@XennialTrader Avatar @XennialTrader josh

josh posts on X about $spy, $qqq, $dia, dia the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

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Social Influence

Social category influence stocks 41% finance 40% cryptocurrencies 21% technology brands 9% exchanges 6% currencies 3% countries 3% automotive brands 2% nfl 1%

Social topic influence $spy #501, $qqq #313, $dia #29, dia 14%, $spx #589, in the 10%, spx #523, fomc #179, silver 8%, up to 8%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @handelstats @jaytech877 @rips @tomcapital @theshortbear @antithetoscptl @iroo26 @ryandetrick @theonelanceb @karunpal @atlantafalcons @ammigee06 @stevemiran @traderbran @dscher1983 @lordfed @ajl35753019 @rgiii @equ1tyengineer @goldmansack

Top assets mentioned SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY) DIA (DIA) SPX6900 (SPX) Bitcoin (BTC) NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) IBM (IBM) Vixco (VIX) Apple, Inc. (AAPL) Metadium (META) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Oracle Corporation (ORCL) Salesforce Inc (CRM) Intuit Inc. (INTU) Adobe, Inc. (ADBE) Now Coin (NOW) iShares BTC Trust (IBIT) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Software gulp $SPY $QQQ $IBM $CRM $INTU $ADBE $NOW $ORCL #ES_F #NQ_F"
X Link 2026-02-03T16:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Different day same ol' market. Sellers can't get traction because they blow their load too early $VIX overshoots (a [--] VIX guys seriously) and the vol sellers come in to spoil the party ensuring a minimum 30-40% retrace that lasts between 2-4 hours. True trend down days don't exist anymore. Find a day that opens on the highs grinds steadily down all day (without giving back in a 50% squeeze) and closes on the lows. Maybe you can find [--] or [--] days like that over the last year. Buying the vol extreme works every single time. $SPY $QQQ #ES_F #NQ_F $DIA #YM_F $SPX"
X Link 2026-02-03T21:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$VIX printing 22s. Sellers can never do things in a controlled way. Everyone rushes to buy protection and when everyone's hedged it's incredibly hard to move lower. Moves like the one we're seeing now often lead to violent snap back vol selling rallies. $SPY $QQQ #ES_F #NQ_F"
X Link 2026-02-05T15:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Liquidity check on $IBIT currently trading $37.40. Chances are that if you bought in the [--] months after since the fund's inception until the [----] election your cost basis is about $36 - $39. If you averaged in higher you're already underwater. You are currently being tested to see if (1) you get scared out and (2) if you're still interested and want to buy again at these same prices (or if anyone who missed the boat the first time around wants to do so). I expect a bounce here even if short term. Bitcoin is down 10% at $66K and everyone thinks the world is ending even though equities were"
X Link 2026-02-05T19:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@jaytech877 Great point. Based on the definitions currently in section [----] I don't think single stock futures (which are not new and have existed within the last [--] years in the US) will qualify for this. Hopefully I'm wrong"
X Link 2026-02-11T00:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"The now-famous $SPY [---] sits just below today's current low . it's still a 🧲 My sentiment remains: sellers are not "for real" unless they can at least sustain one entire day's trade below the post-tariff-low developing VPOC currently at [---]. That hasn't been done since May [--] [----]. This market seems to be showing hairline cracks (the death of software stocks the rise of defensive names the totally overcooked AI narrative.). But until they show me a day where we trade completely below [---] the structure for long continuation is firmly intact. Is this market ready for a real correction (I hope"
X Link 2026-02-03T19:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$SPY / #ES_F dipped below [---] (6850 $SPX ) and has found buyers there so far this afternoon. Why does this work What makes [---] a magnet and why does the market frequently pause or reverse there We can model it and formulate our own reasons why a market cares about any given line "level" or whatever. I think that's crucial because it creates trust in our methodology. I have done that with my model aka my "beliefs" which have been borrowed from many different corners of the trading world and cooked together to make it mine. Whatever the reason it is unknowable because no one knows why anything"
X Link 2026-02-04T19:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Yuri may have nailed this. And it all started the day after FOMC. When Bitcoin silver and tech all sell off together the signal is clear: institutional money is repricing inflation expectations downward and unwinding every position that was a bet against the dollar. When Bitcoin silver and tech all sell off together the signal is clear: institutional money is repricing inflation expectations downward and unwinding every position that was a bet against the dollar"
X Link 2026-02-06T04:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Everything bottomed at exactly 7:15pm EST: silver gold US equity futures Nikkei Eurex index futures oil Euro Pound Bitcoin. Common thread: USD. Even treasury safe haven trade today reversed exactly then. It's enough evidence for me. Question is can it be sustained Yuri may have nailed this. And it all started the day after FOMC. Yuri may have nailed this. And it all started the day after FOMC"
