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@ernietedeschi Avatar @ernietedeschi Ernie Tedeschi

Ernie Tedeschi posts on X about tariffs, has been, good news, over the the most. They currently have XXXXXX followers and 1326 posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

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Social category influence finance stocks countries

Social topic influence tariffs #365, has been, good news #388, over the, fed, all the, half of, breaking news, investment, gdp growth

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Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Some professional news: Today is my last day full-time at @The_Budget_Lab. It was an honor & a privilege to call the TBL team "coworkers" over the last XX months. Intelligent curious & utterly collegial. What they've built & accomplished in so short a time is just stunning. 1/3"
X Link @ernietedeschi 2025-10-17T19:28Z 38.3K followers, 68.4K engagements

"@JHWeissmann Or why Prague's old central train station is named after Wilson"
X Link @ernietedeschi 2025-10-17T18:10Z 38.3K followers, XXX engagements

"One subtlety with the Atlanta Fed distributional wage measure is that it puts people into wage buckets based on the average of their starting & ending wage. This has a big effect on their buckets. I think most folks think it's telling you growth based on where you started"
X Link @ernietedeschi 2025-10-19T19:01Z 38.3K followers, 38K engagements

"This is roughly half of all the revenue raised from new 2025 tariffs so far this year"
X Link @ernietedeschi 2025-10-02T19:48Z 38.3K followers, 156.3K engagements

"All X Nobel winners are foreign-born scholars who came to the US for their PhDs & all X spent at least a good chunk of their careers in the US. This doesn't just benefit the US for "scoreboard" reasons. It's how a country innovates. Appropriate given the prize's subject matter"
X Link @ernietedeschi 2025-10-13T16:05Z 38.3K followers, 110.6K engagements

"If you just assign people based solely on where they start there's pretty consistent outperformance at the bottom. You could fairly conclude that the growth premium at the bottom has eroded lately but it's still strictly above higher quintiles"
X Link @ernietedeschi 2025-10-19T19:03Z 38.3K followers, 17.4K engagements

"No one metric is a silver bullet for telling the whole story. X. AI capex is massive right now (gross private investment component contributions to real GDP growth show this a straightforward and widely-used calculation) X. Much of it has been imports however so #1 overstates net effect on real GDP (netting out imports from #1 in principle accounts for this; in practice it's a more uncertain calculation than #1 since we can't distinguish final uses of imports in real-time but IMHO we can make reasonable assumptions). X. Both #1 & #2 still overstate true causal effects due to dynamic issues"
X Link @ernietedeschi 2025-10-18T13:44Z 38.3K followers, XXX engagements

"No BLS data"
X Link @ernietedeschi 2025-10-15T00:34Z 38.3K followers, 20K engagements

"Daily Treasury data suggests the US raised $31B in total tariff revenue in September slightly above August's $30B. $24B of that was from new 2025 tariffs alone. For the entire federal Fiscal Year new 2025 tariffs raised $110B. The average effective tariff rate was XXXX% in Sept"
X Link @ernietedeschi 2025-09-25T13:44Z 38.3K followers, 8634 engagements

"The good news is that real incomes are growing OK. Real personal income ex. transfers (so basically just factor income earned from labor and capital) grew XXXX% year-on-year. That's a slowdown from 2024's XXXX% but it's still a fine pace"
X Link @ernietedeschi 2025-09-26T13:02Z 38.3K followers, 3042 engagements

"Another piece of good news is that overall consumer spending has been resilient. Real personal consumption grew XXXX% year-on-year a strong pace. Interestingly when you look just year-to-date real durable goods spending is down -XXXX% this year (overall real PCE up XXXX% YTD)"
X Link @ernietedeschi 2025-09-26T13:08Z 38.3K followers, 2459 engagements

"I'm in @Opinion today talking about three "partial truths" in the US economic narrative. "Partial truths" are not myths--they have more than a kernel of fact behind them--but they demand caution asterisks and grains of salt. 1/9"
X Link @ernietedeschi 2025-10-15T12:12Z 38.3K followers, 14.4K engagements

"Literally can still get Coca-Cola and Broncos. Broncos are exponentially safer than they used to be. Many do think Coca-Cola tastes worse than it used to; thats in part because of high sugar tariffs"
X Link @ernietedeschi 2025-10-20T15:07Z 38.3K followers, 8278 engagements

"In fact tariffs are a great example of how economists disciplined the conversation. Most economists I saw in April raised their recession odds but still remained odds-off on a recession. Below is what I wrote at the time. Tariff policy has eased since Apr"
X Link @ernietedeschi 2025-10-21T13:24Z 38.3K followers, 4622 engagements

"@carney I can't speak for all economists but one of my standard lines in April when tariff policy was even more onerous than now was to give a range of 0.5-1pp hit to 2025 growth and point out that this left growth at +1-1.5% for the year inconsistent with prior NBER recessions"
X Link @ernietedeschi 2025-10-21T13:34Z 38.3K followers, XXX engagements