@Arya__Deniz Avatar @Arya__Deniz Arya Deniz

Arya Deniz posts on X about ai, in the, china, $fnma the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

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Social Influence

Social category influence finance 40.91% stocks 39.09% countries 10.91% technology brands 9.09% exchanges 5.45% cryptocurrencies 3.64% currencies 1.82% social networks 0.91% travel destinations 0.91% automotive brands 0.91%

Social topic influence ai 9.09%, in the 7.27%, china 6.36%, $fnma 6.36%, company 5.45%, $ter 4.55%, ter 4.55%, the most 4.55%, $gld 4.55%, $slv 4.55%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @billackman @jaredkubin @boringbiz @citrini7 @blondesnmoney @fasttelecom_s @trackdalf @thelonginvest @nicktimiraos @zastocks @hedgedirty @jukan05 @spluscollective @purpledrinkllc @jseinvest @consensusgurus @seedy19tron @amaymd @biancoresearch @mcuban

Top assets mentioned Teradyne, Inc. (TER) SPDR GOLD ETF (GLD) Celanese Corporation (CE) LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) Dow Inc (DOW) Texas Instruments (TXN) Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) Sandisk Corporation (SNDK) Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) Western Digital Corp (WDC) KLA Corp (KLAC) Energy Fuels Inc. (UUUU) SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Bloom Energy Corporation (BE) HCA Healthcare Inc (HCA) Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) CHEGG, INC. (CHGG) ASGN Incorporated (ASGN) Cameco Corporation (CCJ) Denison Mines Corp (DNN) Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) NexGen Energy Ltd. (NXE) Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) Korn Ferry (KFY)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Deep Dive: Texas Instruments (TXN) Within the robotics theme - I like & own three companies: $TXN / $ADI and $TER. This year Ive been buying several names within themes I like for the fund. Texas Instruments performance YTD has been amazing so I decided to do a deep dive on it. Investing worked and now is the time for investigation. Ill be doing deep dives on the two other names mentioned over the coming days also. Link to the article: https://aryadeniz.substack.com/p/deep-dive-texas-instruments-txn https://aryadeniz.substack.com/p/deep-dive-texas-instruments-txn"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The best AI play outside of memory semicap names as longs and SaaS as shorts is the deflation trade. I dont know if we see the real shock is Q1 or Q2 [----] but its coming - anything that can go up on low CPI / PCE is fair game"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@NickTimiraos The Fed must end QT immediately and initiate a new round of QE to stabilize the spike in yields. Neutralize Chinas ability to exert pressure on the U.S. bond market and align monetary policy with the voters. If Treasury yields are contained China loses all leverage over market"
X Link 2025-04-09T02:05Z [----] followers, 13.9K engagements

"@ZaStocks It is the $SCHW / $IBKR of 21st century with arguably better margins due to AI tailwinds. Every young investor should own some $HOOD"
X Link 2025-06-09T23:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@HedgeDirty Its the most accurate strong risk tolerance + staying power + mental calmness + a lot of luck = major wins"
X Link 2025-06-25T00:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Thoughts on Teradyne Inc. $TER Teradyne is currently viewed as a cyclical semiconductor test-equipment supplier but this narrative undervalues its emerging robotics franchise. Managements long-term vision emphasized at recent investor days is to blend AI industrial automation and electrification (EV/ADAS) into its product. In practice Teradyne has acquired leading cobot and AMR businesses (Universal Robots Mobile Industrial Robots Energid AutoGuide) and is poised to capitalize on massive trends from Amazons warehouse automation to automotive factory robotics. Key catalysts (e.g. Amazons"
X Link 2025-08-18T16:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$CHGG wants to go. No debt AI didnt bankrupt the company - came close. This will rise from the ashes"
X Link 2025-09-05T12:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Deep Dive: Applied Materials (AMAT) Applied Materials is the leading provider of materials engineering equipment used to produce semiconductors. In simple terms $AMAT sells the machines that make computer chips. Its tools help deposit ultra-thin films of specialized materials onto silicon wafers (like coating layers in a wafer cake) etch microscopic patterns into those layers (like carving out circuits) and then measure/inspect the results to ensure each chip meets specs. These products span thin-film deposition systems (chemical vapor deposition physical vapor deposition epitaxy ALD) plasma"
X Link 2026-01-07T19:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The age of analog has begun $TXN / $ADI Memory stocks like $SNDK / $WDC / $MU are good analogues as to what can happen when these get going as robotics theme proliferates @jukan05 For sensors $ADI / $TXN come to mind - basically robotics theme names are tightly correlated with auto/industrial themes. So if this really happens then such names should work well @jukan05 For sensors $ADI / $TXN come to mind - basically robotics theme names are tightly correlated with auto/industrial themes. So if this really happens then such names should work well"
