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[$2941b](/topic/$2941b)

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"China forex analysis: Yicai reports $119.7B net inflow Q1-Q3 2025 with steady operations. Official Balance of Payments data shows: Q1-Q2 capital account: -$277.6B (outflow) Q1-Q2 current account: +$294.1B (trade surplus) Net result: Trade surplus offsetting capital outflows. The discrepancy is definitional. Yicai cites banking forex settlement surplus which measures bank transactions across all accounts. Standard BoP capital account measures FDI portfolio flows and loans separately. Current situation: - Reserves stable at $3.2T - Capital controls active - Trade performance strong - Outflow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/halobrief/status/1981208802050400731) [@halobrief](/creator/x/halobrief) 2025-10-23T03:59Z XXX followers, XX engagements