[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]  Aydin [@formerlypeter](/creator/twitter/formerlypeter) on x XX followers Created: 2025-07-25 18:54:17 UTC $CNC - New full‑year guidance (another cut): just $XXXX EPS, down from prior $XXXX. Revenue surged +22% YoY to $48.74B, at least one piece of positive news EPS tanked due to: •Spike in Health Benefit Ratio to 93%, up from ~87.6%: higher medical payouts to revenue pulled in •Marketplace risk-adjustment revenues missed by ~$2.4B due to higher morbidity in ~22 states: On the risk adjustment program: This program redistributes funds among insurers within a state's individual and small group markets to compensate for differences in the health risk of their enrollees. Insurers with healthier enrollees pay into the risk adjustment pool, while those with sicker enrollees receive payments. The pool as a whole has shown higher morbidity, which unfortunately means less overall payouts/higher payments. In 2026, $CNC will: ✅ Reprice Marketplace for elevated morbidity levels ✅ Secure deeper Medicaid rate resets across key states At $XXXX EPS this is fairly valued at XX PE, but if they recover after repricing to $X EPS in 2026, we’re looking at a 4x forward PE. Insurers don’t typically run at a loss. Matter of fact, CNC’s last quarterly loss was in 2012. Expect a massive rebound coming into 2026. XXX engagements  **Related Topics** [cnc](/topic/cnc) [$24b](/topic/$24b) [$4874b](/topic/$4874b) [$cnc](/topic/$cnc) [stocks healthcare](/topic/stocks-healthcare) [Post Link](https://x.com/formerlypeter/status/1948819108809900092)
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Aydin @formerlypeter on x XX followers
Created: 2025-07-25 18:54:17 UTC
$CNC - New full‑year guidance (another cut): just $XXXX EPS, down from prior $XXXX.
Revenue surged +22% YoY to $48.74B, at least one piece of positive news
EPS tanked due to: •Spike in Health Benefit Ratio to 93%, up from ~87.6%: higher medical payouts to revenue pulled in •Marketplace risk-adjustment revenues missed by ~$2.4B due to higher morbidity in ~22 states:
On the risk adjustment program: This program redistributes funds among insurers within a state's individual and small group markets to compensate for differences in the health risk of their enrollees. Insurers with healthier enrollees pay into the risk adjustment pool, while those with sicker enrollees receive payments. The pool as a whole has shown higher morbidity, which unfortunately means less overall payouts/higher payments.
In 2026, $CNC will: ✅ Reprice Marketplace for elevated morbidity levels ✅ Secure deeper Medicaid rate resets across key states
At $XXXX EPS this is fairly valued at XX PE, but if they recover after repricing to $X EPS in 2026, we’re looking at a 4x forward PE. Insurers don’t typically run at a loss. Matter of fact, CNC’s last quarterly loss was in 2012. Expect a massive rebound coming into 2026.
XXX engagements
Related Topics cnc $24b $4874b $cnc stocks healthcare