X Link 2026-02-06T05:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Dow Jones Industrial Average new ATH . #DJIA #INDU $DIA #YM_F"
X Link 2026-02-06T14:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Whether you're trading silver gold bitcoin equities . you're really trading the same thing. S&P and Bitcoin are the same chart. #Bitcoin $SPY #ES_F $QQQ #NQ_F"
X Link 2026-02-06T16:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"They're getting those Dow Jones hits 50K headlines ready to publish. From last night low up [----] points Dow with its best day since May [--] at the moment. Covered 80% of the existing year's range in [--] hours to do it. #DJIA #INDU #Dow $DIA #YM_F $SPY $QQQ 50K in the Dow will probably not be clean nor pretty. But this energy has been building for weeks. It's the most reliable set of conditions: (1) huge bullish imbalance above a no-excess high (2) a big shakeout when everyone's positioned long and ready for the breakout and (3) https://t.co/yMfb0zA5b7 50K in the Dow will probably not be clean"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Nikkei up 86% in [--] months"
X Link 2026-02-10T00:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"I won't be paying up to get involved on the long side today. This is day [--] of the current "full max bulled out" regime. My #ES_F buy zone is around 6905-6935 and #NQ_F [-----] - [-----]. I know those are wide but they can be navigated if we get closer. $SPY $QQQ #YM_F $DIA"
X Link 2026-02-10T14:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Also note we are entering my "don't buy into this" area on #YM_F -- [-----] to [-----]. We can go higher here but I would not be surprised to see leadership change with #NQ_F / $QQQ taking a dip and then flows shifting away the broad market back into mag stocks. $SPY #ES_F $DIA I won't be paying up to get involved on the long side today. This is day [--] of the current "full max bulled out" regime. My #ES_F buy zone is around 6905-6935 and #NQ_F [-----] - [-----]. I know those are wide but they can be navigated if we get closer. $SPY $QQQ #YM_F $DIA I won't be paying up to get involved on the long side"
X Link 2026-02-10T14:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"There are times to pay up like Friday after a huge overnight ramp in an oversold market. Today is not one of those days (for me). Friday some people convinced themselves that the rally was a dead cat bounce when in fact they were really fighting FOMO. Yesterday we extended and consolidated causing these people to realize they missed the boat. The FOMO builds. Today we won't go lower and start to extend up and this is when many people throw their hands up and say "F this I can't take it anymore" and get long with a wide pain threshold. They see the Dow continuing to ATHs with the S&P just"
X Link 2026-02-10T15:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"This is fantastic. A lot of people will cry "casino" on this but there are many times as a futures-only trader I would've loved to have had access to this. #ES_F #NQ_F $SPY $QQQ $GOOG $META $NVDA $TSLA $AAPL Access the leading U.S. stocks with the power of futures. Introducing Single Stock futures coming this summer. Find out more ➡ https://t.co/ggrNzY0oIJ https://t.co/LVFdJNcjyE Access the leading U.S. stocks with the power of futures. Introducing Single Stock futures coming this summer. Find out more ➡ https://t.co/ggrNzY0oIJ https://t.co/LVFdJNcjyE"
X Link 2026-02-10T18:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Instead of waiting for a good long play I took an #NQ_F short. Not super difficult to sit through it just took forever. Almost got stopped out (stop was initially at [---] then after the first cover moved to [-----] and we squeezed up to [-----] just below my stop). The area was well defined. Before yesterday I had identified 350-430 as an area where I expected sellers and yesterday confirmed that. This morning just after the 10am pop to [---] fell back through it was a good signal for me and I got short. I was jumpy early but left it alone and it worked reasonably well. Despite my buy zone in NQ"
X Link 2026-02-10T20:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"There are textbooks on the volume profile 🤔"
X Link 2026-02-11T00:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Blowout jobs report +130k UER down to 4.3%. Initial reaction is +USD +equities +BTC -metals. The recent USD rally post-FOMC through Thursday night was a headwind for most everything. Post NFP that correlation seems busted. Let's see what sticks. $SPY $QQQ #ES_F #NQ_F"
X Link 2026-02-11T13:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Potential support zones: #ES_F [----] - [--] #NQ_F [-----] - [---] #YM_F [-----] - [---] $SPY $QQQ $DIA"
X Link 2026-02-11T15:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"If you are jittery or itching to take a trade this market will rip you to shreds. The action is tailor made to destroy overtraders. You keep thinking "here we go". you really just have to be ok with not participating if something doesn't jump out at you. $SPY $QQQ #ES_F #NQ_F"
X Link 2026-02-11T17:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Looking at ticket prices for a concert I want to go to reminded me of this classic from Kurt Cobain. Man the '90s were great. https://www.youtube.com/shorts/anI0NT-_DRQ https://www.youtube.com/shorts/anI0NT-_DRQ"
