# ![@YourMacroGuy Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::2013095752516399104.png) @YourMacroGuy YourMacroGuy

YourMacroGuy posts on X about ai, we are, debt, liquidity the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::2013095752516399104/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2013095752516399104/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [------] -66%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::2013095752516399104/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2013095752516399104/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] -23%

### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::2013095752516399104/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2013095752516399104/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [---] +8.30%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::2013095752516399104/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::2013095752516399104/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  61.17% [stocks](/list/stocks)  19.42% [countries](/list/countries)  13.59% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  13.59% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  10.68% [currencies](/list/currencies)  5.83% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  1.94% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  1.94% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  0.97%

**Social topic influence**
[ai](/topic/ai) 13.59%, [we are](/topic/we-are) 13.59%, [debt](/topic/debt) 10.68%, [liquidity](/topic/liquidity) 7.77%, [gold](/topic/gold) 7.77%, [the new](/topic/the-new) 6.8%, [trade](/topic/trade) #3787, [$gld](/topic/$gld) 5.83%, [japan](/topic/japan) 4.85%, [$btc](/topic/$btc) #1955

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@zerohedge](/creator/undefined) [@kobeissiletter](/creator/undefined) [@globalmktobserv](/creator/undefined) [@deitaone](/creator/undefined) [@dudewhoinvests](/creator/undefined) [@investingcom](/creator/undefined) [@coinbureau](/creator/undefined) [@barkmeta](/creator/undefined) [@wallstreetmav](/creator/undefined) [@barchart](/creator/undefined) [@jessecoheninv](/creator/undefined) [@business](/creator/undefined) [@thegladiatorhc](/creator/undefined) [@dividenddollar](/creator/undefined) [@davidle76335983](/creator/undefined) [@intocryptoverse](/creator/undefined) [@coinmarketcap](/creator/undefined) [@connorjbates](/creator/undefined) [@mbaeconomics1](/creator/undefined) [@nostredamus](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD)](/topic/$gld) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/$btc) [Vixco (VIX)](/topic/$vix) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl) [Intuit Inc. (INTU)](/topic/$intu) [Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase) [CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW)](/topic/$cxw) [Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB)](/topic/$alab) [Arista Networks Inc (ANET)](/topic/$anet) [Italian National Football Team Fan Token (ITA)](/topic/$ita)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"The Dow just hit [-----] and the timeline is acting like we solved Geopolitics. Lets do a reality check on the bounce: [--]. The Hormuz Shadow: Iran tensions didn't vanish because Nvidia pumped 7%. [--]. The Capex Trap: Amazon is still spending $200B on AI with "uncertain" ROI. [--]. The Trap: We just saw Bitcoin drop from $126k to $67k in months. [--]. The Dollar: Underlying causes for US Debt and $USD weakness have not disappeared. Price is a liar in a high-liquidity environment. If youre buying the 50k breakout without looking at the 10-year yield or the Strait of Hormuz you aren't trading youre hoping."  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2019895203402822112)  2026-02-06T22:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@CoinMarketCap The data shows that the Coinbase Premium has remained negative for [--] consecutive days suggesting that it is institutional uncertainty not retail panic that is driving this $60k-$70k floor test. $BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2022813050093416512)  2026-02-14T23:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@ConnorJBates_ If you aren't managing your position size you're a sitting duck in a high-vol world. Pay attention to $VIX and enter positions accordingly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2022814183155175437)  2026-02-14T23:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"4/8 - The 2nd-Order AI Trade Nvidia was the 1st order. 2nd order: Power and Infrastructure. We are long Energy ($URA $USO) Industrials ($VIS) and Hard Assets ($GLD $COPX $XME) as the US goes all-in on AI to try and spike GDP growth to out-run the debt problem"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018679045479714973)  2026-02-03T13:32Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@DudeWhoInvests if you're hanging out with people who trade 0DTE options on credit cards don't be surprised when you start rationalizing "one more gamble." if you're hanging out with people who think in decades you'll start planting trees instead of just looking for shade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2023242152847794285)  2026-02-16T03:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@barkmeta Unconfirmed reports of a massive institutional desk in Singapore accidentally executing a "market sell" on a $50B basket of commodity derivatives into thin pre-market liquidity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2016925821525512345)  2026-01-29T17:26Z [---] followers, 15.2K engagements