X Link 2026-01-27T23:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$KLAC selloff is a gift - will be at new highs before the quarter ends"
X Link 2026-01-30T15:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"For equities this is the absolute worst sector performance breakdown by the way. Really don't want $XLE and $XLB leading"
X Link 2026-01-30T19:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Top performing equities in the baskets I track (YTD) - below: Semis Memory and Storage: $MU $SKM $STX $WDC Uranium and Fuel Cycle: $CCJ $DNN $LEU $NXE $UEC $URA $URNM $UUUU Staffing and Wage-Sensitive Names: $ASGN $KFY $MAN $RHI Source: https://adfundmgmt.streamlit.app/ADFM_Public_Equities_Baskets https://adfundmgmt.streamlit.app/ADFM_Public_Equities_Baskets"
X Link 2026-02-02T12:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"There is no dollar debasement price action is ALWAYS followed by narrative because we have this desire to justify why/how something happens - Was $DXY down 10% last year Yes was it up 20% in [----] Also yes - US Dollar is normalizing from high levels $GLD / $SLV move is driven by (in my opinion) emerging nations' central banks that USED to have extremely low allocation to gold followed by people in low trust societies like China India Turkey et al piling onto the trade because they have [--] faith in their nations' currencies. The real estate collapse in China deepens more and more banks are"
X Link 2026-02-02T14:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"I got into $TER because of @Citrini7 - following the old invest & then investigate adage Pretty confident about the story and structural tailwinds at this point Kudos to the management team literally just getting started"
X Link 2026-02-02T22:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Since October [----] the following stopped working: Growth Large-cap stocks Tech stocks Cyclicals The USA vs World Momentum Market Cap Can these broken trends keep breaking down Sure. I think we are close to the end though. Nasdaq [---] / Composite went red today"
X Link 2026-02-03T19:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@spluscollective Do you have a take on chemicals - specifically $DOW $CE $LYB"
X Link 2026-02-04T01:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@PurpleDrink_LLC Specialty and commodity chemicals are interesting pockets. just noticed them yesterday got into $DOW $CE $LYB - you may find those charts interesting"
X Link 2026-02-04T16:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"A good signal tool I've been refining. Daily metrics: credit and breadth ratios ( $HYG / $LQD $RSP / $SPY $XLY / $XLP) volatility stress and term structure ( $VIX $VIX9D $VIX3M $VVIX when available ) multi-timeframe RSI and MACD (daily weekly monthly) short-term trend breaks and longer trend confirmation on the target index. Source: https://adfundmgmt.streamlit.app/Hedge_Timer https://adfundmgmt.streamlit.app/Hedge_Timer"
X Link 2026-02-04T17:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"CapEx $GOOGL $175B to 185B vs. estimates of $119.5B I'm not kidding - $KLAC $AMAT $ASML should be up 10% after hours"
X Link 2026-02-04T21:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"USD / JPY - the Japanese Yen did not blow up yet it will happen soon. That will be the crescendo & end of this drawdown across all asset classes. Emerging markets need to correct hard followed by precious metals followed by US mid/small caps"
X Link 2026-02-05T14:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Stripe valuation at $100Bn - [--] mark downs Stripe comps like $PYPL $XYZ $FI down 50% to 75% No wonder they stay private"
X Link 2026-02-05T18:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$GLD / $SLV got ways to go. $3500 & $50 minimum to flush out late comers If by 09.30AM EST $GLD and $SLV don't go up 5% and 15% respectively during Asia trading hours - not only it's over for gold / silver in the short term but as I have been saying it's probably over for the next 10+ years (I have also been saying this for a while so. TBD) If by 09.30AM EST $GLD and $SLV don't go up 5% and 15% respectively during Asia trading hours - not only it's over for gold / silver in the short term but as I have been saying it's probably over for the next 10+ years (I have also been saying this for a"
X Link 2026-02-06T01:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"ETF Net Flows - YTD The chasers in $SLV / $BTC will be in trouble soon. That probably hits VAR metrics in most institutions and at that point you they need to degross - it doesn't matter if they are selling US Treasuries or $AAPL or emerging markets. Hoping for a big down move followed by yet another V. The worst thing would be a [----] like (another midterm year) drawdown where every recovery is faded and pretty much only $XLE and crude oil related names work https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019586566591586434 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019586566591586434"
X Link 2026-02-06T01:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"He was levered long $GLD and $SLV - blew up MOST LIKELY VICE PRESIDENT OF THE BANK OF CHINA EXPELLED FROM THE PARTY FOR SERIOUS VIOLATIONS OF DISCIPLINE AND LAW - XINHUA VICE PRESIDENT OF THE BANK OF CHINA EXPELLED FROM THE PARTY FOR SERIOUS VIOLATIONS OF DISCIPLINE AND LAW - XINHUA"
