# ![@MiguelCruzIII Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1350788163036344325.png) @MiguelCruzIII Miguel C.

Miguel C. posts on X about debt, has been, events, $spy the most. They currently have [--] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1350788163036344325/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1350788163036344325/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [---] -0.15%
- [--] Month [-----] +140%
- [--] Months [------] +169%
- [--] Year [------] +26,352%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1350788163036344325/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1350788163036344325/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Months [---] +33%
- [--] Year [---] +4,275%

### Followers: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1350788163036344325/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1350788163036344325/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +9.20%
- [--] Month [--] +9.20%
- [--] Months [--] +15%
- [--] Year [--] +1,086%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1350788163036344325/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1350788163036344325/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[musicians](/list/musicians)  [finance](/list/finance)  [stocks](/list/stocks)  [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [countries](/list/countries)  [fashion brands](/list/fashion-brands)  [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  [currencies](/list/currencies) 

**Social topic influence**
[debt](/topic/debt), [has been](/topic/has-been), [events](/topic/events), [$spy](/topic/$spy), [oil](/topic/oil), [shutdown](/topic/shutdown), [china](/topic/china), [investment](/topic/investment), [ipo](/topic/ipo), [$rivn](/topic/$rivn)

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@theonelanceb](/creator/undefined) [@theshortbear](/creator/undefined) [@saxenapuru](/creator/undefined) [@jfsrev](/creator/undefined) [@chriscamillo](/creator/undefined) [@timothysykes](/creator/undefined) [@madaznfootballr](/creator/undefined) [@thecapcowboy](/creator/undefined) [@oddstocktrader](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY)](/topic/$spy) [Rivian Automotive, Inc.  (RIVN)](/topic/$rivn) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla) [Nike Inc (NKE)](/topic/$nke) [VinFast Auto Ltd. Ordinary Shares (VFS)](/topic/$vfs) [Strategy (MSTR)](/topic/$mstr) [Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)](/topic/$pltr) [Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER)](/topic/$uber) [TrumpCoin (DJT)](/topic/$djt) [American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)](/topic/$aeo) [Snap, Inc. (SNAP)](/topic/$snap) [POP MART  (PMRTY)](/topic/$pmrty) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/$btc) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [UnitedHealth Group (UNH)](/topic/$unh) [Transocean LTD. (RIG)](/topic/$rig) [Gap Inc (GAP)](/topic/$gap) [GameStop, Corp. (GME)](/topic/$gme) [Lucid Group Inc (LCID)](/topic/$lcid) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/$msft) [Alibaba Group (BABA)](/topic/$baba) [Chime Financial, Inc (CHYM)](/topic/$chym) [Dash (DASH)](/topic/$dash) [Crocs, Inc. (CROX)](/topic/$crox) [Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL)](/topic/$crcl) [PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL)](/topic/$pypl) [Klarna Group plc (KLAR)](/topic/$klar) [Robinhood Markets, Inc.  (HOOD)](/topic/$hood) [AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (AMC)](/topic/$amc) [Volatility Shs TR 2X Ether ETF (ETHU)](/topic/$ethu) [Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR)](/topic/$ibkr) [Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)](/topic/$cmg) [Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR)](/topic/$achr)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"@ChrisCamillo Labubu s/arb $PMRTY POP MART UP OVER 7% IN HK AND MARKET CAP BROKE HK$400B RECORD HIGH #CHINA #POPMART #LABUBU #THEMONSTERS https://t.co/jTLbwaTCTm https://t.co/bQdK5xwvsG POP MART UP OVER 7% IN HK AND MARKET CAP BROKE HK$400B RECORD HIGH #CHINA #POPMART #LABUBU #THEMONSTERS https://t.co/jTLbwaTCTm https://t.co/bQdK5xwvsG"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1958037247778812067)  2025-08-20T05:23Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@timothysykes Would you go over the setup parabolic runners on stocks closing strong with massive volume and having a downtrend into the after hours trapping shorts into a reversal the next day pre-market as it breaks past yesterdays after hours resistance for example $CXAI and $GME $AMC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1672752738713890816)  2023-06-24T23:50Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"you can tell or get a feel on how the economy is doing. This year didnt see much of this and the shelves were more filled up and not sold out even with some stores offering 50% off items. This is something people pre2020 would more love.people are being more aware of spendings"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1863513784352129491)  2024-12-02T09:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"People are more further waiting for their financial situation to be more stable to be able to afford luxury items and instead currently are being precise with what to use their cash for especially after statistically retired savings and credit card usage were near all time high"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1863514496414937223)  2024-12-02T09:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"On spending on what is a necessity and we saw a decent increase in credit card debt to where retirement savings more so came into being used by the public"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1882059337352478880)  2025-01-22T13:34Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Nike is still lacking innovation and adaptations to certain things currently AI and new products which similar to Abercrombie. We are having a few clothing brands Crocs/Skechers/Lulu lemon and so on moving while NKE is more so a bit of a lagger. This thesis is as"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1882061047760367767)  2025-01-22T13:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"With the average US consumer having a total credit limit of 22k across their credit cards combined and having a surge in CD delinquencies further says further about a record breaking of [---] trillion dollars in credit cards combined debt as of [----]. Not to even mention 2025"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1911025146351288693)  2025-04-12T11:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Even though this is not equities nor instruments there are other opportunities throughout the world"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1911025704562819515)  2025-04-12T11:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Does Tariff trade war escalate further. An economic slowdown down further raises the probability of such. Major companies Macys and more have been closing stores and not to even mention filing bankruptcy like Hooters. The major companies such as Boeing and many wrker layoffs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1911027764351897765)  2025-04-12T12:04Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Will leave this here for future. CD delinquencies rates sped up which of course every house sale is debt not an asset in this view given the rate of speed in houses. Credit default swaps is a new test for myself learning further into geopolitical events to add to arsnl"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1911042034346971263)  2025-04-12T13:01Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Sun-April 19: The overall mkt has been indecisive of its trend as tradewar still is a fresh news. Bigcaps have been underperforming while there are a few that have been accumulating strenghts despite the overall downtrend. Do we get a mkt bounce then potential decent bounce"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1913693545686581579)  2025-04-19T20:37Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Equities(direct access to stock) Fut(direct access to commodities) which in times like cocoa and Gold were forming as a opp you could more so get only access via Fut as Barack Gold stock was tied to Gold itself but not the commodity and same with coco a few years ago"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1916207540830146934)  2025-04-26T19:07Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Have been seeing more and more real estate properties and land up for sale even near neighborhood. A few businesses of near my home have left due to lack of customer volume and low sales. A few selling their homes to move into a lower cost home for extra cash for themselves"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1916216391797248236)  2025-04-26T19:42Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"for paying off some debt for themselves and some even moving given rise in rent which forces them to find other jobs where rent is lower which also affects their income does the job have lower pay"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1916216686791078346)  2025-04-26T19:43Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Rising paper supply rising. The more the fed prints the more probability of a devaluation of the US dollar Gold has benefitted more from economic downtrends and recessionary fears and crisis. Also another reason for a BTC reserve on the