X Link 2026-02-12T00:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Once again buyers show up at $SPY [---]. We'll see if they can actually hold it but these are the first serious buyers after what has been a very aggressive sell. #ES_F $QQQ #NQ_F $DIA #YM_F $SPY / #ES_F dipped below [---] (6850 $SPX ) and has found buyers there so far this afternoon. Why does this work What makes [---] a magnet and why does the market frequently pause or reverse there We can model it and formulate our own reasons why a market cares about any given $SPY / #ES_F dipped below [---] (6850 $SPX ) and has found buyers there so far this afternoon. Why does this work What makes [---] a magnet"
X Link 2026-02-12T16:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"S&P tagging Unch on the year [----] which is of course $SPY [---]. So far this year we've only closed [--] days below SPX [----] which is the lower end of the upper orange box in this chart. Big trades going off in #NQ_F down here willing to hit the bid and buyers happy to take it. Some guy at [---] still sitting there for 500+ lots but so far no fill for him. $QQQ #ES_F $DIA #YM_F https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022017756351111445 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022017756351111445"
X Link 2026-02-12T18:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Developing VPOC $QQQ edition. Short and sweet: today was the 7th consecutive day (and 10th overall) which traded completely below the current DVPOC at [---]. After Wednesday's session I really thought it was a toss-up and was leaning towards an upside breakout above the key #NQ_F [-----] area. But lingering in the back of my mind was the fact that we have been trading below the DVPOC for several days. We found support near the prior [---] VPOC last Thursday and bottomed today just above it. Below the current YTD low made last Thursday it's tough to say where we'll see buyers though [---] and [---] (the"
X Link 2026-02-13T03:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"No doubt I'll regret saying something so polarizing but right here 11am ET on Feb [--] feels kind of "big" as in "last chance to buy before Nasdaq ramps back up to reclaim ATH" or "last chance before SPX 7k reclaim kind of big. $SPX $SPY $QQQ #ES_F #NQ_F"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"RT @XennialTrader: @Handelstats In short: not really. First you should be looking at Feb - Dec performance. It's like asking who's more li"
X Link 2026-02-13T22:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@Handelstats In short: not really. First you should be looking at Feb - Dec performance. It's like asking who's more likely to win the game after a team has already scored in the first inning. You can't bet on the whole game at that point. https://x.com/i/status/2009382115943800857 @IRoo26 @RyanDetrick Looking at the last [--] years of data. when January is red there's no relationship whatsoever to Feb-Dec returns. When it's positive (22 times in [--] years) Feb-Dec is positive 82% of the time. That sounds like a great predictor but Feb-Dec is positive 70% of the time anyway."
X Link 2026-02-13T19:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@TheOneLanceB @karunpal So many people presuming to tell strangers "how to live" . There's a fine line between being humble enough to learn from others' advice and letting others dictate how you live your own life"
X Link 2026-02-15T19:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"All of this "fire Raheem Morris" talk in Atlanta Falcons land all of a sudden . It was obvious to me last year (quoted post below). If you just listen to the man talk for [--] seconds that should have been enough to convince you that he's not that guy. @AtlantaFalcons FIRE RAHEEM MORRIS seriously. 29-46 lifetime record as a head coach. you're wasting your time with this guy. @AtlantaFalcons FIRE RAHEEM MORRIS seriously. 29-46 lifetime record as a head coach. you're wasting your time with this guy"
X Link 2025-12-01T20:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"On Monday both ES and NQ traded within their overnight range. This is a once-a-month occurrence. My primary hypothesis is that ES in particular needs a liquidity test lower to 6750-70. We're now in a 3-day balance. I'll leave the chart as an exercise for the reader. To get that [----] in #ES_F we ideally begin building below [----] as we are trying to do right now. Over [----] and a break above to [----] for last week's high becomes very likely. #NQ_F is more stubbornly bullish and needs to build below [-----] to see a flush lower. I could see a case where NQ dips down to the low 100s with $QQQ filling"
X Link 2025-12-02T06:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Frenemies $NVDA $AMZN"
X Link 2025-12-02T16:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@RIPS Your fill report says you sold a total of [--] at [------]. However the data shows that only [--] contracts traded at [------]. How do you explain that Also what type of order was yours"
X Link 2025-12-02T18:54Z [----] followers, 18K engagements

"I think I have an idea of where the discrepancy might be. It seems that TV is showing your average fill per [--] lot stop order rounded to the tenth (reasonable as it's the GC tick increment). So your stop is filling at multiple prices and averaging 4242.6xx and it's being rounded to [------] even though the individual transactions took places at other prices. So maybe that's what it's showing and I am not trying to play "gotcha." I don't know you -- someone showed me your post and I was just trying to work out the discrepancy because it interests me. I'm not sure why your profile shows [--] traded"
X Link 2025-12-02T20:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@RIPS No I am only after facts and data. When I see data that doesn't line up I question it while most people blindly accept it"