X Link 2026-02-06T02:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Citrini7 $USDJPY price action doesnt jive with Takaichi snap election win - more interesting to watch than the Super Bowl rn"
X Link 2026-02-09T01:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$USDJPY - give me [---] Flush out the leverage in the system let Japan rise from the ashes"
X Link 2026-02-10T13:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"I am not sure why commodity chemicals are doing extremely well today / YTD but they are the 3rd best performing baskets amongst 50+ I track Did $DOW $CE $LYB really bottom and are going to keep ripping for the rest of the year Why Not sure. Source: https://adfundmgmt.streamlit.app/ADFM_Public_Equities_Baskets https://adfundmgmt.streamlit.app/ADFM_Public_Equities_Baskets"
X Link 2026-02-10T18:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$HOOD earnings was incredible and this company along with $SOFI / $IBKR are probably great long term holds. The reality is there are other themes that are working right now - and the tape just despises any companies that have exposure to crypto. Again good long term holds $HOOD exit early in January [----] was an incredible move in hindsight price broke below $90 today I think it makes sense to build a position around these levels and average down as the price can head down to [--] month moving average at around $72 https://t.co/gyUCJ3zb64 $HOOD exit early in January [----] was an incredible move"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I think we see $7000 on $SPX today and close above that level. Just a feeling"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@JSE_Invest Why are these going up $CE $DOW $LYB"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"I think Mr @BillAckman bought a sizable position in the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange in [----] or [----] He doesnt fuck around. Casual 11% candle on the entire israeli stock exchange keep buying your hyperliquid bro https://t.co/XeYUVKEvYG Casual 11% candle on the entire israeli stock exchange keep buying your hyperliquid bro https://t.co/XeYUVKEvYG"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"David Ben-Ur runs this department at Blackstone and he is a legend Scoop: Hedge fund talent war update: Blackstone folded its hedge fund seeding arm into its $60bn Absolute Return platform so it can write $250m$450m checks (vs typical $150m seed deals) by combining seed + platform capital + family office channels https://t.co/b0mzcPTtGF Scoop: Hedge fund talent war update: Blackstone folded its hedge fund seeding arm into its $60bn Absolute Return platform so it can write $250m$450m checks (vs typical $150m seed deals) by combining seed + platform capital + family office channels"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"A conversation between Paul Volcker and George Soros If youve been reading my Substack or Twitter you already know how much I respect George Soros because I chose him alongside Stanley Druckenmiller as my north stars in this business for the way they think in regimes reflexive loops and asymmetric bets where time and policy matter as much as valuation. Paul Volcker is a legendary figure too and if youve read even a little U.S. central bank history you recognize the name because he broke the back of inflation by taking rates up toward 20% and willingly absorbing the pain that came with it"
X Link 2026-02-11T19:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Outside of flows / rotation whatever you call it $SPY / $QQQ up 1% YTD versus $RSP / $IWM up 5% YTD make [--] sense Thing is moves dont need to make sense Gun to my head Id fade equal weight move for the rest of the quarter"
X Link 2026-02-11T20:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@blondesnmoney Anybody who is up YTD and up respectable amount is a legend - were [---] months in and market internals came for literally everybody Chasing strength Good luck"
X Link 2026-02-11T21:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"If Taiwan got nuked tonight (I hope this never happens) - Nasdaq would be down 50% S&P [---] would be down 30%+ $NVDA would be down 75% and $SMH would be down 60%+ $INTC (and the only semi company really) would be up 100% 300% 500% There is no other hedge to this concern If Taiwan got nuked tonight it wouldnt prevent AGI. We have sufficient compute install base in the U.S. to run research if we are willing to deprecate inference. If China went for Taiwan right now the U.S. govt would gear the economy in a war time footing and Hegseth will If Taiwan got nuked tonight it wouldnt prevent AGI. We"
X Link 2026-02-11T21:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$BE is not breaking down hovering around prior highs and forming a bull flag. Earnings were phenomenal Is it an expensive stock Yes. Does it have a high relative beta Sure Doesnt change the fact that thisll be a $200+ stock sometime in the first half of 2026"
X Link 2026-02-12T11:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Markets in the second half of February and March will test a lot of people - get ready"
X Link 2026-02-12T16:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@JaredKubin @JaredKubin - got lucky on this one :) Treasuries are moving today and acting as the hedge they should be for the first time since forever. Unlike gold/silver that has 1:1 beta to equities today"