"@MBAeconomics1 With Registered stocks depleted to 105m oz the 4:1 paper-to-physical gap is officially unbridgeable. The 31% crash on Friday was the systemic incineration of the over-leveraged long positions that the CME couldn't afford to settle"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2017677571320680494)  2026-01-31T19:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@barkmeta The state is stacking. You don't build a 'vault' when the currency is stable. Paper silver is an exit liquidity trap physical is the only destination. Long $PSLV & $GLD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018489482928869552)  2026-02-03T00:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@WallStreetMav 61% support = political cover for the largest logistical operation in history. wages up housing supply back margins under fire. Bet on the infrastructure that handles the exit. $CXW"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018505818656682429)  2026-02-03T02:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@Nostre_damus Volatility was on purpose and served a purpose. Paper hands got out at the sub-$85 silvers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018883656513966444)  2026-02-04T03:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Barchart 50k is a psychological exit. Crossing the [-----] threshold isn't a victory lap; its a massive re-weighting event triggered by a sudden influx of sentiment-driven retail capital into the narrowest leverage thresholds on record"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020290200098804027)  2026-02-08T00:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@JesseCohenInv @Investingcom While the headline mentions $80B the real convexity cliff sits at the [----] mark where systematic leverage thresholds trigger a $400B cascading liquidation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020608935028572179)  2026-02-08T21:21Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@GlobalMktObserv Takaichi just nuked the status quo. This landslide "tax cut" story is a structural pivot to a high-spend Fortress Japan model that effectively abandons traditional deficit control"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020609213412839771)  2026-02-08T21:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Investingcom 2/3 is the "Nuclear Option" for the BoJ. With a supermajority Takaichi no longer needs consensus to override the central banks independence"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020609493877358621)  2026-02-08T21:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@TaviCosta @zerohedge [----] is the new [----]. This "Accord" is a formal surrender of autonomy signaling the Fed will now prioritize the $1.2T interest-expense problem over price stability turning $5000 gold into a generational "Warsh-proof" floor. $GLD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020636016030449777)  2026-02-08T23:09Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@WallStreetMav Claude AI has the potential to disrupt all companies and not just H1B staffing companies"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020704522549817524)  2026-02-09T03:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Forbes Capex is the new moat but only if AI eventually generates huge returns. OpenAIs projected $14B(+) loss this year is simply the premium paid to maybe** get outperformance in the decade following"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020706718016229793)  2026-02-09T03:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@zerohedge Liquidity coordination is the only exit. Treasury buybacks are effectively capping the 10Y at 4.2% to offset the $34T debt wall turning deficit control into a stealth easing cycle. Long $TLT over the short-term but very bearish long term"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020707039341941228)  2026-02-09T03:51Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@coinbureau The 55% crypto tax is a dead-man-walking. Takaichis shift to a 20% separate levy would unlock a $3.2T domestic savings pool instantly resetting Japans leverage thresholds for the digital era. This is very bullish for $BTC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020707256673931323)  2026-02-09T03:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@Stocktwits The compute-lag is over. 70% of these tickers are trading on [----] optics while ignoring the [----] collateral-chains reset. Pay close attention to $ALAB and $ANET as they are the only real proxies for the physical-layer bid"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020707551252566436)  2026-02-09T03:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@business Private credit is the new backstop for the [----] reshoring cycle. Canadian Solars pivot to bespoke debt avoids the bank-driven constraints that are currently strangling the sector's $6.4B debt stack while maintaining a $3.1B storage backlog. Bullish for $CSIQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020708748441104805)  2026-02-09T03:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@JesseCohenInv @Investingcom Maybe $GLD & $PSLV got ahead of themselves in Jan but we are expecting continued upwards pressure throughout the rest of 2026"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020886961502978175)  2026-02-09T15:46Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@zerohedge deterrence is the only growth engine. watch the 1.5T pivot. Long $ITA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020887188016079077)  2026-02-09T15:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@zerohedge 70% of global DRAM is gone. Goldmans warning on the memory bottleneck is the final nail for the PC/Mobile sector as data centers now absorb 70% of total production to feed the HBM3e/DDR5 vacuum"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020917561169199351)  2026-02-09T17:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter supply is crashing and tax refunds are spiking. used cars are the new inflation trade. $CVNA will be interesting short term"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020923189094932630)  2026-02-09T18:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"10.1B profit on a 0% cost-of-capital. Tethers [----] audit confirmed they are now the 17th largest holder of US Treasuries ($122B direct $141B including repos) effectively operating as a high-yield hedge fund with a free liability base. This will develop into a highly competitive space so we are neutral on Tether at the moment. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020923463356096901 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020923463356096901"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020923463356096901)  2026-02-09T18:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@DeItaone The $31T "Debt-to-Currency" Divergence. Kaplan isn't trading a commodity cycle; hes pricing the end-game of the $1.2T annual US interest expense. Long $GLD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020924239172468800)  2026-02-09T18:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Barchart the divorce is final. china is selling the debt buying the metal and exiting the dollar. king dollar is naked. Buy $PSLV"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2021021203646095815)  2026-02-10T00:39Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@nickgerli1 The Affordability Chasm. The audience is reacting to the "Broken Ladder" of American homeownership. The $24000 "Income-to-Access" gap has moved from a temporary spike to a structural blockade effectively freezing the bottom 80% of the population out of the property market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2021023179821678952)  2026-02-10T00:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter The "Alignment Gap" is the new structural recession. The drop in degree-to-job alignment from 26% to 20% is the smoking gun"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2021297606983405860)  2026-02-10T18:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The $4/bbl Geopolitical Floor. Brent crude is currently holding just below $69/bbl buoyed by a $3$4 war risk premium that was non-existent in Q4 [----]. The arrival of the USS Abraham Lincoln CSG with a second carrier now potentially joining from the Mediterranean signals a physical threat to the Strait of Hormuz the artery for 20% of global petroleum. While BloombergNEF base-cases oil at $55/bbl for [----] a "Hormuz Event" flips the script to a $91/bbl target by Q4. Long $XLE regardless of a deal or not. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021298296023650631"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2021298296023650631)  2026-02-10T19:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The $1 Trillion "Agentic" Drawdown. The February sell-off which saw the S&P Software & Services index shed $1T in market cap was triggered by the convergence of Anthropics "Task-Automator" and the Hazel Advisory Platform. Unlike 2024s chatbots these are "Agentic" models capable of executing complex financial planning and legal filings without human oversight. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021298549569241188 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021298549569241188"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2021298549569241188)  2026-02-10T19:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter The "Jobless Boom" Paradox. We are entering a phase where the "Bad News is Good News" trade has mutated. Consumers expect to lose their jobs (50%) yet they expect their 401ks to rise (50%) because they anticipate the "AI-Efficiency Dividend.""  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2021323326950363360)  2026-02-10T20:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"A 17-Year Floor is breached. On February [--] [----] Beijing officially directed domestic banks to curb new US Treasury purchases and pare existing exposure citing "concentration risk" and a potential $5000/oz gold re-rating. While official PBOC reserves remain at $682.6B (the lowest since 2008) the "Shadow Sell" via custodial accounts in Belgium and Europe has effectively halved China's peak grip. With the 10Y yield pinned at 4.23% the "Bond Vigilante" of [----] isn't a hedge fund it's the second-largest economy in the world exiting the dollar rail. Very bearish for $TLT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2021323551786020903)  2026-02-10T20:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@DeItaone Gold is the only "Un-printable" Currency. This isn't just about geopolitics; it's about the "Unexhausted Reserve Diversification" trend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2021349069520802178)  2026-02-10T22:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@coinbureau tom lee is buying the blood. while retail flees the -62% crash bitmine is stacking 140k eth in a single 5-hour window. it's not a trade; it's a takeover of the ethereum consensus layer"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2021433036844433709)  2026-02-11T03:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The "Jobless Boom" is a Margin Play. This is the first time in modern history we've seen "through the roof" GDP growth alongside 17-year highs in unemployment expectations. The reason Efficiency is replacing Headcount. The [----] economy is characterized by "Credential Displacement" where college grads are taking 8% pay cuts to work jobs that don't require degrees. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021433708788531250 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021433708788531250"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2021433708788531250)  2026-02-11T03:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@AshCrypto As the Fed-Treasury Accord continues to devalue the dollar these ETFs are acting as a "Capital Vacuum" sucking up the [---] BTC produced daily plus any "paper hands" sell-side volume"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2021434852692853040)  2026-02-11T04:03Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The "Money Flow" Ghost. Martis is spot-on about the "Money Flow" moving out. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) on the weekly chart has turned negative even as KRE tests its $74 resistance. This suggests that "Smart Money" is using the current "Trump Deregulation" euphoria as exit liquidity. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021435642945667184 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021435642945667184"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2021435642945667184)  2026-02-11T04:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Crypto just hit the "Sell the Fact" wall. The $90B wipeout happened because BTC can't survive at $70k without the promise of cheap liquidity. When the unemployment rate dipped to 4.3% the "Fed Save" vanished. $66k is now the floor if it breaks the next stop is the $60k "Saylor Support." Short $BTC in the short term https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021625135648621042 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021625135648621042"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2021625135648621042)  2026-02-11T16:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The "Anti-Fiat" Divorce. We are seeing a rare divergence today: Gold is holding steady at $5050 while Bitcoin is being treated purely as a "High-Beta Tech Stock." The nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair has introduced a "Hawkish Bias" that the crypto market wasn't prepared for. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021625311587098665 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021625311587098665"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2021625311587098665)  2026-02-11T16:40Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@ashen_one The "Local AGI" Coaster. We are witnessing the "OpenClaw" effect. Since the viral release of agentic local frameworks in early January the tech-native crowd has realized that paying $20/month for ChatGPT is a "tax on the tech-illiterate." Long $AAPL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2022541330753220967)  2026-02-14T05:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@TradingComposur This is true but markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. So while you may have a high probability trade timing can make or break the entire thing. We need to stay in high probability trades that are hedged"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2022543172568834554)  2026-02-14T05:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@dougboneparth The rising student loan delinquencies are not getting the attention they deserve. Student loan defaults could cascade into credit card defaults auto loan defaults and massively weakened consumer spending"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2022545755479699473)  2026-02-14T05:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@LibertyCappy @alifarhat79 Both sides are using Huawei as a shield to hide their true goal: controlling who gets to be the "U.S. Champion" of the next decade. Watching $CSCO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2022546807063220399)  2026-02-14T05:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter Inflows are a lagging indicator not a leading one. Everyone is pile-driving into Europe and Japan after the [----] catch-up trade. If the Fed pauses while the ECB keeps cutting doesn't the US $771M "trickle" become the ultimate contrarian buy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2015167542331838843)  2026-01-24T20:59Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@unusual_whales The +130k jobs headline is a headfake. The real story is the 108k people who got their pink slips in a single month while the "Accord" tries to tell us everything is fine. Watch the credit card defaults next $XLY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2022542354834501646)  2026-02-14T05:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@joecarlsonshow Buying the 10-year low on Intuit is a bet on the "Regulatory Barrier" which is the only thing AI can't disrupt with a better prompt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2022548526287249858)  2026-02-14T05:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"This effectively reveals that the U.S. economy has been operating with a 1.2% smaller labor force than previously modeled. This somewhat explains why 10-year Treasury yields spiked to 4.22%: the Fed isn't fighting a "robust" economy; they are managing a "fragile" one where productivity is being squeezed out of fewer workers via AI. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022812619342795041 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022812619342795041"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2022812619342795041)  2026-02-14T23:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@coinbureau Everyone is staring at the 10Y yield. don't get chopped up in the "equilibrium" range; wait for the ratio to start climbing to confirm the next leg. Watching $MSTR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2022813664890265998)  2026-02-14T23:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The End of the "Yen Carry" and the Rise of the Energy Put. 1/ Japan & The Yen: BOJs Kazuyuki Masu just signaled that 0.75% is the floor. With 10-year JGBs hitting 2.25% the "Yen Carry Trade" is officially on life support. The So What: If Japan normalizes by April expect a violent repatriation of capital. This isn't just about the Yen; its a liquidity vacuum for US Treasuries and Mega-cap tech. $JPYUSD 2/ Trump vs. The Fed: The nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair is a "Hawkish Reset." Markets are scaling back rate-cut bets as the administration prioritizes a 10% credit card interest cap and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020635658977530361)  2026-02-08T23:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Has anyone ever put together an analysis on how companies that have Super Bowl ads perform on the Monday following Im kind of joking"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020707769997983850)  2026-02-09T03:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"This could unlock $3T+ off sidelined capital which could be the bull-signal that $BTC needs. Well continue to monitor and share positions. 🚨JAPAN ELECTION COULD IMPACT CRYPTO Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is staking her political future on turning 6080% approval ratings into a parliamentary majority that could fast-track crypto reforms. Markets are watching closely for signals on crypto taxes stablecoin rules https://t.co/6klc9YN33v 🚨JAPAN ELECTION COULD IMPACT CRYPTO Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is staking her political future on turning 6080% approval ratings into a parliamentary"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020708469016576200)  2026-02-09T03:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The "Sovereign Orchestrator" Strategy. Apple isn't trying to build the loudest model; they are building the Personal Intelligence Infrastructure. With the Siri [---] overhaul slated for May [----] Apple is moving away from a single-model dependency (OpenAI) to a multi-partner ecosystem. Why do we ever doubt $AAPL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2022541110841647109)  2026-02-14T05:19Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@Dousek_Equity @DudeWhoInvests Thats right. The debt is also mostly unproductive debt (credit cards) or a result colleges raising prices due to federally guarantees (student loan debt)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2022806824974446983)  2026-02-14T22:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@WSJ When companies cut 108k people in [--] days while the Nasdaq is at [-----] its a Margin Play not a growth play. The "Job Hugging" era is over; the "Survival of the Most Automated" has begun. Long $VIX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2022813316834320698)  2026-02-14T23:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@eliant_capital Legacy Data Centers: Used roughly [----] to [-----] tons of copper per facility. AI Hyperscale Campuses (1GW+): These are now swallowing up to [-----] tons per site. The Math: One large AI facility now requires as much copper as [------] Electric Vehicles. Long $COPX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2022814543001391577)  2026-02-14T23:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"2026 isn't just another year in the bull cycle. Its the year of the "Multi-Polar Pivot." While the consensus is chasing 12% S&P returns the real alpha is hidden in the transition from USD hegemony to resource-backed stability. Here is our [----] Investment Thesis. 🧵"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018678539986370609)  2026-02-03T13:30Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"6/8 - We are structurally bullish on the "Nearshore Trade" $ILF (Latin America 40): Up 10%+ YTD as capital flees Asia for the Americas. $EWZ (Brazil): A play on commodity tailwinds and the new EU-Mercosur trade deal. $COLO (Colombia): The primary lender & beneficiary of a Venezuela re-build. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018679298635293054 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018679298635293054"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018679298635293054)  2026-02-03T13:33Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The last [--] hours just proved your "diversified" portfolio is actually one giant "Long Liquidity" trade. When SaaS multiples compress Bitcoin liquidates. When Bitcoin liquidates Gold is sold to pay the bill. We aren't in a bear market; we are in a Margin Call Cascade. The AI ROI narrative just hit a wall called "Capex Reality." If youre still holding 40x P/E software names expecting an AI miracle you aren't an investor you're the liquidity for the exit. Most are watching the Fed. Im watching the $MSTR premium and the Silver basis. When the "winners" stop being sold to pay for the "losers""  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2019597535099162712)  2026-02-06T02:22Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"1/ Why $ILF is the most underrated trade of [----]. While everyone watches $NVDA Latin America quietly beat the Mag [--] by 25% in [----]. But the real move hasn't even started. Heres why were hyper-bullish on $ILF. 2/ The Donroe Doctrine (Trump 2.0). Washington has officially stopped ignoring its "backyard." The reassertion of the Monroe Doctrine dubbed the "Donroe Doctrine" is shifting the region from a Chinese resource hub back into a US-aligned security and resource corridor. 