lookout to eliminate the dollar. Trump"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1916640102224417010)  2025-04-27T23:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"What looks like a bounce allowed short cover rally which allowed for short term bets to outperform while long term still receiving more and more recession fear while economic slowdown is not showing. MSFT [---] sub raised from USD *69.99 to USD *99.99. Dollar wise [--] but 43%+%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1920279365130105056)  2025-05-08T00:47Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@madaznfootballr @TheCapCowboy Massive inflow of retailers having access to off shore brokers which dont have PDT rule and only require 1k min deposit to short with high leverage allows access to lucrative bp. Especially with OceanOne"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1921075985358680386)  2025-05-10T05:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Weve really not have a crash since [----]. The Covid event really was an interrupted event to where the a cycle was interfered with. The Moodys credit rating event I the market saw an opposite reaction into really bad news which short term people got caught into short rallyevnt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1926508321025966493)  2025-05-25T05:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Davis Dynasty: found performance in assets that were overlooked at as boring and non rewarding assets like bonds and insurance rather than equities themselves. Buffett and Davis had a similar approach and thesis"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1927099917807374365)  2025-05-26T20:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"The typical beginning is everyone stays for trading equities only which only delays them in growing. Opt Fut Bonds can be a new asset instrument. As well as other asset types such as housing or so"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1927108457397621196)  2025-05-26T21:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@TheOneLanceB its a fresh IPO with fresh volume increase which can stop out players into swipe ups. More odds to have a sideways action for a potential daily breakdown swing short after volume exhaustion and break below 100"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1927404689613549843)  2025-05-27T16:41Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@TheOneLanceB Pros: liquid. Cons: recent IPO based [--] week into 100s building layer of support. Stock is highly watched by shorts to short which allows for stop outs. Overall mkt condition up and strong into a really bad macro news of credit ratings for now. And CRWV is a real company"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1927405842699100352)  2025-05-27T16:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Many players are data driven to where the odds of a repetition are lower given [----] did not really count as it was an interrupted event by Covid. We can end up having media and news outlets covering up the news behind debt build up credit ratings downgrade inflation and more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1927409553693360308)  2025-05-27T17:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Homeowners selling for profit when actually some selling to pay off existing personal debt or cover expenses"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1928337862891614231)  2025-05-30T06:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"High increase in homeowners wanting to sell their homes in my area as well which o it adds into inventory of homes while home sales decrease significantly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1928591928842453211)  2025-05-30T23:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"NATO Nuclear war+ U.S Credit Rating Downgrade+Tariffs+Inflation+Japan not to negotiate with U.S Tariffs+Recession odds+Credit Card debt+Low Home sales+ etc. Positioned in Safe Heaven names Via GC"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1929431135919935900)  2025-06-02T06:53Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"The FED and Government has been becoming more inclined to crypto currency as a possible way eliminate the U.S debt which only becomes a lot more clear of how desperate the Government is to eliminate the debt before a potential Debt Default which also has its cons as crypto"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1937948373077889527)  2025-06-25T18:57Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"has been pushed beyond more than its potential given significant pumps and chase into a speculative sense which in reality do consumers dump their BTC in a panic due to personal expenses or emergency then it only hurts a lot more than a potential recession or worst given the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1937948811726622761)  2025-06-25T18:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"volatility that BTC comes with rather than the typical U.S dollar that is more standard where its been sideways mostly in value"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1937949059303850006)  2025-06-25T19:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"And of course after inflation began to become a large issue *big issue non essential companies and small businesses underperformed given a new furniture is nice to have but not a need to have. People began to tighten their spendings while incurring more taxes rise in rent"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1938426541882651076)  2025-06-27T02:37Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"And rise in water rent groceries eggs and gasoline given the economic situation and Russia and Ukraine conflict which surged into a global issue affecting trade of goods and Iran with Israel"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1938426853389439464)  2025-06-27T02:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Given rapid surge AI and robotics. Energy has been a interesting recurring theme this year as Trump also announced the increase the energy production given there is not enough energy to power the nation which later pushed OKLO$ into becoming more sensitive and leader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1939123546527309866)  2025-06-29T00:47Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Decent of recurring ongoing themes this year Tech AI Energy China"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1939142124320223699)  2025-06-29T02:01Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Many things the last week and month Trump approving Bill MSTR rumors to be added to S$P Iran & Israel war BTC back over 100k markets broke new ATHs Banks approval to begin Crypto currency features rumors of fed cuts and DOGETrump&Musk argument conflict just to name a few"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1940409218533884151)  2025-07-02T13:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Realistically unlike equities people can afford it more due to lower prices but BTC or other crypto assets are higher price that retail and now even institutions take leverage or convertible debts to acquire crypto leads to higher risk of BTC liquidation even if the economy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1944638154075414926)  2025-07-14T06:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Realistically many people dont own a home they pay the mortgage and then after the home debt gets pass over to the next gen in their family while all being due to the bank in debt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1944937444203532630)  2025-07-15T01:49Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"As central banks ease on interest rate forecast and potential cuts with crypto and other safe heaven appetite assets Individuals can open themselves up to larger buying power pouring into BTC until a potential liquidation does the economy weakens into surge of national debt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1944943191859585269)  2025-07-15T02:12Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Bitcoin has been steadily been weakening but this 120k bo led by short liquidations allowed for a push over but blinding people into ignoring the main factor that the crypto field and economy has been signaling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1944943807369203931)  2025-07-15T02:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"MSTR holding 3% of BTC while MTPLF holds 0.8% of BTC and many governments owning BTC too along with the national debt and MSTR with leverage debt in crypto is very sensitive alike with the national debt that can trigger a liquidation does MSTRs debt default"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1944946725489377427)  2025-07-15T02:26Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$SHW paint company. Performed during lockdown as being lockdown kept humans the need to satisfy themselves with feeling useful and creative. Despite housings stopping construction it was considered an essential business by law while non-essential businesses forced to close"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1946825168116174928)  2025-07-20T06:51Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"sold into earnings despite positive growth expectancy while semi-similar to $NKE getting sold into positive numbers while still taking beat into the open"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1950384904338100625)  