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Neil Sethi @neilksethi on x 12.5K followers
Created: 2025-07-18 16:20:00 UTC
Despite Gov Waller's best efforts, with another interview on BBG (link below) that hints at a potential dissent for a July rate cut, #FOMC rate cut pricing from CME's Fedwatch tool has seen just a small adjustment off the lowest since February.
A July cut remains very unlikely at 5%, and even Sept is at just 61%, rebounding a bit from XX% a day ago. Less than X cuts are priced (46bps up from 43bps) this year with another almost X in 2026 (72bps).
That's down from 92bps of 2025 cuts expected and 135bps of cuts through 2026 on May 1st.
XXXXX engagements
Related Topics fed rate