating. Declining MAUs. Burning through cash + will have to raise capital eventually. Belongs with lower-quality social media platforms like $PINS and $SNAP. Reminds me of Mixer trying to disrupt Twitch. They spent so much $$$ on influencers and eventually closed it down. YT is a great business for a reason. Huge moat. I also think $RUM is like $TMTJ in that it trades like a Trump proxy. So if Trump leaves office $RUM loses a lot of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021034594493927463)  2026-02-10T01:32Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"Many of the expensive "compounder" businesses not exposed to AI have underperformed recently - $CRPT $ODFL $OTIS etc. Those businesses still look expensive but I'm seeing quality businesses within financials still at good prices"  
[X Link](https://x.com/provideresearch/status/2005833441380544792)  2025-12-30T02:48Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"I see people on X buying $RDDT but remember what ChatGPT did to Stack Overflow Stack Overflow Search Interest (Google Trends): https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022013977186668927 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022013977186668927"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022013977186668927)  2026-02-12T18:24Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Short $RUM thesis. The rotation out of software and low quality stocks also hurts Rumble. @ClarkSquareCap Short $RUM. Dead meme stock. "Freedom first" trend is losing momentum. Trading for 16x revenue (basically priced like it's going to be the next YT). Growth decelerating. Declining MAUs. Burning through cash + will have to raise capital eventually. Belongs with lower-quality @ClarkSquareCap Short $RUM. Dead meme stock. "Freedom first" trend is losing momentum. Trading for 16x revenue (basically priced like it's going to be the next YT). Growth decelerating. Declining MAUs. Burning through"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022027197016580357)  2026-02-12T19:17Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@Investor_NICK_ PINS exists to transfer wealth from shareholders to employees via SBC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/provideresearch/status/2022155788962385935)  2026-02-13T03:48Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Throwing $FIGR on the watchlist after the recent pullback. Seems like one of the higher quality crypto names. Position would have to be small because it's obviously correlated with crypto. Crypto gets crushed if the AI trade rolls over"  
[X Link](https://x.com/provideresearch/status/2020376616115789920)  2026-02-08T05:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Creating an investment themes tier list. First up: Quantum Computing. Rating: E-Tier. A thread 🧵 Thesis: 1) I think capital flows out of tech and low-quality stocks short-term. 2) Longer term there are lots of problems for quantum. Note: upgrade if sentiment shifts. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021366613476364751 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021366613476364751"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021366613476364751)  2026-02-10T23:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"(1/7) The quantum basket sold off recently. Claude's plugin release caused a rotation out of high beta stocks. Also tech has been selling off since October. I think quantum and other low-quality businesses became very overvalued so there's lots of downside still. There's no fundamentals to support the stock - quantum stocks are just trading vehicles at this point. It's not useful to detail the (nonexistent) fundamentals because quantum stocks don't trade off fundamentals. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021366615422443956 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021366615422443956"  
[X Link](https://x.com/provideresearch/status/2021366615422443956)  2026-02-10T23:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"(2/7) A large chunk of the market is long momentum. Momentum still looks relatively healthy for the quantum basket. Basket names: $IONQ $QBTS $RGTI $QUBT $QNC $FCCN $ARQQ $ZPTA $AXE $CCCXU $CHAC $BTQ $LAES. However 3-month momentum is starting to look shaky. I think retail and institutional investors focused on momentum are beginning to look elsewhere. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021366617163071745 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021366617163071745"  
[X Link](https://x.com/provideresearch/status/2021366617163071745)  2026-02-10T23:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"(3/7) Another snapshot of the quantum basket. I couldn't find a quantum stock with a market cap of $50 million. It goes to show how frothy the space is. many of these will likely be 0s long term"  
[X Link](https://x.com/provideresearch/status/2021366620069789881)  2026-02-10T23:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"(4/7) If tech stocks trade sideways this year I think quantum will perform poorly. Quantum might fall further out of favor because if prices are flat for one month Quantum drops out of the high-momentum category"  
[X Link](https://x.com/provideresearch/status/2021366622749913417)  2026-02-10T23:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"(5/7) If prices are flat for three months quantum falls further out of the high-momentum category. The fundamentals are terrible so without momentum there's no bid for these names"  
[X Link](https://x.com/provideresearch/status/2021366624989626434)  2026-02-10T23:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"(6/7) Quantum is a great short when we get a serious AI CapEx scare (sort of now). CapEx will eventually peak. Investors will start to question ROI. The AI bubble deflates. Quantum gets crushed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021366626709324094)  2026-02-10T23:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"(7/7) Momentum seems to go for longer than expected in both directions for retail investor-heavy stocks. Lots of these aren't worth much so we just have to wait for stock prices to move in our direction. Thesis risk: narrative shift. It's possible that AI CapEx fears and "software is dead" fears blow over and capital flows back to tech. If that happens I'll have to upgrade the quantum basket to A or B tier. My view is that software companies had high starting valuations. Lots of software is commoditized. More downside to go. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021366628051496986"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021366628051496986)  2026-02-10T23:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Upgrading quantum basket to C tier. Worried about rotation back into software"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022321931240845774)  2026-02-13T14:48Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Track Record and Current Ideas https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aEq5H450VtGwcIvUDdr1nJ2GLZABEYusupzzhDGEDfE/editusp=sharing https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aEq5H450VtGwcIvUDdr1nJ2GLZABEYusupzzhDGEDfE/editusp=sharing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1928263542760755322)  2025-05-30T01:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Upgrading quantum basket to C tier. Worried about rotation back into software"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022321931240845774)  2026-02-13T14:48Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Short $RUM thesis. The rotation out of software and low quality stocks also hurts Rumble. @ClarkSquareCap Short $RUM. Dead meme stock. "Freedom first" trend is losing momentum. Trading for 16x revenue (basically priced like it's going to be the next YT). Growth decelerating. Declining MAUs. Burning through cash + will have to raise capital eventually. Belongs with lower-quality @ClarkSquareCap Short $RUM. Dead meme stock. "Freedom first" trend is losing momentum. Trading for 16x revenue (basically priced like it's going to be the next YT). Growth decelerating. Declining MAUs. Burning through"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022027197016580357)  2026-02-12T19:17Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Short $RUM. Dead meme stock. "Freedom first" trend is losing momentum. Trading for 16x revenue (basically priced like it's going to be the next YT). Growth decelerating. Declining MAUs. Burning through cash + will have to raise capital eventually. Belongs with lower-quality social media platforms like $PINS and $SNAP. Reminds me of Mixer trying to disrupt Twitch. They spent so much $$$ on influencers and eventually closed it down. YT is a great business for a reason. Huge moat. I also think $RUM is like $TMTJ in that it trades like a Trump proxy. So if Trump leaves office $RUM loses a lot of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021034594493927463)  2026-02-10T01:32Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"I see people on X buying $RDDT but remember what ChatGPT did to Stack Overflow Stack Overflow Search Interest (Google Trends): https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022013977186668927 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022013977186668927"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022013977186668927)  2026-02-12T18:24Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Questions Asked Over Time:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022013980353368111)  2026-02-12T18:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Adding the unprofitable EV basket to my thematic tier list. Rating: F-Tier. A thread🧵 1) EVs will do poorly in the current environment (rotation out of low-quality names). 2) If the environment changes and AI starts ripping again money rotates out of EVs into AI names"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022010213792915707)  2026-02-12T18:09Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"(4/5) Catalysts 1) Most of these companies will have to raise equity in a worsening environment 2) Creditors won't be happy when the debt has to get refinanced in a worsening environment 3) Expiration of US tax credits in late [----]. Topline will be challenged for the basket in 2026"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022010225545314370)  2026-02-12T18:09Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"(5/5) I initially covered this idea on January 25th 2026"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022010227147911486)  2026-02-12T18:09Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Tesla will acquire SpaceX after it goes public so Elon can hit his incentive compensation targets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021774709960933633)  2026-02-12T02:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Poker analogy to investing that I haven't heard: In order to exploit your opponent in poker you need to understand GTO. Understanding GTO allows you to compare your opponent's decisions to what they should've done. By understanding their mistakes you can exploit them. The same idea applies to investing. You need to understand what "GTO" is (how investors are supposed to price securities react to news etc.). What's potentially more important and not fully appreciated is understanding what your opponent is doing. To make money off of other investors (quant shops pod shops hedge funds retail"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021556573064270335)  2026-02-11T12:07Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Creating an investment themes tier list. First up: Quantum Computing. Rating: E-Tier. A thread 🧵 Thesis: 1) I think capital flows out of tech and low-quality stocks short-term. 2) Longer term there are lots of problems for quantum. Note: upgrade if sentiment shifts. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021366613476364751 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021366613476364751"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021366613476364751)  2026-02-10T23:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"(6/7) Quantum is a great short when we get a serious AI CapEx scare (sort of now). CapEx will eventually peak. Investors will start to question ROI. The AI bubble deflates. Quantum gets crushed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021366626709324094)  2026-02-10T23:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"(7/7) Momentum seems to go for longer than expected in both directions for retail investor-heavy stocks. Lots of these aren't worth much so we just have to wait for stock prices to move in our direction. Thesis risk: narrative shift. It's possible that AI CapEx fears and "software is dead" fears blow over and capital flows back to tech. If that happens I'll have to upgrade the quantum basket to A or B tier. My view is that software companies had high starting valuations. Lots of software is commoditized. More downside to go. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021366628051496986"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021366628051496986)  2026-02-10T23:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

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