2025-07-30T02:36Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Disclosure long $VFS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1950385001847279978)  2025-07-30T02:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Competitors in the emerging EV space $NIO $RIVN $VFS $LCID and a few others"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1950390238221848866)  2025-07-30T02:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"In an investment stand point still learnings with the focus mainly in $RIVN $LCID & $VFS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1950390646386413731)  2025-07-30T02:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Disclosure long $RIVN $LCID $NIO. Eliminated $VFS given sentiment and other competitors are more established for growth and production than $VFS still in growth and production phase. Also liqduity issue"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1950395126754513167)  2025-07-30T03:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Michael Saylor $BTC buys and acquiring via debt. Even if the u.s suffers and the expectancy is a rise in $MSTR & $BTC does Saylor end up defaulting in the debt surge hes acquired then a potential flush while the retail expect the opposite"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1950398747667812528)  2025-07-30T03:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"A significant rise in red flags while the public remains ignorant. Debt ceiling approaching while the last [----] debt ceiling g increase was days away from default. You can now also have the option to pay for the u.s debt on the added feature Venmo and Paypal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1950399656124666293)  2025-07-30T03:34Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$MSFT $TSLA more companies adapted over time not solely focusing on their known services but also have expanded into investments and AI implementation. Most of $AMZN s profits come from their AWS than their Amazon delivery"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1951470233509830964)  2025-08-02T02:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$BABA valuation and company performance along with geopolitical and economic bullish factors. Currently lesser bullish and bear conflict which other names $TSLA have also been forming similar charting positions OPP. Chinas tariffs being a lot more negotiable instead of 150% tar"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1953707432066293772)  2025-08-08T06:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Credit: @saxena_puru definitely odds of short term pullback and potential re-climb does the AI rally continue or does it pause for a while"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1954291189097849065)  2025-08-09T21:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@saxena_puru There has not been a much demand in GPUs compared to the beginning of the ai compared to a year ago. With continuous tariffs and concerns of rate cuts still ongoing concerns of rising odds. 80% about holding the $SPY being held national debt rate cuts and tariff addingPresure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1954341434397696271)  2025-08-10T00:38Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Top-heavy weighting The top [---] companies make up roughly 3035% of SPYs total value. If those stocks are rising strongly they can completely mask weakness in the other 490+ stocks. Breadth divergence In [--------] many S&P members have been flat or down while SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1954780665280651410)  2025-08-11T05:43Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Currently many money managers are fully aware of the inflated rapid rate of tech names as they also carry about 80% of the $SPY which theyve been selling some to maintain caution into the upcoming. Inflation data SPY being held up by only a couple tech names"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1954782766824104349)  2025-08-11T05:51Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"AI and quantum related instruments closing continuing showing relative strength but coming into upcoming earnings with the few names holding about 80% of the $SPY potential protective and conservative into the quantum side and tech as $PLTR $NVDA $MSFT potential pullback pause"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1955793251841269801)  2025-08-14T00:47Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Potential further harsher sell off into tech that make up over 80% especially if higher players are involved which we can enter into a harsher pull and potential pause for while before a re-climb Ray Dalios Bridgewater 2Q [----] 13F IS OUT and its PACKED WITH HUGE MOVES. [--]. Complete exit from Chinese equities: $BABA $PDD $BIDU [--]. Big adds to AI & tech giants: $NVDA $MSFT $GOOGL $UBER [--]. Portfolio value near 10Y highs Lets break it down https://t.co/dg1nC2ENC3 Ray Dalios Bridgewater 2Q [----] 13F IS OUT and its PACKED WITH HUGE MOVES. [--]. Complete exit from Chinese equities: $BABA $PDD $BIDU [--]. Big"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1955871747229814955)  2025-08-14T05:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Positioned for potential social arb tech earnings disappoint plus over inflated stock prices too early and second phase into Trump meeting this week and 3rd phase China [--] day period and FOMC contrarion bet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1955907469315858705)  2025-08-14T08:20Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Realistically $HON & $CAT . Warren knows better to select growth potential movers. Tons and tons of retailers utilizing CHATGPT $AI to base their decision making while scaring out players out of the actual focus $UNH and allowing those who dont want to think"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1956091181303271742)  2025-08-14T20:30Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Realistically ChatGPT is somewhat tied to social medias commentary and opinions and the system harvests that feed to provide what many think will happen based on this the odds are x%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1956091549424738464)  2025-08-14T20:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@TheOneLanceB - Further confirmation into ChatGPT being now overused for financial purposes especially in markets where in times when one must make their own decisions they end up relying heavily on ChatGPT for the decision when it should be the inversesometimes. Credit LanceB"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1956096187276386705)  2025-08-14T20:50Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"data CPI Continued tariff threatening saying [--] days left for China we are living j. A manipulated time as Trump wants to o ly looks at the good side Our Economy is Booming"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1956097525406163350)  2025-08-14T20:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@jfsrev China related which adds pressure going into Chinas [--] day du date. AI related which approaching upcoming tech names holding 80%ish of the $SPY which we can see a pullback then potential long pause into Sept"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1956210502130131423)  2025-08-15T04:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@jfsrev $UBER had already signed a deal with an autonomous company for self driving vehicles & $TSLA is implementing AI into vehicle for Tesla owners to set their car as passive income to drive people. & Tesla launching robotaxi which for only a couple dollars less than $UBER addCompeti"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1956211513678598618)  2025-08-15T04:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Working on positioning short in crypto space $ETHU as a few my parameters and factors are beginning to line up with ongoing growing sentiment"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1956634403494633628)  2025-08-16T08:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$CHYM credit card lending company and many other $SOFI . $CHYM stage [--] in ipo semi similar to $CVNA being real companies. Watching for basing. lenders have seen some high exposure in % returns in fear of recession or money tightening Disclosure: currently no opened position"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1956885085111640385)  2025-08-17T01:05Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$ETHU monitoring. House of cards"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1956893871927169233)  2025-08-17T01:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Ive always wondered how DoorDash makes the majority of their money. DoorDash (take 15-30% commision from restaurants servers) Instagram social media take ad revenue and many more examples. DoorDash even though paying a 1-3 dollar delivery fee they bring you what you want"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1956910918597833152)  2025-08-17T02:48Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Institutional players cutting tech related and AI related holding ahead of upcoming g events as sentiment rises among rising factors. Yesterday legendary investor Stanley Druckenmillers 13F revealed he fully exited his $TSLA long position. Caution flag or bottom signal 🧐 https://t.co/ILkqNJhuzN Yesterday legendary investor Stanley Druckenmillers 13F revealed he fully exited his $TSLA long position. Caution flag or bottom signal 🧐 https://t.co/ILkqNJhuzN"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1957112076138398122)  