[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.] #  @Selwyyyyn Sel Sel posts on X about sap, rains, ddd, combo the most. They currently have XXXXXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours. ### Engagements: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::625310156/interactions)  - X Week XXXXXX +222% - X Month XXXXXXX +727% - X Months XXXXXXX -XX% - X Year XXXXXXX -XX% ### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::625310156/posts_active)  - X Week XX +141% - X Month XX +544% - X Months XXX -XX% - X Year XXX -XX% ### Followers: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::625310156/followers)  - X Week XXXXXX +0.83% - X Month XXXXXX +1.60% - X Months XXXXXX +8.70% - X Year XXXXXX +19% ### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::625310156/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence [#](/creator/twitter::625310156/influence) --- **Social category influence** [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) **Social topic influence** [sap](/topic/sap) #115, [rains](/topic/rains), [ddd](/topic/ddd), [combo](/topic/combo), [events](/topic/events), [breeze](/topic/breeze), [clarity](/topic/clarity), [wc](/topic/wc), [arb](/topic/arb) ### Top Social Posts [#](/creator/twitter::625310156/posts) --- Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours "GFS caving in slowly. now picking SW bay vortex . #NEM2025 #MJO #TamilNadu #TNRains #Chennai #ChennaiRains" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1980090777721253946) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-20T01:56Z 10.8K followers, 4457 engagements "ECM remains unchanged fixing it over NTN-SAP. Dates to watch out 21-23rd oct as far as Chennai/NTN rains are concerned. Once system reach 13Nmajority of the developments/convergence would be confined over SAP/Rayala. ITCZ getting dragged temporarily leaving westerlies over TN" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1979801943963992160) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-19T06:49Z 10.9K followers, 3691 engagements "Lot of drama during the last X days in picking the right vortex. Combination of multiple waves interaction made it complex Now SE Bay vortex gone for a toss Strong westerly burst over S Bay shaping up SW bay circulation well. Action would get intense as the cycir is nearby😍" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1980126879291187263) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-20T04:20Z 10.9K followers, 4642 engagements "Looks like it is going to be a dramatic one Broader one brushing NTN/PDC /SAP .If it halts/slowdown there could be surprises. Fasten your seat belt. Get set for 72hrs of electrifying action #Chennai #ChennaiRains #TamilNadu #TNRains #NEM2025 #Puducherry #AndhraPradesh" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1980182300748066923) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-20T08:00Z 10.9K followers, 7463 engagements "Stark reminder that we are still in October where there could be summer MJO footprints with anomalous Northward propagation of rain bands. I feel this MJO episode is balancing with Negative IOD background & transition conditions. Classical eastward #MJO episodes from Mid Nov" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1980256623621722268) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-20T12:55Z 10.9K followers, 6593 engagements "Disturbance lies over Srilanka adj sw bay trying to consolidate & gain latitude .Moisture flow looks impressive positioned in an ideal location to cause widespread big action over coastal TN/PDC for next 48-72 hrs. On taking NW track from here It may move inland through TN/PDC" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1980466387765325905) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-21T02:49Z 10.9K followers, 3807 engagements "Models finding it very difficult to catch the dominant vortex. Each models having their own scripts in fixing the position . This is imd gfs forecast for next 24hrs shows disturbance as D/DD over Delta/karaikal #NEM2025 #Chennai #ChennaiRains #TamilNadu #TNRains #Puducherry" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1980493073454158148) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-21T04:35Z 10.9K followers, 4817 engagements "Negative IOD atmosphere & MJO phase XX combo making models run to go crazy. By far this is the best combination bay could have for increased cyclogenesis While Looking at vorticity plots all vortices seen trying to spin as they move W-Nw & dumping big rains NTN- SAP #NEM2025" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1978442506158170379) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-15T12:47Z 10.8K followers, 9331 engagements "For the past X years we have been correlating SST spike /big+ anomaly prior to exceptional heavy rainfall events. In 20212022 significant warm anomalies/SST spike observed 8-12days prior to extreme rainfall /exceptional events. Now something similar observed in WC Bay" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1978491959900570039) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-15T16:03Z 10.8K followers, 4364 engagements "ITCZ associated convergence falling right over NTN/SAP which is considered as NEM gateway. Heavy rains are expected to continue over SAP & convergence expected to move further south causing rains to extend into NTN. Until then sea breeze/land breeze would be the big player here" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1978656088125067630) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-16T02:55Z 10.8K followers, 3384 engagements "Pretty strong Northeasterlies at 1km asl over WC Bay adj NTN/SAP favoring velocity convergence & also confluence of winds led to good rains today . ITCZ associated convergence likely to favor this spot for next 2-3 days #NEM2025 #Northeastmonsoon #TNRains #ChennaiRains #Chennai" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1979240770403196972) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-17T17:39Z 