X Link 2025-12-02T20:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Ammi_gee06 The data is exported from Sierra Chart and analysis is done in my python code. The graph is just from Google sheets where I put those numbers in"
X Link 2025-12-06T02:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"And once again a headline which seems to have been printed many many times back and forth . $NVDA $NVDA - *US TO ALLOW NVIDIA H200 CHIP EXPORTS TO CHINA: SEMAFOR $NVDA - *US TO ALLOW NVIDIA H200 CHIP EXPORTS TO CHINA: SEMAFOR"
X Link 2025-12-08T18:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Hassett will be the next Fed chair of a very dovish group of voters. Hassett Miran Waller and Bowman are all uber doves and are all board members so they vote every year. Hammack and Logan are solid hawks. The rest either lean dove or are fairly neutral. #FOMC $SPY $QQQ HASSETT: THERE WILL BE A RECONCILIATION BILL NEXT YEAR HASSETT: THERE IS MORE FISCAL ROOM TO DO STIMULATIVE THINGS NOW People are not ready. HASSETT: THERE WILL BE A RECONCILIATION BILL NEXT YEAR HASSETT: THERE IS MORE FISCAL ROOM TO DO STIMULATIVE THINGS NOW People are not ready"
X Link 2025-12-09T16:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Look at where the high volume ledges are -- didn't highlight in the pic but basically [----]. After multiple dips below value and now back above bulls want to see a build above that ledge at [----]. Dow is hitting ATHs. There's no objective reason to be bearish the broad market IMO unless we see continued (that is MORE from here. forget last night and this morning it's in the past) panic selling across the AI complex. $SPY #ES_F $QQQ #NQ_F $DIA #YM_F I know we're in "omg we'll never go lower again" mode right now. Just sharing this month's profile for reference. Bullish given that forays below"
X Link 2025-12-11T15:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Every time the Dow has traded into this zone over the last several months it has gone sideways or down. Hypothesis is that it puts the brakes on S&P for a bit. #DJIA #INDU $DIA #YM_F $SPY $QQQ #ES_F #NQ_F"
X Link 2025-12-11T16:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Miran: "We're far from severe stress in the labor market" Then why did you vote for a 50bps cut @SteveMiran #FOMC"
X Link 2025-12-15T16:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Trader_Bran I'm only a Bitcoin observer but I'm interested in how the market responds if/when it reaches $75K. That is $MSTR's current cost basis (671K BTCs worth $50B). I'm also interested in $62K as it's the VWAP from the Oct [--] "buy everything in all asset classes" flush low"
X Link 2025-12-15T22:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"What's it gonna take to flush this $SPY $SPX #ES_F MagX stocks will have to sell. About [--] stocks holding this market up. Chop grind absolute nightmare (for me anyway) to trade. Looking for a flush to ES 6800s but trillion cap tech refuses to let go. #NQ_F $QQQ ES has not yet broken its overnight low. TONS of liquidity down there but they won't go take it"
X Link 2025-12-16T16:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The quarterly hell that is equity index rollover is almost complete. #ES_F is sitting at 72% out of about 78-80%. #NQ_F is a little behind at 64% and will finish around 75%. Either way the havoc it wreaks is nearly over thankfully. $SPY $QQQ"
X Link 2025-12-17T00:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"If you mean rollover itself have a look here: Practically it means a more choppy environment in general. I will say that this rollover has been less choppy than some others. But still less liquidity than usual. https://www.cmegroup.com/education/courses/introduction-to-futures/understanding-futures-expiration-contract-roll.html https://www.cmegroup.com/education/courses/introduction-to-futures/understanding-futures-expiration-contract-roll.html https://www.cmegroup.com/education/courses/introduction-to-futures/understanding-futures-expiration-contract-roll.html"
X Link 2025-12-17T01:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@dscher1983 @lord_fed With basically [--] real trading days left with no major econ news and holiday volume I wouldn't hold my breath for a 9% move lower. It would take a major exogenous event and would be dumb luck"
X Link 2025-12-20T04:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"This misses @Tom__Capital 's point entirely I think. It's not about "calls" especially vague calls days in advance. Those are a dime a dozen on fintwit. That's all ego and is worth exactly $0. His point and he can correct me if I'm wrong is that there are many who cry in the casino ("manipulation") but few who actually can be objective enough to align themselves with what the market is doing and put on (or take off) risk by executing. Those people get paid. Those who cling to their own opinions in the face of objective evidence to the contrary are the ones who pay them. And those who make"
X Link 2025-12-20T14:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@AJL35753019 @RGIII They would hammer both of these teams even though they lost to both of these teams this year"
X Link 2025-12-20T20:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Well it is hard to deny that the Fed is wrong most of the time. They predicted inflation from tariffs and haven't seen much. In [----] they ignored actual generationally high inflation for almost a year brushing it off as transitory and had to cut quickly in [----]. I think most everyone except for the eggheads would love to see a market that does not go whichever way the fed's wind blows"