X Link 2026-02-12T19:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@ConsensusGurus Hahah that was unfortunate $AMAT may rocket 15%+ overnight"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"On Reflexivity and the Heresy of Certainty February [----] is another good month for AD Fund Management LP so I am writing more and thinking about the theory of reflexivity more. Link to the article: https://aryadeniz.substack.com/p/on-reflexivity-and-the-heresy-of https://aryadeniz.substack.com/p/on-reflexivity-and-the-heresy-of"
X Link 2026-02-12T22:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Citrini7 Unironically bullish for US treasuries (long end)"
X Link 2026-02-14T00:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"1) HCA Healthcare - $HCA (+58% YTD) 2) Universal Health Services - $UHS (+26% YTD) 3) Tenet Healthcare - $THC (+59% YTD) are for-profit operator of health care facilities. They have 315k 99k and 98k employees and have 8% profit margins. In [----] I can see these companies improving margins substantially via AI related efficiency gains (probably one of the first real world examples of improving margins thanks to AI) First administrative compression: Revenue cycle management coding prior authorizations and denials remain massively overstaffed and error-prone. AI copilots that automate"
X Link 2025-12-22T19:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Deep Dive: HCA Healthcare Inc (HCA) $HCA is entering [----] as a standout in the hospital sector leveraging its scale and technology to turn a multi-year labor headwind into a productivity-driven tailwind. HCA is the scaled hospital operator where [----] upside is dominated by an execution-driven productivity cycle - as AI and workflow automation compress non-clinical labor intensity and improve revenue-cycle conversion creating a reflexive loop into accelerated buybacks and valuation support. In addition to $HCA we also own Tenet Healthcare Corp $THC and Universal Health Services Inc $UHS. Link"
X Link 2026-01-02T01:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I bought back $NKTR overnight - anticipating the data release would be good and reaction would be positive. Little did I know +35% on the day and the data that backs up the price action @seedy19tron @A_May_MD $NKTR 71% and 83% of patients maintained EASI-75 responses and 85% and 63% maintained vIGA-AD 0/1 responses with [--] g/kgmonthly and quarterly dosing respectively Meaningful improvement in responses observed across key efficacy endpoints at week [--] with both monthly and $NKTR 71% and 83% of patients maintained EASI-75 responses and 85% and 63% maintained vIGA-AD 0/1 responses with 24"
X Link 2026-02-10T14:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@JaredKubin Treasuries have been flat for almost [--] years now - $MOVE index is in the 0.1% quartile A major move to the upside (downside for yields) is imminent. Hard to underwrite it but I feel it"
X Link 2026-02-10T13:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Amongst this wreck across multiple factors THE SINGLE BEST company to own for the long term is $AXON - it has one of the best management teams amongst S&P [---] constituents and the business is [--] of [--] - there is nothing like it. Monthly RSI is around [----] lows"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The iconic macro trade of the year will be to go long the long end of the US Treasuries. $ZN $ZB Futures - $TLT et al. any instrument will work 🚨 JUST IN: YoY CPI: +2.4% vs +2.5% est YoY Core CPI: +2.5% vs +2.5% est 🚨 JUST IN: YoY CPI: +2.4% vs +2.5% est YoY Core CPI: +2.5% vs +2.5% est"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The chart below by @biancoresearch showing the short interest in $TLT is very interesting. $XLE up 20%+ YTD had a similar dynamic before the breakout. Max short interest going into [----]. That said treasury pool is deep and $TLT is a very small component of the broader basket"
X Link 2026-02-14T13:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@mcuban clip here is one of the things I took to heart while I was looking for ways to get from point A to point B If youre looking for a life changing one liner this is it Mark Cuban: You only need to be right one time to change your life forever. https://t.co/B2j88jLVzJ Mark Cuban: You only need to be right one time to change your life forever. https://t.co/B2j88jLVzJ"
X Link 2026-02-14T17:06Z [----] followers, 176.8K engagements

"Sprott Physical Uranium Trust Fund a closed-end investment trust that holds physical uranium looks interesting. If the commodity rally continues (looks like it will) one of the highest beta along with copper is uranium to the AI CapEx cycle. http://U-UN.TO http://U-UN.TO http://U-UN.TO http://U-UN.TO"
X Link 2026-01-26T15:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@DanielSLoeb1 - fucking legend. $CSGP should lease its data to LLM companies. Unreal database in that company As Jessie Livermore said in Reminiscences of a Stock Operator and further quoting Eccleastes "There is nothing new under the sun." There will always be a need for engaged shareholders to utilize the principles of Capitalism and Democracy to hold boards accountable. As Jessie Livermore said in Reminiscences of a Stock Operator and further quoting Eccleastes "There is nothing new under the sun." There will always be a need for engaged shareholders to utilize the principles of Capitalism"
