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# ![@Giovann35084111 Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1234262786017910784.png) @Giovann35084111 Giovanni's BTC_POWER_LAW

Giovanni's BTC_POWER_LAW posts on X about bitcoin, long term, over the, inflation the most. They currently have XXXXXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

### Engagements: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1234262786017910784/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1234262786017910784/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXXX +291%
- X Month XXXXXXXXX +103%
- X Months XXXXXXXXX -XX%
- X Year XXXXXXXXXX -XX%

### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::1234262786017910784/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1234262786017910784/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- X Week XXX +161%
- X Month XXX +114%
- X Months XXX -XX%
- X Year XXXXX -XX%

### Followers: XXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1234262786017910784/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1234262786017910784/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXXXXX +0.45%
- X Month XXXXXX +1%
- X Months XXXXXX +9.90%
- X Year XXXXXX +36%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1234262786017910784/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1234262786017910784/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence [#](/creator/twitter::1234262786017910784/influence)
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**Social category influence**
[cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  #558 [finance](/list/finance)  XXXX% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  XXXX% [countries](/list/countries)  XXXX% [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  #7139 [stocks](/list/stocks)  XXXX% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  XXXX%

**Social topic influence**
[bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin) #239, [long term](/topic/long-term) #973, [over the](/topic/over-the) 1.85%, [inflation](/topic/inflation) #1609, [instead of](/topic/instead-of) #974, [elon musk](/topic/elon-musk) #257, [bulgaria](/topic/bulgaria) #287, [market cap](/topic/market-cap) #2074, [investment](/topic/investment) 1.23%, [money](/topic/money) #2392

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@therealplanc](/creator/undefined) [@salubrioushodl](/creator/undefined) [@snzbtc](/creator/undefined) [@moneyordebt](/creator/undefined) [@hardmoneyhodl](/creator/undefined) [@xuan05](/creator/undefined) [@dotkrueger](/creator/undefined) [@btcarchive](/creator/undefined) [@sminston_with](/creator/undefined) [@manu08514934](/creator/undefined) [@apsk32](/creator/undefined) [@dalaibitcoin](/creator/undefined) [@waterabove25](/creator/undefined) [@disco1392](/creator/undefined) [@btcoptioneer](/creator/undefined) [@kibo_osu](/creator/undefined) [@velasco101](/creator/undefined) [@bitcoinaimusic](/creator/undefined) [@1basemoney](/creator/undefined) [@protonthor](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Spirit Airlines, Inc. (SAVE)](/topic/spirit-airlines) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Bitcoin Gold (BTG)](/topic/bitcoin-gold) [Bitcoin Plus (XBC)](/topic/bitcoin-plus)
### Top Social Posts [#](/creator/twitter::1234262786017910784/posts)
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Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Ok my plan to be a Bitcoin powered cyborg is a step closer to reality"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980622489597137148) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T13:09Z 52.6K followers, 5050 engagements


"Good question. It is actually hashrate that is catching up. This is why it is so important to understand Bitcoin scientifically. A lot of misunderstanding and people making claims without any evidence in the space"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980977000736301512) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-22T12:38Z 52.6K followers, 5550 engagements


"Ryanair is worse than Spirit airlines. I will make a full report later but you should know it is not even possible to make a video of the interaction with their customer service at the airport because they call the police given "privacy laws""  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1978756110073856145) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-16T09:33Z 52.6K followers, 3600 engagements


"I'm in Sophia Bulgaria. Interesting place. I will report more from the Bitcoin Balkan conference"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1978827983348490736) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-16T14:18Z 52.6K followers, 3390 engagements


"This is a good question. Yes gold is bigger in market cap so relatively small movements in gold mean large market cap changes. But this actually shows why Bitcoin is a better long term investment because it has room to grow. Gold cannot grow a factor of XX just cannot in terms of what would be involved in capital invested ratio to other assets and all sorts of problems the infrastructure will suffer if it was valued even more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1979122648979214761) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-17T09:49Z 52.6K followers, 9519 engagements


"For now. Soon these AIs will also live in the physical world. They could have their own laboratories and factories. This is the start. I don't understand people who don't understand that these are minds more capable than our own. And again this is just the beginning"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1979198475599278425) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-17T14:51Z 52.6K followers, 6382 engagements