X Link 2025-12-23T18:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Brent why would CC put the upper spread right in the path of the santa rally Did he not realize after last week these last two days that we're in prototypical holiday rally mode Put that upper spread 2x farther away double the size do that for 2-3 days and he'll be ok. Why he puts it so close when the rally is so obvious is beyond me"
X Link 2025-12-23T20:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Equ1ty_Engineer Few understand how ES SPY and SPX move relative to each other due to differences in how they price in cost of carry and dividends (ES premium convergence to spot over quarter SPY ex-div gap lower end of quarter SPX daily dividend lag during quarter)"
X Link 2025-12-24T05:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@Gold_Mansack @paxtrader777 Silver settled at [------] on Friday. Settlement time is 1:30pm ET. This is not equities"
X Link 2025-12-29T04:14Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@Handelstats Why What makes gold and silver the denominators of truth Why not corn The chart here shows SPX priced in corn. It tells a very different story. Please tell me why you can pick an incredibly inflated asset at random and use that to value equities"
X Link 2025-12-29T12:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Happy New Year $SPY $QQQ $DIA #ES_F #NQ_F #YM_F $SPX"
X Link 2025-12-31T21:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"It's an impossible task. They are asked to pick the best teams but they are constrained by a constantly evolving poll which is based on weeks and months old wins and losses. The best teams today may not have the best record. And those records are based on a 70-80% conference schedule. There are [--] power [--] teams and they only play [--] games. It's impossible to really objectively compare them across conferences with such a small sample size of games. Also with a single elimination playoff any team can win on any given day. A ranking system implies that #1 should beat everybody #2 should beat"
X Link 2026-01-01T22:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"A close below [-------] would mark the 5th consecutive red day in the S&P [---]. That hasn't happened since August and the time before that was . the first day of trading in [----] exactly one year ago today. $SPX $SPY #ES_F #NQ_F $QQQ"
X Link 2026-01-02T18:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"When a market stair-steps lower and fails to trade above the prior bar's high AMT calls this "1-timeframing lower." Currently $SPX / $SPY is on day [--] of 1-TF'ing lower on the daily. Amazingly 1-TF'ing down for [--] or more days has only happened [--] times in the last [--] years. Meanwhile 1-TF'ing up for [--] or more days has happened [--] times. More granularly we can see that the bulk of the trade has occurred at progressively lower levels (see VPOCs and value areas stepping lower during these [--] days). Now not to wet blanket my own analysis here but I don't think that the above implies much about what"
X Link 2026-01-05T00:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Are we seeing a little hedging going on here Have markets been treading water the last few months because they are hoping for tariffs to be struck down by the supreme court or have they already priced in tariffs fully $SPY $SPX $QQQ #ES_F #NQ_F"
X Link 2026-01-06T16:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"I've seen saying this since Greenland was first mentioned. There are only [-----] people who live there. Take a vote to become a US territory with all citizens being given a $1M payment each regardless of how they vote if the vote passes. They keep what they own already nothing changes they each just become millionaires and US citizens which millions of people from other countries already desperately want (enough to cross the border into the US illegally). The US pays $57B chump change compared to how we waste money on things. You think 75% of the Greenland population wouldn't take that deal I"
X Link 2026-01-08T17:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@TeddyForex @LindaRaschke It's a daily NYSE TICK with (I think) volatility bands on it. Linda's point is that when the TICK range tightens (and the blue/red upper/lower vol bands contract) it implies that future expansion of volatility is around the corner"
X Link 2026-01-08T19:48Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"$QQQ seems to be finally breaking out today. Note (1) progressively higher VPOCs (see the $SPY post about that) and (2) the very well aligned wedge/trendline break. I'm not much of a chart pattern guy but this one has been hard to miss in recent weeks. Failed breakout attempt Wednesday longs liquidated yesterday with sellers making no further progress and today they're giving it another push. Some previous overhead resistance at highs from 4-5 weeks ago but this breakout seems to have better legs than the attempt Wednesday. A close above [---] (NQ [---] area) would be a very positive sign. Even"
X Link 2026-01-09T16:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@KobeissiLetter I spend 10% more on groceries than I did at this time last year but I receive the same amount of goods. Adjust for inflation. I don't mean to sound harsh but how does your channel you have such a big following with such superficial analysis"
X Link 2026-01-09T19:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@JaguarAnalytics Just have them all reincorporate with "AI" appended to their name. "Adobe AI" "Datadog AI" . brilliant investors everywhere will suddenly see the value"