2025-08-17T16:07Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"POTUS Trump has been since his re-election doing what he can to gain as much trust of people fullfilling some promises on no taxes on overtimes not selling his $DJT position and over promising many things which we can potentially see unfold in some events to catch by surprise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1957137659144593515)  2025-08-17T17:49Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Zelenskyy has disagreed upon not giving up the land. Which Trumps relationship with Russia further ignites a sense of private deal within eachother and not involving Ukraine to negotiate. Either Zelenky accept the non negotiable BREAKING: President Trump says there is big progress on Russia and to stay tuned. https://t.co/o9dP71LJX9 BREAKING: President Trump says there is big progress on Russia and to stay tuned. https://t.co/o9dP71LJX9"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1957204168567070731)  2025-08-17T22:13Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$BTC crypto unfolding tech and market still awaiting upcoming events as consumers want a confirmation instead of rumors on data"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1957276239070396584)  2025-08-18T02:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Can have further downside as we ease head into September after such rally and current rising geopolitical conflicts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1957340153854505382)  2025-08-18T07:13Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Disc: no position. Unfortunately did not have the right broker to participate mainly due to capital being in current broker which has more tools in terms of customer service and more platform efficient than $IBKR IBKR which something bugs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1957340777668874347)  2025-08-18T07:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Struggling tech companies rising as institutions are increasing tech exposure but more so a fragile sector and timing at the moment with $NVDA and other mag [--] companies carrying the tech sector"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1957562816434708550)  2025-08-18T21:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Market performance influence from rise of ChatGpt inception"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1957869696986018228)  2025-08-19T18:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@TheShortBear $UNH united health care and overall health sector in terms of operating costs and costs have tended to have lesser of impact despite recession periods. Given when taxes being raised and Medicaid caused by rising costs over time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1957937083215147292)  2025-08-19T22:45Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Saylors $MSTR was built fully on leverage. Borrowing cash to acquire more crypto assets to where the crypto market becomes more and more sensitive as at any point the debt can default given the %he owns of the entire $BTC and same with $MTPLF and others"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1958165618668294171)  2025-08-20T13:53Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"As I further improve arsenal I am opened to expand into other foreign markets via $IBKR which offers the ability to do so. Although other markets may behave like the u.s there are things to understand for example in the China markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1958370246513086820)  2025-08-21T03:27Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$MELI monitoring as potential positioning short bet. As we see clearer and further confirmation on rise in inflation and money tightening individuals become more conservative with their spending. August 4th $MELI reported lower than expected earnings leading to further weaken"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1958384165168300233)  2025-08-21T04:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Agreed. Compare a private company still starting out during a hyper market to a private company already grown and ipo during a theme frenzy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1958439614596948341)  2025-08-21T08:02Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$DASH in trouble from drone deliveries $UBER taking advantage of signing deals for autonomous driving and $TSLA robotaxi. $HRTZ and product delivery services can see potential disruption in their services as these get implemented and approved in more states"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1958688350229213228)  2025-08-22T00:31Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Fast food chains have been seeing a long term impact $CMG $JACK $PZZA $WEN $SHAK and more. $MCD on the otherhand being a lagger. Potential long term short bet as semi similar event to [----] economic situation into growing economic concerns"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1958770923869544611)  2025-08-22T05:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Still maintain positioning near September and October. Cuts or not the market shock impacts have been relatively higher than average into fed events. Still have multiple events $NVDA earnings FOMC and Sept-Oct seasonality"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1959069125906690139)  2025-08-23T01:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$DASH and other related food stocks incurring a decrease of orders as consumers tighten spendings. Even though financing options are available through some food apps consumers are more aware of their situation and wanting to stir away from this option via Klarna options"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1960725005609918919)  2025-08-27T15:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"After events similar to $CBRL $AEO etc they tend to sometimes retain some juice remaining still sensitive to awaiting news to PR. $AEO earlier this morning announced $AEO collaboration with Taylor Swifts partner Travis. Disclosure Long"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1960753693558759481)  2025-08-27T17:18Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"News began to get recycled from the last few Sydney Sweeney critics. This Travis collaboration was less focused and meaningful in terms of price influence in the equity stock itself the focus after Traviss collaboration news was still on the recycled Sydney news"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1960760451157123447)  2025-08-27T17:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Average $SPY performance on economic status. Currently quietly in a recessionary period while many hide ongoing indicators to not scare the consumers. Rising slow growth and more so leans in towards a slower economy and median growth more so held by some tech sectors"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1961169230830920135)  2025-08-28T20:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"On average when the $SPY breaks ath into Sept-Oct the odds of holding and maintaining its highs during those months before retracing back below its prior all time highs are about 70-89%ish while for the past 5-10 years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1961185443833417994)  2025-08-28T21:53Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Given FOMC into September with odds as well of Sep-Oct performance and Rate Cuts performance during recession period"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1961185937456840712)  2025-08-28T21:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"A few investment opportunities in Ai and robotics/ tech space. $RR & $ACHR :ACHR Nov [----] Japan Airline& Soracle intended purchase up to 500M$ worth of electric aircraft. :RR announcing news with deals with Walmart peach & restaurant recently Surpass 16k served robotic drinks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1961232073517310368)  2025-08-29T00:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Despite if interest rates get cut consumers who may have wanted to purchase a home may not even be able to afford to purchase a home even at a low interest given the economic conditions and job slowness as well as credit card debt. Putting individuals in a fragile point. Homes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1961242125422793013)  2025-08-29T01:38Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Ive see a slowness in home sales"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1961242404176236974)  2025-08-29T01:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Housing market is experiencing a desperate wanting to sell homes. Homeowners are beginning to want to sell their homes quick. In nearby areas Ive noticed as of 8/16-08-21 dozens of dozens of listings have price cut the homes for 50k in addition to prior month of price cuts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1961516803076796681)  2025-08-29T19:50Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Monitoring $GDX for potential planned geopolitical economic bet. With ongoing inflation and interest rate uncertainty and ongoing tariffs potentially being threatened by court as illegal. Disclosures: currently no position"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1961827183590359190)  2025-08-30T16:23Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$DJT has been closely on watch for me as potential momentum bet. Its been inactive since