"Funny Sina scolding PlanC about not recognizing him as the mind behind the quantile model when both of them had no clue of the power law at all until I showed it to them. This latest form of the quantile regression is actually something I proposed to both of them and they rejected it initially. I wrote a full article on why it was better than vanilla quantile. Now it is their model so absurd. The quantile model is the power law by the way. This is so funny and it is coming full circle. LOLLLLL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1979320820112724081) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-17T22:57Z 52.6K followers, 4637 engagements


"I had a couple of women leaving me for that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1979502670986797278) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-18T10:59Z 52.6K followers, 11.2K engagements


"This is really the essence. Bitcoin is a network and it behaves as a network. The power law is evidence that this is the case. No gold no SP500 no real estate behaves in this way just a myriad of other information networks including cities and life itself. Bitcoin is not an asset; it is the universe of human value expressing itself in math"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980231816859500659) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T11:17Z 52.6K followers, 25.2K engagements


"Please learn about scaling. It is really like learning to read or do basic math. Bitcoin follows scaling laws. It will take X years to X M and XX to XX M. It is physics not some arbitrary guess"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980987723554156923) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-22T13:20Z 52.6K followers, 26K engagements


"Lines are superior to any other model because they are simple. If you can characterize a system with one parameter you have found the golden standard of modelling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1981277525054517551) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-23T08:32Z 52.6K followers, 11.5K engagements


"The economy of Bitcoin is similar to that of a city. Cities are predictable. Almost all the parameters you can think of like GDP number of patents number of gas stations even how fast somebody walks in a city is are power laws that are universal similar in China the US Europe and so on. This applies to Bitcoin. There is a reason and the reason is that cities are networks and Bitcoin is a network. The people who dismiss the power law don't get this. We are not discussing a model; we are discussing a fundamental framework to understand Bitcoin. Video is linked in the comments"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1981309374141178094) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-23T10:39Z 52.6K followers, 4963 engagements


"This remains my best interview to date. It is the best because @Breedlove22 is a genuine person he was well prepared (he even has a series of interviews with physicist G. West a world expert in power laws) and a bright and curious mind. Also the live interview vs one over the internet changed our dynamics. If you want to really go deep on the Power Law Theory and understand its significance watch this interview you will learn about the beauty and power of Bitcoin from a scientific point of view. The link is in the comments"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1920479574267474371) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-05-08T14:03Z 52.6K followers, 117.7K engagements


"The fact we will have the singularity in XX years is one of the reasons I don't do Bitcoin projections beyond that date"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1977992520643604719) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-14T06:59Z 52.5K followers, 10.6K engagements


"I like this theory of aging. We age because our cells lose clear direction. That applies to everything individuals society civilization. Always have purpose in your life"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1978380299504422979) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-15T08:39Z 52.5K followers, 9254 engagements


"Tell the difference"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1978486630655693054) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-15T15:42Z 52.6K followers, 25.3K engagements


"Gold is not adopted. There is nothing to adopt. It is an asset used in uncertain times as a hedging tool. China is playing anti-dollar games with it. Bitcoin is a scaling phenomenon. It will be 100x in XX years. Gold cannot because people would find ways to mine much more even in non efficient ways for example if it did and price will collapse and then stabilize. Gold is Temu Bitcoin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1978686343808012626) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-16T04:56Z 52.5K followers, 34.3K engagements


"It is actually an insult to call Bitcoin the digital gold it is gold that is the analog Bitcoin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1978723114977460595) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-16T07:22Z 52.5K followers, 10.2K engagements


"This is becoming silly. I criticized the quantile model and proposed in an article a way to fix it. This was many months ago. PlanC resisted it and now he came out with the same model I proposed and it is now HIS model and trending news. Is it because he has a cute anonymous face"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1978726084523831726) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-16T07:33Z 52.6K followers, 33.4K engagements


"PlanC as always pretends to be what is not. Let me give you an example. He mentions "stretched exponentials". I explained the concept to him but actually they are a possible bug not an useful feature of these models. Everything looks like an exponential if you use a far away origin. The problem is that you can go so far by prompting Chat GPT but if you have no true foundation in the topic you claim to be an expert in there will be obvious misconceptions and misinformation. That is what really bothers me in the end about all this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1978854432411660481) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-16T16:03Z 52.6K followers, 10.4K engagements