X Link 2026-01-27T16:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"While I expect weakness in markets (global) this year (like a 10-15% pullback) I think that'll mostly happen in emerging markets. S&P [---] + Nasdaq [---] has been consolidating for [--] months now and tech performance has been quite bad. You are not ready for what's coming if tech starts working again (think it will) https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016183354173829188 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016183354173829188"
X Link 2026-01-27T16:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"If this Hype development is not BS (I have no idea know nothing about the space) - public equity proxy is a ticker called $PURR Hyperliquid has quietly achieved an important milestone of becoming the most liquid venue for crypto price discovery in the world. See below for side by side comparison of BTC perps on Binance (left) and Hyperliquid (right). With HIP-3 teams leading the way Hyperliquid has also https://t.co/aJCFYjMoxV Hyperliquid has quietly achieved an important milestone of becoming the most liquid venue for crypto price discovery in the world. See below for side by side comparison"
X Link 2026-01-27T18:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$TXN earnings are out - the cyclical exposure the company has is bottoming robotics angle is just getting started "Revenue decreased 7% sequentially and increased 10% from the same quarter a year ago. "Our cash flow from operations of $7.2 billion for the trailing [--] months again underscored the strength of our business model the quality of our product portfolio and the benefit of 300mm production. Free cash flow for the same period was $2.9 billion. "Over the past [--] months we invested $3.9 billion in R&D and SG&A invested $4.6 billion in capital expenditures and returned $6.5 billion to"
X Link 2026-01-27T21:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"25% of Iran is Kurdish for those who dont know the demographics of the nation. How will they defend itself With helicopters from the cold war that crash all the time The only power Iran government has is over its innocent citizens who dont have weapons. Iran mission to UN: Iran stands ready for dialogue but if pushed we will defend ourselves. Iran mission to UN: Iran stands ready for dialogue but if pushed we will defend ourselves"
X Link 2026-01-28T14:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Hi everyone. I know this isn't exactly the best way to communicate the message but I hope you'll take the time to read it. $GLD stock or gold isn't something we're just buying for the meme not anymore it's not even about the money anymore. It's honestly about sending a message. Look at the overlayoooor. The [----] to [----] gold mania squeezed gold prices to $825 at its peak. Look at the IV on $GLD. Absolutely bonkers. Start buying calls. Market makers will be positioned short meaning they have to BUY gold to delta hedge. But here's the thing. As call options gain more deltas MMs have to buy MORE"
X Link 2026-01-29T00:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Between Scott Bessent and Kevin Warsh you have two figures shaped by the same macro lineage now sitting at the center of U.S. economic power with fiscal and monetary policy increasingly influenced by alumni of Stanley Druckenmillers worldview. Like for many others @standuquesne is my hero in the investments business along with George Soros. Scott Bessent now serving as U.S. Treasury Secretary spent decades inside the Soros-Druckenmiller ecosystem at Soros Fund Management before founding Key Square Capital Management. On the Federal Reserve side Kevin Warsh has long been part of Druckenmillers"
X Link 2026-01-30T13:39Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"The Druckenmiller Lineage and the Return of Monetary Realism .That is what makes the present moment feel genuinely consequential. With Scott Bessent now serving as Treasury Secretary and Kevin Warsh announced this morning by Donald Trump as the next Chair of the Federal Reserve you effectively have two figures shaped by the Druckenmiller lineage occupying the most powerful fiscal and monetary posts in government. Bessent came up through the Soros and Druckenmiller ecosystem and then built his own identity as a global macro investor who understands rates currencies and fiscal dominance not as"
X Link 2026-01-30T13:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$SLV / $GLD - 50%+ drawdown still would not be enough. The global speculation in these instruments is something else all the way from a farmer in Diyarbakir Turkey to a mechanic in Taipei Taiwan $SLV / $GLD generational (like a 10+ year) top is likely in / about to be by end of January [----]. Feel free to meme on this but youll see $SLV / $GLD generational (like a 10+ year) top is likely in / about to be by end of January [----]. Feel free to meme on this but youll see"
X Link 2026-01-30T14:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$HOOD exit early in January [----] was an incredible move in hindsight price broke below $90 today I think it makes sense to build a position around these levels and average down as the price can head down to [--] month moving average at around $72"
X Link 2026-02-02T18:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$TER CRUSHED IT * Revenue of $1.083 billion in Q425 up 44% from Q424 and up 41% from Q3'25 * Q4 growth driven by strong AI-related demand in compute and memory * Revenue of $3.19 billion in [----] up 13% from 2024"
