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@Arya__Deniz "Valuations overall are fine nowhere near 2021 extremes. Some small pockets are ridiculous. Tech will obviously drag if the AI trade stalls The real bubble is in boomer compounders like $WMT $COST $KO $PEP $DUKE not $NVDA. Tech and comm services are cheap vs that cohort"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-02T23:07Z 1742 followers, 2154 engagements

"And this is why I love @MartinShkreli - agree with you 1000% on $CRWV"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-11T15:56Z 1751 followers, 5479 engagements

"This is how $GLD tops - look at the X month ETF flows. No more buyers (I think)"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-09T22:44Z 1751 followers, 1494 engagements

"$NVDA / $AMD 10-Year Ratio Chart"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-15T00:01Z 1745 followers, XXX engagements

"This was a great interview by $AXON's president - seasonally $AXON's price action is extremely strong in October and November. RSI is in the low 40s. I like it let's ride"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-02T21:36Z 1743 followers, 1479 engagements

"@Cameth2011 @pulte I really don't think it will be as bad as doomers think - I am underwriting $FNMA / $FMCC to $XX - $XX for the combined entity. So there is an immediate mark-to-market and you own a great high cash flowing business"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-12T23:53Z 1747 followers, XXX engagements

"I spent XX% of this month so far on trading $RGTI $QBTS and $IONQ puts Part of me thinks they have ample liquidity and market structure will let these quantum memes to keep trending higher Part of me thinks fuck it - this is too good and as soon as momentum shifts its over"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-08T13:42Z 1751 followers, XXX engagements

"@drowsyinvestor @JoshIsner The last bullet point "we built $XX Bil company helping X mil cops theres XXX million WMT retail workers." for $AXON is insane. I have a ton of faith in the current leadership and expecting a great 5-year run"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-14T10:32Z 1751 followers, XXX engagements

"@partners_road We should note the LP base and expected IRRs in the $EA deal. This isnt something like an OG Carlyle/KKR deal with X% equity down (5% GP/95% LP) XX% bank credit and XX% mezzanine tranche that guns for XX% IRR They bought a high-rise in NYC hoping to get inflation + 200bps"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-05T16:44Z 1746 followers, 1138 engagements

"I disagree with Kuppy - but before I dive in I'd also like to say that he's a great fund manager who has outperformed almost everyone over the past X years and I get where he is coming from as someone who comes from the old industrial world / real estate. Alright. Im looking at this through a reflexive lens. We have precedents dot-com and even the railroads and that memory is shaping behavior today. That is exactly why this AI capex boom is unlikely to follow the bearish script in that post. The precedent adds discipline dampens excess and changes the path. The memory of 1999 still hangs over"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-07T12:37Z 1751 followers, 2040 engagements

"So when I wrote this I didnt know the catalyst. We got one on Friday - the levered longs got flushed (as I hoped but not expected the catalyst) The rest of October should be fine - OpEx this week also can be wonky. Well see"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-12T23:10Z 1751 followers, XXX engagements

"@JoshIsner is a legend and the president of $AXON Hes on @tbpn right now"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-02T19:03Z 1743 followers, XXX engagements

"$GLD 1-month and YTD flows. I believe the flows will slowdown and we'll see the top in gold (most likely before end of 2025)"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-14T23:31Z 1745 followers, XXX engagements

"MAG-7 companies' multiples compared to inversed U.S. XX Year Treasury (1/yield). Like I said valuations amongst MAG-7: $MSFT $NVDA $META $AAPL $GOOGL $AMZN look fine. $TSLA is the outlier I also believe EPS forecasts are low for $MSFT $NVDA $AAPL and $META"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-05T02:36Z 1747 followers, 1329 engagements

"Thoughts on Teradyne Inc. $TER Teradyne is currently viewed as a cyclical semiconductor test-equipment supplier but this narrative undervalues its emerging robotics franchise. Managements long-term vision emphasized at recent investor days is to blend AI industrial automation and electrification (EV/ADAS) into its product. In practice Teradyne has acquired leading cobot and AMR businesses (Universal Robots Mobile Industrial Robots Energid AutoGuide) and is poised to capitalize on massive trends from Amazons warehouse automation to automotive factory robotics. Key catalysts (e.g. Amazons"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-08-18T16:33Z 1750 followers, 5886 engagements

"@drowsyinvestor @JoshIsner As the body-mounted devices get smaller with better connection/battery - I expect $AXON products to be used at - the U.S. hospital sector: 5.9M people - the security services industry 900k people - airport ground staff security baggage handlers - field technicians et al GM"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-14T10:39Z 1751 followers, XXX engagements

"I caught the $UNH and $LLY falling knives - $TPL and $FICO for that matter too. The rationale is simple: the fund is so far ahead of the indices globally this year that it gives me the privilege to own and add to positions that will objectively hinder near-term performance. In the long run when my current large positions inevitably underperform these laggards may (and should) start performing as theyre in deeply out-of-favor factors and sectors. Investor appetite changes and when youre winning its prudent to prepare for the next set of events (scoreboard is up there time will tell)"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-08-08T12:09Z 1746 followers, 2314 engagements

"$NKTR update: The court has postponed the Nektar Therapeutics $NKTR vs Eli Lilly $LLY trial vacating both the October XX pretrial and October XX jury trial dates. Judge James Donato wrote that a jury trial may not be sustainable in current circumstances signaling that the case will not move forward as planned. A new status conference is set for December XX 2025 which will determine next procedural steps. This type of delay generally reflects ongoing settlement discussions a need for more preparation or a change in legal representation rather than a ruling on the merits. Notably Eli Lillys"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-14T22:31Z 1751 followers, 1870 engagements

"$TPL is crashing - I am not sure why apart from valuation which is as good of a reason as any. $TPL vs. $XLE ratio hit oversold conditions"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-07-16T15:08Z 1746 followers, 2942 engagements

"@BlueDuckCap Its not the trading setup that makes a fund It is the audited returns that a cohort of LPs find valuable maybe you generate XXXXX% net as of September 2025 and dont even care about Sharpe Maybe you want lower vol and match $SPX returns Have to persevere & need some luck"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-15T03:36Z 1751 followers, 2896 engagements

"@drowsyinvestor @JoshIsner And we arent even talking about Rest of the World police force counter drone measures and various other verticals $AXON team is working on - price action in 2025 has been good not great but I like the company a lot here"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-14T10:43Z 1751 followers, XXX engagements

"$XLU - utilities are playing both offense and defense in this current market environment. Similar to precious metals like $GLD / $SLV"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-14T23:26Z 1745 followers, XXX engagements

"Teradyne Inc $TER looks interesting. 200-DMA is key Teradynes Vulcan robotic arm developed by its Universal Robots division is an Amazon-specific next-generation arm designed to tackle high-throughput warehouse automation with advanced AI-driven vision and motion planning"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-07-11T15:38Z 1750 followers, 3807 engagements

"I think $JPY ran too much against the $USD - the trend has gone parabolic the policy ceiling is near XXX and carry looks one headline away from snapping. BoJ cant stay asleep forever. Reflexivity cuts both ways"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-08T22:35Z 1751 followers, XXX engagements

"$RDDT is 70%+ porn - the internet is mostly porn. OpenAI just made ChatGPT adult-mode official. GPU servers gonna melt. Great news for $NVDA $AMD - not too worried about humanity (yet)"
X Link @Arya__Deniz 2025-10-15T00:55Z 1751 followers, 1089 engagements