10.8K followers, 3247 engagements "Had SST supported this one with 28-29c this one might have been in the record book now for a monster super cyclone. Marginal SST of 26-27 constrained it highly. Atmospheric conditions were robust (Strong upper level divergence Vertical wind shear was below 5knots for X days" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1979402440450421038) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-18T04:21Z 10.8K followers, 4024 engagements "NEM is generally a wind reversal followed by rains We cant expect rains to pour simultaneously when winds set-in tat too with no disturbance First wind establish & then rains happen Gummidipoondi 17cm Ponneri-13cm Parts of Chennai have got fairly 8-10cm in the last 48hrs" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1979408553925578931) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-18T04:45Z 10.8K followers, 2806 engagements "23rd Oct morning scene from models: Slowly consensus increasing for a disturbance to develop in the BOB & move towards WC Bay adj NTN/SAP. Soon there would be better clarity on track & intensity. #ChennaiRains #Chennai #NEM2025 #TNRains #TamilNadu dc @ECMWF @TropicalTidbits" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1979454833511010461) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-18T07:49Z 10.8K followers, 4747 engagements "Similar trend seen in GFS as well. consolidation & big westward push in between 22nd -23rd Oct . #NEM2025 #Chennai #ChennaiRains" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1979580705383588307) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-18T16:09Z 10.8K followers, 6548 engagements "Models continues to show broad disturbance moving towards NTN/SAP in the next 2-3 days except GFS which remains to be an outlier by picking a different SE bay vortex. #NEM2025 #Northeastmonsoon #Chennai #TNRains #TamilNadu #AndhraPradesh" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1979793212429738116) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-19T06:14Z 10.8K followers, 3184 engagements "Entire col region setup moved west winds & rains would improve in the coming hours as easterlies pickingf up. More importantly Circulation seen shaping up in SW Bay adj #SriLanka Dc @BOM_au #NEM2025 #MJO #TNRains #TamilNadu #ChennaiRains #keralarains #Kerala #AndhraPradesh" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1980081308476092759) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-20T01:19Z 10.8K followers, 2815 engagements "@SaiShre43225906 Chennai will get very heavy rains for next X days" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1980136691697631714) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-20T04:59Z 10.8K followers, XXX engagements "Complex tropical wave dynamics catching up Tiny synoptic scale circulation inside a planetary wave couldn't find any room to flex her arm. It is wobbling/dancing inside the main parental Rossby wave. Tough times ahead as forecast is concerned. Most models sees some consolidation" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1980159013007577177) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-20T06:27Z 10.8K followers, 3940 engagements "@vk88288272781 @Weathernerds @NOAA Yes there is a chance of heavy rains for nellaituti during the next 24hrs .chances reduces once system gains latitude" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1980252560977228155) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-20T12:39Z 10.8K followers, XXX engagements "@sam_jayaraj2513 Still same trajectory disturbance being broad with lot of vortices models failed to catch this SW Bay development. However at any case it may reach ntn/sap through different route.Lets see" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1980469986906059027) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-21T03:03Z 10.8K followers, XX engagements "@DarbarThalaivar system expected to brush the TN/PDC coastline to reach SAP" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1980470371028726224) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-21T03:05Z 10.8K followers, XXX engagements "Intra-seasonal SST variability: Months back SE Arb sea was limping hard with an abnormal cooler waters ranging around 26-27c causing an atmospheric suppression with no significant cloud developments & now the same region is sizzling with 29C feeding a disturbance" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1979448081557942583) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-18T07:22Z 10.8K followers, 3692 engagements "Few fresh analogs for the prevailing disturbance over #SriLanka adj SW Bay. 2013 onset WML might be the close analog as it brushed the coastal areas in a similar way. If it have other ideas to develop into significant system as DD/TCthen systems in left chart could be valid" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1980175678256586843) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-20T07:34Z 10.8K followers, 3097 engagements "@hartweetz as the disturbance is closer we do have possibilities of heavy to very heavy rains for next 2-3 days. Flooding rains might happen in some pockets of NTN which includes Chennai & surrounding districts as well" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1980494089578787249) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-21T04:39Z 10.9K followers, XXX engagements "@benking2348 No consensus. Vortex seen behaving different in different Models. Lets wait & see for next 6hrs to find the dominant vortex inside the llc" [X Link](https://x.com/Selwyyyyn/status/1980497698244772287) [@Selwyyyyn](/creator/x/Selwyyyyn) 2025-10-21T04:53Z 10.8K followers, XXX engagements
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
@Selwyyyyn Sel
Sel posts on X about sap, rains, ddd, combo the most. They currently have XXXXXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.