X Link 2026-02-02T21:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$TER CEO did a good job adjusting expectations. Definitely sandbagging but he basically says dont forecast revenue / cash flow projections to the moon"
X Link 2026-02-03T14:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$BE Bloom Energy just crossed 100% mark YEAR TO DATE. Earnings this week Id be perfectly fine for a cool off following earnings. More than [----] people read the deep dive I worked on you can find the link here Bloom Energy $BE (+72.06% YTD) is the second best performing stock in the US following Sandisk $SNDK (+74.24% YTD) I dont think the story and the price action to the upside are over in this name. Bloom Energy $BE (+72.06% YTD) is the second best performing stock in the US following Sandisk $SNDK (+74.24% YTD) I dont think the story and the price action to the upside are over in this name"
X Link 2026-02-03T14:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"I don't remember the last time $AMD had a green candle following earnings"
X Link 2026-02-03T21:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I unironically like these results for $AMD after the call - we can see stock turn positive"
X Link 2026-02-03T21:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"First thing Lisa Su at $AMD should do is to fire the CFO. She starts speaking stock tanks 2%+ from -7% to -10% after hours Unreal has negative aura"
X Link 2026-02-03T22:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Equal weight $RSP is fine - they are selling $XLK / $XLC and pretty much everything that worked year to date like semi-cap quantum bullshit nuclear natural gas energy A pod is blowing up kinda day"
X Link 2026-02-04T15:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"On liberation day week in April [----] - my high octane long idea was $SOXL (Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares) cost basis was around $9. Right now $MSTX (Defiance Daily Target 2x Long MSTR ETF) is trading below $2 with $300M of assets. Either this goes bankrupt or 20x"
X Link 2026-02-05T18:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@trackdalf When I had no LPs I was happy to share everything - but now with US based LPs regulatory aspects of sharing too much worry me. A high level answer would be elevated trading coupled with luck helped a lot"
X Link 2026-02-05T18:48Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@kevingatestan69 Is it the wrong word to use Or are these not the companies you'd compare Stripe to"
X Link 2026-02-06T01:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@blondesnmoney Most chased stuff up 50%+ in January and those got annihilated $CRWV $OKLO $UUUU $SMR $IREN et al. Happens we got ways to go"
X Link 2026-02-06T01:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Mr_Derivatives Couple of things 1) Druck profit taking on $NVDA is completely understandable but you are missing the context. Despite the sale the company is still a top [--] holding 2) IWM calls: those numbers on 13Fs are nominal his calls are probably 5% of the total equity in his fund"
X Link 2024-06-14T03:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@BillAckman Either my feed is extremely biased or this election is over - the consensus established in the past hour is wild"
X Link 2024-06-28T02:30Z [----] followers, 199.8K engagements

"@BoringBiz_ And hope they never do - successful people with great marriages should exist more"
X Link 2024-10-04T21:04Z [----] followers, 16.6K engagements

"@itsmarkmoran I would not give a single dollar as an LP to such a person As the legend says A man who doesn't spend time with his family can never be a real man"
X Link 2024-10-07T22:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@TylerDurden It is a lot of money. When you dont have it even $1000 is a lot of money"
X Link 2024-11-23T16:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@Greenbackd No it isnt - since [----] technological advancements proliferated in the US and pretty much only in the U.S. If you play the mean-reversion game for international stocks good luck"
X Link 2024-11-24T01:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@OHWallStreet Either is possible with a salary in finance over time but the idolized Gordon Gekko lifestyle is only possible as the founder of an investment shop - people don't really recognize the fact that all those movie characters started their own companies. They weren't MDs"
X Link 2024-12-11T19:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@TheCinesthetic Al Pacino in the Godfather"
X Link 2024-12-16T01:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The $FNMA COO bought $150k of common shares on 1/17/25. It is the first time I've seen an insider make such a move in a decade. Seems important https://archive.fast-edgar.com/20250123/AS22H22CZ225P2Y2222622O24LE6BZ22C272/ https://archive.fast-edgar.com/20250123/AS22H22CZ225P2Y2222622O24LE6BZ22C272/"
X Link 2025-01-25T13:56Z [----] followers, 22.9K engagements