election last year. Given Trumps ongoing trend and news sensitivity. The name has been catching my attention to start a starter ahead of more news. Given the stock company has been"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1961879276539842993)  2025-08-30T19:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"relatively beat up since ATH and since the company has been uncorrelated to the overall market trend its been having a clear base for a starter for me. Especially if we can see news regarding re-election for 3rd presidential candidate as hes planned. Dis: no current position"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1961879802929188967)  2025-08-30T19:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"statistically its tended to have momentum and interest pickup during March of every year on average. Especially with the ongoing criticism being built around and with his involvement with Social media influencers and engagement in trend conversations like Sydney Sweeney"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1961881475495956723)  2025-08-30T19:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Companies that originally planned going public are becoming concerned on rather to IPO during a struggling economic period or wait for a better economic status where their company can raise more than compared to a difficult economic condition"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1962836023492387110)  2025-09-02T11:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$LULU actually more of a variety factors with one of the big reasons being people becoming more conservative with their overall spending. In the current economy and fear of layoffs create a fearful environment. People see their job hours get cut and with their situations"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1963976384164090312)  2025-09-05T14:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The product and company itself has been more so in a sector where its been in the middle of non so competitive and consumers are not really craving for luxury brands at a high price while struggling with financial situation or even school. Student debt has surged. $NKE $CROX etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1963976548085801224)  2025-09-05T14:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"UnitedHealth Indends To Reaffirm [----] EPS Guidance Disclosed On Jul. 19; Co. Says 'We Estimate We Will Have Approximately 78% Of Our Membership In [--] Star Or Higher Plans Which Is Consistent With Our Expectations And In Line With Historical Performance'-news source"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1965372694981214321)  2025-09-09T11:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$CRCL single. Despite the possibilities of higher move given the growing economic uncertainty in the past few weeks I chosed it as a trade rather than a longer-term bet. Saw the single opp more so technical than fundamental which technical wise it was more so a quick move:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1965521750252564507)  2025-09-09T21:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$OPEN took a single. Despite the probability of further move personally I need to earn that tier. I continue on wanting to see further profitability for a set timeframe until I decide to allow myself to allow some plays run more. But for now still working on consistency"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1965818896574984304)  2025-09-10T16:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"liquidity has also been drying out within a day which lowers the volatility potential the following days which if no liquditiy=no volatility for further swings which rather just take the single to remain cautious of getting trapped into liquidity issue in this environment"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1965955479814942886)  2025-09-11T01:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The toughest part of investment in maintain a long term vision picture while despite having short-term volatility mess with your thinking. A holding can have an implied volatility of 15-25% within a day/week or minutes while the urge to close out for a gain is not the focus"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1966175819241500881)  2025-09-11T16:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"4:1 rr $CRCL *again working on consistency before allowing a new tier to be unlocked in the next level"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1966249758332440782)  2025-09-11T21:17Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$UNH closed investment. (2200 profit) Entry 8/10 exit 4/10. my personal situation there will come a point where I have spare capital to deploy and remain in holdings but for now when the ROT(return on time) is cut significantly due to volatility rather close out than wait"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1966518636153012488)  2025-09-12T15:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Mortgage rates breaking down ahead of FOMC. Higher probability of cuts and potential aggressive cuts depending on Powells view. Powell still wants to finish off strong which hasnt worked well. Aggressive cuts can further lessen rates but consumers still are loaded with debts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1966566038818222372)  2025-09-12T18:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"CTA positions rapid increase in exposure ahead of FOMC. Consumer expectation of rate cuts equal good economy. While headlines and governments job is to ease consumer worrying and to reduce headline recessionary exposure to the public. If consumers get scared then its bad"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1966894439370289530)  2025-09-13T15:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"do we end up heading into a recessionary event or market downturn will remain conservative among assets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1966895576588710063)  2025-09-13T16:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Have been seeing many home owners cutting their home prices 2-3 times this month which still consumers still want a home but even with low rates the accumulation of debt built through 2020-2025 has led to more debt in credit lines and more. $TLT disclaimer: long"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1966974328324714996)  2025-09-13T21:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Monitoring $GDX if the fed decides not to cut rates this week but instead wait for more data until the next following FOMC. Powell has put in tons of uncertainty on cutting rates which he is not being forced to do despite not wanting to do. If the economy is not suffering a lot"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1967314172599005524)  2025-09-14T19:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"monitoring $SNAP for potential starter investment do we end up having operations turnout. The company has been lagging behind tons of emerging technology. Primarily known for their viral filters and friendly fun ease of messages. A app trend used by gen z and became boring after"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1967352463981465808)  2025-09-14T22:19Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Even if we do get rate cuts the market doesnt need to do anything during rate cut day. It can already have absorbed the expectations of a cut and the drop and rise in the market already could have happened the last weeks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1967718703321289183)  2025-09-15T22:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"yoy $APPL rev has been long term rising but as gen z become a lot less interested in getting a new iPhone to be part of the inclusion community as theyve felt the need but for myself I tended to change new iPhone every [--] years. The phone works and no need to upgrade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1968095825898459267)  2025-09-16T23:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"basically betting that the market will choose its new trend tomorrow. Not anyone is saying that nothing can happen tomorrow we can see anything sideways action pops rise downs. Until the market disproves their thesis is when they can get caught off guard"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1968122676834455700)  2025-09-17T01:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"something not many talk about is about the possibility of a rate hike or rate pause. Given the sensitivity of the economic situation anything is possible. In the past weve tended to come into relative outcomes in getting caught off guard in surprising unexpected opposite news"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1968124458931269941)  2025-09-17T01:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Tech S&P500 mag [--] companys were remaining semi stuffy and semi heavy the last few weeks while the $SPY was in an uptrend. Has the tech sector showed the trend of the $SPY while the rest of the markets has been lagging"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1968130619512328695)  2025-09-17T01:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The economy continues remaining threatened more and more. -trumps tariffs being threatened to be removed -Government shutdown Sept.30 midnight -inflation+public debt -surge in unemployment -weakening labor market - Chinas [--] day deal expiration date near etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1968347201173909981)  