3/ The Jan [----] "Operation Absolute Resolve" in Venezuela was the catalyst. It signaled the end of multipolar drift. For"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2020919718337544312)  2026-02-09T17:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"While current AI CapEx commitments seem like the only correct decision in a world with 130%+ US Debt-to-GDP and intense competition with China it is hard to see the light at the end of this tunnel. If they fail to make the tech or develop a sustainable profit model then they will never see a return that comes anywhere close to justifying the CapEx spend. Massive bankruptcies and a recession follows resulting in runaway Debt-to-GDP and $USD losing reserve status severely threatening US hegemony. If they succeed and build a tech so good that companies lay-off massive amounts of employees and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2022551353441050700)  2026-02-14T05:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@felixprehn Good list but we disagree on Intuit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2023242838327075222)  2026-02-16T03:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@GlobalMktObserv minus 413k productive jobs. the headline is a lie. the service reset is here. allocate accordingly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2023244727013818636)  2026-02-16T03:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@FT The USD doesn't die by choice; it dies via Fiscal Dominance. Xi isn't competing with the Fed; he's waiting for the $35T interest expense to incinerate the Treasurys credibility. Does the mBridge rollout signal the terminal phase of the SWIFT monopoly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018030024654246199)  2026-02-01T18:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@BRICSinfo The [----] pivot to interest-bearing e-CNY isn't a pilot; it's a sovereign debt suction"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018064121837584808)  2026-02-01T20:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@DudeWhoInvests Truflation dipping toward 1.7% while the Fed funds rate sits in restrictive territory is a recipe for a systemic hard landing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018064404948914634)  2026-02-01T20:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@GlobalMktObserv The drop in BoJ holdings to 48% marks the terminal phase of the "Widow Maker" trade. With JGB 10-year yields hitting 2.35% a 27-year high we are seeing a systemic re-pricing of global risk-free rates"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018064632158499122)  2026-02-01T20:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@profstonge Youre describing a classic Productivity Arbitrage but its a double-edged sword. When real GDP growth outstrips M2 by [--] basis points you aren't just achieving "price stability" you are creating a massive liquidity vacuum"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018065052159381796)  2026-02-01T20:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter A record 32.4% allocation isn't a milestone; its a saturation point. With $20.8T in foreign hands the US equity market is no longer just a domestic asset class it's the worlds primary collateral"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018065268367315300)  2026-02-01T20:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@zerohedge Schlegels threshold is just a sophisticated way of saying the SNB is out of bullets. If the ECB cuts first make sure you factor in the terminal decay of the CHF/EUR carry trade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018385470485405953)  2026-02-02T18:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@zerohedge You can't shrink a balance sheet while the debt pile grows at record speed. the math doesn't work. Long gold is the only exit from a central bank that is effectively trapped. $GLD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018386144900088221)  2026-02-02T18:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The $84 handle wasnt a peak; it was a Gamma Flip executed with surgical precision. The LBMA snapshot "roll over" is the classic mechanism for inventory harvesting. Banks arent just selling; they are arbitrage-flushing the weak hands to resolve the Negative Carry on their unallocated books. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018390790158926218 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018390790158926218"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018390790158926218)  2026-02-02T18:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@FinanceLancelot If the "5D chess" is so perfect why is the Treasury ignoring the massive cross-collateralization between these entities You call it revenge; I call it a Gamma Flip on private AI valuations"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018490029958431060)  2026-02-03T01:01Z [---] followers, 11.2K engagements


"2/8 - Currency & The $DXY Leak The $DXY just broke [----] a 4-year low. Fed: [--] rate cuts coming in H1 (Target: 3.25%). BRICS: Internal local currency trade has hit the 50% milestone. The "Yield Advantage" of the USD is evaporating. We are positioned for a softer dollar through Q2. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018678748376158354 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018678748376158354"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018678748376158354)  2026-02-03T13:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"7/8 - The "Rearmament Cycle" Defense Rebuilding Defense is no longer a "budget item" its a prerequisite for sovereignty. We are seeing a global coordinated rebuilding of the industrial base: USA: $900B+ NDAA with a "Golden Dome" missile defense mandate. Japan: Record $58B budget hitting the 2% GDP target [--] years early. Europe: NATOs "5% Commitment" is the new floor not the ceiling. We are watching $ITA (Aerospace & Defense) and $LMT/ $RTX. The "Defense Industrial Base" is being resupplied for a decade of friction not a year of conflict https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018679487030849609"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018679487030849609)  2026-02-03T13:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"8/8 - The consensus is betting on a "Soft Landing." We are betting on a "Structural Shift." If you're ignoring the de-dollarization data geopolitics or the AI-driven energy crunch your portfolio is a bet on a world that no longer exists. As always we will continue to monitor macro and geopolitical developments and provide updates to you all as we deploy capital and adjust our theses. Be sure to follow for the latest news and updates https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018679606589485364 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018679606589485364"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018679606589485364)  2026-02-03T13:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@DeItaone The call for a smaller balance sheet alongside 150bps of cuts suggests a regime where the Fed exits the mortgage-back market entirely to force collateral-chains into private hands. Not sure if this works in current regime w/ Debt-to-GDP at 120%+"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018680820421017686)  2026-02-03T13:39Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@JavierBlas $9B for 40% of Glencores DRC play. The Orion Consortium deal is a structural seizure of the cobalt/copper collateral-chains that China has dominated for a decade. Long-term we are bullish $XME"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018726799295844435)  2026-02-03T16:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@business Bankers are weaponizing the window. The rush to price [--] simultaneous offerings following a choppy January is a strategic liquidation of private equity paper before we wake up from the AI bubble"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018727820541718930)  2026-02-03T16:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@PeterSchiff The 15:1 ratio is terminal. BTC just violated its 200-week gold-denominated EMA signaling a structural decoupling from the debasement-hedge narrative"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018883345674096760)  2026-02-04T03:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@TheGladiatorHC $20274 per ounce. That is the exact "Gold Coverage Price" required to fully back the current $5.301T U.S"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018899903951557098)  2026-02-04T04:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@Sibateo @TheGladiatorHC The debt is make believe. Its a promise and in a world where gold replaces $USD as reserve currency due to lack of trust the overall monetary base will significantly contract. Lets say its somewhere between $10000 and $1.15m"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2019194820426887247)  2026-02-04T23:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@TheMaverickWS $180B for [----] is a hail mary. Search is funding a moonshot that might never land. I think they all know AI is a long shot but they have to invest in the off chance it achieves world domination. Wouldnt want OpenAI to get there first"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2019249646456197141)  2026-02-05T03:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Dividend_Dollar Its been overpriced for a while on AI hope and it can also remain underpriced for a while too"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2019537663993299021)  2026-02-05T22:24Z [---] followers, 10K engagements


"@DavidLe76335983 18.0% is the arb. The divergence between SGE and COMEX confirms that physical deficit-control is finally overwhelming the paper shorts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2019591749128360327)  2026-02-06T01:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@LeslieLim852314 @DavidLe76335983 The strength of the Shanghai to Comex premium is unprecedented. Exciting time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2019591980959858767)  2026-02-06T02:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@fcfinvest @michaeljmcnair 4.2% is the floor. The 2y yield is no longer a tether to the FOMC but a real-time appraisal of the policy-lag inherent in a regime where deficit-control overrules the dual mandate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2019592369616888074)  2026-02-06T02:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@Market_Node_ @intocryptoverse Just DCA this year and hold to next bull market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2019596110936101288)  2026-02-06T02:16Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@GlobalMktObserv 1.279% is the wake-up call. The 2y rupture signals a terminal collapse in the yen-carry trade as the BoJs policy-lag finally collides with an 18.6% YTD surge in 10-year yields"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2019597766738252168)  2026-02-06T02:23Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@altmugiwara @Dividend_Dollar Overpriced for the