"ChatGPTs response to whether this is [--] or [-----] shares - $FNMA The purchase of [-----] shares is detailed in the Securities Acquired (A) or Disposed Of (D) column of the Form [--] filing which reflects the total number of shares acquired in the transaction. This number is clearly reported as [-----] and represents whole shares. It is standard in SEC filings like Form [--] to report shares as whole numbers unless fractional shares are explicitly stated which is rare in this context. Fractional shares typically arise in corporate actions like stock splits dividend reinvestment plans or mergers not in"
X Link 2025-01-26T12:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@buccocapital Open office structure sucks - people should not be exposed to others all day. Office design will evolve and will bring back cubicles in some form or fashion. Open desks coupled with meeting rooms separate via glass walls (no matter how slick) reminds me of a surveillance dungeon"
X Link 2025-02-14T04:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The Corporation That Conquered an Empire William Dalrymples The Anarchy I finished a book about a company thatfounded in a London coffeehouse answerable only to its shareholdersonce ruled over the richest parts of India. the East India Company https://aryadeniz.substack.com/p/the-corporation-that-conquered-an https://aryadeniz.substack.com/p/the-corporation-that-conquered-an"
X Link 2025-03-22T15:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Deep Dive: Vistra Corp (NYSE: $VST) Vistra is setting up as a compelling asymmetrical bet a transformed power producer flying under the radar of many investors even after an explosive [----] rally. The stock rocketed +258% last year outperforming even AI darling Nvidia yet it remains misunderstood. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1903492870033842456 https://aryadeniz.substack.com/p/deep-dive-vistra-corp-nyse-vst https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1903492870033842456 https://aryadeniz.substack.com/p/deep-dive-vistra-corp-nyse-vst"
X Link 2025-03-22T17:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@TheLongInvest Im going to say hard no to that one legend - China cannot do shit to the U.S. The Fed can spike up another round of QE to absorb the damage and the repercussions against China would be surreal amidst a recession already ongoing in China"
X Link 2025-04-02T21:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"You are right man - China can't posture against the U.S. for too long is my $0.02. China is facing structural decay. 1) youth unemployment 20% 2) property sector collapse (30% of GDP) 3) FX reserves under pressure 4) foreign direct investment into China is shrinking"
X Link 2025-04-06T14:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@jbulltard1 They can't withstand this type of damage to be for real. If they want to retaliate China needs to devalue its currency RMB Keep in mind their real estate sector collapsed and is not recovering - coupled with very high youth unemployment China can't mess with the U.S"
X Link 2025-04-08T17:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@TheLongInvest Lets see what happens to GDP unemployment and credit trends in both countries over the next quarter or two before trashing the U.S. and glorifying China"
X Link 2025-04-12T14:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I look up to you as a young hedge fund manager - I hope this question gets asked: During the lead-up to Amaranths collapse when you were taking the other side of Brian Hunters trades what gave you the conviction to press your position so aggressivelyand how did you manage the psychological weight of going head-to-head with a massively capitalized and seemingly confident counterparty"
X Link 2025-04-15T15:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@CinemaTweets1 Brad Pitt's performance in Babylon - especially the scene here couple with his performance in The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford are 10/10"
X Link 2025-04-18T16:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@BoringBiz_ INDEX(MATCH()) is a lifesaver and traceable. Id show him how inefficient indirects are and show him/her an alternate method. Also you can hit ALT+Enter in the cell to organize the formula in a neater way for audit by senior associates"
X Link 2025-05-01T00:20Z [----] followers, 13.2K engagements

"$FNMA just rattled off its 29th straight profitable quarter dropping a cool $3.7 billion of Q1 net income and pushing retained capital to $98 billionnot bad for a GSE that still cant send a dime back to common holders while Washington argues about capital rules. Management used the breathing room to price CAS 2025-R03 another credit-risk transfer that shunts the spiciest 80-97 LTV slices off its balance sheet and keeps the capital grind moving even as the ERCF debate goes nowhere. Meanwhile the in-house economists nudged their baseline highernow calling for [---] % home-price growth and almost"
X Link 2025-05-02T01:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"The story. In [----] @BillAckman then running his first fund Gotham Partnerssold his stake in Hallwood Realty to Carl Icahn for $80/unit. Ackman claimed the deal included a verbal agreement: if Icahn flipped the stake for a profit within three years theyd split the upside 50/50. Icahn later sold the position at a higher price but refused to share gains. Ackman sued. The court initially ruled in Icahns favor in [----] citing lack of a binding contract. Worse Ackman was ordered to pay Icahns legal feeslosing around $9 million total. Several years later Ackman appealed and won partial reimbursement."
