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@NateSilver538 Avatar @NateSilver538 Nate Silver

Nate Silver posts on X about shutdown, dems, schumer, drake maye the most. They currently have XXXXXXXXX followers and 3104 posts still getting attention that total XXXXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

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Social category influence technology brands #4114 celebrities #3190 finance musicians #2501 ncaa football

Social topic influence shutdown #1290, dems #240, schumer, drake maye #22, drake #108, nba, take the, away from, the only, make a

Top Social Posts #

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Best case for Schumer in particular Republicans cave a little bit on health care which actually helps them at the midterms. Shutdown ends relatively quickly but there's a lot of cheerleading from partisan boomer resistance "thought leader" types about how Dems FIGHT and WIN"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-01T22:50Z 3.3M followers, 148.4K engagements

"Game-theory-optimal outcome is probably for the NBA and the Clippers to do plea bargain on Kawhigate. 1-2 first round picks big fine maybe take the ASG away from the Clippers declare matter settled"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-03T18:42Z 3.3M followers, 118.2K engagements

"And really these considerations apply even before then. With teams also starting out with better field position with the new kickoff rules they're often in a position where two first downs = field goal range. Don't love it don't hate it but it's definitely different"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-13T15:55Z 3.3M followers, 48.9K engagements

"This is like accusing a dude of using ChatGPT to conclude that 2+2 = X. It's the only obvious pejorative rhyme what is he supposed to call him charlamagne tha scrod"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-03T21:16Z 3.3M followers, 233.8K engagements

"@lxeagle17 Yeah they tend to be highly. verbose. The code snippet that ChatGPT proposed yesterday was XX lines long and didn't work even after a half-dozen prompts all of which only added to the length/complexity. When I eventually just did it on my own it was XX lines long instead"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-12T17:08Z 3.3M followers, 20.6K engagements

"QBERT leaders through Week X. It's been a weird season At least a half-dozen guys whom you could make a case for being the best QB in the league so far"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-07T15:06Z 3.3M followers, 61.6K engagements

"Instead they're loosening guardrails in a way that will probably raise more revenues and might attract more capital and/or justify current valuations. They might still be an extremely valuable company as the new Meta/Google/etc. But feels more like "AI as normal technology.""
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-15T02:57Z 3.3M followers, 48.4K engagements

"Neither progressives nor centrists have really been in charge of the Democratic Party over the past XX years. The degree of intraparty disagreement is typical of modern parties and has manifested itself in compromises that have not always been terribly effective"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-07T00:48Z 3.3M followers, 138.1K engagements

"Academic journals might be a lost cause but they'd probably be better if you had some non-academic practitioners serving as reviewers. Journalists have their problems too but they have much better bullshit detectors for instance"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-08-17T15:32Z 3.3M followers, 1.8M engagements

"This messaging is approximately XXX times better (highly scientific estimate) than Ds are getting from leadership"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-01T23:44Z 3.3M followers, 890K engagements

"I don't think there's much correlation between what helps Schumer to keep his job versus what's necessarily good for Democrats in the long run. (TBH I think it might be good for the party in the long run to have new leadership.)"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-01T22:50Z 3.3M followers, 60K engagements

"It seems like messaging crafted to "win" the narrow poll question of "who do you blame more for the shutdown" as opposed to actually winning either the politics or the substance"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-05T14:38Z 3.3M followers, 56.6K engagements

"Initial polling is pretty good for Democrats on the shutdown. However I'm skeptical about whether they'll be able to maintain a unified front and the effectiveness of Schumer's messaging"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-02T20:22Z 3.3M followers, 183.9K engagements

"The bigger thing though is that I'm not sure what Democrats' strategic objectives really are beyond saving Schumer's job/boosting base morale. Tactially it seems to be going pretty good But tactics are not strategy"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-10T13:31Z 3.3M followers, 49.2K engagements

"Should save this for a newsletter but OpenAI's recent actions don't seem to be consistent with a company that believes AGI is right around the corner"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-15T02:57Z 3.3M followers, 224.6K engagements

"I suppose I continue to view the shutdown differently from the CW. For one thing I don't think the polling tells us anything particularly meaningful. Nor is it actually all that good for Dems e.g. Trump approval hasn't declined. But mostly I just don't think it tells us much"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-10T13:31Z 3.3M followers, 72.4K engagements

"I'm just one person and my programming needs are somewhat unusual (building various kinds of statistical forecasting models). But I'm just not seeing the consistent productivity gains from LLMs that I would have expected if you'd asked me X months ago"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-11T17:07Z 3.3M followers, 878.5K engagements

"There's no way you could have replaced the Biden advisors who'd put the Democratic Party into a total clusterfuck of a position after they'd given up everything 👏 including 👏 moving 👏 to 👏 Delaware. 👏"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-05T19:40Z 3.3M followers, 227.6K engagements

