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![ScalpingX Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1795610625663815680.png) ScalpingX [@ScalpingX](/creator/twitter/ScalpingX) on x XXX followers
Created: 2025-07-28 09:36:14 UTC

🇺🇸 GLOBAL IMPACT OF TRUMP’S TARIFFS: SHORT-TERM GAINS, LONG-TERM PAIN?

Since early 2025, President Trump's tariff policy has raised average import duties from XXX% to 13.5–18%, with some goods taxed up to 200%. These tariffs target China, the EU, and key exporters, aiming to reduce trade deficits and bring manufacturing back to the U.S.

🌍 Global growth slowdown
Global GDP may shrink by $X trillion by 2027. U.S. real growth declined by XXX% in 2025; long-term impact is estimated at -6%. Japan is down 0.55%, and Vietnam risks losing up to one-third of its exports to the U.S.
🏭 Investment and supply chains under pressure
Global FDI dropped XX% in 2024 and continues falling. Firms are restructuring: WEG SA moved production from the U.S. to India; NatureSweet faces sourcing issues from Mexico. U.S. nonresidential private investment is nearly stagnant.

📉 Heavily impacted sectors
🚘 Japan: car exports to the U.S. down XX%
🧪 Brazil: major chemical orders canceled
🌾 U.S.: agricultural job losses and rising prices
🍷 France: XXX million bottles of unsold wine
🧸 Furniture & toys: higher prices, weakened consumption
📈 Markets & inflation
Despite S&P XXX and Nasdaq gains (driven by “TACO trade” optimism), inflation has exceeded 2.7%, well above the Fed’s X% target. Average U.S. households now pay an extra $2,400/year. Recession risk in the next XX months stands at 33%.

🤝 Temporary deals, structural uncertainty
Trump has signed framework deals with the EU, Japan, China, Vietnam… But if EU talks fail, a XX% tariff could follow. The global plan for 10–15% tariffs on XXX countries raises fears of a new protectionist era.
🧠 Overview & insights
Tariffs push domestic manufacturing but also raise input costs, disrupt supply chains, and depress investment. Export-heavy countries like Vietnam, Brazil, and Japan face pressure to diversify. The short-term edge may go to the U.S., but long-term damage is global.
🔮 Forecast
If negotiations succeed, tariffs could stabilize at 10–15%, giving markets room for recovery. If not, a 10–12% market correction is likely. In the long run, global growth will slow. The Fed may cut rates sooner to contain the fallout. Emerging exporters must pivot fast to survive.
🏁 Conclusion
Tariffs are a double-edged sword: they protect U.S. industry but hurt global economic health. As trade realigns, the adaptable will thrive—those who lag behind risk being left out of the new global order.
#TradeWar #GlobalEconomy #TrumpTariff

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XX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1949765835742220676/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[gdp](/topic/gdp)
[china](/topic/china)
[longterm](/topic/longterm)
[tariffs](/topic/tariffs)
[trumps](/topic/trumps)

[Post Link](https://x.com/ScalpingX/status/1949765835742220676)

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ScalpingX Avatar ScalpingX @ScalpingX on x XXX followers Created: 2025-07-28 09:36:14 UTC

🇺🇸 GLOBAL IMPACT OF TRUMP’S TARIFFS: SHORT-TERM GAINS, LONG-TERM PAIN?

Since early 2025, President Trump's tariff policy has raised average import duties from XXX% to 13.5–18%, with some goods taxed up to 200%. These tariffs target China, the EU, and key exporters, aiming to reduce trade deficits and bring manufacturing back to the U.S.

🌍 Global growth slowdown Global GDP may shrink by $X trillion by 2027. U.S. real growth declined by XXX% in 2025; long-term impact is estimated at -6%. Japan is down 0.55%, and Vietnam risks losing up to one-third of its exports to the U.S. 🏭 Investment and supply chains under pressure Global FDI dropped XX% in 2024 and continues falling. Firms are restructuring: WEG SA moved production from the U.S. to India; NatureSweet faces sourcing issues from Mexico. U.S. nonresidential private investment is nearly stagnant.

📉 Heavily impacted sectors 🚘 Japan: car exports to the U.S. down XX% 🧪 Brazil: major chemical orders canceled 🌾 U.S.: agricultural job losses and rising prices 🍷 France: XXX million bottles of unsold wine 🧸 Furniture & toys: higher prices, weakened consumption 📈 Markets & inflation Despite S&P XXX and Nasdaq gains (driven by “TACO trade” optimism), inflation has exceeded 2.7%, well above the Fed’s X% target. Average U.S. households now pay an extra $2,400/year. Recession risk in the next XX months stands at 33%.

🤝 Temporary deals, structural uncertainty Trump has signed framework deals with the EU, Japan, China, Vietnam… But if EU talks fail, a XX% tariff could follow. The global plan for 10–15% tariffs on XXX countries raises fears of a new protectionist era. 🧠 Overview & insights Tariffs push domestic manufacturing but also raise input costs, disrupt supply chains, and depress investment. Export-heavy countries like Vietnam, Brazil, and Japan face pressure to diversify. The short-term edge may go to the U.S., but long-term damage is global. 🔮 Forecast If negotiations succeed, tariffs could stabilize at 10–15%, giving markets room for recovery. If not, a 10–12% market correction is likely. In the long run, global growth will slow. The Fed may cut rates sooner to contain the fallout. Emerging exporters must pivot fast to survive. 🏁 Conclusion Tariffs are a double-edged sword: they protect U.S. industry but hurt global economic health. As trade realigns, the adaptable will thrive—those who lag behind risk being left out of the new global order. #TradeWar #GlobalEconomy #TrumpTariff

XX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics gdp china longterm tariffs trumps

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