"The main issue was how to represent the decay from the peak. The original quantile regression of the power law did it in the logical wrong way. Both Sina and PlanC resisted my criticism and I proposed a resolution involving a mixed model with power law for lower quantiles and power law + exponential decay. Now this resolution is all of the sudden Quantile V2. Without attribution of my criticism and resolution. If PlanC was in Academia or any intellectual professional field this plagiarism would have serious consequences"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1978870260074750204) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-16T17:06Z 52.5K followers, 17.3K engagements


"I'm in Sophia at a conference. I love Bulgaria so far. We had a social event and it is great to see so many Bitcoiners in a relatively small country. But interacting in person with people I can see how people resist to the power law. There were supporters too but I had some animated discussions with X individuals who mentioned one of the strongest misunderstandings and mental blocks I can imagine: you are using the USD as a denominator. This is one of the silliest arguments against the power law for many reasons. I will have to write an entire article on this given I see now so many people"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1979312319172575454) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-17T22:23Z 52.6K followers, 3926 engagements


"I'm listening to PlanC interview with @BTC_Archive. He starts the description of the quantile regression at XX minutes. There are many imprecise and wrong things. We will discuss them in detail in another post mostly to clarify the technical info and not the polemics. But here some of the wrong statements. 1) The power law is an observation. Not sure what this even means. 2) There was only the middle fair price when PlanC came into the scene to save all of us. No. I already discussed statistical ways to describe deviations. It was in terms of % deviations from the fair value also we"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1979327271442747894) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-17T23:22Z 52.5K followers, 4843 engagements


"The most egregious statement from PlanC showing how he really doesn't understand the power law at all is: "If the decay function breaks the power law may break as well". Absurd. 1) The decay function seems already broken. 2) The decay is about the residuals so what is left after the power law. We know that these residuals have a small weight in the overall behavior of Bitcoin. Just X %. They are a side show not the main show. 3) Exponential are not stable that is the main message we are repeating over and over. Scaling laws are stable. Not understanding all this means PlanC has no clue of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1979328940540891142) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-17T23:29Z 52.5K followers, 7164 engagements


"All this is so amazing to watch. What Sina describes about PlanC I described about both of them. Sina lacks physics understanding and intuition for example. He has no clue about why power laws are important. Working together is great but one has to be transparent on who contributed what. People that say that don't care about the drama they never created something valuable"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1979426358737371306) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-18T05:56Z 52.6K followers, 7341 engagements


"Beautiful system thinking slide about foundational innovations"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1979492743194780077) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-18T10:20Z 52.6K followers, 3924 engagements


"I just gave @TheRealPlanC a legal warning of "cease and desist" in claiming authorship of an intellectual piece of work of mine. Several months ago published a long article explaining what the problem of the Quantile model V1 was. It took me days to write it. I proposed in that article several fundamental changes to V1 and created what I called the Unicorn Quantile Model. What PlanC says is that Quantile V2 is exactly the same model with the same predictions. Given PlanC is a serial plagiarizer and has done similar things in the past to several people I decided to stop this behavior."  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1979832214645780826) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-19T08:49Z 52.5K followers, 17.7K engagements


"@__nikskip__ @TheRealPlanC @grok Read this article. I published a review of V1 and then proposed an improvement with step-by-step instructions and motivations. This is what PlanC claims is not V2. He is shameless"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1979833564066976125) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-19T08:54Z 52.5K followers, 5329 engagements


"Here is a video from X months ago. I discuss why Quantile V1 is problematic and I give a resolution. I explain how to build a better version of the Quantile model and I call it Unicorn Quantile (because it looks it has a horn). This is now what PlanC calls V2. The exact same model I proposed as an improvement claiming he is the author of it. Ridiculous. I have the receipts and am tired of PlanC plagiarizing mine and others' work"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1979835952596996130) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-19T09:04Z 52.6K followers, 5298 engagements


"I'm going to write an article on the history of the modeling of Bitcoin. I had some confrontation with @sminston_with at a point but I think it was created mostly by @TheRealPlanC interference in the relationship. Since then we have been respectful to each other and in general I like his work and he has been most of the time very professional and respectful. He has serious analytical power and also a foundational understanding of the topic involved in this research. He was one of the first people to make good quantile regression models it seems before PlanC and in particular he had the idea"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1979848580727701606) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-19T09:54Z 52.6K followers, 8044 engagements


"@TheRealPlanC Here is by the way the convo I had with PlanC where I explained to him how to construct V2. This Feb 2024 then in April 2024 I wrote article with step-by-step instructions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980045745987403787) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-19T22:57Z 52.6K followers, 2631 engagements