2025-09-17T16:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"do we end up heading into a recessionary event then the fed would be more enticed to cut rates aggressively which is a thesis but the other thesis still if no recession near then the fed still enticed to cut rates but in parts compared to one large cut"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1968354865027104977)  2025-09-17T16:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"discounted company which the cash flow and rise in interest further allows room for deals or potential company acquisition"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1968371106294940129)  2025-09-17T17:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The BOJ is exploring (a chance of a rate hike by the year-end) and such a possibility exists. Considering future inflation (trends) opportunities for a rate hike are limited and if Sanae Takaichi is elected (as the head of the ruling party) the likelihood of a rate hike"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1968910953933672942)  2025-09-19T05:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"October FOMC Government shutdown Oct1 might Supreme Court tariff decision November Argentina has been working on strategies to ensure it can meet about $9.5 billion in debt payments due next year. And inflated tech companys and overdue bubble"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1969215452543963320)  2025-09-20T01:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Tariff Rev. Supreme Court had taken action to take the case on Trumps power. Does the Supreme Court reject Trumps case then the U.S will owe back over $1 trillion back to the foreign governments due to abuse of power. Trumps confidence in Beautiful Bill also was Tariffs revenu"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1969846339786903556)  2025-09-21T19:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Risk of capital outflows & foreign exchange stress: In [----] a key part of the crisis was a shortage of foreign currency reserves inability to meet external liabilities and massive currency depreciation. President Lees concern is that large immediate investment commitments"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1969875210800333076)  2025-09-21T21:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$DJT reclaiming off its year long base"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1969919730153910687)  2025-09-22T00:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$SNAP in competition field in AR spectacle $META glasses $AAPL glasses and other competitors. Aside from AR the company is emerging from lost performance and social media TikTok"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1969951233818673581)  2025-09-22T02:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$BTC crypto markets and U.S equities and foreign markets starting to attempt to slip"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1970006467102298354)  2025-09-22T06:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"As Trumps approval for increase in nuclear energy in order catch up with the demand in power electricity cost has risen significantly which new start up companies will incur higher cost for operations"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1970934956366102978)  2025-09-24T19:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"So government shutdown of 2018-2018 was because of dispute over border wall funding [----] was a standoff over funding for the affordable care act led to a shutdown during president Obama 1995-1996 the shutdown resulted from a budget dispute between president bill Clinton and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1971166657075904765)  2025-09-25T10:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The White House has been planning and trumps attention has been in mass firing into a shutdown. This coming government shutdown event is being treated more extreme and aggressive than past events as the budget deficit is a lot more severe. On average during budget"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1971167226918207812)  2025-09-25T10:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"events the average shutdown is about 21-24 days. This can eventually trigger a potential economic downturn and fear buildup for the short-term but will it followup with showing the rise in economic slowdown and struggle building up yoy Time will tell"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1971167684504190981)  2025-09-25T10:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$RH 1.50% tariff on kitchen cabinets bathroom vanities and associated products [--]. 30% tariff on upholstered furniture. Set by Trump as of earlier today added tariffs on furnitures which Trump is only adding more a damage until a domino affect tilts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1971430599492878435)  2025-09-26T04:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Do we head into a Government shutdown economic data and information used by the FED would be inaccessible if economic data cannot be released and can further push the FED back from cutting rates if there is not enough data to access the decision making of Powell"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1971962193651683559)  2025-09-27T15:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Nikkei reacting ahead of government shutdown and ongoing growing economic uncertainty"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1972568915848147386)  2025-09-29T07:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"The U.S treasury [----] Q1($775.3 billion [----] Q3($885.7 billion [----] Q1($405.8 billion [----] Q2($456.98 billion The government shutdown from prior [--] days costed about 3$ billion in government which saw a decreased in GDP"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1973119558631432605)  2025-09-30T20:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Q1 (JanuaryMarch 2025): The Treasury borrowed $369 billion in privately held net marketable debt ending the quarter with a cash balance of $406 billion. Q2 (AprilJune 2025): Borrowing increased to $514 billion with an assumed end-of-quarter cash balance of $850 billion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1973119635131375672)  2025-09-30T20:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Meteorologist past opp in unfortunate times. [----]. Live stock and tense economic situation caused massive crop lands and water supply shattered to massive shortage. At the time no real tradable exchanges were established at the time but in present time smaller events have"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1974284446670221781)  2025-10-04T01:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$IBIT economic bet. Closed short bet. 5:1+ RR sized in decently with plan. Was lucky with the china news which allowed for a high volatility move. Again with cash distributed could only participate in the short term move rather than longer term"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1976741828776104221)  2025-10-10T20:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$IBIT down another Afterhours [--] points"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1976770537738379534)  2025-10-10T22:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$TLT I was positioned heavy in the treasury long bet but the thesis was positioning out given the fed sentiment and the decisions of slowly cutting rates which i planned a shorter timeframe volatility inflection move"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1976787018358436292)  2025-10-10T23:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Credit score levels falling near recession levels. Student loans in default credit cards delinquency surge rate car loans and also a close friend it backed in his car loans for months"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1976828756343116131)  2025-10-11T01:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Trump to impose 100% tariffs in China starting in effect November [--]. [--] days deadline near. Does China retaliate back with matching 100% tariffs then the tariffs theme can have potential to re ignite. Trade war"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1977123612286124426)  2025-10-11T21:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Nikkei [---] dropping ahead of re-occurring economic situation trade war and global events building up. Gov shutdown No1 tariff China FOMC October seasonality and more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1977956475139137677)  2025-10-14T04:35Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"More so during the hot theme momentum phase as it drys down some of the fundamentals regroup back into the company"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1978943274652963093)  2025-10-16T21:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"There can be multiple phases. During a phase: a big cap company can move like a small cap as the retail and speculators re-group into a name. Then in another phase after the name cools down then it goes back to moving like a big cap moving more on thr fundamental side than techn"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1978943963303211511)  2025-10-16T21:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$GME $AMC $BBBY $DJT SMCI and many more. As you see there are phases when the name became the leader then back to behaving like it did before. Gradual and slow