Engagements: XXXXX #
- X Week XXXXXX +222%
- X Month XXXXXXX +727%
- X Months XXXXXXX -XX%
- X Year XXXXXXX -XX%
Mentions: XX #
- X Week XX +141%
- X Month XX +544%
- X Months XXX -XX%
- X Year XXX -XX%
Followers: XXXXXX #
- X Week XXXXXX +0.83%
- X Month XXXXXX +1.60%
- X Months XXXXXX +8.70%
- X Year XXXXXX +19%
CreatorRank: XXXXXXX #
Social Influence #
Social category influence technology brands
Social topic influence sap #115, rains, ddd, combo, events, breeze, clarity, wc, arb
Top Social Posts #
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours
"GFS caving in slowly. now picking SW bay vortex . #NEM2025 #MJO #TamilNadu #TNRains #Chennai #ChennaiRains"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-20T01:56Z 10.8K followers, 4457 engagements
"ECM remains unchanged fixing it over NTN-SAP. Dates to watch out 21-23rd oct as far as Chennai/NTN rains are concerned. Once system reach 13Nmajority of the developments/convergence would be confined over SAP/Rayala. ITCZ getting dragged temporarily leaving westerlies over TN"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-19T06:49Z 10.9K followers, 3691 engagements
"Lot of drama during the last X days in picking the right vortex. Combination of multiple waves interaction made it complex Now SE Bay vortex gone for a toss Strong westerly burst over S Bay shaping up SW bay circulation well. Action would get intense as the cycir is nearby😍"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-20T04:20Z 10.9K followers, 4642 engagements
"Looks like it is going to be a dramatic one Broader one brushing NTN/PDC /SAP .If it halts/slowdown there could be surprises. Fasten your seat belt. Get set for 72hrs of electrifying action #Chennai #ChennaiRains #TamilNadu #TNRains #NEM2025 #Puducherry #AndhraPradesh"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-20T08:00Z 10.9K followers, 7463 engagements
"Stark reminder that we are still in October where there could be summer MJO footprints with anomalous Northward propagation of rain bands. I feel this MJO episode is balancing with Negative IOD background & transition conditions. Classical eastward #MJO episodes from Mid Nov"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-20T12:55Z 10.9K followers, 6593 engagements
"Disturbance lies over Srilanka adj sw bay trying to consolidate & gain latitude .Moisture flow looks impressive positioned in an ideal location to cause widespread big action over coastal TN/PDC for next 48-72 hrs. On taking NW track from here It may move inland through TN/PDC"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-21T02:49Z 10.9K followers, 3807 engagements
"Models finding it very difficult to catch the dominant vortex. Each models having their own scripts in fixing the position . This is imd gfs forecast for next 24hrs shows disturbance as D/DD over Delta/karaikal #NEM2025 #Chennai #ChennaiRains #TamilNadu #TNRains #Puducherry"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-21T04:35Z 10.9K followers, 4817 engagements
"Negative IOD atmosphere & MJO phase XX combo making models run to go crazy. By far this is the best combination bay could have for increased cyclogenesis While Looking at vorticity plots all vortices seen trying to spin as they move W-Nw & dumping big rains NTN- SAP #NEM2025"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-15T12:47Z 10.8K followers, 9331 engagements
"For the past X years we have been correlating SST spike /big+ anomaly prior to exceptional heavy rainfall events. In 20212022 significant warm anomalies/SST spike observed 8-12days prior to extreme rainfall /exceptional events. Now something similar observed in WC Bay"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-15T16:03Z 10.8K followers, 4364 engagements
"ITCZ associated convergence falling right over NTN/SAP which is considered as NEM gateway. Heavy rains are expected to continue over SAP & convergence expected to move further south causing rains to extend into NTN. Until then sea breeze/land breeze would be the big player here"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-16T02:55Z 10.8K followers, 3384 engagements
"Pretty strong Northeasterlies at 1km asl over WC Bay adj NTN/SAP favoring velocity convergence & also confluence of winds led to good rains today . ITCZ associated convergence likely to favor this spot for next 2-3 days #NEM2025 #Northeastmonsoon #TNRains #ChennaiRains #Chennai"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-17T17:39Z 10.8K followers, 3247 engagements