"@TheRealPlanC Here is evidence you forgot to include. Me teaching you about V2 to show you how V1 was bad. You are just a ChatGPT intern:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980067760156885406) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T00:25Z 52.5K followers, 3119 engagements


"Here is the final evidence. It was not @TheRealPlanC that came up with the quantile V1 version but @ResearchBTCNow. What is noticeable is that differently from PlanC who is a ChatGPT intern @ResearchBTCNow is a competent researcher who knows what he is doing. I know it is difficult for the average person to discern the level of knowledge of the many people who post charts but it is not difficult for peers to recognize other peers in a particular field. Both Sina and I recognized immediately by interacting daily with PlanC that it is a misguided stubborn amateur while it is clear to me"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980235756045041917) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T11:32Z 52.5K followers, 11.1K engagements


"PlanC already had a big following from the days when he was a leader in the Celsius world. Also given that he is not clear about the fact that the quantile model is just another regression of the power law many people who don't like the power law think it is an alternative to the power law. Plus he is very "nice" (part of what made me want to interact with him in the first place) when he wants to achieve a goal. I'm rough and I don't deal easily with trolls and nonsense. Social media rewards fake things over genuine ones"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980237480445071838) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T11:39Z 52.5K followers, 2365 engagements


"Networks and power laws are not 1-to-1. Networks are complex systems so they can show many behaviors. But it seems that most networks in nature prefer to organize themselves in such a way as to show power law properties. This is the case for social networks cities organisms and so on. There are different mechanisms behind this organization and I'm also studying them to see how relevant they are in understanding Bitcoin. One mechanism is called "preferential attachment" where a few nodes are more important than others. This leads to scale-invariant behavior and it is actually a good feature"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980240001829879955) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T11:49Z 52.6K followers, 4832 engagements


"Link to the video:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980243964428157396) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T12:05Z 52.6K followers, 5931 engagements


"Somebody commented useless chart. It is probably one of the most useful chart you can have to understand Bitcoin behavior. 1) It uses the normalized returns of Bitcoin that include the decay due to the power law. 2) The stats are based on the true observed distribution of these values. It is not the usal bell curve because Bitcoin shows heavy tails that means often we get large changes in price in both direction that overshadow changes accumulated for many weeks at times. The distribution I use takes in consideration these large events and characterize them in the proper statistical way. 3) I"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980261717327163646) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T13:15Z 52.5K followers, 1087 engagements


"Take the top and bottom curve as the best and worst scenario. It is a wide range but simply because it shows the true volatility of Bitcoin including large events. The usefulness is that you can see where we can go in the next X weeks in these X possible scenarios. If you want to play options then this chart is very valuable"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980263828974711295) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T13:24Z 52.5K followers, 2772 engagements


"@alitariq0001 The model is based on the true statistical behavior of Bitcoin include the rare large events"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980265970225532972) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T13:32Z 52.5K followers, XX engagements


"On that I agree with you. When I read your commentary on PlanC I shook my head. Almost word by word I can say the same things you said about him. I tutored him explained basic concepts but at times he refused to listen concerning well known and established facts of statistics or the scientific method. We may disagree on very technical details but I know you are a professional in your field maybe our disagreements are mostly in terms of our background and framework rigorous stastics vs physical intuition and simplification. Having a Ph.D. is not absolutely necessary to do research but without"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980267575847026978) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T13:39Z 52.5K followers, 1825 engagements


"Thank you Sina I really appreciate. I have to be honest I was very sad about what happened between us because actually you came to my rescue several times when self proclaimed stat experts attacked me with unfounded criticism of the power law. I think it was PlanC meddling that poisoned our relationship. I feel the same in terms of your professional knowledge and preparation. If we disagree is maybe on very technical minor matters mostly because of our background and framework but I'm read to make amends and even apologies if I used harsh tones while interacting with you"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980269627805425838) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T13:47Z 52.5K followers, 2049 engagements


"I can attest that every single thing Sina said about PlanC is the same almost word by word experience that I had with PlanC. I lamented that PlanC meddling ruined my relationship with Sina that I actually cared about because I respect him as a professional and very knowledgeable in his field. At times we got heated and act irrationally on both sides but I know now what was the common denominator of this matter: PlanC continuous machinations. But for what concerns Sina there is no doubt he is an overall plus plus for the community"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980271118662426688) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T13:53Z 52.6K followers, 2068 engagements