X Link 2026-01-14T00:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Software looks like it's rolling over. Financial sector not looking great here. Most troubling IMO is consumer staples. Up 7% in [--] days 😧 $XLK $XLF $XLP $QQQ $SPY #ES_F #NQ_F"
X Link 2026-01-14T17:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Trying to hold this gap here. it's not a "true" gap but due to the way that Jan [--] Friday sold early and sat at the lows all day it serves the same purpose for me. Big gap up to start Monday Jan [--] and holding here would be a big win. $SPY #ES_F $SPX $QQQ #NQ_F"
X Link 2026-01-14T18:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Trying to hold this gap here. it's not a "true" gap but due to the way that Jan [--] Friday sold early and sat at the lows all day it serves the same purpose for me. Big gap up to start Monday Jan [--] and holding here would be a big win. Why is this area here so important It's above the opening range of the year. Call that the whole day of Jan [--] the first hour of Jan [--] or whatever you like but we're above it. We have already traded below the YTD VWAP here and trading into this gap brings the [---] SPY into play. $SPY #ES_F $SPX $QQQ #NQ_F https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011521209771422094"
X Link 2026-01-14T19:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Brilliant analysis and massive respect for building a hypothesis and actually saying it in plain speak rather than hedging to spare your ego. I have not traded silver but I replayed your scenario on the chart and it is incredibly compelling. The icing on the cake may be that we are sitting just below the magic $100 level. It's such a "we've arrived" price and almost a given to many people at this point that I expect it will be incredibly difficult to breach. Thank you sir. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011996629872886158 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011996629872886158"
X Link 2026-01-16T02:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@MariusicaN Study names are all shown here. "NQ Data" and "YM Data" are created using the "Add Additional Symbol" study. "Display As Main Price Graph" selected for "ES Pct Change". Set the bar period and correlation period to whatever makes sense to you. Happy Friday"
X Link 2026-01-16T13:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"TL;DR - the scenario I see most likely is that next week (starting Tuesday Jan [--] 2026) we push up to SPX 7k and Dow 50k. Wild cards are Trump saying something over the weekend and today being OPEX. Nasdaq I'm not as sure about. Long post here sorry not sorry. If you refer back to the post I've linked to here you'll see a chart of $SPX on Thanksgiving week and I've posted the same chart here slightly annotated ( ) I'm going to walk through the story of what happened. This is how I try to get in tune with the market's narrative. It's how I read the auction--by trying to listen the best I can"
X Link 2026-01-16T19:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Quick followup: I absolutely hated that last pop up. I had just taken one off saw us start to push added it back and took it off at the high there. When I'm long for a sustained rally the last thing I want to see is a push like that (for you baseball fans as the saying goes "nothing kills a rally like a home run" -- identical concept IMO). WAY too much volume for my taste on that ramp. When it confirmed my suspicions I just got flat as it started to fall back in. The opex shenanigans may be in play. That push felt like someone needed liquidity for a Friday fill and sellers were happy to"
X Link 2026-01-16T19:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@jedimarkus77 Well they settle at the same time cash settles so they'll never be very far off (3:59:30 - 4:00:00pm vwap) unlike the old 4:15pm settlement years ago"
X Link 2026-01-20T21:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@TheShortBear Tough to make it work unless you're already positioned for it in which case you don't have much of a buffer (long equities in particular I mean). I thought we'd see metals come off and see a bit of reversal of USD but so far looks tough to call"
X Link 2026-01-20T21:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Trump speaks tomorrow morning (8:30am to 9:15am ET) at Davos. His tone at the press conference today seemed incredibly relaxed to me. When asked about Greenland the quote that stood out to me was the "NATO will be very happy" one. Whenever I hear him say stuff like this I'm reminded of the many times he's literally said "now's a good time to buy" to the equity markets and it's been good advice each time. This is not the same as that but it still sounded upbeat IMO. He will have been informed that stocks sold today. He doesn't like this. Given his relaxed tone at the presser his desire to pump"
X Link 2026-01-20T21:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"All day long today huge bids dragged the market lower in #ES_F and #NQ_F. Some filled some pulled. Market could not get any traction to the upside. After hours we pump of course because it's what we do but curious if this supposed liquidity pulls us lower now too"
X Link 2026-01-21T01:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Weird day today . the Naz/Everything-Else divide is in full swing. I am guilty of being long in #YM_F / $DIA when I should have been long #NQ_F / $QQQ but picking good spots made up for it. RVOL is absolutely anemic . about 80-90% of 15-day median. I expected a more interesting Friday. Have seen multiple sporadic flows out of nowhere. Dow has potential overhead supply looming from yesterday and overnight. If YM can break over [-----] they might turn the tide but the component stocks look like dead money tbh . $GS $HD $CAT $UHN . pretty much all the big ones just nothing going on. Only $AMZN"