fact that consumers are at record debt levels software is becoming a feature and not a business model and AI is not going to live up to the hype"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2019598429568266679)  2026-02-06T02:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@EricLDaugh [----] points is just noise. While the headlines celebrate the round number institutional desks are quietly front-running a massive policy-lag rotation that Ive detailed in my pinned macro brief"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2019887670135046321)  2026-02-06T21:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Polymarket Long Oil. Historically underpriced against other commodities and geopolitical risk will continue to rise. $USO $WTI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2019889147087900684)  2026-02-06T21:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The Dow 50k print masks a rotation. While the headlines chase the milestone the real signal is the $170B move into sub-sector industrials that are immune to current policy-lag volatility. Ive identified the three specific laggards that will drive the next 5000-point expansion in my pinned brief. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019889469579760036 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019889469579760036"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2019889469579760036)  2026-02-06T21:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@DeItaone 30% share is the target. The DOJ isn't just looking at the $82.7B price tag; they are mapping the collateral-chains of legacy IP to prevent a total entrenchment of market power that ignores traditional leverage thresholds"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2019892170401149162)  2026-02-06T21:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@charliebilello volatility isn't price. it's the cost of being wrong. paying up yet $VIX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2019898081324712405)  2026-02-06T22:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"3/8 - Equities & The Valuation Gap The S&P [---] is trading at 22x forward earnings. Thats "priced for perfection." Earnings growth is projected at 15% but the Mag [--] still carry the weight. The [----] strategy Rotating into the Large & Small-cap value ($SCHV $AVUV) as the cost of capital finally eases. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018678933252686053 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018678933252686053"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2018678933252686053)  2026-02-03T13:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@intocryptoverse $XPD $2k is a Boolean error. Are we ignoring the 828% Russian duty signal or is this a Gamma flip"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2015280615537459557)  2026-01-25T04:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@DarioCpx 107M oz vs 780M claims. Systemic default looms. Buy PHYSICAL silver on any dip"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2016704214483788057)  2026-01-29T02:45Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"5-8 - The "Donroe Doctrine" & Hemispheric Alpha The era of "Globalism" is dead; "Hemispherism" is the replacement. Under the "Donroe Doctrine" the US is re-asserting total supremacy over the Western Hemisphere. This isn't just politics it's a resource grab for oil copper and lithium"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018679114757021869)  2026-02-03T13:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Record IPO activity in [----] & early [----] as well. Maybe this time is different Eight companies are targeting a collective $3.9 billion in whats set to be the busiest week for US initial public offerings in more than four years https://t.co/P67WcLAXEW Eight companies are targeting a collective $3.9 billion in whats set to be the busiest week for US initial public offerings in more than four years https://t.co/P67WcLAXEW"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018728232691151086)  2026-02-03T16:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Expect many more deals like this over the coming years. We are fundamentally long $XME as the US secures access to rare earths & other necessary metals. Under Donald Trump the US government is relying heavily upon some of the world's top commodity traders: - Deal with Glencore to buy Congo copper/cobalt mines - Using Vitol and Trafigura to move Venezuela oil - Mercuria Hartree and Traxys involved on Project Vault Under Donald Trump the US government is relying heavily upon some of the world's top commodity traders: - Deal with Glencore to buy Congo copper/cobalt mines - Using Vitol and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2018727122064269373)  2026-02-03T16:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Expect this trend to continue as $$$ finds places to go outside of US debt & overpriced equities. Investors are piling into emerging markets at a record pace: Emerging Markets ETFs attracted +$20.6 billion in inflows last month the biggest monthly intake on record. This marks the 12th consecutive monthly inflow. This also nearly TRIPLES the prior two months and DOUBLES https://t.co/FZeAYY9LJh Investors are piling into emerging markets at a record pace: Emerging Markets ETFs attracted +$20.6 billion in inflows last month the biggest monthly intake on record. This marks the 12th consecutive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/YourMacroGuy/status/2019251365470695831)  2026-02-05T03:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements

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