"Gold is ripping again and I think gold is a harbinger for Bitcoin in these circumstances"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980277210851197182) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T14:17Z 52.6K followers, 15.1K engagements


"We know he is a meme and a literal idiot (or maybe smart street and does this on purpose). Gold went up 3x in XX years Bitcoin went up 100000000x in the same time. Gold is dirty exponential it will collapse at a point to lower values and not change much. It is meant to be a store of value. In the next XX years it will go up again by a factor of few to simply keep up with inflation. Bitcoin that grows as a noble power law is a multiplier of value. It will be 10x in X years and 100x in XX years. But beside growing value and beating inflation to a pulp the value of Bitcoin is that it is a true"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980291754449351021) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T15:15Z 52.5K followers, 1887 engagements


"It is not like that. The power law is rigorously proven to be correct and it also a framework to understand Bitcoin. S2F principle is scarcity while the power law is about adoption and cooperation. It talks about the math of network and the fact Bitcoin behaves like a force of nature similat to the growth of cities organisms and intelligence. It is a big deal independently of price prediction"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980305787802267801) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T16:11Z 52.5K followers, XXX engagements


"Read my article on network theory. I already discussed how one can make the network strength a periodic function. Also me and Stephen have discussed log periodic models for months. I proposed log periodicity in Bitcoin in 2012. You are rediscovering work that is already done. The bottom line though is your adding additional parameters. It is not necessary given the main power law does a good job over the long term"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980472806883184844) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T03:14Z 52.5K followers, XXX engagements


"@HardMoneyHodl @SalubriousHODL @TheRealPlanC @Snz_BTC @moneyordebt We already discussed this in our show many times. It is basically a log periodic model that tends to overfit the data. We go always with simplicity over complicated models. It is good people explore ideas but this is not an improvement over what we discovered already"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980473910241161655) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T03:19Z 52.5K followers, XX engagements


"@SalubriousHODL @brasileiroloko1 @TheRealPlanC @Snz_BTC Nah my result on normalized returns is the real breakthrough. You seem unaware of it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980474283630707093) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T03:20Z 52.5K followers, XX engagements


"@SalubriousHODL @brasileiroloko1 @TheRealPlanC @Snz_BTC I reconstruct the slope of power law via normalized returns. This slope is stable over the entire data set. You have looked at this work. I found the best way to describe the long term stat behavior without regression. Please study my work"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980475113897357574) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T03:23Z 52.5K followers, XX engagements


"I'm traveling but when I'm back I will show you posts from 2014 where I discuss log periodicity in Bitcoin data. This is not a new idea. There is even a paper by Sornette about similar ideas. While it is good you are exploring you need to look more carefully previous work and stop making grandiose claims about an overfitted model that is already discussed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980478409634378100) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T03:37Z 52.5K followers, XXX engagements


"I read it. It is you that has not read my work. Decomposing Bitcoin price in harmonic components has been done using a log-periodic approach has been done. Me and Stephen have a show where we discuss new results every week. Do you think we have not covered these ideas Write a coherent article with all the steps but cite sources of previous work and make sure to be comprehensive. This is how it is done"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980491865213272333) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T04:30Z 52.5K followers, XX engagements


"@SalubriousHODL @HardMoneyHodl @TheRealPlanC @Snz_BTC @moneyordebt Write a serious article citing previous work by others and yourself. Otherwise you are another anonymous wannabe"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980492958307684613) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T04:34Z 52.5K followers, XX engagements


"There are X signals. The main power law and periodic pulses in fact even a decay of the pulses. The early data is dominated by the first bubble in 2010. This hides the power law early on. But.the support power law is stable even then. Also I told you I looked at normalized returns or local slopes and they stable since we had data. My friend I have studied this since XX years. I have intimate knowledge of these things. I'm not against improving knowledge about Bitcoin but I despise people that do not research previous work"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980496963188527329) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T04:50Z 52.5K followers, XX engagements


"Take the power law and subtract it from the data. Characterize these data. It is clear it has periodicities. This is well known. The question is what is the dominant signal. The periodicities are dumping and becoming less significant. So in a sense they are a distraction. Simplicity is always superior to complexity. Look at Bitcoin. It is superior with its simplicity to more complex shitcoins"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980498619011919948) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T04:57Z 52.5K followers, XX engagements