X Link 2026-01-23T16:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Tom__Capital 🙏 thank you for the info. One more question does this imply that the US Treasury themselves are buying Yen My macro is a little rusty so I think I may have misunderstood but just checking"
X Link 2026-01-23T23:16Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"FOMC and a plethora of earnings this week will no doubt alter the current picture. But today I'm trading today not Wednesday afternoon. And to summarize what I've heard the market say so far this week: "I'm much more comfortable at higher prices than lower ones." Some objective data points: #ES_F and #NQ_F (1) gapped open lower Sunday (2) bid up overnight into an inside day (Friday) 2-day balance (ES) (3) tagged their upward-sloping VWAPs just prior to 5am ET (4) continued to bid up into the open (5) opened at the very top of Friday's range (6) got bid up fairly aggressively at the open (7)"
X Link 2026-01-26T18:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Short at daily/weekly VWAP and S = R (LVN) in the face of intense buying worked well as we traded down below the open but found buyers at [---]. Within [--] minutes NQ "value" buyers had overtaken VWAP so I wasn't optimistic about the final target of ONLow. #ES_F #NQ_F $SPY $QQQ"
X Link 2026-01-20T15:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"#YM_F / $DIA YM with the confluence on the VWAP hold. This was a necessary trigger without it would not have shorted against such intense buying"
X Link 2026-01-20T15:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@MrMBrown Agree 100%. The only thing more ridiculous is the Nasdaq [---]. Out of [---] stocks the top [--] are 70% of the index top [--] are 80% top [--] are 90% and the bottom [--] are companies that most people have never heard of. $SPY $QQQ $DIA"
X Link 2026-01-27T15:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Literally anything else. Buy puts short SIL futures anything is better than $ZSL. Same with a product like $USO: they want to own oil exposure and buy the worst thing possible. This has to do with how the ETF/ETP is constructed. Before buying anything like this have a gemini/claude/anything session and do [--] minutes of research and understand how the product works. Literally ask gemini "why is ZSL such a bad ETF to own" and see what it reveals to you. You may be shocked. It should never be traded ever ever. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016209641328300247"
X Link 2026-01-27T18:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@LiQuidPr0Qu0 @chriskruse @SubuTrade No they don't. Even one or two days and you will get royally hosed. You can buy $ZSL and two days later if spot silver is the same price it was when you bought ZSL you'll likely be down about 5%. It is not to be used for anything period. FAFO"
X Link 2026-01-27T21:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"The statement redline makes it (fairly) clear that the labor market side of the mandate has diminished somewhat in priority to the fed. IOW a bit hawkish. Let's see if Unc digs his heels in during the presser or straddles the fence. #FOMC $SPY $QQQ #ES_F #NQ_F #FederalReserve"
X Link 2026-01-28T19:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Today is the bold white line. The other lines are samples of other FOMC days after 2pm. I have never seen such a muted FOMC that I can recall. Probably the vol decay alone leads to a drift higher but wow what a boring trade. $SPY #ES_F $QQQ #NQ_F $DIA #YM_F $SPX"
X Link 2026-01-28T20:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Understandably $MSFT + $META + $TSLA + $IBM earnings more important than the fed "do nothing" meeting today. The result is that $SPY volume is the lowest on an FOMC decision day in [--] years 57.43M is the lowest since Oct [--] [----] which had 48.2M. In terms of notional/turnover today is possibly one of the lowest ever (not going to look further than [--] years). https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016622853685203045 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016622853685203045"
X Link 2026-01-28T21:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Gold is [--] standard deviations above its weekly VWAP and it's Thursday. "But prices are not normally distributed" . no duh it's still something that's almost never seen in the wild. #GC_F #Silver #Gold $GLD"
X Link 2026-01-28T23:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I've cautioned about using NYSE TICK in "normal" regimes because it equally weights things which are not even close to being equal. In times of volatility though it can be an invaluable tool. Note the [--] regimes clearly identifiable: (1) almost completely negative before the 10:56 new high spike (2) a transition period until another new high spike at 11:11 and then (3) almost completely positive after then. I thought we had one more low incoming after the 11:11 spike. My real-time read was that this was the "buyers are now ready" before a final shakeout. That turned out to be wrong but noting"
X Link 2026-01-29T18:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I calculate a cumulative adjusted TICK as well. Here's NYSE vs NYSE+NASDAQ+AMEX (red/blue line). Not a lot of difference today. As my original post shows TICK shows very clear regime shifts and for that reason I always like to use that raw data primarily. Individual use cases will dictate using different tools. My platform (Sierra) has many TICK varieties: nyse nasdaq nyse+nasdaq+amex russell ndx dow and combinations. For me NYSE represents a good combination of stocks that represent the broad market. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016978625346646131"
