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![ScalpingX Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1795610625663815680.png) ScalpingX [@ScalpingX](/creator/twitter/ScalpingX) on x XXX followers
Created: 2025-07-25 13:18:23 UTC

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ FED UNDER POLITICAL PRESSURE โ€“ NO RATE CUT IN JULY

๐Ÿ“Š A recent Reuters survey of XXX economists reveals that XX% are concerned about the Federal Reserveโ€™s independence amid growing political pressure from President Trump. He has repeatedly called for aggressive rate cuts down to 1%, even sending Fed Chair Jerome Powell a handwritten note listing global central bank rates to suggest following suit.

๐Ÿ›‘ Despite this, the Fed remains firm. All XXX experts agree that the Fed will hold interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.50% at the July 29-30, 2025 meeting. CMEโ€™s FedWatch tool prices in a XXXX% chance of no rate cut.

๐Ÿ”ฅ The main reasons: June CPI inflation remains elevated (2.5%-2.7%), retaliatory tariffs implemented by Trump since April are pushing up consumer prices, and the U.S. economy is still showing stable growth (2% GDP expected in 2025). However, risks of stagflation are emerging, as firms expect higher prices but lower revenues.

โš–๏ธ There are signs of division within the FOMC. Trump appointees like Michelle Bowman and Chris Waller are calling for early cuts, but Powell and the majority maintain a data-dependent approach, waiting for clearer evidence of economic impact from trade policy.

๐Ÿ“‰ Long-term forecasts suggest rates could fall to 3.75%-4.00% by year-end if inflation eases. Still, nearly X in X economists predict no cuts at all in 2025 if tariffs persist. U.S. GDP is projected to slow to XXX% this year, with core PCE inflation at 3.1%.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ On X (formerly Twitter), finance commentators emphasize the Fedโ€™s resistance to political interference, noting the XXXX% probability of no cut in July. Some accounts like @PiQSuite and @Flippix_sol stress the importance of preserving Fed credibility amid Trumpโ€™s pressure campaign.

๐Ÿ“Œ Summary:
โ€“ Holding rates steady in July is a prudent move to combat inflation.
โ€“ The Fedโ€™s independence is under serious strain, yet still intact.
โ€“ Tariffs pose dual threats: rising inflation and slowing growth.
โ€“ First rate cut may come in September if inflation stabilizes.
๐Ÿ“ˆ Markets may stay stable in the near term, but crypto and other risk assets could remain under pressure from extended high interest rates.
#FederalReserve #InterestRates #InflationRisk

![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GwtLw3FacAA53Qi.png)

XX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1948734575573959154/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[rates](/topic/rates)
[listing](/topic/listing)
[powell](/topic/powell)
[jerome powell](/topic/jerome-powell)
[donald trump](/topic/donald-trump)
[fed rate](/topic/fed-rate)

[Post Link](https://x.com/ScalpingX/status/1948734575573959154)

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ScalpingX Avatar ScalpingX @ScalpingX on x XXX followers Created: 2025-07-25 13:18:23 UTC

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ FED UNDER POLITICAL PRESSURE โ€“ NO RATE CUT IN JULY

๐Ÿ“Š A recent Reuters survey of XXX economists reveals that XX% are concerned about the Federal Reserveโ€™s independence amid growing political pressure from President Trump. He has repeatedly called for aggressive rate cuts down to 1%, even sending Fed Chair Jerome Powell a handwritten note listing global central bank rates to suggest following suit.

๐Ÿ›‘ Despite this, the Fed remains firm. All XXX experts agree that the Fed will hold interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.50% at the July 29-30, 2025 meeting. CMEโ€™s FedWatch tool prices in a XXXX% chance of no rate cut.

๐Ÿ”ฅ The main reasons: June CPI inflation remains elevated (2.5%-2.7%), retaliatory tariffs implemented by Trump since April are pushing up consumer prices, and the U.S. economy is still showing stable growth (2% GDP expected in 2025). However, risks of stagflation are emerging, as firms expect higher prices but lower revenues.

โš–๏ธ There are signs of division within the FOMC. Trump appointees like Michelle Bowman and Chris Waller are calling for early cuts, but Powell and the majority maintain a data-dependent approach, waiting for clearer evidence of economic impact from trade policy.

๐Ÿ“‰ Long-term forecasts suggest rates could fall to 3.75%-4.00% by year-end if inflation eases. Still, nearly X in X economists predict no cuts at all in 2025 if tariffs persist. U.S. GDP is projected to slow to XXX% this year, with core PCE inflation at 3.1%.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ On X (formerly Twitter), finance commentators emphasize the Fedโ€™s resistance to political interference, noting the XXXX% probability of no cut in July. Some accounts like @PiQSuite and @Flippix_sol stress the importance of preserving Fed credibility amid Trumpโ€™s pressure campaign.

๐Ÿ“Œ Summary: โ€“ Holding rates steady in July is a prudent move to combat inflation. โ€“ The Fedโ€™s independence is under serious strain, yet still intact. โ€“ Tariffs pose dual threats: rising inflation and slowing growth. โ€“ First rate cut may come in September if inflation stabilizes. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Markets may stay stable in the near term, but crypto and other risk assets could remain under pressure from extended high interest rates. #FederalReserve #InterestRates #InflationRisk

XX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics rates listing powell jerome powell donald trump fed rate

Post Link

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