"I know how to read tables better than you. Stop with insults. Periodic pulse were not established until we had enough of them You are using future info in this model to predict the future. You don't have enough intuition and understanding. Please learn first the foundation of the subject you are discussing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980499732066677196) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T05:01Z 52.5K followers, XX engagements


"You are so ignorant that do not understand that you need several oscillations to establish periodicity. In Italian we say grazie al cazzo. You established these periodicity by looking at the entire data set. You don't even realize this. Of course you can see the future if you use future data. You make me laugh"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980500541269835894) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T05:04Z 52.5K followers, XXX engagements


"That is a non statistically significant pattern. X years of data is not enough to establish statistically this pattern early on. Again lack of understanding of data. And as I said I did these types of periodicity analysis since 2014. Stop being insulting and arrogant. Last warning"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980516246618861807) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T06:07Z 52.5K followers, XX engagements


"@SalubriousHODL @TheRealPlanC @Snz_BTC So you are saying after X years you find periodicity of X on the same interval of data available. Rooky fallacy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980516688501022936) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T06:09Z 52.5K followers, XX engagements


"@SalubriousHODL @TheRealPlanC @Snz_BTC You get a F in data analysis. Back to school"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980517564418781264) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T06:12Z 52.5K followers, XX engagements


"A periodicity needs at a minimum X oscillations to be established statically You are doing the equivalent to establish a line with X points. Even if the line turns to be the true patten later you cannot say that the patten was established with X points. There is always a line between X points. You demonstrate that you have no foundational understanding of this field. Back to school"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980520194582659532) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T06:23Z 52.5K followers, XXX engagements


"Aluminum is trash now It was more valuable than gold once. Bitcoin fixes that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980524316812013728) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T06:39Z 52.6K followers, 4853 engagements


"@therationalroot Why this regularity Because Bitcoin follows what is called a power law spiral"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980615426007577016) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T12:41Z 52.6K followers, 1565 engagements


"@Xuan05 But I'm an angry bitchy scientist"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980619353142804812) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T12:57Z 52.6K followers, XXX engagements


"@maxkeiser @trevbeco But it is wrong. You can do Granger Causality and show price leads hashrate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980974501341827457) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-22T12:28Z 52.6K followers, XXX engagements


"Monte Carlo projections for the next X weeks. 124K is within likely paths. If we correct the possible value is around 100K"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980095761825337527) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T02:16Z 52.6K followers, 21.4K engagements


"Please watch the video in the comment. It is a wonderful 7-minute video about the relevance and importance of networks in our lives. Barabasi is a physicist and one of the founders of Network Science. Barabasi showed that many networks have power law properties. While you watch the video think about how Bitcoin is another instance of these networks and how amazing it is that Bitcoin is not an asset but one of these wonderful meaningful networks with enormous impact and relevance in our lives. Video link in the comments"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980243803660517432) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T12:04Z 52.6K followers, 5609 engagements


"We know he is a meme and a literal idiot (or maybe street smart and does this on purpose). Gold went up 3x in XX years Bitcoin went up 100000000x in the same time. Gold is dirty exponential it will collapse at a point to lower values and not change much. It is meant to be a store of value. In the next XX years it will go up again by a factor of few to simply keep up with inflation. Bitcoin that grows as a noble power law is a multiplier of value. It will be 10x in X years and 100x in XX years. But beside growing value and beating inflation to a pulp the value of Bitcoin is that it is a true"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980293713340330352) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T15:23Z 52.6K followers, 9859 engagements


"Forest fires are another example of power law growth. How fast a forest fire grows often follows a power law pattern. This is another analogy one can use for the process of Orange Pilling it is literally like a forest fire burning the ignorance of fiat and bringing the light of freedom to millions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980296801010745425) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T15:35Z 52.6K followers, 2620 engagements


"Instead of admitting S2F is trash he continues to peddle this stupid model as relevant. He mentions a bunch of meaningless words. Thousands of likes from people that do not understand a single word he is saying. Is this really the X Bitcoiner scene"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980298623306146239) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T15:42Z 52.6K followers, 5852 engagements


"I think Gold is an analog Bitcoin. It tries to do what Bitcoin does but it is limited. S2F is a bs concept for Bitcoin. I wrote several articles and made videos explaining in detail while S2F is already a bad concept for commodities but absurdly stupid for Bitcoin. Plus the math is clear BTC price is not correlated in a meaningful way with S2F. Like none"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980303834242027990) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T16:03Z 52.6K followers, 2946 engagements