"The field goals thing is sort of related to it. If you're anywhere past the opponents' 45-yard line or so it's riskier to gamble with downfield passes that may result in an INT because the expected value of the possession is higher when you're almost assured of a FG"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-13T15:55Z 3.3M followers, 167.3K engagements

"He's already the best defensive player in the league. But whispers could Victor Wembanyama be ready for an MVP Like this year Joseph George (@thezonemaster) in his Silver Bulletin solo debut has a great dive into the tape & data to make the case and chart the course"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-07T19:08Z 3.3M followers, 170.6K engagements

"@kenklippenstein Sounds like you're still butthurt from my dunk on you last week tbh"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-11T22:47Z 3.3M followers, 30.2K engagements

"Democrats raised almost $X billion last year and the DNC thinks the lack of money was the problem And Biden's age "hasn't come up". I'd say they're incompetent but this is truly world-class X standard deviations above the mean ass-covering"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-08T19:08Z 3.3M followers, 180.6K engagements

"Weekly QBERT ratings. Drake Maye is quickly moving up the list. (FYI this chart is projected ratings going forward not the best so far this season.)"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-14T17:38Z 3.3M followers, 70.2K engagements

"This was a problem for Harris also. I don't really buy that she "ran to the center" in 2024. But she often wound up in the uncanny valley where everything was so carefully calibrated that there was no "there" there no sense of what she actually believed"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-02T00:04Z 3.3M followers, 120.7K engagements

"Everything about the Harris memoir is so weird. Just such random over/underspecificity. Like why all this backstory about exactly what her husband was doing when Biden dropped out I guess it reads as too lib and/or gay if he'd decided to go to a SoulCycle in WeHo on his own"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-05T19:07Z 3.3M followers, 1.4M engagements

"Dems' inherent caution and triangulation means leadership defaults toward "messaging by committee" that basically satisfies nobody. Aggressively left or centrist messaging that reads as authentic and has sharper edges might both be more effective than the average between them"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-01T23:58Z 3.3M followers, 134.8K engagements

"Dems' approach to selecting candidates based on identity characteristics is deeply misguided. But also it's not obvious how a gay candidate like Mayor Pete would fare on a presidential ticket. And Pete every gay candidate Trying to tackle all of that in today's newsletter"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-09-27T19:37Z 3.3M followers, 109.6K engagements

"This has been a great game but not nearly as great as if they'd randomly put a runner on second base at the start of every inning"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-11T04:31Z 3.3M followers, 182.5K engagements

"They're usually worth "gambling" on. If it would take me XX minutes to figure something out on my own and 1) saves me XX minutes 2) saves me XX minutes and 3) costs me XX minutes the expected value is positive. But there's still quite a bit of 3)"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-11T17:07Z 3.3M followers, 107.8K engagements

"This is part of what I find so frustrating. Kimmel didn't say that it was too early to speculate about the shooter's politics. He suggested that Robinson was MAGA based on no evidence whatsoever He shouldn't have been fired but that was a fuck-up"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-09-19T19:17Z 3.3M followers, 861.9K engagements

"TV is a really unnatural medium especially in a studio setting like this. Of course you're supposed to stay more on script if you're running for office but it's a very human reaction"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-08T04:08Z 3.3M followers, 252.9K engagements

"If you think the singularity is happening in 6-24 months you preserve brand prestige to draw a more sympathetic reaction from regulators and attract/retain the best talent . rather than getting into "erotica for verified adults.""
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-15T02:57Z 3.3M followers, 47.2K engagements

"There's a weird irony in that (even for a Democrat) telling an interviewer to go eff themselves could play quite well politically if you pulled it off in the right way and she probably didn't. But who knows it's hardly some moral failing"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-08T04:08Z 3.3M followers, 72.7K engagements

"This is an underrated reason for why NYC is good one-industry towns usually punch below their weight whereas we've got a little bit of everything here"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-03T00:50Z 3.3M followers, 288.6K engagements

"@NateDuncanNBA Idk feels like they're focused on the mass-market consumer on the one hand and achieving impressive benchmarks on the other hand. Whereas the power-user tasks that require more precision but aren't as impressive to investors as e.g. solving Math Olympiad problems get squeezed"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-11T21:16Z 3.3M followers, 20K engagements

"I've got a story out in the NYT today arguing that tariffs not health care would be a better line for Dems to draw in exchange for providing votes to fund the government and avert a shutdown"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-09-22T12:39Z 3.3M followers, 149.8K engagements

"I think Democrats are hanging their hats too much on polling suggesting more voters blame Rs than Ds for the shutdown. It's a pretty weak preference and few voters understand either party's message or its goals"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-05T14:38Z 3.3M followers, 158.6K engagements

"Also a shout-out to Drake Maye who has caught up with Jayden Daniels and Bo Nix in our going-forward ratings"
X Link @NateSilver538 2025-10-07T15:06Z 3.3M followers, 49.7K engagements