"Had SST supported this one with 28-29c this one might have been in the record book now for a monster super cyclone. Marginal SST of 26-27 constrained it highly. Atmospheric conditions were robust (Strong upper level divergence Vertical wind shear was below 5knots for X days"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-18T04:21Z 10.8K followers, 4024 engagements
"NEM is generally a wind reversal followed by rains We cant expect rains to pour simultaneously when winds set-in tat too with no disturbance First wind establish & then rains happen Gummidipoondi 17cm Ponneri-13cm Parts of Chennai have got fairly 8-10cm in the last 48hrs"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-18T04:45Z 10.8K followers, 2806 engagements
"23rd Oct morning scene from models: Slowly consensus increasing for a disturbance to develop in the BOB & move towards WC Bay adj NTN/SAP. Soon there would be better clarity on track & intensity. #ChennaiRains #Chennai #NEM2025 #TNRains #TamilNadu dc @ECMWF @TropicalTidbits"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-18T07:49Z 10.8K followers, 4747 engagements
"Similar trend seen in GFS as well. consolidation & big westward push in between 22nd -23rd Oct . #NEM2025 #Chennai #ChennaiRains"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-18T16:09Z 10.8K followers, 6548 engagements
"Models continues to show broad disturbance moving towards NTN/SAP in the next 2-3 days except GFS which remains to be an outlier by picking a different SE bay vortex. #NEM2025 #Northeastmonsoon #Chennai #TNRains #TamilNadu #AndhraPradesh"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-19T06:14Z 10.8K followers, 3184 engagements
"Entire col region setup moved west winds & rains would improve in the coming hours as easterlies pickingf up. More importantly Circulation seen shaping up in SW Bay adj #SriLanka Dc @BOM_au #NEM2025 #MJO #TNRains #TamilNadu #ChennaiRains #keralarains #Kerala #AndhraPradesh"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-20T01:19Z 10.8K followers, 2815 engagements
"@SaiShre43225906 Chennai will get very heavy rains for next X days"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-20T04:59Z 10.8K followers, XXX engagements
"Complex tropical wave dynamics catching up Tiny synoptic scale circulation inside a planetary wave couldn't find any room to flex her arm. It is wobbling/dancing inside the main parental Rossby wave. Tough times ahead as forecast is concerned. Most models sees some consolidation"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-20T06:27Z 10.8K followers, 3940 engagements
"@vk88288272781 @Weathernerds @NOAA Yes there is a chance of heavy rains for nellaituti during the next 24hrs .chances reduces once system gains latitude"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-20T12:39Z 10.8K followers, XXX engagements
"@sam_jayaraj2513 Still same trajectory disturbance being broad with lot of vortices models failed to catch this SW Bay development. However at any case it may reach ntn/sap through different route.Lets see"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-21T03:03Z 10.8K followers, XX engagements
"@DarbarThalaivar system expected to brush the TN/PDC coastline to reach SAP"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-21T03:05Z 10.8K followers, XXX engagements
"Intra-seasonal SST variability: Months back SE Arb sea was limping hard with an abnormal cooler waters ranging around 26-27c causing an atmospheric suppression with no significant cloud developments & now the same region is sizzling with 29C feeding a disturbance"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-18T07:22Z 10.8K followers, 3692 engagements
"Few fresh analogs for the prevailing disturbance over #SriLanka adj SW Bay. 2013 onset WML might be the close analog as it brushed the coastal areas in a similar way. If it have other ideas to develop into significant system as DD/TCthen systems in left chart could be valid"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-20T07:34Z 10.8K followers, 3097 engagements
"@hartweetz as the disturbance is closer we do have possibilities of heavy to very heavy rains for next 2-3 days. Flooding rains might happen in some pockets of NTN which includes Chennai & surrounding districts as well"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-21T04:39Z 10.9K followers, XXX engagements
"@benking2348 No consensus. Vortex seen behaving different in different Models. Lets wait & see for next 6hrs to find the dominant vortex inside the llc"
X Link @Selwyyyyn 2025-10-21T04:53Z 10.8K followers, XXX engagements