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@robinhanson Avatar @robinhanson Robin Hanson

Robin Hanson posts on X about prediction, has been, italy, how long the most. They currently have XXXXXXX followers and 1947 posts still getting attention that total XXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

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Mentions: XX #

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Followers: XXXXXXX #

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Social Influence #

Social category influence finance technology brands countries cryptocurrencies stocks

Social topic influence prediction #984, has been, italy #1452, how long, up the, $losers, polymarket, sports betting, insider, arc

Top assets mentioned Ethereum (ETH) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)

Top Social Posts #

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Historically sports betting has been legal and illegal for long periods in each Western nation. How long (if ever) til a big fall in the legality of US sports betting"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-10T13:43Z 114K followers, 10.4K engagements

"In next X polls say which of four items is what you most want for all creatures anywhere at any spacetime place in the MULTIVERSE"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-05T18:02Z 114K followers, 3600 engagements

""43% of U.S. adults think 'betting on sports is' a bad thing for society X% say it's a good thing & XX% say it's neither good nor bad. The XX% figure is up from XX% who said the same thing in July 2022.""
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-07T21:32Z 114K followers, 3572 engagements

"So I hope to be proven right on many things but not to get that much more respect and inclusion as a result"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-10T19:36Z 114K followers, 21.3K engagements

""Russian President Vladimir Putin & Chinese leader Xi Jinping were caught on a hot mic discussing their belief that organ transplants could help them live to 150." As we must dislike anything Hitler liked must we now oppose longer lives"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-09T14:43Z 114K followers, 4560 engagements

"You have to expect to be one of the $-losers in the long run from any sort of zero-sum-minus-fees trading. Make your fun worth the price paid"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-14T22:10Z 114K followers, 7804 engagements

"A year or two ago a big % of the feed posts I saw here were on UFOs. In last few months however I've seen almost none. Seems implausibly big change to explain by changing reader fashions. So I gotta guess that X changed their policy on it"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-14T22:16Z 114K followers, 7939 engagements

"@RichardMCNgo @ESYudkowsky @HiFromMichaelV Why do you want to stop insider trading if the point of the market is to aggregate info"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-10T22:49Z 114K followers, XXX engagements

"Priorities for XX goals re X units sorted by the ave. priority. What patterns do you see"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-07T02:29Z 114K followers, 39K engagements

"As humans have norms to resist power but admire prestige the powerful try to take more credit than they deserve for admirable accomplishments to be seen as prestigious"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-11T20:58Z 114K followers, 4945 engagements

"ChatGPT estimates fare/sqft to be increasing in seat class. Which makes sense as price discrimination"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-15T14:02Z 114K followers, 2030 engagements

"Musk is much more effective as an investor than as a philanthropist. He should stay in that lane"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-11T00:12Z 114K followers, 21.1K engagements

""It probably will not happen on Monday but it is time to give Robin Hanson the father of prediction markets and Vitalik Buterin the co-father of Ethereum a Nobel prize in economics for applied mechanism design.""
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-09T21:56Z 114K followers, 58.3K engagements

""Neither US nor Italy can expect future generations on their own to cover their governments red ink. Doing so requires levying lifetime net tax rates in each country that exceed 100%.""
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-13T14:13Z 114K followers, 15.7K engagements

"Inflation winter is coming:"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-13T15:12Z 114K followers, 9678 engagements

"Median estimate of X years til big fall of legality of US sports betting"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-11T13:59Z 114K followers, 7030 engagements

"there isnt any clear scientific evidence that sex addiction exists"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-09T11:50Z 114K followers, 5187 engagements

"I wish there was a source that rated sf novels movies & TV shows on how much insight they offer re our actual futures"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-13T13:44Z 114K followers, 6380 engagements

"Years ago a NYC based software firm ran some prediction markets hoping in part to find & promote "diamonds in the rough" employees who predict especially well. They did find such but then said "Oh not them"; such folks didn't have the polish & style they wanted"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-10T18:28Z 114K followers, 197.2K engagements

""you could easily have someone looking at Pagerank in 1997 and doing a 'bio risk uplift study' and deciding Google and search is a threat to mankind. or 'microprocessor computational safety' in the 1980s forecasting Moore's law as the chart that leads us to doom.""
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-15T15:35Z 114K followers, 9422 engagements

"I'm trying Game of Thrones again for first time since '11 and wow are those well crafted stories"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-05T23:23Z 114K followers, 22.3K engagements

"The more you see that people aren't usually much rewarded for being right the bigger an advantage we can see in prediction markets adding to such rewards"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-10T20:40Z 114K followers, 19.3K engagements

"Main disagreement between polls & LLMs is re money"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-15T15:26Z 114K followers, 1704 engagements

"Why do we ever trust any govt agency to measure the stats by which they are evaluated That should be done by very independent agencies who do not report to the same boss"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-05T17:50Z 114K followers, 8412 engagements

"A bit odd actually that democracy ever elected anyone else but populists. Past elites apparently actually gained the respect of the masses. How did they do that"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-09T21:08Z 114K followers, 35.2K engagements

"The type of person that the current generation of LLMs seem to me to most benefit are: polymaths. They can now more easily learn the basics of many new fields. LLMs seem much less useful to folks focused on particular areas where they are already near the world frontier"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-07-30T16:49Z 114K followers, 39.4K engagements

"@Jess_Riedel It seems to me we have enough different elite markers that everyone could just start to focus more on more restrictive markers. Could pick out the same % of the world"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-10T23:56Z 114K followers, XXX engagements

"'There are certain altitudes where weve already passed the threshold for the Kessler syndrome' McKnight says. For instance at XXX km altitude as well as at XXX km and XXX km the collision risk is scaling up rapidly.""
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-15T17:24Z 114K followers, 3424 engagements

"On a plane as you walk past 1st & bus. class seats on your way to your coach seat do you feel (A) resentment re their ostentatious display of wealth or (B) gratitude that that they by paying more $/sqft of plane space make your seats cheaper"
X Link @robinhanson 2025-10-14T23:04Z 114K followers, 6614 engagements