moving on its deals news merger agreements and more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1978944286755549437)  2025-10-16T22:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"For longer term bets you can end up being used to short timeframe with daily chart but as you enter a secondary stage phase after 20% movement in 2-3 days can feel different and then waiting 1-2 months more for a further continuation long/short for the additional downside/ups"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1980521783129465296)  2025-10-21T06:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"During the pandemic sectors showed their hand on what sectors profited the most and succeeded the most. Ex: Furniture home stocks of course ran along with many factors as people wanted to change their home but it was a nice to have but not a need to have. While food stocks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1923884814031258001)  2025-05-17T23:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Food(necessity) over luxury items. Like someone said before Bill Ackman mentioned companies that outperform are those that people will always need in the future"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1923885877761335385)  2025-05-17T23:38Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$RIVN 40-70% average annual sales growth. Total debt est 6$ billion which with annual continued growth with steady levels holding allowed for decent positioning. Disclosure Long 20%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1946773941558935938)  2025-07-20T03:27Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$VFS has been deeply forgotten. I was walking in a city and came across someone driving this car which similar to $RIVN where decent new EV emerging companies are taking in with the competitors. Slightly still unknown of a company to many. The company has been getting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1950384639153230321)  2025-07-30T02:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Investment holding remain $PYPL $NKE $RVIN ev space $BABA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1951342307216949658)  2025-08-01T18:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"As we head into fiscal Q3. Given the majority of $SPY beingHeldUp by a couple tech names we see an opposite expectancy into fiscal then potential unwind into extend tech names for a potential setup as the AI can take a pause into unlikely for further momo continuation. My opini"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1954651884901572891)  2025-08-10T21:11Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"than expected and the market slipped but reclaimed into the beautiful bill being passed retaining some more time of the national debt default and also the 80% of spy is being held up by only a few names which makes things even more sensitive into upcoming earnings and inflation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1956097470792131071)  2025-08-14T20:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"New holding $JBLU current avg5.10 after experiencing long term production loss in attempt to further stabilize and allow doors theyve expanded destination. Also Carl Icahn played a decent part in Trans World Airlines $TWA with similar experience in airlines"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1956206632184242605)  2025-08-15T04:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$PLTR and many more tech and supercomputer names weakening into upcoming economic event and tech earnings holding up the $SPY @TheShortBear"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1956881114741833995)  2025-08-17T00:49Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"A little trick allows you to see pre ipo private transactions. For recent ipos within a few weeks or month tend to extend further if click on intraday chart to Daily then click weekly chart to extend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1961218545326649691)  2025-08-29T00:05Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$PYPL remains a holding. Venmo part of their company has been steadily increasing growth yoy and I recently have been personally using it and many small businesses"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1966545953944703110)  2025-09-12T16:54Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"new holding starting to emerge off its base more of influence from TikTok news sympathy move. not much fundamental reasoning right now. Disclaimer long $SNAP monitoring $SNAP for potential starter investment do we end up having operations turnout. The company has been lagging behind tons of emerging technology. Primarily known for their viral filters and friendly fun ease of messages. A app trend used by gen z and became boring after monitoring $SNAP for potential starter investment do we end up having operations turnout. The company has been lagging behind tons of emerging technology."  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1968123495361204504)  2025-09-17T01:23Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$JPM JPMorgan Chase rumors on holding worthless triple AAA subprime auto loans from Tricklor Holdings bankruptcy filed a few days ago and potential to be downgraded if fraud is true. JPMorgan and Barclays potential holdings in 170-200 million losses in their reported coming books"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1969600904015069452)  2025-09-21T03:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$TA-35 Tel Aviv Israel Exchange finished down -2.30% into Thursdays intraday close. -4.9% down off its ATHs. Are other foreign markets mirroring and US markets. $FTSE [---] $NIKKEI [---] dropped after hours -1%+ into debt news. $IPC Mexico"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1969784739075957162)  2025-09-21T15:24Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$SNAP holding reclaiming off its technical base. Awaiting for potential new restructuring results on the companys performance and future outlook growth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1969918682630595031)  2025-09-22T00:16Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Interesting how when forgotten companies $INTC intel and $SNAP get discovered back into the spotlight investors jump back in and some companies invest back as attention comes backs after a while like after a Trump opened a position in $INTC under the governments name and TikTk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1969923970586837463)  2025-09-22T00:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$PYPL cut off holding to use the cash into other assets/names. The focus right now for me is what is working right now instead of what will work later. If I can use the cash from assets not bringing cash flow right now then will re-invest into those that currently are"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1970942367944573291)  2025-09-24T20:04Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Monitoring $NFLX potential short bet. As consumers focus more on essential needs and Netflix just keeps on recycling their old movies back theyve just been re-releasing the same old movies with nothing new. Content has been weakening along with Disney+ which I canceled"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1978506148421513592)  2025-10-15T16:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Positioning varies thesis. You can position like a tight risk similar to your own setup but if you come with the same mentality and risk tolerance when you convert your original day trade to a longer term bet which then your emotions go sideways if you down re-adjust size"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1979221091206992094)  2025-10-17T16:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"No SNAP benefits to be issued in November as government shutdown stretches on Further stretches to recessionary domino affect along with the lists of pile of credit default and spending underperformance. Etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1979409468300628003)  2025-10-18T04:49Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"The 35-day [--------] shutdown was already the longest in history and it strained small banks in affected regions delayed $18 billion in spending and temporarily slowed GDP growth by 0.10.2% per week. If it lasted longer today:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1979772986585665728)  2025-10-19T04:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Treasury cash management would start to deplete especially amid high deficits. repo market and commercial paper market could see spikes in rates. liquidity crunch could emerge forcing Fed to intervene with emergency repo discount window operations even before a technical default"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1979773471879266327)  2025-10-19T04:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"$TLT [--] YR treasury bet reflects my recessionary expectations and the math below will show that shorter maturity bonds are the way to proceed should a recession hit as they react drastically more to current FED policies"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1980209184257048619)  2025-10-20T09:47Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"When an adjustable rate mortgage (ARM) or other variable rate loan resets it means your interest rate stops being fixed and starts being adjusted based on current market conditions. When the fixed rates reset the consumers who get set in new adjusted rates may struggle pay loan"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1980211612398350424)  2025-10-20T09:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"eBay listings performance 2020-2025 As individuals file for unemployment there has tended to be rise in active auction listings in websites or in times of economic stress and monetary stress in fear"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1981142548992446582)  2025-10-22T23:36Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"AI companies becoming more vulnerable to not be saved bailout from government tax payers. Those that operate and adapt throughout a shifting economic environment are most likely to sit through and take over. OpenAI NVIDIA Palantir AMD among the competitors"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1986583999180099806)  2025-11-06T23:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"The housing market liquidity has dried up significantly to the point where sellers are struggling to sell when there are not buyers to take their home (bid) and they are constantly limit down their homes cutting their home prices but still no liquidity of interest. 