"It is not like that. The power law is rigorously proven to be correct and it also a framework to understand Bitcoin deeply. S2F principle is scarcity while the power law is about adoption and cooperation. S2F is mathematically physically and conceptually wrong. There is no argument there is no debate it is pure math. The Power Law instead talks about the math of networks and the fact Bitcoin behaves like a force of nature similar to the growth of biologicl entities cities and intelligence. It is a big deal independently of price prediction. It is the best argument based on data and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980307010529767765) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T16:15Z 52.6K followers, 6757 engagements


"@Bitcoin_ator No over the short term is flat (last XX years) exponential over the short term (last few months) and exponential over the long term. But it is a slow growing exponential barely beating inflation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980327003850174848) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T17:35Z 52.6K followers, 3267 engagements


"Many people say "but the power law has the dollar as a denominator" but you can flip the relationship in a trivial way and have Bitcoin as the denominator. In that case the power law goes down instead of up (everything goes to X relative to Bitcoin). Furthermore you can use oil real estate gold anything as your nominator: all power laws. Please let's stop this absurd argument of "you are using the dollar" as a denominator. It is a meaningless criticism"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980613221380767846) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T12:32Z 52.6K followers, 18.1K engagements


"We are going to have a short Physics of Bitcoin show to re-establish our weekly episodes. I'm still in Europe (going to PlanB conference in Lugano today) and we are trying to figure out the best time for the show. Today the show will be at 11:15 AM Europe time. Here is the agenda:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980921467702304947) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-22T08:57Z 52.6K followers, 3960 engagements


""The Physics of Bitcoin" with Giovanni and Stephen #33 9/17/2025"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980926961930432773) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-22T09:19Z 52.6K followers, 6525 engagements


"I'm going to Lugano for PlanB (no not that PlanB). If you want to meet DM me"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980990930355433829) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-22T13:33Z 52.6K followers, 4221 engagements


"They made a similar test with Bitcoin and showed it is more aerodynamic than gold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1981276279476224006) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-23T08:27Z 52.6K followers, 5162 engagements


"As long as Bitcoin is a network it will follow the power law"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1981286166235066398) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-23T09:06Z 52.6K followers, 7801 engagements


"He is misleading so many people with a mathematically wrong model. It is physically and mathematically wrongl. There is nothing to learn from it and he is misleading people. It makes me furious. There is not a big jump. Even in the past the bull and bear market canceled each other. It was never about jumps. That is what this crappy model claims and it is one of its fundamental idiotic things about it. One can show clearly that the progression of the price happens all the time not just during the bubbles and folows a power in time not a power law of S2F as PlanB claims. This is another"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980301072229916737) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-20T15:52Z 52.6K followers, 11.6K engagements


"Why this regularity Bitcoin follows what is called a power law spiral"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980615151909814304) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-21T12:40Z 52.6K followers, 10.6K engagements


"Basically I didn't change much"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1980975053748535745) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-22T12:30Z 52.6K followers, 12.9K engagements


"Right it is not me that says this but Bitcoin itself that is telling an important secret about itself"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1981313675794223373) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-23T10:56Z 52.6K followers, 5980 engagements


"It is not. It is because Bitcoin is a network and gold is not. It is that simple. People will finally understand Bitcoin when the fixation on scarcity is over"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1981373313168376128) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-23T14:53Z 52.6K followers, 20.5K engagements


"@jackmallers @elonmusk Scarcity is not it. Bitcoin is better than gold because it is a network"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1981373593058517499) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-23T14:54Z 52.6K followers, XXX engagements


"It is not scarcity that matters. It is the perfect ledger. The finiteness of the supply solves the monetary policy consensus issue. Instead of consensus via committee or democratic vote it is established at Genesis once and for all. But this is not scarcity it is predictability"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1981379209915183603) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-23T15:16Z 52.6K followers, 1931 engagements


"@jackmallers @elonmusk The history of humankind is a continuous fight over scarce resources. Bitcoin is supposed to be the way out of all this. It is sad that people see Bitcoin as a scarce resource to fight over it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/Giovann35084111/status/1981380300799348874) [@Giovann35084111](/creator/x/Giovann35084111) 2025-10-23T15:20Z 52.6K followers, 2217 engagements