X Link 2025-05-02T14:09Z [----] followers, 29.5K engagements

"@BillAckman @SecScottBessent Best US Treasury Secretary since Alexander Hamilton thus far"
X Link 2025-05-06T23:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@lord_fed "It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong." - George Soros"
X Link 2025-05-19T20:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$FNMA & $FMCC are due for a run - these companies wont be GSE during this administration and are some of the most profitable companies in the world. Preferred shares make sense even commons make sense. Also a decent long US Treasury beta play"
X Link 2025-05-19T21:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I will be sharing a deep dive on $FNMA and $FMCC this weekend. There are few U.S. equities more misunderstoodor more reflexivethan Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Two decades after being swept into federal conservatorship these GSEs are still the beating heart of American housing finance their fate inextricably linked to the political tides of Washington. Owning the common shares is a wager on the direction of U.S. housing policy the recalibration of public-private risk and the willingness of policymakers to untangle the Gordian knot theyve spent fifteen years tightening. The goal for the"
X Link 2025-05-24T14:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I spent weeks digging into $FNMA and $FMCC because every expert post felt shallow or agenda-driven. So I wrote the memo I wish existed (thanks to AI it took me couple of weeks instead of months): a true deep dive covering every anglecapital stack legal minefields valuation scenarios political risk and the real mechanics behind these GSEs. Whether youre an equity analyst or just GSE-curious this piece is designed to answer every question youd ever askno matter how green you are to the space. If you want to finally understand Fannie/Freddie beyond the headlines and noise start here. As always"
X Link 2025-05-24T19:53Z [----] followers, 18.1K engagements

"Another W for the investors who are positioned for strength in the long end of the US Treasuries. Deflationary forces are real. 10-Year should be below 4.00% before end of summer - $TLT $90 🙏🏻 This is a profound signal. Swiss 5-year yields turning negative again in June [----] is a real time referendum on global growth expectations capital preservation panic and liquidity preference. The last time this happened it preceded coordinated global easing repo market This is a profound signal. Swiss 5-year yields turning negative again in June [----] is a real time referendum on global growth"
X Link 2025-06-09T21:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@JaredKubin George Soros' famous "invest and then investigate" approach has never been truer - the smart move hard to execute is most likely to follow the flows and build confidence by further diligence on a given ticker commodity credit et al"
X Link 2025-06-25T13:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@blondesnmoney This is called degrossing - $IWM up $QQQ down is just factor rotation / deleveraging"
X Link 2025-07-01T15:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@BoringBiz_ Anyone whos taking a chance in life and refusing to be a salaried W2 employee deserves some respect - in my opinion. Yeah its a meme but it is still 100x more challenging to succeed vs. becoming a VP/MD at a PE shop"
X Link 2025-07-12T20:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@BillAckman Youre a good role model these publicly available interviews have helped a lot of people (including myself) more than you can imagine"
X Link 2025-07-31T07:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"This article that I wrote about $FNMA and $FMCC was read by [----] people and allowed me to meet some of my investment heroes. Big things are happening In the premarket today I added to $FMCC. Will be sharing an update to the original Deep Dive article sometime this month I spent weeks digging into $FNMA and $FMCC because every expert post felt shallow or agenda-driven. So I wrote the memo I wish existed (thanks to AI it took me couple of weeks instead of months): a true deep dive covering every anglecapital stack legal minefields valuation https://t.co/9oUhMVb4Zo I spent weeks digging into"
X Link 2025-08-11T12:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@iancassel Youre leaving out the key part: after those tech missteps Druck took a safari break came back saw equities back at highs against a weakening economy and went 200%+ long Treasuries. He flipped the year from -15% by Q3 to +30% by year-end"
X Link 2025-08-25T11:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"This is so cool - I am so happy for AD Fund Management LP THE FOLLOWING SUBMISSION HAS BEEN ACCEPTED BY THE U.S. SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION. Thank you for your attention to this matter"
X Link 2025-09-10T13:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@Seawolfcap Well said. If I ever see a CEO take a pay cut instead of marginalizing the workforce I may full port into that company"
X Link 2025-09-14T14:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"More than 15k people read my write-up on Stanley Druckenmillers Lost Tree Club lecture on Substack so I thought it was worth doing the same for Paul Singer. His story deserves to be told in writing. Activist investing is one of the most demanding strategies in finance and it requires immense scale and capital to play the game. [----] to [----] the education by loss Singer finishes college a psychology major gets into Harvard Law and his father a retail pharmacist insists he learn markets. They trade together speculative mining names early tech names options on the new CBOE. They try everything"
X Link 2025-10-02T20:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@BoringBiz_ Memorized the following shortcuts Alt + H + O + M Alt + E + S + V + T Alt + W + F + F Alt + A + K Alt + M + N No external links + maintaining small file size"
X Link 2024-12-09T03:01Z [----] followers, 13.5K engagements

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