X Link 2026-01-29T20:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Every $AAPL earnings day I can't help but remember the old CME maintenance halt at 4:15pm (ET) and the reopening happening exactly at the AAPL reporting time at 4:30. It was a bit wild"
X Link 2026-01-29T21:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"What do you do when your company hasn't grown in [--] decades wasted billions of $ in funds and become known as a mismanaged mess Buybacks $VZ"
X Link 2026-01-30T13:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"How did liquidity get so bad so fast Markets are trading like VIX is [--]. #ES_F 30s up and down the book single digits on #NQ_F and #YM_F. Look at YM here. Last trade [---] bid [---]. Insane. This is during cash hours. This is displayed liquidity but my metric for realized/transacted liquidity also telling the exact same story since Wednesday (it was bad at the beginning of the day before FOMC). $SPY $QQQ $DIA $SPX https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017262045716938801 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017262045716938801"
X Link 2026-01-30T15:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"All week sellers have been stepping in at the #YM_F VWAP . I have gotten run over twice by being too predictive of a breakout above. I'm trying one last time to see if end of month buying flows can get us above. If we can finally get above [-----] and close up in that vicinity I will likely hold over the weekend. If we don't even get that far well fool me once shame on you fool me twice shame on me fool me thrice . I win idiot of the week award. $DIA $SPY $QQQ #ES_F #NQ_F https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017313693248176260 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017313693248176260"
X Link 2026-01-30T19:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"My entries were based on the 488-489 DIA area--looking left on a daily you can see the justification for that I think. However the market has been doing its own thing. On Tuesday we got some support there and after the dip on Thursday we tried to hold it but couldn't. Looking at the chart in my original post you can see there were much better dynamic areas to buy (the weekly SD-2). It was a losing week for me with my main issue being that I was essentially trying to predict a break higher above sellers at vwap who clearly had a lot more business to do than I thought (talking about the Dow"
X Link 2026-01-30T20:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@martypartymusic Because regulated markets never have liquidation breaks checks silver natgas etc . Were you crying when Bitcoin was crashing upward It's almost like some of you want to have all of the upside with no risk of downside. Hopefully you know that it can't work that way"
X Link 2026-01-31T20:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I'm no crypto bro (never touched the stuff) but it seems to me that current Bitcoin levels don't qualify as "blood in the streets" quite yet. Get below [----] election and ETF inception prices and crypto will be declared dead. $30k by August or so for example. That would be consistent in time frame and degree of drawdown with the [----] decline. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018031946639827214 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018031946639827214"
X Link 2026-02-01T18:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Four separate 400-500 point roundtrips lower and back up in #YM_F / $DIA since Thursday. "Unprecedented" would be too strong of a word but definitely lands in "haven't seen that in a while" territory for me. I'm no longer fighting it (closed my long after the reopen and push higher last night). Clear overhead supply in the 49100-300 area but sellers have shown zero ability to make it stick lower. Is this a case of "4th time's the charm" on the dip last night which has recovered 500+ points Hoping cash session clarifies things today. $SPY $QQQ #ES_F #NQ_F All week sellers have been stepping in"
X Link 2026-02-02T13:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Congrats $CSCO dotcom bagholders You've been made whole after a mere [--] years"
X Link 2026-02-03T17:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"50K in the Dow will probably not be clean nor pretty. But this energy has been building for weeks. It's the most reliable set of conditions: (1) huge bullish imbalance above a no-excess high (2) a big shakeout when everyone's positioned long and ready for the breakout and (3) a VPOC test on the LOD today confirming that once again (see last Thurs/Fri before the gap down) buyers are willing to pay above value. There are almost never "definitely will happen" scenarios in the market but this is one of them. This high definitely will break (and probably by a good margin). Meaningful market highs"
X Link 2026-01-22T17:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Looking at the last [--] years of data. when January is red there's no relationship whatsoever to Feb-Dec returns. When it's positive (22 times in [--] years) Feb-Dec is positive 82% of the time. That sounds like a great predictor but Feb-Dec is positive 70% of the time anyway. So is it a little better than random maybe but in short January has no real predictive value for determining Feb-Dec returns"
X Link 2026-01-08T21:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

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