5-6 price cuts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1987328668595806575)  2025-11-09T01:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@TheShortBear $GDX Golds retracement from yesterdays economic tension and influence after gov shutdown news and priced in and safe heaven assets reacted. I took a short into the 80s and covered 73s then bounced it at 73s to 75"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1989428626593648906)  2025-11-14T20:22Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Built bet around Golds $GDX then overall mkt rebound after premkt sell off to then took advantage of the mornings volatility and assets attempted to re-stabilize"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1989429605355458992)  2025-11-14T20:25Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$KLAR $CRWV and many more ipo companies attempting to re-stabilize. Will despite Klarnas initial phase attempt moat and potential is still unclear for the company. $ACHR remaining part of the aircraft theme investment point momo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1997517699543638515)  2025-12-07T04:05Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$SLV metals theme offered volatility. Short then covered then bounced it for a trade. Watched for a bet but given tight liquidity provided just took the trade instead of wider picture"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/1999702458579452361)  2025-12-13T04:46Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Only a select few companies like $UBER $DASH and similar working companies high people usage to where a person may use it once a week or month but when the person begins using it on a regular basis and becomes a norm to uber and receive items their productivity usage rise expone"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2001355554309169187)  2025-12-17T18:15Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Public wanting to find alternative options to avoid debt repayment via Ch [--] filing for bankruptcy. Dozens and dozens of businesses near me have declared bankruptcy or near declaring. People rushed into the holidays on a frenzy spending without caring about their credit card usage"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2001612857847493048)  2025-12-18T11:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$FIG monitoring potential long bet. AI integration company which hasnt sent waves of PressRelease in a while. Disclaimer: no current position"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2001743012142186583)  2025-12-18T19:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Countless many Rivian cars i see now daily. More than last few months. $RIVN waking up ahead of Ford motors $F which helped with boost as Ford announced to semi step back/down from EV production given demand was not as expected"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2001746185166721051)  2025-12-18T20:07Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$TSLA forgotten news about future progress on making your Tesla autonomous to work as an $UBER like passive income while you are sleeping or not using it and can generate income on the side. Waymo/Uber/Tesla+Robotaxi/Lyft in the autonomous competition. Still really early though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2001747347932631088)  2025-12-18T20:12Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$RIVN still wonky daily action and can have a few point+ retracement"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2001748018065027580)  2025-12-18T20:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Witching has tended to bring higher volatility in relationship with liquidity OPP especially into retracement or market selloffs time providing the most liquidity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2002034271914209367)  2025-12-19T15:12Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$FIG decent uprise. $CRCL decent as well. Potential starter as it becomes more news sensitive for both"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2002420699223540128)  2025-12-20T16:47Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Markets remained sensitive during this ATH stabilization phase into a sensitive zone level. With the recent Venezuela strike increases fear among Latin investors. So far Tariffs Iran & Israel conflict Russia & Ukraine conflict rate cuts unemployment data surge increase fear"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2007562049975661019)  2026-01-03T21:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Oil markets potential watch into these headlines into Monday. Does oil equities and FUTs provide volatility into Monday with the ongoing market sentiment"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2007564192354804065)  2026-01-03T21:26Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Trump has tended to take more aggressive actions during his times of presidency which the markets have tended to react with higher implied volatility"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2007564759307059640)  2026-01-03T21:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Since [----] Covid fear stabilized the industries that drive serotonin and dopamine of traveling and tastebuds $H Hyatt hotels surged decently within a short timeframe and $CMG for and others in related fields rose 44%+ as consumers spent [--] years in complete satisfaction"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2008528110673961328)  2026-01-06T13:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$BBAI monthly positioning in tact. Disclaimer: long. Decent potential in this quantum/computing industry sector"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2008650385528127960)  2026-01-06T21:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Gold: sound money asset form of guarantee payment the original form of payment. Silver has a lot more industrial value exposure which widely used adds on to not just safe heaven asset but also has additional value in the industrial side which adds 2x the implied volatility to it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2009561085758849276)  2026-01-09T09:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$GDX Gold bottomed in March [----] shortly after COVID hit globalstimulus checks mass government spending in infrastructure bills months later sending funds to Ukraine and Israel during the conflict. Gold and other sound money assets surged as dollar printing further devalued"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2010007341199176001)  2026-01-10T15:14Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Credit card companies potential reaction into weekend open ahead of Trump attempt to force lower credit rates which only makes future individuals face harder loan approval and will then be subject to find alternatives as Shark loans which only hurts future home borrowers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2010009015246594065)  2026-01-10T15:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"As Bill Ackman mentioned find uncorrelated markets. A beautiful example $UNH healthcare sector market and foreign markets which a few had tended to react opposite to the U.S market to even not react much to market downfalls"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2010010223310975052)  2026-01-10T15:25Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$BMNR $MSTR broke out of their range phase after being below their NAV net asset value. Tom Lee acquired more ethereum while at BMNR Traded at discount relative to net asset value holding"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2011355851542683950)  2026-01-14T08:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$SNDL flushing out after multiple re traps"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2012171655431196851)  2026-01-16T14:34Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Since the beginning of the first bet placed the ongoing fear of wanting to perform and feel the urgency to touch everything has done the most damage psychologically and capital wise. Forecasting and backtesting events and social life events helped understand situation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/MiguelCruzIII/status/2012173338131509448)  2026-01-16T14:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing