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yieldsearcher Avatar Mr. VIX @yieldsearcher on x 10.8K followers Created: 2025-07-14 23:06:35 UTC

Not that I see labor mkt breaking (difference between slowdown and recession), but worth highlighting that in Jan (the last month with a double digit increase in payroll tax), NFP came in below est. (+143K initial/111K final vs 175K est) and significantly slowed down from Dec’s 307K.

But I am genuinely curious why the spike in Jan which may also be applicable to July.

XXXXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics nfp tax bracket mkt vix

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